Dec 24, 2024: Santa Passes thru MJO Phase 6 AND a 200 mph Pacific Jet | GFS V. ECMWF 10-Day Outlook

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 40

  • @aaronjones1469
    @aaronjones1469 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Awesome😊👍 video Eric. Great job. Hope, you and your family have a wonderful Christmas.

  • @danl9334
    @danl9334 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Merry Christmas to you and your family!!!!!!

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      You too, Dan!! Got a new tool organizer system for my garage! Got some work to do on my old Audi this week. Later this summer, I will tear it all apart to replace the timing chain tensioner (remove front clip, radiator, intercooler, etc) and then replace the tensioner. The OEM part wasn't built well and it's a common failure point. Should be a fun project!

  • @CP-012
    @CP-012 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Merry Christmas to everyone and have a fantastic New Year!

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Same to you!!

  • @aaronjones1469
    @aaronjones1469 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Awesome video.

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Thank you, Aaron! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year

    • @aaronjones1469
      @aaronjones1469 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@ConduitAg Your welcome. Same to you as well. Merry Christmas.

  • @jdsmaplesyrup6467
    @jdsmaplesyrup6467 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Merry Christmas to you and your family!

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Than you! Same to you!

  • @Sanrio_forever._.
    @Sanrio_forever._. 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Thanks for your time Merry Christmas to the Conduit family!!

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Thank you!! Same to you!

  • @christopherkane2842
    @christopherkane2842 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Merry Christmas Eric and families🎄🎅🧑🏻‍🎄🤶

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Same to you! I'm just glad we are all healthy again. Getting sick twice between Thanksgiving and Christmas was rare for us. Hope that's all we have for the rest of winter!

  • @andymeyer9876
    @andymeyer9876 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Merry Christmas Eric

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Merry Christmas, Andy!

  • @kevinnoah-i4o
    @kevinnoah-i4o 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Happy Hanukkah to everyone!!!❤

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Hope 2025 starts off well for you, Kevin!

  • @christopherkane2842
    @christopherkane2842 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Oh by the way I’ve been on the Big island of Vancouver er for 22 years and I cannot remember a more consistently wet, windy & bizarrely mild year especially the last 5-7 days had a 15c!
    Whistler mountain has received > 350 cm of snow ❄️ & I know New Mexico got hit early w Colorado opening up in early November. I thought for sure we’d get and colder December‼️
    South coast expecting 6-8 feet next few days.
    Mud slides on Sea to Sky highway taking out homes & did N Van last month.
    Reservoirs almost full. Kinda normal by end of year.
    Expecting an another juicy windstorm tonight-better cook turkey tonight⁉️

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Agreed - a lot of mild Pacific air continues to overtake the region but it's loaded with water.

  • @Robert-i4r6n
    @Robert-i4r6n 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    MERRY CHRISTMAS TO YOU AND YOUR FAMILY ERIC SNODGRASS MY Friend from Chambersburg PA. Enjoy your time with your family. Still hoping for much snowier winter outlook for East Coast USA OR no way Eric?? Santa Claus is very busy with Rudolph leading 🎉🎉😊❤

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Merry Christmas, Robbie! this cold snap coming in early January could really increase your chances for more snow.

  • @michaelrust7614
    @michaelrust7614 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Merry Christmas, 🌲Eric and Family. I, too, like Weather Underground. In fact, my weather station is part of their system. 😊

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      WeatherUnderground was the first digital/online weather forecast system that in my opinion, it's one of the best!

  • @paulpasman9341
    @paulpasman9341 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Still hoping for mild weather 😊

    • @hikerJohn
      @hikerJohn 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      That's what we have here in Southern California

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Southern California has been too mild and dry. We really need to see the subtropical jet stream to set up at some point to deliver moisture to the whole region (Mexico included)

  • @thomasroever1354
    @thomasroever1354 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    You asked where I live. I live in the St. Francios Mts in Southeast Missouri Ozarks. Getting some much needed rain but the middle of January is what worries me. Cold dry. When will we see a good snow here ?

    • @thomasroever1354
      @thomasroever1354 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Merry Christmas to you and your family.

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Thank you, Thomas! Merry Christmas to you too!

  • @wd31981
    @wd31981 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    What value is the the soil moisture % map being calculated off of? Is there a seasonal component to that or is that a calculation based on % of a fully saturated profile and therefore a constant value to compare against? If it has a seasonal component, is there a bias currently due to normal complete saturation during Dec-Mar in many places in the Ohio Valley and IL? S IL has water standing in many fields but the area still shows up worryingly dry.

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Those soil moisture maps are modeled by NASA. There are several different measuring systems that are used, but creating a gridded soil moisture product requires additional soil moisture modeling to complete the map. It is not a perfect tool and the resolution is too coarse to capture the highly variable soil types. For example, around where I live, there are fields that will have standing water in them after the smallest amount of rain, but just a mile away, the soils will be bone dry. The highly variable nature of the soil type and structure are not well represented in that map I show. So I generally look at it for macroscale issues and then verify by looking at river gauges. Great comment and question!

  • @kevinnoah-i4o
    @kevinnoah-i4o 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Did the Air Force shoot down Santa 🎅???

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Not sure they can catch him...

  • @floydblandston108
    @floydblandston108 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    AO is looking verrrry wobbly......if it crashes as shown, all we need is the drop to fall over North America for some really cold weather.

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I have not bee impressed with the North Atlantic pressure patterns this Fall/Winter. Until we see a really solid signal of the -AO/-NAO I think we will struggle to see something significant go up the coast. Both indexes are trying to drop now - fingers crossed that we get a big Nor'easter.

  • @hikerJohn
    @hikerJohn 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Do Americans know what Boxing Day is? I thought that was a British and dominion thing.

    • @ConduitAg
      @ConduitAg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Ha! Well, I am only two generations removed from England. My grandfather was the first to be born in the states and we have a lot of family in England. Wish I got to see them more.