Tesla AI Day in 23 Minutes (Supercut) (2022)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 22 พ.ค. 2024
- Highlights from Tesla's AI Day 2
00:00 - Intro
00:53 - Tesla Bot
10:37 - Full Self Driving
18:08 - Dojo
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Executive producer Jeremy Cooke
Executive producer Troy Cherasaro
Executive producer Andre/Maria Kent
Executive producer Jessie Chimni
Executive producer Michael Pastrone
Executive producer Richard Del Maestro
Executive producer John Beans
Editing assistance by Jasem Ashkanani
Music by Evan Schaeffer
Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
Elon usually over estimates what he can do in 2-3 years but the general public usually under estimates what Elon can do in 10-15 years.
exactly.
So true
Exactly, and not Elon, but the teams he is able to build.
@DivineDefecation because everything they produce sells instantly. There is no point in growing the complexity and the costs when it all works perfectly now
@DivineDefecation Ok now imagine you produce orange juice and have extraordinary demand for it. You keep optimising your processes and machines to produce more and more but can't keep up with the demand. You even raise the prices substantially and have great margins now and demand keeps growing. In this scenario do you want to : 1) keep optimising your lines to satisfy demand while decreasing costs, hence being able to later reduce price and increase demand if it starts fading. Only when you've reached a nice equilibrium would you consider increasing complexity to enter new market segment and answer a new kind of demand. 2) Start selling apple juice, at much tighter margin, with new materials and processes and divert your ressources toward something obviously less profitable. What do you do ?
That mechanical engineer that led the robot demo was so good. Her calm, thoughtful, conversational delivery was excellent.
Really impressive that Elon decided to let a long line of developers take the stage. Not a bunch of execs, but the actual front-line engineers. Super impressive, and let’s the engineers shine. So fun for that bunch of hyper-engineers to get to tell the world about their bonkers inventions.
Well, it IS a recruitment event..
@@emigoonie972 You would have probably told Elon not to build rockets 🚀 either.
@@emigoonie972 I also doubt how effective a humanoid robot would really be compared to the effort required to produce it, as opposed to specialized robots on a per company basis
@@TheEvilmooseofdoom
Yup, but he didn’t do it this way before, at AI 1 or at battery day. It was cool to see, and effective.
@@emigoonie972
Actually, it’ll be huge. If Tesla can make a robot for $30 thousand ea that replaces factory workers that, fully-loaded, cost $60,000-80,000/yr, they will sell millions. Other people already make phones. No one makes a robot factory worker. It’ll change the world.
It makes be uneasy, though. It seems like they will be made into soldiers, too.
Thanks for the supercut to watch and rewatch what many of us have already watched ! ❤
Amazing all the different accents from people around the world working at Tesla! Amazing what they’ve achieved already! Thanks Rob
Immigrants are one thing making America great!
@@emigoonie972 so you’re saying Q3 numbers will cause the stock price to go on a temporary discount? Count me in!
@@emigoonie972 the whole world is slowing and there may be a global depression, WW3 and a nuclear holocaust yet Tesla may gain on its innovation during this time and gain future market share on all its products should anyone survive that is 😂
@@emigoonie972 All valid points you have there true! But, look at Starlink… who would’ve thought starlink would be worth anything but a cash burning situation yet now it has potential to make billions!! Billions of $ in recurring revenue stream. OMG!!!
Elon needs robots for his SpaceX ambitions and needs Tesla stock to increase big time to help him fund this going to Mars! “Eye of the tiger and eye on the prize”
@@emigoonie972 eh, the same shit was said about self driving about just 2 years ago. Never can tell when or if something is feasible/useful, though I do agree with you on some level. The Phone integration stuff is a great idea, all they would need is some software devs. Nothing crazy. However, for some reason they are getting beat by Toyota in spending on battery research. That would be a huge priority if I were Tesla. It's a big market.
Thank you Rob! It was nice waking up and get a glimpse of what the future will look like in 23 minutes
I think it will take longer than 23 minutes to reach this future. Ah!
Or just wait 23 minutes to see what the future is looking like.
This conference is actually Tesla recruiting AI experts
@@emigoonie972 lol, really, you want phone and car integration as the next big thing for the forefront of artificial intelligence… as opposed to producing working robots that bridge the boundary between fixed working robots and humans… robots that can work 24/7, no insurance, no salary, no workers compensation for back Injury’s. No stealing, no sick days, no complaining, super human strength. Not late to work and always working late….I can’t see any of these benefits helping repetitive task jobs in the millions of manufacturing industries around the world….lol, but let’s focus on CarPlay and android auto for ai day… SMH.
I bet you also complained that autopilot was never going to happen? Isn’t it funny what returns are made from RND…. If these people took your advice they wouldn’t exist in the first place. Someone bought stock, and just wants it to bump so you can make some quick cash. Good on ya.
@@emigoonie972 meanwhile Tesla is selling more cars then BMW… 🤦🏻♂️ they didn’t get ahead by thinking and investing traditionally. Meanwhile they taught a robot to walk in 6 months which has taken others 10+ years.
Rob thank you so much for doing this for the community, for the world! Yesterday was AMAZING on so many levels!!! I can hardly believe that we are alive witnessing this?! This supercut is just perfect for those who (like myself) had to get to bed before it was over and those who now will wake up to see the highlights.
You're the best!
thank you Rob! you had to quickly process tons of video to give us this summary so soon. really appreciate it!
- pretty good presenation skills for a bunch of introverted nerds ;-)
- amazing that dojo is more performant than nvidia a100s, for less cost.
- this presentation is making me rethink my idea of what tesla is. it's become more about ai/robitics.
I wonder whether Rob did the edit. After all, he has a support team for a reason...
@@lhorthy p sure Jasem usually does the edits
Tesla is about to become a 20 - 50 Trillion Dollar company in next 10 years. Cars/Transport will be a third tier item in by then. In order of size, 1 AI & Robotics, 2 Energy Production/Storage/Distribution/Efficiency (HVAC etc), 3 Transportion & Insurance (Cars, Semis, Boring Co, Boats, Planes, Hyperloop).
The editor
This link my be helpful in determining what a real AI/Robotics company look like. th-cam.com/video/Jky9I1ihAkg/w-d-xo.html
At its heart, Tesla is a hardcore technology company.
I was stunned at how Tesla grinds performance and efficiency at every level, with design for manufacturing in mind. Chips, busbars, memory, data transfer, compilers, thermal management, etc...Dojo addresses every process. For FSD, the transformation of neural net architecture over the past two years reveals Tesla's willingness to abandon inferior strategies rather than double down. It is still very early on the bot, but I have no doubt that Tesla's design philosophy, and its computer vision and physical simulation engines give it industry-leading advantages in that space.
The (original) corporate mission statement was "To accelerate humanity's transition to sustainable energy." It looks like they've moved on to changing the world with autonomy and the android.
@@ChrisBrengel I think you’re not understanding the picture….. the world can be more sustainable if more jobs that are dirty are eliminated, or replaced with more efficient machines so that people can focus on jobs that are more skilled. It’s all part of the bigger picture.
I think you’re just looking at one tree and missing the whole forest.
@@IRLSuperb well it seems to me you're only pinpointing what Chris has encompassed in 'changing the world', it isn't contradictory to me. My two cents...
so u drank all the buzzword! compliments. i hope you will not have a hangover tomorrow
They should also get into software, simply to have software margins. Beyond vehicles. An Amazon Alexa like device would be preferable. Accessible to many.
You're amazing for getting this edited and posted so quickly! Thanks so much and keep up the amazing work.
As someone who used to be a piano mover, that actuator is pretty impressive! Lol
The satire is real
@@MrYesira U claiming its satire does not make it satire.
I thought the bots were supposed to be relatively weak, so they could be overpowered by a human if necessary?
@@EspirituOtaku my mistake I forgot, there are millions of piano “movers” in the world
They mentioned the the actuator only matches the strength of the corresponding human leg muscle, which is also able to generate 1000 lbf. It needs to be this strong to operate the lever arms in the leg.
It will be quite ground breaking if they can get their electronic actuators to operate at the speeds needed for running, reliably, for many years... It's a difficult task, and I suspect there will be many iterations.
Competing with Tesla at the hardware level will not be easy.
Thank you Jasem for this Supercut! Way easier to get friends to watch this than a 3 hour long talk haha 😄
Haha, I know what you mean! Thanks for the shout out, have a great weekend!
Thank you Rob for the supercut🙏🙌☺️
Thanks so much Rob! Loved this condensed version.
Elon was not lying when he said "very technical" 🤯😵💫
He never lies 😎
Dan Nathan on CNBC Fast Money said Elon is a liar and lies all the time.
@@emigoonie972 Stop spamming your comment.
Not really. Most Americans eyes would glaze over.
@@emigoonie972 People also say the same thing about Twitter.... thing is.... you have to take the good with the bad. Elon's a free man and can do whatever the fook he wants to, even if you don't like it. You need to accept it and stop whining like a child. Also, SpaceX and Tesla vehicles have already proven themselves. Elon has already proven himself.... which is the exact OPPOSITE of being full of it.
Brilliant, thanks for putting this supercut together for us, Rob! Much appreciated 😃🙏🏼
Waking up in EU to this video is awesome
Waking up in the EU is a nightmare.
@@R3tr0v1ru5 lol
Amen from the UK!
@@R3tr0v1ru5 😂😂😂😂😂😂
Had to stay up for this 😅
Great concise summary, thanks Rob. Appreciate your hard work.
About to start my second viewing
Superb summary Rob! Thanks 🙏🏼
Thank you very much for the supercut. Well done! 😊
Love these supercuts!
Great job Rob.
I understand Elon's vision and admire his courage to pursue it.
He's trying to make Sci-fi dream came true. We must protect him at all cost (for my future robot catgirl maid 😂)
@@emigoonie972 I agree there will be headwinds, but I do not see Tesla stock as going down with dramatic expansion of both auto and energy. The headwinds mean the stock may not grow as exponentially as production for now.
@@emigoonie972 there is so much utility for cheap labor, especially in the manufacturing process. I do believe in ten years you will retract that statement when you see how it's implemented.
@@emigoonie972 I agree, the phone would have brought the brand in more hands. Would be nice to see what they create for a mobile device
What, skynet?
Thank you Rob …I got the original and watched that…and wow just blown away by Tesla’s accomplishments and they’re moving along at warp speed. Incredible what they’re doing and ultimately they’re achieving far beyond my expectations. And I can send out this wonderful short cut version to a few people that want to invest in Tesla. Thank you for putting this video in short cut version for hopeful investors. 💗
Thanks! Watched all the hours but this was great to send to friends...
It should be noted that during the Dojo update they said they have a clear path to 10x the performance in the next generation Dojo system. Wow, just wow. These guys are kicking butt!
will that let them do full self driving that people paid for in 2016?
Having a path to 10x performance isnt having 10x performance. Its just a goal
@@azarov3908 Like 5 years ago when full self driving was right around the corner Tesla had an AI day talking about how much more performance the new in car computer had, and everyone said "see we told you full self driving was here!" 5 years later it isn't here, and Tesla has a gen 4 in car computer with even more performance, and higher res cameras and THAT is gonna be what they need now. supposedly. Anyway here we are 5 years later and again Tesla is bragging about the performance of their Dojo computer this time. Which has no relation to whether the car can drive itself! Just means they can iterate faster. But if you iterate in circles you still don't go anywhere.
@@JackMott There is clearly progress being made, not sure what circles look like in your head. people buying it in 2016 did so knowing it might not be available for a while, their incentive was getting it cheaper then than you could now.
@@JackMott after watching a number of FSD videos, my impression is that it drives like a student driver. Could it get me from point A to point B without crashing? Probably. Would I take a ride from it? No.
Fast turn on a cut from the longer presentation - thanks Rob et al :)
Cheers!
Wow! This is really awesome , thanks for the recap Rob 👍
Great as usual Rob. Thank you
Rob: Excellent editing to sum up the event. Incredible presentation with superb visuals and outstanding presenters. While Tesla offered just a taste of many complicated subjects, they showed the length and breath of the AI and compute organization. Onward towards the future !
That robot already moves faster than my new hire I’ll take it
You better not be my boss..
Is that u jon 😂
LMAO 🤣 😂 🤣
Great supercut,thanks
Thank You Rob! Great Cut.
Bot is interesting and making progress, but the real gems were dojo and FSD, I was impressed how they decided to use the advances AI made for language to model lanes, that's pretty interesting.
As someone in AI, it’s actually not that creative lol. It’s very common to borrow techniques from neighboring fields of study to push past performance plateaus. I applaud them for sharing nonetheless.
@@CallSaul489 pretty obtuse take on it.
@@CallSaul489 I'm not in AI but that sounds pretty arrogant. It almost sounds like you're saying you don't think that one of the leading AI companies in the world is doing things at _your_ level. Just because it's common doesn't mean it's not impressive. It's always easier to second-guess choices once it's clear they worked out. If you find their progress or methods mediocre and mundane, perhaps you should apply and challenge yourself?
@@emigoonie972 Im guessing he wants to do a robot that uses his FSD software to function. He needs more money coming in for all they have spent on FSD. I seriously doubt they will send the robot for 20k.
@@xxZerosumxx No need to reply to Em Igoonie. They only made two comments that they have copy-spammed to many threads - they have no interest in discussing anything. They are wearing blinds and are obsessed with the idea that TSLA needs to be shorted and spreading that message to as many people as possible. I don't think it'll work because even if people listened to them, not enough shares are represented by those who have worse info than them. So it's best just to ignore them. I bet they'll be gone in a year or so, when it's gotten too expensive to be short TSLA for a small "investor". Or perhaps they're just bleeding to much already and are getting desperate.
Hello, I am never sure how to get to Tesla? But for me I found the Tesla AI Day 2, an eye opener, inspiring, informative and took a day or two to watch and takin. I know the city and finance people will not like it, but for my as an old head of a number of development project and companies I love. I did like what I heard and saw and will look forward to a monthly podcast if they ever do one. Just wishing them every success.
Thanks for the Supercut :)
Fabulous, thank you TD.
Ah…. Can’t help myself. Must buy more Tesla shares! 😁
I am having the same urge!
Nice summary. A very impressive showing from Tesla on all fronts. And if those Dojo numbers are real, 2023 will look bright indeed for Tesla.
Thank you for this Rob and team.
🙌🏽 have a great weekend!
Thank you for such a fast upload :)
History in the making. Amazing!!!
I’m excited about scheduling my upgrade to FSD Hardware 4 (HW4) this Fall! Looks like a huge improvement!
I like how you explained the whole show, without saying a word. The best word is no word?😂
Nice edit. Thank you.
Cheers!
Ok. Now I can go watch the all thing :D
You're the best Rob. Thanks for putting together this perfect compilation of the highlights.
another great job! Thanks!
lol , 20 years late .
Thank you Thank you for that Supercut.
WOW!! I am so glad I am invested in Tesla. It is a fantastic business with a mission that I am totally on board with. The progress is immense. Thank you for this Rob. I just know that my day will be impossible get any better than it has just started here in the UK!
Do people in the UK think Tesla is going to open a factory there John? what's the buxx? seems unlikely with all the Brexit red tape
@@hypnotechno There is any chance of Tesla opening a UK factory, it just doesn't make business sense. Red tape, export duties to European countries, labour shortages for example. Incompetent government at the highest level. Post Brexit is a business nightmare. We were all lied to. Thank goodness for Tesla as far as I am concerned.
Very nicely summarised 😅
Excellent compression of a technology laden conference; both beyond my comprehension, but not my vision.
Thank you ~
Thanks Jasem!
Cheers, have a great weekend!
Dojo….wtf! Amazing, mind boggling advancement!
Thanks for all that you do for the Tesla community Rob.
@@emigoonie972 Tesla makes ~30-35% profit on cars mad and sold in China. They can easily manipulate demand with a small price decrease that will have a negligible impact on overheads.
The fact you’ve written that reply to an unrelated comment makes me think you have an ulterior motive tbh
@@emigoonie972 IF lower demand is evident, then they have incentive to produce and get their other products on the market. That and to push the limits with what it has so far with its 4680 production. No matter how you look at it, demand is not a problem for Tesla because they sell more than they can produce, and neither is neither is the lack of demand which would allow for Tesla to shift focus more on releasing their other products (Semi, Cybertruck, Roadster) or something as simple as dropping prices to renew demand for those current vehicles. I know a lot of people like myself are waiting for Tesla's to come down in cost in order to purchase one. Both scenarios are a win-win for them. I don't understand why people aren't getting this.
Thanks for the support!
@@emigoonie972 so you remain short on Tesla because of Elon Musk’s personal doings? Doesn’t make much sense. The only reason I can see is because he is CEO (technoking) of Tesla. But that’s the only thing I see.
@@emigoonie972 ah, ok.
Thank you Rob, was 1.30hr deep until I found this 😂
one thing to recognize is that their focus on having to refine their AI precision for robotic object manipulation is certain to also feed back into FSD for even better self driving performance and insight.
I noticed he looks more youthful and healthier than he has in months. We need more like him.
Then you got the people complaining, waaah Boston Dynamics achieved this 10 years ago and Honda's Asimo did this 20 years ago. This will be commercially produced in large numbers and everything will be worked on, including mobility. Honda's Asimo was just a pr stunt to sell cars, pulled out of the public eye when it wasn't useful anymore, Boston Dynamics just doesn't make practical robots yet either.
damn, their progress is impressive. I still need to watch the full presentation tho
A recruiting event for sure. Still lots of tidbits for us regular Tesla fans. My impressions: Boston Dynamics (BD) was not for sale and it didn't matter, mechanically Tesla will surpass them by the end of 2022, Boston Dynamics doesn't have AI capability that Tesla has now. Boston Dynamics robots are mostly programed to do the tasks they do; Tesla robots figure out how to do and what to do. Very big difference.
Boston are really advanced in the field of dynamic robotic movement such as balancing and movement through series of obstacles.
Thank you Rob! I missed the actual presentation and just watched about 2 minutes of this one and got bored.
On the AI visualisation side the domestic or industrial environment seems more cluttered than the open road one, albeit there may be less rapidly moving and erratic objects in the space.
It walked!! 👀👀👀
DOJO ....Just wow. Kudos to the team
Blown away
Best idea was that Elon plans to do a monthly podcast to give us updates. I wonder if that is something that they will migrate to the Tesla app that we have for our vehicles, rather than the traditional Apple podcast or TH-cam method.
I think it'll take more time to complete the bot just like how long it'll take for FSD...but the upside is MASSIVE. When the bot works, it'll be similarly to industrial revolution of the old days.
Given the bot and FSD are one and the same, it should come rather quickly, perhaps sooner than car based FSD because there is more room for the bot to make mistakes IMO.
It will be many many orders of magnitude larger that the industrial revolution
Also tesla can use the bots in their factories to perfect them, which will make tesla more valuable
awesome !
Thanks Rob.
This is akin to the Tesla Roadster prototype. Look what happened from there.
Thanks so much for the supercut!! I just got up in Germany and was watching summaries from Stevenmarkryan and others .... But it just isn't the same as your Supercuts
I started with the 3 hours video from Tesla. It's just too long for my short patience.
Ich habe gestern live mitgeschaut und sehe es mir jetzt nochmal an
So cool how Tesla's out there talking openly about all their techniques and approaches to solving their engineering problem
Thanks for improving the closed caption translations from the original ones. My old ears had a rough time due to the international accents. Great synopsis too.
Thanks, Rob! :) It was very nice to watch this until I have enough time for the full video.
So much insight to be gained here, and the timeline makes me remember the couple of months where Autopilot was advancing quickly before its current version . . . I guess the autolabeling was a huge part of it. Thanks Rob and thank you Tesla and team! Tesla is the reason why the future IS now!
FSD was promised years ago and is still not here. They don’t have the right sensor set either.
@@GA-wq8xq Today noone is complaining about moon landing was 3 years later than planned. Same with FSD in future
Incredible
✨Just Amazing⚡️✨
Amazing result after only 1 year of development. Yes, Josh or Atlas from Boston Dynamics are definitely faster than this (but with a bulky design) and it took 10 years to achieve that level. Imagine 10 years of development in Tesla, starting from this.😱
It's not about faster, the reason these boston dynamic robots are bulky is because they can actually do things besides walking and grabbing a water bucket.
All this in just 6 months?! I'm glad I don't work for the competition, I'd be soiling my pants.
When you see everything necessary to accomplish FSD, it's amazing how well it works already!
Amazing advancements
This bot is going to be crucial when we start seeing outcomes of population collapse, especially in japan and china.
There will be simply shortage of workforce. If this is ready before then (15-30 years) this will become a bigger revenue source for tesla than the cars.
Not even talking about how these things will be useful on mars...
I... don't think you are quite grasping the sheer scale of what this is going to be.
Or else you have an extreme tendency for understatements.
@@theuncalledfor i do have tendency to tone down my expectations, we saw many things being delayed when it comes to tesla... Roadster/Cybertruck/Semi/Robotaxi Elon is too optimistic.
But yes optimus is going to be huge, but it will take years maybe 10 before it really kicks in.
@@theuncalledfor still i think it does not matter how much money this make, this is potentially saving grace for humankind... both for population collapse and for mars colony and further expansions.
@@krellin
This thing will redefine what an economy even _is._ You already said it: This thing will help humanity overcome population collapse issues. Saying that "this will become a bigger revenue source for tesla than the cars" (exact quote) is kinda like saying that the oceans are bigger than a lake. Which is a true statement, mind you, but it completely fails to capture the scale of the difference.
@@krellin
Japan has already started with increasing automation in their industries.
Hopefully the bot development will be similar to starship . Constantly creating new versions
What you see on stage is just their development platform and in 5 years time will look completely different.
I understand like half of it and even that boggles the mind :D what a fun time to be alive and able to invest balls deep!
Really impressed with the rapid progress on Optimus. I wasn't expecting the technical focus of this show, as opposed to a more function focus, but presumably the 2023 show will be more of that, eg. Will they test the ability to crawl under a desk and retrieve a pet, can it pick up a child or catch the hand of a falling adult without crushing their hand.
I'm less convinced that the camera vs combined camera+radar is ideal for all driving conditions.
I'm hoping the bot will be able to hit a baseball. AI and vector space should enable this.
elon was giving a prep talk like we had a guest speaker in class or or a substitute setting the expectations 😂
Some next steps I expect they are working on are adding OpenAI/Deepmind GPT3 capabilities for speech recognition, image detection, general ai / chatbot and speech output etc which are already amazingly advanced. Probably they need more GPU hardware power in the bot to do this but you can bet it is coming and then this bot will be crazy cool
This is amazing!! This achievements in just a few months in remarkable. I look forward the next version and generation. I will buy more tesla stock!!! keep going Tesla!!
Thank you SO MUCH for posting this. It is BEYOND marvelous. This is the food that Wall St. weary investors NEED to consume. Eventually, so many MORE people will "get it" .... but for now, we can feel safe and confident in our investment that all of these wonderful Tesla folks "get it", and are making it happen for all of us.
I’m so grateful to be alive, to witness this-it was life altering. I want to remain alive long enough to see the evolution of these technologies. Woah.
Thank you
Very interesting. I also said in my tesla analysis that I don't understand why the AI event got so much hate
This is the perfect demonstration of how great the “human beings” are. I’m looking at my hand/fingers and moving my thumbs in different direction. Incredible! …..I rambling
The bot was fucking crazy! It seems they did more in 1 year than Boston dynamics in 15...
They showed something with the dexterity of a toy. I honestly can’t see how you think this is impressive
@@LMProduction in 1 year... the boston dynamics bot that can do parcour was in development from 2013. And they were already in the robots development program by then... In 1 year from nothing to something that can walk, see, pick up things and so on is very impressive.
The time frame in which they did it is the most impressive thing.
Normally I thing we would see something like this 5 years after the start of development and in 10 something as impressive as Boston dynamics or DARPA robors.
@@LMProduction your comment makes total, and is typical from a person that knows nothing about AI technologies. The treasure is the technology that is underneath of what you see.
@@LMProduction I honestly can't see how you don't, unless you just don't understand what you're seeing.
Boston who? I think a lot of noses are out of joint, also NVIDA feel like GM at the moment.... Wot the fuck just happen!!!
Love it
Hey...simple dynamic out of the box idea...Put the Bots into the Teslas ....and have them do all the driving!
Exactly that was one of the tasks in 2015 DARPA Robotics Challenge. (You can find the videos from the event on TH-cam.) Some robots built by universities looked very much like the first prototype that Tesla has presented. They were semi-autonomous in the competition, remotely controlled over a low bandwidth link.
The SPEED of developpement Tesla has..... Thanks Rob🙂👍
One wise man said - it’s better to over estimates and deliver decades ahead than under estimate and deliver century later! We love Elon and Tesla team :)
Not sure i agree with that “wise man”. Because
Underestimating has many terrible effects:
- increases Team mental stress & inefficiency
- Over time Underestimating behavior increase
- Over time promises & announcements become less credible to the public (lose trust)
- Dangerous outcomes from force releasing product before its time, to meet your promise.
- It Escalate lying to people and dev recruiting
- Unethical abuse of dishonest advertising.
- False interpretation on a new tech feasibility.
Its always best to keep balancing it to medium.
Thats what i really hope Elon himself and his teams to work on and adjust/maintain.
@@amirtawfik7495 Yes, they said that it's better to overestimate than underestimate.
Why is your counterpoint that underestimating is bad?
This doesn't make sense.
@@alansmithee419 oh You are right, it a typo 😐
my bad…. I meant to say the opposite word:
“Overestimating has many terrible effects:”
……
Thank you tho!
@@amirtawfik7495 But all the points you made to back it up are about underestimating as well.
e.g. "force releasing your product before it's time to meet your promise."
Overestimating would never cause this.
Very impressive !!!!
Amazing