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Laura Forczyk
United States
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 26 ม.ค. 2016
I help you navigate the space sector so you can find your place within it. With my two decades of experience in the space sector, I strive to grow the space ecosystem and I invite you to join me.
I'm the Founder and Executive Director of space consulting firm Astralytical. We guide businesses, organizations, and government entities to grow in space strategically with customized reports, market research and customer insights, training, and advisory services. Visit www.astralytical.com.
I'm also the only space career coach guiding high-level successful professionals to pursue their space ambitions and reach their career goals. Visit www.yourspacecareer.com.
I'm the Founder and Executive Director of space consulting firm Astralytical. We guide businesses, organizations, and government entities to grow in space strategically with customized reports, market research and customer insights, training, and advisory services. Visit www.astralytical.com.
I'm also the only space career coach guiding high-level successful professionals to pursue their space ambitions and reach their career goals. Visit www.yourspacecareer.com.
Why small lunar landers matter
SpaceX launched Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost Mission 1 and ispace's Hakuto-R Mission 2 to the Moon on the same Falcon 9. The landers have different origins, different objectives, and different payloads, but the same overall mission: creating a sustainable lunar economy. Will either of these missions and the upcoming small lunar lander missions succeed in their goals? I believe some will. Success or failure, these two missions will set the tone for smaller lunar missions in 2025 as the new administration decides on NASA's future direction.
Thumbnail and in-video credit: NASA, Firefly Aerospace, ispace, SpaceX
Blue Ghost Mission 1 to the Moon: fireflyspace.com/missions/blue-ghost-mission-1/
HAKUTO-R Missions: ispace-inc.com/m1
ispace Announces Mission 2 with Unveiling of Micro Rover Design: ispace-inc.com/news-en/?p=4954
NASA Selects Companies to Collect Lunar Resources for Artemis Demonstrations: www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-selects-companies-to-collect-lunar-resources-for-artemis-demonstrations/
Grow your business in space: astralytical.com/
Follow me at:
x.com/LauraForczyk
lauraforczyk
lauraforczykspace
www.linkedin.com/in/lauraforczyk/
Thumbnail and in-video credit: NASA, Firefly Aerospace, ispace, SpaceX
Blue Ghost Mission 1 to the Moon: fireflyspace.com/missions/blue-ghost-mission-1/
HAKUTO-R Missions: ispace-inc.com/m1
ispace Announces Mission 2 with Unveiling of Micro Rover Design: ispace-inc.com/news-en/?p=4954
NASA Selects Companies to Collect Lunar Resources for Artemis Demonstrations: www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-selects-companies-to-collect-lunar-resources-for-artemis-demonstrations/
Grow your business in space: astralytical.com/
Follow me at:
x.com/LauraForczyk
lauraforczyk
lauraforczykspace
www.linkedin.com/in/lauraforczyk/
มุมมอง: 939
วีดีโอ
Sustaining Record-Breaking Launches from the Eastern Range
มุมมอง 38921 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา
The 45th Space Launch Delta has been busy breaking launch records year after year. How do they plan to sustain such a high and ever-increasing launch cadence from the multi-user spaceport, especially when SpaceX shows no sign of stopping and newer vehicles are becoming operational? Colonial Meredith Beg, Vice Commander of Space Operations, discussed how to manage processes and people at the Nat...
NASA punt on Mars Sample Return decision: Starship or JPL?
มุมมอง 2.3K16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา
Today NASA chose two options for its Mars Sample Return program, punting on the final decision for the new President and Congress to decide. Traditional JPL leadership, expensive and well done? Or the unproven SpaceX Starship or another commercial capability? Although the delay in a final architecture is frustrating, I believe this was the best move for the current NASA leadership to leave thei...
Is the Moon a distraction on the way to Mars?
มุมมอง 3.5Kวันที่ผ่านมา
Elon Musk recently tweeted that Starship will not be stopping at the Moon on the way to Mars, that the Moon is a distraction. Taken out of context, this has led some to wonder whether Artemis will cancel its humans to the Moon direction. I explain what Elon Musk really meant and why there are benefits to both the Moon-to-Mars and the Mars Direct routes. Elon Musk: “We’re going straight to Mars....
How many times SpaceX will realistically launch in 2025
มุมมอง 1.4Kวันที่ผ่านมา
Will SpaceX really launch Falcon 180 times in 2025? Elon Musk and Gwynne Shotwell say so. I think that may be an upper limit. I look at the numbers and break down how many Falcons we should really expect SpaceX to fly in this year and why Falcon's days are numbered. Correction: I said the percentage increase of launches between 2022 and 2023 was 87%, but it's actually 97%. Thumbnail & in-video ...
Starship refueling and other 2025 space predictions
มุมมอง 3K14 วันที่ผ่านมา
A realistic look ahead at what the space sector will achieve in 2025, cutting through the hype to look at the hardware. My 2024 predictions crystal ball was foggy, but I take a look at those and make some new predictions for NASA's Artemis program, Commercial Lunar Payload Services, launches for SpaceX, ULA Vulcan, Blue Origin New Glenn, and Rocket Lab Neutron, Sierra Space's Dream Chaser, comm...
How bad clients will save my space company $$$
มุมมอง 55414 วันที่ผ่านมา
Client theft in 2024 will save my space consulting and coaching company big bucks in 2025 and the coming years. I give a 2024 Q4 update and year overview of what it was like running a small space company this year. Changing are coming in 2025 to scale the company more efficiently while increasing quality and value. I'm ignoring common business development and sales advice to make my company mor...
Why NASA is changing commercial space station plans
มุมมอง 3.6K21 วันที่ผ่านมา
Axiom Space announced today plans to accelerate its commercial space station by changing how it assembles Axiom Station and help NASA prepare to deorbit the International Space Station. Earlier this week, NASA published its Low Earth Orbit Microgravity Strategy which outlines why NASA wants a "continuous heartbeat" in space (and what that even means) with a diversity of commercial LEO destinati...
Why US spacepower is on the rise
มุมมอง 1Kหลายเดือนก่อน
Coming to you from the Spacepower Conference in Orlando, I discuss what I'm hearing about the direction of US national security space missions in the next administration, as well as presumed next NASA Administrator Jared Isaacson's remarks on the future of the space industry. Thank you to the Space Force Association for the invitation. Yes, the audio sucks because my new microphone is on backor...
What NASA should do about Artemis
มุมมอง 3.1Kหลายเดือนก่อน
NASA announced yet another delay to its Artemis lunar exploration initiative, a troubled, delayed, and expensive program in its current form. I give advice to the upcoming new Trump Administration and presumed next NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman on what I think NASA should do to get Artemis and lunar science back on track. Thumbnail and in-video credits: NASA, SpaceX, ESA, Axiom, Blue Origin...
New proposed NASA Administrator surprises us all!
มุมมอง 7Kหลายเดือนก่อน
Jared Isaacman is intended to be the nominee for the next NASA Administrator, to the surprise of most of the space community. I look into Jared's views on specific NASA human exploration missions, discuss the Senate confirmation process, and speculate what directions NASA might focus on under Jared Isaacman and the Trump Administration. My studio is only half set up after my move. Still to do: ...
I'm Back - on the Space Coast - with 6 kids!
มุมมอง 916หลายเดือนก่อน
Did you miss me? I'm giving you all a Q3 update on my small space consulting business, my move back to Brevard County, Florida (AKA the Space Coast), and the birth of my 6th baby. I've missed you all and will be making more space analysis videos soon! In-video image & video credit: National Park Service/Anthony Peritore, Iridium Spacepower 2024: ussfa.org/spacepower-2024/ Discount code LAURA10 ...
Landing Starship HLS safely by understanding plume surface interactions
มุมมอง 7K3 หลายเดือนก่อน
Landing large lunar landers such as SpaceX's Starship HLS and Blue Origin's Blue Moon is going to be risky until we better understand and can account for plume surface interactions. How the gas from rocket engines interacts with regolith will determine how we proceed with large landers and permanent infrastructure on the Moon or Mars. From NASA's Artemis III to human settlements on Mars, plume ...
When and how to regulate commercial human spaceflight
มุมมอง 9103 หลายเดือนก่อน
The "learning period" for US commercial human spaceflight regulations is set to expire January 1, 2025. Will it be extended, should it be extended, and what regulations should we expect from the FAA? I argue the moratorium is likely to be extended, but we should still think ahead to when the FAA is working with Congress and the commercial spaceflight industry to regulate spaceflight participant...
Who will come close to competing with SpaceX launches?
มุมมอง 2.9K3 หลายเดือนก่อน
SpaceX Falcon 9 is the workhorse launcher of the world, on track to launch well over 100 times in 2024. Other launchers are ramping up or in development. A couple companies you wouldn't expect have very ambitious schedules for 2025. I take a look at the numbers and evaluate which, if any, can compete with SpaceX any time soon. Thumbnail background image credit: SpaceX In-video image credit: Spa...
Updates on NASA's transition from ISS to commercial space stations
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Updates on NASA's transition from ISS to commercial space stations
Who rescues private astronauts on commercial missions?
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Who rescues private astronauts on commercial missions?
The future of commercial EVA spacewalks
มุมมอง 1.3K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
The future of commercial EVA spacewalks
Was Polaris Dawn's commercial EVA legal under international treaty?
มุมมอง 9K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Was Polaris Dawn's commercial EVA legal under international treaty?
Record number of people in space! Should there be billionaires?
มุมมอง 1.9K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Record number of people in space! Should there be billionaires?
Starship test flight 5 delayed until November due to FAA regulations
มุมมอง 2.9K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Starship test flight 5 delayed until November due to FAA regulations
Commercial missions to Mars could be as soon as 2026
มุมมอง 1.3K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Commercial missions to Mars could be as soon as 2026
The future of Boeing Starliner after it lands - or doesn't
มุมมอง 2K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
The future of Boeing Starliner after it lands - or doesn't
Starlink at risk threatens agricultural industry in Brazil
มุมมอง 4.7K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Starlink at risk threatens agricultural industry in Brazil
Is the future of spaceports sea launch?
มุมมอง 1.3K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
Is the future of spaceports sea launch?
Legit science on Blue Origin suborbital flight
มุมมอง 8654 หลายเดือนก่อน
Legit science on Blue Origin suborbital flight
SpaceX booster landings have changed our expectations about failure
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SpaceX booster landings have changed our expectations about failure
NASA's Most Expensive SLS Mobile Launcher: $2.7 billion!
มุมมอง 3.9K4 หลายเดือนก่อน
NASA's Most Expensive SLS Mobile Launcher: $2.7 billion!
Great video, Laura...👍 Regarding _Dream Chaser..._ *I ❤️ LIFTING BODIES*
just stumbled on this channel... so, so interesting! :-)
@@jameslewis1960 Thanks!
Thanks for covering this, I've often wondered how much effort and attention is necessary from Eastern Range personnel and infrastructure to support the incredible increase in SpaceX Falcon 9 launches in recent years. Like you said, the Falcon 9 launch cadence should eventually decrease once Starship starts picking up the Starlink launch load, but then Moon and Mars missions will surely increase with Starship.
Thanks! I feel like we take some things for granted, such as the range operations, and I'm glad I was able to learn more about it. It really will be interesting to see how Starship changes things.
love this angle, thanks.
Very interesting subject matter and good to hear modernisation is being thought about.
I'm going to be very excited to learn the results of the Blue Ghost plume analysis. SpaceX is designing a special thruster arrangement for the HLA Starship Lunar lander, because of an unverified assumption of how much regolith the Raptor engines would otherwise scatter during landings and launches on unprepared surfaces on the Moon. I wonder if SpaceX might change the design based on the results, perhaps even go back to just using the standard Raptors? Thank you for this excellent video!
Real data will inform hardware and procedures, so I would bet that larger landers (Starship and Blue Moon both) will be very interested in the data.
Thanks, Laura for your clearly understandable talks.
Thank you!
We need these small landers because these landers become more capable and in the end they take over the lunar “base”.
It's not the size that matters, but how you land it
Ha!
🚀 🌕
This is great, I'm excited for everything space including China's program 👍👍
Me too!
Thank you for the wonderful breakdown on the mission. I had forgotten about going up last night! Watching your footage was great way end video!
Thanks, I'm glad you enjoyed it!
Great to see Blue Ghost and Hakuto-R launch. There's a special excitement for any Moon landing and I'll be keeping my fingers crossed for both these missions when the time comes.
Can't wait to see where this goes.
Me too!
I have a question about these CLPS lunar landers: In Dr. Robert Zubrin's original "Moon Direct", he proposed a small-ish lunar lander that he called a Lunar Exploration Vehicle (LEV), propelled by a hydrolox engine capable of a 6.1 km/sec delta-vee. I'm not completely certain but it seemed like this LEV was actually two modules: the base with the landing legs, avionics, propulsion and presumably tankage would be the first module. This first module could also serve as a cargo module, if I understood what Zubrin was proposing. The first module could haul ten tons from low Earth orbit to the lunar surface, and presumably return to Earth orbit once the cargo was unloaded. I assume the ten-ton figure included the fuel in the first module's fuel tanks. The second module was essentially a pilot-house: a crew cabin to carry astronauts, their spacesuits and their essentials. If I understood Zubrin correctly, the pilot house would weigh about two tons, which would allow for a maximum of eight tons in the fuel tanks. Now here's my question: are any of these CLPS landers capable of what Zubrin seemed to propose? Or could they evolve into that kind of craft? Space News Op-ed | "Lunar Gateway or Moon Direct?" by Robert Zubrin -- April 17, 2019 spacenews.com/op-ed-lunar-gateway-or-moon-direct/ "Moon Direct: A Cost-Effective Plan to Enable Human Lunar Exploration" undated whitepaper by Robert Zubrin nextgen.marssociety.org/presentation/MoonDirectPaper_RobertZubrin_05-24-28.pdf
None of these small landers have life support systems, but all of them have what you describe in the first module. I can't see why any of them wouldn't be able to evolve into it.
If spacecraft now on Mars have contaminated the planet with Earth microbes then since in that case we shall never know whether life that is definitely from Mars exists, then there is no point in a Mars sample return if the goal is to establish whether there is Martian life or not.
cant understand you, put the mic next to your mouth.
great video Laura but next time do the video maybe outside of the loud crowd
@MrTimetravler i just muted the noise and turned on captions.
cant hear you over the crowd. please do some audio processing to isolate your speech.
Laura, epic content! keep em coming, please and thank you!!
Thank you!
When governments put there hand out to collect money it turns into a shitshow. Yes, paying for the usage if fine BUT once (and it always happens) the taxation money arrives it start being moved sideways on pet projects that have nothing to do with launching rockets. When I hear "SpaceX should pay because they can afford it" It's the same old story about how can we milk the cow to cover our wastage. SpaceX is spending a fortune in Florida, should they triple the cost of government launches to cover the cost of upcoming taxation too?
My understanding is that these fees are directly related to launch costs. But I'm unable to find any specific information out there about it.
You have a far better understanding of the space industry as a whole than I and that's why I'm excited to see you've uploaded a new show to your channel 😊😊 I'll bet you anything you like that what they want is a piece of the SpaceX pie not just the cost recovery. There's a private rocket launch facility that has been heavily restricted once political and social ideology got involved and that facility could easily be expanded to handle everything but the launches needed to be launched from the west coast. The only reason they need to launch from Florida is because today special intrest groups choke growth and development.
I like you Laura but its hard to hear you with all the background noise
🚀 🌌
Awesome
You are making so much sense. Found out about this channel today, and I've just been binging your videos. I think this channel's growth will surprise you this year ;)
Thank you, and welcome! I appreciate the kind words.
I really hope the science isn't sacrificed for ego. The future is watching us.
This protectionism towards contamination is going to be a Bane of Existence ! I can already imagine some radical extremists trying to hault all humans progress over a few microbes! Billions of years of micro meteoroids isn't enough?
Great video I was so behind this week and now I am all caught up. Subscribed!
@@spacewithspo Thank you, and welcome!
I think the Martian environment would be the perfect place to test my new spacecraft design of a metal sphere filled with an array of gyroscopes providing lift (and the sample containers of course) that is surrounded by a large horizontal spinning disk to provide the force to keep it level. Instead of the roar of explosive rockets it would just emit an oscillating humming noise as it ascends through the Martian atmosphere as if suspended on an invisible string. All it needs is a good name but I'm sure someone at NASA will think of something.
Moonites😂
SpaceX intends to land five Starships on Mars in 2027 using its own funding, which means it will be able to deliver many *tons* of material to the Martian surface. That means that a Mars Sample Return Mission does not have to worry about how to get to the Martian surface. Just pay SpaceX for a rideshare. The MSRM wants to land near the samples already dropped by the Rovers. Then the MSRM does not need its own launch, and the capability to get all the way from the Earth to Mars. It just needs enough thrust to lift off Mars and rendezvous with the ESA orbiter. The Starships landing on Mars in 2027 will not have enough fuel to take off and return to Earth. They will carry equipment to manufacture fuel. When the next squadron arrives in 2029 they will refuel from the depot and fly back to Earth. Why could the MSRM not simply deliver the samples to the Starships and let SpaceX deliver them back to Earth. Where is the requirement for over $5B? If they really want to land themselves Starship could release them into low Martian orbit before initiating its own landing. On the biological hazard I agree that this needs to be seriously considered before we land humans on Mars. All life on Earth is the survivors from multiple extinction events. And there is life at places on Earth that are more hostile than some places on Mars. I therefore suggest that H. G. Wells was actually right when he wrote "The War of the Worlds" in 1897. Once Martian life competes with Terrestrial life it will be wiped out. And 60% of all of the cells in a human body are bacteria. We cannot live without those bacteria.
Sending one Starship to Mars in 2 years time is a fantasy, never mind 5!
There is no place on Earth that is more hostile than any place on Mars. Antarctica is a garden of Eden and a paradise compared with Mars.
Great video Laura!!! Keep up the great content. ❤
@@DonaldMovies Thank you!
The Life On Mars Hoax. $7 Billion To Return Some Tubes From Mars. Just Say No. Send Starship To Mars. That money could be used for other Scientific Missions.
Thanks for explaining the contamination issue, which seems to get little attention. Good luck decontaminating a Starship.
If SX demonstrates ship to ship propellant transfer this year and sends Starships to Mars in 2026, then a grab and go sample return could be possible by end of the decade. Recovering samples from the Perseverance rover is a tough nut to crack because it requires four spacecraft that haven't been designed yet.
Honestly, Starship is already slated to go and test unmaned landing on Mars in 2 years. It has a huge payload capabilities and practically no payload since it's just a test. And I'm pretty sure they will send multiple starships to thoroughly test them to see any flaws so even more free payload capacity. It should come out much cheaper and probably faster with that option, and there's really not much time to examine uncontaminated Mars since the plan is to send first human in 4 years if the landing test are successfull.
They have zero plan for keeping humans alive on Mars even IF they manage to build and certify a crewed version in just 4 years. I'll be impressed if they do it in even 12 years but 4 is just delusional
@notgreg123 They already have prototypes of lunar lander interior and life support. I'm also pretty skeptical about a 4-year timeline, but within 8 years seems like a sure thing, at least to me.
Musk owns the US government. We'll see what he decides to do I guess.
It took space x 3 billion dollars to almost get a banana into orbit
And NASA spent about $60bn in today’s money on the Apollo program and couldn’t even get a single rocket launched even on a sub-orbital trajectory. It’s pretty easy to make up silly numbers if you refuse to acknowledge that programs need to go through an R&D phase before delivering the planned end result. All I did to get my silly NASA/Apollo number was to only look at the funding from the start of the program through to the end of 1965 at which point no Apollo-related hardware had flown. The first actual flight for the Apollo program was AS-201 in Feb 1966, a Saturn 1B on a suborbital trajectory carrying an uncrewed command and service module to validate the heat shield. Apollo of course went on to achieve amazing things and it is very likely in my opinion that Starship will do the same but it’s ridiculous to look at spending part way through a development cycle before it has got anywhere close to the stage of delivering production hardware (as in hardware that meets the specifications defined for the final project deliverables). I’m sure there’s lots of scope for debate about how close (in terms of extra time needed) SpaceX currently is to having production hardware but I can’t imagine that anyone who actually follows and understands this stuff would claim that what is about to be flown for IFT-7 is the final Starship product.
Mars Sample Return would be a great uncrewed mission for Starship. It would achieve an important objective and establish the capability for return crewed missions to Mars in the future.
There's no way they're developing and deploying an entire ISRU fuel production plant on Mars in the next 7 years
If only you could fetch samples from Mars with a banana...
I think Rocketlab should be given the Mars sample return. The composite fiber rocket is much lighter than Starship and uses less fuel. It will be easier to decelerate in the thin Martian atmosphere than conventional metal. But as long as Bill Nelson is around, it will be the good ol boys club of Boeing & old leftover Artemis tech.
Given China's success in landing on the moon and returning with samples. I really think NASA should fund China to do the same for them on Mars. USA has NO hope
Starship will kick up dust, we don’t know if we can land on mars yet with starship, JPL has lot more experience with mars. No point replacing the current plans, until starship is proven technology.
So will any ship.
No. JPL is too slow and expensive. This is just a retread that will turn into a 20 year 20 billion dollar project.
@@jamskinnerthe difference is that starship weighs 100 tons as opposed to around 1 or 2 at most
I'm pessimistic about finding life in our solar system. Not that we should stop looking, it just seems space is so anti life. All these planets and moons are so hot/ cold and full of radiation. Our solar system is harsh. The more we learn about our universe the more I appreciate our planet. Theres no place like home.❤
Have you heard of Europa's subsurface oceans and the Europa Clipper mission?
@novachromatic Yes. I'm excited about the clipper mission. We need a mission for enceladus as well. The more we learn about our solar system the better.
JP Aerospace had an interesting entry as well.
A lander that can collect the samples with helicopters and also has an ascent vehicle and another satellite to be loaded with the samples from the ascent vehicle that sends them back to Earth to be collected and analyzed...in 2040! We've called some of our landers "mini laboratories" but they were very limited. Might it be cheaper to just send a better laboratory and analyze the samples on Mars?
so, i hear you about contamination with a human program.. but you may want to take that up with elon.. so what is your proposed gate for when its ok to go ahead and have people land on mars? one end of the spectrum might say that no human is allowed on mars until every atom of mars is proven not to have been a part of extraterrestrial life. the other end of the spectrum will say that we will be able to have "bio-markers" and genetic databases in hand that will prove if something we found originated on earth. or not.. send the barefoot humans tomorrow. also, how efficient is sample return with tiny canisters anyway. it might take thousands of years of constant tiny canisters before we had a positive result if ever.
Starship is the obvious choice. Imo safest architecture would be to use starships massive payload capability to take a sample collection rover/copter and a return vehicle to mars. No need to synthesize propellent in situ. It could be part of the second batch of starships assuming the first missions to mars land successfully.
Or just use a falcon 9 in conjunction with other hardware.
Finally a take on starship that doesn't just hand wave all the problems away. This is actually feasible
Would we really contaminate the entire planet so quickly that we wouldnt have time to do any studies there on site? Would we be confused about what we did find thinking perhaps we brought life with us already perfectly conditioned to look like a lifeform native to Mars or even panspermia life that originated from earth more than a few hundred years ago? That excuse either makes scientist look dumb or all the rest of the humans look extremely dumb.
I will be SO happy when Isaacman is sworn in and blows away this incredible cognitive dissonance at NASA-i.e., Starship doesn’t exist (other than for HLS, which is already embarrassing) and Musk isn’t planning to send scientists (and presumably tons of lab instruments) to Mars years before we can fly MSR to grab a few kg of samples for twice the price. And by “blows away”, I mean, of course, spending years overcoming existing NASA culture and repelling Congressional shenanigans.
We contaminated Mars the first time we landed a probe there. Our sterilization has a 99.9% success rate, which is a 100% failure rate. The biggest argument for life already being on the Red Planet, outside of looking at it with a microscopes on the surface of Mars, is the fact we cannot fully sterilized anything on Earth.