EARLY 2025 Oscar Predictions | March 2024
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 ก.พ. 2025
- extremely early predictions
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Really bold of you guys to have Madame Web at No. 1
I think Harold and the Purple Crayon will give it some competition. #HaroldSweep
Better movie than what they have at #2!
Madam Web is probably going to sweep the Razzies, and I have a feeling that Dakota Johnson will actually show up to accept her award.
@@nivarad The razzies are terrible and Madame Web does not deserve to be in them. It was a better movie than that and I enjoyed it more than the "masterpiece" Dune part 2 personally.
Her web connects us all
Love these early predictions videos because it's the best way to know what movies are going to be released in the upcoming year.
It's lowkey my favorite yearly Oscar Expert video
I put all of them on my watchlist knowing that half of them are not gonna be released on my country
lol at the wicked dismissal
Lol Emilia Perez in 41 on this list, Anora was number 32 and the brutalist is 24
“Wicked seems like a no nominations film”
I remember you guys underestimating Wicked from the start, even for Production Design. Guess what just got 10 nominations? :) It’ll be interesting to see how the sequel will perform tho
you should do a reaction to the 2024 early predictions!!
That, and top 10 of 2023 list please
Oscar expert was SO on the money about joker 2. Unreal.
I've been waiting for this! It's always the most fun of the predictions, as this is the time people can really show their understanding of awards prediction
Probably my favourite video of the year, both because it’s fun to just throw out guesses that’ll probably be wildly wrong but also because it gets me excited about upcoming films
The most wonderful time of the year. 2024 officially starts NOW.
There are three important differences between Joker: Folie á Deux and other superhero movie sequels: Joker did get a director nomination, Joker did WIN an acting oscar and (the most important one for a potential Best Pic nomination) it's not a 08/15-sequel. The inclusion of Lady Gaga as Harley Quinn alone is genius, but to make it a musical... I believe this is a brilliant idea and fits perfectly to the chaos, the predecesor started. And don't forget Joaquin Phoenix, who doesn't do sequels lightheartly...
They've said its not a musical, just has some scenes of him & Harley dancing to the score like the first movie. People who worked on it said they have no clue how that rumor got started
The Dark Knight had 8 nominations winning 2 including Supporting Actor. Dark Knight Rises got zero nominations.
What does 08/15 mean?
@@romanxxxxyoutube It's a German phrase meaning something is not special / conventional / run of the mill
I mean he's getting paid nearly 20 million, doubt it matters what Phoenix thinks
So funny seeing them not even talk about Anora when it’s now currently the front runner
well …..
41:35
Yeah I don’t understand why they keep thinking it’s gonna win best picture
Well...this aged
Yeah, that's the point girl
so fun to look back
Funny to see them not talk about Wicked and now it has 10 nominations.
The one thing to maybe keep in mind about Juror #2 is that this officially Eastwoods final movie. If it’s good, I could see a narrative rise up about praising him just one final time
I smell a contender there too, I have it at about number 7. Toni Collette will probably get nominated
Hollywood doesn’t like him BC he’s not young & a lunatic. He’s too patriotic for them
I’ve read a lot of an early draft for Megalopolis. Yeah it’s… a lottt. It’s just so massive and specific. Excited to see it.
Oh and I would love to see Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) and Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) battle it out for a supporting actor win
You got your wish!
I can see Wicked missing on the big awards, but I think Song, Costume, Production Design, Makeup and Hairstyling are good bets. At least this early on.
Especially production design, some of those sets are insane!
Yeah I feel like a lot of people who maybe aren’t as into musical theatre are underestimating it, like sure it might not get anything ATL but I don’t think you can just totally write off a film of one of the most beloved musicals of all time. I feel like on its worst day, it’s probably Joel Schumacher’s Phantom of the Opera, which still got three tech noms
I can see wicked becaming like wonka in like is not as bad the trailer made out to be but it will completely shut down from the oscars
@savvastoynoysidis360 10 Oscar nominations say hi
It’s time for Ralph Fiennes to win an Oscar. He should have won for Schlinder list…
He also should’ve won for The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ralph Fiennes has been nominated for 2 movies that SWEPT the Oscars (SCHINDLER'S LIST and THE ENGLISH PATIENT), and in both cases he lost. Talk about tough luck!
we could see a race similar to cillian murphey vs. paul giamatti, where colman domingo is in the big oscar darling film and can win even without a narrative, and ralph finnes has a bit of a narrative, but the performance is also excellent and awards worthy like domingo. it could be another case where both frontrunners are unanimously liked and both deserving, and maybe this time the narrative coupled with the great performance will triumph
80 MINUTES for EARLY predictions?! DAMN!
calling the goldfinch a mom novel is crazy
“ it takes place in Las Vegas and New York. Nothing about this (Anora) is Oscary” famous last words…
imagine if this was our best picture ten 😭
Adam Elliot’s (director of Mary and Max) next feature film Memoir of a Snail is coming out this year. Should be a contender for best animated feature if it’s on the same level of quality as his other works. Curious to see what the release strategy will be though.
If the academy could choose a film that is not inside out 2. I think memoir of snale could pull a win consider is from a oscar winning director( even if mary and max deserved one). But i could see it wild robot,most precious of cargoes or Lord of the rings animated film winning if the academy dont want to award a sequel next year
I think Hand of Dante could be a player. Schnabel pretty consistently gets lead actors nominated and this movie is easily his biggest ensemble
Y'all are addicts....now pass it on to me
I just saw PROBLEMISTA last night and Tilda Swinton was SPECTACULAR 🎉! I wish films like these would catch the eye of the academy and critics. It has amazing reviews too. ❤❤❤
I think you guys are underestimating Juror #2. Clint Eastwood's final film, has a meaty premise.
La Cocina needs to be in your lists. Best Picture, Best International Film (Mexico), Best Director, Best Actress - Rooney Mara, Best Actor - Raúl Briones, Best Adapted Screenplay. It does not have US distribution yet but the English-speaking press loves it.
I don't think that La Cocina will be eligible for International Feature. There is also English spoken in the film, probably more so than Spanish. But I could be wrong.
@@cepho8349 It's majority non-english.
i don´t think it'll happen
@@martin3980let me know what you think after you watched the film
You should look up Wicked BTS pictures because they most definitely didn’t fall on “blue screen syndrome”. They for sure used a ton of CGI but it’s also made with practical effects, full size sets built and flowers planted and everything. I don’t know if it’s gonna be Oscar bait, I doubt it, but I’m super hopeful we’ll get a great musical movie for sure (I trust Jon Chu).
Two of these are up for worst picture. In other words, kraven is better than two of these somehow
I hope you do a reflection on last year's predictions as well. That's always a fun video and enjoyed last year's entry.
I was pretty unimpressed by the stage production of The Piano Lesson. Great performances by Jackson and Washington but I'd be surprised if this is nominated
Who else already has their predictions up on the Award Expert app?
Jerskin Fendrix working with Yorgos again is the best news i've had this year
Knowing a bit about the composer of The End, he's not your typical golden age Broadway musical composer. His most notable work was a bit operatic, very eccentric, dissonant. This is very likely going the way of Annette instead of Chicago.
Thanks for making the video so we can be sure what films will come out this year
Great list guys! I would add Last Breath (Alex Parkinson) and In the Blink of an Eye (Andrew Stanton) as Oscar hopefuls.
13 Lives is similar to Last Breath, was well-received and weirdly did not become an awards thing. But I have high hopes for Last Breath, love the cast.
@@pb.j.1753 Yeah, that was weird but it was a streaming movie. Maybe that's what killed the awards chances.
Civil War seems like it should be under consideration at this point given its outstanding reviews and relevance- how is it not on their list at all?
For real. They've got a Hulu Donald Trump comedy biopic in the top 5 and can't squeeze Civil War into their top 40??
Not an Oscar movie, looking forward to seeing it tho
@@seankoontz4235 Word out of SXSW is that it is a masterpiece and rivals Dune Part 2...sounds like it could be an Oscar movie. Don't forget Ex-Machina was Oscar-nominated for its screenplay and won for Visual effects.
Especially given that despite "polarization" (what polarization?! 91 on RT, 77 on MC is not really POLARIZING!)-Kirsten Dunst is uniformly singled out by even the biggest critics, as well as Cailee Spaeny, Sound, Cinematography, & VFX. I mean...c'mon. The critics who love it REALLY love it. Its lowest score on MC is a 60. That's the LOWEST and it's being discounted?! Ridiculous.
Even with the strong reviews, I also find it hard to believe *two* films released before May will both get in. I know the release window has been shaken up a little the past few years but never like that
Ok who in the actual *fuck* said Twisters is gonna be the new Top Gun: Maverick
Glensexuals likely
I dont but i mean is a sequel to mix reviewed film and is from the director of minari so it could be good
@@savvastoynoysidis360 I'm not ruling out the possibility that it'll turn out good, but to claim it can replicate the cultural, box office and awards success of Maverick is kinda delulu imo
Please whatever higher power is out there let I saw the tv glow happen it’s a genuine masterclass
I think Elizabeth Olsen is hella underrated. I would love to see her get nominated in the supporting category for His Three Daughters.
I think it comes down to these 5
Megapolis
Dune 2
Joker 2
Blitz
Sing sing
can’t wait for dakota johnson’s first oscar!
She's a good actress tbf
@@brijanwilson1888 That is true. She is!
A Mike Leigh film??!!! And a reunion with Marianne Jean-Baptiste?!!
I read the nickel boys earlier this year(highly recommend) and it sounds like the movie will be slightly different from the book & I hope it doesn't steer away from the most important events in the book to make it "hollywood"
Queer could be All of Us Strangers pt 2 or Call me By Your Name pt 2 with a BP, Actor, and Adapted Screenplay. Even drew Starkey could “almost get a supporting actor nom” like Armie hammer almost did. Let’s hope it’s more like CMBYN than AoUS.
Having read the book Queer is based on, it is nothing like either of those films in terms of tone and appeal. If Guadagnino does justice by Burroughs (which I don't think he will - especially since David Cronenberg tried and failed in the 90s), then this film is going to be sardonic and experimental and will be explicit in its sex scenes - it will be too off putting for the prudish AMPAS voters to embrace.
YES IVE BEEN WAITING FOR THIS
Any predictions on which non-English language film(s) will make the Best Picture lineup? The last 6 years in a row has seen at least 1 non-English language film nominated (3 did it in the recent ceremony, marking the first time that multiple films made the lineup).
I’m very confident on Apex, the new Joseph Kosinski film about F1 and starring Brad Pitt.
Follow-up to Top Gun Maverick; a technical marvel that demands to be seen on the biggest screen possible; possible huge BTL player; following a sport that’s blowing up like crazy on the USA and has high profile people going crazy over it like Ryan Reynolds? Its floor is Ford v Ferrari at the LEAST IMO
is follow up was spiderhead
I think it was delayed to 2025
Im rooting for Juror. Toni Collete and Zoey Deutch with supporting role ❤❤❤
If your predicting kinds of kindness, remember the only anthology films nominated for an Oscar besides ballad of buster scruggs are all old or international, like 21 grams, Fellini satyricon, kwaidan, paisan, California suite, yesterday today and tomorrow, la ronde, and the red violin
Or movies like pulp fiction, the hours and babel which are barely anthology
and Wild Tales
Been thinking about WB’s biggest three contenders being Dune, Furiosa and Joker which are all in the same universes as previous best picture nominees with 10+ nominations and a few wins as well. My prediction rn is that only one of them makes it to best picture. I do see all three getting similar techs as their previous films but I see only Dune 2 making it into picture. If it keeps this momentum for a blockbuster in a way that Oppenheimer and Top Gun Maverick just did and does that for the rest of this year, it could be a very strong front runner. I do see Joker not being as strong potentially. I honestly see Joaquin getting snubbed but Lady Gaga nominated cuz as we saw with Barbie, maybe they don’t typically have to nominate the lead if they go for the supporting performance. And idk how often the academy has nominated an actor for playing the same character two times. But Dune 2 feels like the only WB picture lock rn to me.
May i make the case for an outsider? Perhaps not an oscar frontrunner but a definite critical darling that might pick up steam... on the set of Oppenheimer, Cillian Murphy got chatting to Matt Damon about wanting to make a movie based on a book called Small Things Like These, written by Claire Keegan, who wrote the book that the Irish movie A Quiet Girl is based on. Matt Damon asked could he produce the movie. Cillian Murphy stars in it opposite his buddy from his theatre days, Eileen Walsh. The director they got made a critically acclaimed tv show called The Responder. And it was adapted by Enda Walsh, the playwright who helped launch Murphy's career. It's got all the right ingredients. The plot is a bit like Spotlight, but it's about a man uncovering religious abuse in 1980s rural Ireland. Premiered at Berlin to a standing ovation.
55:49 moments like this make me love you guys so much
megalopolis could be something like maestro or elvis, where's it's divisive among critics and audiences, but the academy likes it so much that they put it in because they like frances ford coppola so much (or just the idea of nominating him and his movie again)
Megalopolis is a big self-financed film that no studio wanted to touch. Huge red flag
Also re: saoirse ronan in BLITZ- I think she’s the lead of the ensemble in the same way Tom Cruise was the lead of the ensemble in MAGNOLIA and Ronee Blakely/ Lily Tomlin in NASHVILLE. Basically, I don’t think there’s a *lead* to BLITZ, but Saoirse is the face of it. Also we know that Steve McQueen can get a Supporting Actress win like he did with Lupita Nyong’o. Stephen Graham could be Michael Fassbender maybe?
I feel like the best picture race is gonna be full of remakes and sequels next year
Let me ask you: If a sequel or remake is better than its predecessor, how much more do you want?
@@ryantrent2114 I wasn’t saying that as a bad thing just that there are a lot of sequels and remakes of previously nominated movies coming out this year.
@@KingHiki Fair enough
I believe the race is between 2 of Warner biggest hits this year: Joker2 & Dune2
So do your research, because there’s been a lot of coverage on Wicked: Part One about how most of the sets and stunts are real: they planted thousands and thousands of flowers for a set, they built a entire real train, Cynthia and Ariana have done most of their own stunts
I feel like stan will be pulling a Rockwell in vice type performance
WE DEMAND ANOTHER RETROSPECTIVE VIDEO
"Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow" has the same concept as "Kinds of Kindness", and it won best foreign language film
Good catch. That WAS a very long time ago, tho…
Fernanda Torres for Oscars. She is Great. Now we don’t have Harvey Weinstein to be in the way like Happened with her Mom Fernanda Montenegro. Played his duty game for his movie and the actriz win the Oscars in 1999. You guys have to make up with Fernanda Torres, Daugther of Fernanda Montenegro. It’s not a favor. She is absolutely great actriz. Go Go Fernanda!!!
Why every comment about this actress sound like a cult like following
They got 3/10
Kinda bold to have Lindsay Lohan at #1 for The Irish Wish but I respect it
It's hilarious to look back seeing them thinking Megalopolis had a chance.
Emma stone is coming back again with yorgos lanthimos.
Margaret qualley is gaining steam in Hollywood as an actress
Im also in the belief that Joker 2 makes it to best picture nominations. Could be really inventive and there is already a level of prestige that other comic book related movies do not have. Gladiator 2 is definitely missing. Ridley Scott ship has sailed.
Ultimately, this year is up for grabs. Maybe an indie movie rises. There must be another American Fiction/Anatomy of a Fall type movie which nobody is aware of before they hit the festival run. That is where the really interesting awards season news happens
When are y'all posting your Top Movies of 2023?
L. it’s pretty clear what their favorite films are. fake fan
You guys think Mario Casas has a chance to get nominated for Escape? It’s being directed by Rodrigo Cortes and executive produced by Martin Scorsese
my Oscars 2025 Best Picture (ridiculously early & blind) predictions
top 10:
Civil War (A24)
Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.)
Monkey Man (Universal Pictures)
Sing Sing (A24)
Dìdi (Focus Features)
A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures)
The Piano Lesson (Netflix)
Nosferatu (Focus Features)
Joker: Folie À Deux (Warner Bros.)
Megalopolis (??)
next-in-line:
Wolfs (Apple Studios)
Blitz (Apple Studios)
La Chimera (Neon)
The Lord Of The Rings: The War Of The Rohirrim (Warner Bros.)
The Nickel Boys (Orion Pictures)
Here (Sony Pictures)
The End (Neon)
Conclave (Focus Features)(Black Bear)
Flint Strong (MGM)
Thelma (Magnolia Pictures)
other contenders:
The Supremes At Earl's All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures)
Long Day's Journey Into Night (MGM)
Mother Mary (A24)
Maria (??)
Love Lies Bleeding (A24)
Challengers (MGM)
Queer (??)
Hard Truths (Bleecker Street)
The Apprentice (??)
Exhibiting Forgiveness (??)
The Outrun (??)
Anora (Neon)
Emmanuelle (Neon)
Parthenope (??)
Hit Man (Netflix)
Do you think the smashing machine will have a chance of getting in?
sad to not see the usual editing style for early predictions!
Yeah I liked when they put the cast info, release date, possible festival, etc
Must be a lot to edit though
Unless The Apprentice is a total flop (which I can't see with that director, cast and writer), I',, betting that on Best Supporting Actor and Best Makeup and Haristyling as the two definite big Oscar nominations.
Historically, playing Roy Cohn as a major character in something has been almost a guarantee for awards love (Ron Liebman and Nathan Lane both won a Tony and Al Pacino an Emmy for playing him in Angels in America, and James Woods had Emmy and Golden Globe nominations for the early 1990s TV biopic Citizen Cohn) since he's such a fascinating, complex and charismatic figure, and going by the description (a mentor-protege story) and title of the movie (which is not just a reference to Trump's reality show but also to the fact he's been described as Cohn's apprentice), and just knowing the basic facts or who Cohn was and the impact he had on Trump, this should be the type of supporting role rhar Philip Seymour Hoffman had un The Master or Jude Law in The Talented Mr Ripley - the kind of performance and screen presence that the movie kind of revolves around and really hinges on. He should be dominating the movie when he's on screen, and his absence and influence should be felt once he's gone (if we see how Trump 'develops' after his death). And I can't wait to see Jeremy Strong in that role.
And if the movie is really well received, I can also see it getting other nominations/awards, for other performances, writing, maybe even directing and picture.
If Sebastian Stan knocks it out of the park, it will greatly improve his chances of Best Actor nomination, but I think he's still more likely to be nominated for A Different Man, a movie he won the best actor award at the Berlinale, and which sounds like an incredibly complex performancfe where he spends a lot of time under heavy makeup and has a huge transformation midway through the movie. So having two different and strong lead performances would go in his favor, but I suspect they may choose to nominate him for A Different Man if for no other reason than because they will still feel uncomfortable with nominating someone for playing Trump, the way they weren't when it came to nominating Bale for playing Cheney or Rockwell for playing George W Bush, because those two were not participating as candidates in the elections at the time. No matter how unflattering the movie's portrayal of Trump is, some members may be thinking along the lines of 'no publicity is bad publicity'.
Throwing out Hamnet as nobody seems to be acknowledging it. There's a slight chance it comes out this year, and if it does... I expect Jessie Buckley and Paul Mescal (both playing Shakespeare's) to be contenders for the win
Probably coming out 2025 instead of 2024
Agree with Sing Sing being either #1 or #2 and I think people are crazy thinking Dune could win but that’s just me
This might be a dumb question but how do people already know that Sing Sing is gonna be an oscar contender when it hasn't released yet? I don't understand.
"a little late to the party" lmao I hollered
Oh you're just doing picture on this one? BrotherBro! Are we getting the Young British Actor poll and DGA poll?
My picks for 2025 Oscars:
Sing Sing, The Nickel Boys, Dune Part 2, Blitz, Joker: Folie a Deux, The Piano Lesson, A Real Pain, Oh, Canada, Megalopolis, Conclave
Possible surprises:
Juror No. 2, The Apprentice, Holland, Michigan, Long Day's Journey into Night, Here, Emmanuelle, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, Bird, Gladiator 2
Very outside chances:
Kinds of Kindness, Queer, Maria, Mother Mary, Hard Truths
Best Actor:
Colman Domingo
Joaquin Phoenix
John D. Washington
Richard Gere
Sebastian Stan
Possible surprises:
Paul Mescal
Ralph Fienneas
Ed Harris
Ethan Herrise
Kevin Costner
Best Actress 2025:
Saoirse Ronan
Lady Gaga
Angelina Jolie
Jessica Lange
Noèmie Merlant
Possible surprises:
Tessa Thompson
Michaele Coel
Zendaya
Nicole Kidman
Glenn Close
Marianne Jean-Baptiste
Best Supporting Actor 2025:
Samuel L. Jackson
Kiernan Culkin
Stanley Tucci
Stephen Graham
Clarence Maclin
Possible surprises:
Jacob Elordi
Austin Butler
Brendan Gleesson
Harvey Lawfey
Paul Bettany
Best Supporting Actress 2025:
Danielle Deadwyler
Uma Thurman
Robin Weight
Toni Collette
Nathalie Emmanuel
Possible surprises:
Hong Chau
Zazie Beetz
Isabella Rosselini
Catherine Keener
Ariana Grande
Guys you can ask me my reason for the choices.
Also tell me if you like my pick
furiosa at 18 for picture! it didn’t even make the shortlist for visual effects lol. everything is so funny to look back at.
I know you know this, but this is 9 months old. It wasn't a crazy, out of nowhere prediction
brother bro is looking right !
you still dont have your personal favorite movies of last year though. well, i know your number one now, but i'm curious of the rest . 😆
A24's Mother Mary:
Best Picture
Director- David Lowery
Original screenplay
Cinematography
Production design
Hair and makeup
Original song- jack antonnof/Charli xcx
Best actress - micaela coel
Supporting actress - Anne Hathaway and Hunter schafer
not happening
@@martin3980 sure
I really believe in Dune Part 2 as the #1. Even though I can understand the love for Sing Sing at SAG, I have a hard time believing BAFTA or PGA going for it. Aside from maybe Domingo for Best Actor, there is not much else I see it winning throughout awards season. Big thanks for the awesome video.
The History of Sound is NOWHERE CLOSE TO HAPPENING LET ALONE GETTING RELEASED THIS YEAR
Dune 2 shouldn’t be penalized for being Dune 2 IMO Timothee Chalamet & Rebecca Ferguson should be nominated they both brought arcs to their character which was believable they carried both movies & should at least get nominations
Come on guys after the complete lull at theaters. He brought ppl in AMC said if it wasn’t for Timothee Chalamet
They wouldn’t have made anything he deserves it
Inside Out 2 : Best Animated Feature (Winner)
Gladiator 2 : Technical Categories (Probably will lose to Dune Part Two)
Here : Best Picture Nominee (FTW)
I'm not sure about inside out 2 winning. On paper is a proper placeholder but consider is a sequel since we know how the academy treat non toy story sequels. I can see the oscars awarding other properties next year
i actually saw a test screening for blitz back in like october and idk i didnt love it but i cant tell whether it was actually bad or if it just wasnt my cup of tea
the first 5 minutes alone tho will defo lock in its sound nomination haha
do you think saoirse can get nominated?
@@Ella-gb7no i saw it quite a long time ago so i dont remember too much of her performance but i dont recall her having any super impressive scenes, in fact the young boy mostly in the film had way more of a memorable performance
not joking when i say i’ve been checking twice every day since the oscar’s for this video
surprised you guys didn't mention The Bikeriders or Hit Man. ultimately I think they'll both miss, but Austin Butler in Bikeriders shouldn't be ignored and Hit Man was one of the most well liked films at the festivals last year too and Glen Powell is superb in it
They mentioned Hit Man
After the Oscars is right before the Oscars. Let´s FU§$§NG Go.
You know Tilda Swinton is an Oscar winner, right? Also, Wild Tales is an anthology film and it was nominated for Best Foreign Language Film, so was Dogtooth, while The Lobster was nominated for Original Screenplay, you underestimating Lanthimos once again!
this video ending mid-sentence is sending me
You should do one of those videos reacting to your predictions from last year.
Keep O’dessa on your radar. It’s an indie film starring Sadie Sink and Kelvin Harrison Jr.
I’m on team Megalopolis and if it sucks then oh well, but I really want it to be good. FFC doing a sci fi is just too cool of a concept for me to not get excited.
If big boy francis nails this even by the slightest then it'll be the best comeback ever..hope there's an audience for it
I disagree with We Live in time, apparently some people saw early screenings and said that Andrew and Florence gave very weighty and emotional performances/ apparently one of them dies?
15:57 clearly you haven’t watched Brenden Gleason in The Comey Rule.
Thank you for feeding my addiction 😂😂😂 love you guys!!!