Ukrainian Special Ops Assault - A Dilemma For Russia’s Air Force (02MAR2024)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 พ.ค. 2024
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Ukraine attempted an amphibious operation near the Tendra Split, a sandbar in the Black Sea between Kherson and Crimea, where they appear to have been repelled by Russian forces. Russia reports that a group of small craft manned by special operations forces approached the split but were repelled by Russian soldiers. One Ukrainian servicemember was captured and has since appeared on camera discussing the operation.
We have a former Ukrainian officer giving his take on the current battlefield and what he expects to play out going forward. More Russian aircraft were shot down which highlights the dilemma they currently face in Ukraine.
A few leaks this week show Russian nuclear plans which outline their criteria for a nuclear first strike as well as the fact that they’ve war-gamed a Chinese invasion. Then a report highlights the contents of the 2022 peace talks and what Russia was expecting from Ukraine.
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#war #ukraine #russia #ukrainewar #warinukraine #specialoperations #specialops #army #nuclear #nuke
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NATO can't send troops unless one of its member countries is directly threatened. Now Russia may do that, but it seems unlikely.
@@user-uy6pw1cw8y In 2024, laughing emoji = "I don't know very much, I usually just repeat talking points someone fed me, but even that's hard. Still I want to appear confident."
Poor Ukranian solder continued to be sent for suicidal mission including the recent boat raids and the ongoing Krynky supposedly "Bridge head" for no military value but PR stunt for foolish Kieve regime who care s more about public imaging than the solders' lives. No wonder there are more and more reports of Ukranian solders disobeying orders from Kieve and Sirsky who is notoriously known for his disregard of solders' lives (in comparison with Zuluzny). Senseless tragedy.
All Ukrainian claim of Russian airplanes shot down without evidence are deemed propaganda BS (again to boost up morale) and to be treated with mockery and sarcasm. If Ukranians are telling truth Russuans would have run out of ammunitions and manpower long time ago, only fight with shovels and washingmachins over last 18 months. It's amazing how shovels and washing machines can defeat NATO-backed Ukraine. 😂😂😂😂
Ya, another treaty ensuring their safety with Russia and the US as supporting members... Given how the last somewhat similar thing went when they gave up their Nuclear weapons... I don't think they're going to have any expectations that they could count on the US or anyone else to follow through on such things in the future.
The US has a terrible track record of just leaving allies behind.
First, they didn't have command and control of 'their' nuclear weapons. Second, things were okay between Russia and the Ukraine for years after the signing of this minor part of a wider arms control framework. The Ukraine got cheap gas from the RF. Tens if not hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians worked in the RF...which had about twice the per capita GDP as the Ukraine. This continued well into Putins rule. Only NATO and EU expansion plus the growth of hard-line nationalism in the Ukraine led to a deterioration of the relationship.
"Thier nuclear weapons" ? lol, those nuclear weapons beyond Russia and not Ukrainien
The US never gave Ukraine security guarantees. A very common misconception. Also Ukraine only technically had nukes. They couldn't launch or maintain them. They had more of a nuclear accident problem than an arsenal. Here is the clause in the Budapest memorandum that the US signed. It require them to go to the security council in the event that Ukraine is made the target of a nuclear attack. So they went beyond the needs of the treaty, well beyond when they went to the security council for a conventional war and then supplied them with unprecedented assistance. "Seek immediate Security Council action to provide assistance to the signatory if they "should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used".".
@@mitchyoung93 why are you just parotting back Putin's propaganda, when Putin is a clearly proven liar and manipulator who cannot under any circumstances be trusted to speak the truth about anything?
Unfortunately I have seen the video of the aftermath of said landing attempt, and I'd say their estimates are pretty accurate. The story has stayed pretty consistent since the attempt was first talked about.
@@user-bu7qu3xv8ewhat do you mean "of course". The average Russian report is everything but accurate, they are a joke, even if this one is indeed precise.
@@user-bu7qu3xv8edisgusting orc
@@user-bu7qu3xv8e How to say you have not the slightest grasp of what this conflict is doing to both of these countries without outright saying it. FAFO? Say that to the population and more than likely economic collapse of Russia after the working class shrinks to the lowest its ever been in the country's history. Same with Ukraine. Naive, petulant child.
@@user-bu7qu3xv8e Stick to the shitbox cars you got in your pfp lil bro, geopolitics isn't for you.
@@dyr_glpsn4209sure you seem like a fan of ghost of Kiev 😂
I am recently off the Russia Can’t make any more equipment train. I would not underestimate their ability to make more repair parts.
The issue for these aircraft specifically, is they require materials not domestically available and sanctioned against. They probably can still make parts, but higher tech aircraft require higher tech parts.
Aircraft have always been a problem for Russia. Hell, their civilian airplanes had to he grounded for a while because they imported all their engines from Poland.
Not saying they are going to run out in the near term. Even the article he referenced didn't argue that. Just that by 2025, assuming loss rates remain similar would represent a 10-20% degradation of Russia's aerial capabilities.
The Russian war machine has spent the last year and a half spooling up while the western munitions factories haven't done anything at all. Even if we passed a $200 billion aid package today, there is nowhere for Ukraine to buy artillery shells from, because we aren't even making them. The same is true for aircraft parts, missiles, engines, and repair equipment. Russia is making them, and we ain't. The Russian air force might not be able to hold out this level of sorties in the long term, but in the short to medium term, they can do it in spades, and that's probably all they'll need at this point. It's unlikely Russia will take all of Ukraine, but they'll achieve enough victories to force an unfavorable peace agreement for Ukraine.
TLDR: Russia is winning
Sure. They can make all sorts of stuff but are limited elsewhere. You know the list
@@bobbuilder767yeah way to level that random village like a big superpower.
Its kinda crazy reading the pro Ukraine and Russia comments. If you believed either of them this war should have ended already because one side has been utterly dominant. Never mind how clearly reality has demonstrated that isn't the case and were still watching this war.
One side is dominant but the other doesn't want to face reality.
One should notice that Ukraine doesn't fancy itself as dominant, only that they manage to inflict more losses to Russia than they get.
@subjectc7505 and yet here we are two years later. Doesn't seem much like domination, more like struggle.
@@horstnietzsche1923 Russia made major gains after Adivka.
The Ukrainian side actually has been way more successful in almost every battle fought so far. Russia has to lose 100 times to finally overrun an area and capture it. The Nazis were also dominate on the battlefield for most of WW2 and still lost. Sheer numbers and a as sadistic ruler can create as victory
Thx Preston
Thank you for talking about the failed Special Ops Assault because apparently the media isn't talking about it so I wasn't sure if it actually happened
If you subscribe to several Russian channels and several Ukrainian ones, you can see the whole range of military operations) And do not wait for information from the Western media. Don't thank me.
not in the narrative, there is more than sufficient evidence of this failed operation
@@godikkkkkk At the beginning you'd be like two weeks ahead, but western media has that down to a 3. To 4 day lag.
This channel is about 2 days behind. Not a bad thing, it's good to wait to confirm info. I learned of the failed boat mission 2 days ago. I just learned an hour ago, an second Abrams was destroyed in Berdychi, making 4 total destroyed Abrams. 2 MBT, 2 m1150 mine clearing Abrams.
"Escalate to deescalate", France has something similar with its ASMP nuclear "warning shot" cruise missile.
France is run by a questionable leader whose approval ratings are well below the average of most European democracies...this kind of feels like peacock posturing ....if only Napoleon was around
sounds like nuke version of what IDF does in gaza. has it helped.... maybe not. some dictators are crazy enough to not listen to warnings.
sooo where has this worked before?
@@greybuckleton one could argue the atomic bombings that ended WW2 did so. Regardless, this is a capability that France has and describes in its nuclear doctrine. Where other countries don't make their nuclear "red line" clear, France's doctrine explicitly provides for this warning shot to let you know you're there
@@kemarisite it worked against Japan because they couldn't respond in kind. Russia has escalation dominance against France.
Thank you for putting the dates in your title, small change but very helpful
Dang what is that 12 to 20 SF's soldiers lost is not good for that objective. RIP and to the POW stay strong.
Maybe someone tipped them off. It was like they were waiting for them.
@@Noahac2 from what I'm hearing, Ukraine did. They made a tweet or announcement that "Russia should look out, we got a suprise coming" 4 hours before the operation. It included a picture of those dingy boats, with the coast line censored. Could be 100% unrelated to the operation, just very bad timing
Ukrainians are desperate at this point
"Dangerous close to collapse" I'd take anything that says "Russia and Collapse" with a grain of salt. The Platypus of Death (Su-34) seems to be the dominant strike fighter, Ukraine forgot about the Su-25, 24s, 30s, 35s, 27s and 29s (i think they still use them), the Tu-95 and 160. The reduction of the Su-34 and A-50 is blitz but the VSK isn't collapsing. They're either gonna rethink how they're doing things or gonna ground the Su-34 like they did the A-50 and Ka-52.
That line has been said many times and somehow, Russia pulls a rabbit out of its hat.
I doubt the SU-34 losses concern the Russians that much. They will simply produce more.
i also dont think its gonna collapse but 1 hour of flying and they requiere a lot of maintenance. It doesnt take a genius to figure out that the planes laying in storage fields dont get maintenance for years. Even their commercial aircraft is falling apart and that does get maintenance, but more limited due to sanctions.
@@Stinger522 Do you really believe the Ukrainian claims regarding Su-34 losses? What are we up to now, 13 in a month?
@@DageLV unless they're the Su-27 and 29s I mentioned, none of those aircraft are sitting in storage lol. They have been cannibalizing parts near the end aircraft for maintenance and I'm sure the Su-34 is a dominant platform part production is high or they can get parts from other Su's since it's the same aircraft but with a duck lip cockpit lol.
@@Stinger522 If it's their most used aircraft, they'll be concerned. When they didn't learn their lesson and put another A-50 in the Azoz sea (which I called weeks ago) they immediately grounded them and started production. That shows you which is more prominent to them or what they're not afraid to lose..
From a layman’s perspective, those terms for a ceasefire seem pretty nuts.
Why? You realize that there have been neutral countries throughout history, and arms limitations throughout history. Plus its probably just a starting position as far as numbers.
Ukraine should not agree to a deal that doesn't guarantee their security.
@@mitchyoung93 yeah, because Russia wants Ukraine not to have a bigger army in case they invade Russia. It’s not like it’s made so that the Russians can invade for a third time and they could actually win
@@kentuckyfried9499 There is no security guarantee when you are bargaining with Russia.
@@mitchyoung93yeah, but there sure haven’t been too many neutral, unarmed countries next to actively aggressive neighbors, at least not for long, or without very strong mutual defense pacts with third parties.
Thank you as always
It would seem that those terms are only meant to set Ukraine up for another invasion, once Russia can reorganize for it. ( Thank you for the sitrep Sir )
Indeed, it's so obvious that you have to wonder who the Kremlin is really trying to sell that plan to.
Why bother negotiating them...from the Russian perspective. Why not just go in full force initially?
It sets them up to be a buffer state with assurances that if one side attacks, the other side would guarantee to be in direct conflict with the attacker. If Russia attacked after signing, they would be in direct war with the other signers...
@@mitchyoung93 They are going full force...
@@amaetfacquodvis2450 If you remember from 2022, Russia thought Ukraine would fold in a couple days and wouldn't put up much resistance. They're still suffering from their lack of preparation.
Great job Preston you always keep it real!
Hey Preston, I think on your assessment of Russian aircraft, I believe it’s important to factor in their production yearly of aircraft. While replacing an aircraft does not replace its crew, it does have an impact in the overall operational environment
It's hard to tell if the information is true though,11/11 is quite a lot, do Russians even use that many exactly SU 34's ?
What i mean is same thing as Russians have no ammo,no men,no food,no missles,ghost of kiev etc etc :)
I was going to mention that Preston failed to mention :)
Yeah, they build a number of aircraft (Binkov had some numbers ) and most of those platforms were Su-34s and Su-35s
Still, does it really matter if Russia goes back to not using their aviation at all?
@@texanplayer7651 in what dystopian world are you living in that gives you the impression Russia wasn’t using their aviation? Russia unfortunately uses its forces frequently to bomb cities and the front, this has been the case since the start of the war. Only as of recently have they began to become to offensive in their strategy to fly further into Ukraine territory, leading to greater losses, combined with Ukraines use of patriot in as a mobile SAM.
@Grobar00 are they making enough to offset combat and non-combat losses, though?
Not to mention losses of air crew that need to be trained with putting more flight hours on the airframes.
Love the work Preston. FYI "imputed loss" is a great and underused expression 😊
When looking at aircraft numbers, remember they are still building them. Maybe not at the pace they are loosing them but it’s part of the calculation
The reality of war is that sometimes operations are going to fail. I think that all the men who went on that mission knew it was a longshot that they'd be coming back at all.
This doesn't mean that it's not worth the try or that the sacrifices are in vain. Ukraine is outmanned, so they're going to have to take some risks from time to time. All we can do is send our condolences to their loved ones and give Ukraine more support so that ops like these aren't necessary. Though, based on our current situation in Congress, I'm not sure it's going to happen the way that anyone wants it to.
If you've watched any interviews like WilliOAM with soldier X, you'd find out that bs operations like this are more of a propaganda maneuver instead of a strategical one. Ukraine is looking for positive propaganda they can show to the west and their media outlets because without their support, they'll lose the war pretty quickly. They don't consolidate and mass their attacks and would instead do dumb missions like this and what we saw in Krinky.
Thats exactly how it is. Finally some racionalism
Sending Prayers and Thoughts.
Risk vs reward. Crossing open water in small boats and landing on an exposed beach is high risk. What exactly was the reward?
@@seanp9277 Reward = News and youtube channels can talk about Russia losing and dilemma and what not, something to talk about.
If winner of the war was decided in voting, Russia would have no chance.
But that is not how wars work.
19:20 Yeah pretty sure that would work out the same way 1994 worked out for ukraine when they gave its nuclear weapons to russia for "security assurances".
Great report preston.
Judging by the avatar, Tatarigami is meant to be spoken in Japanese. "Tatari" means wrath/vengeance and "gami" is the word for god (Kami actually, but K turns to G when combined like that). So it would be pronounced "tata" like some nice tatas, "ri" like the "re" in "reload", "ga" like in "garden", and "mi" like the word "me." Just my guess.
I'm pretty sure the Tartars are a race in Russia
@@atomica0914And Ukraine. But they guys obviously used Japanese words in his username. His profile pic is Japanese too.
"Before I had chance in another war, the desire to kill people to whom I had not been introduced had passed away."
- Autobiography of Mark Twain
Russia continues to manufacture the Su fighters and fighter bombers and I have seen reports that Russia may have more aircraft than they started with as military budgets have grown in Russia. I would be skeptical of any reports saying that Russia can’t source parts. Kazakhstan has been more than happy to operate as a conduit for Russia to import sanctioned parts.
У вас есть сомнения, что Россия победит Украину?
Even the Russians are claiming to make only a few dozen planes per year
Putins proposal is as realistic as All Russian troops and Russian speakers return to Russia proper including all former Soviet Union member states and give up all nukes.
Your reports have been in dispensable and this one is another example Thank you, Preston
"Truth is the most valuable thing we have. Let us economize it."
'Mark Twain'
A famous quote during the battle for Bastongne comes to mind...
my go-to source for this crazy world. I prefer to read the numbers, but find that it can be a lot to digest. Your content gives me exactly what I want, in a format that is easy to understand and follow.
You're doing great work here, man
Trust me, the last thing you should ever read about this war is numbers.
Around 7:30, you said the Russian airforce faces a dilemma: fly less or face reduced readiness. Wouldn't they simply produce more aircraft and train more pilots? The USAAF did the same in 1943 when they lost massive numbers of bombers.
"Don't give the enemy problems, give them dilemmas"
Modern fighters can't be produced as fast as they were in the 1940s. Neither can pilots be adequately trained that fast.
Ukraine considers any launch of an air-defense missile to be the shooting down of a plane. The Russian pilot said he had just left the rocket's range and, after returning from his mission, saw that his plane had allegedly been shot down.
Thanks, They already have the Budapest Memorandum that according to US Amassador to UA Steven Pifer said already 2019 Russia had broken most of it.
I know. You can't trust Russia to honor any agreement.
Ukraine also violated the Budapest memorandum within the first year by never actually implementing the provisions set forth to set up the autonomous regions in the Donbas. If they had done that and stopped fighting to retake the territory from the separatists there would have been no reason for the 22 invasion.
@@albertroberts5929 The "separatists" were Russian agents specifically sent there to stir up trouble.
We broke it before the Russians when we sanctioned Belarus which was actually not permissible as per the document. People tend to forget Belarus and Kazakhstan also had nuclear weapons and they signed this document. Again when we violated this, we said since it's not a treaty but a memorandum which we had no legal obligations to follow it. We made sure it was a useless piece of paper because at the time had zero interest in ever fighting Russia to save Ukraine, Belarus, or Kazakhstan. We just wanted 3 less countries having nuclear weapons. I'll note in return we did provide some financial support to these countries.
@@albertroberts5929 You are confusing Minsk with Budapest.
Ukraine attack with a few special forces soldiers to get a foot hold of the area? Is their even a large campaign set to support such operation? They lose Krynky that is very difficult to support now they want something across Odesa which more impossible. What the hell is wrong with Ukrainian command wasting soldiers.
I have to say, that the picture is also bleak, because ukrainians didn’t learn or forgot the lesson how to build defensive line, especially when having less artillery and men. They had this in Avdiivca and a bit in Bakhmut. And survived 100 times russian artillery dominance.
Now they really knew about the artillery output in Europe being 10 times lower than what they consumed. Also trying to outpace the russian artillery led to this shortages. The offensive last year was unnecessary if the resources came in too late. Leaving age of recruits over 27 up to the last moment, even knowing how long it takes to form units, it’s also a sign of bad management.
awesome work preston
Preston, could you do one on the Avdiivka pipe operation by russian spec ops? After that operation Avdiivka fell in just days. Seems like a very impressive op
It was, apparently top wagner spec ops involved, did the job and disappeared
It was funny reading Ukrainian telegram channels gloat about silly Russians swimming in poop and then losing a large chunk of their fortress to those poop swimmers in a day.
Love your work man
Thanks a lot, really appreciate that!
They don't call him big bad Preston for nothing
🔻👀🔻🔻🇵🇸🇵🇸
You miss the information about ukrainien .what about Zionist?🔻🔻👀🔻🇵🇸🇵🇸💪🏻
Russia and China do have a history of fighting eachother. Its really just recently in history that they view eachother as friends of conviences.
Like the French and British, spent nearly a thousand years fighting eachother and suddenly becoming best friends when the Germans united into one nation.
Well said big bad Preston as always
0:25 & 3:07 Preston, it's the Tendra Spit, not the Tendra Split... 😅
If Macron has the balls to send French/French For. Legion to Ukraine solo and sign off that this a autonomous French action that has no NATO article 5 requirements,then VIVE LA FRANCE,I'd look at Macron in a whole new light,than the poser I currently see.
France Forgien legion is already in Ukraine. France is gonna be the only country because NATO has already said no, they're only gonna give aid.
Well they are there technically. You can read an article in the British paper The Times, problem is both sides have French Foreign Legion troops lol. I should clarify they are all former or guys who deserted when the war started. Hence the video of French Foreign Legion fighting in Wagner collecting the body of a former comrade who was fighting for Ukraine and saying a few words of respect for his fellow warrior.
Thanks
It is a suicide mission. They went ahead without backup or a way out from that spit.
They didn't expect Russian troops to be there
They came on boats. They came with their way out.
Is this what they call a meat wave? When you advance into enemy fire without artillery or air support?
@@crinklecut3790its a special forces ops, not your average army dude lmao.
Was a stupid mission to put up a flag to get some attention from our media and claim they had Crimea in play. Which might play with Joe Q Dumdum but anyone with a limited amount of knowledge knows you have to take the land bridge to take Crimea. A large scale amphibious assault would never work in this day and age, so taking Crimea is not an option.
Thanks!
Appreciate your support!
While all your points as to the exhaustion and depleting of capabilities of the Russian air force stand, you also need to take into account the production of new aircraft, which has reportedly increased. Binkov Battlegrounds has a good video on this, he estimates that Russia has built around 40 new aircraft in 2023. Production numbers for 2022 were obviously lower (although I can't remember the exact estimate Binkov made, I think it was 20 something), but this goes to show that Russia is successfully increasing production. The last time Russia built around 40 aircraft per year was pre-2014 (before the sanctions). It is also interesting that in 2023 Russia has reportedly lost 21-23 aircraft which were either shot down or damaged beyond repair according to Binkov's estimate (might be off by a few aircraft, again I don't remember exactly), meaning they had a net positive change in the number of aircraft in the past year. But my point is that any newly built aircraft should be added into the equation as well, rather than just taking 2021 numbers minus the reported losses, and once we do this it does paint a much less grim picture from the Russian perspective.
Who will fly these aircraft?
@@blablubb4553 pilots if not the ghost of Vladivostok
Russian tactical nuclear strike????
Most probably on civilian target!!!
Look at their care for civilians!
Planting a flag on an inconsequential piesce of sand seems like a typical Ukrainian propaganda move. What a waste of skilled soldiers that could have been used for real tacticallay useful missions.
Keep in mind that explanation is from the russians.
@@Khronogi if it wasn't a propaganda flag raising mission then what was it? Seriously what could be the tactical importance of "capturing" a sandbar?
@@KhronogiThat's literally what Ukraine has been always doing. They sent a boat to put a flag on Snake Island and then bail, they sent people inside Bryansk region to take a few photos and then bail. Those are two most notable ones, but there were much more similar TikTok operations.
PR is important.
There is an element of training.
I suspect that this was seen as relatively low risk but that it didn't happen that way.
Ukranian tik tok soldiers
Do you think that the loss of the fight crew? may harder to replace?
Western analyststalk a lot about the extra strain on Russia's remaining aircraft, but I'm not sure how much that matters. A NATO air force might withdraw aircraft that are over their hour limit, but I think Russia will fly until the wings fall off--which they will, no doubt, but in the meantime they are still effective.
Since the Su-34 is a new priority target. Those flights will be reduced and only deployed when needed.
It is impossible to reach the airframe lifespan of the jets russia is currently using
It is impossible to reach the airframe lifespan of the jets russia is currently using
@@JL-tm3rcwhy
@@JL-tm3rcI think it is possible as they have large number if sorties and from further away
Easily one of my favorite yt channels.
Thank you for continue talking about Ukraine. We need all the help we can get. Greetings from Kyiv
So basically Putin was willing to stop killing people if Ukraine would agree to give up its sovereignty and any realistic ability to defend itself 😂😂😂😂. GTFOH
They're not gonna leave until Putin is out of the office or something. It's up to Ukraine to keep sacrificing their own for something they can't win. Russia can keep this conflict going as long as they want, at least someone is man enough to consider peace so everyone can go home and not die for nothing. It's no such thing as winning a war, you want peace then sacrifice things for the greater good and Russia has every right to do things on their terms. War is unfair and Zelensky is gonna have to suck it up, because the people are gonna get tired of him once they wake up.
How many fighters have they built in those two years?
that agreement is unacceptable.
That in no way is a peace plan but annexation plan.
To me those russian terms mean "We will flood your country with russians, if you will have joined EU, we will vote to leave, then we will take a vote to be part of russia and we will vote yes"
Ukraine should not consult any western european country or america on this, consult eastern european countries, we know excatly what each of those points mean, weve been thru it, we know, even recently ruskies pushed for second language to be russian. That resulted in ruskies loosing all government jobs and lots of cops, store clerks or anyone else interracting with public loosing their jobs as now all public service jobs requiere to know latvian, not russian.
No. This was a peace plan. No territory lost. And what are you talking about flooding the country with Russians? Russians and pro Russian Ukrainians are there and have been for centuries.
Sounds pretty democratic for me. Nothing fashist at all :D
Hi Preston, just curious, where have you deployed to,if question is too sensitive do not worry about response,by the way keep up your good work, very informative
No worries man, not sensitive. Afghanistan twice with the 101st. 12 months from Jun 2010 to Jun 2011 in Kandahar then 7 months in the east between Laghman, Nangarhar, Kunar and Nuristan.
@@PrestonStewart you're the man, I am an Australian, I am an amateur historian on the Vietnam war, I know the 101st is one of USA finest units,imo it is an elitist unit, thanks for your response, long live Australia USA alliance
Oh cool, you were there same time I was.
This is a pretty catastrophic defeat.
more likely kamikaze landing
I would say that for what those conscripts were used by Russia -i.e. probably sent in the first wave to locate ucranian pillboxes and fortifications so more experienced infantry will take these out, they did not want to "waste" training on them as they consider these recruits as expendable.
This is the first time I've thought about special operations during this war. Big contrast from the wars we fought in Iraq/Afghanistan in terms of how much coverage SOF receives.
Yeah, some crazy stuff happen here. Elite Russian guys conducted an operation through a pipe in Adiivka which lead to it's quick fall
I don't understand the squandering of elite special forces on prestige missions.
Thank you 🙏 and tatarigami pronunciation: Tatar (as in Crimean Tatar) igami (as in origami) 😂
I just don’t understand how someone could defend those terms. There would be absolutely no reason for Russia not to invade.
So basically Russia suffers no consecuentes, Ukraine gets a pinky promise that Russia will not reinvade for a third time.
Explain how Ukraine could accept such terms?
I'm wondering why the US isn't just grinding down Russian aircraft readiness by flying sorties that have to be intercepted, putting constant wear on Russian and American hardware and pilots... while America is in a much better position to weather it.
"Fleet in being" and economic Warfare with real consequences to help Ukraine.
At this point I think Russia would just ignore them because any interception might lead to something that brings the US into the fight. That already happened but fortunately (for Russia) the Russian missiles failed.
The US would be involved, meaning Russia is in every right to strike the US or an NATO country. The point is to aid Ukraine, not everything do for them.
@@subjectc7505
I think that's a ridiculous outlook. Harassing flights are not acts of war. Countries have flown harassment missions forever and it was never considered an act of war, just an annoyance.
@@jerseyshoredroneservices225 😂it doesn't reduce readiness because QRF are on standby Everytime . Russia is still gonna bomb Ukraine while a couple of Su-30 or 35s are out in the Black Sea looking pretty for the camera. It was a few close calls but depending on the person, it can be an act of war which is why no fly zones hardly work.
Depending on how the structure is set up, it's a unit that's dedicated to QRF and interceptions. Free up space for other units for combat. If you think it reduces something, then all power to you.
@@subjectc7505 that's an awful lot of cope you have there.
Best thing about your videos is that you talk about both sides. Weather it is Ukraine or Gaza! Learn more info here than any new nerwork! Thanks and stay safe!
Who'd have thought Russia would be more unhinged than the USSR?
Yes. Imagine what would have happened if the Russian Fascist Party (RFP) had taken power in 1931.
I want Preston to interview Mike kofman
yeah but i guess putin forgot EU also has article 42. Sure its a bit less severe than article 5, cause article 1,2,3,4 discuss on how to call upon article 5, but it still exists.
I think he does but not at the level of NATO, why do you think he keeps saying NATO.
Cause its a buzzword that allows him to scapegoat his problems onto a common enemy hes created.
@@subjectc7505
Heavy buthchers bill for a tactical photo op.
I just read in the biggest Finnish newspaper (Helsingin Sanomat) that Europe is running dry on cotton required to produce gun powder. This is due to China being the main supplier of that type of cotton and they cut the supply some time ago. I couldn't find anything in English on this but it was based on statement by Thierry Breton who is a EU commissioner of internal market. The same article said that there is an alternative for that Chinese produce and companies to provide ammunition factories this material will be announced shortly. So hopefully EU can finally start getting to produce enough artillery for Ukraine.
It feels ridiculous that even gun powder is dependent on China...
escalate to deescalate only will work if the opponent does not match or exceed the escalation. Typical of Russian desperation to consider a move so likely to become uncontrollable with unintended consequences.
Reporting From Ukraine says that the UA is falling back from Avdiivka to behind a nearby river that has been well prepared.
He never talked about Russian aircraft production they receive batches every three month
So just throwing away men and expensive men at that for a PR stunt, sounds legit.
Yes, being honest is definitely a valuable trait when it comes to journalism lol
One thing that bothers me about that story. They drowned while swimming?!? Something is wrong in that story.
Stress, gunfire nd heavy gear
@@atomica0914So you are telling me they send people on a boat that does not know how to act if they fall into the water?
So I am not buying your version that sounds like imagination and them not having a brain.
Panic I can buy but all of them, that's rare that everyone panics?
The whole thing sounds made up for someone born among islands.
I think the Russians just shoot them and they were all surrendering.
@@atomica0914 GSW....
You’re not taking into account that every Russian male citizen has a 1 year mandatory service thus being able to reduce the basic training duration.
no they all dont. you can go to firefighter school to avoid it for one example.
@@patrickrk44 "you can go to firefighter school to avoid it for one" - What the fuck are you talking about, dude?!
@@patrickrk44while reducing the total amount of people going through basic it's not all that many if you think about a population as large as Russia's unless there's a massive program to get public servants
Hasn't appeared to improve effectiveness if most conscripts so far.
Assume that good use is not being made of that year
@@ouner-699 Russia allowed you to go to their fire fighter academy instead of mandatory military service. That's what THE FUCK I'm talking about, dude. Live there to know
Could one really trust a treaty with Russia?
Russia is last hope for humanity in every way.Always was on right side of history.
you couldnt trust Russia even if God himself signed the treaty.
never
@@mrBASTARD0 Russia is last hope for humanity in every way.Always was on right side of history.
Of course not. Everyone knows that, even the Russians. That's the whole point of running a country as a gangster empire.
I want to know the availability rates in the VVS right now
This number probably isn’t even known fully by Russia or the VVS due to its fluidity and the fact that the Ukraine theatre doesn’t feature the whole jet fleet, so you can cycle planes around from other bases
But it’s very interesting to wonder due to Russian infamously short spare parts lifetimes, I’d love to know the ratio of ‘known destroyed, unknown destroyed, unavailable’ as the casualty count to think about
Russians send 2 weeks trained troops to frontlines, yet, they keep moving...
Russians have 500.000 losses and ukraine only 30.000 yet ukraine is moving back and needs to mobilise...
Russians are sanctionned and isolated, yet they still keep up.
Russians lost 90% of equipements, yet russia is still fighting.
I just don't understand.
Russia has 70 years worth of stockpiles to burn through, Ukraine does not. That's what this boils down to. Russia then adds more decades old stockpiles from North Korea and Iran, while the west got rid of those stockpiles in the 90s, since "hey, Cold War is over, we don't need all these warehouses full of munitions, it's not like anybody will attack us anymore", so they have to scramble to put together even a fraction what would truly be needed from mostly newly made stuff. The EU does not have the production lines to supply a full-on active war, since the European military industry complex has been running on counterinsurgency needs since the early 2000s., meanwhile the US is in a political quagmire that dried up that supply line.
What's so hard to understand? Russia fights with supersonic shovels and out of this world washing machines.. while Ukraine fights with game changing NAFO super weapons.. cough cough
Russia has, according to western analysts, 500.000 losses and ukraine, according to ukraine 30.000 (Ukraine might want to conceal a higher causality figure due to trying to mobilize some of the refugees in other countries fleeing Russia). Russia is sanctioned*, although White Russia (Or Belarus) has favorable trade with them and so does China. And it is likely that more countries have. Russia have mercs in Africa even after Wagner. Russia has lost 90% of equipment according to western analysts.
Those figures isn't the truth, but they are a biased observation. Western analysts might want to see a weaker Russia, and Ukraine wants to be stronger than they are and Russia have cooperation partners that don't care about the sanctions.
"You funny and interesting" haha nice comment 😅❤
@@SrbazoI think you misspelled delusional.
i am almost 100% sure ALL nuke powers have pre arranged plans for a worst case scenario, it does not always call for nukes but plans must be in place. by this i mean if A happens then forces move to a predetermind position, plans can be changed on the fly, but to say having no preset plans for any and all capabilities is niave for an ex arty man who trained at west point
edit..spelling
What was the point of that naval raid? such high risk for what seems to be little reward. risking some of your most highly trained operatives too...
Suspect a training mission that went wrong.
Appears that the Russians got there act together in this location
sounds like it was meant to be just a propaganda win
"WHO TOUCHED MY BOATS!?"
"America! It was just Ukraine's boats, chill out"
"Oh thank go- wait a minute! I PAID FOR THOSE!"
All the training from the SAS and SBS are paying off.
could that treaty document leak be the one putin referred to in the infamous carlson interview?
they only had 437, you are are considering Mig 31, but it is not used and cannot be used as a fighter, 437 means Su 24, 25, 27, 34 and 35, they are not using Mig 29 because f range issues;
The Mig 31 is am interceptor with BVR capabilities and happens to be a platform for air launched air to ground missiles, I think?
I believe that it's pronounced like "tartar sauce" and "origami". Gauging from how I've heard people refer to the Ukrainian Tartars.
You guys ever watch War in Ukraine @WiU? He is a good channel. Very much in the know. He is Ukrainian but quick to criticize the Ukrainian command and the politicians. It's a very interesting perspective you don't get elsewhere with unique stories and topics.
He can get a little off talking about China and other far off issues like the USA economy but even there still honest research.
Oh and he is a master of the war map. Better than ISW.
why are they doing the same thing for the third time and what happened to the commander that got caught in the second attempt
Binkov states that Russia is producing more aircraft than it is losing in Ukraine. But it’s hard to believe that considering how much Russia relies on other countries for avionics.
Symbolic only absolutely no strategic gain and even then it failed
13 airframes in 11 days, any word on the F-16's in the air?
13 from witch only 3 are confirmed the rest are claims without zero evidence that these happend..F16 only expected to be ready in June/July
If one chooses to dance with the Bear, it is not you who stops the music. It's the Bear. 🙂
In the "west" we hunt bears....
Bears can't dance nor can they turn off spotify
@@user-pd3gt3tx5e Really ???? How's that working for ya ??!! LMAO 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@Sam_Guevenne They don't Buff 'em real bright where you are from, do they ???? LMAO 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@TheAmerican1963 good. Currently, thousands of Russian military dead and zero US military.
My question is how are Russians having trouble with parts while they are still producing jets?
Sourcing the materials and components. Sanctions restricted their access to the global market that they were able to leverage for the more advanced chips needed for modern aircraft. It’s not entirely cut off but a big change from pre-war
Russian jets use a lot of parts that are outsourced from other countries. Their civilian airline industry is falling apart as well. Even if they could get all the parts that they want, they just don't have the production capacity to meet the current requirement.
It's kind of Similar to their current shortage of gasoline. They have tons of crude oil but with their refineries going off line recently they've had to stop exporting gasoline.
@@jerseyshoredroneservices225hahaha. I've heard that we are running out of gasoline all that time. And always no issues with gasoline on gas stations.
@@MrSpirtuoso
th-cam.com/video/lPz2hcKstzQ/w-d-xo.htmlsi=h5xqYMUSG5B32Scz
@@MrSpirtuosoBecause the export of gasoline is halted for 6 months.
I think the most ironic part is that people thought Russia could win
Nuclear blah blah blah... 💤😴💤
Can Ukraine build defenses faster than Russia advances?
In particular can they build quality defenses to minimise loses
Another Amazing Video! Thank you. 🇦🇺👴🏻
Ukraine also lost 10 SSO operators in Sumy on March 1st in an airstrike
We run through scenarios and rehearsals for our employment of nuclear weapons as well, and God knows how many papers there are demonstrating certain thresholds that would cause us to launch a nuclear first strike against our adversaries as well…. What’s the difference when Russia does it? Especially in this insanely heated climate of a massive proxy war against Russia in Ukraine.
Again, what an avoidable and stupid war this is. 🙄
TAH-tah-ree-gah-mee