Asia Spotlight 2024: Geopolitical Outlook - A Decade of Living Dangerously
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 13 มิ.ย. 2024
- WASHINGTON D.C., January 25, 2024 - At Asia Society Policy Institute’s Asia Spotlight 2024 conference, Kevin Rudd, Australian Ambassador to the U.S., 26th Prime Minister of Australia, and President Emeritus of Asia Society Policy Institute, discusses the past year of U.S.-China relations. Chan Heng Chee, Ambassador-at-Large of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Singapore and Global Co-Chair of Asia Society, then sits down with Dino Patti Djalal, Founder, Foreign Policy Community of Indonesia and Former Indonesian Ambassador to the U.S.; Takeo Mori, former Vice Minister for Foreign Affairs, Japan; C. Raja Mohan, Senior Fellow, Asia Society Policy Institute; and Cui Tiankai, Former Chinese Ambassador to the U.S. The region’s experts spoke on the Taiwan elections, U.S.-China relations, and regional perspectives. (1 hr., 12 min.)
Bookmarks
00:00 Opening Remarks
15:41 Geopolitics of the Region
46:48 Building Regional Trust
58:48 What Trump’s Reelection Could Mean for Asia
1:04:01 Great Power Competition and Cooperation
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#asiasociety #AsiaSocietyPolicyInstitute #Asia #Asia2024 #Geopolitics #Policy #USChinaRelations - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
In Saudi Arabia, when a foreigner had an accident, the Saudis would say the accident would not have happened if the foreigner was not there. In the South China Sea, the white men sailed their warships, not commercial ships, and claimed they were there for peace. What would they say if China or Russia were to sail their warships in their neighbourhood, around Hawaii or the Carribeans or in the English Channel?
Warship for peace? clearly show how hypocrite the white men are !
It’s heart wrenching to watch people who chose not to walk in truth and light
Bravo to Ambassador Cui's fair minded input to the discussion.
He is a bully making threats
@@ravindra7791 Oh yeah, and who's being accused of trying to kill other indians in Canada or USA ?
@@bobmorane4926so this is all you have? Spitefulness? Grow up and accept facts.
Ambassar Cui you don't practice the words you use
@@atulchandra7384 Start by stopping to rape female tourists to India and Indian women , treat Indian minorities from Kashmir, Punjab and Manipur like human beings . Stop to treat your lower casts like subhumans. We know what the Indians are all about, be assured of that !!!
I’m glad the 2 representatives from SEA (Singapore and Indonesia) are able to be truly objective. Good points from both.
Bravo, Ambassador Djalal, thankyou for the statistics, thankyou for sharing your personal experience on Washington’s China bashing mindset, but also how you/Indonesia took the leap and worked on the relationship with China. 🎉
Wednesday
31 January 2024
China's star in Singapore.
Thank you for supporting Singapore.
Yunlong, etc etc.
Thank you China.
From me: Siu Hong.
Time: 4.09 pm
I personally got a feeling that the present uncontrolled net media is doing bad to us. The commentaries here seem exceptional whilst elsewhere it creates animosity rather than mutual understanding.
Until todate, most of the predictions by foreign so-called experts on China didn't come true.
With the advent if the internet, we now know that the so called experts aren't worth the paper their names are written on. They are simply well paid orators and most are sold out stenographers of certain political regime.
Amb Cui Tiankai ‘sbrilliance & humor blew the others away.. 😊🎉
Really, hahahha
😒
He certainly put the broken-record Indian man in his place for sure
When we talk about Geopolitical topics, we need to well understand who start conflict and who is trying to clam down clash
Starter always like to find fault with others because they know they started conflict and need to shift the misfortune onto others
Yes please be fair and truthful China is being painted in unfair situation by these media spreading nonsense
Japanese guy represented the U.S.
Japan has no sovereignty unlike Indonesia. It is an America vassal.
They play second fiddle only.
He's just a lap-monkey realy
It’s not an independent country.
Any country that hosts US military bases might as well be part of the US.
@lumo 5691: Takeo Mori at times sounds like he is speaking on behalf of the USA and is putting out nothing short of obsequious, apple polishing narratives about Uncle Sam. His apprehension in uttering anything negative about USA is palpable and laughable.
He claims that he is disappointed that many countries remain neutral on Russia ‘s invasion of Ukraine.
India, the world’s largest democracy is one of the countries that has remained neutral and it’s hardly publicized in western media. At the least, unlike Japan and many European countries, India has the guts to act in its own interest.
Hard to feel sovereign when US military is on your soil. It is like having someone holding a broom stick half way shove up your hole.
The US thinks it should be able to project its power in the South China Sea and also poke China in the eye about Taiwan. It sees itself as a hegemon whose role is to hold back competitors.
Well said, Bravo, Ambassador Cui
Asia Society...should debate & discuss - 'American nose in Asia' - A Millennium of killing & destroying dangerously !!!
Glad that sir Dino Pati Djalal is here. He explained the dynamic of the region well.
Can't believe only Indonesia, Singapore and China actively try to seek friends regardless of the bloc.
India too
@@kshitijshekhar1144 No. India is taking sides with U.S.
How about we start a "america society" and organize a bunch of Asian speakers host it in Asia and talk about all the atrocities america inflicted on world regions?
There are already think tanks that focus on the U.S.
Great idea. And have a Chinese navy pay a return visit by patrolling California coasts and the Gulf of Mexico to help the US with its freedom of navigation.
I’m sure Xi Dada will fund it but instead he chooses to spend it on Confucius institutes.
Prefer to listen Prof Kishore than old dog from that ocean 😊 like the question of geopolitical Russia US conflicts
Honestly, the Chinese guy outsmarted everyone with his very sincere and convincing talk! Hands down! LOL!!
Spot on! 👏👏
He said the covid cooperation fell because of political difficulty, but in fact it's the Chinese who did not admit that it came from Wuhan lab. And did not share genome sequencing early.
@@Manish_Kumar_Singhyou are actually wrong. They shared the genome quiet early. In fact, from the recent news, they uploaded the genome even before the pandemic started there into the shared database.
Exactly! I felt the Chinese guy was head and shoulders above the others in terms of breath and depth and elegance. Indonesia was great as well.
I think it’s really necessary for experts to be non bias and be objective when making comments. Like journalists the credibilities of experts are seemingly falling, is this the outcome of social values decaying away by political agendas? I wonder how will we as a global community solved the problems in our world when we are unable to be truthful and accountable. Thankfully but saddened that there are very small handful of genuine people.
Experts can be had for the right amount 😂of
Greeting from TadeTade Blend, regards by, Vince Kong YL, Gratitude for enlightening perspective and thank you for the sharing. ❤
The omission of India and it's concerns in the last few comments by the Chinese ex ambassador says volumes ast to where the relationship of china India is going.
Did ASP gave a creaking chair to Ambassador Cui? The chair made so much creaking noise to distract
Bravo Dino!!!!
Ruddy boy restrained himself from being a beligerant US stenographer this time and stopped spurting out a few chinese words as he often does to display his minuscule knowledge of things chinese amongst what he realises a very knowledgeable ethnic chinese singaporeans. Its good that he kept his mouth shut and listen to orhers for a change. Oh, how regreshing!
It’s his white masters staged this show and tried to stir up controversy 😂
Japan simply needs another dose of mushrooms from its master to stay sober.
😂
😂😂😂
Add another shot of saki will be marvelous 🤣🤣
At least Japan & Indian reps don't mince words about China!
India and Japan were the most on point ☝️
right, right, asia
It is rather odd that the Japan's representative plaides for military alliance and strengh with the US, and then speak about Hiroshima as if that city and its population were located somewhere in the glob, not in Japan. He then moved to Ukraine to mimic his uncle Sam, who, only about 8 decads ago, has droped 2 nuke bombs on his people. At the beginning of his speach, he wants his Uncle Sam to establish the balance of military power in the region with China. He must be feeling threatened by the fact that China may summon Japan to be present in its Court to respond to its criminal accusations.
Asia society meeting in washington??? Is this serious?
US version of Asia + western propaganda 🤣🤣
Who funds asia society? For what purpose? This is not a drinking club.
founder is kevin rudd, former aussie PM and now their ambassador to washington. most aussie labor politicians consider themselves part of asia and oceania.
@@fredericksiong8240Kevin rudd fluent in putonghua and an objective sinologist.
Of course. the South China Sea is American territory.
Asia Society created by Anglo American to manage Asian affairs. It's almost a USAGM
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
听来听去，催大使还是最有水平！
I had a chuckle hearing all this talk about cant we have a little regional project… as long as nato allies are not able to speak truth to the US and behave like vassals of the US theb tensions will continue. You have to wonder and be stunned why would a country like australia thousands of miles away be beating drums of war wanting to fight china its largest trading partner? All sense is gone out the window in an effort to please the US.
The Japanese representative is so pessimistic and lost.
It is the Japanese way.
Since they lost the war they have been neutered 😜
If theres anything i know how to do its helping you guys
What happened to Ambassador Cui?
He retired. He needs to retire to make space for the younger generation of diplomats to grow.
The Philippines is not so significant enough, despite the recent events, to be included as one of the panel.
Filipinos should reflect that.
Funny how the panel members all spoke good grammatically correct English except for the sole English speaker, Kevin Rudd!
Tried very hard, but
still don't understand what Raja was trying to say...
He's holding grudges instead of resolving differences
What is one supposed to say about Russia and China when representing a client state of the USA at an event run by a client state of the US? ? LOL!!!
We want peace, however, we will achieve unification one way or the other... "nice"
The only exception is ambassador cui. It a pity that a whole bunch of people with selective hearing continue to choose the hear without actually listening and taking in the facts and reality
Asia spotlight, and these people are talking about China, China.. why there is no spotlight on the middle east? Where people are being k illed?
Asia is a continent. The meeting is really about East Asia.
❤Kevin Rudd!
Ff to 13:20 if you want to skip Kevin Ruddy letting off esteem😅
JP doesn't have the gut neither ablity to repell US military bases on its own soil. Why it considers it could decide how things should be run in Gaza? 😂
Ambassador Cui must be kidding when he said “he’s speaking in his own personal capacity” since he’s retired
Stop smoking whatever you are smoking.
He will disappear forever if he talks anything wrong
Definitely after you. Lol
Have 😊@@waynegore5291
Get them cloth chairs next time. The noise is so annoying.
China is pleading for goodwill and cooperation from the US but not seeking this with the rest of the world
Thats because US holds the no #1 power which means it has more world influence and its sells more to the US and US sells more to China. It just means USA is its no. #1 priority right now. I dont think its ignoring the smaller countries.😊
Because the rest just follow what the US say like dogs.
It's a tactical ploy by the Chinese
@@ravindra7791...i dont think so
correct. only the US is allowed to sell weapons to taiwan without serious consequncies. China has lower tolerance for anybody else to harm its national interests. its unfair.
ambassador chan better be a guest speaker
Mohan complains why China is not engaging with India. Yet he says the border disputes must first be resolved before further engagement with China when China asks for more engagement! That's a non-starter by only saying you are right and the other is wrong!
Prata culture
India is very distrustful of China considering earlier defeat and snatching of its territories in aksai chin in a previous attack by China..I think the root cause is the way in thus attack by China, India stupidly believed China, faced humiliating defeat and therefore once bitten twice shy..India will never make a mistake of trusting China ever again..at best the relations can be stable..India is also not a fool to side with US against China..While India's fear/distrust of China therefore has a root cause..why is Beijing wary or distrustful of India..you have bad intentions of taking current Indian territory and you are distrustful of India? If China is able to reassure India that it will respect current boundaries and not asserting it new found super powers, it will see a different Indian side..it is that simple.remember while China faced humiliations from white men, India faced Islmic invasion, occupation and then became a British colony...China doesn't know H of humiliation that India underwent through this..It doesn't want to suffer any additional humiliations now from a neighbour..such understanding on China's part will go a long way..but I dont think China has such understanding in it for its neighbours..so the status quo will remain...in dealing with India remember India has no history of attacking others territories (other than East Pakistan conversion to Bangladesh where India was forced to interfere because of millions of illegal immigrants and lack of global help to its call for help, then also it didn't grab any of land claiming pre British era it was part of India)
Totally agree
Potus Hatrris now.
sadly, there is no Filipino in the panel.
Peace is the only option for our survival.... stop the warmongers
Ability to master a certain foreign language also means the unique ability to a Trojan horse. Rudd, no??
if we are cowards, we will shy away from what any evil country will do to others.
印度人真有意思，非要说争议地区是自己的。
no way
It’s very obvious here - Nothing change! Clearly, Indonesia proactively wanted progress, stability and growth. Typical Japanese basking (actually “barking”) “happily” under the wings of Uaaassss west, with India care 💩 about improving ties other than their own borders while sidekicking China. Retired ambassador Cui showed elegance in placing the firm points of Chinese’ views about other countries that has not changed even from the beginning of Chinese history.
The problem is not with China, but the current CCP regime, bring back Deng Xiaoping 😊
u don’t really want deng back. All u want is the weak and silent china.
Did i hit a nerve to suggest that China need to keep up the pressure on the North Himalayan LAC to remind Indian forces not to get involved with anti Chinese activities in the Pacific around Taiwan Vietnam Philippines South China Sea and the Quad? My two earlier posts on this point got deleted
India had no intention of getting involved in East Asia. Even it's QUAD involvement got activated after China's misadventures in the Himalayas.
All of this anti Chinese activity started happening after China and India border clash..... Neither India wants war with China nor wants to engage in anti chinese activities..... China pushed India to do so..... Just like Chinese people Indians are also nationalist
yeet .1%
Why nobody from China is present?
cui is from China
How ignorant can you be? Look before you ask.
United States mind her own business, the Southern Asia Sea will no conflict.
@6:16 How can Beijing drive the temperature down when they are claiming an entire ocean, just because it's named South "China" Sea, you don't see India claiming the entire Indian ocean, do you?. As per UNCLOS which China is a signatory of. The 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea gives nations an “exclusive economic zone,” or “EEZ” is an area of the ocean, generally extending 200 nautical miles (230 miles) beyond a nation's territorial sea, within which a coastal nation has jurisdiction over both living and nonliving resources which China is clearly violating,
Check again about your source of information! If South China Sea is like what you said, then people of Japan and Korea will be long gone. You are obviously biased and obedient to your masters of propaganda.
Your claim is wrong, it is Chinese territory no just because it is called SCS. Chinese travels and controlled the islands in SCS for hundreds of years.
That sounds like the view of the west and anti China hate because no one trust what ever comes out there mouth
🇹🇼 一一一
As I see it, INDIA IS SIMPLY JEALOUS OF CHINA'S PROGRESS. And it is getting personal.
😂😂😂
“Jealous” of Wuhan virus 🤣
@skywlkinson2128 India Virus is more lethal
😒💀
@@skywlkinson2128 because India not Asia 😅😅
The Indian and Japanese are opportunists trying to distort the topic
Said the Chinese….😅
They brought up the clearest points regarding sovereign territorial rights.
You will be happy if they agree with china 😂 but that won’t happen
China 🇨🇳 is a sad country with sad people and a sad future.
Multiple prongs buckling down to get together is nothing but pretension.egoism can never coexist and tolerate other.
We need humanists, lesser nationalists and hopefully no geopolitical enthusiasts
only indonesia and singapore were objectives. others were just propaganda putting forward their interests. it's weird for japan to mostly talk about russia, they dont seem to have courage to challenge china directly like india.
The forum seems to tell everybody else to just let China keep what their wrong doing.
You seems to be watching a different discussion 🙄
How disappointing the comments made by the Japanise rappresentative. Th invasion of Russia was not "unprovoked" . Has been provocked by Europe and USA.
Ambassador Cui talks with forked tongue.
5 th grade can figure it out
This forum encourages to surrender their countries to China for the sake of China's modernization.
1:08:20- Answer to the lady from Singapore(?) as to the 'next pandemic'; that will be decided in Beijing by CCP- thank your stars that the last one was prematurely released, the next one won't be.😮
Ask the US who created the Covid virus 😜
Sorry
日本人的发言很小家子气
Philippines and China must sit and talk and solve the South China Sea issues without having to bring in the USA. China must stop water cannon Philippines small supply vessels. Do not look good for China, big powerful ships attacking small no firepower philippine vessel. Asean countries do note such bullying. They will build up their military so as not to be bullied. China must act benevolent as a big power. Learn all the wrong ways the Western powers had acted historically and act differently. Unfortunately gunboat diplomacy and occupying and building just because you can, only reinforced China is no different from the West. Like this China lose more friends than actually it needs to. What is China doing? We have higher expectations from a 5000 yr civilization.
agree. but such dialogue should be initiated by china as the bigger party esp since it's china who will gain advantage in the negotiation as the stronger party. interestingly it seems like there are 2 leaderships in china: xi jin ping and on-the-ground/on-water PLA leaderhip. XJP talks about nice things all the time, but PLA behaves differently. this gives wrong message to other countries. at the end of the day, this is a battle of claims, that china and PH claim the same thing (china's claim is more ridiculous but in essence, it's still a battle of claims)...
in the olden days, a small atoll in the middle of the ocean was not claimed by anyone, now, everything has to be owned by a country...because by claiming an atoll, you get the territorial water + EEZ => you'll get the resources and your territory expands (better than invasion or colonisation in the olden days).
The issue with the Philippines was never a problem until the US got involved indirectly 🙄
日本人的意思：继续和美国一起维持美国军事霸权，在此基础上享尽好处。
Don't know why he always presents himself as a China expert just because he speaks a bit of Chinese.
It is so obvious that India just wanted her way, there is no need to "mend" the fence. Each should go its way. Such exchange doesn't achieve much as far as China-India relation is concerned.
China wanta to bow down before USA for trade and technology..but disruptive relationship with world lol😂
The world expects everyone to bow down to them but not China and Russia 😜
日本的军国主义思想很顽固
Ah kevin ..the pseudo Chinese or china expert
Only Japanese feel dangerous in History.
Kevin is useless 😂😂
Decide to skip this out of …………………
Waste of time to get your brainwashed
The Indian guy is contradicting himself earlier in the talk about the border then changed later on the discussion 🙄
Sad to see a lot of Asians on an American think tank that talks about Asia. Its better to have an all American speakers.
Not Impressed Academic meaningless circular emptiness
My ears were bleeding listenign to the Chinese speaker but I had no other choice but to listen! I assume the listeners who were plysically present there felt the same!
My eyes are Bleeding from Hindus
you need to go to the doctors, it can be the brain peoblem
Akha never been in Asia multicultural multiracial multilingual societies ?
If you are illiterate, keep quiet, no body will know that you are a fool.
It would be if you are among those who are sucked into the narrative that China will engage in military invasion to unify with Taiwan. China will not fall into the silly trap, like Russia getting into war with Ukraine. I am willing to wager US$10 million that China will not give warmongering USA a war by 2027 as predicted by Army General Mark Milley.
Mori is presenting obsequious and apple polishing narratives to please Japan’s master in USA. He appears so afraid to say anything negative that puts USA in a bad light.
So sad that he is disappointed that many countries remain neutral to Russia’s Ukraine invasion. Let me remind you that India, the world’s largest democracy has not condemned Russia and it is hardly publicized in western media. India, unlike Japan and many European countries, should be proud. It has its own independent mind and dares to act in its own interests.
15:42
Why does India insist on a border line drawn by Great Britain? Before India was established as a country, why did it insist on rules laid out by their colonizers?
Do you want to see India fight Pakistan, Bangladesh to claim pre British geos...almost 75 years have passed since these countries became independent as 3 entities but trying to live peacefully...I think maintaining current borders is best shot at peace with no first attack policy/treaty will do wonders for the trust building...
@@deepshikhasharma4367 The three entities still have regional conflicts with each other. Although I think religion, history, also play a big factor. Indian has a really diverse language and religion groups and was divided in the past. It was only group under the colonial power for management shakes.
@@consp51 you have no knowledge of Indian history I would say..look at Maurya empire for example...plus 100 years of so called civilised world not enough for you??
@@deepshikhasharma4367 I do admire the rich history of Maurya empire, but I could make the same arugement of, China ruled Taiwan for close to 300 years, even controlled Vietnam for close to 1000 years, not menting their old offical writing were all Chinese. Same was true as Korea and Japan.
I think Inida hasn't unify their languaes in the area in the past. My point, however, focuses on thecolonial legacies on contemporary border issues, not just in India but globally and has been the root cause of conflicting amount nation-states.
"Why does India insist on a border line drawn by Great Britain?" I'm sure India would like the border drawn much closer to Chengdu. Why doesn't China agree to that?
If we look at the post-Covid world, it is China which is the trigger/cause of butterfly effect of encouraging conflict in the region. So resolve towards world peace basically with China beginning with resolution of border conflict with India.
India has border issues with pretty much every single of its neighbor, you are the problem maker
Yeah right, Get lost Hindu Bhakt
像1962年一样把你们干的满地找牙？
You must be joking! Just listen to your Indian media criticising and provoking China daily, all out of envy from it's setback to become a wannabe superpower.
@@fredericksiong8240 unlike China, Indian media can say whatever they want and that could even be coming from nationalistic nature of Asia. The primary view should be from the actions of the governments and not from the noisy loud words, even from the media.
I think you said it was all get a wrong agenda. You guys are barking at the wrong tree open you guys eyes don’t you know who the hell is a trouble in the last 10 years in this world Kenny more people destroyed my family I don’t care what reason God forbid to do that
?????
Great talk (albeit tough and revealing). On reflection, listening to Cui Tiankai's comments on China and its relationship with Asia and the world, it was obvious the effect China's actions are having/had on the representatives, as they each returned to the common safety of their traditional Asian hierarchal talking points. For me, it is clear that US power in Asia is essential to help keep peace between nations that each see unique security challenges right on their borders. The biggest challenge is political compatibility. Currently, it is like VHS being democracy vs Beta being a one-party system (yes, I'm that old LOL) and it is not clear yet which format will win out. China is trying to sell Beta, but it seems people in Asia already own a VHS. As time goes by there is less and less reason to change to Beta and China seems to be saying it is Beta or nothing. China is risking being left behind by the world, not the other way around. The simple fact is, unless China becomes a democracy nothing will change in Asian relationships as they will just find more incompatibility with the global system and that will raise tensions higher. BTW great point on tourism, let the people decide by having a holiday, always the best way.
Rubbish.
India and Japan had the BEST points.
Mori at times sounds like he is speaking on behalf of USA and is putting out nothing short of obsequious, apple polishing narratives to Uncle Sam. His apprehension in uttering anything negative about USA is palpable and laughable.
He claims that he is disappointed that many countries remain neutral on Russia ‘s invasion of Ukraine.
India, the world’s largest democracy is one of the countries that have remained neutral and it’s hardly publicized in western media. That is because India has the guts to act in its own interest.
Japan doesn’t have its own position. It’s simply following USA just like many European countries!
那是因为你听习惯了说中国的坏话。
Nothing to support Russia.