Biden isn't going anywhere for now | Ian Bremmer | Quick Take
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 มิ.ย. 2024
- What's going to happen at least for the near term, is that Biden isn't going anywhere. He would have to decide to stand down. He certainly is not prepared to do that. His team would have to tell him strongly that they feel like he's making a mistake. They're not prepared to do that, either. And this is something we've seen on a few occasions.
Subscribe to GZERO on TH-cam and turn on notifications (🔔): / @gzeromedia
Sign up for GZERO Daily (free newsletter on global politics): rebrand.ly/gzeronewsletter
Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: Hi, everybody. Ian Bremmer here and a Quick Take to kick off your week. The topic everyone is discussing, of course, is what is the state of play in the US election for President Biden's reelection campaign in particular? What's going to happen? What are the outcomes?
Well, what's going to happen at least for the near term, is that Biden isn't going anywhere. He would have to decide to stand down. He certainly is not prepared to do that. His team would have to tell him strongly that they feel like he's making a mistake. They're not prepared to do that, either. And this is something we've seen on a few occasions. Remember, Biden has been serving at high levels in Foreign Office for decades as vice president for eight years, in addition to president for almost four and senator including running the Foreign Relations Committee for decades and decades. And so the people around him, they are very loyal. They have a lot of experience. And they've been on and committed to Team Biden for a very long time. They absolutely are willing to give him advice. And they execute as well as they can, on his directives. But they are very unwilling to challenge him, particularly when he feels strongly about an outcome.
And we've seen this play out on Russia-Ukraine, Biden was unwilling to talk about moving towards a negotiated settlement as the Ukrainians were doing better and better. They were kicking it down the road. They weren't having the difficult decision because no one was willing to really challenge it. And then the situation for the Ukrainians started getting worse, and it was “they'll manage reasonably well,” the tactical on the day to day. And you have a strong coalition that the Americans are leading. But at no point are you making the big sudden change. It's very cautious. It's very conservative. and it tends to kick the can on big, controversial potential decisions.
Read more:
Want to know more about global news and why it matters? Follow us on:
Instagram: / gzeromedia
Twitter: / gzeromedia
TikTok: / gzeromedia
Facebook: / gzeromedia
LinkedIn: / gzeromedia
Threads: threads.net/@gzeromedia
Subscribe to our TH-cam channel and turn on notifications (🔔): / @gzeromedia
Sign up for GZERO Daily (free newsletter on global politics): rebrand.ly/gzeronewsletter
Subscribe to the GZERO podcast: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
GZERO Media is a multimedia publisher providing news, insights and commentary on the events shaping our world. Our properties include GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, our newsletter GZERO Daily, Puppet Regime, the GZERO World Podcast, In 60 Seconds and GZEROMedia.com
#QuickTake #USElection #Biden
![[FULL EP.14] เซียนหรั่ง สอน มาร์ชจุ จับปูนา ฮากระจาย | เฮ็ดอย่างเซียนหรั่ง | One Playground](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/M8mPjd_T2lo/mqdefault.jpg)
I'm in the anger phase, and it's not at MAGA this time. The office isn't a prize, it's a sacred trust.
I agree! If Trump wins it is squarely on Biden and news outlets like MSNBC
Seems great “democratic” America has no young leader any more, except Capital’s “deep state”.
Seems great “democratic” America has no young leader any more, except Capital’s “deep state”.
A grifter politician who never had a real job will sacrifice the country because of his big ego.
Biden has party mandate, won the party contest, is the incumbent, beat the 3rd party candidate, people like his policy changes like Chips Acts, and social issues stances like abortion, he has had no credibility losses unless your Red claiming it, his foreign policy has not failed, your gonna take him out because why? Physical charisma? Your a fool. Teams are put in not a single man. You get mass crazy on T's team.
You left someone importanrt out: his staff and advisors lose their jobs if he withdraws. Hardly patriotic to give advice based on that.
Bingo! That's what this is all about. They can't see beyond the near term.
Most of them would move straight across to working for Whitmer, Newsom or whoever took the reins.
@billking8843 all mercenary yes men/women/things
@@billking8843 If they can get hired, I would bet would not be easy given past history.
Biden has party mandate, won the party contest, is the incumbent, beat the 3rd party candidate, people like his policy changes like Chips Acts, and social issues stances like abortion, he has had no credibility losses unless your Red claiming it, his foreign policy has not failed, your gonna take him out because why? Physical charisma? Your a fool. Teams are put in not a single man. You get mass crazy on T's team.
Imagine putting your ego first before country, like another guy we know.
Imagine acting for 4 yrs, like u didn't know that family was crooked.
His family is just as bad on this too.
@@thehouseofcm Like you didn't know that family was crooked.
How so?
Let me guess: besides Hunter, you have nothing.
How did I do?
Just these few comments here show exactly how divided the country is.
@@twyscape artificially disunited by algorithms and political parties and donors. Americans with rally around a structural reform party. We just need a few billionaires to fund it.
This is like watching the train crash - and it would have been easy to stop it. Absolutely irresponsible.
We are a byproduct of the universe; we are doing great compared to the other species.
Reflections of RBG here.
What a mess the US is in.
Not a great place to live anymore. It’s finished.
It’s a great place to live, it’s up to you
Trumpland is the worst place to live. Dumb candidate dumb people. The rest of the world laughs at America.
Yes, please; everyone who is going to bemoan how awful the US is should go move to their preferred non-US country. I wish you all well.
Yeah, I lived there and it is sad to see....
I am disgusted by team Biden. I feel betrayed and gaslit. I can’t believe we’re handing Trump the presidency. This is so disgusting. The ironic thing is that Biden seems to be doing this for his ego, but when he loses to Trump and brings the party down with him, his legacy will be irrepairably tarnished. And that’s a shame considering his first (and what is likely to be his only) term was one of the best in history.
Biden is not doing this out of ego. He's from a generation that felt a sense of patriotic duty, in this case to save democracy. He thinks he needs to run because only he can beat Trump, as he has before. Who really knows if he's wrong?
Biden lied about inflation and the entire country unprepared. What a devil he is
Not for his ego--for his corporate, mega donors who like to influence elections, as well as legislation. Either of Biden's two Democratic challengers would have wiped the floor with Trump. th-cam.com/video/lZwoy5HXzsU/w-d-xo.html
"his legacy will be irreparably tarnished." You can polish tarnished silver back to a shine. His legacy will be destroyed.
You lack basic critical thinking skills if you were hoodwinked by this dog and pony show. The disgust should be firmly aimed at the mirror, mon frere...
I watched 5 minutes of the debate and turned it off. He no longer has a memory capacity to take care of a dog let alone the usa. It was disgraceful how we could put the hands of the country in a man who clearly belongs in a nursing home. Even the democrats i know all said he unfit for the position
He couldn't take care of his own dogs. They kept biting Secret Service agents. Even they didn't respect the tired old man who thinks he's still the leader of the pack.
It was disgraceful that his advisers allowed him to debate.
My question is why is this a surprise?! Biden's mental state was going down when he was running in 2020. This is the lie fr the DNC n MSM news was spreading to cover up Biden's dementia. I will not be supporting this party in this election
Just described everything I hate about Ds. Trying to be everything to everyone at once and failing on all accounts.
And which party wants to control women's bodies?
@@HarryF-tz5fo Alrighty then! Feel better now?
@@HarryF-tz5fo Don the CON same no??
The Dems just try to keep their corporate, mega-donors happy. Either of these two candidates would have wiped the floor with Trump in that debate. th-cam.com/video/lZwoy5HXzsU/w-d-xo.html
Experience doesn't matter if you have dementia.
The President must be fully functional, Ian!
Both Trump and Biden have dementia. What do we do?
@@blafonovision4342 you would have to have dementia to think that. Trump as sharp as ever.
@@shanghaiffgg lol didn't you watch Trump debate? He confabulated the whole thing.
@@shanghaiffgg sharp as a bowling ball, vote 3rd party maybe...
@@astilealavatica14043rd party is Kennedy the conspiracy crook. Somewhat less bad than Trump, but can't win. Not sure if better than Biden. Biden's admin is essentially run by his staff, who of course are much younger.
So Alfred is running the Bat Cave and the other option is to turn things over to the Joker.
No no no no, Spiderman is ill and aunt may is trying to bring uncle Ben back to life, all while the only other option is to have the hobgoblin take over. Because we are in the bad spiderverse.
Excellent
democrats picked a terrible candidate so democrats want to blame republicans.
@@thomascrew8268 Alfred has ethics...
If Alfred was running things we'd be in better shape. Biden thinks he's the Wizard of Oz, who doesn't understand there is no Wizard of Oz.
How do he and his ppl imagine he can still win? This isn’t about loyalty to Biden. It’s about the future of our country. Those ppl need to face reality and get on with a responsible and face saving end.
There is NOT five months.
Four Months. July Aug Sept Oct.
Election early Nov .
Try January....
@@michaelroberts7770 rubbish that off after election.
He is saying They have five months before the vote
2 months if you want your name on the ballot in Ohio and some other states. Have to be formalized by Aug 15th.
Making it easy for Trump. No way he wins.
Not if Biden just disappears Trump.
You're going to vote for Biden, and you're going to like it!!!! Nananananana >:)!!!!
@@blafonovision4342 Seems great “democratic” America has no young leader any more, except Capital’s “deep state”.
They do their best thou
@@RussianYankee Only “Deep state” plays the role.
I am a Dem and voted blue for ever…however Biden NEEDS to step down. I am getting very upset with my party and top Dem. enablers and Dem. Media. I am so turned off by all of it. We have a roster of great candidates who have already run for President and have an infrastructure in place. I would love our party to get a real fighter with sharp thinking to step up. This is a disaster…And I love the guy but stepping down now would be putting country before party. I would love Gretchen Whitmer to run. I worry about Gavin Newsome due to some of his policies and past positions but he is a good fighter.
It’s time to take the keys away.
God help us all
How bad does this have to get before what is obviously needed to be done gets done? Everyone on the left, including center left, except for Biden's "inner circle" is clamoring for Biden to step down. Who is Biden representing? Himself or the country and the needs of the people?
The primaries are for replacing the candidate.
There's real legitimacy issues when replacing the candidate any other way.
It looks to me that the process that produced these candidates needs some real examination.
Too much insider politics, too many foreshadowed party elections have produced this environment.
Personally, I think if you're not going with multi party democracy, you need a much more popular primary process.
This is where ideological differences are expressed democratically in American two party politics.
@@ywtccBut the DNC deliberately stopped candidates from running in the primary and foisted Biden for reelection on us.
The other issue is that if Biden says he's not running for the next term, he's basically admitting he shouldn't have the job right now.
What's the alternative? "I'm not going to run anymore, but I feel like I should be okay cognitively until January!"
democrats will do anything for power.
He represents Obama & Associates
The American Election result is very important to us in Ireland. God protect us from Donald Trump!
Protect you from Biden you mean 😊
The God Emperor is inevitable.
How is Ireland affected? It is not like UK will invade. Why do you even care? Except it is fascinating to watch...
@@txflood2519 may he cough on a chicken bone for eternity
@vladseva2327 Ireland is being kept afloat by US businesses taking advantage of low tax rates - if they are forced to come back to America by Trump, Ireland sinks.
How come there is no cognitive test for the Presidency, shouldn’t there be?
It's not just his age and some "bad days". He shows symptoms of Parkinsons: low voice, incoherency, confucion, slow movements, no facial mimic, the way he walks. This is only getting worse.
You think 'unfit to stand trial' was a tip off? Yet he is still President.
The use of the teleprompter covered up a lot of these issues, now it's out in the open. Short term memory loss appears evident as well, his staff was protecting and shielding him, their jobs are at risk if Biden resigns, I don't think there will be a second debate.
Who's running the country? Jill Biden?
Blinken by the looks of it
Is it…Andrew McCarthy? Or Jonathan Silverman?
Kamala Harris
Obama! Biden is a paw
This is proof that he has never been in charge from day one. If they are ok with him running another 4 yrs it means he never was in charge and they are ok to wheel him out once a month drugged up.
I consider myself an independent even though I have always ended up voting democrat. If the Democrats insist on going forward with Biden my vote is going to RFK Jr. If party leadership doesn’t have the will or to do what is necessary or the courage to enact the 25th amendment, they have only themselves to blame if the unthinkable happens in November.
I hope he will do the right thing and stand aside, otherwise get ready for 4 more years of Trump. Then we can all start saying 2026 is the "most important election of our lifetimes".
It's over dude.....
THE SCARIEST PART: It wasn’t just the American people who watched the debate: The leaders of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea watched it as well. What do you think THEY are thinking (and may DO) based on what THEY saw?
They know that the democratic values of the US are largely a facade, especially when it comes to foreign policy. While I'm sure they are enjoying watching America squirm in the sun, I don't think it would significantly impact their foreign strategy. It might lead to an increase in domestically targeted anti-american rhetoric though.
They think: "Hmm ... attack after 4:00 p.m."
Why, why the system keeps selecting the worse of the worst? I mean both democrats and republicans alike
Money and blackmail.
Corporate mega-donors keep selecting the worst. Money rules the day and the corporate news media are happy to help out because they benefit, as well. Either of Biden's two Dem challengers would have wiped the floor with Donald Trump in the debate. But, they weren't given any press/media attention. th-cam.com/video/lZwoy5HXzsU/w-d-xo.html
Ask A.I.P.A.C.
Biden and Trump are “compromise” candidates in an increasingly diverse and fractured country
That’s a wrap on democracy in the USA. You can thank the leaders of every check on the executive branch for their failure to uphold their oath to protect the Constitution. From McConnell to Garland to the SCOTUS 6, to Biden’s refusal to step down giving us voters a viable alternative. It’s time to prepare ourselves for a future under autocracy before Trump is sworn in.
Don’t the people around him and the senior people in government and the party have an obligation to the American people and constitution or a fiduciary duty to consider removing himbecause he’s increasingly senile? In America, you can declare bankruptcy way after you knew it was over internally. You can drive the bus off the cliff. In England, for example if the directors of a company do not step up when the company clearly can’t meet, it’s obligations then they have personal liability. Don’t they have the obligation to say that he’s not able to do the job he can’t even get through some questions on a podium. Do you think he can act effectively in the war or in his job considering dozens of things every day?
I predict a very low voter turnout.
Whitmer best option
The New York Time is already reporting that he’s considering dropping out, which is a sign that it’s pretty much a done deal at this point.
"Biden unwilling"??? The man is GONE! There is no Biden.
An option would be for Biden and Harris to switch roles, such that she would be the presidential candidate and Biden the vice president. They can continue on the same election program, but an old and frail vice president would be less critical and he could still contribute with his experience. Should he get too frail after election, exchanging a vice president is less dramatic and the electorate wouldn't feel as deceived about his health as if he were president.
This is not legal by any stretch of your imagination. You left wingers keep coming up with wild scenarios to save your chances when in reality you can't face that this is over !
A reasonable solution, this would require Biden to resign the presidency (citing ill health). The issue I think is Harris would face pressure to appoint someone else who is not compromised and could be seen as a viable VP pick.
@bernieschiff5919 wow, you folks get more delusional with time. In no universe would Kamala be elected dog catcher ! Live in reality man. Democrats are finished.
Unfortunately people just hate Kamala. She polls like dog water in a general and in a primary setting. It’d be just as undemocratic as appointing someone based off delegate choices. Except that someone else could be a better candidate.
Everything goes back to the meeting in the upstairs room of Hilary’s house after Obama won the nomination back in 2008. A deal was made to let Hilary run after Obama’s two terms.
Great content. Keep it up Ian. Country and world need clear analysis and straight talk.
It’s so incredible for Ian to talk about Biden having “bad days”. People having bad days are people with diseases. Biden is suffering from old age. Sure we are all feeling bad for him. But putting the world at risk in these trying times? Exaggerated compassion is not going to get us through. Biden should go and strong leadership, the best the democrats can muster should step forward. Revisit Dean Philips!
Any strong charismatic articulate candidate with a hopeful vision of America's future would sweep Trump into history's dust bin
unfortunately not, Ron DeSantis tried...
Yes and both of these candidates (Phillips and Williamson) were blacklisted by the the corporate Dem establishment. Either would have wiped the floor with Trump in the debate. th-cam.com/video/lZwoy5HXzsU/w-d-xo.html
And that's not Biden.
@jungtarcph DeSantis is NOT strong, charismatic and articulate. Nor does he have 'a hopeful vision of America's future'. That's why failed.
Newsom/Warren 2024.
I like how fate of the free world boils down to competing brands of adult diapers. 1 falling apart, other that’ll set your ass on fire.
I am more worried about the performance of the American people than about the performance of either candidate.
(Obama's tweet 49:20)
Glenn Greenwald, Debate forces to admit Biden's impairment after months of lying
Newsom Warnock or Warnock Newsom .. Soft exit for Joe. Give him the praise he deserves for years of service and for saving us in 2020. And then .. select a balanced ticket that won't divide. Easy? No. Harris .. sorry.. too divisive. Promise her a position... But Joe, I love you, thank you, but it's time.
Drinking game: take a shot each time you change your mind on which branch of government is more of a train wreck.
They can’t get rid of Kamala.
Biden’s inner circle cannot hide their disdain for Harris for the entire four years. Putting her on the ticket had always been a cynical decision.
They could have Kamala replace Sotomayor on SCOTUS while Dems still control the Senate! We can't afford another RBG!
Kamala would get fewer electoral votes than McGovern!
That's the problem. Loyalty to Biden instead of this country. Loyalty to politicians and the corporate interests they serve. This is disgusting and undemocratic. What about the American people? Why should Americans suffer because of one old man's terrible ego?
I see this as loyal to the country because most people who are or about to vote for Biden are doing this for fear or going into a presidency that will move the nation to model that is closer to dictatorship.
I don’t always agree with Bremmer, but this was an honest and very accurate picture of the state of the race. Mainstream media is way too sensationalist on the state of play in the race. Well done Bremmer
Biden 2024 strategy "They will vote for me because the other guy is worse!"
Doesn’t Biden watch the news? Why does his team have to tell him something that everyone is talking about?
“The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.”
The best thing is for the D's to nominate him now so they will have the maximum time for in-person campaigning. Trump's best work has been to hold rallies. Biden should follow his lead.
I think Biden needs to let someone else run. Country over self.
Why not blow maga minds by nominating a moderate REPUBLICAN? That would be the ultimate demonstration of putting country ahead of party. Trumpanzees would call any moderate a RINO, but the tax-sensitive voters and even social conservatives with class would have someone to vote for other than Trump.
It should never have come to this point. Biden should have stepped back after one term and this should have been known well in advance so that Dems would have a long time to prepare another candidate.
One is mentally unfit to serve, and the other morally unfit…and this is the best we can do? 🤦🏼♂️
Doesn't matter for the corporate, mega-donors that contribute to both parties. They will get their interest taken care of no matter who wins.
Why not mention Anthony Blinken, he is in my mind the best choice. Gavin as Vp
Thanks, as always, for your analysis & commentary Ian!
Very good analysis!
I would vote for a chair against Trump, but I'm worried others won't do the same. Scared of ending up with Trump is the exact reason I want Biden to step down.
You need to evoke the 25 th. The presidential office is too important to have someone in there who can hardly speak any more.
They wont do that. Too many vested interests.
Another well-articulated description of this moment and this subject. Thank you, Ian Bremmer. As for the prep team over prepping the President, that glazed, somewhat distant look of the President during the debate suggested he didn't get enough rest. And for an 81 yr. old, not enough rest and that sore throat are absolutely catastrophic conditions, which we saw. I think Mr. Bremmer's idea to switch the ticket is a good one. The President announces he and Kamala Harris will switch positions. She will be the Presidential nominee and he will stand beside her as the Vice President. The delegates at the convention will then confirm the change. And I agree with Mr. Bremmer's assertion that the risk in this scenario is no greater than the risk of the ticket remaining as it is.
He should retire plain and simple. Enough with the games.
I'm starting to support congressional candidates. A president needs support to get legislation passed
He needs to step down
Would like to register my anger at the Biden people, who I'm quickly losing all respect for. I live in Taiwan, where it feels like there are potentially serious consequences for this election. My expectation had been that the Democrats would at least play to win...
All American leaders became Karens, only personal attacks and complaining with each other.
That is one furrowed brow, Ian! (Mine is too.)
thk u for ur honesty
I think the vast majority of the country would be happier if BOTH parties would just retire their candidate and pick someone new. A Biden/Harris administration could probably run the country for another four years, although at some point it might just become a Harris administration. She'd do a decent job, imho, but in order to get there, we need to defeat Trump. Can someone who seems old defeat Trump again, who seems less old? We can't risk another Trump presidency. I think going through an accelerated process of selecting a younger candidate and running him/her might be the Democrats' best chance of winning in 2024, and the best chance for the country of preserving its democratic institutions, norms, rights, freedoms, rule of law, etc... Everyone's loyalty to American democracy has to be greater than their loyalty to any one man, regardless of how long they've served with him.
Then they blame social media for depression. Look at our two presidential choices. This is beyond depressing. The system is completely broken
It's time for President Sanders, or President J. Stewart. If only.
You wouldn’t hire him to walk your dog. You wouldn’t have him as your Uber driver. If he stays, he gets destroyed in November.
slow roll accident to an unstable world.
Bring Al Gore!
Loved Al Gore. He would have been a great president, and the country would be in a much better shape.
Gish Gallop, "It's a rhetorical technique in which someone throws out a fast string of lies,non-sequiturs, and specious arguments, so many that it is impossible to fact-check or rebut them in the amount of time it took to say them. Trying to figure out how to respond makes the opponent look confused, because they don't know where to start grappling with the flood that just happened. It's a form of gaslighting". For me as a voter, there was no debate, gaslighting took it. Shutting off the mich did nothing. Democracy vs Autocracy no comparison. Vote
Could the convention have rank choice voting to pick the strongest candidate if Biden backs out?
Great commentary!
How are things so messed up with all this experience over the last many decades? Ridiculous!
I disagree with the title. Mainstream media has grabbed onto the issue and it looks like the dam has broken.
Great analysis
It’s hilarious that you couldn’t even leave Biden alone in a house for 24 hours but we can still put him into the Oval Office…
I'm fine with a president who will actually work from 10 to 4. Everyone forgets that Trump spent most of his term in "Executive Session" (i.e. watching Fox News) or golfing. To paraphrase Jesse Jackson, 'I'll take Biden in wheelchair over Trump on a horse.'
He needs to STEP DOWN!!! He’s not competent to be President for a day let alone the next 4 years !!!!! Please STOP IT !!!
The voters do not like to be lied to, and he and his administration are doing it constantly now.
I'm more concerned about the Supreme Court enabling a wannabe dictator become one.
The last time judges where involved minting a dictator was in Bavaria, Germany in 1934.
you are ignorant and insane. presidents always had immunity. don't worry you have enough judges to lawfare republicans into bankruptcy. enjoy your police state.
America, if there's anything I can do to help stop your slow descent into madness please let me know. I'm here for you. Much love, a concerned neighbour.
You may be sure, that the Americans will commit to all the stupidities they can think of, plus some that are beyond imagination.:- Charles De Gaulle.
I love how this guy is clueless on every topic yet still is taken seriously by people who are even more clueless. Love it.
The New York Times!??? 🙄
“Joe, you don’t fire anyone”, and this is what happens when you don’t.
Correction: The election is 4 months from now, not 5.
Great analogy on Russia Ukraine war
Ok, that's cool, but you, Joe Biden, better get your ass together and get it together fast. Do some uppers, whatever the hell you have to do, but get your program together. The Biden team better have a seriously focused 'uppers' plan in store for Joe Biden. That's all I hav to say.
Uppers wont do you any good if you have dementia. They might give you more energy but they wont improve cognitive decline. In fact they probably would hasten that cognitive decline.
You don't that tomorrow is not promised
I would be happy to vote for Pete Buttigieg ❤❤❤
He would be an excellent candidate
Still, the best argument for Biden is Trump.
The best argument for replacing Biden is Trump
Scotus has entered the chat
I'm voting 3rd party. So ought anyone else waiting on the American Dream...buck traditional evil in favor of true popular voting...
Same here.
Same here RFK jr.
This is so simple. Swap him out and win
This feels like a soft coup. Who is running the country?
Joe Bader Biden.
"The problem with being a miner is that when you get to old and stupid and useless to do your job, they kick you out, whereas it's just the opposite with a [president]" Peter Cooke Beyond the Fringe
Kamala? I thought you were supposed to be kinda smart. Um I guess not
I think he was saying that Kamala has as much chance of winning as Biden. So…. Not very much. 😕
He's literally a vegetable...how can he possibly finish his term?
The entire debate, Trump was confabulating.