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Ooooo... Is asean planning anything for China thing or is America planning anything.. I wanna see a video about thatttt, nice video btw, I like thy content
So, my country, Bulgaria, decided to participate in such an amazing project for independence.. Amazing news...
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Easy way just stop sanctioning Russia that starves the masses in Russia which forces them to nationalism, conduct social movements among youth in Russia and connect the Russian people to European social movements automatically they see no need authoritarian government. When you say Russia all time the as enemy people will be defensive of their country just attack all ruling MPs.
When will you do a overview over my country INDONESIA,it have a underrated geopolitic,i mean the last year election almost ignite a civil war and a massive radical muslim uprising(which thank god didn't happen) Not to mention indonesia have a big impack on international trade junction and also one of the highest export of spices and other hard raw material
@Lukasz Dziubalski RAID SHADOW LEGENDS, THE ULTIMATE RPG ON MOBILE! AVAILABLE NOW FOR FREE! JOIN MILLIONS OF USERS EQUALLY AS BRAINDEAD AND SHALLOW AS MY EX GF, WHICH IN TURN SAYS A LOT ABOUT MY OWN POOR LIFE CHOICES... That is basically Raid.
@Lukasz Dziubalski It's a terrible game and predatory garbage. The whole game is built to milk cash off gullible people. It's become a meme since it is advertising on about every other youtube channel
Returning to these slightly older string of videos in the current day in age of the Ukraine-Russian standoff issue is really starting to draw a clearer picture of what has been happening for the last century or so in Eastern Europe, where I have struggled to quantify the "good vs bad". I enjoy history but having it described and illustrated in this form of geopolitics is a huge learning boon for me.
As far as i´ve come to understand, both sides are at fault, ( some more, some less, in some way or another). Both Europe and USA have their own interests, that as any state, country or union are very entitled to have and to pursue. I would say that the western interests are overall more benefic to the world and benign to society as a whole. Russia's interests in other hand are more focused inwards and to certain elites. Where the West failed was to de-escalate, very well known "worries" from the kremlin in regards of pursuing their agenda no matter what, and where Russia failed, was to cope with neighbor countries to have their own free will to join whom ever they want and to respect their sovereignty due to fears of the past. Also, all this is handy to Putin´s plan to close weak point in Russia that the former USSR controlled in the past. As many are saying, I dont think Putin wants the USSR back, but he wants the same strategic locations that allowed the Soviet Union the strenght geopolitaclly that it had. Putin also failed in this, instead of adapting his own country to cope with geopolitically weaknesses through more openess to the west, more transperency and social politics to his own people and foreign people he and the kremlin have instaed to deal with it by strengh, intimidation and military action. The west has failed in coping and validating russia's concerns in a way to avoid conflict and russia's has failed misserably in changing its own social-political system that will inevitably be its downfall. If russia had since Gorbachev a more favorable and friendly atitude towards the west relations between the two would be far more healthier. Also, I bet you will love this: th-cam.com/video/rkuhWA9GdCo/w-d-xo.html th-cam.com/video/8BOQ7dZxJ3Y/w-d-xo.html
@@senorsombrero1275 yep. here in the east, we like just drink vodka and kill each other mercilessly. besides peace for too long is so boring. and evrybody like to live in interesting times ;)
and includes austria-hungary from 1918 mod. tides of history will change, lets invade germany, and install a rightfull austrian leader (me) :D then lets recover the commonwealth for a eternal german/slav friendship and alliance
This seems to me to mimick the kingdom ruled by Louis the Great of Hungary, with personal unions between the crowns of Hungary, Croatia, and Poland. In Hungarian we literally have a saying that there used to be 3 seas washing the shores of the kingdom, wouldn't be surprised if the Polish/Croatians have this too
aims to link the region with fiber optics and 5g technology. Germany will help meanwhile in germany itself yeah E is good enough and the copper cables still run fine
Wonderful, isn’t it?) In high cabinets it’s also called honey badger strategy or even wolverine strategy. Insanely risky and short-sighted but can get some results
@@buretehudesi Russia never needed Europe. Russia is self-sufficient. But she would like to be friends with Europe, since they are neighbors. But the Anglo-Saxon world throughout its history carried the whole world a threat and enslavement. Do you know the History of the United States? Murderers and bandits from Spain, France and England destroyed almost all the Indians - the indigenous inhabitants of America. Such a "magnificent" gene pool of murderers was formed in America, now it is called the United States. India today is the largest colony in England, the largest vaccination experiments are being carried out there, which is why there are so many mutations there. Now tell me, is Russia really so terrible and terrible against the background of the actions of the Anglo-Saxons?
@@Benjamin-iu5ys 5-6 june 2019 was three seas summit in Słowenia ,your prezydent Borut Pahor know about this initiative then..Meeting was in Ljubljana.
@@eugeneszymczak4101 hmm i never heard of it...it was probably mentioned 1 time in news..and i also did not care so much about politics back than...but now i do...i also like this channel but i dont like everything that is said against russia like they are the aggressor...but what can we common folk do...politics are always dirty and it will stay that way
@@Benjamin-iu5ys teorethicly three seas id with USA blessing,that why is this anti russian stuff.I see that akward also.Especially if USA not invest too much to this initiative. However main idea can give real progress for us.Big north-south connection.
The ironic part about the Raid sponsorship being so unpopular, is that many people are commenting on it, thus driving up engagement metrics for the channel and mentioning the brand a lot, which is a positive effect for both the channel and the sponsor lmao.
@@jabloko992 It's not my game. I don't care about it and don't play it, just stating facts. Videos, where a lot of people comment, get paid better. It's called engagement and it's the reason why many youtubers ask you to write comments under the video. All the people complaining are literally proving that there is no bad publicity. If 10% more people comment under the videos with a Raid Shadow Legends ad, even if it's just to complain about the game, that is good for Shirvan. And the sponsors will see growing numbers of engagement when their ad is being played and offer more sponsorships. It's not like there is someone at the Raid Shadow Legends office reading youtube comments on small channels to figure out whether people are saying good or bad things about the game. if you want to stop the ads, you should stop watchign the videos that, not like/dislike, not share and not comment. That's how the algorhythm works.
@@peffiSC2source Raid shadow legends can get all the algorithm favoritism in the world if people don't install their stupid game and buy the microtransactions. Publicity doesn't pay you, stupid idiots wasting money on your trash game does (if you are raid, of course). It's good for Shirvan, yes, but that's only because the algorithm is dumb and can't tell the difference between disapproval and approval.
@@jabloko992 Why are you so invested in this? No one forces you to play the game. If it helps Shirvan make that content and has no negative impact on the quality of his work, I don't care if he is sponsored by a shitty mobile game.
Shirvan can spread Russophobia all he wants, everyone can see he is a Western puppet, while Russia defend one old Islamic republic he praises West which attacks ME countries. Shirvan isn't very moral person for Muslim and should know Allah won't forget him his lies.
@@zekerundo7952 Lol, democracy on planet full of stupid people isn't the answer. Democracy=rule of people. That doesn't exist almost nowhere. Our votes mean nothing, those who are rich buy politicians and politicians work for them, not for the people. Democracy is the biggest lie that exist.
@@vladavuckic5262 Brother, he is not a liar, this video explain the topic very clear and if you know history all central Europe will have the russian problem - you want that or not, anyway Shirvan made great job again,-Allahu alam, we are to short to decide what God will do ; regards
Have u seen what Pompeo said, he lie, he cheat, he steal, and Shirwan quotes him. Be real, Russia doesn't encroach Europe, NATO encroaches Russia, NATO lied when when they said they won't spread towards Russia. NATO is post Christian invasion force, Russia is Orthodox Christian beacon of light, with all of their flaws. And I'm glad I'm from Orthodox Christian Serbia which isn't on side of Satanic organization called NATO.
Wow! I'm Croatian, considering myself as not a total dilettant about international affairs and history, but never until now heard of this 3SI nor about the Intermarium project. Thank you so much, brilliant crew of the Caspian Report! Your analyses are very realistic and well informed. I guess that initiative would very easily attract Ukraine too, without so much upsetting Russia about NATO. Actually, accompanied by modern progressive Germany, that would be a powerful enough alliance to keep Russia in their yard. Shame we missed that opportunity.
@@vadim2120 and why shouldn't they? If this plan is known, it would deter aggression for risk of defeat, and thus peace is maintained, not out of the kindness of hearts but for the preservation of power.
He's really good. I hope he talks about the Taliban Peace Deal. While everyone else is distracted by coronavirus, the US is actually withdrawing from Afghanistan and has made a peace deal with the Taliban. This video makes a pretty sound analysis: th-cam.com/video/ETvZXoqqAJc/w-d-xo.html
@Ring-a-ding-ding baby As a Serbian I'm very content with my government. I like that my president and people in government slowly turn back on our true enemy, Germany and satellite states of Croatia and Albania. Also, it is good that some west poltroons have less than 5% approval with ordinary people. Only true friend of Serbia is Russia who never in our history, which is 6x older than some baby states lifespan (read US), attacked us, and which people died defending us, with they bones scattered all around our land, and they never took anything from us, like EU and US, who robbed us of our land in south. As we ordinary Serbians are alive our Brothers from Russia will have dedicated ally..
First sanctions, now corona and oil crash. If this year and next one doesn't improve they will be in a tuff spot anyways. Hopefully the big bear 🐻 won't go raging.
Man oh man, how a few days can change *EVERYTHING.* Like Lenin said, *_“There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen"_*
@天堂心臟 You're misinformed, its because people generally became more anti-social. Its happening everywhere in developed countries including your precious China.
@天堂心臟 wow, somebody feels like a lesser man. Maybe you should start practicing some Falun Gong and build up your inner confidence and spirituality a bit?😏
Anonymxuz 22 it’s all part of the simulation. It’s meant to push things along historically. We’ve stagnated since WWII in large changes, and the Devs decided to put in a little upheaval to shake things up a little.
i heard the climate based balancing patch is to be expected around midtime this century. It should balance out the human dominated meta, a little bit more. How ever we have to hope, that it will not escalate to a galoping climate change otherwise the server might become as unplayable like the Venus Server.
Indeed .Serbs; contrary to many believes were a true ally and a heavy hand with the Turks on many battlefields. do not forget that the ottoman were the protectors of the orthodox Christianity against the catholic church and the Habsbourgs .
@@essidmedamine8130 Not really, Serbia was a vassal of the Ottomans for a while, like Hungary was, also Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and every other nation Turkey conquered. Not exactly "allies". But sure if Serbia and Turkey decide to make an alliance they'll spin history as they see fir. Serbia received large investments from Turkey in the last decades.
Echoes of the past. Several countries in this agreement were part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire until 1918 - Austria, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, along with parts of Poland and Romania. And the strategic objective of that empire for centuries was to keep its disparate peoples together, and Turkey and Russia at bay.
There is one old Quote from F. Palacký: "If there would not be Austrian Empire, we would have to, in interest of Europe, of Humanity, to create it." (roughly translated)
Bingo! But this time China is the big player instead of the US. The US watches everything crumble, and tries to hold on to what little we have left. China expands their arms everywhere. China is literally forcing the US out of Europe, Africa and the Middle-east. China will have to us their military in the next decade to protect their interest, and deal with the unrest of the Middle-East. For the US, if they were smart they would just retreat, and face the truth, the glory days are over. Build better partnerships with Central and South America. However, the US won’t do that. Our politicians love war.
@@choncha23 Nah mate, China has an illusion of power in Europe, they made a bunch of promises and send money our way but no one is sure they will hold on to those promises, since they haven't always done so, but the U.S for example is still closely collaborating with Romania, in Romania they have anti-air systems, anti-missile systems and use our ports once in a while, lets not forget we're also part of NATO. Yes, China is becoming more powerful, but people are waaay overhyping their strength, U.S is still the Top Dog, and still their area of influence, power projection and military strength way outclasses China. Are we forgetting the U.S is on China's doorstep through Taiwan, South Korea and Japan? China would have to subdue all of those nations before extending their influence to other Continents in a serious manner.
I'm Croatian, yes we won on our soil. In later war against Serbian irregulars not like a full Serbian force by any means lol. On top of that, we aren't crazy to think it would be the same fighting the Serbs on their soil LOL. If we would even get to it lol
Help spread the word in your country! If the 3 there seas initiative succeeds Ukraine and Belarus will naturally lean towards it creating a bloc of nations with enormous potential, but it's s project for at least one or two generations. Bottom line is that the game on the Central European plains is a zero-sum game and Russia knows this. Do you know that Poland will not be extending any contract for natural gas with Russia and plans to become independent in that matter within 2-3 years? It's an enormous shift. Also: look at all the disinformation that Russia spreads all the time including the COVID19. They send aid to Italy while spreading fake news about Poland ceasing the transport or not allowing the planes to fly over Poland. It's meant to harm perception and create an atmosphere where Russia is seen as a reasonable good guy and Central European counters as obsessed idiots. Goal: lift the sanctions and get back to BAU. It's happening bro!
@@lantinian my brother served alongside Bulgarians in the Mid East. He speaks very highly of them and has maintained friendships since then. Cheers to you in Bulgaria🍺!
@Manchac washer what's a Canada and Mexico are allied with Russia and they've moved their missiles into that area I think we'd be real comfortable with that
Seems like it. That's also why I didn't understand his comments on the Baltic states not being a historical part of this. Lithuania, and to a certain extent Latvia, can certainly be counted historically.
At least AH and PL would provide some much needed balance between East and West Europe ie Germany. And Russia sucks. Trust me from experience you do not want to live under them or their influence. Truth is there will always be a stronger central power keeping smaller countries together
I don't understand the point of this project. Our country doesn't need to annex most of those countries. Baltics, sure. The population there can be easily assimilated (the population of all the Baltics is far less than the city of St. Petersburg, can you imagine) and geogpraphicly speaking the region is quite valuable. Belarus, East and Central Ukraine (which are not part of the group) - yeah sure, those states never even existed before and the population is basically Russian. But Romania, Croatia, Slovenia? Or Slovakia, Hungary, Cezh Republic? Literally no point since the natural borders will be defensible enough already from NATO. And it's just too much trouble with the population for basically no reason. Poland is kinda valuable I guess but everyone here despise polaks anyway so it's doubtful.
Fantastic job pulliing together so many pieces, all of these moving historical parts, into a complete coherent compelling lesson! Bravo, Shirvan. You have impressed us for a long time, and you keep upping your game. Keep it going, bro.
@IMxYOURxDADDY We in Germany would much rather have a strong eastern euro zone than having to ramp up our own defenses. Germany sees Russia as a threat, however ramping up our own military would just alienate our neighbors. Sadly our former chancellor Schroeder is undermining us all working for Gazprom.
TMSupreme 77 Ik bedoel dat die Beinsa Douno een Groot Bulgarije voor zich zag. Ten koste van andere omliggende landen. Dat is iets anders dan Oost Europese samenwerking
Shirvan, you do a magnificent job on all your videos together with Mr. Garibli and Mr. Barbacaru. I only wish the three of you could interest American high school and university students more. We need more of your insights in our young people for them to make more educated decisions about their world. Well done!
@@robgfiness2808 The reality is, the EURASIAN Union is World Power number 1 as of recent. And the EU and NATO have just lost another chess peace. Trump just admitted that.
@@marcodiepold2065 If you are European then you should already know that capital inside the EU has home-land. Germans and French like to screw the rest, and claim that they just helped the eastern EU. Consider the whole industry of my Hometown Szolnok (Hungary) French decommissioned the Sugar factory, the Germans the local Chemical plant, Finnish the local paper mill, and Sweden and Italy killed the local Furniture industry, Germans killed the Shoe factory in Martfu...
@@Misuci Sounds exactly like what was happening in Poland. I'm glad we've stopped it for now. Magyar brothers always with us. Eternal friendship and glory to all Hungarian brothers and sisters!
@天堂心臟 my ancestors weren't fucking Nazis. And if they had been, they'd probably be as racist towards Asians as they would've been towards Muslims. So fuck off.
@天堂心臟 Okay. So, since you clearly have a superior IQ as you've discovered how to be racist, please explain to me, poor simpleton, how to defend my origin, my culture, my tradition WITHOUT any "nazi or fascist" (you should really learn to spell that word, BTW) measures... Extermination? Eviction? Mass sterilization? Please, I'm curious. I mean, only a genius would take the time to hijack a joke thread in a TH-cam comment section to post some totally unrelated racist diatribe.... I await your enlightenement.
@@benoitbvg2888 the first step would be to not take in refugees and to only allow 10-15 year stay visas to immigrants from the middle east. Additionally, your government should kick start programs that will incentivise high native population growth. As a side note, these are the things that the oil rich arab states are actively doing right now.
@@medievalogic Not taking any refugees? That goes against my T R A D I T I O N S. They go back to the revolution, as well as "extreme" secularism, equality, etc. My great-grandmother was a Spanish republican refugee... No, I'm not gonna throw all of that away just because of a few (but very visible) troubled youths that belong to a certain religion have trouble "integrating"... I'm fine with taking little to no economic migrants, but you can't do that on racial/religious grounds. Then, it's up to the state to actually invest in the suburbs (employment and education), all while sending back or condemning those that spread their wahabi bullshit.
I suggest that it is the aggression towards the Western countries that is the problem, noone has any problem with Russian people, but their leader appears to want to hit others by invading, with weapons or cyber attacks, perhaps that is a good reason to be anti?
@@jeaniehammer9404 I accept my words, I don't understand why you don't. In fact the Russian people didnt actually vote Putin into power anyway, he is a dictator, so I am not sure that anyone but himself is responsible for all the aggression showed.
Dear Shirvan I have a question for you. Given 1) The regional significance of Greece as a naval, commercial (and potentially energy) power to the Mediterranean and the East and the significant economic ties with the Balkans and especially Bulgaria and Romania and 2) The ever increasing need of containing Turkey's assertiveness in the region, why isn't Greece included in the scopes of the Three Sees initiative? Couldn't it play a significant role in the very south branch of the initiative?
I was scrolling through the comments to check weather someone had already posed this question. Still no elaborate answer though. Indeed via Carpatia is supposed to reach Greece. Maybe Greece didn't want to take a prominent part in this contra-russia initiative?
It sounds like any countries that want to join in the 3 seas initiative need to apply to do so. Best guess is that as of the time of the video Greece hasn't yet felt the need to apply. As it expands and takes off it will become more and more beneficial to other countries making them want to join. And as more join it will lend more credibility and financial stability to the initiative. I was personally thinking that Ukraine could likely benefit from joining the 3SI at this time (January 2022) due to the fact that it would provide them more trade access and increase the likelihood of other nations willingness to help them out. Either way it's going to be interesting to see how various nations over there will react to Russia throwing their weight around. I could see their actions pushing several nations to want to strengthen the 3SI. Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Ukraine, Italy, and Greece would all benefit from this as a means of pushing back against Russia.
@@calebbearup4282 , yes, but the project is already very expensive, and more nations joining it will make it even more expensive at the initial stage (long initial stage). I am sure this is taken into account. So as far as Greece, it already has a good internal infrastructure, and plugging it into the project shouldn't be difficult. But Ukraine is clearly surrendered to Putin. I wouldn't rely on Finland either, it doesn't participate in anything remotely related to NATO.
I'm a romanian and I love all of the Eastern European countries because we all share the same pain. Hope the project goes well to create an oasis of prosperity for all of us.
@@irasthewarrior expansion fetish? You mean getting your land back? Russia GAVE Crimea out of the kindness of their heart to Ukraine in the 80s LOL. The population of Crimea is like 90+% Russian anyways. Fck off you moron.
@@blackmagick2767 You have a very humbly language that resonate with the orthodox values you're so eager to advertise. I was talking about my country, not Crimea. Russian aggression towards its neighbors isn't new and I don't want to be dictated by putinists with a bronze-age mentality. You talk as if you try to convince yourself that you don't live in a nasty country ruled by a corrupted dictator. I prefer to be called moron, gay or whatever by ignorants, than to live under russian occupation/mentality.
Interesting video! I need to remember to read up more on this initiative :) As a Bulgarian, I know that unity makes strengths (saedinenieto pravi silata). Closer cooperation with our neighbours to push out foreign interference is what we have desperately needed to do since the founding of our countries. I hope that this is achieved, so that we may all prosper as a people. I do have some worries though. Ultimately, while Russia will not doubt seek to use us for its own ends, we still harbour far more similarities than differences with them. So, while the initiative seems helpful to us, we should not (and more importantly cannot) ignore Russia. Especially when you compare to our "patron", the U.S.A. I worry that the reality is this; central and eastern Europe (for multiple reasons) is just too weak and poor compared to our powerful neighbours. So, some interference from our more powerful neighbours seems inevitable. Regardless of how difficult it would be to do this, I think that for the three seas initiative to benefit us, we need to avoid any patron whatsoever. In politics, there are no friends. There are only interests. So, despite the U.S.A wanting to see Russia contained, they will not give us the money unless they benefited from doing so in some direct way. I fear that his will be the equivalent of being under Russian dominance, just from another superpower. Another worry is that the biggest issue with the three seas initiative is its own participants. I cannot speak for all of my neighbours, but I know that Bulgaria is unfortunately riddled with corruption and organised crime that controls the country and its politics. In a country of just under 7 million people, we have over 100 MPs for example. Much of our politicians do not have the competency or will to try and change this. Unless this changes, then we cannot aim as high as the three seas initiative currently seems to be aiming. Please do not mistake my worry for scepticism. I want this initiative to live up to the hope that it is stirring up in me. But some realism is needed. What do others think? :D
I don't think Western Europe is too poor or powerless to help the initiative, but it does lack the political will to upset the current balance of power. Western Europe is perfectly happy using your countries for buffer states, but not putting money into your economic and political development. As for America, it depends. We certainly only would give you money for our own ends, but party politics might benefit you if it swings one way or another. For what it's worth, having a Democrat in the White House might help your cause. Trump knows he has to contain Russia, he just doesn't care much about it. Also for what it's worth, American interest in Eastern Europe is so haphazard and distant that, frankly speaking, it leaves you more free to have a patron in Washington than one in Russia or Germany. We simply lose interest in other countries after a few news cycles, for better and for worse. I also agree about the corruption problem. It's endemic to much of Eastern Europe, though I don't want to make it a stereotype. I think Western help would be best served in assisting your own countries' law enforcement and anti-corruption efforts so your own money can be better-spent on the programs that help you. At least in that way you'll have more say in how it's spent. But this is sadly all theoretical, we in the US have our own problems with horrible corruption in politics.
I think that American dominance wouldn't be the same as Russian dominance due to Russia's geographical proximity. You would never have the threat of being straight up annexed by the usa. Independence from any superpower would be the best possible case, but I agree with you that that isn't a realistic option. How does Bulgaria combine having close ties with Russia together with EU membership? In my head those two don't go together.
As a russian citizen, I think Germany will try to never allow Poland to become a center of power in Europe, especially not in the EU. I`ve heard about this initiative around 5 years ago in russian politically themed blogs. And it was described by russian sources as a project of polish origin from early 2000`s to recreate the Greater Poland, and as heavily colliding with Western Europe countries interests (which rule the EU). Poland is actively trying to gain more weight in EU by leaning on to help from the US, but the US is pursuing the other goal - making EU economically dependant on US resources and goods and undermining it`s political power. As you have correctly said, the planned members of the "Greater Poland" are not in the best shape themseves (corruption, shrinking population and ecenomies etc.) so money has to come from somewhere else. Without this polish european "coup-de-tat" backed up by hundreds of billions US money the project is not feasible. Also what will the US get in return from new Intermarium that will cover it`s costs? The First World has other problems to spend money onto nowadays.
I feel that Bulgaria and to a smaller extent Slovakia will have a more difficult time taking this plan to its conclusion due to cultural ties. They are still Orthodox, Cyrillic-script countries with intertwined histories, and there may be a reluctance among the public to support such measures in a democracy. Poland, Estonia, and Lithuania, on the other hand, will probably push for the program the hardest; Poland in particular has been pushing for the dissolution of the Russian Federation for decades. I am unsure of what America's specific goal is, but I can almost guarantee that they will agree to and continue to find the program itself. I think that Russia can counter the strategy if it utilizes its resources more efficiently and develops it's economy. Soft power matters. As for the countries, I don't know whether this is good for them. Trading one superpower for another is still risky- Eastern Europe is politically useful to the U.S. as a buffer region against Russia, but I don't think American policymakers actually care about its well-being. The countries could end up like so many Latin American states if they're not careful. In the end, while they should strive for economic and political independence, geopolitical realities cannot be ignored and these countries need to find a strategy that balances freedom with security.
If you want to see how souvereign the countries are, who are "allied" with the USA, just have a look at the Baltic states. The laws there are basically made in Washington. To some degree the same goes for any other country which has American Military on its soil. Be careful which people you call friends let into your home!
Eh the alliance shifting between the balkans and the turks stretches back centuries. Europe is an ever shifting landscape of allies enemies. Who would of foreseen France and Germany being the closest of allies 100 years go?
@@dejankojic4293 Serbia and Turkey allying with each other will also depend on Russia and Turkey being on friendly terms so it will be more balanced than you make it out to be. Such an arrangement will likely also improve relations all over the Balkans so such a Neo-Ottoman Empire might not necessarily be worse than the Neo-Roman Empire were the Balkans are in now especially since they have a difficult and complex relationship with Russia and Turkey. The problem is that many haters don't want to see anything that benefits Russia or makes Turkey too big to handle. They don't like that kind of change.
Brilliant. However, if Serbia is going to be a Russian ally, then I am struggling to see how is it going to align itself with Turkey since Turkey and Russia (since the recent Idlib events) are at a confrontation. So either Serbia is going to somehow balance between Turkey and Russia or it is going to have to stand against Turkey while further aligning itself with Russia.
Adding more complexity to the issue is Serbia’s recent proclamation of allegiance to China because of EU not willing to sell medical equipment for the Corona virus
Russia and Turkey will have probably a dynamic relationship in the future too like today. while they are rivals in Mideast and Central asia, they will be most probably in a cooperation in Balkans against German influence with Turk Stream alike projects.
Turkey and Russia are at odds in the middle east, not in Europe. This might as well be the reason they havent ignited a full out war over Idlib, valuable partner could be lost in European affairs over something arguably much less important.
Lmao, Turkey also downed Russian plane in 2017 or something and still relationships continue, they spin their alligeance but in the end return to being allies
yeah man he claims to be not biased but he is a very skilled anti russian propagator.russia is not good but in its conflict with the west at least theese last 30 years the west has instigated problems.what is russsia supposed to do stay there and get defeated like iraq syria
Long story short all major countries are bad. they just don't show you how bad they are or what they're doing to other countries for their benefit as simple as that they want to checkmate Russia yeah sure because Russia is bad or whatever but in reality all of them are bad especially if you dig deep present all the way back to the past and the west just want to hold power and be the upper hand from all aspects ''in the name of whatever excuse they will use next'' and Russia/China are holding them back which is actually good so they don't go all over the place (balance)
@@Dim.g0v no he is not tellinf like it is.If the theme of the west is russia is bad then he should go the extra effort to make the other side of the argument to present a clear picture. When you make a geopolitical analysis you should be as neutral as possible if though totally neutral is impossible.Everybody has its own alliances. But lets take a look at all his videos a out russia. Is ukraine goind to divide russia? The plan of nato to blackmail russia? The russian mindset= where he portrats russia as weak. The truth is that what he says about russia are to a certain extent true but they are even more true to europe. Europe is fragmenting every day and is so weak riding on americas back.If it were not for america russia would have dominated europe.Europe is so inefficient that it cannot solve integration problems with millions of emigrants who are a parallel society.
@@const1453 I think your own viewpoints and biases are leaking through my guy. If a disproportionately high amount of countries near to and associated with Russia harbor geopolitical interests contrary to that of Russia then that's something a video on their geopolitics will highlight. Simple as that. Russia is a villain to many and has its own internal issues. Same goes for the West and those are brought up too. I think you are a victim of confirmation bias.
One year later, and this is more relevant than ever. This video has really aged well (unfortunately, I may add). I suspect money will be a smaller problem henceforth.
Great video Shirvan. Lots of wisdom, historical background that indeed explains how countries feel about one another and potential alternative alignments.
Yeah agree, this channel is so informative (assuming it's accurate, I have no idea). But what I can't understand, is how building roads and pipelines is supposed to stop Russia expanding??? Is the idea to boost the economies, and thus be able to afford to expand the military?
@@faktorraptor91 i agree. I ment it doesnt fit the narrative shirvan is going with, its highly unlikely that he isnt aware of Hungarys ties to Russia and Turkey so his analiysis comes off as kinda disingenious
The political far right party of Austria made friends with Moscow a few years ago. They signed a weird open agreement about it! And of course Kurz' Center-Right must often team with the Far Right ... therefor NATO wisely stopped sharing certain things with the Austria government. I hope NATO is also cautious with Hungarian and Polish governments too. (Who else?)
You're underestimating the amount of weapons in Serbia, even outdated tanks and artillery are still tanks and artillery Also, Romania isn't part of the Balkans geographically
@@dylan__dog about 10 % is part of the balkans(so basically we've got a foot in there) and also Romania got a lot of army scrap trust me...more than u could imagine :) but obviously no one will going to use those thousands of scrap when we have acces to buy new tehnology from NATO allies :) especially when USA develops air bases and missile launch facilities in RO. With a pop. Of aprox 20 mil people i think serbia will have no chance even if they unite with hungary with all their scrap together .
Serbia is by history tied with Russia. With most of the country's around, Serbia fought wars: Balkan wars (against Turkey in first and in second Bulgaria), WW1 (Austro-Hungarian Empire, Germany, Bulgaria) , WW2 (Austria, Hungary, Germany, Bulgaria, Romania, Independent State of Croatia...), ex-Yu wars (Croatia and Slovenia). Plus most of those country's recognize Kosovo as independent country. But the policy makers in Serbia are leaning to the Germany more then to the Russia. Also it is very interesting not seeing Greece and Monte-Negro on the list of three sea country's.
"policy makers in Serbia are leaning to the Germany more then to the Russia"? Maybe on paper, in realty Serbia is cooperating more and more with Russia and China. While the lack of initiative of EU regarding Serbia is evident. All in all, unless the West installs an even greater puppet politician (since Vucic was groomed and installed into power by western intelligence agencies in order to recognize Kosovo), Serbia will not cut ties with Russia and China.
blastimir Kosovo is a lost case. No matter who is in the right here, things cannot change without a Serbian military invasion which will be extremely bloody and costly for both sides. Better accept is a country and move on. You can’t waste another generation on this debate. Both the Serbians and Albanians in Kosovo are suffering.
@TheSatanicTicTac because Russians are born imperialists, see USSR and the last 500 years of expansion. Even if you lose that territory it is still in their cultural memory as "ours"
I recently finished reading through on of Mackinder’s books on the heart and rimland. He kept mentioning how Eastern Europe was the pivot point to accessing the heartland. It’s wonderful how a book written so long ago is still relevant.
Germany joined the 3 Seas Initiative to contain Russia's advancement in Eastern Europe!?. But hey guess who supplies you 30 percent of your oil😆!! Russia occupied Crimea. Germany did not make a single noise, Why?? Guess again who supplies 30 percent of Germany's oil requirement😆!
Germany has alternative suppliers. And reserves. And alternative power options. And access to the Atlantic. So can simply ship oil in. Guess who is Russia's largest export market 😆!! The EU. Russia's economy, and access to the Atlantic depends on a happy Germany☺️
Germany is shifting its energy mix away from oil, coal and gas..among other because Russia is not trustworthy. So this 30% will sooner or later shrink to 0%.
Three Seas Initiative is Obsolete already. Russia Supplies Germany with Energy (Nord Stream 1 & 2). What Germany says goes in the EU and also 3 seas. Russia also Supplies Southern Europe through Turkey. Russia Supplies China to the East. Secondly, Kaliningrad assures Russian movement in the Baltic sea, Crimea assures movement in the Black Sea. Also, Gas from USA will cost 30%-40% more than that from Russia which would mean the 3 seas initiative countries would be Slaves to USA. On top of that 3 Seas Initiative countries Can Not Avoid the Belt and Road Chinese Project that will Run through them as well. Eventually they will have to give China attention also. Unless they want to be left behind and end up as a smaller version of the USSR.
@wargent99 Wait. You must think the Atlantic Ocean is actually a "pond" with little duckies swimming in it lol. It takes 7-10 days for a ship to cross the Atlantic Ocean with gas. It would take 1 million ships from US to cross the Atlantic ocean to match what Russia pumps through Nord Stream in one year. Also, Economics Has Nothing to do with EU's Feelings. So whatever Scare tactics the US uses to try and keep EU from getting Russia gas will Not work because Money talks. Its like instead of getting gas from your local gas station down the street, you want to drive 2 hours away to get gas from another gas station because you see that gas companies commercials on TV every day. Makes no sense money wise. Lastly, Russia has gas pipelines through Turkey, China, and Germany. Those countries don't see Russia as a threat. Therefore these 3 Seas countries are Paranoid ASF. Especially Poland who wants to be the leader of the 3 Seas countries lol.
@wargent99 oh yeah both EU and Russia WIN. EU gets 30%-40% cheap and Reliable gas from Russia to power it's industries and keep warm in the winter, and Russia gets Euro's. How is that Not a Win-Win? From a Business stand point it's the Best option on the table.
@wargent99 Relying on US gas is a threat. It's Economics. Economics beats Emotions and Feelings. Germany knows this. Turkey knows this and China knows this.
@wargent99 Russia isnt a Threat but if they get ecconomicly destroyed (what you for some moronic reason seem to wish for) they will be a very real threat. I dont now why so many poeple so desperatly want to have a failed state sh... hole with nukes on our continent, dont know were people get the notion from that suddenly a western liberal, secular democracy with LGBTQP rights will magicly materialize when russia collapses. And about the Gas... have fun convincing the EU Memberstates(especially the poorer ones) to pay 40% extra for your cold war reenactment larp^^ in the meantime we will finnish northstream2
It is very telling as far as the extent of this initiative is concerned that I as a highly politically engaged Czech have not heard until now about it. I know a lot about Polish fears of a German-Russian alliance and of a new appeasement policy (which is why Poland is millitarising rather quickly) and about the talk how the post-communist Central Europe rivals Russia in GDP and has frankly much better economic outlook but this initiative has been not known to me. And also, the Odra-Elbe-Danube canal is a wet dream of our president, Miloš Zeman (a half-senile drunkard and sinophile), and is certainly not economically viable, and I am not even talking about the enormous environmental impact. The public opinion certainly sees no gain from it. So I would delete that plan off the list.
Am I the only one who noticed a 1920's era car at 10:06 in front of the tram? Rather fitting talking about reviving Pilsudski's noble plan, hundred years late but still worth it
Good video, thanks. Four notes: 1. Pilsudski did invite the 3 small Baltic nations as well as Finland to enter into the Inter-Marium. 2. There is a fair amount of historic respect as well as competition among these states. When Russia attacked the Polish rear areas while the Poles were already battling the Germans, Romania aided the Polish Army in its withdrawal to North Africa, where the Poles again counter-attacked the Germans. In fact the Romanians even paid the Polish soldiers a living allowance during their time in Romania, allowing re-grouping, wound recovery, and re-organization. This was in defiance of Germany even though the Romanians had been pushed into a reluctant alliance with Germany. Poles remember gratefully. 3. During their relief of Turkey's siege of Vienna, an alliance of many of these nations (Poland, Lithuania, Ukraine, Austria, Germany) expelled the last Turkish occupation of Europe. This included history's most massive cavalry charge. 4. Pilsudski believed that all the nations in the proposed Inter-Marium were going to be attacked by the Soviets and the Nazis. It's unfortunate that their post WW I border skirmishing left them distrustful of each other and unwilling to pull together a common defense by the mid 1930s.
best solution for east europe is to be again under german, austrian, ottomen, russian and italic rule. east europe are weak and mostly useless independently
@Nadelwald Königsberg the answer for more European energy independence is the eastmed pipeline and specially the Eastern European countries must fight to build it as soon as possible.....!!!
The is a solid reason Intermarium included Ukraine, "3 seas" miss it completely - control exit from Azov sea and better secure Black sea to limit Turkey / Russia.
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Ooooo... Is asean planning anything for China thing or is America planning anything.. I wanna see a video about thatttt, nice video btw, I like thy content
So, my country, Bulgaria, decided to participate in such an amazing project for independence.. Amazing news...
Easy way just stop sanctioning Russia that starves the masses in Russia which forces them to nationalism, conduct social movements among youth in Russia and connect the Russian people to European social movements automatically they see no need authoritarian government. When you say Russia all time the as enemy people will be defensive of their country just attack all ruling MPs.
When will you do a overview over my country INDONESIA,it have a underrated geopolitic,i mean the last year election almost ignite a civil war and a massive radical muslim uprising(which thank god didn't happen)
Not to mention indonesia have a big impack on international trade junction and also one of the highest export of spices and other hard raw material
Be careful of mic Pop on your videos,it cheapens an otherwise professional production
"Serbia must seek alternative allies, that alternative is Turkey." lol yeah sure Serbs love them
Politics make strange bedfellows.
@@hendrikdependrik1891 this news article is fake.
Oh Serbia will do anything to be better than it's neighbours.
Just the fact that Russia gave serbia 600 milion $ of military equipment, and as the things are heading on,Serbia will have S-400 batteries.
@@TeslaForYourIQ hope so
Raid’s plan to checkmate TH-cam
@Lukasz Dziubalski RAID SHADOW LEGENDS, THE ULTIMATE RPG ON MOBILE! AVAILABLE NOW FOR FREE! JOIN MILLIONS OF USERS EQUALLY AS BRAINDEAD AND SHALLOW AS MY EX GF, WHICH IN TURN SAYS A LOT ABOUT MY OWN POOR LIFE CHOICES... That is basically Raid.
@Lukasz Dziubalski It's a terrible game and predatory garbage. The whole game is built to milk cash off gullible people. It's become a meme since it is advertising on about every other youtube channel
@Lukasz Dziubalski it's a mobile game
I think
Raid is great, they pay TH-cam creators good money 😁
In order to secure their independence, Latvia secured an external patron... RAID SHADOW LEGENDS
I prefer the ad for chocolate more than raid
Did you buy any chocolate to support the TH-camr? If no, and if no one else did, then it makes sense the sponsor changed.
@@BeezyNgeezY-ul1nu - Meh. Who knows how many more purchases a mobile game ad can actually get compared to a chocolate ad.
@Joaquín Perez Prieto as long as i got free content i don't care the sponsor is. Even if it is the US military.
@@muhammadabdullahhanif8860 Don't like the US military? Few of your cousins got drone striked?
@@HaraKiriMaxir lmao why so salty, bootlicker?
Returning to these slightly older string of videos in the current day in age of the Ukraine-Russian standoff issue is really starting to draw a clearer picture of what has been happening for the last century or so in Eastern Europe, where I have struggled to quantify the "good vs bad". I enjoy history but having it described and illustrated in this form of geopolitics is a huge learning boon for me.
TH-cam: "Russia’s Last War | Peter Zeihan" . This is a very good, pragmatic view on why Russia invaded Ukraine, and what are Russian future prospects.
there is no good v bad
@@Envojus he’s the goat of geopolitics and only guy who can explain it in a interesting way
Yup
As far as i´ve come to understand, both sides are at fault, ( some more, some less, in some way or another). Both Europe and USA have their own interests, that as any state, country or union are very entitled to have and to pursue. I would say that the western interests are overall more benefic to the world and benign to society as a whole. Russia's interests in other hand are more focused inwards and to certain elites.
Where the West failed was to de-escalate, very well known "worries" from the kremlin in regards of pursuing their agenda no matter what, and where Russia failed, was to cope with neighbor countries to have their own free will to join whom ever they want and to respect their sovereignty due to fears of the past. Also, all this is handy to Putin´s plan to close weak point in Russia that the former USSR controlled in the past. As many are saying, I dont think Putin wants the USSR back, but he wants the same strategic locations that allowed the Soviet Union the strenght geopolitaclly that it had. Putin also failed in this, instead of adapting his own country to cope with geopolitically weaknesses through more openess to the west, more transperency and social politics to his own people and foreign people he and the kremlin have instaed to deal with it by strengh, intimidation and military action. The west has failed in coping and validating russia's concerns in a way to avoid conflict and russia's has failed misserably in changing its own social-political system that will inevitably be its downfall. If russia had since Gorbachev a more favorable and friendly atitude towards the west relations between the two would be far more healthier.
Also, I bet you will love this:
th-cam.com/video/rkuhWA9GdCo/w-d-xo.html
th-cam.com/video/8BOQ7dZxJ3Y/w-d-xo.html
Y’know, if the project really wants funding, they should get a Raid: Shadow Legends sponsorship.
CaspianReport: *reveals Europe's plan to checkmate Russia*
Russia: well that was easy.
@Charles Darwin the founder of evolution lmao
Well its not like Russia’s plan is any more subtle, really both sides going back to their old ways, the old European game
@@senorsombrero1275 just like our sponsor, raid shadow legends!
😂😂😂😂
@@senorsombrero1275 yep. here in the east, we like just drink vodka and kill each other mercilessly. besides peace for too long is so boring. and evrybody like to live in interesting times ;)
So basically the hoi4 polish faction is back from the dead huh
Me and the boys while forming the cordon sanitaire 1939 circa.
The międzemorze or something which means between the seas
Kalyka 98 Intermarium
and includes austria-hungary from 1918 mod. tides of history will change, lets invade germany, and install a rightfull austrian leader (me) :D then lets recover the commonwealth for a eternal german/slav friendship and alliance
This seems to me to mimick the kingdom ruled by Louis the Great of Hungary, with personal unions between the crowns of Hungary, Croatia, and Poland. In Hungarian we literally have a saying that there used to be 3 seas washing the shores of the kingdom, wouldn't be surprised if the Polish/Croatians have this too
"Germany... which has interests to the east and west of its boarders." oh no...
@@acidecs2688 They actually wanted to do that i believe but Germany rejected it, but i am not sure
Oh, come on! Vertrauen Sie uns! We are peaceful by now. First take our money and then see us smile... 👹
Me, a Slavic Jew: *Sweats nervously*
>Is romanian
>Hears Romania is to make infrastructure
>LOL
laughing about the same thing
Adevărat. Extrem de amuzant!Ia auzi aici, infrastructură.
@@kevinboros7427 bai da alta gluma, Imaginează-ți aici sa facem trenuri de mare viteza ca in Japonia, din alea de prind 600 km/h :)))))
is corruption thaaat bad?
@@Alexander99602 În România, orice mai rapid decât o căruță e de mare viteză :))
aims to link the region with fiber optics and 5g technology.
Germany will help
meanwhile in germany itself
yeah E is good enough and the copper cables still run fine
HIGH QUALITY GERMAN COPPER CABLES!
Coming from Denmark with easy 100 up and down, to Munich, is absolutely frustrating... How come their fiber and wifi is so shit!?
It just works. All of it just works™
@@NicklasLinnemann Because we have a CDU/CSU / Merkel government, which only "maintains" instead of improve.
@@GordonSeal bruh, living in Bavaria, I get the full effect of the Cristian conservatism, I love it! So hilarious, gives a good round of laughs!
Todays episode is made possible by Raid Sha-
me: ⏩⏩⏩
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I want to like, but it’s at 69 so I dont
@@cube_2593 My like got it to 420
Lol same 🤣🤣🤣😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
1:28
I think we need a follow-up episode on this one.
If they wait for Romania to finish one infrastructure they will be flying cars until then.
Like some countries in the West, Romania & Ukraine need to INSTILL honesty in government! Corruption (mostly bribes) must be BRUTALLY punished....!
@ bribes in romania are not that common anymore like they were 10-20 years ago
however ukraine is a shltshow
Bro, what did you smoke? 😆
@@veneps7862 Bribes. Not common. Romania. Aahahaahhahahahaha
@@covalschieugen8682 they are, but they're not as common as they were in the past
You can`t checkmate someone who has habit of picking chess board and beating opponent over the head with it.
😀
Wonderful, isn’t it?) In high cabinets it’s also called honey badger strategy or even wolverine strategy. Insanely risky and short-sighted but can get some results
most underrated comment
@Roblox Troll Just wait untill nato sugardaddy crumbles down and see who will touch who.
@Roblox Troll zzz zzz you live in fantasy land. The US will be in full-blown civil war by next year, you will be killing each other off.
This plan won’t work now because you made a video on it.
Aussie Boy brilliant 😂👌
@Ezio Auditore perhaps its south hemisphere 😂
Aussie boy deserve a cookie........
And they would have gotten away with it too if it wasn't for those meddling kids...
and that's good
Russian Kaliningrad: exists
Eastern Europe: There is one imposter among us.
Kaliningrad is gonna be neutralized on the first occasion. The same gonna hapened to Crimea and east Moldova.
@@buretehudesi Russia never needed Europe. Russia is self-sufficient. But she would like to be friends with Europe, since they are neighbors. But the Anglo-Saxon world throughout its history carried the whole world a threat and enslavement. Do you know the History of the United States? Murderers and bandits from Spain, France and England destroyed almost all the Indians - the indigenous inhabitants of America. Such a "magnificent" gene pool of murderers was formed in America, now it is called the United States.
India today is the largest colony in England, the largest vaccination experiments are being carried out there, which is why there are so many mutations there.
Now tell me, is Russia really so terrible and terrible against the background of the actions of the Anglo-Saxons?
@@ezbounce1288 Wherever russia go there is poverty. Do you want examles? come back to me. There is too many to tell you in one go.
@@buretehudesi Russia does not conduct military interventions. The USA and their henchmen do it.
@@ezbounce1288 georgia,ukraine ???
Funny, my country is a part of the plan, yet, I haven't heard a thing about it...
Where You from?
Yea same..i'm from Slovenia and its the first time i've heard of this
@@Benjamin-iu5ys 5-6 june 2019 was three seas summit in Słowenia ,your prezydent Borut Pahor know about this initiative then..Meeting was in Ljubljana.
@@eugeneszymczak4101 hmm i never heard of it...it was probably mentioned 1 time in news..and i also did not care so much about politics back than...but now i do...i also like this channel but i dont like everything that is said against russia like they are the aggressor...but what can we common folk do...politics are always dirty and it will stay that way
@@Benjamin-iu5ys teorethicly three seas id with USA blessing,that why is this anti russian stuff.I see that akward also.Especially if USA not invest too much to this initiative. However main
idea can give real progress for us.Big north-south connection.
The ironic part about the Raid sponsorship being so unpopular, is that many people are commenting on it, thus driving up engagement metrics for the channel and mentioning the brand a lot, which is a positive effect for both the channel and the sponsor lmao.
all that's being said is how trash it is, are you sure that everyone trashing your game is a good thing?
It's a meme at this point.
@@jabloko992 It's not my game. I don't care about it and don't play it, just stating facts. Videos, where a lot of people comment, get paid better. It's called engagement and it's the reason why many youtubers ask you to write comments under the video. All the people complaining are literally proving that there is no bad publicity. If 10% more people comment under the videos with a Raid Shadow Legends ad, even if it's just to complain about the game, that is good for Shirvan. And the sponsors will see growing numbers of engagement when their ad is being played and offer more sponsorships. It's not like there is someone at the Raid Shadow Legends office reading youtube comments on small channels to figure out whether people are saying good or bad things about the game. if you want to stop the ads, you should stop watchign the videos that, not like/dislike, not share and not comment. That's how the algorhythm works.
@@peffiSC2source Raid shadow legends can get all the algorithm favoritism in the world if people don't install their stupid game and buy the microtransactions.
Publicity doesn't pay you, stupid idiots wasting money on your trash game does (if you are raid, of course).
It's good for Shirvan, yes, but that's only because the algorithm is dumb and can't tell the difference between disapproval and approval.
@@jabloko992 Why are you so invested in this? No one forces you to play the game. If it helps Shirvan make that content and has no negative impact on the quality of his work, I don't care if he is sponsored by a shitty mobile game.
I need to hear your definition of the words of; popular and unpopular.
That game is popular and hated, just like any trash casual game.
Shirvan, Putin wants to know your location.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Just kidding, he already knows.
Shirvan can spread Russophobia all he wants, everyone can see he is a Western puppet, while Russia defend one old Islamic republic he praises West which attacks ME countries. Shirvan isn't very moral person for Muslim and should know Allah won't forget him his lies.
@@zekerundo7952 Lol, democracy on planet full of stupid people isn't the answer. Democracy=rule of people. That doesn't exist almost nowhere. Our votes mean nothing, those who are rich buy politicians and politicians work for them, not for the people. Democracy is the biggest lie that exist.
th-cam.com/video/DPt-zXn05ac/w-d-xo.html we lie, we cheat, we steal. And for that you are applauded in biggest "democracy"
@@vladavuckic5262 Brother, he is not a liar, this video explain the topic very clear and if you know history all central Europe will have the russian problem - you want that or not, anyway Shirvan made great job again,-Allahu alam, we are to short to decide what God will do ; regards
Have u seen what Pompeo said, he lie, he cheat, he steal, and Shirwan quotes him. Be real, Russia doesn't encroach Europe, NATO encroaches Russia, NATO lied when when they said they won't spread towards Russia. NATO is post Christian invasion force, Russia is Orthodox Christian beacon of light, with all of their flaws. And I'm glad I'm from Orthodox Christian Serbia which isn't on side of Satanic organization called NATO.
Wow! I'm Croatian, considering myself as not a total dilettant about international affairs and history, but never until now heard of this 3SI nor about the Intermarium project. Thank you so much, brilliant crew of the Caspian Report! Your analyses are very realistic and well informed.
I guess that initiative would very easily attract Ukraine too, without so much upsetting Russia about NATO. Actually, accompanied by modern progressive Germany, that would be a powerful enough alliance to keep Russia in their yard. Shame we missed that opportunity.
Russia watching this: Interesting...
very interesting. Now we know your plans
@@vadim2120 people that need to know about it awere of it without Caspian Report.
Мы не наблюдаем, мы шпионим, и да, это интересно.
@@vadim2120 and why shouldn't they? If this plan is known, it would deter aggression for risk of defeat, and thus peace is maintained, not out of the kindness of hearts but for the preservation of power.
you mean "very interesting" in suedo russian voice.....ya
Interesting topic, I hadn't heard of this project before
This is Why I love geopolitics.
Its a CIA project.
Its not Europe that wants separation from Russia its America. Russia IS partly Europe and always has been anyway. now go play youre game boy.
This project has been years in the making. And it's making progress!
He's really good. I hope he talks about the Taliban Peace Deal. While everyone else is distracted by coronavirus, the US is actually withdrawing from Afghanistan and has made a peace deal with the Taliban. This video makes a pretty sound analysis: th-cam.com/video/ETvZXoqqAJc/w-d-xo.html
"some damn foolish things in the Balkans will start the next war" - Probably Bismarck
True
@Ilir Shkami nobody cares about albania in europe
@Ring-a-ding-ding baby lol true story
@Ring-a-ding-ding baby As a Serbian I'm very content with my government. I like that my president and people in government slowly turn back on our true enemy, Germany and satellite states of Croatia and Albania. Also, it is good that some west poltroons have less than 5% approval with ordinary people. Only true friend of Serbia is Russia who never in our history, which is 6x older than some baby states lifespan (read US), attacked us, and which people died defending us, with they bones scattered all around our land, and they never took anything from us, like EU and US, who robbed us of our land in south. As we ordinary Serbians are alive our Brothers from Russia will have dedicated ally..
@@okce1304 Heh, US are 102 years older then Serbian state.
The real winners: the guys selling drone stock footage to these channels
Ahh yes, the three “C”s. CCCP
C is read as "S" in cyrillic so you're not wrong there lol
XD
You made me laugh
Here’s my plan. Get Russians addicted to Raid Shadow Legends. They’ll then spend all their savings on loot boxes and goes bankrupt.
Thats how Raegan made USSR Collapse in 80s essentially.
LOL
First sanctions, now corona and oil crash. If this year and next one doesn't improve they will be in a tuff spot anyways. Hopefully the big bear 🐻 won't go raging.
@@sharky1950 You forget China must stop funding Russia, but it is not happening.
1:25
To skip Raid: Garbage Legends ad
You are legend😇😇
My name is dominic august that's so funny
@@domsvideos1196 you are also an emperor?
Man oh man, how a few days can change *EVERYTHING.* Like Lenin said, *_“There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen"_*
you're one of my most valuable sources for developments in international politics. thank you!
@天堂心臟 Wow. Hey, um.. take the tinfoil hat off, and eat a snickers bar, youre being bitchy and grouchy. :)
I couldnt agree more, John.
@天堂心臟 You're misinformed, its because people generally became more anti-social. Its happening everywhere in developed countries including your precious China.
@天堂心臟 wow, somebody feels like a lesser man. Maybe you should start practicing some Falun Gong and build up your inner confidence and spirituality a bit?😏
@TheSatanicTicTac 😂😂 2020 is the worst year to be Chinese
Who ever is controlling the "matrix" can we get an update. The 2020 patch has a lot of bugs and problems.
just wait a bit longer, we're preparing 2021 hotfix.
Anonymxuz 22 it’s all part of the simulation. It’s meant to push things along historically. We’ve stagnated since WWII in large changes, and the Devs decided to put in a little upheaval to shake things up a little.
@@Siolioli Oh no, i got bad news for you.
@@ΛΞΟ Yea, we kinda made more issues with a fix, typical scrum process. Stay tuned.
i heard the climate based balancing patch is to be expected around midtime this century.
It should balance out the human dominated meta, a little bit more.
How ever we have to hope, that it will not escalate to a galoping climate change otherwise the server might become as unplayable like the Venus Server.
god: let there be light
the light: this universe was sponsored by raid shadow legends. forget everything you think you know about mobile games.
Joe Perez LOOOOOOOOOL, why won’t these ads stop 😂
Highly informative, as always. One of my favorite channels. 😃
Serbia allying with Turkey? Ayy lmao.
ausakar I have the same question!
For two years nazi germany and the soviet union we're ally's
Our president keeps close ties with Erdogan. Serbs dont hate the Turks as much as the west.
Indeed .Serbs; contrary to many believes were a true ally and a heavy hand with the Turks on many battlefields.
do not forget that the ottoman were the protectors of the orthodox Christianity against the catholic church and the Habsbourgs .
@@essidmedamine8130 Not really, Serbia was a vassal of the Ottomans for a while, like Hungary was, also Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and every other nation Turkey conquered. Not exactly "allies". But sure if Serbia and Turkey decide to make an alliance they'll spin history as they see fir. Serbia received large investments from Turkey in the last decades.
Ths plan has been known to the public since 2016, so shirvan isnt doing harm to the plan by explaining it.
pretty sure those comments are just jokes m8
As a matter of fact as an economic project it needs to be more widely known to secure investments and support
The project if even older.
So it's a EUIV Poland campaign on ironman mode...
Or Hearts
Poland in EU4 is quite OP. Early union with Lithuania and good cav.
poland in victoria ii
@mixererunio it’s why Russia and Turkey are so afraid... they know what’s coming *Sabaton music looming in the background waiting to pounce
@@mixererunio1757Poland was the biggest mistake Grand Duchy ever did.
You're forgetting how good is Russia at chess.
Oh yeah that's true
I don't think so, only figurue that they have left with is gas
Russia is good at being corrupt and poor.
@@Viktor007 That hurts.
@@Viktor007 yeah, but everyone still wants to help against Russia and not help Russia :(
Echoes of the past. Several countries in this agreement were part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire until 1918 - Austria, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, along with parts of Poland and Romania. And the strategic objective of that empire for centuries was to keep its disparate peoples together, and Turkey and Russia at bay.
There is one old Quote from F. Palacký: "If there would not be Austrian Empire, we would have to, in interest of Europe, of Humanity, to create it." (roughly translated)
Bingo! But this time China is the big player instead of the US. The US watches everything crumble, and tries to hold on to what little we have left. China expands their arms everywhere. China is literally forcing the US out of Europe, Africa and the Middle-east. China will have to us their military in the next decade to protect their interest, and deal with the unrest of the Middle-East. For the US, if they were smart they would just retreat, and face the truth, the glory days are over. Build better partnerships with Central and South America. However, the US won’t do that. Our politicians love war.
Unfortunately they were unable to do shit of any of their goals
@@choncha23 Nah mate, China has an illusion of power in Europe, they made a bunch of promises and send money our way but no one is sure they will hold on to those promises, since they haven't always done so, but the U.S for example is still closely collaborating with Romania, in Romania they have anti-air systems, anti-missile systems and use our ports once in a while, lets not forget we're also part of NATO. Yes, China is becoming more powerful, but people are waaay overhyping their strength, U.S is still the Top Dog, and still their area of influence, power projection and military strength way outclasses China. Are we forgetting the U.S is on China's doorstep through Taiwan, South Korea and Japan? China would have to subdue all of those nations before extending their influence to other Continents in a serious manner.
Man that is a very bad comparison and oversimplification of the facts.
Russia: WRITE THAT DOWN
It is hardly news in Russia, believe me, I live here.
@@dmitriyparfenov did y'all really release lions to people quarantined? Lol
@Michael Andrew they are the most powerful though
@@whitephoenixofthecrown2099
Well yes and no.. by "most powerful" they are powerful in their lands. But not at others anymore like they used to be.
@Michael Andrew also China-Africa trade is bigger than China-US i believe at the moment
Three arrows from Poland to Russia, I think I've seen it before somewhere...
I really shouldn't of laughed at that but yeah...what do
Barbarossa
1610
@@Vatras888 A man of culture, I see....
@@arunbhagat406 ?
I like how he explained a fantasy RPG in his regular monotone voice
"Law makers in Berlin ...." - shows Munich
Berlin: "Am I a joke to you"
Berlin is a scheißehole
Shirvan: "This alarms Serbia, the region's largest power".
I can hear the Croatians REEEEE-ing like mad
Pretty sure the last war ended in Croatias favour. We gained new land and no cost is too high for freedom
I'm Croatian, yes we won on our soil. In later war against Serbian irregulars not like a full Serbian force by any means lol. On top of that, we aren't crazy to think it would be the same fighting the Serbs on their soil LOL. If we would even get to it lol
Yes, Serbia is obviously the greatest power in the region
IT isnt the strongest military or economic power but still the strongest geopolitical one tbh
@@affentaktik2810 Poland, Hungary, Romania much stronger - in all aspects maybe even Bulgaria is LOL
Wow, I learned about this project my own country is part of that I didn't know about. Thank you.
Which is your country?
Help spread the word in your country! If the 3 there seas initiative succeeds Ukraine and Belarus will naturally lean towards it creating a bloc of nations with enormous potential, but it's s project for at least one or two generations.
Bottom line is that the game on the Central European plains is a zero-sum game and Russia knows this.
Do you know that Poland will not be extending any contract for natural gas with Russia and plans to become independent in that matter within 2-3 years? It's an enormous shift.
Also: look at all the disinformation that Russia spreads all the time including the COVID19. They send aid to Italy while spreading fake news about Poland ceasing the transport or not allowing the planes to fly over Poland. It's meant to harm perception and create an atmosphere where Russia is seen as a reasonable good guy and Central European counters as obsessed idiots.
Goal: lift the sanctions and get back to BAU.
It's happening bro!
@@tubetotto Never to trust Russia and Turkey. Always hidden agenda there. Greetings from Bulgaria.
Farhan Hyder Bulgaria :)
@@lantinian my brother served alongside Bulgarians in the Mid East. He speaks very highly of them and has maintained friendships since then. Cheers to you in Bulgaria🍺!
"Checkmate" is an interesting word of choice as Russia is a chess nation having produced the most number of champions throughout history
too bad chess is just a metaphor when dealing with geopolitics
Too bad that currently they seem to be falling behind the West. Which you can see in Ukraine too
Just letting you know, you pronounce ‘Moldova’ like a native Romanian, well done.
Or moldovan
@@bjornironside1857 moldovians are romanians, we're all the same, and one day we shall be united!
@@mfruji cum ar zice bunica mea,sa te auda Dumnezeu xD
@@mfruji si sper ca daca ne vom uni,vom fi fericiti,si sa nu apara mai multe probleme)ca asa suntem noi,problematici))
@@bjornironside1857 Asa sa ne ajute Dumnezeu fratele meu!
Frankly if I was Russian I would be concerned about the aggressive behavior of NATO.
@Manchac the Crimea is Russian it's always been Russian and NATO has placed weapons right up to the very border of Russia
@Manchac washer what's a Canada and Mexico are allied with Russia and they've moved their missiles into that area I think we'd be real comfortable with that
@Manchac it would be aggression, yes
@Manchac Or Missles on Cuba aimed at America than, point remains the same
So its the revival of Austria-Hungary and Poland-Lithuania?
Seems like it. That's also why I didn't understand his comments on the Baltic states not being a historical part of this.
Lithuania, and to a certain extent Latvia, can certainly be counted historically.
No ukraine and belarus no PLC
@Marek Tužák You really have no idea how wrong are you. Trust me, I'm Lithuanian. I know what we endured.
At least AH and PL would provide some much needed balance between East and West Europe ie Germany. And Russia sucks. Trust me from experience you do not want to live under them or their influence. Truth is there will always be a stronger central power keeping smaller countries together
I don't understand the point of this project. Our country doesn't need to annex most of those countries. Baltics, sure. The population there can be easily assimilated (the population of all the Baltics is far less than the city of St. Petersburg, can you imagine) and geogpraphicly speaking the region is quite valuable. Belarus, East and Central Ukraine (which are not part of the group) - yeah sure, those states never even existed before and the population is basically Russian. But Romania, Croatia, Slovenia? Or Slovakia, Hungary, Cezh Republic? Literally no point since the natural borders will be defensible enough already from NATO. And it's just too much trouble with the population for basically no reason. Poland is kinda valuable I guess but everyone here despise polaks anyway so it's doubtful.
Fantastic job pulliing together so many pieces, all of these moving historical parts, into a complete coherent compelling lesson! Bravo, Shirvan. You have impressed us for a long time, and you keep upping your game. Keep it going, bro.
Slavs together stronk
Russian Empire: allow me to introduce myself, future slaves... Uh I mean fellow slavs.
You mean slavs together strong against already strong slavs?
@IMxYOURxDADDY We in Germany would much rather have a strong eastern euro zone than having to ramp up our own defenses. Germany sees Russia as a threat, however ramping up our own military would just alienate our neighbors. Sadly our former chancellor Schroeder is undermining us all working for Gazprom.
@Josip but you're not a slav you're an ustaša, a nazi in disguise 😊
Russians constitute more than 50% of all Slavs. There will be no Slavic alliance without the Russians
I live in Bulgaria, our famous Beinsa Douno has said Bulgaria will eventually border 3 seas
I live in the Netherlands and I hope this project will strengthen our eastern front and help the region prosper economicly.
@@tmsupreme7763 Hij heeft het over Bulgaarse geopolitieke ambities, niet over Oost Europese samenwerking
@@arthurlecomte8950 Het zijn fornamelijk infrastructuur projecten, die zullen ook voordelig zijn voor Bulgarije.
TMSupreme 77 Ik bedoel dat die Beinsa Douno een Groot Bulgarije voor zich zag. Ten koste van andere omliggende landen. Dat is iets anders dan Oost Europese samenwerking
Bulgaria is so incredibly beautiful, It looks just like my home in Oregon USA! :)
Shirvan, you do a magnificent job on all your videos together with Mr. Garibli and Mr. Barbacaru. I only wish the three of you could interest American high school and university students more. We need more of your insights in our young people for them to make more educated decisions about their world. Well done!
Is he not working already for the National Endowment for Democracy ?
I mean I’m in college and have been watching his content for a while.
@@robgfiness2808 The reality is, the EURASIAN Union is World Power number 1 as of recent. And the EU and NATO have just lost another chess peace.
Trump just admitted that.
Thank you for your excellent video! It helped me greatly to understand current tensions around Ukraine
in this times of quarentine, is so good to hear your voice, thank you, best wishes from Costa Rica :)
Russia:This invasion is sponsored by *RAID SOVIET LEGENDS!*
NOICE ; )
jajajajjajajajajajjajajajajajajajja
This episode was a really good one. Congratulations ! Cheers from Hungary !
Yes but maybe Germany or France would be better partners than the US
@@marcodiepold2065 If you are European then you should already know that capital inside the EU has home-land. Germans and French like to screw the rest, and claim that they just helped the eastern EU. Consider the whole industry of my Hometown Szolnok (Hungary) French decommissioned the Sugar factory, the Germans the local Chemical plant, Finnish the local paper mill, and Sweden and Italy killed the local Furniture industry, Germans killed the Shoe factory in Martfu...
@@Misuci Sounds exactly like what was happening in Poland. I'm glad we've stopped it for now. Magyar brothers always with us. Eternal friendship and glory to all Hungarian brothers and sisters!
@@m4rt1nDRK Agree...Not only in Poland, but even in eastern-Germany..
@Josip Thanks Josip ! How are you on the south in these days ?
I hadn't heard of the three seas initiative, thanks for the insight!
Europe needs a plan to checkmate Raid - Shadow Legends.
@天堂心臟 Ok who cares? And also are you white to care about it?
@天堂心臟 my ancestors weren't fucking Nazis.
And if they had been, they'd probably be as racist towards Asians as they would've been towards Muslims. So fuck off.
@天堂心臟 Okay. So, since you clearly have a superior IQ as you've discovered how to be racist, please explain to me, poor simpleton, how to defend my origin, my culture, my tradition WITHOUT any "nazi or fascist" (you should really learn to spell that word, BTW) measures... Extermination? Eviction? Mass sterilization? Please, I'm curious. I mean, only a genius would take the time to hijack a joke thread in a TH-cam comment section to post some totally unrelated racist diatribe....
I await your enlightenement.
@@benoitbvg2888 the first step would be to not take in refugees and to only allow 10-15 year stay visas to immigrants from the middle east. Additionally, your government should kick start programs that will incentivise high native population growth. As a side note, these are the things that the oil rich arab states are actively doing right now.
@@medievalogic Not taking any refugees? That goes against my T R A D I T I O N S. They go back to the revolution, as well as "extreme" secularism, equality, etc. My great-grandmother was a Spanish republican refugee...
No, I'm not gonna throw all of that away just because of a few (but very visible) troubled youths that belong to a certain religion have trouble "integrating"... I'm fine with taking little to no economic migrants, but you can't do that on racial/religious grounds. Then, it's up to the state to actually invest in the suburbs (employment and education), all while sending back or condemning those that spread their wahabi bullshit.
What if Russia started funding and backing the project? That would the ultimate troll act.
:D
Interesting idea, but we don't trust them
Take the money and run?
Faster it gets buIlt the faster they can move in and take it over lol
Ha ha. Good one!
Great coverage! I really like how you reference the algorithm. Very honest and straightforward
Why so anti Russian???
Like EU is good for anyone else except for Western countries
So Russia is better? For centuris central and estern Europe were ruled by Russia. Which do you think the polish prefer?
How many countries escaped Soviet control and asked to join EU and how many EU countries left and asked to be in Russia's orbit?
I suggest that it is the aggression towards the Western countries that is the problem, noone has any problem with Russian people, but their leader appears to want to hit others by invading, with weapons or cyber attacks, perhaps that is a good reason to be anti?
@@megapangolin1093 that's b******* and you know it.
@@jeaniehammer9404 I accept my words, I don't understand why you don't. In fact the Russian people didnt actually vote Putin into power anyway, he is a dictator, so I am not sure that anyone but himself is responsible for all the aggression showed.
Sounds like an expanded Visegrad pact.
in Polish it's called ,,Międzymorze'' old Polish Idea on how to defend itself from Russia and how to be safe forever
Between seas?
Piotr Strukiel the poles did beat Russia after WW1
@@Trodpint-A yeah, though barely (big thanks for Hungary, great F*ck you to Germany and Czech Republic)
@@piotrstrukiel3479 lol. Haven't Poles themselves invaded Czechoslovakia or some other country with desire to grab some land before WW2?
@@Singgen They did, alongside with Reich.
Dear Shirvan I have a question for you. Given 1) The regional significance of Greece as a naval, commercial (and potentially energy) power to the Mediterranean and the East and the significant economic ties with the Balkans and especially Bulgaria and Romania and 2) The ever increasing need of containing Turkey's assertiveness in the region, why isn't Greece included in the scopes of the Three Sees initiative? Couldn't it play a significant role in the very south branch of the initiative?
Via Carpatia includes Greece. This is a concrete example that Greece is included
I was scrolling through the comments to check weather someone had already posed this question. Still no elaborate answer though.
Indeed via Carpatia is supposed to reach Greece. Maybe Greece didn't want to take a prominent part in this contra-russia initiative?
It sounds like any countries that want to join in the 3 seas initiative need to apply to do so. Best guess is that as of the time of the video Greece hasn't yet felt the need to apply. As it expands and takes off it will become more and more beneficial to other countries making them want to join. And as more join it will lend more credibility and financial stability to the initiative.
I was personally thinking that Ukraine could likely benefit from joining the 3SI at this time (January 2022) due to the fact that it would provide them more trade access and increase the likelihood of other nations willingness to help them out.
Either way it's going to be interesting to see how various nations over there will react to Russia throwing their weight around. I could see their actions pushing several nations to want to strengthen the 3SI. Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Ukraine, Italy, and Greece would all benefit from this as a means of pushing back against Russia.
@@calebbearup4282 , yes, but the project is already very expensive, and more nations joining it will make it even more expensive at the initial stage (long initial stage). I am sure this is taken into account. So as far as Greece, it already has a good internal infrastructure, and plugging it into the project shouldn't be difficult. But Ukraine is clearly surrendered to Putin. I wouldn't rely on Finland either, it doesn't participate in anything remotely related to NATO.
Yes, Greece needs to be in, but then it needs to be renamed to The 4 Seas initiative. :)
I'm a romanian and I love all of the Eastern European countries because we all share the same pain. Hope the project goes well to create an oasis of prosperity for all of us.
Yeah you would rather side with NATO and EU that is gay, transgender, progressive, rather than a fellow Orthodox country. Sad and pathetic
@@blackmagick2767 Yeah, it's better than to be killed by a hothead dictator with an expansion fetish.
@@irasthewarrior expansion fetish? You mean getting your land back? Russia GAVE Crimea out of the kindness of their heart to Ukraine in the 80s LOL. The population of Crimea is like 90+% Russian anyways. Fck off you moron.
@@blackmagick2767 You have a very humbly language that resonate with the orthodox values you're so eager to advertise. I was talking about my country, not Crimea. Russian aggression towards its neighbors isn't new and I don't want to be dictated by putinists with a bronze-age mentality. You talk as if you try to convince yourself that you don't live in a nasty country ruled by a corrupted dictator. I prefer to be called moron, gay or whatever by ignorants, than to live under russian occupation/mentality.
The European part of Russia is part of Eastern Europe. So most of Eastern Europe and Eastern Europeans are not against Russia.
Interesting video! I need to remember to read up more on this initiative :) As a Bulgarian, I know that unity makes strengths (saedinenieto pravi silata). Closer cooperation with our neighbours to push out foreign interference is what we have desperately needed to do since the founding of our countries. I hope that this is achieved, so that we may all prosper as a people.
I do have some worries though. Ultimately, while Russia will not doubt seek to use us for its own ends, we still harbour far more similarities than differences with them. So, while the initiative seems helpful to us, we should not (and more importantly cannot) ignore Russia. Especially when you compare to our "patron", the U.S.A. I worry that the reality is this; central and eastern Europe (for multiple reasons) is just too weak and poor compared to our powerful neighbours. So, some interference from our more powerful neighbours seems inevitable. Regardless of how difficult it would be to do this, I think that for the three seas initiative to benefit us, we need to avoid any patron whatsoever. In politics, there are no friends. There are only interests. So, despite the U.S.A wanting to see Russia contained, they will not give us the money unless they benefited from doing so in some direct way. I fear that his will be the equivalent of being under Russian dominance, just from another superpower.
Another worry is that the biggest issue with the three seas initiative is its own participants. I cannot speak for all of my neighbours, but I know that Bulgaria is unfortunately riddled with corruption and organised crime that controls the country and its politics. In a country of just under 7 million people, we have over 100 MPs for example. Much of our politicians do not have the competency or will to try and change this. Unless this changes, then we cannot aim as high as the three seas initiative currently seems to be aiming.
Please do not mistake my worry for scepticism. I want this initiative to live up to the hope that it is stirring up in me. But some realism is needed.
What do others think? :D
I don't think Western Europe is too poor or powerless to help the initiative, but it does lack the political will to upset the current balance of power. Western Europe is perfectly happy using your countries for buffer states, but not putting money into your economic and political development. As for America, it depends. We certainly only would give you money for our own ends, but party politics might benefit you if it swings one way or another. For what it's worth, having a Democrat in the White House might help your cause. Trump knows he has to contain Russia, he just doesn't care much about it.
Also for what it's worth, American interest in Eastern Europe is so haphazard and distant that, frankly speaking, it leaves you more free to have a patron in Washington than one in Russia or Germany. We simply lose interest in other countries after a few news cycles, for better and for worse.
I also agree about the corruption problem. It's endemic to much of Eastern Europe, though I don't want to make it a stereotype. I think Western help would be best served in assisting your own countries' law enforcement and anti-corruption efforts so your own money can be better-spent on the programs that help you. At least in that way you'll have more say in how it's spent. But this is sadly all theoretical, we in the US have our own problems with horrible corruption in politics.
I think that American dominance wouldn't be the same as Russian dominance due to Russia's geographical proximity. You would never have the threat of being straight up annexed by the usa.
Independence from any superpower would be the best possible case, but I agree with you that that isn't a realistic option.
How does Bulgaria combine having close ties with Russia together with EU membership? In my head those two don't go together.
As a russian citizen, I think Germany will try to never allow Poland to become a center of power in Europe, especially not in the EU.
I`ve heard about this initiative around 5 years ago in russian politically themed blogs. And it was described by russian sources as a project of polish origin from early 2000`s to recreate the Greater Poland, and as heavily colliding with Western Europe countries interests (which rule the EU). Poland is actively trying to gain more weight in EU by leaning on to help from the US, but the US is pursuing the other goal - making EU economically dependant on US resources and goods and undermining it`s political power.
As you have correctly said, the planned members of the "Greater Poland" are not in the best shape themseves (corruption, shrinking population and ecenomies etc.) so money has to come from somewhere else. Without this polish european "coup-de-tat" backed up by hundreds of billions US money the project is not feasible. Also what will the US get in return from new Intermarium that will cover it`s costs? The First World has other problems to spend money onto nowadays.
I feel that Bulgaria and to a smaller extent Slovakia will have a more difficult time taking this plan to its conclusion due to cultural ties.
They are still Orthodox, Cyrillic-script countries with intertwined histories, and there may be a reluctance among the public to support such measures in a democracy.
Poland, Estonia, and Lithuania, on the other hand, will probably push for the program the hardest; Poland in particular has been pushing for the dissolution of the Russian Federation for decades.
I am unsure of what America's specific goal is, but I can almost guarantee that they will agree to and continue to find the program itself.
I think that Russia can counter the strategy if it utilizes its resources more efficiently and develops it's economy. Soft power matters.
As for the countries, I don't know whether this is good for them. Trading one superpower for another is still risky- Eastern Europe is politically useful to the U.S. as a buffer region against Russia, but I don't think American policymakers actually care about its well-being. The countries could end up like so many Latin American states if they're not careful.
In the end, while they should strive for economic and political independence, geopolitical realities cannot be ignored and these countries need to find a strategy that balances freedom with security.
If you want to see how souvereign the countries are, who are "allied" with the USA, just have a look at the Baltic states. The laws there are basically made in Washington. To some degree the same goes for any other country which has American Military on its soil.
Be careful which people you call friends let into your home!
The Serbs being buddy-buddy with The Turks. That's a good one.
It may not sound so far-fetched.
They are both countries that moved
Enemy of my enemy
Eh the alliance shifting between the balkans and the turks stretches back centuries. Europe is an ever shifting landscape of allies enemies. Who would of foreseen France and Germany being the closest of allies 100 years go?
@@dejankojic4293 Serbia and Turkey allying with each other will also depend on Russia and Turkey being on friendly terms so it will be more balanced than you make it out to be. Such an arrangement will likely also improve relations all over the Balkans so such a Neo-Ottoman Empire might not necessarily be worse than the Neo-Roman Empire were the Balkans are in now especially since they have a difficult and complex relationship with Russia and Turkey. The problem is that many haters don't want to see anything that benefits Russia or makes Turkey too big to handle. They don't like that kind of change.
You should do a research on what the term of "soft power" actually means. The cut of energy supply definitely isn't a projection of soft power.
you have a submissive mind, thinking that propaganda is hard reality....
@@silveriorebelo8045 lol what? Makes no sense what you're saying
Silvério Rebelo ooh so scary you are so smart ending the sentences in ellipses...
@@大砲はピュ .....see what I did there
Lol, "do a research".
Me: Oh cool, this should help provide important context to the conflict
*clicks on video*
Video: RAID SHADOW LEGENDS
Brilliant. However, if Serbia is going to be a Russian ally, then I am struggling to see how is it going to align itself with Turkey since Turkey and Russia (since the recent Idlib events) are at a confrontation. So either Serbia is going to somehow balance between Turkey and Russia or it is going to have to stand against Turkey while further aligning itself with Russia.
Adding more complexity to the issue is Serbia’s recent proclamation of allegiance to China because of EU not willing to sell medical equipment for the Corona virus
Russia and Turkey will have probably a dynamic relationship in the future too like today. while they are rivals in Mideast and Central asia, they will be most probably in a cooperation in Balkans against German influence with Turk Stream alike projects.
Putin and Erdugon have a weird love-hate relationship. That's just how it works.
Turkey and Russia are at odds in the middle east, not in Europe. This might as well be the reason they havent ignited a full out war over Idlib, valuable partner could be lost in European affairs over something arguably much less important.
Lmao, Turkey also downed Russian plane in 2017 or something and still relationships continue, they spin their alligeance but in the end return to being allies
The most commonly occurring theme on this channel:
Russia bad.
yeah man he claims to be not biased but he is a very skilled anti russian propagator.russia is not good but in its conflict with the west at least theese last 30 years the west has instigated problems.what is russsia supposed to do stay there and get defeated like iraq syria
I think the theme of the West and other regions is "Russia bad" and he's telling it like it is.
Long story short all major countries are bad. they just don't show you how bad they are or what they're doing
to other countries for their benefit as simple as that
they want to checkmate Russia yeah sure because Russia is bad or whatever but in reality all of them are bad especially if you dig deep present all the way back to the past
and the west just want to hold power and be the upper hand from all aspects ''in the name of whatever excuse they will use next''
and Russia/China are holding them back which is actually good so they don't go all over the place (balance)
@@Dim.g0v no he is not tellinf like it is.If the theme of the west is russia is bad then he should go the extra effort to make the other side of the argument to present a clear picture.
When you make a geopolitical analysis you should be as neutral as possible if though totally neutral is impossible.Everybody has its own alliances.
But lets take a look at all his videos a out russia.
Is ukraine goind to divide russia?
The plan of nato to blackmail russia?
The russian mindset= where he portrats russia as weak.
The truth is that what he says about russia are to a certain extent true but they are even more true to europe.
Europe is fragmenting every day and is so weak riding on americas back.If it were not for america russia would have dominated europe.Europe is so inefficient that it cannot solve integration problems with millions of emigrants who are a parallel society.
@@const1453 I think your own viewpoints and biases are leaking through my guy. If a disproportionately high amount of countries near to and associated with Russia harbor geopolitical interests contrary to that of Russia then that's something a video on their geopolitics will highlight. Simple as that. Russia is a villain to many and has its own internal issues. Same goes for the West and those are brought up too. I think you are a victim of confirmation bias.
Raid: Shadow ledgends is a cancer and must be stopped
Just ⏩⏩, if it means Shirvan can make more videos then I'll stomach it
One year later, and this is more relevant than ever. This video has really aged well (unfortunately, I may add). I suspect money will be a smaller problem henceforth.
Look, the easiest solution is everyone becomes friends lol.
You might want to ask for something easier, mate.
I agree, but the russians don't want to be our friends :( FeelsBadMan
@शिलाजीत गांधी 150 years ago people might have said the same about Germany and France. Who knows, people change with every generation.
I think Russians and others can be friends, just not with Russia's current government and foreign policy.
A healthy capitalistic market needs competition.
I didn't expect finding a Raid Shadow Legends sponsorship in the wild here in Caspian Report
lol we all know that Shirvan isn't actually the kind of guy who spends his free time playing raid shadow legends
Its like a modern polish-lithuanian commonwealth
Edit: ah you mentioned this later in the video😅
Why do you comment before finishing the video
@@aleragon1 sorry Ramos wont happen again
@@putzak better not! I will keep an eye on you
only that this is the polish-romanian commonwealth, since these 2 are the biggest supports...land mass wise too.
No, this is bigger than Poland and Lithuanian. The other members do not want to be under any other power. Co-operation is key.
Very informative video which helps understand the current events. Of course, there are more factors involved. Great analysis!
Great video Shirvan. Lots of wisdom, historical background that indeed explains how countries feel about one another and potential alternative alignments.
ചന്തി
Yeah agree, this channel is so informative (assuming it's accurate, I have no idea). But what I can't understand, is how building roads and pipelines is supposed to stop Russia expanding??? Is the idea to boost the economies, and thus be able to afford to expand the military?
Europe: Hey Russia, i moved my Calvary to E69
Russia: Blyat
You forget to mention, that Hungary has close ties with Russia and Turkey
doesnt fit the narrative i guess
@@ottersirotten4290 It does
Hungary has better relations with Turkey and Russia, than for example with Romania or Croatia
@@faktorraptor91 i agree. I ment it doesnt fit the narrative shirvan is going with, its highly unlikely that he isnt aware of Hungarys ties to Russia and Turkey so his analiysis comes off as kinda disingenious
How we have decided to work with our ancestral enemies is disgusting. At least one thing will never change: our hatred of Romania.
The political far right party of Austria made friends with Moscow a few years ago. They signed a weird open agreement about it! And of course Kurz' Center-Right must often team with the Far Right ... therefor NATO wisely stopped sharing certain things with the Austria government. I hope NATO is also cautious with Hungarian and Polish governments too. (Who else?)
Good to get outside info on the worlds, different points of view. Good job.
"Serbia the largest regional power"
Romanian nighbour : " Greece,hold my beer please "
Haha corruption goes shhh
You're underestimating the amount of weapons in Serbia, even outdated tanks and artillery are still tanks and artillery
Also, Romania isn't part of the Balkans geographically
@@dylan__dog about 10 % is part of the balkans(so basically we've got a foot in there) and also Romania got a lot of army scrap trust me...more than u could imagine :) but obviously no one will going to use those thousands of scrap when we have acces to buy new tehnology from NATO allies :) especially when USA develops air bases and missile launch facilities in RO. With a pop. Of aprox 20 mil people i think serbia will have no chance even if they unite with hungary with all their scrap together .
@@Adrian-dn6lw Bulgaria: Remember me? 3rd times the charm.
@erick meyer yeah because Serbia is a super power that can manhandle the entire NATO all on its own in order to achieve its goals
Serbia is by history tied with Russia. With most of the country's around, Serbia fought wars: Balkan wars (against Turkey in first and in second Bulgaria), WW1 (Austro-Hungarian Empire, Germany, Bulgaria) , WW2 (Austria, Hungary, Germany, Bulgaria, Romania, Independent State of Croatia...), ex-Yu wars (Croatia and Slovenia). Plus most of those country's recognize Kosovo as independent country. But the policy makers in Serbia are leaning to the Germany more then to the Russia.
Also it is very interesting not seeing Greece and Monte-Negro on the list of three sea country's.
I smell Turkey?
Presing be a shame if the new president bombed them.
Greece is participating through a newly signed project with Bulgaria to link Black Sea and the Agean seaports by rail.
"policy makers in Serbia are leaning to the Germany more then to the Russia"? Maybe on paper, in realty Serbia is cooperating more and more with Russia and China. While the lack of initiative of EU regarding Serbia is evident. All in all, unless the West installs an even greater puppet politician (since Vucic was groomed and installed into power by western intelligence agencies in order to recognize Kosovo), Serbia will not cut ties with Russia and China.
blastimir Kosovo is a lost case. No matter who is in the right here, things cannot change without a Serbian military invasion which will be extremely bloody and costly for both sides. Better accept is a country and move on. You can’t waste another generation on this debate. Both the Serbians and Albanians in Kosovo are suffering.
So Miedzymorze is back.
Poland is playing at being a great power again.
Poland after 400 years of getting totally battered: This time it'll work!
@@peffiSC2source Hope springs eternal.
Polen can into space
@TheSatanicTicTac Yeah. They have the right to look after their own interests. Are Russians and/or Germans bashing this idea?
@TheSatanicTicTac because Russians are born imperialists, see USSR and the last 500 years of expansion. Even if you lose that territory it is still in their cultural memory as "ours"
Video starts @01:30
I recently finished reading through on of Mackinder’s books on the heart and rimland. He kept mentioning how Eastern Europe was the pivot point to accessing the heartland. It’s wonderful how a book written so long ago is still relevant.
Follow-up those readings, with Robert D. Kaplan's The Revenge of Geography
"Three Seas Initiative" - I assure you, a Bulgarian proposed that name.
Germany joined the 3 Seas Initiative to contain Russia's advancement in Eastern Europe!?. But hey guess who supplies you 30 percent of your oil😆!! Russia occupied Crimea. Germany did not make a single noise, Why?? Guess again who supplies 30 percent of Germany's oil requirement😆!
Germany has alternative suppliers. And reserves. And alternative power options. And access to the Atlantic. So can simply ship oil in.
Guess who is Russia's largest export market 😆!! The EU.
Russia's economy, and access to the Atlantic depends on a happy Germany☺️
@CR BZ germany does not belong neither will Russia or Ukraine ...
@Johannes Terzis hardly phobia when theres a 20+ year dictator running the show and making rivals disappear.
Go, make your club, who cares.
@CR BZ they were russian spy😂 the whole germany is russian spy.
Germany is shifting its energy mix away from oil, coal and gas..among other because Russia is not trustworthy. So this 30% will sooner or later shrink to 0%.
It's good to hear what you have to say. I hope your work leads to more understanding and peace
Three Seas Initiative is Obsolete already.
Russia Supplies Germany with Energy (Nord Stream 1 & 2).
What Germany says goes in the EU and also 3 seas.
Russia also Supplies Southern Europe through Turkey. Russia Supplies China to the East.
Secondly, Kaliningrad assures Russian movement in the Baltic sea, Crimea assures movement in the Black Sea.
Also, Gas from USA will cost 30%-40% more than that from Russia which would mean the 3 seas initiative countries would be Slaves to USA.
On top of that 3 Seas Initiative countries Can Not Avoid the Belt and Road Chinese Project that will Run through them as well.
Eventually they will have to give China attention also. Unless they want to be left behind and end up as a smaller version of the USSR.
@wargent99 Wait. You must think the Atlantic Ocean is actually a "pond" with little duckies swimming in it lol.
It takes 7-10 days for a ship to cross the Atlantic Ocean with gas.
It would take 1 million ships from US to cross the Atlantic ocean to match what Russia pumps through Nord Stream in one year.
Also, Economics Has Nothing to do with EU's Feelings. So whatever Scare tactics the US uses to try and keep EU from getting Russia gas will Not work because Money talks.
Its like instead of getting gas from your local gas station down the street, you want to drive 2 hours away to get gas from another gas station because you see that gas companies commercials on TV every day. Makes no sense money wise.
Lastly, Russia has gas pipelines through Turkey, China, and Germany.
Those countries don't see Russia as a threat. Therefore these 3 Seas countries are Paranoid ASF. Especially Poland who wants to be the leader of the 3 Seas countries lol.
@wargent99 oh yeah both EU and Russia WIN.
EU gets 30%-40% cheap and Reliable gas from Russia to power it's industries and keep warm in the winter, and Russia gets Euro's.
How is that Not a Win-Win?
From a Business stand point it's the Best option on the table.
@wargent99 Relying on US gas is a threat.
It's Economics.
Economics beats Emotions and Feelings.
Germany knows this. Turkey knows this and China knows this.
@wargent99 Russia isnt a Threat but if they get ecconomicly destroyed (what you for some moronic reason seem to wish for) they will be a very real threat. I dont now why so many poeple so desperatly want to have a failed state sh... hole with nukes on our continent, dont know were people get the notion from that suddenly a western liberal, secular democracy with LGBTQP rights will magicly materialize when russia collapses.
And about the Gas... have fun convincing the EU Memberstates(especially the poorer ones) to pay 40% extra for your cold war reenactment larp^^ in the meantime we will finnish northstream2
@wargent99 Also why the heck i should be even intrested in "even out the shameful trade surplus"? its shameful for you Guys, not us
It is very telling as far as the extent of this initiative is concerned that I as a highly politically engaged Czech have not heard until now about it. I know a lot about Polish fears of a German-Russian alliance and of a new appeasement policy (which is why Poland is millitarising rather quickly) and about the talk how the post-communist Central Europe rivals Russia in GDP and has frankly much better economic outlook but this initiative has been not known to me. And also, the Odra-Elbe-Danube canal is a wet dream of our president, Miloš Zeman (a half-senile drunkard and sinophile), and is certainly not economically viable, and I am not even talking about the enormous environmental impact. The public opinion certainly sees no gain from it. So I would delete that plan off the list.
Am I the only one who noticed a 1920's era car at 10:06 in front of the tram?
Rather fitting talking about reviving Pilsudski's noble plan, hundred years late but still worth it
good eye
Good video, thanks. Four notes: 1. Pilsudski did invite the 3 small Baltic nations as well as Finland to enter into the Inter-Marium. 2. There is a fair amount of historic respect as well as competition among these states. When Russia attacked the Polish rear areas while the Poles were already battling the Germans, Romania aided the Polish Army in its withdrawal to North Africa, where the Poles again counter-attacked the Germans. In fact the Romanians even paid the Polish soldiers a living allowance during their time in Romania, allowing re-grouping, wound recovery, and re-organization. This was in defiance of Germany even though the Romanians had been pushed into a reluctant alliance with Germany. Poles remember gratefully. 3. During their relief of Turkey's siege of Vienna, an alliance of many of these nations (Poland, Lithuania, Ukraine, Austria, Germany) expelled the last Turkish occupation of Europe. This included history's most massive cavalry charge. 4. Pilsudski believed that all the nations in the proposed Inter-Marium were going to be attacked by the Soviets and the Nazis. It's unfortunate that their post WW I border skirmishing left them distrustful of each other and unwilling to pull together a common defense by the mid 1930s.
Interesting :)
Respect to Eastern Europe! Keep your sovereignty and democracies strong.
best solution for east europe is to be again under german, austrian, ottomen, russian and italic rule. east europe are weak and mostly useless independently
@@siegfriedia9986 They would not be so happy about that though
This Plan Would Make Eastern Europe Some Powerhouse, Most Of The Stuff Goes Through Romania And Poland, Countries That Lost Lots Over The Years
Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face
-Mike Tyson
Your channel is a blessing! Thank you very much for all these great analysis!
I would disagree... eastern europe has economical independance from russia. Point is to gain a voice in EU.
They don't. Russia's gazprom has a practical monopoly in energy industry.
@@pasdpasse439 Not any longer. PL and LT gasports bring more gas from us,no and katar than from Russia.
@Nadelwald Königsberg the answer for more European energy independence is the eastmed pipeline and specially the Eastern European countries must fight to build it as soon as possible.....!!!
HAIL TO THE FUCKING YEAH ! ! !
Only good news, respect from Romania to all you beautiful neighbors !
I see Romania as a pawn in the hand of US. And only a question of time befor it turn red as it did before. Regards from anoter Romaniac... ;)
This is all bad news, America is the problem with the world
The is a solid reason Intermarium included Ukraine, "3 seas" miss it completely - control exit from Azov sea and better secure Black sea to limit Turkey / Russia.