Yea but you broke the rules of the experiment then lol. You weren't supposed to use hindsight. Overall - Giannis wasn't a bad choice because he was a young kid with professional experience though.
@@wansome1440 I'd still pick Hakeem "the Dream" Houston made the best fucking choice possible. They didnt need a project with mj, the bulls made the best choice, the 2nd pick was a fumble tho.
@@anshuman1808 In hindsight, yeah pick 2 was a fumble BUT I understand why Portland picked Sam Bowie. He was a top 5 big man in that draft(they needed one) PLUS they already had Clyde Drexler, who played the same position, same style(high flyer), & damn near same height as MJ...
Imurdaoppzz That’s like saying Lebron was gonna be a bust, or anybody else for instance. You don’t know they’re going to be a bust until they become one..
Player: scores 10 points Jimmy: The charts of the statistical history show that this was the most dominant 10 points in history. I used calculus and created an entire new math concept to determine this.
You know Newton legit invented calculus just to prove it to his friends that the orbits are elliptical in shape. I got reminded of this by " creating a new math concept"
@@DaDualityofMan As are a lot of people, it's not ironic. I didn't mean you have to take physics to be smart I was saying the OP used physics in the wrong context.
This was incredibly well researched. Nice video. When evaluating draft picks, you should only look at the first 4 years because that’s the amount of time a team has rights to the player. When looking at the first 4 years, D-Rose was the best player in the 2008 draft.
Rebounding is the only stat known to reliably translate to the NBA. Simmons, Towns, Embiid, Giannis, AD, Kawhi, and Paul George were all solid rebounders. Curry was an above-average rebounder for a guard. So was Russ. The list goes on.
Old comment but yeah. Points and assists are heavily reliant on the offensive scheme your coach is running, same with blocks and steals on the defense.
I can't believe he's producing these videos by himself. These are produced almost if not better than some ESPN docu series. The other great thing about Jxmy vids are they are about topics that others aren't talking about or probably thinking about. Great info.
2:10 I feel like you could definitely still get the first overall pick right even if you didn't draft the best player in the draft. The last four years of that seven years stretch still yielded Derrick Rose, Blake Griffin, John Wall, and Kyrie Irving. None of those picks were misses by any stretch of the imagination.
Same with Hakeem Olajuwon. Everyone thought you needed a big man to win back then, and they got a top 3 centre and won 2 titles with him. Plus he went to uni in Houston
@@dreadrollin Kawhi was the Kyrie year, and Westbrook was the D Rose year, at least thats who Jxmy is refering too, I'm not saying ones better than the other
Why does Jimmy literally upload a banger so often with some of the most in-depth analysis on the NBA with entertaining music and a very interesting perspective?
Watching this in 2023 and seeing how two of the players he circled as the best in their draft class turn out to not be the best in their draftclass 3 years later, even though this video was already made well after this draft. Just highlists the difficulty of drafting even more.
@@edraghifarri Those are user created draft classes.. so can't blame 2k for those, however the player progression IS broken, there's no way Willy freakin' Hernangomez will ever reach 89+ overall
@Quentin Gantt go to 3:50 pause and look at batums shorts 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😍💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️😬😬😬😬😬😬😬😬🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😶😶😶😶😶😶
Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA bro shut up you’re everywhere and you’re still wrong. One this dude went against the Milwaukee bucks who were damn near the best defensive team in the league the Celtics are self explanatory. You can’t beat these teams by themselves the same way lebron couldn’t beat the warriors by themselves
Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA the way you type literally pisses me off. I have absolutely no clue what you said but you just piss me off with the way you type.
@Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA hey I can tell by your comment you're a bron fan, just a reminder that he said "activate playoff mode" in mid Feb last year one loss out of the playoffs and he went on to lose to Memphis NOP Atlanta Phoenix NYK etc.
True.. I feel like Kwame Brown had no chance coming in a highschooler to play with Kobe.. All respect to Kobe, I loved him, but he seemed like he could be too tough on his teammates
@@stevenwongrealestate you mean MJ??? He was drafted by the Wizards??? And never got the chance to truly go through development due to MJ being the focal point of the offense on that team and trying to win out the gate with very raw, inexperienced, and young talent. Many of Kwame's teammate's while he was a Wizard speak highly of his game........his confidence got destroyed before he could develop into the guy he was expected to be. Confidence plays a huge role in success or Failure in the big league.
1:17 I just wanted to point out that Bogut on the Bucks was coming out as a legitimate offensive threat before his horrific arm injury. He's a solid defensive player now, and it's hardly his fault his career didn't go the way many people wanted it to
I like Obi better. But again he's also heavily contested and we don't actually know who the scouts favor more or would the Warriors get a high enough pick to get their hands on one of the 2 guys
No take the best available and it’ll work out much better. You can always make trades and moves to change your team to fit different players but you can never redraft someone. Knowing this, the best player in the draft is ________...
Veeon at the highest level drug usage happens especially with the amount of abuse their bodies receive and how much they need to recover. players like giannis and lebron are freak athletes but to keep using that athleticism at such an incredible pace game after game they need those drugs to be able to keep training and playing, its not so much the need for more “power” its just that they need to be able to “heal” faster.
I GUARANTEE no one as a GM would've picked Giannis in the 2013 Draft with the 1st pick, let alone the top 5 picks. My Milwaukee Bucks luckily got him and he's the greatest steal in NBA Draft history at Pick #15! I remember it pretty clearly, he was considered pretty unpolished with shooting and dribbling as weaknesses. We drafted him based on 1, maybe 2 things: A) His potential was unlimited as he was only 18 still growing with the wingspan of a fuckin Pterodactyl (we've seen that now) and (B) he had a great work ethic. I remember being happy with the pick because #15 overall picks are usually expected to be role players at best, and I saw his ceiling as like a fringe All-star But I DOUBT anyone thought he could be as amazing as he is today. He was also tough to evaluate because he was basically self-made, never really had elite coaching/training and his competition level was in the Greek League's 3rd Division in 2011 and only the 2nd Division in 2012 where his stock was then rising fast but the Greek 2nd Division is NOWHERE close to the NBA- probably around a top 20-50 D1 college program (?) where he averaged like 10 PPG and decent rebounding. He improved by A LOT every year though (like +5 PPG every season!!) and the time I remember really noticing how good he could be (like MVP level, which NO ONE expected when he was drafted) was when we took the #1 seeded Celtics to 7 games as an 8 seed basically thanks to him alone (Khris Middleton was another surprise that took several years to develop) and we are a small-market team so thank god he's super loyal. He was already like All-star level at that point and CLEARLY willing to put in the work to be the best so it's been a dream come true b/c we weren't a contender since like 2000 w/ Ray Allen and Glenn Robinson.
Jimmy is far and away one of the best youtubers I’ve had the pleasure of watching, the dude always brings top quality content to the table, idk if he edits it himself or if he hired someone but they do an incredible job
This might be my favorite video you’ve done, between the facts, the visuals, the research, the background music and the story telling. Perfect bro. Bless up.
That's how ik who to choose through this unfortunately😂 but I understand the whole video. I've been slacking this year and havent been keeping up with the players for next draft.. but if I were the GM.. I'm going James Wiseman. If anything, you know hes going to give it his all, and really that's all you ask in the end. James Wiseman also has the most NBA ready body, ever since he left college ball. I guess hes kind of like Deandre Ayton right, just with more determination
@@slim8553 I would go with 6'7 PG Lamelo. Great oversized point-players (ball handler/facilitator) are very good today. Oversized players relative to their position are great in general, but a chance to get a KD, Bron, Giannis, Harden, Doncic, or Simmons type of player is a must-cop. Lamelo will have to toughen his body up to bang with NBA players tho. As long as injuries don't plague Lamelo, he will be the best player in that draft class easily.
Gotta agree with that but being injured is also part of the game, if you are a player who plays a season and injured at least one time then u r probably not that good because u are not consistent. Sad truth
@@cobaltium4943 Rose came from Chicago, where that hard hop stop to the hole is taken to another level. It is effective, but puts tons of pressure on the knees. Look it up, LOTS of Chicago raised players end up with that same exact injury.
@@cobaltium4943 that literally makes no sense how does getting injured have anything to do with how "good" you are as a player? injuries are an unknown factor that can happen to anyone. sad truth is injuries happen and ruin careers it has nothing to do with consistency as 99% of people will agree with idk where your logic comes from.
@@JanitorMusician Just imagine u r a coach would u pick a player that is always injured or the other one that is not as good but doesn't always injured to train
Dope video Jxmy. We got our money on James Wiseman. Even though everybody is on Ball. You just gave us a great video idea. Thanks bro. We should collaborate soon.
Imo if ur drafting high, fit usually doesn’t matter. Think Kings deciding between Bagley and Doncic. Everyone knew doncic was better than Bagley but they thought Bagley fit better w Fox.
Not when you have the option of picking the most popular high school player in history. He will bring people to the arena even if the team is just ok. Its one of the easiest number 1 picks since lebron james.
Ken M That’s a lie, an immense amount of people questioned if Doncic would actually be successful in the league. Even most mock drafts had Bagley going 2nd and Doncic going to the hawks.
@@jaseallenson316 That's last year with Zion. Lamelo is good and I really like the ball family, but I just don't see James Wiseman not getting picked first.
I got chills when jimmy say "you got 5 minutes in the clock, make your pick". It just got the vibes of like the future of you franchise for the years to come.
Yeah, but Kawhi has been top 5 every year he's been healthy since 2015. There are levels. Not saying Kyrie isn't a great pick, but the difference between a perennial all-star and franchise changing superstar is huge.
Kyrie was the most skillful player in the draft class. Kawhi just fulfilled a lot of potential but it’s not like Kawhi was any better than Kyrie the first 3 years of their career.
@@robbiesoulier1922 I know Kawhi hasn't always been healthy. But whenever he is, he is top 5. Which is what I said. Kyrie has had numerous health concerns throughout his career as well.
1:52 Kyrie, Allen Iverson, Hakeem, and Derrick Rose may not have been the best players in their draft class (can't argue with the likes of Kobe or Michael Jordan, after all) but they were still amazing MVP-caliber players - D. Rose, A.I., and Hakeem were actual MVPs - that will go down in the list of all-time greats. They exceeded all the expectations of a #1 draft pick and the teams that drafted them definitely made the right choice.
There was really only Deron Williams and Chris Paul who would have been better picks but PG draft picks fail far more often than centres. Bogut was a perfectly acceptable number one pick in that draft.
Bogut should NOT be categorized as a dud number 1 pick with Brown, Olukangi and Bennett at 1 min 23 sec into the vid. Hard worker off the ball; terrific defender and passer. There is a bias in this video towards high scoring iso players.
You can’t say Andrew bogut was a bust, man was in all star contention then injuries happened. Then came back to be very influential for the warriors 🤷♂️
He was fine. Sure Deron Williams, cp3 and even Danny Granger might have been better picks but theres bo way you can lump Bogut in with these other players like Bennet.
I think near the end he didn’t label him a bust. But I think it’s questioning his worth as a number 1 pick. Bogut was really solid, but not a guy you’d want to spend the number 1 overall pick in the draft on.
Jimmy: Which one would you choose? Me: Obviously the 6`4 Gaurd he got most ppg and assists Jimmy: I hope you made the right decision: Reveals the people Me seeing its Markelle Fults: 🤦
This was actually so fucking entertaining i liked the interactive part that was so dope instead of just a cool insight on information we didn’t know that shit was dope and i got hella into it
I agree. Just bc they may not be better than their fellow draftees today does not make them unworthy of being selected 1st overall. For all of them, they were the best player in the class for a certain period of time.
Holy hell this was a good video. I was completely absorbed for all 10 minutes. I've watched pretty much all your vids, but this one was something special.
1:59 You should’ve circled 2008, drose was definitely the best player in that class and would’ve been in my opinion an nba legend winning multiple championships if it wasn’t for the injury.. not the bulls fault they picked the best player and had something unexpected happen.. in this case Zion shouldn’t be circled because who knows if he will get any injuries and other would surpass him in the future..
I had a whole essay about this and before posting it seen your post. People will argue saying Russ is better because he averaged a triple double but his teammates would literally let him grab boards that they should clearly be grabbing
Drose should’ve been circled he was an MVP and proved himself as the future of the league.. the bulls made the right decision and without the injury he would’ve been easily the best player in the draft
LBZ but the injury happened. This is about hindsight. Talking about potential is exactly what happened with all the other players who didn’t get as far as people thought.
I think in this draft especially I'd have to know who actually has the 1st pick to make a hypothetical decision like this. With no clear cut #1, team need is a lot more important to the decision of who to take
When he said Kyrie Irving wasn't the best player in his draft I was like whaattt... But then I remembered he was in the same draft as Kawhi, Klay Thompson, Kemba and Jimmy Butler
I don't know why he went after Bogut, who got all nba defensive votes and was a key part of a championship team, when andrea bargnani was RIGHT there. Even the graphic used showed Bogut clearly had better career numbers and PER compared to the others.
Umm, did we watch a different video? He just broke down statistically why most of them won't be all-stars or successful and why draft pick success can be highly varied. As hopeful as you want to be, the truth is, a lot of these guys will have trouble finding their footing in the nba. Everyone thought "so and so" would be a success. You're simply falling into that same-thinking.
Nathan Silvestro pistons should package this years pick to try and get out of Blake’s contract. Doesn’t look like any player this year is better than De’Andre Hunter.
@@iSnagAunties but you can't possibly know rose is going to get injured like that, he had no injury history. purely who was better at basketball when healthy, rose was the correct pick, he was the youngest mvp ever. i'd argue wall was the best pick in his draft too and there are some other debatable ones as well.
Devin Brock Westbrook is NOT BETTER stop IT . If D Rose was healthy we wouldn’t even be having this conversation. It’s crazy how much ppl forget how D Rose was literally going up against the heat nd handling his own by himself. Y’all really don’t watch basketball man smh
@the1 no one said he wasn't. We are just saying that a better/more succesful player *cough* *MJ* *cough* , was produced in the same draft class as Hakeem.
2:14: yeah but D Rose, Griffin, Wall and Uncle Drew went on to become some of the best in the league - so that analysis of 2005-2011 is not entirely honest.
Kawhi was drafted in the same year as Kyrie, Curry was drafted in the same year as Griffin, and Cousins as well as PG were drafted in the same year as Wall.
I love this channel, but I think that this is a rare occasion where Jimmy is off a bit because the vast majority of the time NBA teams make a good decision with the #1 pick. It's true that maybe the “best” players aren’t picked every year number 1, but the goal is not to pick the best individual player. The goal is to strengthen the team in the hope of winning a championship. That said, if you have a need on a team and you pick an eventual All-Star with the first pick, you more than accomplished the goal. In fact, in most cases, the team is probably better off. 12 of 40 (30%) were circled as the “best” in their draft year since 1980. However, you certainly didn’t make a bad choice if the player you choose #1 is eventually inducted in the HoF or become an NBA All-Star. Add Hall of Fame players: 17 of 40 (42.5%) - Worthy(82), Sampson(83), Olajuwon(84), Ewing(85) Iverson(96) Add All-Stars: 31 of 40 (77.5%) - Carroll(80), Aguirre(81), Daugherty(86), Manning(88), Coleman(90), L.Johnson(91), G.Robinson(94), Brand(99), Martin(00), Bogut(05), Rose(08), Griffin(09), Wall(10), Irving(11) Subtract Players who were plagued by unforeseen early-career injuries: 31 of 38 (81.6%) - Ellison(89), Oden(07) So, I would say that around 81.6% of the time the 1st round pick is a solid pick with the data they have, which is pretty damn good! Okay, now look who is left over: - Joe Smith(95) Played for 21 years in the league! - Andrea Bargbabni(06) played 10 seasons, 14.4ppg / 4.6 rpg (~20ppg when starting) - Andrew Wiggins(14) active 7 seasons, ~20ppg / 4.4rpg - Ayton(18) - Certainly potential, All-Rookie Team, Not a bust Major Busts 4/40 (10%): - Olowokandi(98), K.Brown(01), Bennett(13), Fultz(17) So, I would flip this conclusion and say that it’s pretty incredible that there is only a bust selected once a decade. And that “the best” is a debatable label, but the vast majority of the time the 1st player picked in the draft is a good, solid pick.
Jxmy had me feeling like I was actually going to make a pick at the end.
Ik lol I was getting nervous
It hit different
Same lol
Had me feelin like we playing my gm
I was wtf idk
I've never felt more empathy towards a general manager during the NBA Draft. Incredible video Jxmy
Sup Mike👋
YOOOOOOOOO I WATCH YOUR VIDSS!!!
Love your vids 🐐
What’s up
Yooo ur that one guy flight ate alive
I only picked giannis cause I knew the picture he was in
Frfr lmao
Same lul
same lol
his arms are 5 feet long or so, couldnt be anyone else...
Deadass I didn’t recognize him until after I picked him but I recognized Tatum from the jump
4:20 i literally picked giannis simply bc i could tell it was him lmao
Yea but you broke the rules of the experiment then lol. You weren't supposed to use hindsight. Overall - Giannis wasn't a bad choice because he was a young kid with professional experience though.
Yeah the point is to choose based of stats
@@kingworldadventures im pretty sure he didnt want to see it but it was so blatantly obvious that he couldnt unsee it
The silhouette was so obvious 😂
same here, I play like giannis. My IQ, Athleticism, defence and finishing.
Nobody can blame the Rockets for picking Olajuwon on #1 draft pick. He was absolutely a beast and they needed a center, plus they won 2 titles.
didnt they already have ralph sampson tho? or is he a PF
@@wansome1440 I'd still pick Hakeem "the Dream" Houston made the best fucking choice possible. They didnt need a project with mj, the bulls made the best choice, the 2nd pick was a fumble tho.
@@anshuman1808 In hindsight, yeah pick 2 was a fumble BUT I understand why Portland picked Sam Bowie. He was a top 5 big man in that draft(they needed one) PLUS they already had Clyde Drexler, who played the same position, same style(high flyer), & damn near same height as MJ...
says someone on the rockets
Isn’t he the only person to ever with MVP, DPOY, and a Title in the same season?
"5 minutes on the clock and your team is on the board, make your pick"
That hit different idk why
Melo all day
Swear I sat there like damn
InThePaint melo lowkey gonna be a bust
Imurdaoppzz That’s like saying Lebron was gonna be a bust, or anybody else for instance. You don’t know they’re going to be a bust until they become one..
I’m convinced you’re a bot.
Player: scores 10 points
Jimmy: The charts of the statistical history show that this was the most dominant 10 points in history. I used calculus and created an entire new math concept to determine this.
Until he says something COMPLETELY wrong and then LOW gotta come spank that ass lololol
You know Newton legit invented calculus just to prove it to his friends that the orbits are elliptical in shape. I got reminded of this by " creating a new math concept"
Divye Dixit imagine being as petty as Issac Newton lol
@@TheUltimateRage what was wrong that he said and who's LOW?
DrDomich legend of winning I think
this video is so funny looking back, he had ben simmons as the best player from the 2016 draft lmao
Was just about to comment something like this
And Zion for 2019 lol
Wow, its like the video is actually true
“5 minutes on the clock and ur team is on the board make ur pick”
That hits different when it’s night time
Fr fr man, especially knowing the fact that those guys were the ones the Warriors.. MY TEAM could potentially pick. This video was stressful as hell.
marcus We stressing like we gonna get to pick a #1 player 🤣, when he hit us with the last line man made me reevaluate life 💀
Why at night
True
@@marcishim19 warriors will pick Wiseman's no question
Why does jimmy make me feel like I’m watching physics when its really just pretending your a gm
Because you don’t know what physics is
Physics bruh did you even go to school
ugod234 he’s not being literal
@@GameChanger-xi4iy Ironically I never took a Physics class in my life and I'm in college now
@@DaDualityofMan As are a lot of people, it's not ironic. I didn't mean you have to take physics to be smart I was saying the OP used physics in the wrong context.
Why does jxmy not have his own show?!?!? This man would kill everyone with his charts and facts.
because he needs time to do his research. with the channel, he can regulate himself and the frequency/quality of the product
You're watching it.
Because the video provided no solutions? Just saying things that were already well know...
@@PKSubban Because there isn't a solution. There's no way to predict a Jimmy Butler, Gilbert Arenas, Jokic, Draymond, etc.
This was incredibly well researched. Nice video.
When evaluating draft picks, you should only look at the first 4 years because that’s the amount of time a team has rights to the player.
When looking at the first 4 years, D-Rose was the best player in the 2008 draft.
idk who was in the 1982 draft, but if it wasnt MJ than idk in what world is Kareem not the best player in the draft. Same with Hakeem
@@zsomborszigeti6797 1982 was james worthy at 1 (best was dominique)
and the hakeem draft had mj in it
Anything in basketball: exists
Jxmy: *I can chart you*
LMS for a TBH
Tyrique Cross you can’t even spell basketball
Sean lit Mize r/swoosh
i totally couldn’t tell who that hulk 6’9 international prospect was
Exactly 😭
whiite mAmba You stupid af
Nuby29 he grew ever since he got drafted
Nuby29 He was not 6”11.
Derrick Rose before his injury was the best player in his draft
By far, hands down !
westbrook is way better
Nikijs Kurpenieks Healthy D Rose was better
@@nikijskurpenieks4936 Only after the injury
D Rose is still actually doing better than Russel if you look at the entire picture
@@nikijskurpenieks4936 im a big westbrook fan but drose before his injuries was the best
Rebounding is the only stat known to reliably translate to the NBA. Simmons, Towns, Embiid, Giannis, AD, Kawhi, and Paul George were all solid rebounders. Curry was an above-average rebounder for a guard. So was Russ. The list goes on.
Old comment but yeah. Points and assists are heavily reliant on the offensive scheme your coach is running, same with blocks and steals on the defense.
that makes a lot of sense honestly, rebounding tends to be the most consistent thing you can do in basketball
looking back on this is funny with simmons
I can't believe he's producing these videos by himself. These are produced almost if not better than some ESPN docu series. The other great thing about Jxmy vids are they are about topics that others aren't talking about or probably thinking about. Great info.
The content that b baller fans needed but didn't deserve?
3:50 pause look at tatums shorts 😭😭😭😭😭😫😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@umswut2705 you beat me too it
If only soccer had a dude like him
Damn he has no editor?
To be fair, Kyrie and Blake were the best in their class AT THAT TIME so picking them at #1 isn’t too bad
So was Iverson, Rose, Wall and Ewing. You can't really fault anyone for taking Hakeem or Worthy at number one either.
Shams Noor or evening Greg oden massive KD fan btw
No because Leonard was in Irving’s draft
@@shamsnoor7043 hakeem is even the Best talent at that time. He really raised his non all star teammates to the Finals.
Brody Niven, Meltroboomin is talking abt during the draft...no one saw Leonard as being the best of 2011 back then
I got chills when he said '5 minutes on the board, make your pick'
Same bruh
Literally
Ok boomer
Same
@@AndreasZervas im 13
2:10
I feel like you could definitely still get the first overall pick right even if you didn't draft the best player in the draft. The last four years of that seven years stretch still yielded Derrick Rose, Blake Griffin, John Wall, and Kyrie Irving. None of those picks were misses by any stretch of the imagination.
Same with Hakeem Olajuwon. Everyone thought you needed a big man to win back then, and they got a top 3 centre and won 2 titles with him. Plus he went to uni in Houston
who exactly was better than those players though. someone that list seem to be the best. d rose? kyrie?
@@dreadrollin Kawhi was the Kyrie year, and Westbrook was the D Rose year, at least thats who Jxmy is refering too, I'm not saying ones better than the other
Steph is by far better than Blake yet he was 7th in the draft
@@georgeelmurr4211 sir you have missed the point
Why does Jimmy literally upload a banger so often with some of the most in-depth analysis on the NBA with entertaining music and a very interesting perspective?
because he's the goat
You can tell he has a passion for the game
Great editing is key.
Best nba TH-camr (I don't consider the podcasts and barbershop talks to truly be TH-cam)
No one :
Jxmy : So I made a chart to describe the situation
How the heck this get 381 likes
“Basketball is a team sport”
Lebron James on the Cavaliers: I AM THE TEAM
“There’s an I in WIN”
Bardock Obama There’s no I in team
LeBron: But there’s a me in it
If the rest of the so called "Team" is Kyrie -flat earth- Irving, Kevin -washed and overrated- Love, JR Smith, than yep Lebron is all the team has.
@@kostastube2010 JR was doing pretty good until 2018
frankiefred182 kobe said that
Watching this in 2023 and seeing how two of the players he circled as the best in their draft class turn out to not be the best in their draftclass 3 years later, even though this video was already made well after this draft.
Just highlists the difficulty of drafting even more.
More like 3
2k needs to make me feel like this when im drafting jeez
faxx, top 10 picks always be a 90 at some point in their careers
@@edraghifarri Those are user created draft classes.. so can't blame 2k for those, however the player progression IS broken, there's no way Willy freakin' Hernangomez will ever reach 89+ overall
@@TheYouthEnergy and John Issac hits 94 and averages 4 points
Who else was playing 'whose that Pokemon' whenever the silhouettes showed up
Yeah ruined the game haha knew who they were from the pics
Lol I got Giannis and Lamelo
Lmao
They NBA should let Giannis commentate the draft.
Giannis: "That's a good pick"😄
mmm, das solid
That's a good comment
LeBron: sets a screen
Giannis: that’s a good pick
Someone random: picks his/her nose
Giannis: that's a good pick
He took my guy, my African brother
It’s been 3 years, crazy to see only lamelo and ant have panned out out of the 4
Maxey
Ant
haliburton
Who was the person on the left at the 6:00 mark
@@qwertyutopia4667 idk
Jxmy should do voiceovers for documentaries, short films, etc.
erm..... you should check out his channel, he basically does that for his own little basketball docs and short films.
can we just appreciate how smooth that ending was?
yeah rly smooth
3:50 pause look at tatums shorts 😭😭😭😭😭😫😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
@Quentin Gantt go to 3:50 pause and look at batums shorts 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😍💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️😬😬😬😬😬😬😬😬🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫🤫😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😲😶😶😶😶😶😶
At the end when u said “make your pick” that hit differently from when u said it at the beginning
I've always been a fan of Jxmy for this fact. A lot of guys can put up a video, but Jxmy is top notch.
at first, i picked Tatum right but when Jimmy asked in the end i said ''nuh i give up''
2:16 Honestly, until his injuries Derrick Rose was definitely the best pick in 2008.
key word “ was “
@@HoopsWithGT As said in the video, hindsight is 20-20.
No, Russell Westbrook is the best in 2008.
@@HoopsWithGT how can you predict injuries though?
@@lel9422 exactly
Bobby Knight to the Blazers: “Draft Jordan and play him at center”
@Cyber Bully lmao
Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA bro shut up you’re everywhere and you’re still wrong. One this dude went against the Milwaukee bucks who were damn near the best defensive team in the league the Celtics are self explanatory. You can’t beat these teams by themselves the same way lebron couldn’t beat the warriors by themselves
Play him as sf
Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA the way you type literally pisses me off. I have absolutely no clue what you said but you just piss me off with the way you type.
@Wilt Chamberlain GOD of NBA hey I can tell by your comment you're a bron fan, just a reminder that he said "activate playoff mode" in mid Feb last year one loss out of the playoffs and he went on to lose to Memphis NOP Atlanta Phoenix NYK etc.
Ik it’s been gone for over a year, but damn do I miss that trap sax beat 😔
Aside from the player, the environment they are
drafted into is also really important too
True.. I feel like Kwame Brown had no chance coming in a highschooler to play with Kobe..
All respect to Kobe, I loved him, but he seemed like he could be too tough on his teammates
@@stevenwongrealestate you mean MJ??? He was drafted by the Wizards??? And never got the chance to truly go through development due to MJ being the focal point of the offense on that team and trying to win out the gate with very raw, inexperienced, and young talent. Many of Kwame's teammate's while he was a Wizard speak highly of his game........his confidence got destroyed before he could develop into the guy he was expected to be. Confidence plays a huge role in success or Failure in the big league.
Exactly I feel like westbrook would have been better if he was drafted to another team. You could say the same for iverson and blake griffin.
Seeing Ben and Zion as the best has me rolling now
1:17 I just wanted to point out that Bogut on the Bucks was coming out as a legitimate offensive threat before his horrific arm injury. He's a solid defensive player now, and it's hardly his fault his career didn't go the way many people wanted it to
That’s still a bust. Injuries constitute a bust
@@Donnie-sg2cj nah if they were good but got injured and became much worse, I'd call it disappointing or didn't live up to full potential.
I’d take james wiseman, Warriors don’t need all these guards
Thank you.
we dont even know if the warriors have the 1st pick tho...
Obi Toppin fits better tho
I like Obi better. But again he's also heavily contested and we don't actually know who the scouts favor more or would the Warriors get a high enough pick to get their hands on one of the 2 guys
No take the best available and it’ll work out much better. You can always make trades and moves to change your team to fit different players but you can never redraft someone. Knowing this, the best player in the draft
is ________...
Wow Giannis was 6'9' when drafted and now is 6'11'
That's some growth
@the1 nah, training-exercising does that. Your body grows till you're 25
Veeon at the highest level drug usage happens especially with the amount of abuse their bodies receive and how much they need to recover. players like giannis and lebron are freak athletes but to keep using that athleticism at such an incredible pace game after game they need those drugs to be able to keep training and playing, its not so much the need for more “power” its just that they need to be able to “heal” faster.
@the1 Only if growth plates are still open. Male plates close by 15-17. So no, GH didn't help him grow and I doubt he ever took it.
Hes 7ft now
No he became 11''8' after Flight called him Akumpo
I GUARANTEE no one as a GM would've picked Giannis in the 2013 Draft with the 1st pick, let alone the top 5 picks. My Milwaukee Bucks luckily got him and he's the greatest steal in NBA Draft history at Pick #15! I remember it pretty clearly, he was considered pretty unpolished with shooting and dribbling as weaknesses. We drafted him based on 1, maybe 2 things: A) His potential was unlimited as he was only 18 still growing with the wingspan of a fuckin Pterodactyl (we've seen that now) and (B) he had a great work ethic.
I remember being happy with the pick because #15 overall picks are usually expected to be role players at best, and I saw his ceiling as like a fringe All-star But I DOUBT anyone thought he could be as amazing as he is today. He was also tough to evaluate because he was basically self-made, never really had elite coaching/training and his competition level was in the Greek League's 3rd Division in 2011 and only the 2nd Division in 2012 where his stock was then rising fast but the Greek 2nd Division is NOWHERE close to the NBA- probably around a top 20-50 D1 college program (?) where he averaged like 10 PPG and decent rebounding.
He improved by A LOT every year though (like +5 PPG every season!!) and the time I remember really noticing how good he could be (like MVP level, which NO ONE expected when he was drafted) was when we took the #1 seeded Celtics to 7 games as an 8 seed basically thanks to him alone (Khris Middleton was another surprise that took several years to develop) and we are a small-market team so thank god he's super loyal. He was already like All-star level at that point and CLEARLY willing to put in the work to be the best so it's been a dream come true b/c we weren't a contender since like 2000 w/ Ray Allen and Glenn Robinson.
Idk man, Jokic at #41 was a pretty damn good steal as well.
yeah @uzairellahi9596 I agree with you, jokic is one if not the best player currently and he was drafted during a taco bell commercial
@@bluetwig1562 they are all once in a decade steals, but not of all time
“The best player in the draft is going to be a guard, reGUARDless.” LOL
Ur name had me
please never again
Hilarious...
Alan Kerwin Was there someone with the same comment as me? I didn’t check.
your name bruh
The quality is just mad!! Had me feeling like I was watching a documentary
Jimmy is far and away one of the best youtubers I’ve had the pleasure of watching, the dude always brings top quality content to the table, idk if he edits it himself or if he hired someone but they do an incredible job
This might be my favorite video you’ve done, between the facts, the visuals, the research, the background music and the story telling. Perfect bro. Bless up.
these types of videos are always fun to revisit 2 years later
Anyone else looking at the pictures to determine who to choose?
That's how ik who to choose through this unfortunately😂 but I understand the whole video. I've been slacking this year and havent been keeping up with the players for next draft.. but if I were the GM.. I'm going James Wiseman. If anything, you know hes going to give it his all, and really that's all you ask in the end. James Wiseman also has the most NBA ready body, ever since he left college ball. I guess hes kind of like Deandre Ayton right, just with more determination
pokémon style
@@slim8553 I would go with 6'7 PG Lamelo. Great oversized point-players (ball handler/facilitator) are very good today. Oversized players relative to their position are great in general, but a chance to get a KD, Bron, Giannis, Harden, Doncic, or Simmons type of player is a must-cop. Lamelo will have to toughen his body up to bang with NBA players tho. As long as injuries don't plague Lamelo, he will be the best player in that draft class easily.
yess i guessed the one guy was giannis and took him 😂
2:43 3:58 5:21
Everyone: Looking at stats
Me: Trying to figure out the player by the shape.
Nah we were all tryna look at who it was lmao
Giannis and Fultz were the only players I could guess
Who’s that Pokémon?!
Then there’s me, trying to figure out the player by the stats
me: trying to work out who would look the coolest doing a dunk purely by there shape
“Who would you pick”
Me: me
same
Of course
nice username
Paul pierce:
Nope not me
4:01 I know Giannis when I see him lol
It remains to be seen whether Zion Williamson is the best player of the 2019 draft. Ja Morant may have something to say about that.
I mean ja is consistent and good. Zion will be something else he still almost had a chance even tho he played a lot less games
#JaOnTop
@@koma8412 #PAUSE
@@Isthatthegrimreaper170 #ROYJA
Tyler Herro is getting up there too.
Well Derrick rose was the best he just got injured 😞
Gotta agree with that but being injured is also part of the game, if you are a player who plays a season and injured at least one time then u r probably not that good because u are not consistent. Sad truth
@@cobaltium4943 Rose came from Chicago, where that hard hop stop to the hole is taken to another level. It is effective, but puts tons of pressure on the knees.
Look it up, LOTS of Chicago raised players end up with that same exact injury.
Same look at my comment
@@cobaltium4943 that literally makes no sense how does getting injured have anything to do with how "good" you are as a player? injuries are an unknown factor that can happen to anyone. sad truth is injuries happen and ruin careers it has nothing to do with consistency as 99% of people will agree with idk where your logic comes from.
@@JanitorMusician Just imagine u r a coach would u pick a player that is always injured or the other one that is not as good but doesn't always injured to train
Dope video Jxmy. We got our money on James Wiseman. Even though everybody is on Ball.
You just gave us a great video idea. Thanks bro. We should collaborate soon.
Heavily depends on the lottery results tho.
@@yashvardhansharma4508 Very true
Onyeka >>>>>>
If I’m the warriors I’d go wiseman but if I’m the knicks I’m going with Lamelo
@@youngking1276 Was thinking the same exact thing. Knicks NEED Ball.
Without a time machine it's *INCREDIBLY* difficult to have tons of confidence in any draft pick. Every angle is a catch 22 usually.
When you factor in what Jxmy said plus you also have to consider your team's fit, it makes the decision that much harder.
Imo if ur drafting high, fit usually doesn’t matter. Think Kings deciding between Bagley and Doncic. Everyone knew doncic was better than Bagley but they thought Bagley fit better w Fox.
Not when you have the option of picking the most popular high school player in history. He will bring people to the arena even if the team is just ok. Its one of the easiest number 1 picks since lebron james.
Its really not that hard.
Ken M That’s a lie, an immense amount of people questioned if Doncic would actually be successful in the league. Even most mock drafts had Bagley going 2nd and Doncic going to the hawks.
@@jaseallenson316 That's last year with Zion. Lamelo is good and I really like the ball family, but I just don't see James Wiseman not getting picked first.
Petition to bring back the old trap sax music
👇👇👇
Yessir
i wish but same with daniel cheng en kee
It’s copyrighted but I wish he could keep it.
I love that music to much, I really want it back
Yessir!
I got chills when jimmy say "you got 5 minutes in the clock, make your pick". It just got the vibes of like the future of you franchise for the years to come.
4:11 I already see giannis stop playin 😂
Jxmy: has music play for 30 seconds for ads
Me: you naughty naughty, you are teasing me
honestly it fit though, i didnt even think about it till you mentioned it
Sus
Although Kyrie wasn’t the best in his draft class, he’s been consistently good throughout his career besides the whole nets issue
Yeah, but Kawhi has been top 5 every year he's been healthy since 2015. There are levels. Not saying Kyrie isn't a great pick, but the difference between a perennial all-star and franchise changing superstar is huge.
Kyrie was the most skillful player in the draft class. Kawhi just fulfilled a lot of potential but it’s not like Kawhi was any better than Kyrie the first 3 years of their career.
The Good Doctor Kawhi has not been healthy for the past 5 years.
Robbie Soulier Don’t even try to argue that Kyrie is a more valuable player than Kawhi.
@@robbiesoulier1922 I know Kawhi hasn't always been healthy. But whenever he is, he is top 5. Which is what I said. Kyrie has had numerous health concerns throughout his career as well.
The biggest problem is how Stanley Johnson is still in the league
Underrated
Underrated
Underrated
Underrated
Underrated
1:52 Kyrie, Allen Iverson, Hakeem, and Derrick Rose may not have been the best players in their draft class (can't argue with the likes of Kobe or Michael Jordan, after all) but they were still amazing MVP-caliber players - D. Rose, A.I., and Hakeem were actual MVPs - that will go down in the list of all-time greats. They exceeded all the expectations of a #1 draft pick and the teams that drafted them definitely made the right choice.
DId d rose really exceed expectations? for one season he did
Don't do bogut like that, he did really well until he was hurt
Facts.
No Bogut screens = no 73-9 GSW.
Hector Andem fax, it’s sounds silly. But he had hof brick wall
There was really only Deron Williams and Chris Paul who would have been better picks but PG draft picks fail far more often than centres. Bogut was a perfectly acceptable number one pick in that draft.
Bogut should NOT be categorized as a dud number 1 pick with Brown, Olukangi and Bennett at 1 min 23 sec into the vid. Hard worker off the ball; terrific defender and passer. There is a bias in this video towards high scoring iso players.
Ben Jackson true
You can’t say Andrew bogut was a bust, man was in all star contention then injuries happened. Then came back to be very influential for the warriors 🤷♂️
exactly. even though he’s not a superstar. he had a spot in the leauge and filled it
NoFriendship but was he good enough for number 1?
He was fine. Sure Deron Williams, cp3 and even Danny Granger might have been better picks but theres bo way you can lump Bogut in with these other players like Bennet.
FACTS
I think near the end he didn’t label him a bust. But I think it’s questioning his worth as a number 1 pick. Bogut was really solid, but not a guy you’d want to spend the number 1 overall pick in the draft on.
Jimmy: Which one would you choose?
Me: Obviously the 6`4 Gaurd he got most ppg and assists
Jimmy: I hope you made the right decision: Reveals the people
Me seeing its Markelle Fults: 🤦
Well fultz was exceptional before getting drafted. Its really sad seeing him drop off because of his shoulder
Fults was the right choice at the time. You can only make decisions based on what is known, there's always a margin of error.
To be fair, if we were actual NBA scouts or GMs we would have done COUNTLESS hours of film study, and not just picked a player based off a stat sheet
This was actually so fucking entertaining i liked the interactive part that was so dope instead of just a cool insight on information we didn’t know that shit was dope and i got hella into it
Am I the only one who smiled seeing 2008 with the MVP label🌹8:28
Kyrie doesn’t want lebron to get his chip☠️
Its far from being a wrap for lebron to win it all anyways
I love how Lebron fans assume that he’s winning it this year when he’s not
@@hesomelo5910 they aren't assuming, Lakers been legit
💀💀💀 didn’t even think of it like that
Heso Melo they are or should be the favourite
Jxmy is so legendary, one of my favorite you tubers out rn
In 2023 Obi Topin and James Wiseman looks crazy at becoming first overall. 🤣😆
Blake, d rose, John wall, and kyrie are pretty good picks tho
And they weren’t consensus number one picks
Blake was the best player in that draft class for many years
Lol Rose was the best player in that draft. Injuries just plagued him
I think rose and kyrie are the best in their draft
I agree. Just bc they may not be better than their fellow draftees today does not make them unworthy of being selected 1st overall. For all of them, they were the best player in the class for a certain period of time.
why tf did I get more than 100 likes ? Dont know yall tell me ;)
NBA INSIDER has a better one
Not in the nba community but sykkuno?
@@ikon1403 no.
Ong bro
jxmy is more relevant than every espn "analyst"
Holy hell this was a good video. I was completely absorbed for all 10 minutes. I've watched pretty much all your vids, but this one was something special.
That’s exactly what I said bro
Even when it said 6’9 I recognized him and said giannis out loud 😂
1:59 You should’ve circled 2008, drose was definitely the best player in that class and would’ve been in my opinion an nba legend winning multiple championships if it wasn’t for the injury.. not the bulls fault they picked the best player and had something unexpected happen.. in this case Zion shouldn’t be circled because who knows if he will get any injuries and other would surpass him in the future..
Was just about to comment this.
I had a whole essay about this and before posting it seen your post. People will argue saying Russ is better because he averaged a triple double but his teammates would literally let him grab boards that they should clearly be grabbing
u cant use the word "if" in a bball debate bro, sorry
@@Shhiesty_ if he's good enough to get 10 rebounds let the man get 10 rebounds, the ball would go to him on a fastbreak anyway
Shinsuke Nakamura so you’re telling me the bulls made the wrong choice at the time? Got it😂
4:37 nah bro Giannis silhouette is way to unique
Too
At 2:00 when you didnt circle AI, I'm like WTF JXMY, then I remember that class....Nash..Allen...and the MAMBA himself
I'm taking AI over everybody except Mamba in that class and it ain't close.
Jalen Davis honestly i would pick allen iverson over kobe but i’m veryyy biased cos he’s my favourite player of all time lol
Rewatching this now gives me chills at how right he is
D-Rose, Blake, John Wall and Kyrie aren’t exactly scrubs...
He didn’t say they were scrubs
Don’t forget AI and Patrick Ewing
I’m taking Lamelo
Drose should’ve been circled he was an MVP and proved himself as the future of the league.. the bulls made the right decision and without the injury he would’ve been easily the best player in the draft
LBZ but the injury happened. This is about hindsight. Talking about potential is exactly what happened with all the other players who didn’t get as far as people thought.
I think in this draft especially I'd have to know who actually has the 1st pick to make a hypothetical decision like this. With no clear cut #1, team need is a lot more important to the decision of who to take
RIP Trap sax, that music was legendary
Who else came here after the draft is over
4:28 this shows why you should not have had the silhouettes of the players. I can clearly see that's giannis before the thing starts.
International prospect, 6’9, forward, muscular physique
Me: 🤔
Giannis>
When he said Kyrie Irving wasn't the best player in his draft I was like whaattt... But then I remembered he was in the same draft as Kawhi, Klay Thompson, Kemba and Jimmy Butler
He hasnt had the second best career, but talent wise he is for sure second best.
kawhi was the one got away in that draft for sure, everyone else hadn’t grown into themselves yet or still aren’t better than kyrie (kemba) imo
3:50 pause look at tatums shorts 😭😭😭😭😭😫😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
Look at the woman behind em
this guy is amazing. The amount of quality in this video omfg
1:19 Andrew was looking like something before he got injured and traded though
I don't know why he went after Bogut, who got all nba defensive votes and was a key part of a championship team, when andrea bargnani was RIGHT there. Even the graphic used showed Bogut clearly had better career numbers and PER compared to the others.
@@johnwilliams2183 but he was putting up numbers, not anything crazy but still...
@@yardship but we talking about first overall picks, being a decent player isnt franchise changing
2:12 might wanna change 2016 now lol
2019 as well. With hindsight picking ja morant would def have been better than picking zion
Never choose the guy that is "the most NBA ready" in the Top 5.
true haha
Luka doncic?
NBA ready = not enough hunger to get better.
@@clint3868 Luka wasn't just "NBA ready", he was already a superstar before the NBA.
Luka, LeBron?
2:33 thought it was gonna be a seat geak ad.
Can't wait to use the app to buy tickets for the games remaining this season... Wait...
People sleep on Obi. But I think that all 4 of those players he mentioned will be all stars
Umm, did we watch a different video? He just broke down statistically why most of them won't be all-stars or successful and why draft pick success can be highly varied.
As hopeful as you want to be, the truth is, a lot of these guys will have trouble finding their footing in the nba. Everyone thought "so and so" would be a success. You're simply falling into that same-thinking.
June Gonzaga well I mean there’s draft classes like LeBron where’s there are multiple all stars in it
therese no way
Casper melo is gonna be a bust but a good bust
June Gonzaga exactly, like the time everyone was saying lonzo was gonna be an all star
1:59 DRose is indeed the best player in his draft
@Andreas there's no argue, healthy D Rose a one westbrook in each finger...
@@moov100 You're stupid. This isn't about peak, it's about all time. If you Rose is better all time than Westbrook, then you're an idiot.
No he wasn't.
Russel is better
@@moov100 nah man prime Westbrook was better than prime D-rose he averaged more points in points, assists, rebounds, steals and 3point %
As a Pistons fan im stressed as hell about the draft even though i know we will take a bust
Nathan Silvestro pistons should package this years pick to try and get out of Blake’s contract. Doesn’t look like any player this year is better than De’Andre Hunter.
You don’t think anthony Edwards, James wisemen, or lamelo are better that hunter?
hope pistons get obi toppin somehow
Projected pick for the pistons lamelo ball. But yall need Edward's
Derrick Rose the the best player in the daft till the injuries he should’ve been circled
But he means where they're at now. Westbrick is doing better
@@iSnagAunties but you can't possibly know rose is going to get injured like that, he had no injury history. purely who was better at basketball when healthy, rose was the correct pick, he was the youngest mvp ever. i'd argue wall was the best pick in his draft too and there are some other debatable ones as well.
2:03 how you gon disrespect Derrick rose cuz he was actually the best player in the draft it was just the injuries after but he still proved himself
Russel Westbrook is better and has had a much better career
Devin Brock and....
Devin Brock Westbrook is NOT BETTER stop IT . If D Rose was healthy we wouldn’t even be having this conversation. It’s crazy how much ppl forget how D Rose was literally going up against the heat nd handling his own by himself. Y’all really don’t watch basketball man smh
crip34983 u literally just said "if derrick rose was healty" nice to put a hypothetical in ur argument.
westbrook is better tbh. just unfortunate tht rose has been injured so much.
in retrospect this should’ve been an easy choice 😭
Sooooo we just gone act like Derrick rose wasn’t the youngest mvp🤨
lol ikr
Westbrook is better all time because he had a prime unlike d rose unfortunately
@@ADGotNext d rose 🥀 would have been better if not for injuries
@@boston0086 fax
@@boston0086 key word “would’ve”
AI, Patrick Ewing, Hakeem, James Worthy, and others are still top 50 players of all time even though they were first but not the best in their class
No debate about that Some of those are top 25 arguably
Hakeem easily top 10 all time and 3rd best center of all time imo
AI was a bad pick anyways
Fathi Ali stop smoking crack
@the1 no one said he wasn't. We are just saying that a better/more succesful player *cough* *MJ* *cough* , was produced in the same draft class as Hakeem.
2:14: yeah but D Rose, Griffin, Wall and Uncle Drew went on to become some of the best in the league - so that analysis of 2005-2011 is not entirely honest.
they won ROTY and Drose became the youngest MVP that timr he was the best in his class no doubt
@@maximaram7839 Yeah but Russell Westbrook was there too
Kawhi was drafted in the same year as Kyrie, Curry was drafted in the same year as Griffin, and Cousins as well as PG were drafted in the same year as Wall.
Kelvin Malidom Facts
@@kelvinmalidom5901 no curry was in the 09' draft cousins was in the 2010 draft
This gotta be your best video thus far big ups on the growth
I love this channel, but I think that this is a rare occasion where Jimmy is off a bit because the vast majority of the time NBA teams make a good decision with the #1 pick.
It's true that maybe the “best” players aren’t picked every year number 1, but the goal is not to pick the best individual player. The goal is to strengthen the team in the hope of winning a championship. That said, if you have a need on a team and you pick an eventual All-Star with the first pick, you more than accomplished the goal. In fact, in most cases, the team is probably better off.
12 of 40 (30%) were circled as the “best” in their draft year since 1980.
However, you certainly didn’t make a bad choice if the player you choose #1 is eventually inducted in the HoF or become an NBA All-Star.
Add Hall of Fame players: 17 of 40 (42.5%)
- Worthy(82), Sampson(83), Olajuwon(84), Ewing(85) Iverson(96)
Add All-Stars: 31 of 40 (77.5%)
- Carroll(80), Aguirre(81), Daugherty(86), Manning(88), Coleman(90), L.Johnson(91), G.Robinson(94), Brand(99), Martin(00), Bogut(05), Rose(08), Griffin(09), Wall(10), Irving(11)
Subtract Players who were plagued by unforeseen early-career injuries: 31 of 38 (81.6%)
- Ellison(89), Oden(07)
So, I would say that around 81.6% of the time the 1st round pick is a solid pick with the data they have, which is pretty damn good!
Okay, now look who is left over:
- Joe Smith(95) Played for 21 years in the league!
- Andrea Bargbabni(06) played 10 seasons, 14.4ppg / 4.6 rpg (~20ppg when starting)
- Andrew Wiggins(14) active 7 seasons, ~20ppg / 4.4rpg
- Ayton(18) - Certainly potential, All-Rookie Team, Not a bust
Major Busts 4/40 (10%):
- Olowokandi(98), K.Brown(01), Bennett(13), Fultz(17)
So, I would flip this conclusion and say that it’s pretty incredible that there is only a bust selected once a decade. And that “the best” is a debatable label, but the vast majority of the time the 1st player picked in the draft is a good, solid pick.