MID-YEAR Oscar Best Picture Predictions (June 2024)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 มิ.ย. 2024
- Welcome to Fantasy Filmball with Matt & Dyl. Join two Oscar Enthusiasts as they break down the Academy Award race in terms of Fantasy Sports.
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dyl's predictions are so unserious
I really hope All We Imagine as Light wins a Best Picture nomination. It so deserves it. The movie was phenomenal
Love you guys! I'd agree Joker 2 on paper sounds like WB's prized pupil for success with Dune Part Two being this year's "LOTR: The Two Towers" in terms of noms. Juror No. 2 has big SAG potential, if it comes out this year. Anora being the "buzz-y" film so far this year could be too tough to overcome in the end for BP. I'd suspect Sean Baker gets in for Director as well.
i feel like theres a decent chance that nosferatu will jump in the rankings once it releases. isnt much on the surface, but i feel like eggers could make literally anything interesting, at least visually. i doubt theres any chance it'll win, but i wouldn't be surprised if it got some buzz for at least a nom
I'm holding out hope for a Venice premiere, however if Nosferatu skips festivals then I think it's Best Picture chances are DOA - D
I'm sad to see The Apprentice in such a tough spot. It's clear this film should and wants to release before the election, but I think they'll have to settle for post election window as long as Biden wins
I don't think every single studio is *that* afraid of Trump.
@@FrakkinToasterLuvvawould love nothing more to be proven wrong
I still think it's possible that some bold streamer picks the film up at Telluride/TIFF and releases before the end of October. Get the film while it's a hot button topic, deal with the legal fees later. Honestly, if they wait till after the election, I think there's a significant chance that no one picks the film up in the US at all. - M
@@fantasyfilmballwhy does waiting until after the election hurt it? Considering the heat would be over it should be less controversial no?
@@friendlypup5650 Part of the buzz around the film comes from the controversy. More eyes on it when the film is relevant. The longer they wait after the election, the less pressing and "timely" the film seems to audiences and to voters. With politically charged films, it's always best to strike when the iron's hot and release it when it's a hot button topic.
Could both Luca's movies get Best Picture nomination?!?!
It's not unprecedented. Steven Soderbergh made it happen in 2000 with Traffic and Erin Brockovich. However, it would take an absolute miracle. Challengers is the type of movie that's always going to play better to a younger, more online audience, and its early debut means it's easy to be overshadowed unless it gets a strong revival from critics. For Queer, we still need to see it get a distributor, and on a personal level, it doesn't sound overly Oscar friendly to me. I think both films will be in the conversation all year long, but it all depends how the rest of the year shapes up. - M
this is a question for matt. Do you think todd phillips has a chance to win director?
I definitely think there's a chance. I would want to see the reviews of the film have a dramatic uptick from the first (which I believe they will), and I also want to hear industry talking about how the musical elements "reinvented" or "redefined" what a comic book blockbuster could be. If people start talking about the film like it's completely changed the game, that's when alarm bells should start sounding for a director win. But if the response is "it's another Joker movie and it's what you expect", then no chance. - M
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so dyl doesn't believe jacques audiard's emilia perez has many chances to be nominated
yet he believes step up 3 director's jon m chu and that wack ass wicked adaptation is a top 20 contender
I have Emilia Perez as my number 6-10 in about 7 (Director, Actress, Supporting, Screenplay, Editing, Sound, Cinematography) categories at the moment, it getting two nominations (International & Song), and is my 12 in Picture... As for Wicked, no one has seen it, it COULD easily get 3+ tech nominations meaning it is in the conversation - D
@@fantasyfilmball yea matt, i like your predictions