Hi Eric and Matt, I enjoy your posts. In my previous job as state climatologist, I was never happy with the soil moisture models' performance in Illinois (at 13:40). I believe they have an inherent dry bias. The reason is that they use the only USDA SCAN site in the state to calibrate the model and it's in sandy soil (Mason County). Why USDA located the sole soil moisture site in the most unrepresentative agricultural soil in Illinois is beyond me. Anyway, as you can imagine, it's causing the NLDAS model, which drives the SPoRT model, to underestimate the water-holding capacity of our better soils.
Any potential for an arctic air outbreak in the pacific northwest sometime in January? I'm in Salem, OR 40 miles south of Portland and really want to see some snow.
Any chance the year-to-date chill portions will soon be fixed on the website/city forecast pages? It's very useful for those of us working with fruit trees requiring chilling!
I thought you said phases 7 and 8 of mjo mean colder west coast and warmer east coast that’s why east coast been cooler then average cause in phases 1,2 and 3 now all of a sudden your saying it means extreme cold for eastern US?
Nothing going on in Ohio only going to be chilly for a couple of days then 50 by Monday you guys keep talking about it going to be cold in January sure don't look like much to me looks like rain again .
Hi Eric and Matt, I enjoy your posts. In my previous job as state climatologist, I was never happy with the soil moisture models' performance in Illinois (at 13:40). I believe they have an inherent dry bias. The reason is that they use the only USDA SCAN site in the state to calibrate the model and it's in sandy soil (Mason County). Why USDA located the sole soil moisture site in the most unrepresentative agricultural soil in Illinois is beyond me. Anyway, as you can imagine, it's causing the NLDAS model, which drives the SPoRT model, to underestimate the water-holding capacity of our better soils.
I was actually helping fight the fire last night near Broken Bow. We need some moisture.
thanks for the report, have a great weekend!!!!!!
Any potential for an arctic air outbreak in the pacific northwest sometime in January? I'm in Salem, OR 40 miles south of Portland and really want to see some snow.
I need snow here in southwest Missouri at least 1 inch 😢
Any chance the year-to-date chill portions will soon be fixed on the website/city forecast pages? It's very useful for those of us working with fruit trees requiring chilling!
Don't worry it will be warm going into February might get 3 or 4 days of chilly weather in January .
Where are you talking about? San Diego?
I thought you said phases 7 and 8 of mjo mean colder west coast and warmer east coast that’s why east coast been cooler then average cause in phases 1,2 and 3 now all of a sudden your saying it means extreme cold for eastern US?
Nothing going on in Ohio only going to be chilly for a couple of days then 50 by Monday you guys keep talking about it going to be cold in January sure don't look like much to me looks like rain again .