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Conduit
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 1 ก.ค. 2024
Conduit is an ag-commerce network focused on the farmer by delivering simple and sustainable solutions. We aim to maximize farmer profitability through competitive pricing, innovative logistics, and cutting-edge technology with hassle-free financing.
High Winds Around Great Lakes | Central US Significant Warm Up | Slow Moving SoCal Low = Heavy ...
... Rains/Storms | Watching Pacific NW Jet Stream Reorientation | Updated February Outlook | Regional Drought in Argentina + Better Conditions for Harvest in Brazil???Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
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Southeast Snowstorm Transitions to Record Winds in Ireland | February’s Active Winter Outlook ...
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... Moderating Temperatures | MJO Transition During while La Niña Maintains Peak in Central Pacific | IRI Forecasts through Spring 2025 | Multi-Model Analysis of Brazil Rains Next 2 WeeksBrought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Correcting Winter ’24-’25 Snow Drought Regions | Persistence v. Pattern Change (Model Battle) ...
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... Rains for SoCal | Moderating Temps Soon | New Feb Outlook | Drought Regions in Brazil Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Historic Gulf Coast Snowfall | Damaging Freeze | S CA Rainfall | Early February Transition
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Rare Louisiana Blizzard Warning | Ice/Sleet/Snow Texas to North Carolina | Arctic Air Moves East...
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... Moderating Temps Soon | Pacific Blockade | Dry Air Dominates Most of the US | Increasing GWO/AAM??? | Updated February Outlook | South American Drought Analysis NDVI Updates.Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Winter Storm Warnings TX-FL | Santa Ana Winds (50-80 mph) | Pacific Ridge Dominants, but Alaska ...
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... Temps Finally Drop | Drier Outlook for the Central US, Southwest, Western US | Updated February Forecast from the ECMWF | South American RainsBrought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Winter 24-25 Early Verification | La Niña At Peak & Soon Fading | NEW CPC Spring/Summer ’25 Forecast
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MJO Transition Impacting February Outlook | Gulf Coast Snow Forecast | Arctic Air Great Lakes Ice Concentration | Drought Outlook thru Spring | Modest Rains on Driest Regions in South AmericaBrought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Arctic Air Outbreak this Weekend, Santa Ana Winds Next Week, & Active February Midwest Forecast
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Jan 15, 2025: 50°F Warm Up in 24-Hours | Arctic Outbreak Coming | Dry Plains/West | Snow in Rockies
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... and Great Lakes | Watching Early Next Week for Southern US Winter Storm | MJO Transition Possible February Forecast | NDVI Analysis for South America and the Importance of the MJO Transition for Brazil/Argentina Summer RainsBrought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag) NDVI Data glam1.gsfc.nasa.gov/
Jan 14, 2025: High Risk for Arctic Outbreak | Very Dry West | Delayed Pattern Change - Watching...
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...Very Late January into Feb for MJO Transition to Phase 3 Teleconnection | Update on South American Rainfall Forecast Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Jan 13, 2025: 4-Days of SoCal Fire Risk | Pattern Shift Forecast Failure? | Volatile Temperatures...
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... Central US | Dry West Due to Dominant Pacific High | Will Jan-Mar Show Signs of a Typical La Niña? | Review of Post-La Niña Analogs for May-July | Drought Concerns Build in Argentina Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Jan 10, 2025: Winter Storm & Delays | La Niña Official | Arctic Air in Long Range | Cold February?
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Jan 9, 2025: CA Wildfires | Mid South Snowstorm | Active Pattern in Long Range | February Pattern
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Jan 8, 2025: Day 2 of Wildfire Risk in SoCal | Models Shift Southern US Winter Storm Track ...
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... Potentially Very Active Second Half of January Rockies to East Coast | Updated Jan 22 - February 22 ECMWF | New NMME Outlook thru Summer 2025 | NDVI in Brazil/Argentina Drought Risk Discussion Brought to you by Conduit (conduit.ag)
Special Weather Update: Jan 7, 2025: Impactful S California Windstorm & Fire Danger Likely Tonight
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Jan 7, 2025: Fire RISK in SoCal w/ Santa Ana Winds | Snow/Ice Texas to Lower MS Valley to ...
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Jan 7, 2025: Fire RISK in SoCal w/ Santa Ana Winds | Snow/Ice Texas to Lower MS Valley to ...
Jan 6, 2025: Hvy Snow in Mid-Atlantic | Arctic Air Pushes South | Late Week Winter Storm TX/NM to...
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Jan 6, 2025: Hvy Snow in Mid-Atlantic | Arctic Air Pushes South | Late Week Winter Storm TX/NM to...
Jan 3, 2025: Major Model Differences on Central US SNOW | Severe Risk on Sunday | Very Cold Air ...
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Jan 3, 2025: Major Model Differences on Central US SNOW | Severe Risk on Sunday | Very Cold Air ...
Jan 2, 2025: SNOW in Central US Followed by Arctic Intrusion | Warm West, Very Cold East ...
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Jan 2, 2025: SNOW in Central US Followed by Arctic Intrusion | Warm West, Very Cold East ...
Dec 30, 2024: Potentially Record Setting Cold Central US - East (Warm West) | Multiple Chances for..
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Dec 30, 2024: Potentially Record Setting Cold Central US - East (Warm West) | Multiple Chances for..
Dec 27, 2024: The Absent Subtropical Jet Stream (comparison to Last Winter and Winter ’15-’16) ...
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Dec 27, 2024: The Absent Subtropical Jet Stream (comparison to Last Winter and Winter ’15-’16) ...
Dec 26, 2024: Phantom Moves by the MJO | N Pacific Cools, but will the Jet Extension Dominate Jan
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Dec 26, 2024: Phantom Moves by the MJO | N Pacific Cools, but will the Jet Extension Dominate Jan
Dec 24, 2024: Santa Passes thru MJO Phase 6 AND a 200 mph Pacific Jet | GFS V. ECMWF 10-Day Outlook
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Dec 24, 2024: Santa Passes thru MJO Phase 6 AND a 200 mph Pacific Jet | GFS V. ECMWF 10-Day Outlook
Dec 23, 2024: Very Mild Air Builds In, but Early Jan Pattern Flip Coming (Cold) | Drought Expansion
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Dec 23, 2024: Very Mild Air Builds In, but Early Jan Pattern Flip Coming (Cold) | Drought Expansion
Dec 20th, 2024: Polar Vortex Disruption | S Plains Christmas Rains | Split Pacific Jet?
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Dec 20th, 2024: Polar Vortex Disruption | S Plains Christmas Rains | Split Pacific Jet?
Dec 19th, 2024: Clipper + E US Snow | PNW Atms River Onslaught | Playbook for Jan Cold
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Dec 19th, 2024: Clipper E US Snow | PNW Atms River Onslaught | Playbook for Jan Cold
Dec 18, 2024: Jet Extension Research | Very Mild Finish to 2024 | Pattern Break 2nd Week of Jan???
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Dec 18, 2024: Jet Extension Research | Very Mild Finish to 2024 | Pattern Break 2nd Week of Jan???
Dec 17, 2024: Annual Severe Stats Review | North Pac Jet Extension | Snow thru Christmas | La Niña
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Dec 17, 2024: Annual Severe Stats Review | North Pac Jet Extension | Snow thru Christmas | La Niña
Dec 16, 2024: Zonal Pacific Jet | Highly Volatile Temps + Potential for Very Warm Finish to 2024...
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Dec 16, 2024: Zonal Pacific Jet | Highly Volatile Temps Potential for Very Warm Finish to 2024...
And to Travis weather you tube channel Joe and Joe weather show, Max V, direct weather, Bobby's weather weeklies, Read my true comments here. I tell like it is without compromise. Bombshells to you all here in you tube channels. Who's correct NOW? I am. East Coast winters non-existent for many years and deceased for ever through 2030. What winter weather? Damn joke. T shirts and shorts time for us.
Fortunately, over the back side of my fence, and 200 yards East is a Steak House, my trash guys do their big dumpsters (w/big "booms") precisely 20 min before they get to my street..meaning not only does it wake me, or jog my memory every Wednesday, I have 20 min, and I start a ticker countdown in my head,..but, last Wed., here it was also 14 f w/still 8" snow, so I took it the 50 yards out to the curb in sleeping shorts, t-shirt and flip-flops..(I had no faith it'd run that day.) Unfortunately, can you imagine enduring the smell of grilling Steaks, Ribs and Chicken 6 nights a week? it's pure torture. (sigh)
THANK YOU CLIMATE CHANGE!!!!!!! CLIMATE EMERGENCY AND CLIMATE CRISIS DECLARED FOR EAST COAST USA DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND LACK OF CONSISTENT WINTER WEATHER. TO ALL YOU TUBE CHANNELS, THIS IS A CLIMATE CRISIS AND CLIMATE EMERGENCY DECLARED FOR EAST COAST USA DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE. SNOW HERE VERY RARE AND HARDLY EVER SNOW HERE ANYMORE!!!! 15-0 I TOLD YOU GUYS LONG TIME AGO. FEBRUARY THROUGH MARCH EXTREME HEAT LIKELY HERE 70S-80S AND MAYBE 90S FOR SE USA. EXPECT HIGH RISK FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE WEATHER EXTREMELY LIKELY HERE. WINTER IS OFFICIALLY OVER, HOORAY!!!!!! CLIMATE CHANGE IS OUR SAVIOR AND WE ARE SO INVINCIBLE AND PERFECT WE HAVE NOTHING TO BE WORRIED EVER AGAIN!! WINTERS NON EXISTENT FOR MANY YEARS AND SNOW SOON TO BE THING OF THE PAST. GOD BLESS CLIMATE CHANGE!!!! 😅😅😊😂. FINAL SNOW 16.5" NEW NORMAL 15 INCHES. ENJOY YOUR EARLY RECORD BREAKING SPRING WEATHER. TORNADO AND SEVERE WEATHER SEASON BEGINS NOW!!!!!🎉
Because of CLIMATE CHANGE, East Coast and Pennsylvania High risk for severe weather and tornadoes with record heat likely 70s-80s projected for East Coast February through March. Spring weather for Chambersburg pa.
Awesome video.
Winter is OFFICIALLY OVER end of January through March guarantee that blowtorch winter weather. For East Coast USA and beyond. Final snow count for Chambersburg PA:16.5". Springtime warmth NOW. HIGH RISK FOR severe weather and tornadoes here. Next 5 years huge ridge (SE RIDGE) East Coast and troughs West Coast USA through 2030 due to Climate Change. Very rare snow and winter non existent for many years NOW. Climate Change in control.
My morning was frustrating as well. Woke up to my two teenage daughters complaining about going to school and trying to stay home. Our dishwasher had a big leak overnight. One of my dogs didn't make it outside to go to the bathroom and I stepped in it, tracking it through the house (luckily on tile). Then to top it all off, the cut-off low making its way over the SW conus is not looking good for the Phx valley to get any measurable rain. Looks like our window of opportunity is later today through Wednesday afternoon? If nothing happens then, we will for sure break our record of 160 consecutive days without rain and nothing looks to help that in the extended. But life is good anyway. We are all healthy, with a roof over our heads, and food to eat!
you win. (or lose... not sure which the correct phrasing (ha!!)). Take care Kevin.
O.T., but those of us downwind from the Great Lakes have lost the ability to focus on anything but snow removal. th-cam.com/video/a9G9J-OBOko/w-d-xo.html ...especially in winter; "always respect your friendly neighborhood sanitation workers!" 😂
With respect to precipitation type, the GFS has for some time shown rain (green) mixed in with snow in places where only snow will fall. For example, in Canada, the Rockies and elsewhere. Now that the Euro shows precip type, the difference is evident.
Been there re:trash. Sometimes I catch him sometimes I don't
Thanks Eric! I really appreciate your forecast. I love starting my day by listening to you talk about the weather. Looking forward to the pattern change here in the pnw ❄️🌬️🌨️
Hey Eric. How likely or unlikely is it to see a restrengthening of La Niña going forward? Would we have to be seeing signs of it now if it were going to happen?
La Niña and El Niño events are strongest during northern hemisphere winters. This La Niña is currently at its peak and is expect to fade later in winter. The effects of the La Niña could carry into spring/summer 2025 though which has a tendency to increase the risk of drier-than-normal conditions in Central US (Plains/Midwest) and parts of the Intermountain West.
Thanks for the daily updates. It's a free meteorology 101 class and an invaluable tool for those of us who make a living outdoors...
thanks for the report, loved the bit about the depth of the great lakes, always learn something from you!!!!! hope you got the Audi done this weekend!!!!!
Didn't get the Audi done... My son wanted to watch King Kong v. Godzilla and my daughter had a speech competition. Then Sunday we went to the Illini v. Northwestern Bball game. It will be warmer soon, so I'll save the garage work for a warmer weekend.
Go Chiefs 🎉
I'm headed to KC later today... Should be a lot of happy people around.
Interesting to see the ECMWF consistently move systems faster across the U.S compared to the GFS
I know! Completely agree. It's usually the GFS that is way to fast/progressive.
It's been 195 days since it rain in las vegas that's the 2nd driest It's been on record, but little bit of good news were going to get some rain this weekend starting as early as Saturday thru Monday. My thing is are we going to see any more rain as we head into February i really hope so because this drought is going to get worse by the look of the models heading into spring 😬.
Good news on getting the ECMF snow back up. I also like the soil moisture maps. They could be a useful tool for foresters to predict first-year seedling survival in forestry in the PNW.
As always great video. Thanks for your time 😁 Hope all is well with you and Matt
South west flow yeiiiii finally ❤
I've never seen any reason whatsoever to question your forecasts- their quality is why I watch! 'Weather' however, is a planetary phenomenon where 'all' affects 'all'- a daunting task to observe and report succinctly- and your comments regarding persistent and unusual phenomena seem to encourage commentary. Please disregard them completely as called for, and *never* see them as 'critical'. Part of what I love about science generally is its fundamental reliance on natural observation, and many eyes on the subject (and/or 'remote sensing') can only lead us to better answers over time.🙂
oh!!! that comment wasn't directed at you!! Your comments are always great. No no no, I was actually inviting more comments so that I can better see things I often miss. I wish in the past I had more time to respond to comments. Your comments are always thoughtful and show deep scientific reasoning. Sorry for the confusion!
Have a great weekend Eric. Really appreciate all your efforts.
WINTER IS OFFICIALLY OVER END OF JANUARY THROUGH MARCH DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE EAST COAST EXTREME HEAT LIKELY
Is not over is just a different pattern .
Easy on the drugs my guy
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
thanks for the update, enjoy the weekend!!!
Take care Dan! I'll be changing the plugs with my son on my Audi this weekend. I picked up this old Audi A5 with a 2.0 Turbo and Quattro with a 6-speed manual to drive around to all my meetings (had to give up company vehicle when I left Nutrien). It's a blast to drive...
@@ConduitAg that is awesome, Iwas just thinking it might be time to change oil on our lawn mower today!!!!!!
Permanent pattern change late January through March guarantee that blowtorch weather coming soon for East Coast USA and troughs West Coast through 2030!!!! Climate Change NOW EAST COAST WINTERS NON EXISTENT FOR MANY YEARS AND WILL NEVER EXPERIENCE ANY TRUE CLASSIC EAST COAST WINTERS EVER AGAIN ALSO DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE!!!! What winter?? Next 5 winters same thing new normal blowtorch winters for many more years. Too bad Biden regime never have chance to declare climate crisis and Climate emergency for East Coast USA DUE to CLIMATE CHANGE!!!! Very rare snow ❄️❄️ here soon to be a thing of the past unlike back in the day when we have real snow events here and TRUE CLASSIC EAST COAST USA WINTERS. My official winter outlook for East Coast: extreme heat likely 70s-80s and carefree near snow free winters non-existent for many more years huge ridge East Coast and troughs West Coast, new normal 😢😮
Thank you for sharing the map showing the system moving from North America to Ireland. Its impact is amazing.
things going well in your part of the world?
@ConduitAg Yes. This is my 4th winter in southern Alberta(originally from Southern Ontario, which I just returned from and it was unusually cold), and this one is like the first one - 2022. Mild, very sunny, and with little to no precipitation, so far. There are usually a few exceptionally cold days in December or January but there haven't been any during those months. The Canadian Rocky Mountains haven't been receiving a lot of snow either. Not since 2021. Thank you for asking and for your excellent reports.
FINAL SNOW COUNT FOR CHAMBERSBURG PA: 16.5". FINAL!!!!!!!! SO CALLED WINTER GRAND FINALE FOR EAST COAST USA 2 BRIEF COLD SHOTS. THEN FEBRUARY THROUGH MARCH EXTREME HEAT LIKELY HERE IN CHAMBERSBURG PA. 70S-80S SURE BETS!!!! CLIMATE CHANGE NOW IN CHARGE. VERY LONG SUMMERS AND VERY BRIEF WINTERS. VERY RARE SNOW HERE. NEW NORMAL 15 INCHES. -8" BELOW AVERAGE. HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES LIKELY. NEXT 5 YEARS HUGE RIDGE EAST COAST USA AND TROUGHS WEST COAST THROUGH 2030!! HARDLY EVER SNOW HERE AGAIN DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE; EAST COAST WILL NEVER EXPERIENCE ANY TRUE CLASSIC EAST COAST WINTERS EVER AGAIN!! BLAME ON CLIMATE CHANGE 😮😢. Notes for all you tube channels.
Morning Eric, as always I appreciate your forecasts.
Hmmmm. Seems like the CLIMATE is CHANGEing.
😂😂
I used to love Matt's Thursday night western states videos. That would be cool to bring back
EAST COAST WINTERS OVER OFFICIALLY END OF JANUARY THROUGH MARCH EXTREME HEAT LIKELY HERE. NEXT 5 YEARS HUGE RIDGE EAST COAST AND TROUGHS WEST COAST USA THROUGH 2030!!!! 15-0!! VERY RARE SNOW HERE IN CHAMBERSBURG PA. HiGH RISK FOR EAST COAST SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES HERE IN CHAMBERSBURG PA AND HAGERSTOWN MD! GRAND FINALE FOR WINTER SNOW IS: 16.5" WHAT WINTER???????? HARDLY EVER SNOW HERE AGAIN DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE, SERIOUS THREAT TO OUR EXISTENCE FOR SNOW LOVERS. BLAME ON CLIMATE CHANGE!😢😢
Climate Change in control and intensifying East Coast winters non-existent for many years NOW. Extreme heat likely 70s-80s projected for East Coast February through March guarantee that blowtorch weather coming due to Climate Change
ADIOS winter storm opportunities for ever February through March extreme heat likely 70s-80s for East Coast 😅😢
BECAUSE of CLIMATE CHANGE EAST COAST USA WINTERS NON EXISTENT FOR MANY YEARS AND WILL NEVER EXPERIENCE ANY TRUE CLASSIC EAST COAST WINTERS EVER AGAIN ALSO due to Climate Change
Mesa, AZ .....As of today, the consecutive days without measurable rainfall is at 154 which puts us in 2nd place. Record is 160 consecutive days. Rain is forecast for sometime between Sunday night thru Tuesday? Will we break it? The suspense is killing me!
Just FYI, those plumes of smoke in Arizona are from prescribed fires. One near Flagstaff and the other near Show Low.
12z GFS has jumped on board with storms getting further South into Central Sierras around the 4th! Will need to see if the next few runs agree. When we get stuck in patterns like this I always compare the previous 3 runs with the most current, specifically watching from 240hrs until the end of the run. The last few days each run has been widely different in each of those time frames. Have you ever thought of doing a 4 panel showing each of the previous runs, or 2 panel for the ECMWF similar to your GFS vs ECMWF? After asking you about accuracy of the MJO a similar multi panel slide showing previous models would highlight the trend as well. Not that you are short on things to do! Love your work Eric and Matt!
Matt does a great job, your plan to strengthen the service delivery by his inclusion makes a lot of sense.
Non- Meteorological Thermodynamics; anomalous heat in the western Atlantic caused by the AMOC 'failing to perform' calls forth an atmospheric response- the persistent low over high- which clogs zonal Continental flows like a fat man halfway down a ladder. Nothin's getting past it, up or down, so it begins to direct in a way it never has, and it may be our 'new normal' depending on the season. It's just a thought...🤔
I appreciate both of you guys! You truly are the dynamic duo of agricultural weather forecasting!
thanks for the update, you are correct Matt and you make a very good team!!!!!!!
Google AI says says it's the driest year EVER recorded for this time of year here in Southern Calif. with only 0.3 inches of rain from October 1, 2024 to January 23, 2025 at LAX (airport) which is just 20 mikes from me and I've lived here for 70 years so I notice it. There's virtually no snow in the mountains around the LA basin
it is winter time mother fucker
Enjoy the pics 😊
Gee, thank goodness- at least it isn't global warming! 🙄🤨🤐 RIGHT NOW might be a teachable moment for those who don't understand 'Rossby Waves', before the press releases from 'liquid gold' vendors flood the airwaves and broadbands.
thanks for the update, always enjoy the pictures of historic weather events!!!!!!!!
And if MJO phase 3 and 4 then null space and reemerges to phase 7 and 8 agreed? We restart again; THIS TIME FINALLY more winter storm opportunities for the EAST COAST AND SNOW chances OR extreme heat likely 70s-80s for February through March!?!😮😅😊😂
Have been in this pattern for the last 3 months. It's time for a significant pattern change. Tired of the dry dry dry patterns we have endured for the last several years here in the Eastern Ozarks of Southeast Missouri. Hope February is promising. Won't hold my breath. Two good snows here don't cut it if dry weather presists afterward. Anyway Good Forecast.
Because of CLIMATE CHANGE AND MJO phase 3 and 4 then null space means spring weather is likely 70s-80s projected for East Coast USA February through March guarantee that blowtorch weather. EVERY winter outlook is a blowtorch winter for many years NOW. Very rare snow and winter weather. Climate Change in control intensifying. Hardly EVER snow here anymore. "Winters" non existent for many years. Very brief winter weather and longer summers. Next 5 years huge ridge East Coast USA and troughs West Coast through 2030. New normal since 2019. So called winter outlook officially OVER end of January through March guarantee that. Climate Change MJO PHASE 3 and 4 adios winter for ever.
😂
Was just reading an article about how in 1899 the mississppi river froze from its headwaters to the end. Only time in recorded history that its done that. Strong polar vortex was the cause. I can't imagine how cold that was and for how long.