12z GFS has jumped on board with storms getting further South into Central Sierras around the 4th! Will need to see if the next few runs agree. When we get stuck in patterns like this I always compare the previous 3 runs with the most current, specifically watching from 240hrs until the end of the run. The last few days each run has been widely different in each of those time frames. Have you ever thought of doing a 4 panel showing each of the previous runs, or 2 panel for the ECMWF similar to your GFS vs ECMWF? After asking you about accuracy of the MJO a similar multi panel slide showing previous models would highlight the trend as well. Not that you are short on things to do! Love your work Eric and Matt!
Mesa, AZ .....As of today, the consecutive days without measurable rainfall is at 154 which puts us in 2nd place. Record is 160 consecutive days. Rain is forecast for sometime between Sunday night thru Tuesday? Will we break it? The suspense is killing me!
Google AI says says it's the driest year EVER recorded for this time of year here in Southern Calif. with only 0.3 inches of rain from October 1, 2024 to January 23, 2025 at LAX (airport) which is just 20 mikes from me and I've lived here for 70 years so I notice it. There's virtually no snow in the mountains around the LA basin
Non- Meteorological Thermodynamics; anomalous heat in the western Atlantic caused by the AMOC 'failing to perform' calls forth an atmospheric response- the persistent low over high- which clogs zonal Continental flows like a fat man halfway down a ladder. Nothin's getting past it, up or down, so it begins to direct in a way it never has, and it may be our 'new normal' depending on the season. It's just a thought...🤔
I appreciate both of you guys! You truly are the dynamic duo of agricultural weather forecasting!
I used to love Matt's Thursday night western states videos. That would be cool to bring back
12z GFS has jumped on board with storms getting further South into Central Sierras around the 4th! Will need to see if the next few runs agree. When we get stuck in patterns like this I always compare the previous 3 runs with the most current, specifically watching from 240hrs until the end of the run. The last few days each run has been widely different in each of those time frames. Have you ever thought of doing a 4 panel showing each of the previous runs, or 2 panel for the ECMWF similar to your GFS vs ECMWF? After asking you about accuracy of the MJO a similar multi panel slide showing previous models would highlight the trend as well. Not that you are short on things to do! Love your work Eric and Matt!
thanks for the update, you are correct Matt and you make a very good team!!!!!!!
Just FYI, those plumes of smoke in Arizona are from prescribed fires. One near Flagstaff and the other near Show Low.
Matt does a great job, your plan to strengthen the service delivery by his inclusion makes a lot of sense.
Mesa, AZ .....As of today, the consecutive days without measurable rainfall is at 154 which puts us in 2nd place. Record is 160 consecutive days. Rain is forecast for sometime between Sunday night thru Tuesday? Will we break it? The suspense is killing me!
Google AI says says it's the driest year EVER recorded for this time of year here in Southern Calif. with only 0.3 inches of rain from October 1, 2024 to January 23, 2025 at LAX (airport) which is just 20 mikes from me and I've lived here for 70 years so I notice it. There's virtually no snow in the mountains around the LA basin
ADIOS winter storm opportunities for ever February through March extreme heat likely 70s-80s for East Coast 😅😢
Non- Meteorological Thermodynamics; anomalous heat in the western Atlantic caused by the AMOC 'failing to perform' calls forth an atmospheric response- the persistent low over high- which clogs zonal Continental flows like a fat man halfway down a ladder. Nothin's getting past it, up or down, so it begins to direct in a way it never has, and it may be our 'new normal' depending on the season. It's just a thought...🤔
Hmmmm. Seems like the CLIMATE is CHANGEing.
😂😂