Hi! Can you explain why negative count means you are probably going to lose? What makes a deck filled with low cards more likely that the player will lose
A good amount of the value that a counter uses to leverage losing odds comes from the 3:2 payout you get from a two card blackjack (a natural). Can't be making many (if any) naturals if most/all tens and aces are gone.
Agreed ⬆️ There is also a better chances for double downs working out and more dealer busts as they have to draw until they have at least 17 whereas we can stop whenever
Great Video. One question about bet spread . When the true count is high enough , but the table is full , I assume that the same amount of bets goes in one spot instead of two, Is it the same ? Or Im missing something
The EV will be slightly different. The thing about spreading to two hands is a lot of times, you win one and lose one. So the variance is less compared to playing just 1. Bit otherwise, yes, if the table is too busy and you only have one spot to play, just adjust for that.
A few questions…. Basic strategy says split 4s vs 6. However, if you’re at your max bet already, why not double down 8v6, if you’re over +1? Which takes precedence, the split or the double down? Other question…. This is not meant to challenge you. I admire your dedication and your teaching and I have learned so much from you. Your students at your “real job” are lucky to have you as their teacher. Last week, I asked when to play one hand and when to play two. I didn’t get an answer, so I dug deeper, and found an answer in Wong’s book. He said play one hand if you’re alone, and play two hands if you’re not alone at the table. His reasoning is with one hand, you get a better count, because if you play two, you’re getting your second hand without information from the first hand. But if there are other players, then you want to get more of those high cards, so play two. I’d like to know more why you choose to play 2 hands at plus one. I’m a student of the game and I seek knowledge, so don’t take this as a challenge, but an opportunity to learn together. I watch every video you make and I’m a big fan of yours. Thank you.
@1967Camaro 4s split because you can get more money on the table than just doubling due to being able to double down after the split (not always, but sometimes you'll get it, thus increasingbyour EV.). Plus, if it were just a hard 8, you'd have to wait for a plus 2 to double down for that deviation. There is an order of operations, Insurance, surrender, split, double, the hit/stand. I spread to two at a true 1 because that's where I gain the advantage, and it helps get to N0 faster.
Unfortunately, that's part of it. At a +3 you have about a 1% edge over the house. So you will still lose about 49/100 hands at a true plus 1. But over 100,000 hands.. that 1% really adds up. But those who want instant gratification, the game might not be for them.
@@A1-BJ I have been doing better, I just don’t go crazy and lower my minimum bet size. Is more painfull psychologically than financially to me when that secenatio happens.
what is the “penetration” that keeps getting referred to?
Where they put the cut card.
Thank you for the info and being a patient instructor
You bet :)
Wonging in and out is one of the fastest ways to get noticed by the floor supervisors and surveillance.
How often do you convert your running count to true count
everytime you have to bet
any tips to get better at quick division practice? and any tips for dividing by halves?
Sounds like a good tip Tuesday Video for the future. I do have a deck estimation video that gets into division a bit.
@@A1-BJ i just watched that lol, your tip on going backwards by seeing how many times 1.5 goes into the true count was very helpful
is this possible against a csm with 6 decks?
Nope. Never play CSM
@@A1-BJmhm
Thanks for sharing your knowledge of the game!!!!👍
What if your count is in the negatives ? How you divide that
? The same way you would divide a positive number
Hi! Can you explain why negative count means you are probably going to lose? What makes a deck filled with low cards more likely that the player will lose
A good amount of the value that a counter uses to leverage losing odds comes from the 3:2 payout you get from a two card blackjack (a natural). Can't be making many (if any) naturals if most/all tens and aces are gone.
Agreed ⬆️ There is also a better chances for double downs working out and more dealer busts as they have to draw until they have at least 17 whereas we can stop whenever
Hi love ur videos I’ve been playing on corals website and they play 8 deck shoes but put the cut card at about half way is this a bad idea to play?
Yes, the penetration is terrible. For an 8 deck game, I would not play unless they cut off less than 2 decks.
@@A1-BJ ok thought so
Great Video. One question about bet spread . When the true count is high enough , but the table is full , I assume that the same amount of bets goes in one spot instead of two, Is it the same ? Or Im missing something
The EV will be slightly different. The thing about spreading to two hands is a lot of times, you win one and lose one. So the variance is less compared to playing just 1. Bit otherwise, yes, if the table is too busy and you only have one spot to play, just adjust for that.
A few questions….
Basic strategy says split 4s vs 6. However, if you’re at your max bet already, why not double down 8v6, if you’re over +1? Which takes precedence, the split or the double down?
Other question…. This is not meant to challenge you. I admire your dedication and your teaching and I have learned so much from you. Your students at your “real job” are lucky to have you as their teacher. Last week, I asked when to play one hand and when to play two. I didn’t get an answer, so I dug deeper, and found an answer in Wong’s book. He said play one hand if you’re alone, and play two hands if you’re not alone at the table. His reasoning is with one hand, you get a better count, because if you play two, you’re getting your second hand without information from the first hand. But if there are other players, then you want to get more of those high cards, so play two. I’d like to know more why you choose to play 2 hands at plus one. I’m a student of the game and I seek knowledge, so don’t take this as a challenge, but an opportunity to learn together. I watch every video you make and I’m a big fan of yours. Thank you.
@1967Camaro 4s split because you can get more money on the table than just doubling due to being able to double down after the split (not always, but sometimes you'll get it, thus increasingbyour EV.). Plus, if it were just a hard 8, you'd have to wait for a plus 2 to double down for that deviation. There is an order of operations, Insurance, surrender, split, double, the hit/stand.
I spread to two at a true 1 because that's where I gain the advantage, and it helps get to N0 faster.
@@A1-BJ thanks!!
What if the tc is 23 and we use 1/2 deck TC...3.5 decks left
46/5?
46/5 would be if 3.5 decks have been played, not 3.5 decks left. 3.5 decks left would be 46/7 (3.5 times 2)
Nicely presented.
Great video and easy to understand.
Glad it helped!
I love your videos, keep making more pls
Absolutely! I try to do about 2 per week!
thank you sir!
You bet ♠️
Mentally dividing by decimal numbers makes my head hurt...
Anecdote:the first time I got a true 3 I increase my bets and loose them all.
😢
Unfortunately, that's part of it. At a +3 you have about a 1% edge over the house. So you will still lose about 49/100 hands at a true plus 1. But over 100,000 hands.. that 1% really adds up. But those who want instant gratification, the game might not be for them.
@@A1-BJ I have been doing better, I just don’t go crazy and lower my minimum bet size. Is more painfull psychologically than financially to me when that secenatio happens.
@@wisuslara1199 fir sure... it sucks.
Good evening from Edinburgh , Scotland , continuous shuffle machine’s used here :( and , no hold card game.
No hole card is fine, but continuous shuffle is BAD!!! sorry mate!
1 800 GAMBLER
Read my description.. I put all the safety/addiction stuff there.