CMR Interviews - Christian Siva-Jothy: Macro Trader (Citibank, Goldman Sachs, Semper Macro)

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ต.ค. 2024
  • Jason Shapiro interviews Christian Siva-Jothy who is a veteran #macro #trader with over 30 years of experience. Christian has an impressive resume where he started at Citibank (1987 - 1991) as Forward #forex trader, short-dated cable & proprietary Interest rate trader. Then he went on to Goldman Sachs ( 1991 - 2005) as Partner, Global Head of Proprietary Trading, FICC, (1995), Pre IPO Partner 1998. His last stop before he started to trade his own money was Semper Macro (2005 - 2010) as Managing Partner & Owner of the hedge fund with over $1.25 billion in AUM. Now he runs CSJ Capital (2011 - present) which is a Family Office and he trades my own money).
    Jason and Christian discuss lessons learned from years of experience, the current state of the markets and why they might be in trouble. Christian thinks his generation is the lucky one as he is unsure about the future of the markets which the continued printing of money supply and now with interest rates higher than they have been in a while.
    NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
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ความคิดเห็น • 75

  • @ninjedi
    @ninjedi 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    macros for show, price action's for dough ... Few.

  • @lorenzorocco82
    @lorenzorocco82 วันที่ผ่านมา +22

    Financial planning is like navigation. If you know where you are and where you want to go, navigation isn't such a great problem. It's when you don't know the two points that it's difficult...

    • @codecreateurroku6764
      @codecreateurroku6764 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I'm in a similar situation where should I look to increase income? Do you have any advice? What did you do ? Thank you

    • @ruadasflores7559
      @ruadasflores7559 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Well I engage in nice side hustles like inves'ting, and the good thing is I do it with one one of the best(Ricky wen), he's really good!

    • @josemanuelmacias7968
      @josemanuelmacias7968 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Having an investment advisor is the best way to go about the stock market right now. I was going solo, but it wasn't working. I've been in touch with an advisor for a while now, and just last year, I made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.

    • @sky9935
      @sky9935 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things

    • @tulapradhan6882
      @tulapradhan6882 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Ricky Wen demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit

  • @davewave36
    @davewave36 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Good effort trying to pull some concrete comments from a guy who just wanted to shadow box.

  • @user-friendlyhuman
    @user-friendlyhuman ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    This was a cool episode!

  • @Mindfulmarkets
    @Mindfulmarkets 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

    Where I live, it’s 17 times income to own a house. These guys are talking about 7 times…

  • @Hatchero
    @Hatchero วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Excellent interview. Love hearing from the traders with decades of experience.

  • @BigWickTraders
    @BigWickTraders วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    I have no idea what he’s trying to say

  • @rockedbottom
    @rockedbottom 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    "It's much easier to bullshit at the macro-level than it is to bullshit at the micro-level."
    @nntaleb

  • @garychan9796
    @garychan9796 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Jason, it's a pity one ep wasted on a doomer keeps sticking to the false bear thesis which has been dead wrong for ages........ he is not focusing in making money

  • @eoghancasey2909
    @eoghancasey2909 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    this was priceless, excellent, like eavesdropping on 2 shaolin masters, thanks gents

  • @mdcapital1172
    @mdcapital1172 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Don't think he has a specific strategy, find it hard to believe he makes money in financial markets not being employed by an institution

  • @bobbobertson7568
    @bobbobertson7568 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Like Chriatian's comment earlier about choosing right way to express a macro trade, in that case number of rate cuts. Trade on rates not the market.

  • @wabiisabi
    @wabiisabi 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    J’adore Jason “I’m no economist but i play one on YT” 😂

  • @cmm4579
    @cmm4579 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Amazing interview. You are getting impressive guests Jason. Thank you

    • @thehungergames8918
      @thehungergames8918 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Is this interview 4 month old 👵 🙄

  • @lustgarten
    @lustgarten วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    why don't these 'smart' people figure out their video and get a $12 light?

  • @nevin0007
    @nevin0007 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    52:53 is the money shot.

    • @gregfridholm2136
      @gregfridholm2136 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Right. Weakening dollar, increasing interest rates.
      I'd add (Northstar's) Gold/SPX > 0.5

    • @HectorYague
      @HectorYague วันที่ผ่านมา

      Agreed. It is the only golden nugget I fished from this conversation (which was a bit all over the place), but this one made me think!

  • @badrulhussain5545
    @badrulhussain5545 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Can you bring Christian again to talk about his trading psychology and set ups and how he adapted on to today's market. Thanks 😊

    • @LinusMuse
      @LinusMuse 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      There wasn't enough of that talk. Jason was distracted by his phone much of the time. If the host can't pay attention, how can the audience?

    • @badrulhussain5545
      @badrulhussain5545 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@LinusMuse He must of been busy placing trades and getting stopped out on a mobile trading app lol

    • @LinusMuse
      @LinusMuse 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@badrulhussain5545 😆

  • @USGrant21st
    @USGrant21st ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Always put stops kids, don't get into a losing position, which only gets deeper every day.

  • @lachlanrutherford8833
    @lachlanrutherford8833 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    great talk thanks jason

  • @grozlz
    @grozlz วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    great interview thanks

  • @RobertVanGilder
    @RobertVanGilder 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    great stuff

  • @giovannidicarlo9047
    @giovannidicarlo9047 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    thank you

  • @BourgeoisRaser
    @BourgeoisRaser 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you Jason & Thanks to the guy/s in the background 💛

  • @denijane89
    @denijane89 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    ROFL, two bears walk into a bar...Don't get me wrong, I think the economy is totally ruined. But unlike the two smart people in the video who know better, I acted upon this belief and let's just say it wasn't pretty. So yeah, great conversation, I really liked the comparison between trading and drugs. In the ned, apparently some people find how to make money, others don't and that's ok.

  • @Reutzel507
    @Reutzel507 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Have multiple ways to make money.
    Position and longer term. Day trading/futures. Options, delta neutral or selling spreads

  • @ZaJuice777
    @ZaJuice777 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    I think you can love trading by loving the analytical side of trading. Just like understanding macro data and using this data to put out a trade and hopefully make money from it. Understanding the markets is interesting and fun way to make money. You can trade like your gambling or you can trade like your a professional and understand macros and fundamentals and price action. Trading is not that much different than selling cars for a living or houses. You can buy a car and not do you due diligence and it can be a 50/50 same with trading .

  • @jupitersstring2823
    @jupitersstring2823 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Wow... Some candid comments here. Hats off chaps

  • @LinusMuse
    @LinusMuse 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Was the quote on the thumbnail ever actually said?

  • @Reutzel507
    @Reutzel507 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Rates. Trade spread in the futures market.

  • @Fenix_Trader
    @Fenix_Trader 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Please show some examples of your trades🙏🙏 I think many people would like that.

    • @crowdedmarketreport
      @crowdedmarketreport  10 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Mentioned a couple in today's market recap video

  • @jchien
    @jchien วันที่ผ่านมา

    You guys know when the End of the World scenario where the dollar is down and rates are up could happen? When China moves on Taiwan and US fails to act.

    • @USGrant21st
      @USGrant21st ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Dollar is interested in one thing -- treasury yield. If China moves on Taiwan, dollar will rise as well as gold.

  • @jonathanlee5185
    @jonathanlee5185 วันที่ผ่านมา

    thanks 👍

  • @leogomez1077
    @leogomez1077 วันที่ผ่านมา

    What’s the symbol to keep track of the dollar? The USDX? Sorry, rookie question.

    • @crowdedmarketreport
      @crowdedmarketreport  วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@leogomez1077 US Dollar Index Futures is DX

    • @leogomez1077
      @leogomez1077 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@crowdedmarketreport Thank you. Your channel is like a golden needle in a haystack by the way.

    • @Fenix_Trader
      @Fenix_Trader 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      DXY

  • @hassandiallo5326
    @hassandiallo5326 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Useful info here, Jayson, would you say that trading is a game? if so , which other game or games it resembles the most, chess, monopoly, pocker etc? thanks.

  • @alexlimion2624
    @alexlimion2624 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Learn by Losing, I can buy into that

  • @hardhead08
    @hardhead08 4 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    I grow some foods to supplement, the money i save goes to the Ponzi 100%. 😁😅🤣

  • @robertlu5117
    @robertlu5117 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I agree, inflation is always a problem. If you time travel back go 90' you are telling them hamburger meal is 20 dollars, they would insane to think the future people paying that much money for a burger. That is crazy

    • @gregfridholm2136
      @gregfridholm2136 วันที่ผ่านมา

      th-cam.com/video/4oBpdBn5GZw/w-d-xo.html