Brilliant Steve, you take the results, and you paint a precise, detailed image in everyone's head of exactly what will more or less happen at the business end of the season. Everyone should heed the warning of obsorbing the latest info and be fluid in your decision making. The info of good work by Con Hill before the race, that the workouts went very well and bet accordingly.But, the writing is on the wall for everyone to see.That Con Hill was all out to win against a horse that struggled to go the pace and was closest at the finish. Brilliant prediction on Perceval, as always well done, Steve. Be fluid in your approach. Everybody from now on in, as the screw is turned in training for peak fitness, many will fall by the wayside.Nothing is set in stone, so be fluid and flexible with the latest info and bet accordingly to have a successful and profitable outcome.
Steve does his homework. I listen and respect his views. It's great to see another person's point of view. In my estimation Steve is the best reader of a race on any podcast. It's just a pity he doesn't receive the recognition on any television channel. Keep up the great work Steve 👏
I should have put this in my previous posts. Thankyou ever so much for all the time and effort you put in every week. Most of us seem to be time poor at the mo with one thing and another. It really is a brilliant listen and your passion for horse races comes beaming through every week. Good luck for all things Cheltenham and racing in general. Happy new Year!!
Superb review Steve and what a festive period it has been! You're very persuasive and brilliant with your race reviews. I go quiet in my vids this time of year as I'm busy listening to everyone taking what I think is the best from everyone and banditting ® like crazy (£7.2k of the bookies bones on already ). Keep the videos coming Steve.... my missus loves saying...for god's sake your not listening to him again. By far the best reviewer out there, you'd be a great TV pundit... Hoping you get most things right, but I just can't be persuaded or see your angle with laying Sir Constitution Hill...I hope state man sends them both to the mares if they all race (that's my books best scenario if the betting gods can make it happen). Talk to the man runs tomorrow...(Last race at Exeter)
@@The_Cheltenham_Bandit cheers mate appreciate that and I can promise you I'll get most things wrong so every chance your best case scenario could play out. Haven't got the teeth for telly lol. Will watch him with interest, all the best
Defo needed two flasks there Steve and nice to see Mrs Smokin furnished you with a new one for Cmas!! She knows you well, lad!! Like you thought Heart Wood ran a blinding Ryanair trial. 25-1 excellent price. That Drinmore form may be underrated despite the world and his dog slagging it off….
Great video Steve, as usual. You must be getting my post as i agree 99% of your opinions. Heart Wood 25s, Lady Vega Allen 10s and The Jukebox Man 7s all caught my eye. I wouldnt write off Fact To File just yet, if he can settle in the Gold Cup and thats a BIG if then he's dangerous. I think the old Constitution Hill would have roared in on Boxing Day but like us all no one is getting any younger. Final Demand looks some peospect! Not convinced by Ballyburn over fences yet, think ill take nrnb Stayers. Happy New Year and let me be the first to wish you a Happy Cheltenham......keep smiling.
@@johngreene347 cheers John, great minds and all that lol. And yea the more I think about it the more I think Fact To File ran a blinder. 2nd try at 3m and did far too much through the race. As you say if he can settle better then will improve an awful lot. I remember Galopin in his younger days was similarly exhuberent and Willie worked wonders with him. Thanks John and Happy New Year mate.
@AffectionateAutoRace-tu6me wouldn't put anyone off, think she's bang up there ability wise. She is big and quite raw still I think and its a funny race, if she can run her race you'd think she'd have a good chance but plenty of her ilk have underperformed in that. Henry has managed to win it before with those types though and 12/1 seems very fair.
@ yeah Steve I was going back her before she ran Christmas at 33.1 she was my nap Christmas ripping I never took 33.1 12.1 is probably about right she going go straight Cheltenham I don’t like that I would preferred another run get more experience especially for the Bartlett
Another fair assessment as per usual. You are the only person I’ve heard say they think Lossiemouth will turn it around at Cheltenham with CH. good luck with that one. I know FTF won the browns but I don’t think FTF stays 3 miles at a proper pace I’d go Ryanair with him. If GDC is 100% the gold cup is he’s. I think you got to go to the 1970s to find a horse to give CH or GDC a race. It’s hard to crab sir ginos form I thought he looked like he did not bat an eyelid at the end of the race. Every year there’s a horse that looks like the new coming after one race so I’d want to see him do it again. You made me laugh with your clown 🤡 comment in your last video what you need to remember is people who don’t follow horse racing think people who do follow horse racing are clowns 🤡. Keep the videos coming 🐎❤️🐎
Hi Peter. Cheers mate and yea dont mind been against the crowd, generally most people are wrong lol. You could be right with Fact To File but he did beat the rest with ease, only 2nd run at 3m and didnt settle properly so I think he deserves another crack. I remember once upon a time some doubted Galopin would get a Gold Cup trip, he's inexperienced and exhuberent, could settle down like Galopin did and if he does the gears he has will be a potent weapon. I do agree though that if they let him loose in a Ryanair he'd take some beating and would have a better chance of winning at Cheltenham than taking on the King again. Yea there's plenty of clowns around, most of them are running the Country lol. All the best Peter and Happy New Year
Going against the crowd is good it shows you got your own mind. The proof of the pudding would be how much your prepared to lay CH at odds against. I’m ignorant to who’s running the country just like the people who think people who follow horse racing are clowns🤡🤡 happy new year mate
@peterseymar7189 It's funny you say that. Rarely lay horses to be honest and in his case I've kinda got the dangers to him covered, in my mind at least, have lossie at 14's and small bits on Brighterdays at 16' & Anzadam at 33's. Really makes more sense for me to back him on the day and tie the race up if there's nothing else I fear at that time. It has however crossed my mind to lay him antepost, haven't looked at betfair but I would be tempted to lay a little at odds on in the antepost markets as I dont think his price currently takes into account his likelyhood of getting there which is surely less than the average horse.
Nicky said all week if he gets beat it’s not the end of the world. That was because the horse was only 85%. If he’s 100% there’s no horse that will beat him. But this is horse racing and anything and accidents happen and it will need to be an accident to stop him.
It is said that he journey to Kempton from Closutton was a longer and more difficult passage than could have been expected. I think it really affected Lossiemouth AND Ballyburn. She at least was never going in the race and still managed a good effort
Great analysis Steve loads to digest 😢 learned alot got loads wrong. The Dublin Festival should be awesome.In hindsight Steve could anything be capable of giving 6/lbs to Sir Gino ? so not to disheartened with Ballyburn and 3 miles should be fine but as you said could be a slog Browns.Quai de Bourbon am worried but after reflecting can still move forward those fences there are so stiff would say they are stiffer than Cheltenham's so still got around.Needs to improve but hopefully he can holding on to the fact that The big Getaway and Fact/File lost first time out over 2.5 then improved massively. And Willie to his standard has a real mixed bag some running terrible.Galoping well he was awesome a real joy real choked me up a bit, the horse in the Mullins stable tour's seem a gentle soul of a horse.Money/ back markets starting soon will get a angle on that good luck Steve and roll on the Dublin Festival and Cheltenham.
@@markjefferies435 cheers Mark and yes plenty to reflect on and I'm sure everybody got loads wrong so dont be too harsh on yourself lol. Some good points there, like you say always worth giving one of Willie's another chance after their first run they often improve plenty. Some good racing this week then a little lull before we go again for the DRF, Happy New Year mate and all the best
I took early retirement from the Civil Service eleven years ago. A workmate used to share views on the racing with me via email. One day I sent in error an email meant for the work section but by pressing the button "all" it was sent throughout the Department where I worked. Luckily I didn't send my previous email to my racing pal asking his views on the Champion Hurdle and Gold Cup. I don't think it would have gone down well.
@@barneyhughes9445 good question and one I've been wondering about. I think I'd side with Lossie in either and that would be mainly down to her love for the track, she's 3/3 where as Brighterdays is 0/1, albeit with a valid excuse. Just like that course form in the bank but I wouldn't be hugely confident I think they are 2 cracking mares.
Only one thing that annoyed me! You said IF you do this next year! No way your racing videos are the very best. You are not Bookmaker sponsored and give a great honest opinion. I look at other videos and are crap compared to your own. That's crap with a capital C. Please don't consider not doing the videos !!!!
Jukebox man looks like he will improve with every run. Have him at 25/1 and in a fair few accas. Just worried about Ballyburn coming here now...time will tell.
Also have some lovely bets on GDC... 6/1 9/2 n 4/1 Just seems to be still improving...❤❤ Imagine if he had a chance of winning 4... We can but dream....ledgend.
Great ticket you got there Peter and agree he's improving. Big chance. There's bound to be something to fear on the day be it Ballyburn or something else but if you offered me a choice of your ticket or a Ballyburn one I know which one I'd like as things stand.
sheet scared of jubilee alpha now,Kientzheim and baby kate, serious contenders now if you ask me, and i think hey sunshine could also run a nice race, think my 10 points on the banbou is at a lot more risk now :(, if saint sam wins again today that will be another boost for the banbou, but i am sheet scared of jubilee alpha, that was a nice run yesterday
Yea starting to hot up a bit that race and I'm sure there's more to come. Your girl could take a big step forward on her next run, we'll know a lot more then. Good luck with her mate
Has won over 3m 6f so could be a shout just depends on weather he would go but would get hit with a really high weight as well. I’ve backed Vanillier at 66/1 for it cause I know he’ll 100% be going and will be running off a low weight and has experience from coming 2nd a couple year ago.
We'll see mate, they do say funny things sometimes and I tend to take their comments with a pinch of salt. I'd be pretty surprised if she didnt line up in a Champion Hdl after beating the current champion at 2m and then winning a G1 2m by 30 lengths, I'd say she'll probably go straight there after a tough race Sunday. Sometimes they do surprise you though and wouldn't be the first time I'd guessed it wrong.
I was at Newbury on the 28th and all the talk from the Henderson stable, Nico + Nicky was that they expect at least a 7-10lb improvement come his next race. All Lossiemouth’s best for is over 2.5miles and she has never beaten a top quality horse over 2m, it’s as simple as that that. Willie now has a dilemma because Brighterdaysahead is as Elliott says is Going to the Mares race, so Lossiemouth is unlikely to win either of those races now. If CH lines up at Cheltenham, the only that stops him is a fall
@@paulleach4718 yea if he gets there and improves as much as connections suggest he will have a great chance. Regards Lossiemouth she's got to within 2 1/2 lengths of one and there's reasons to think she can improve a lot back at Cheltenham with that experience under her belt. Should be a great race, particularly if Constitution Hill and both mares line up and I wouldn't be surprised to see any of those 3 win. I can see you're very strong on Constitution Hill and dont rate Lossiemouths chances and that's fine, it's all about opinions and you might well be right. All the best Paul
In your own time have a look at the William Hill antepost Market. It's now nrnb. Fact To File at 6/4 for the Ryanair probably appeals. For many though the odds have been cramped as you'd expect.
Brilliant Steve, you take the results, and you paint a precise, detailed image in everyone's head of exactly what will more or less happen at the business end of the season. Everyone should heed the warning of obsorbing the latest info and be fluid in your decision making. The info of good work by Con Hill before the race, that the workouts went very well and bet accordingly.But, the writing is on the wall for everyone to see.That Con Hill was all out to win against a horse that struggled to go the pace and was closest at the finish. Brilliant prediction on Perceval, as always well done, Steve. Be fluid in your approach. Everybody from now on in, as the screw is turned in training for peak fitness, many will fall by the wayside.Nothing is set in stone, so be fluid and flexible with the latest info
and bet accordingly to have a successful and profitable outcome.
@@crazyhorse562 cheers Crazy really appreciate that and excellent advice about the need to be fluid in your decision making process.
Thank you so much for all your work- really appreciated- I don’t go strong antepost but all your work shows me what races in Ireland to value .
Steve does his homework. I listen and respect his views. It's great to see another person's point of view. In my estimation Steve is the best reader of a race on any podcast. It's just a pity he doesn't receive the recognition on any television channel. Keep up the great work Steve 👏
Cheers mate appreciate that
I should have put this in my previous posts.
Thankyou ever so much for all the time and effort you put in every week.
Most of us seem to be time poor at the mo with one thing and another.
It really is a brilliant listen and your passion for horse races comes beaming through every week.
Good luck for all things Cheltenham and racing in general.
Happy new Year!!
@@peterbason2882 cheers Peter that's very kind of you. Good luck mate and Happy New Year
Happy New Year Steve..loving the content!
@@ciarankennedy4789 cheers mate, appreciated, and happy new year
Superb review Steve and what a festive period it has been! You're very persuasive and brilliant with your race reviews. I go quiet in my vids this time of year as I'm busy listening to everyone taking what I think is the best from everyone and banditting ® like crazy (£7.2k of the bookies bones on already ). Keep the videos coming Steve.... my missus loves saying...for god's sake your not listening to him again. By far the best reviewer out there, you'd be a great TV pundit... Hoping you get most things right, but I just can't be persuaded or see your angle with laying Sir Constitution Hill...I hope state man sends them both to the mares if they all race (that's my books best scenario if the betting gods can make it happen). Talk to the man runs tomorrow...(Last race at Exeter)
@@The_Cheltenham_Bandit cheers mate appreciate that and I can promise you I'll get most things wrong so every chance your best case scenario could play out. Haven't got the teeth for telly lol.
Will watch him with interest, all the best
Defo needed two flasks there Steve and nice to see Mrs Smokin furnished you with a new one for Cmas!! She knows you well, lad!! Like you thought Heart Wood ran a blinding Ryanair trial. 25-1 excellent price. That Drinmore form may be underrated despite the world and his dog slagging it off….
Yea doesn't look so bad now that form yes definitely 25/1 looks big
Lol @ "Mrs Smokin" 😂😂😂
Another great show Steve .Have a very happy new year
@@anthonylangan4936 cheers mate and happy new year
Great video Steve, as usual. You must be getting my post as i agree 99% of your opinions. Heart Wood 25s, Lady Vega Allen 10s and The Jukebox Man 7s all caught my eye. I wouldnt write off Fact To File just yet, if he can settle in the Gold Cup and thats a BIG if then he's dangerous. I think the old Constitution Hill would have roared in on Boxing Day but like us all no one is getting any younger. Final Demand looks some peospect! Not convinced by Ballyburn over fences yet, think ill take nrnb Stayers. Happy New Year and let me be the first to wish you a Happy Cheltenham......keep smiling.
@@johngreene347 cheers John, great minds and all that lol. And yea the more I think about it the more I think Fact To File ran a blinder. 2nd try at 3m and did far too much through the race. As you say if he can settle better then will improve an awful lot. I remember Galopin in his younger days was similarly exhuberent and Willie worked wonders with him.
Thanks John and Happy New Year mate.
Good stuff steve keep it going & I enjoy your videos & I did have abot on percival & put it in 3 retirement bets, all ending in the grand national
@@mallloyd5551 cheers mate, glad you got on percy and good luck with those bets, be a nice way to retire that😊
Definately would, i got close a few times like you have@smoking_cheltenham
Great show really enjoyed it
@@AffectionateAutoRace-tu6me cheers mate appreciate that
What u think the big westerner for Bartlett 12.1 she was 33.1 before Boxing Day
@AffectionateAutoRace-tu6me wouldn't put anyone off, think she's bang up there ability wise. She is big and quite raw still I think and its a funny race, if she can run her race you'd think she'd have a good chance but plenty of her ilk have underperformed in that. Henry has managed to win it before with those types though and 12/1 seems very fair.
@ yeah Steve I was going back her before she ran Christmas at 33.1 she was my nap Christmas ripping I never took 33.1 12.1 is probably about right she going go straight Cheltenham I don’t like that I would preferred another run get more experience especially for the Bartlett
Good stuff Steve. Very humble over Percy it was a great pick. Agree with most of the views.
@@Cheltenham-Chat Cheers Mark thanks for that and sorry lol
You’ve nothing to be sorry about. The Champion Hurdle market really intrigues me as I feel the fav is more a 7-4 shot than 4-6.
@@Cheltenham-Chat agree with your assessment Mark I'd have him about same.
Alright pal 5's for sir gino looking very nice now lol 😂😂
Yea got that one right the gamble paid off, looks a bit special
@smoking_cheltenham yh mate totally agree
Happy New Year & Sir Genoooooooooooo!!! amazing performance. What did you think?
@@jeffskinner892 I thought he was electric and wins the Arkle and next years Champion all being well. Some performance that. Happy New Year mate
Another fair assessment as per usual. You are the only person I’ve heard say they think Lossiemouth will turn it around at Cheltenham with CH. good luck with that one. I know FTF won the browns but I don’t think FTF stays 3 miles at a proper pace I’d go Ryanair with him. If GDC is 100% the gold cup is he’s. I think you got to go to the 1970s to find a horse to give CH or GDC a race. It’s hard to crab sir ginos form I thought he looked like he did not bat an eyelid at the end of the race. Every year there’s a horse that looks like the new coming after one race so I’d want to see him do it again. You made me laugh with your clown 🤡 comment in your last video what you need to remember is people who don’t follow horse racing think people who do follow horse racing are clowns 🤡. Keep the videos coming 🐎❤️🐎
Hi Peter. Cheers mate and yea dont mind been against the crowd, generally most people are wrong lol. You could be right with Fact To File but he did beat the rest with ease, only 2nd run at 3m and didnt settle properly so I think he deserves another crack. I remember once upon a time some doubted Galopin would get a Gold Cup trip, he's inexperienced and exhuberent, could settle down like Galopin did and if he does the gears he has will be a potent weapon. I do agree though that if they let him loose in a Ryanair he'd take some beating and would have a better chance of winning at Cheltenham than taking on the King again.
Yea there's plenty of clowns around, most of them are running the Country lol.
All the best Peter and Happy New Year
Going against the crowd is good it shows you got your own mind. The proof of the pudding would be how much your prepared to lay CH at odds against. I’m ignorant to who’s running the country just like the people who think people who follow horse racing are clowns🤡🤡 happy new year mate
@peterseymar7189 It's funny you say that. Rarely lay horses to be honest and in his case I've kinda got the dangers to him covered, in my mind at least, have lossie at 14's and small bits on Brighterdays at 16' & Anzadam at 33's. Really makes more sense for me to back him on the day and tie the race up if there's nothing else I fear at that time. It has however crossed my mind to lay him antepost, haven't looked at betfair but I would be tempted to lay a little at odds on in the antepost markets as I dont think his price currently takes into account his likelyhood of getting there which is surely less than the average horse.
Nicky said all week if he gets beat it’s not the end of the world. That was because the horse was only 85%. If he’s 100% there’s no horse that will beat him. But this is horse racing and anything and accidents happen and it will need to be an accident to stop him.
It is said that he journey to Kempton from Closutton was a longer and more difficult passage than could have been expected. I think it really affected Lossiemouth AND Ballyburn. She at least was never going in the race and still managed a good effort
Great analysis Steve loads to digest 😢 learned alot got loads wrong. The Dublin Festival should be awesome.In hindsight Steve could anything be capable of giving 6/lbs to Sir Gino ? so not to disheartened with Ballyburn and 3 miles should be fine but as you said could be a slog Browns.Quai de Bourbon am worried but after reflecting can still move forward those fences there are so stiff would say they are stiffer than Cheltenham's so still got around.Needs to improve but hopefully he can holding on to the fact that The big Getaway and Fact/File lost first time out over 2.5 then improved massively. And Willie to his standard has a real mixed bag some running terrible.Galoping well he was awesome a real joy real choked me up a bit, the horse in the Mullins stable tour's seem a gentle soul of a horse.Money/ back markets starting soon will get a angle on that good luck Steve and roll on the Dublin Festival and Cheltenham.
@@markjefferies435 cheers Mark and yes plenty to reflect on and I'm sure everybody got loads wrong so dont be too harsh on yourself lol. Some good points there, like you say always worth giving one of Willie's another chance after their first run they often improve plenty.
Some good racing this week then a little lull before we go again for the DRF, Happy New Year mate and all the best
I took early retirement from the Civil Service eleven years ago. A workmate used to share views on the racing with me via email. One day I sent in error an email meant for the work section but by pressing the button "all" it was sent throughout the Department where I worked. Luckily I didn't send my previous email to my racing pal asking his views on the Champion Hurdle and Gold Cup. I don't think it would have gone down well.
Who do you think would win in the champion hurdle over lossie or Brighterdaysahead? Would that change if that both went mares and 2m4f?
@@barneyhughes9445 good question and one I've been wondering about. I think I'd side with Lossie in either and that would be mainly down to her love for the track, she's 3/3 where as Brighterdays is 0/1, albeit with a valid excuse. Just like that course form in the bank but I wouldn't be hugely confident I think they are 2 cracking mares.
@ not sure if I could split the two, hope either way they face off with each other come march
Antepost William Hill 3s Mjborough 3s Ballyburn nrnb. Same odds Paddy Power without the concession.
William Hill now doing no runner no bet for Cheltenham prices are mean !
Only one thing that annoyed me! You said IF you do this next year! No way your racing videos are the very best. You are not Bookmaker sponsored and give a great honest opinion. I look at other videos and are crap compared to your own. That's crap with a capital C. Please don't consider not doing the videos !!!!
Here here!
Jukebox man looks like he will improve with every run.
Have him at 25/1 and in a fair few accas.
Just worried about Ballyburn coming here now...time will tell.
Also have some lovely bets on GDC...
6/1 9/2 n 4/1
Just seems to be still improving...❤❤
Imagine if he had a chance of winning 4...
We can but dream....ledgend.
Great ticket you got there Peter and agree he's improving. Big chance. There's bound to be something to fear on the day be it Ballyburn or something else but if you offered me a choice of your ticket or a Ballyburn one I know which one I'd like as things stand.
sheet scared of jubilee alpha now,Kientzheim and baby kate, serious contenders now if you ask me, and i think hey sunshine could also run a nice race, think my 10 points on the banbou is at a lot more risk now :(, if saint sam wins again today that will be another boost for the banbou, but i am sheet scared of jubilee alpha, that was a nice run yesterday
Yea starting to hot up a bit that race and I'm sure there's more to come. Your girl could take a big step forward on her next run, we'll know a lot more then. Good luck with her mate
Unlucky Jeff I packed your 20/1 with one of mine unlucky Jeff 😢
@@JeffHeaton-m1e unlucky Jeff
i think if corbets cross goes to Grand National he could run well at odds of 25/1
Has won over 3m 6f so could be a shout just depends on weather he would go but would get hit with a really high weight as well. I’ve backed Vanillier at 66/1 for it cause I know he’ll 100% be going and will be running off a low weight and has experience from coming 2nd a couple year ago.
Yea would agree with that mate
@@GR44AY backed Vanillier ew too, when came second to Corach, 66s tempting, will have a small ew on, thanks
GDC - I told you he'll win 4 Gold Cups!😂
Yes you did mate and I'm starting to believe you😊
Brighterdaysahead. Gordon wants CH for her but the owners are adamant she goes to the Mares.
We'll see mate, they do say funny things sometimes and I tend to take their comments with a pinch of salt. I'd be pretty surprised if she didnt line up in a Champion Hdl after beating the current champion at 2m and then winning a G1 2m by 30 lengths, I'd say she'll probably go straight there after a tough race Sunday.
Sometimes they do surprise you though and wouldn't be the first time I'd guessed it wrong.
I was at Newbury on the 28th and all the talk from the Henderson stable, Nico + Nicky was that they expect at least a 7-10lb improvement come his next race.
All Lossiemouth’s best for is over 2.5miles and she has never beaten a top quality horse over 2m, it’s as simple as that that. Willie now has a dilemma because Brighterdaysahead is as Elliott says is Going to the Mares race, so Lossiemouth is unlikely to win either of those races now. If CH lines up at Cheltenham, the only that stops him is a fall
@@paulleach4718 yea if he gets there and improves as much as connections suggest he will have a great chance. Regards Lossiemouth she's got to within 2 1/2 lengths of one and there's reasons to think she can improve a lot back at Cheltenham with that experience under her belt.
Should be a great race, particularly if Constitution Hill and both mares line up and I wouldn't be surprised to see any of those 3 win. I can see you're very strong on Constitution Hill and dont rate Lossiemouths chances and that's fine, it's all about opinions and you might well be right.
All the best Paul
In your own time have a look at the William Hill antepost Market. It's now nrnb. Fact To File at 6/4 for the Ryanair probably appeals. For many though the odds have been cramped as you'd expect.