'China May Not Provoke Conflict But Will Strike If Opportunity Presents'
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 10 ก.ย. 2024
- In our series on one year since the clash in the Galwan Valley, we talk to Dr. Shen Ming-Shi, a former Taiwanese army colonel who is presently a fellow at the Institute for National Defense Security Research in Taipei. He says China may not provoke another clash on the disputed border with India, but China will use every opportunity including 'salami slicing', to strike at India.
In this context, he notes that China has beefed up its combined force units. The PLA now deploys a considerable number of long range artillery and rocket artillery units, which suggests it will play to its strengths. This could also be a reflection of its manpower weaknesses. China has not fought a war since the invasion of Vietnam in 1979 and it's not clear how the men would perform in close combat. Dr. Sheng believes that China has less men deployed on the LAC with India, and a considerable portion of these men are from border defence units whose training and resilience is suspect.
More in this interview with Dr. Shen Ming-Shi on one year since Galwan.
#India #Taiwan #China
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India’s main problem is political will. We made lot of mistakes early on accepting China’s foray into Tibet & One China policy with little in return.
We need political will to backtrack from those mistakes.
India should increase co operation with Taiwan. Very nice and humble people.
This was a good eposode indeed. Please bring more such experts from Taiwan. They know China better then anyone else.
Hope GOI is listening to Dr Ming - Shi.
The nonchalance at which the Indian military generals regularly dismisse any development regarding PLA deployments is concerning. Higher ground advantages still matter, no one is denying that but they should know better to pin their hopes on it, considering what they themselves managed to do to Pakistani infiltrators in kargill.
Dr. Shen makes some good points in terms of how we and Taiwan can work together to neutralise the advantage that China has. The Government should make earnest effort towards this end if they have not done so. And , Thank you , Stratnews for bringing this up.
Current Taiwanese government which supports Japan and US won a hair thin majority in 2014 elections. The previous administrations were China friendly and there is a huge support for good relationship with China. If you thought only Zelensky is a standalone case then you are wrong. US has worked tirelessly for decades to bring a party of choice into power in Taiwan. Also, there are massive protests in Taiwan at this very moment opposing arrival of US delegations. But you don't see it in news do you? Do remember you didn't see news of 50 ethnic Russians being locked in a shop in Odessa in 2014. You didn't see people being chased on streets and shot in 2015. You also didn't see any news of 15,000 deaths in Donbass. That said I am not preaching any morality. Id supporting Taiwan helps strategically we should do that. But don't be under any illusion that Taiwan has always been pro democracy and Taiwanese hate Chinese and all that bullshit.
@@14077goodluck No Illusions. 'An enemy's enemy is my friend' We should be using any support in nuetralizing China's power.
India Taiwan both need to extend their cooperation in every field....If china can use pakistan against India why not India - Taiwan can't do...Rightly said By Guest from Taiwan
Excellent discussion on insights and understandings... Congrats to the prof from Taiwan and the host for a great show... Best wishes....
Excellent analysis and inputs shared by Dr. Shen . Star Stratnews is the best source of information. Jai Hind 🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳
India is too predictable and linear in its approach.
THATS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THUG BULLY AND AGGRESSOR NAMED CHINA AND LINEAR APPROACHED INDIA. BUT SURELY WITH THUG AND BULLY YOU HAVE TO ACT LIKE BIGGER THUG TO THWART ANY MISADVENTURES. SO YES THAT WAY I AGREE
You are right and the Indian army does not take take initiative but reacts to PLA or moves. The army has been very poor at proactive defense and active aggression, this is probably due to the cowardyce interference and incompetence of IAS babus in the MoD and Ajit Doval has NOT performed well WRT to the CCP/PLA threat: The Modi govt has been caught flat footed WRT CCP China. It's time they take the initiative.
@@repealsection230forbigtech4 I really think it’s cowardice. If the government gave the Army and Navy a free hand as they do in case of Pakistan, I’m sure the Chinese would be on the back foot in multiple areas. Being proactive is the key.
LETS SEE TIMES ARE CHANGING FAST. THANKS TO WUHAN VIRUS, CHINA HAS XPOSED ITSELF TO THE WORLD. SO ATLEAST NOW WE ARE RECOGNISING PAJISTAN IS SMALL FLY BUT ITS CHINA THE REAL THREAT. SO NOW HOPEFULLY WE DON'T BE WHACKED AS HAPPENED IN LATE 50s and EARLY 2020s.
@@adm7038 I agree, cowardyce by the babus and political class who have fallen for the absurd narrative that the PLA and PLAAF are strong, they are not.
Wonderful insights!! Thank you professor. We highly appreciate your suggestions.
Learning Mandarin is super idea.
It's easy.
This is one of the best episode 👍
Excellent!
China is preparing these 20 years old Fujian soldiers to get fighting experience in tough terrains in the Indo-Tibetan border to face the Taiwanese when the time comes. That is why we have young Fujian soldiers who are close to Taiwan.
I think it's more than two years now to Galwaan incident
Dr. Shih shares a lot of insights and amazed at his answers how Taiwan can help especially exchange students to Taiwan defence university or so.
Some major flaws pointed out by Dr Shen. But a little surprising that these have not already addressed by the Indian army. Hope they don’t get caught out on the back foot like they did in 62!!
That was an excellent and highly informative. The Indian military has to get serious: they need to get fluent in Mandarin spoken & written: I did it, it's not difficult at all. The spoken part is much easier with immersion. Don't let the 2000 to 3000 characters intimidate you there are mnemonic hints in each character. The characters (hanzi) are beautiful.
Both Taiwan and India have common challenge.. I wonder what will it take for the two governments to have a joint military exercise in south china sea.
Can you include subtitles or a transcript of the conversation?
Thank u for a well researched, well presented analysis. The legacy media is a lost cause to obtain fair, reliable news.
To conclude we must also do salami slicing as large area of our border is not open to us we must actively develop infrastructure to safeguard our border and stop adventurism on borders this will put china's G218 highway under threat china is sending localities of the area to these areas rather than military Indian govt should engage with border localities rather than deploying regiments with too much spending
It's time India should push PLA in their Kennal in Akshai chin
1 year since Galwan happened? This must be an old episode
yea it is an old episode
They were hacked
I heard that Taiwan has the same expansionist ideology as China about India. Is it true?
technology exchange with Taiwan will be a win-win situation for both countries. I wonder why our so called experts have not put this in motion yet.
overhyping the pla nothing else.In battle pla starts crying
2:03 Map showing Aksai-Hind as a part of China.
It should be shown to every Indian. Then only our people will start asking the right questions. Everyone should know that the maps we were shown in class 5 are not real. Then only every Indian will ask why it is so. BTW if you pull any map before 1962 war you wont see a clear boundary there as well. It's mentioned as uncharted territory. Indians should ask government if it is really our territory and if yes then what are we doing to get it back. It should be highlighted in bright Red color to draw attention in my opinion.
@@14077goodluck Aksai Hindh is a part of Tibetan plateau, but it is very well documented that British India captured it from Tibet and that is how it became a part of India, confirmed by the official political map of present day India.
@@NativeVsColonial Show me a map pre 1959-62 period. Currently published map is according to current stance. If British left it with us then it should be clearly demarcated right? Else every country will start publishing map and start claiming territory. I am not disputing your point but th maps that I have seen till date have no clear demarcation.
Suppose suddenly India becomes powerful enough to reacquire the lands then we should know till where we can go right? Just show me a map dated before 1959-62 and I will fully support your point.
Ukraine War has shown changing dynamics of modern warfare where no-contact war dominates using drones, cruise missiles, gun locating & radar evading or radar hunting missiles and where the infantry can move to secure enemy territory only after the area is properly degraded & sanitized. China’s one child policy has forced China to substitute technology to compensate poor quality of its princely soldiers.
India must prepare to upgrade matching technology. Active participation in QUAD will secure maritime boundaries to spare more funds for the Army & the Air Force as also induction of Theater Command System. Induction of Agnipath Scheme will also spare more funds for high tech capital acquisition. As China has greater strategic requirements on its eastern Pacific border, cooperation with Taiwan & Pacific countries through QUAD will greatly help.
Simultaneously India should have adequate mountain divisions & capability to stretch China along the entire Indo-China border. Russian Report, Gordon Chang’s US Report & Australian report have all confirmed that even during treacherous surprise attack by Chinese army in Galwan, it got severe drubbing at the hands of Indian warriors killing 60-150 Communist Army's princely boys & forcing Xi Jinping to change his General commanding his Western Theatre Command (WTC) 4 time since his Galwan debacle.
@G Bhatia Please call it Indo-Tibet Border, thats why we have the Indo Tibetan Border Police(ITBP) Force guarding the Border in the Himalayas. Please don’t invite the Chinese at your Borders.
Cannot follow the language
Then the problem is yours because his English was fine.