Why Inflation Will Return To 9%; 85% Chance Of Fed Cut By September | Brett Heath

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 19 ส.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 288

  • @TheDavidLinReport
    @TheDavidLinReport  หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Subscribe to TDLR newsletter: davidlinreport.substack.com/
    Will inflation return following a Fed rate cut? Comment below and don't forget to subscribe!
    FOLLOW BRETT HEATH:
    Metalla Royalty: www.metallaroyalty.com/
    Metalla Royalty Twitter (@metallaroyalty): twitter.com/metallaroyalty

    • @inflationmillionaire-df3mn
      @inflationmillionaire-df3mn หลายเดือนก่อน

      i always read this as tldr or the too long didn't read letter. Sorry David.

    • @jhgolf25
      @jhgolf25 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      WTF does he mean I'll get 100% of the margin of gold? Is he playing us for fools? The entire reason people invest in MINING companies is you expect to see 200% or 500% returns. Why Tf wouldn't I just invest in the commodity itself. Make it make fkin sense!

    • @jhgolf25
      @jhgolf25 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I'm selling my $20k position if this fk head doesn't explain himself

    • @inflationmillionaire-df3mn
      @inflationmillionaire-df3mn หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jhgolf25 his company is not doing well check out mta on the stock market

    • @JM-si8xr
      @JM-si8xr หลายเดือนก่อน

      I like David's comments about the next increase. The Federal Reserve Bank is just telling lies. Saying that 6 rate cuts will occur in the beginning of the year and now we over half way done with the year with no rate cuts. The banishment of the Federal Reserve Bank would be good.

  • @Peterl4290
    @Peterl4290 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +114

    Interesting how over 9% inflation has been a concern when central banks and the Fed begin to hike interest rates. I consider the rising interest rate to be a very serious issue since it will undoubtedly cause more investors to withdraw their money from the stock market. But then I'm still aware of certain investors that continue to earn over $365,000. Wish I could accomplish that.

    • @Mrshuster
      @Mrshuster 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Very possible! Particularly in the current market. There are several opportunities to generate excellent returns, but such intricate transactions can only be carried out by seasoned market professionals.

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      AGREED! Over 3 years now, I've made over 1.7 million by simply following a coach's advice. I was on the sidelines for a while watching, trying to determine the best time to get in, before I came across a coach, recommended by my wife. I was reluctant at first but I went ahead and contacted the coach. Best decision yet

    • @sabastinenoah
      @sabastinenoah 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      This sounds interesting. My portfolio is in the red. Can you recommend your analyst, please?

    • @larrypaul-cw9nk
      @larrypaul-cw9nk 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Annette Christine Conte is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @sabastinenoah
      @sabastinenoah 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

  • @gchekibed2099
    @gchekibed2099 หลายเดือนก่อน +38

    The amount of content your team puts out is staggering. Like a machine gun. Every time I turn around, David Lin is dropping another one.

    • @dixiederivatives
      @dixiederivatives หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Yes David works hard! David, STOP! Take more time to enjoy life and take better care of yourself, its not worth it!

    • @servethesongs
      @servethesongs หลายเดือนก่อน

      ITS ALSO USELESS.. like this video for example.. .sheeple

    • @user-im6fy4qp6m
      @user-im6fy4qp6m หลายเดือนก่อน

      yeah its almost too much. cant keep up with them all he should probably slow down to 1 or 2 per day

  • @thomasvarughese118
    @thomasvarughese118 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    Bro, you are the one. I don't understand how these other financial idiots on TH-cam have so much more subs/views. Your content is hands down the best financial news on TH-cam. Thank you

    • @TheDavidLinReport
      @TheDavidLinReport  หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Thanks! Help spread the word if you like the content :)

    • @user-im6fy4qp6m
      @user-im6fy4qp6m หลายเดือนก่อน

      agreed. i wish i could invest in David Lin shares he is the definition of an undiscovered star. i feel so lucky to have found him early on and know he is going to the big leagues.

  • @ccliaKUN
    @ccliaKUN หลายเดือนก่อน +72

    Well explain thank you for bringing up this video Financial education is indeed required for more than 80% of the society in the country as very few are literate on the subject. The value of the US dollar is declining due to inflation, but it is increasing in comparison to other currencies and commodities such as gold and real estate. I'm worried that rising inflation will cause my 550k in my retirement funds to lose value, But with the help of Sandy Barclays I hit 220k this week from my investment of 45k, I am truly grateful for all the knowledge and nuggets you have given me over the past few months.

    • @ccliaKUN
      @ccliaKUN หลายเดือนก่อน

      Sandy Barclays program is widely available online..

    • @kangmaximsub3622
      @kangmaximsub3622 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.

    • @sheisjavier4
      @sheisjavier4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Sandy insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

    • @JavierJumbo-jn6jg
      @JavierJumbo-jn6jg หลายเดือนก่อน

      Indeed, the recent market downturn serves as evidence that a vast majority of individuals lacked a sufficient understanding of the underlying financial dynamics at play.

    • @hrncir39
      @hrncir39 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Sandy gave me the autonomy I need to learn at my own pace and ask questions when I need to she’s so accommodating.

  • @freedom9611
    @freedom9611 หลายเดือนก่อน +33

    It will return to whatever the Gov wants it to be 😂
    It’s never been 2 percent, always higher….It was higher than 9 percent when they said it was 9… Grocery Bill,Gas, electric, and the value swing of your real estate/assets is all you need to know. Those 4 things will tell you everything you need to know about money printing, and inflation.

    • @lucanidae100
      @lucanidae100 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Those things, some of them reached 100%

    • @LiberatedMind1
      @LiberatedMind1 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@lucanidae100 I know my balls did.

    • @JG-id5vi
      @JG-id5vi หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@lucanidae100 Real estate where I live is roughly about 400% higher here in massachusetts. Especially in crime infested neighborhoods for some reason.

    • @freedom9611
      @freedom9611 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@lucanidae100 correct that’s why 2-3 percent inflation is garbage

    • @freedom9611
      @freedom9611 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@JG-id5vi yep, that is why 2 or 9 percent don’t matter. All fake numbers.

  • @littlebitmckee8234
    @littlebitmckee8234 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    I really despise the fact that we live in a system where people have to lose jobs to fix things. How broken is that?????

  • @lucanidae100
    @lucanidae100 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    No cuts!!!!

  • @archers101pd7
    @archers101pd7 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    When you provide so much liquidity and if you printing more, sooner or later, the gate will be busted open. Inflation will skyrocket.

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze หลายเดือนก่อน

      No, it won't because most of the population is flat in their back. They will no longer be able to purchase like before.

    • @filipdefillet7368
      @filipdefillet7368 หลายเดือนก่อน

      There is not enough liquidity 😂
      I wish for a liquidity/dept ratio.
      How do you pay dept whiteout liquidity???

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@filipdefillet7368 How do you pay DEBT WITHOUT liquidity?
      Open more local banks and make new loans equity-based, not interest-based. Then, if a debt can't be paid, it must be written off by transferring it to the Central Bank's balance sheet for destruction.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      So first off we always follow the charts .... regardless of what people say. Right now we are making divergences... price going up while momentum indicators are down... draw trend lines on both ... you will see them. This is an indicator of a top. Might not be in quite yet but we are getting very close. Once the Fed cuts that is the last chance folks have to get out of their longs IMHO. And for all this craziness there is going to have to be some timing. It will go like this most probably. The biggest elephant in the room is the debt. The FED will need to keep in down. If they do not folks will reject price and buisnesses will go under, unemployment surges and we go into a doom loop. This is why a rate cut anytime for the next 9 months is a mistake. Yes small companies are in trouble but we need to crush a lot of folks that are zombie compaines to clear everything out. Do you think the FED is going to do this. Of course not. They are going to cut in Sept because of signs of slowing. This is a mistake. It will cause a crash of the stock market and then 9 months from then another surge in inflation ... just like we saw in the 80s. And the second wave of inflation is aways worse and way harder to get under control. Once price goes up and keeps going up because of this mistake.... most folks can't afford anything... Compaines fail , unemployment surges or said better stagflation like we have never seen. So we get the same effects as keeping rates higher with none of the benifits (inflation coming down). This will be horrible and folks have no idea what comes next. Just wait until earnings start getting reported next week. I think the last of the "good earnings" are in and now we see declining earnings. Which means company stock prices are WAY too high. Once the stock market starts dropping and housing starts to drop (coming but usually the last thing to go) the very rich folks that are holding everything up start to get nervous becuase their net worth is going down, will start to sell everything. Should this happen (very likely IMHO) we get a MASSIVE crash in all assets. Gold,silver, BTC, cars, houses etc. But this time with the debts to high and where the rich boomer are in their life cycle, I think it could rival the Great Depression. Years of a nasty bear market... I mean we have gone up for basically 15 years. Markets correct. This time we dont get a nice general healthy correction, we get a come to Jesus moment. And I am scared for most people.

  • @Lionadmike
    @Lionadmike หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    This seems like the worst period.
    Even the market are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high,today I am more than 60% down!

    • @MattGuzman-ug8dl
      @MattGuzman-ug8dl หลายเดือนก่อน

      Don’t be confuse buying the dip in a bear market, with guaranteed future returns. Just because that company is down 60%+ from ATH does NOT make it a sound long-term investment. Make sure you’re investing in great companies. kudos to Sonia campbell

    • @GabbyMJ-md2rs
      @GabbyMJ-md2rs หลายเดือนก่อน

      Only God knows how much grateful i am. After so much struggles I now own a new house and my family is happy once again everything is finally falling into place!!Sonia campbell

    • @Lionadmike
      @Lionadmike หลายเดือนก่อน

      Amazing You trade ?? Wow that's huge, how do you make that much monthly?

    • @Francisco-287
      @Francisco-287 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Sonia campbell is my hope on the current 'bear summer' . I did so many mistakes but also learned so much from it, and of course from Sonia campbell.

    • @Lionadmike
      @Lionadmike หลายเดือนก่อน

      This summer is making me poor please I want to join the moving train

  • @chuxiangyu216
    @chuxiangyu216 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    If you say the Fed will have to cut rates but it will be short lived as inflation will come soaring back. Then what's the point of cutting? just keep hiking

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Because our politiicans are owned by the rich. The rich love inflation it cause asset prices to go up. They own most of the assets. Inflation will get to a point that prices are too high and everyone stops spending. Getting very close to that now. We can see it in the car / RV market and in certain housing markets in FL and TX. The FED should not exist. They just confuse the situtation.

  • @jeffersonblackmon
    @jeffersonblackmon หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    As Mike Maloney said, "CPI is a CP LIE"
    Inflation has not gone down; go pump some gas or by groceries.

    • @george0r510
      @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      My exact setement seeing Heath telling us what a prediction is??

    • @danielhady3021
      @danielhady3021 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You don't know what inflation is evidently. It's the rate of change. Smh

    • @Slyons89
      @Slyons89 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Inflation isn’t the price, it’s the rate the price is increasing. Even if inflation was 0% that means prices stay exactly where they are now.

  • @ConstructionHoney
    @ConstructionHoney หลายเดือนก่อน

    I got a 3.3% increase and my MD literally told me that was CPI. Keeping a straight face. I did have to try hard to not laugh or roll my eyes. He was honestly making it sound like i won the lotto.

  • @brent0708
    @brent0708 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Love this CEO’s honesty!

  • @georgecaines9820
    @georgecaines9820 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    When do i get my royalty? METALLA is a looser for me. 75% down thanks to EB Tucker advise with MTA.

  • @jeffreygoss8109
    @jeffreygoss8109 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    As a shareholder I’m so glad the see this guy instead of EB Tucker.

    • @rodrigopino9032
      @rodrigopino9032 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Maybe not patient enough. He’s a little bit edgy lately. I want to get back in on Greenstone’s production. Quite a bit of pipeline happening, and the timing couldn’t be better, loving Gold Royalty and Sandstorm in this environment.

    • @rodrigopino9032
      @rodrigopino9032 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Sorry I meant tocantinzinho in Brazil

    • @george0r510
      @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน

      When I saw Bret Heath's name I thought it was going to be an announcement that Metal la was going BANKRUPT. How they are staying listed is beyond me???

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I would be careful on longs right here. The markets are showing divergences everywhere, weekly, daily, and even interay charts. I think we get a pull back starting Monday or Tuesday. The Fed cuts in September, we go up a bit and then shortly thereafter, the real crash starts. We will let the charts tell us what to do. The whys (MACRO) are too slow to be relevant to a stock trader. They do always win in the long term but for us we need to be nimble which is why we ignor all commentary and do what a the charts tell us to... even when everyone else is doing the exact opposite.

    • @FreeSpeech4All
      @FreeSpeech4All 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      EB Tucker left partly because he didn't agree with how this guy chose to run this company into the ground. This is likely the "We're desperate for more capital to destroy without EB suckering money in" tour.
      MTA has wrecked more investor wealth than many juniors and that should NEVER happen with a royalty company.

  • @waqidj
    @waqidj หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Inflation will run out of control if they cut and we don’t see a recession hit

  • @MeJonTheDon
    @MeJonTheDon หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Another consideration, is to account for taxes, your income needs to go up beyond actual inflation to just be equal.
    Even worse, since the tax bracket increases are not tied to true inflation numbers (understanding this number is different for each person as well even when not manipulated), is the higher the inflation, the more likely your wages will get bucketed into the next tax bracket. So you might see inflation of 10%, and get a 10% raise, but after accounting for a bumped up tax bracket and the taxes themselves, you might effectively only have like a 5% raise so still a 5% effective pay cut. Government thus leaches even further than what is obvious, because likely you wouldn't have gotten that real inflation attempt at offsetting with a pay bump to begin with.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I retired form the Navy after 30 years. Got my penison, and then went out and got a great paying job. So basically doubled my income. My wife was working and i told her to stop because her making the little that she did make would just push us into the next tax bracket and we would give all of her check to the Goverment. This is how we know the system is broken. If you are in a society .. those that can be productive should be, if not...well we get into the postition we are in now. I think what most miss is that taxes are going to have to go up not down. Companies are starting to lay off folks. Doesn't matter if its is infaltion or deflation. We are boxed into a corner now. Inflation keeps going ... more price rejection... more unemployment. We have a deflationary event, less spending ... more unemployment. Price rejection is so strong here in America that population is going down not up. Some one is going to have to pay for all of this. Most folks don't realize it but they are actually worth half of what they think they are. Once they start to realize it things will get very interesting very fast and IMHO those that stole from future generations are about to get their faces ripped off. On a brighter note, if you are in the market for a house, car, RV... if you wait just a bit longer you will get some really sweet deals.

  • @peterburke8650
    @peterburke8650 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    When everything bubbles gold follows up the rear.

  • @khutzey4149
    @khutzey4149 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    No one wants fake gold. People are waking up

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      When we get a deflationary event everyone that has real gold will be selling it ... because they will need money to finance all the crazy debt they have.

  • @5600hp
    @5600hp หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    My Natgas position is telling natgas is almost free . I’d love some natgas inflation.

  • @merrittlawrence9647
    @merrittlawrence9647 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Gold and silver are so hated by the masses it’s a buy

  • @johnbirman5840
    @johnbirman5840 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Perhaps the news that India and Russia will be settling trade between them in non US Dollars had a smallish reason for Gold’s increase?
    Perhaps.....

  • @avordshaw6244
    @avordshaw6244 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    David Lin is a living example of why the gender pay gap is BS. David went out on his own and took the risk by starting his own channel after building his Rolodex of guests. Michelle could have done the exact same thing and been more successful at it because of the obvious and she’s good at what she does. But she chose security and a salary and health benefits. David is making a ton more money than her I’m sure of it. No risk no hard work no reward, period.

  • @annasillanpaa1111
    @annasillanpaa1111 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you - again excellent!

  • @rushdaniel99
    @rushdaniel99 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Wy would feds cut rates if inflation is above 2% ???

  • @HML-it7te
    @HML-it7te หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    1:57
    “… a Fed FakeCut…”
    Never a truer word spoke;)

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Powell needs to be quiet and do his job. None of these FED chairs should be holding press conferences. And their testimony to Congress should be closed door.

  • @richardbell3738
    @richardbell3738 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    If anyone noticed the week before July 4th prices went way up in one week . Some as much as 30% . Watch the CPI lies will come again For july in August . Rate cut will be short lived to go much higher if the FED does their job but will not . They will do political move for the market being election year .

  • @mc-kz8zn
    @mc-kz8zn หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Super interesting!

  • @franciscoalfonso
    @franciscoalfonso หลายเดือนก่อน

    When you purchase gold you have papers.... what if those are just that?

  • @kiyoshitakeda452
    @kiyoshitakeda452 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Good take on the possible return of inflation. A worry for me too. Thank you both.

  • @davidceron8660
    @davidceron8660 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Yes indeed. Thus, long term interest rates might go up too.

  • @AndrewQuinOneTake
    @AndrewQuinOneTake หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Good interview inflation will stay high over the long term as imo the US will try to inflate out of its debt.

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze หลายเดือนก่อน

      Inflate out debt by issuing more debt.
      Say no more.

    • @AndrewQuinOneTake
      @AndrewQuinOneTake หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yes

  • @thyslop1737
    @thyslop1737 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    He is predicting higher inflation? Even higher than now? Would not be surprised, but wonder how long I and the citizens can hold out. I have had double digit increase in my CPA bill, parts I buy, all insurances and grocerys just to name a few.

  • @ThrashLawPatentsAndTMs
    @ThrashLawPatentsAndTMs หลายเดือนก่อน

    What’s the basis of his inflation prediction?

  • @user-ph2qg1iz9u
    @user-ph2qg1iz9u หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    GROY TMC and AG 🚀🚀🚀🚀

  • @yochanan7747
    @yochanan7747 หลายเดือนก่อน

    From 2020 to now, M2 grew from ~$15T to ~$21T.
    Increasing money suuply is similar to a public co issuing more shares. The existing shares are being repriced in response to tge dilution.
    Same happens with prices when more dollars are created.
    Everything gets repriced because same existing value (all goods inexistance) is divided by more units of account.
    Once all existing stuff has been repriced, inflation stops.
    It doesn't matter how much loquidity there is in the system. It only matters how much change in liquidity there is. It's the change in liquidity that drives inflation until everything has been repriced.
    So, if money in existence grew from 15T to 21T, that is a 1.4X increase which should result in each dollar losing about 29% of its purchasing power.
    Lets say true inflation was 8% per yr for last 4 yrs. That means a dilution by 1.08^4=1.36. Meaning each dollar lost about 26% of it purchasing power. (1-1/1.36).
    That's roughly equal to the M2 re-pricing, so the repricing is basically over.

  • @scepisle4970
    @scepisle4970 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Gold and Bitcoin.... 😊

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Both get crushed in the years long bear market we are about to go into.

  • @gregorygreene1940
    @gregorygreene1940 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Pretty hard to take anything from Metalla execs seriously. We are talking about a company in the gold/silver royalty/streaming space that can't gain any traction in it's share price with gold over $2400 and silver near $31. It's down to 3.08 from a high of 12.81 in 3 years. Ouch.

    • @xoctor
      @xoctor หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Directors are net sellers, and even the buys are for token amounts. They are losing money hand over fist, and regularly diluting. I can't believe anyone is willing to buy into that. The CEO is extracting $1.2m a year! It looks like he was earning his keep until 2021. What happened?

    • @csp103
      @csp103 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Directors are net sellers

    • @george0r510
      @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Not Ouch it is part of the TREASON called MMT in our system..... FREE MARKETS ARE DEAD, HEATH, you know IT, and I know it. EVEN REAL VALUE IS CRAPOLA SMELLING BAD...wE ARE ON THE THRESHOLD OF third-party risk taking the cash and investments in my trading account that is m prediction., and the U S A, will grab cash in my checking, and savings account. Hard Assets, are wehre it is the system of investing is crapola, and hyou know it Bret Heath...

    • @waynebiebel5993
      @waynebiebel5993 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Ha. 2nd Quarter earnings aren't out. Check your chart when did gold start to run up? ....Begining of Q2. Check back after the next earnings call. 👍Also, Juniors across the board are in the gutter. All are highly undervalued. Good investors buy cheap when blood is in the streets. This sector has been annihilated. Uneducated critical observations such as yours confirm that this is a great buy. Also, remember this is a new company just listed on the NYSE in 2020 and is just cycling up for a bright and prosperous future. I missed and watched this stock run-up in post-pandemic insanity and watched it fall all the way to its current insane undervaluation. I bought @2.60 and haven't been down for a day. Amazing what patience and research can accomplish. MTA @ $3 is a steal. Again check back after the next earnings call. I am always happy to be proven wrong because no one really knows.

    • @waynebiebel5993
      @waynebiebel5993 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@xoctor I agree it could seem in poor taste and poor management but is also typical with new companies at this stage and average compensation for companies this size. Their options were at a 5-year maturity and the selling was simply exercised options. Growth expansion just beginning. NET ASSET VAUE per share is above $6. IMO The 8 employees have earned their keep and deserve the rewards of their options. ??

  • @Cynthiape2uc
    @Cynthiape2uc หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    The US gold reserve is 60%??!!! Not even close.

  • @alf8718
    @alf8718 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Oh, so we are talking about the "official" inflation "calculated" by the government (they can put any number there) and not the REAL inflation which is much higher than just 10%. One thing is to "adjust" the method of calculating the inflation and simultaneously keep some prices down to make it look low another thing is what's really happenning to the prices (of which most are not included in the equation) and the gap between the two is widening!

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      We are not just seeing inflation but also shrikflation. My daughter opened a bag of chips... it had two in it. But the price for those chips went up. So guess what? I stopped buying chips. There is a point where inflation gets so bad people just stop buying things. This cause buisnesses to have decling revenue and start to lay folks off. Unemployment surges, less people have money to spend... more unemployments and we are in a doom loop. Companies are not hiring right now even if there are job postings. They post jobs to give the illusion things are okay with them. NO they are not hiring they are already cutting. This head fake keep the unemployment numbers artifically inflated. So the government say we have millions of jobs that are not being filled... when actually those jobs are fake to begin with. Better to not have a central bank (the FED) at all. They just get in the way of free market capitalism ... that the US has not had for at least 40 years. But certainly since the GFC.

  • @curtissnow9546
    @curtissnow9546 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Fed has no option but to cut rates unless they want a banking and bankruptcy crisis. They may temporarily cause a housing crash but hyperinflation will fix that quick

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      We need a crash in all assets. If we don't get one and do keep inflating, we are still going to see price rejection. More price rejection, more unemployment. We go into a doom loop. Either way we crash. Nothing anyone says or does is going to stop that now.

  • @The_Dougie
    @The_Dougie หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    If the fed can print money, why do we pay taxes?

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Because we live in a Republic. Sovereign nations don't need to tax their citizens because they can generate revenue from state-owned businesses in oil and mineral exports, tourism, banking and interest, real estate, etc.

    • @watamutha
      @watamutha หลายเดือนก่อน

      We need even more money than what the Fed prints

    • @genestone4951
      @genestone4951 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Workers are taxed to make sure they can never have social mobility.

    • @curtissnow9546
      @curtissnow9546 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      To give legitimacy to their paper debt tokens. Why would we use ious if weren’t forced to use them at the threat of imprisonment by big brother?

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      NO NO NO the FED does not print money. In fact it is illigal for them to do so. May I suggest reading the book "Broken Money"? If you don't even know how money comes into existance you are at great risk. And don't feel bad 99% of the population have no idea how money is created, this includes our politicians... which is one of the main reasons we are screwed. I mean if they don't know this or get it wrong (like you did) what else don't they know about or have gotten wrong? I give this statement with love not attacking you. I just think most folks think they know what they are talking about when they are clueless. They just regurgitate what main stream media has told them, and those are owned by the richest people in the world, and their goal is to separate us from our money so they can have it. Be carful and get smart. Knowledge is power. Last thing, a FED Rate cut is a bearish event for the stock market not a bullish one. Folks get this wrong too. They think a FED cut will save us, it will not. The FED is always late ... there is a reason for that which I will let you discover yourself.

  • @tow.JanWinnicki
    @tow.JanWinnicki หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    David. I’m your #1 fan but I have to say the quality of the guest had diminished as of late. Please take it as constructive criticism. Serwus!

  • @user-vj7qx1zy2b
    @user-vj7qx1zy2b หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Thats why the Fed is cutting they inflation will skyrocket.

  • @tc102167
    @tc102167 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Comes in waves BUT if there is a recession and the economy is in contraction, which it is, deflation is on the horizon.

  • @glowwurm9365
    @glowwurm9365 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Gold is looking at the dollar, right now the US is getting of lightly due to dollar strength, that won’t last once the FED start cutting.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Gold does not do well in a deflationary period. What do we think comes next after the longest bull run in history?

    • @glowwurm9365
      @glowwurm9365 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@bpb5541 How do we get deflation with a US government running $2 trillion deficits YoY?
      If anything the next decade is likely to be marked by higher inflation, higher rates of interest (on longer term debt given the amounts being borrowed) and rising prices of commodities (how else we going to build and power all these AI data centers that the market is so keen on)?
      Seriously how do you factor in deflation with wartime deficits being run during what the market would have you believe is a bull market? Something does not add up....

  • @888strummer
    @888strummer หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I think this guest is wrong and we are more likely to see deflation begin to take over later this year. Way too many people are tapped out, with many maxed out on credit and in serious debt

  • @alantan79
    @alantan79 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Why does it feel inflation is still 15-20% on the daily basis..

  • @sawtoothbygeorge
    @sawtoothbygeorge หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Will inflation return because nobody drank the Koo-aid? No pain, really.

  • @lucanidae100
    @lucanidae100 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    At 9% +
    Everyone will stop spending! It will all collapse

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Everyone has stopped spending already. We just need to look at what is happening to the RV and Auto market. Massive price rejection. This is why infaltion will eventually cause buisnesses to fail and unemployment to spiral out of control regardless of what the FED does or does not do. Markets self correct if they are allowed too. Better to not have any FED at all. They just make everything worse. I think what will shock most folks is when earnings start to come in bad and stock prices (forward PE) is way too high. Which means we are most likely in for massive crash that will take years to play out. The FED is stuck if they dont cut small buisnesses got under, unemployment surges, if they do cut inflation surges, we get more price rejection buisnesses fail, unemployment surges. This is where we are at ... a no win situation. Unless...... you know how to short.

    • @glowwurm9365
      @glowwurm9365 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Problem is the government is still spending, $2 trillion deficits outside of a recession? What happens when they continue that and rates are cut?

  • @Userhfdryjjgddf
    @Userhfdryjjgddf หลายเดือนก่อน

    What happens if central banks slow buying gold big time???

  • @lucanidae100
    @lucanidae100 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Get in line for the food banks...NOW

  • @anilprasanna
    @anilprasanna หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Apple stock has quadrupled in 4 years. Does it make any sense?

    • @yldrmcs
      @yldrmcs หลายเดือนก่อน

      of course. what world do you live in? hundreds of millions of people are buying iphones, let alone apple’s other products

  • @franciscoalfonso
    @franciscoalfonso หลายเดือนก่อน

    Who has the liquidity out there? BlackStone or Black Rock or Black Water ? I do not! Feeding America is asking for donations every day.

  • @george0r510
    @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Brett, Metalla is 15 years from stock breaking even at it's high when you broke you major push to Capitalize Metalla. Investors are not ocming into your stock, until mining starts with your Royalties deployed into dig sites with hi ore consentrations. 15 years away from reality, and do you think you can hold on that long????

  • @saikrishna2589
    @saikrishna2589 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Investors didn’t just move away to Big Tech from Gold . They also moved significantly into Crypto

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      And both gold and BTC (like all assets) will get crushed when we go into the next bear market. I mean we have been in the longest bull market of all time. What do we think is coming next? This crash in gold and BTC are buying opportuinites. But shorting them on the way down would be a good idea too. This is true for all asset classes. When to short? When the FED pivots and cuts... that is when. After the crash (years long) and with some prowess (looking at charts and the VIX) we get close to a bottom and start going long all those assets we know are quality and want to buy (go long) but are too expensive right now. I think BTC is the future. But I think it goes to 10k before it goes to a million. Once it drops below 15k. I will start to back the truck up. The lower it goes the better. Folks that bought BTC at 65k are going to have to sit through some pain as it has clearly topped already. The one thing that would make my thesis incorrect is if the US Dollar collapses. Which is a real possibility. Then we go from todays price to 100k BTC overnight. Anything that is tied to the US Dollar is at risk IMHO. If they keep inflating. The dollar just loses more and more of its purchasing power. At some point it goes to zero. We are not that far off now. I mean since the FED was formed in 1913 the Dollar has lost 96% of it's purchasing power. Another 4% is not that much.

  • @george0r510
    @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Where have you been Brett, you been under a rock, there are Russian Nuclar Subs 50 miles of the shore in the Atlantic where I live, and your making predictions about FREE MARKETS that don't exist

  • @bpb5541
    @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    A FED cut is a bearish event for the stock market not a bullish one.

  • @yldrmcs
    @yldrmcs หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    It’s amazing! many people listen to these guys and missing the biggest stock market rally. this channel is funny

  • @vincentmurphy9252
    @vincentmurphy9252 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Totally if Feds shoukd Lock rates lock 5% 1 year - then raise and go to 8% 7:02 or 10%
    Then lower to 5.5 or
    6and stay there 2 years

  • @billmc5457
    @billmc5457 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Not unless nominal GDP skyrockets. Economy is slowing.

  • @jeffreytong168
    @jeffreytong168 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    People in the US really think CPI/PPI drives rate change decisions...hard to believe.

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 หลายเดือนก่อน

      In this case I think it will be unemployment or bank/business strength.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Well inflation is still way too high. We are starting to see buisnesses get into trouble. Unemployment is about to spike... we go into a doom loop. None of the numbers really matter. They can be cooked and statistics can say whatever you want them to say depending on how you spin them. No what really matters is revenue. If US Tax revenue is going down not up... what does that mean? That means the economy is rapidly slowing. Once we go into the doom loop it is really hard to get out of it.... think Japan. I think that is what is next for the mighty US of A and we deserve every bit that is coming to us.

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@bpb5541 great points. But I personally don’t agree with the “we deserve” part of your comment, I place the majority of the blame on the fed and government.

    • @bpb5541
      @bpb5541 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@5dc61 that is fair but the way I look at it as we the public let what happened happen. We did not freak out when FDR stole our Gold (well maybe they did) or when Nixon took us off the gold reserve, or in 1913 when the Federal Reserve was made (maybe they did) or when we bailed everyone out during the GFC (know for a fact we didn't only two really rich folks went to jail and not for long), and all the stimis and bail in and bail outs for Covid... No I think we deserve all of it. The government and Fed have stolen from us for a very long time... which is really rich people who own our politicians and we just let it happen. So it is still on us.

  • @davidguerrero1636
    @davidguerrero1636 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    I don’t trust anyone hawking metals.

  • @rudydjangirov7545
    @rudydjangirov7545 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Would be nice to see 2 people with opposing views debate

  • @kobezcarz4558
    @kobezcarz4558 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Where's EB?

  • @coinjoinersunlimited1140
    @coinjoinersunlimited1140 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Didn’t Tucker say this company Metalla did a Rugpull?

  • @user-vi3sz3fg2r
    @user-vi3sz3fg2r หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    I'm wondering about a July surprise cut.

    • @kurniawanms2
      @kurniawanms2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      not going to happen

  • @Reutzel507
    @Reutzel507 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Look at the next month for the same rate cut. It’s less.

  • @TXLionHeart
    @TXLionHeart หลายเดือนก่อน

    I believe the poet Yung Joc foretold it correctly when he said, "meet me in the trap, it's going down."

  • @jimmylabb5868
    @jimmylabb5868 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nah recession is among us now and big possible of a deeper recession around the corner with inflation trending down. I don't see it roaring back anytime soon even with 2-3 cuts this year. mark it!

  • @nacomdt
    @nacomdt หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    "fake cut" like it

  • @matthewthurn
    @matthewthurn หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    It can and it will skyrocket.

  • @JamesBond-vg6wz
    @JamesBond-vg6wz หลายเดือนก่อน

    The cost of anything is the amount of life you exchange for it..Eventually you will have to settle the bill and pay the price..🤔😱

  • @tyguy104
    @tyguy104 หลายเดือนก่อน

    OK, so you diversified your portfolio? Ok, well start spending your cash before it becomes worthless. So it's coming up gold, copper, silver and everything else? I'll still hold on to some cash for more disinflation afterward by the Fed forced hand. Like, that's it though, in the modern climate... some inflation, then disinflation, then more inflation.
    Indeflation? Is that what you call it? It's not optimal at all

  • @maverickjones9418
    @maverickjones9418 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I don’t think the demand is out there in the economy to reignite inflation. Who the heck has this liquidity?

    • @Atlas10-qg1dx
      @Atlas10-qg1dx หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      The US government is spending like a drunken sailor, adding $1 trillion to the national debt every 100 days.

    • @maverickjones9418
      @maverickjones9418 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@Atlas10-qg1dx This is true. I believe I saw 43% of revenue was spent on interest in June? Have to look it up. These MMT clowns are going destroy us.

    • @Atlas10-qg1dx
      @Atlas10-qg1dx หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@maverickjones9418you’re absolutely correct! I think it was the highest monthly interest payment on the national debt ever.

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Atlas10-qg1dx The US government is spending.....
      Can't have capitalism without capital unless you live in the third world.

  • @AnnabelleMathew-j8n
    @AnnabelleMathew-j8n หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    From my observation and historical market pattern, there might be a bit of turbulence in the market coming up, but here's the deal: Trying to guess what's going to happen next is less important than spreading your bets when trading and thinking long term. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady...managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 532k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Fred Stephen, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape..

    • @JackNathim
      @JackNathim หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I'm celebrating a $30k stock portfolio today. started this journey with 6k. I have invested on time and also with the right terms now I have time for my family and the life ahead of me.

    • @LukeElizabeth-l8l
      @LukeElizabeth-l8l หลายเดือนก่อน

      Trading hasn’t been going well for me lately. Every day, I came to watch video's I only see people appreciating how good they trading works.

    • @JulianHarris-l5k
      @JulianHarris-l5k หลายเดือนก่อน

      How
      ..? Am a newbie in crypto investment, please can you guide me through on how you made profit

    • @AnnabelleMathew-j8n
      @AnnabelleMathew-j8n หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thanks to Mr Fred Stephen.

    • @AnnabelleMathew-j8n
      @AnnabelleMathew-j8n หลายเดือนก่อน

      His a licensed broker here in the states 🇺🇸

  • @The_McD
    @The_McD หลายเดือนก่อน

    9% is unlikely. I can see inflation becoming "stuck" at 3%. l’m not sure he’s taking into account supply chains.⛓️‍💥 That’s a big x-factor IMHO. It’s a fluid situation. For one, the Red Sea crisis has increased shipping prices. Unfortunately Netanyahu is such a hawk that he seems to be sabotaging a ceasefire by adding new demands. If the supply chains improve that can offset any spikes. We’ll have to see.

  • @dimebagg1
    @dimebagg1 หลายเดือนก่อน

    July 11 not June 11

  • @danielkelly08
    @danielkelly08 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I enjoy hearing all opinions. This opinion is wrong in my opinion,😂😂😂….. But it is a convincing view.

  • @lucanidae100
    @lucanidae100 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Dow broke 40,000 today

  • @rollingthunder6406
    @rollingthunder6406 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What is this "MNA" they keep mentioning?

    • @waynebiebel5993
      @waynebiebel5993 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Mergers and Aquisitions M&A 👍

  • @peterbedford2610
    @peterbedford2610 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Yup...

  • @george0r510
    @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You tNow with your predicting tell me why Metalla is so low. think is not a reality ,I think and I am not a specialist in your area of investment and I would not predict, and when you did predict the movement was down 75%????? Don't say it is time to go all in on Metalla???????
    ????????????????

  • @basedspace5958
    @basedspace5958 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Lol Metalla is down 35% YOY.

  • @yochanan7747
    @yochanan7747 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It's not inflation expectations that drive gold up.
    It's the 32T debt. Gold is seen as a hedge against sudden collapse.
    There will be inflation, but not in CPI. It will be inflation of hard assets. Gold, botcoin, stocks, realestate.

  • @gcb2101
    @gcb2101 หลายเดือนก่อน

    LOL

  • @FeelingPeculiar
    @FeelingPeculiar หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    This is incorrect. We are heading into a horrific deflationary depression and it will be horrible for everyone!!! Deflation is the real concern.

  • @robmirich3281
    @robmirich3281 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I cannot understand EVERYONE believing the BLS numbers regarding inflation.
    There is no way that we are under 13% inflation for the last 5 years (my calculation...not gonna share my metrics).
    13% inflation is kinda rotten. I cannot control the MSM or the BLS or whatever. I can make the best decision that I can for my family.
    Thinking now that there is no good option. Now looking for the least of all the bad options. Thinking now that silver is the best protection from nonsense.
    Wish I was healthier buy working toward that. As well as financial health.
    No ideas about what to do but I am buying silver at my local LCS. Trying to do my part to beat down the lowest asset on Exter's pyramid.

  • @celsooliveira2805
    @celsooliveira2805 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Advertisement interviews are so annoying

  • @rockermarco
    @rockermarco หลายเดือนก่อน

    Brett Heath, grow that beard out! You would look good with that distinguished grey facial hair.

  • @junbug2427
    @junbug2427 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    my metalla stock has been in the trash for since the start of the rate hikes. best thing i did was sell it should have done it earlier

    • @junbug2427
      @junbug2427 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @KeepOnTheRightPath im okay with it. i went from 1k to $150. it’ll be a while till i would get to break even

  • @vaibhavgupta610
    @vaibhavgupta610 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The ceo of metalla royal is shilling its company since 4 years... Worst performer

  • @SilverMonsterCoind
    @SilverMonsterCoind หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Interest rates are not reflecting this message.

  • @brianponcelet3529
    @brianponcelet3529 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Unfortunately he is wrong…the leading indicator is lumber. The future contracts are down 14% ytd. So inflation is going down in the next 6 months.

    • @george0r510
      @george0r510 หลายเดือนก่อน

      not only is inflation going down it will go down with a major recession, or a DEPRESSION like no other in mankinds history............The institution of investing in anything in the U S A is fake, trust, to invest, is taken away by, TREASON at the highest levels, and we HOPE BRETT HEATH is PREDICTING correctly. MMT still holds sway, that is TREASON on our system and way of life. The citizens of the U S A are about to do a bale in to fund the few at the top ????????????

  • @gen-X-trader
    @gen-X-trader หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Has this guy posted his trades or positions? It's kind of lame when people come on and run their mouth but they don't back it up with what they're trading

  • @stevenhake7500
    @stevenhake7500 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Mmm i doubt it.

  • @PonziZombieKiller
    @PonziZombieKiller หลายเดือนก่อน

    BLACK ☠️ MONDAY
    We is doomed...

  • @jasonrgann
    @jasonrgann หลายเดือนก่อน

    ❤❤❤✝️✝️✝️

  • @AjoyDas-jv3gf
    @AjoyDas-jv3gf หลายเดือนก่อน

    Just swapped all of my last ETH and swapped it into XAI20H. Already up a little bit. Unfortunately I have some other junk staked which won’t free up for a while. Still now I am on the train!