UK economy: is there worse to come?
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 พ.ค. 2024
- The British pound has tanked, markets are in crisis and economists worldwide are panicking. What’s happening to the British economy?
00:00 - Britain’s economy is in crisis
00:58 - What happened?
01:31 - What does this mean?
01:51 - How do they fix it?
To read more about Britain's economic crisis: econ.st/3Rh3o7m
For our most recent coverage on Britain’s economy: econ.st/3UMZCFG
Sign up to The Economist’s daily newsletter: econ.st/3QAawvI
Economists now accept exchange-rate intervention can work: econ.st/3ftcaSC
Financial markets are in chaos. What next for the real economy?: econ.st/3SGSxVh
Financial markets enter a dangerous new phase: econ.st/3BUHMb9
The pound is plumbing near-historical depths. Why?: econ.st/3E1UK9E
A weaker pound does not spell disaster for Britain: econ.st/3SJ2yS0
Meet Britain’s chancellor of the exchequer. He’s rather odd: econ.st/3BX0ejx
Why the dollar is so strong: econ.st/3LUg2I9
Some economists have projected that both the U.S. and parts of Europe could slip into a recession for a portion of 2023. A global recession, defined as a contraction in annual global per capita income, is more rare because China and emerging markets often grow faster than more developed economies. Essentially the world economy is considered to be in recession if economic growth falls behind population growth.
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For 2023, it’s hard to nail down specific predictions for the stock market is because it’s not yet clear how quickly or how much the Federal Reserve can bring down inflation and borrowing costs without tanking buyer demand for everything from homes to cars.
yes, transportation, e-commerce among other sectors are expected to experience growth, but who knows, the market has been a basket of surprises.
I got into a bit of dilemma myself due to this chaotic market, wasn't sure if to sell or just wait a little longer, 75% of my portfolio was tanking and in the red, but I began gaining clarity and have more confidence in my investment through an lnvestment adviser, I know most DlY - lnvestor like me would say advisors aren't essential, but come to think of it, they're better trained and equipped at this and if I have to give just a little amounting fees for me to be able to net $650K in less than 8months like I did this year, I truly don't mind.
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Increased losses for portfolios this quarter are predicted by market drops, skyrocketing inflation, a major interest rate hike by the Fed, and rising treasury rates. How can I profit from the volatile market right now? I'm still considering whether to sell my million dollar bond and stock account.
Concentrate on two main goals. To start protecting yourself, learn when to sell stocks to reduce losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to profit when the market recovers. I suggest having a conversation with a broker or financial advisor.
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The world is slowly learning again that competence actually does matter.
No let's do diversity...
@@stinger4712 are you talking about The current PM of England, who is white and the leader of the conservative party there?
@@pkal244 oh no we are talking about chancellor who came up with such disastrous policy
Kamikwasi
@@memnem3787 right, a member of the same party. You think they have diversity hires?
Either way the fact is Truss is increasing government borrowing to lower taxes during a time of economic downturn which was warned about repeatedly, but they went ahead and did it anyway. This Is the result, thanks to ineptitude.
Jai Hinduja. Fascist Brits will still prefer to live in Little Breton than in New India island.
Maybe the UK 🇬🇧 economy should focus more on the country and people themselves, rather than pushing an unpayable envelope somewhere else.
With the backwardness of our economy, increment in the price of gas, alarming rates of unemployment. I must confess our country have taken a wrong turn. Vividly I don't know how else to carter for my expenses.
Limits to risk are being revealed. Energy costs in Britain are killing them. Until that is addressed, the UK government has very few options on stimulating their economy, and this recent episode of a bond/currency crises has made that abundently clear.
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Any advice?
I don't want to send money to the government soon on tax return because I want make sure this war has finished and none is going to help it. I don't want help war weapons, only the red cross.
So I'll do the self assessment, but pay only after this war has finished or shall I not even do it now?
I want to leave it ready on the files so no headaches doing it after the war. But what will be worse? postponing payment or self assessment or both in term of fines and interest rates?
Thanks in advance
Anyone?.
For past several years , Britain is doing back to back economic mistakes.
Tories have turned to left , while labour moved right
What a reversal
Jai Hinduja. Truss should start selling off the looted gold from Russia, Venezuela, Libya, Afghanistan, the rest of 6 Ummahs etc. to pay back the elites who put her in power.
trust the MSM to make out a tax cut as a bad thing.....
Most of the world is seeing the same kind of issues, each nation and currency is just slipping at different times. The Euro was falling "at a dangerous rate" against the dollar not long ago
@@ricardosmythe2548 Western economies, yes, but you should pay attention to the change in exchange rate between the dollar and the other western currencies.
Inflation hits people a lot harder than a crashing stock or housing market as it directly affects people's cost of living that people immediately feel the impact of. It's not surprising negative market sentiment is so high now. We really need help to survive in this Economy.
You have to get a financial-advisor/broker to aid you diversify your portfolios to include commodities, inflation-indexed bonds and stocks of companies with solid cash flows, as opposed to growth stocks where valuations were based on future potential earnings..
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That no problem Nigel Farage is you boy look to him for answers.
This is what happens when you choose the wrong person to fix your problems and totally ignore the right person’s warning
and _who_ is this right person you speak of?
" Rishi Sunak, now drenched in that intoxicating cologne, Vindication". Andrew Marr NS
Reminds you of the dunces bleating "project fear" when anyone with half a brain warned that brex$hit can only be a catastrophe.
@@nealbeard1 you forget all tories are mentally ill and emotionall malformed.
If only most of the country got to choose!
Well with the economy and stocks at where it is now, I'd be disappointed if people weren't making any error on their portfolio at this time, it was much easier to navigate during the bullrun, regardless I still see and read articles of people pulling over $225k by the weeks in trades, how come?
Everything relies on how long you're willing to hold for and your systems, stocks could probably tank further, yet making serious additions in this downtrend ought not be an issue in the event that you're a genius
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This what the UK government meant when they said they wanted more control over their legislation by leaving the EU.
Well not really? Been writing our own tax policy long before brexit? What have they decided that would have been done by Brussels previously?
UK in the hands of disaster capitalists and rich out of touch (dony give a monkey) buddies ....funnily enough the EU was going to clamp down on this kind of behavior , then we left for sunny uplands 🤪🤪yep brexit means we are free to chop our legs off and anyone else who is watching 🙄
Rob to the poor to give back tax cuts to the rich. I am sure many numpties, gammons and other sub-especies still don't get that eventually basic public services like the NHS will be undercut and further under-funded. They can't connect the dots.
Everyday African countries have a brush with IMF coz of their economic policies. Welcome to the club UK.
Britain needed a 3.9 billion loan in 1976 from the IMF. So what do you mean?
@@FUJISAN2012 but with African countries its an everyday thing. What is you point mate?
@@FUJISAN2012 I mean they'll be questioned and controlled like toddlers.
The west still continues to undermine African economies and ensures African countries don't industrialize in order to maintain Monopoly over African resources.
Interesting question!
A weak pounds can signal an economic downturn, making me to ponder on what are the best possible ways to hedge against inflation, and I've overheard people say inflation is a money-eater thus worried about my savings around $200k
The stock market is a way to hedge against inflation. Most notably amidst recession, investors need to understand where and how to allocate funds to hedge against inflation and still make profits.
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Liz and KK published their Budget intentions 10 Years ago in Unchained Britannia!!!
Putting them in charge of the Economy is like appointing a Flat Earther as Head of the Geography Department or a Homeopathy Guru as Health Secretary.
Well said.
Hey hey
But don't you like diverse liz truss cabinet?
judging by the whole scamdeimc i doubt we've ever have a compentant doctor in charge as it is.
@@memnem3787 they Are A Dis Grace, and also somewhat “cheesy”.
I’d quite like to see LT reduced to her diverse parts.
Wait so they had been talking about this plan for 10 years? And they decide to implement it during a peak economic risk period? That is incredible.... Is there no structure to review the budget before it is made public or proposed?
I want to start investng. Is it safe to start now, or should wait until the end of this possible correction/bear market, despite the economic crisis facing the world, is this the right time to invest in stock, Gold/crypt0?
Don't wait until the market skyrocket again then you will start biting your fingers wishing you made the decision to invest.
You can start today regardless of the market, invest and change your future! Investing in the financial market is a grand choice I made.
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@@richardbalint2582 Are you trading on your own?
What strategy do you use please?
You'd be a fool to not place a hedge in BTC.
Sure tutorial videos help out, frankly speaking my outcomes have become constant following laid down patterns, this way I earn while affording the luxury of TIME, all in all I'm thankful for trade pros
BTC is heading to the Moon)
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🚀🚀🚀
I own some LUNC and ETH
To use the expression ‘swivel-eyed loon’ about these people is an insult to all water birds.
The markets are shocked that the UK will soon have a Labour government. There is no way the Tories will remain in power more than another 12 months (tops), and then it will be Labour's turn.
Do you truly believe this
Ahh the illusion of choice
Labour will do marginally better. Starmer is a Brexit supporter, a brexiteer in disguise and he is afraid of the brexiteers in his own party, but Brexit is not the way forward.
BoJo was bad ruling this country, but Liz Truss will be even worse: the Queen died, the pound plummeted, there is soaring double-digits inflationary pressures which is undercutting purchasing power for all, more income inequality meaning the rich will be wealthier and middle income will fall to borderline poverty due to the tax cuts for high income earners.
They're all equally as bad. All puppets for the WEF and media
Labour turn to trash things up when there in what's new
So this is what "take back control" looks like. Politics should be boring, yet there have been political dramas that outdone the last for the past 12 years.
Remember, UK never fully recover from the last recession in 2008, yet UK (specifically) are heading to the next one.
Most european countries haven't recovered from their recession. Economists only see the macroeconomics, but not what the actual economic power of each household is.
Aye
Yes! The worst is yet to come if you’ve a Least Trust as a PM 😅
Had a vivid dream about 3 months back I seen army trucks handing food out on streets to those who had vouchers, those without was turned away, people was turning up from other neighbourhoods trying to get food, after what's just taken place I can see this dream becoming a reality fairly soon
wonderfull use of the queens english , no need to wonder why blightys is faked
I had the same nightmare.
Some came all the way from Calais
@@alanjohnson2528 Alan how's this for the kings language, (fukc off cnt)
Buckle up my brothers and sisters!
eggiwegs bahahahahahha the old in out in out again my droogie
Truss has only exercised power for a week or so (if you subtract the 10 days of national mourning). During this time the Queen has passed away; the pound is the weakest it's ever been against the US$; house prices are crashing, and the IMF has issued a warning to the UK! It looks like the old Chinese curse has materialised - "may you live in interesting times!"
Intresting times -
@@elizabethwinsor5140 Interesting....not Intresting.
Intress..ting
The problem with the UK economy, is that it is a Rentier economy, not a Capitalist economy.
Asset inflation is the only real wealth creation we have...
Agreed. I also think a recession and rising rates was going to cause a fall in housing prices, regardless of the Budget.
In fact the removal of stamp duty and other taxes is completely supportive of house prices, so seems strange to blame the government for the inevitable fall in house prices.
@@Dedicated_.1 Everything goes in cycles. The irony is whilst house prices may fall, the cost of borrowing will increase faster .
If it costs more each month to borrow less, you still lose.
It appears that bond yields were rising before the mini budget so how this was not seen as a real risk at the time of announcing tax cuts and more borrowing to make up for not having an energy security policy is beyond me. Maybe they want to be rescued by the IMF!
But cutting taxes helped investors them to sell the government bonds, so they could get out early, but see how the money is controlling the government
IMF demanded a back-track today apparently
It looks to me like there is no structure to review, audit and inspect the proposal before actually committing to it so I guess they would have no idea what the markets are doing anyway, they just had a plan and went for it regardless of the economic conditions. I don't think I have ever heard of anything like this in a first world country before.
China prints America dollars and India rupees .......
i simply dont understand how people were able to vote for her over rishi. in comparison rishi sunak was way more competent and experienced and despite some negativities he handled the covid situation very well, especially given his incompetent team...but british focus on his skin colour and his wifes wealth aand his personal life over how well he does his job...
fully agreed indeed.
Jeremy Corbyn was better then whole conservative party
They all don't care in the end as long as they're all benefitted.
Really? Him and Boris blew £500+ billion in less than 2 years. He gave out £16.5 billion of taxpayers money in ‘covid loans’ to ‘Brits’ who took the money and then returned to India and Pakistan.....so he just wrote them off as he knew they would never be repaid. He helped to throw £39 billion to fund a ‘track and trace’ system.....that never worked, and you think he did a great job? His own billionaire wife didn’t pay any UK income tax, takes millions in profits from Russia and he kept his US green card going so he could return to his mansion in LA (which he now has!). And us Brits didn’t like him because of his colour! C’mon man!! Saying all that, he’s still better than Joe Biden 🤦♂️😂
She wasn't voted in by the Brits. She was chosen by the Tories themselves. It was a process internal to the Tory party.
Every countries adopted privatisations of national wealth and national services are facing very tough economy time. Because of greediness of private sector
Hopefully we won't make the same mistakes here in Canada where the opposition leader is also a Tory promising to slash taxes
you cant do worse then justin he took a great economy and tanked it
The housing bubble in Vancouver and Toronto inflated by US economic conditions. As US recession heads into depression, thanks also to Asian supervirus mutants, bubble will burst: Prepare your escape plans.
@@Marco-fn6kg Im not sure if you can put this at the feet of Trudeau, like given the last 3 years of crisis, things are not terrible here. I'm not a supporter of his btw, but the UK just proved things can get a LOT worse
so make he don't get in and vote for another party I will.
As long as you keep the dude in opposition it wouldn't happen
Possibly the understatement of the century, but I've just witnessed the most extraordinary if not monumental use of superlatives. Astonishing!
My Indian relatives believe that Lizz Truss is an instrument of Karmic justice but are still nice enough not to wish starvation on the British despite what Churchill did in Bengal.
Foolish thought... indian are suffering more worst than English
This will lead no where u will keep crying until Jesus comes
@@malopephasha5341 u wait till India becomes at least a $10 trillion economy, India never forgets.....
@@joexavier4070 India is now the 5th largest economy and Indian currency is doing far much better than other currencies
get your facts straight and talk😂😂
@@spidermantom4367 1 pound 💷= how much indian rupee 😂😂😂
Having a master degree in Finance and working in financial industry this video explanation doesn't make sense unless this is agitation for bigger government.
Yes, I felt the same about this video. NEO talking points, not what is best for the UK.
Why do you need two camera angles on such a routine journalists monologue?
An excellent question. Now I can't see past it.
Is her name really Keynes !!?? That's instant cred for an economist !!
not as much as if her name were Friedmann
I actually looked it up she's the great grand niece of John
Hmm this must be "The Economist" they keep talking about
@@mellowmike6263 I guessed so
@@yannicklewy7281 Friedman is a snake oil salesmand and not an economist. The only valuable contribution he made was the helicopter money concept. Apart from that his economic theory is complete bunk.
Socraes was right. You don't vote someone as the captain of the ship in a storm.
investors are withdrawing money in fear of loosing even more...
Don't lie, investment is going up now, the pound is rising and is higher than it was before the budget and the economy is actually growing when most economists said we would be going into recession 😆
@@bigkuriboh3814 There are 65 billion reasons why. Stop being niaive. The BoE saved the entire UK economy including the pensions market that almost collapsed. Prove me wrong
When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. John Maynard Keynes 1936
Anything that helps any people will be financially punished.
Would have been better off with Rishi. Tories chose wrong again 🤯
I am sure the Tory party members, just as their MPs who had voted for Rishi in majority, knew exactly what was going to happen but they wanted Liz Truss to be the PM anyway, for obvious reasons. As Omid Djalili said in one of his standups about the British character that led to Brexit happening: "we made our decision. We are going to keep moving forward" even if it means it's fatal.
Would have been better with Jeremy Corbyn
They don't care. They're all in it together.
You could be right. But that is just focusing on a tiny detail, when we should step back and question if it is the right party. And step back again and question if a 2 party system is the right voting system. And step back again and question if having self interested political parties do what they want, is a sound idea. Don't step back at all, and you are supporting the current mayhem, and have to live with whatever mess they inevitably make.
As far as I remember, Sunak warned against Trickle down economics. Tories truly love Margaret and her legacy.
How do you implement QE (quantitative easing) and in the same breath raise interest rates? Who exactly is advising "Great Britain".
QE is a sham because most people don't realise banks do not loan out reserves... So adding to their reserves wont do anything to borrowing.
Oh my goodness! Her gestures are even more drowning than British economy .
You don't need an Economist to find out there is worse to come. Wake up people
Really enjoying this. Almost too much 🥰
I don't understand how we can have a chancellor without a qualification in economics....
He has a PhD in economic history
@@catmonarchist8920 exactly economic history not how it works or current economics. That to me is worrying. I wouldn't see a doctor who had only trained in the history of medicine. Just my own personal opinion.
@@catmonarchist8920 Or a pilot with a PhD in aviation history
@@PM-vd2fs not the same thing, you are basically telling us you know nothing about higher learning or how governments are run. Check the qualifications of the Health Minister and tell me if you would see her for a heart surgery? We know what your issue with the Chancellor is, just say it.
@@PM-vd2fs that’s not how it works bud
off to the job center in the morning, looking forward to being pressured into taking a zero hour contract job that I have to travel 40+ minutes on the bus to get to.
I would say TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE RECISSION! Recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle; all you can do is prepare for them and plan accordingly. I graduated into a slump (2009). My first job after graduating from college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today, I work as a VP for a global corporation, own three rental properties, invest in stocks and businesses, run my own company, and have increased my net worth by $500k in the last four years.
Great content. Never understood the need for a second canera perspective.
It makes it even more “sensational”
''Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex,
and more violent. It takes a touch of genius - and a lot of
courage to move in the opposite direction.'' - E.F. Schumacher
So, there we have it...Is LT a madwoman or a genius? *You decide* .
I think neither. She just isn't that smart imo
Thank you !
great analysis.
So by the time you had actually posted this the Pound had recovered to the point it had its most successful week since 2020. We have to accept that all currencies are currently in very choppy waters. The government made mistakes in their delivery of information but otherwise I think this will prove to be a positive turning point for our economy. We could trundle along for the next 5 years with unmanageable debt or we could take radical action in an effort to reduce inflation and bring that debt under control.
Britain should works massively in its infrastructure!
Rebuild anything that its age more 100 years, it needs to renew its skin.
This act will strengthen the economy & the value of the British pound.
Also needs to do more explorations for new sources of energy around the world specially ( Commonwealth countries)
What was the actual answer to the title?
🤔 The orchestra started to play the valse "the waves of the Danube"...
This is incredibly well produced 👏🏼
LOVE IT😍😎
Jai Hinduja. Taking a leaf from his ill-fated predecessor, Charles lll should make use of this crisis to re-assert his Divine Rights to Rule
Why do they call it the mini-budget if it has unfunded liabilities while the price of debt increases?
bc they are cutting tax, I think.
Thanks for the video but I still do not understand the fundamental reason of the crisis. Is it political? is it because of brexit? is it a productivity issue?
So nothing to do with the Bank of England not following the Federal Reverse interest rate rises despite higher inflation in the UK then?
The UK has put up with Brexit, the Pandemic, Ukraine...and now a looming dark fiscal hole.
They want someone to lead... and Ms.Truss is nowhere to be seen?
Of course there's going to be a maddening cry for leadership,
a pathway out and even to the possibility of future prosperity.
The issue is... this isn't a UK only problem. The problem is a lot larger than just the UK.
Europe is being weakened, splintered and divided. The question is... by chance or design?
PLAN demic
It's all for the great reset
Turns out that "Indian looking" guy was in fact right all along, but UK couldn't bear to listen to "wise Indian looking" guy due to "certain" reasons.
Who is laughing now?😬
yes BoE needs to follow the Fed and raise rates to stem inflation, and stabilse guilts, why the alarm?
What about cancelling Foreign Aid charity begins at home but not in the UK
There is no benefit to tax cuts at a time of such global crisis. The UK gov keeps insisting on austerity and they are going to get increased instability that will probably turn violent.
I hope so. People should not take this anymore.
@@mdaniels6311 It’s crazy. They can only keep doing this so many times and now is not the time. They have an 80’s mentality.
If they haven't found efficiency savings in 12 years of government, I doubt they'll find many more now
Necessity is the mother of invention.
Surprised nobody is talking about how the federal reserve raising rates is rattling currency markets.
Yes
Falling house prices is always a positive outcome.
It would be if everything else wasn't getting so expensive :(
Only really for cash buyers. High interest rates can mean you pay back just as much over the overall term of the mortgage. Also banks are less likely to lend money and they’ve pulled 40% of their mortgages of the market because the interest rate is likely to keep rising.
@@GreaseMonkeyFix Agreed. It's worrying the level of ignorance among people that really don't think things though.
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Same here, My portfolio has been going down the drain while I try trading.l just don't know what I do wrong
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SERIOUSLY, is this not EXACTLY what she said she would do, and what people VOTED for?
Like her predecessor who promised to get breakfast done.
It’s in this mess because we spent £400bn on a pandemic whose existence was tenuous at best, closed economic output for months on end when the economically active were least at risk and allowed Johnson, Sunak and Hancock to have access to seemingly unlimited “emergency” funds with no effective oversight from parliament. Nobody batted an eyelid at that. Now we have a few billion on a tax cut for those earning over £150k and it’s end of days!
The UK economy is doing burnout.
WOW😍
Why is the voice not in sinc with the video?
If we bailed out the banksters why cant the banksters bail out the people.
because their money is the people's money
@@evryatis9231 Very perceptive.
Very few banks were actually bailed out. The UK's biggest bank HSBC wasn't and the CEO wasn't in favour of bailouts either.
that What Happened segment shouldve been longer. anyways the first time I heard the tax cuts I thought to myself tax cut? when theyre heading to recession? lol youd think the government would need more funds.. you dont even have to be an expert to realize this was a bad idea.
Keynes? Any relation?
Yes
so funny.... the British government only a few weeks old is responsible for tanking GBP... of course not the banksters 👏
They are the same ppl. Who do you think funds the Tory party?
Both are the same
"This went down extremely badly" **has an insane smile on her face**
What is up with people like this and people in MSM who have psychopathic smiles on their faces whenever they're talking about something that's meant to be horrible???
"Dupers delight"
It is very unfortunate.
Terrible camerawork.
Every financial goal requires patience, dedication and consistent spirit knowing that investment is currently the most lucrative business in the world, both NFT, real estate and Crypto shares are really positively changing people's lives.
I'm thinking of investing in the crypto market but taking my time to figure out how the whole thing works.
Investing in crypto is very volatile and risky which is why most successful investors trade with professional brokers
The real risk in the Crypto market is the risk of not investing, not the risk of short term price volatility.
I have been investing in crypto but have had a bumpy ride. How can I reach your broker? I will appreciate any tip or pointers
I once tried trading myself but made more losses than profits. I wouldn't suggest it to anyone
Interest system should be flexible, non profit organisation need to be receive-able.
A more comprehensive explanation is needed
Another strange, wishy-washy style summary of what’s really going on. Real questions ought to be: Cutting taxes for the super rich when there is a 20% real inflation? How does that help? And why raise IR only now when inflation has been on the rise since QE has been implemented.
Does she know anything about basic economics or is she just there to help the super rich?
Also, the “aggressive” IR raise mentioned would need to be at least 20% to have any impact, just like it was pre-Thatcher. .75 basis points is not going nowhere near stopping inflation.
Also: “Britain is not the only one by any means.” Really? Is that what will comfort the general population? The Swiss however, seem to be doing pretty well-and why? They are not over leveraged like the UK is!
She was elected by a clique of few hundred thousand tory party members.
Of course she's just there to help the super rich.
Did you even watch the video? They explicitly cited tax cuts as being inflationary and rate hikes as being recessionary.
Tax cuts for the 'super wealthy' has little to no impact on inflation. The majority of consumer spending comes via the middle and lower class, to this degree a 20% to 19% income tax change will have a greater impact on inflation than dropping the rate from 45% to 40% for additional rate taxpayers. To your second point about a 20% IR rise, this kills off demand for goods and services, the expectation is that demand is going to fall off anyway for the UK consumer whilst prices are already expected to fall into next year, so increasing the interest rate too heavily could cause more damage than it needs to. This inflation isn't wholly demand driven so throwing the kitchen sink at killing off demand is a dangerous game and could over-do it, it has been caused by supply chain disruptions primarily, with a degree of pent up demand and increase to the amount of savings the average consumer has because of the pandemic (this is demand side but less weighting than supply chain problems). The UK has the 2nd best Balance Sheet of the G7 nations so is in a reasonable position to borrow money comparatively to other nations. There is terrible sentiment already in the UK about the coming winter so lower demand for products is already largely built in. If inflation self-corrects next year because supply chains sort themselves out naturally and expectations of global recession (supply up demand down) then all these dramatic rate hikes will have been more detrimental than helpful. You can already see this in oil prices and other commodities. This is why the inflation was originally expected to be 'transitory' which it could be, just that it lasts a little while longer than expected. Also to your last comment 'is that what will comfort the general population?'. What is the goal of the government/BOE here? To properly address the issues at hand or make the average person who understands nothing about economics feel better?
It's easy to raise your pitch forks about the problems that are going on rather than engage your mind and look at the actual data. This wasn't intended to be a personal attack on your comment just seemed an apt place to explain.
@@northyrs7240 so many words, but so little sense
@@northyrs7240 If tax cuts for the super wealthy have no impact, why even consider putting them into effect? And why promote it as some big achievement on behalf of the government? That was my point. Maybe it was not clear. To your comment regarding killing off demand: Demand is already low and is being kept alive artificially through subsidies such as QE (which is, essentially a tax on the population) and negative interest rates. Inflation will not subside and inflation is what is stifling demand in the first place, the higher the prices, the less purchasing power there is. to that comes to devaluation of the currency, also stifling demand.
To your point about the UK's balance sheet: It's useless to pat ourselves on the back about how great the balance sheet is amongst nations of the G7, when most nations are even worse shape and bankrupt. It also contradicts the current socio-economic situation with the so-called "cost of living crisis" and the fact that distribution of wealth indicators have moved miles apart, the gap between rich and poor growing year by year further (and now the tax cuts). Furthermore, the UK’s net capital stock was estimated at £4.5 trillion in the 2020 government report, increasing by 0.6% compared with 2019 in chained-volume measures, which is significantly below the average increase of 1.5% between 2010 and 2020 and was the lowest growth rate since 2015, when annual growth was 0.3%--Scarcely the indicators of a fantastically healthy balance sheet.
Moreover, the "inflation-is- self-correcting" argument is something that has been used since 2009, when the first QE policies have been enacted and were meant as a temporary "emergency measures", an emergency that has lasted for well over a decade now ...has it self-corrected? No. Also: how is it meant to "self correct"? There is only one body able to regulate inflation and that's the national bank, the BoE. Are they really doing anything to rein in inflation? No. It's getting worse, as more money is being printed. Inflation is a tax that is paid by the poor and welcomed by the rich or as Friedman put it: "Taxation without legislation." or as Hemingway put it: "The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists." With war and inflation both in full motion, one cannot help but come to the conclusion that the truth has been laid bare.
To your point about the government's role: Yes, they have full responsibility towards the general population when it comes to monetary policy, including those who understand nothing about economics. So yes, if you have no understanding of basic economics, you think the responsibility lies in the hand of the economy or the people...or the tooth fairy, for that matter, sure. Government and party policies are sacred, everyone who questions them is uneducated and knows nothing about economics--a statement that authoritarian regimes have used and continue using today.
As to your last point about raising pitch forks: I look at the actual data every day and the reality on the ground. Maybe you should do the same and take your head out of the sand for starters, instead of writing demeaning and patronising comments.
Real inflation figures are almost never given by the government, especially because they continuously change the composition of the CPI, to suit their statistics. So it's the CPLIE, not the CPI. When a year and a half ago energy and petrol spending was roughly 150,- quid a month and now it it's more than double that, yes I will raise my pitch fork-- and so should you unless you still think that inflation is somehow accidentally bestowed on the British people because of Putin's war and the cost of living crisis!
This was not mean to be a personal attack, either, just an apt place to explain further.
It's a recession should have been in 2018/2019 here it comes
Recession is no more than 2 consecutive quarters fall in GDP. A 0.1% reduction is hardly noticeable, but still a recession.
It will be interesting.
There is noise that this could be a corruption issue with currency traders making huge profit. The question is who in the traders are linked to the govt
if truss then YES
If Truss is a weak PM, how on Earth could it have happened that she was elected? How could this be possible?
Well the Tories did elect a corrupt pathological liar in Johnson so anything is possible.
She wasn’t - it was an internal Conservative leadership election
She wasn't elected by the British people. She was elected by a few hundred thousand tory party members who were presumably looking after their interests and those of their investments. There won't be political elections in Britain for another year and a half.
Well, you would have thought the elites could have made a more well-informed decision as to who is more capable amongst them, than joe public.
@@Nomadar Doesn't feel like a Democracy, if a country's leader is not elected by the people of the country 🤔
Why are the world leaders and governments making gross and unusual mistakes simultaneously ?
They are not. Just trying to keep the rich richer and the powerful even more powerful. Let the sheep 🐑 suffer the consequences.
They are preparing the way for a one world leader, one where you will not be able to buy or sell without taking his mark on your wrist or forehead.
He's written about in the book of Revelation. Whatever you do, do NOT take this mark.
Economics 101. Market dynamics
Cutting tax increases to corporations is just kowtowing to big money; their profits can shrink to let citizens breath. Cheers from the Pacific West Coast of Canada.
Billionaires need help too, you know.😂
I do need help... I'm a millionaire. I see this and I'm happy I'm not poor.
Poor ppl are so selfish!
Exactly. Upkeep costs for yachts and vacation villas have skyrocketed!
Another nail in the coffin for the modern economic system…
Because it is post industrial
Greatness is leaving Britain
Jai Hinduja. Even Queenie has had enough of the old anti-monarchist Truss.
Because UK government supports Ukraine at all cost more than its own citizens. And Putin also think Russia must win at all cost.
Ah.. bacot lu sok sok ikut campur urusan negara orang 😅
Nope. Because Tories slashed taxes. Try to keep up.
What is the point
Next time let Mss Keynes make a reports in her pyjamas
It's almost as if we never had 2 years of lockdowns and money printing. As though the problem began with KK's budget.
Indeed. 37 billion on Test & Trace = nobody cares. 2 billion tax cut = sky is falling.
@@system11yt
I dunno where you're getting your numbers, for the test and trace, while 37 billion was budgeted, only 13.7 billion was spent. In contrast, the tax cut is expected to have a 5 year cost of 45 billion, in addition to many more billions in lost revenue from the cancelled corporate income taxes.
So really, of course 13 Billion in spending has a negligible effect on the economy as opposed to the lost productivity of allowing billions to sit in the accounts of the rich. The Marginal Propensity to spend is much lower with the rich than even the middle class, so allowing them to retain obscene wealth is damaging to an economy.
@@anivicuno9473 The cost of the Energy assistance package will cost 3 times that of the tax cuts, probably more.
Who doesn't like tax cuts ? The timing was misjudged, but I will benefit from them, so not all bad.
This economist girl must be the children of JM Keyness
Not quite. He was her great-great-uncle
Ft needs to talk about Ecosia they are a search engine that plants trees
What could have caused the Pounds to fall? Tax break can not cause collapse of the economy. Hiking the interest rate is meant for temporary adjustments to the economy. I am sure the United Kingdom, British economy will remain strong.
We’re in trouble because of the TORIES we need a general election now !!
We are living through a perfect tragedy
We were in Trouble before the Tories. Blair and Brown Finished this country.
@@bigsuey That was 12 years ago...
@@blackaddam9033 He's right in a way - it's where the initial mistakes were made which are proving impossible to undo.
@@system11yt Where does it end? Can the Tories claim the problems in the budget are Attlee's fault because he brought in the NHS?