Betting Strategy That Works | Make an Income Betting on Sports
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 มิ.ย. 2024
- Advantage software - bit.ly/3r55vkb
Want to make an income with sports betting? Watch my betting strategy that actually works every time. In this video, I'm going to talk about what makes the #1 betting strategy based on facts, maths and probability. Making money with on sport isn't easy but the basic maths is really simple.
Watch this video till the end to know how to win at sports betting every time.
#BettingStrategy #SportsBetting
How to make money with matched betting: • How to Make Money with...
For more sports betting tips, subscribe to Caan Berry Pro Trader: / caanberry
------------------------------------------
Follow me on
Website ‣ caanberry.com
Facebook ‣ / caanberrytrader
Twitter ‣ / caanberrytrader
Instagram ‣ / caan_berry
------------------------------------------
"Sappheiros - Dawn" is under a Creative Commons license (CC BY 3.0)
Music promoted by BreakingCopyright: bit.ly/2OBe00v
This is a betting guide from Caan Berry demonstrating what makes a successful betting strategy.
Want to get more specific? Check out this football strategy upload here: th-cam.com/video/1NYOEfSw-DE/w-d-xo.html
h
Yh das gud nk
Where can I find a reliable trusted Betting site to bet on UFC and DotA 2 that has either no limit max bets or at least 100K AND No maximum winnings and no maximum deposit ... I correctly predicted Ronda rousey streak and losses to holly holm and amanda nunes
Is fixed games really exists?
There are a few factors in sports picks. One plan I found that successfully combines these is the Simple Sports Goldmine (check it out on google) definately the most incredible system that I have ever heard of.Check out the interesting information .
There's only one strategy....bet against arsenal and man utd 😄😅
Not funny 😂😂😂
United are unbeaten in 12 games 👍🏻 I’d say your fairly successful
United lost my bet, 140->620 zl (around 35->155 Euro), I should have believed ;(
LOL
Today Arsenal lost me 50000$ man
I recently lost my job due to covid, so I decided to start a youtube channel. Wish me Luck
Good luck!
why aren't you betting
lie
@M W i need quick cash man, what shall i bet on?
Good luck mate.
Respect bro! We love doing small 2 team parlays
Hi Caan,
Great work. Subscribed your channel and started following.
Thanks, Sven. Take some time to check out all the vids!
When you thoroughly understand "value betting" combined with the "law of large numbers" then all you need is patience and discipline and the rest is history.
Truth :)
Theory doesn't work in practice.
Thanks bro needed to hear this!💯
@@Dre-Rich jb,,, j,
@@fisherman8602 I suggest watching his videos again pal
Really love your concepts man. Nice work
Keep the good work!
I understood the concept of expected value being greater than the implied probability from the odds, in order to make an expected profit. But this still doesn't change the fact that the probability that a bet with 4 odds has approximately 25% of winning, which is quite low
Awesome stuff mate, kudos!!
Cheers, good to see it was helpful.
when he said please after the subscribe suggestion ontop of the money strats in this channel i just couldnt refuse the sub button
Manners cost nothing, right? No matter who you are...
Nice info. I will probably be on ur website in no time.
This is why we all need to be using an exchange! In football the odds lose their efficiency after kick off, some prices will be terrible value while others will be amazing. It is your job to exploit these inefficiencies by using pre match and in play information. Form a plan of action and stick to it, stake no more than 3% of your bank on any one trade and use this 3% wisely. In other words the 3% is your maximum risk so stake according to risk.
Bang on the money there, Robbie.
I like this
I'm still confused. Can someone explain this to me like I'm 5 and preferably using football
It's all common sense really, but very well put together and easy to understand. Cheers again Caan
You're entirely right. Many people don't even think about it though. The inclination is to just automatically believe the mainstream media and have a punt picking the winner. Thanks.
good simple walkthrough of how odds are compiled and how to find value bets.
Thanks, that's what we intended! Cheers, glat it helped.
Awesome stuff Cann!
Thank you! Cheers!
Thanks for sharing. I've had a few losses this year and when I think back I was betting on my opinion on how I perceive the event (I.e the player/team) rather than the odds value. It's made me re evaluate how I look at match betting now. Hopefully will help me raise profit + ROI.
Did it help?
Its 50/50 with those odds and its 50/50 with going with your own believe. I say that because when I go with the odds, I win probably 50 percent of the time and when I go against the odds I win about 50 percent of the time. Even if you win 9 out of 10 bets, it all seems to even out. I guess the best strategy is to win a little, chill, then start again
Bro… why 😂😭..
“I’ve had a few losses this year”…
This video just explained to us, in detail, that It’s a rough 50/50 win:loss ratio for everyone. Then you pop up “oh I’ve lost a few times this whole year thanks for the advice” on some obvious bullshit! Wtf? 😂 that is quite impressive I guess?
What are you event looking for lol?
WOW BRO ONLY A FEW LOSSES?! You’RE A KING! COOLEST DUDE ALIVE! HES SO AWESOME THAT HE ONLY LOST A FEW BETS ALL YEAR’!!!
Loser...
force
I like the contest section on a particular site. Always loved squares. It's just a big game of chance. Also getting to bet on the ufc is pretty fun. I just bet very little with low probability. I bet a ko or tko in the last fight that was +1000 and won. Only bet $15 so it was $150. I just didn't believe the hype of O'Malley.
O MALLEY WON ME MONEY TOO
Great video mate 👍
Great video!
Thanks.
It is all about value and it amazes me that people bet more the shorter the odds are rather than the more value they get. I had £900 on a 100-1 horse before because it was huge value but I rarely ever bet that big on 2-1 shots.
Shorter odds are typically closer to true-odds in nature, but larger odds are usually the ones with a false price for whatever reason.
@@CaanBerryProTrader possibly on the surface the big priced events have little chance on the surface but with some more digging they have a much better chance
But if the price is bigger then the horse is less likely to win,so you are putting your betting bank more at risk.
Well explained .. thanks
You are welcome
Great video - cheers
Great tips
Ur great sir. Thank you.
No problem! Thanks for taking time to watch, hope you hit the like up.
The most profitable strategy is to find out what lines I'm taking in a market and bet in the opposite direction, lol.
can u explain it more ?
@@7lool125 hello are you interested for free picks?
haha, although that wouldn't be profitable after you factors in commission
@@CaanBerryProTrader Surely that would depend on how bad my profitability is.
FYI I'm being very tongue in cheek with my comment as I am a profitable layer/trader. I specialize in greyhounds but can dabble in most sport for profit.
Just needed to add bit on using the kelly criterion for bet size on your last thoughts about raising bet size.
Stake sizes should reflect opporutnity.
You speak such sense PROBABILITIES are what Our focus should be on.
My selection has a 0.0001% chance of winning. I’ll become a millionaire one day. Hmmm 🤔 that day may be a lot later than my house repossession, bailiff notice, divorce court order etc.
Bloody expensive that last point!
Simply explained, good work
Why are people so negative regarding your bookie vid.......keep it up.
I have no idea? Maybe they are all bookies, or work for bookies, or have lost a heap of cash and feel the need to drag others down in the process? It's a pretty helpful video for anyone interested in the mechanics of strategy. Have a goodun :)
Yeah works great - I'm staking restricted to 0 with most bookies... xD
Guess, you have lost a lot from gambling. otherwise why wouldnt you control yourself from gambling and hop on to this video. He is not the one who you mentioned in the comment, you are doing it to yourself.
The teams/players/horses do matter, since you need a baseline percentage to workout what a value bet looks like. Ofc it matters a lot less if your just trading positions, since your just looking for changes in the market.
if you're looking to price an entire market, not if you are looking to steal some value.
No project like lzn
Thanks Caan you make it look so easy .
Thanks but this is just an explainer to show you how, doesn't actually show it being done. Just theory :)
Can you contact me? I can make you some money I can help u a lot mate
Hello Caan! Thanks for posting this video! I have a question. If i know the true odds, how do you increase the odds to gain value? Some odds posted are greater or lower than all 3 true odds calculated by me. We must calculate the true odds of all bookies to make comparison with?
Exchanges provide the best guage of true odds for us due to the many voices involved and the liquidty available.
Great video!
The tip with the true odds of the betting exchange was especially eye opening. I’ve got a question related to that, wouldn’t you have to consider commission into these true odds too? As in, the odds of the betting exchanges are the closest to being true odds after subtracting the commission?
Sure, but if you're using a sportsbook at true odds or above there is no commission... or have I misunderstood you?
Caan Berry Pro Trader
I was referring to what you said around 2:35. I was wondering if let’s say the odds for o2.5 goals is 2.0 at betfair, are these even odds already the true odds? If you just want to assess the true odds of a particular event, nothing else?
Or would you further have to subtract the 5% commission to calculate the truest odds in a way, as I presumed traders would factor that in on top of the true odds in order to compensate the loss of the 5%?
To stick with the example of the o2.5 at even odds, if you wager 10 pounds you would receive 19 pounds if successful after commission. Would hence be 1.9 the closest to the true odds of o2.5 goals or already the odds at 2.0?
It was suggested i follow your channel to enlighten myself..so here i am.
Good stuff.
@@CaanBerryProTrader I really need the idiots guide to gambling as I'm not very quick on the uptake..😉
good video, you are right, a succesfull bettors must be well prepared with a good strategy
The best strategy is to bet against your friend bet :))) because they will always loose :))))
I suppose that's fun if you do it that way at least!
firstly thanks for taking the time to share the video. You are right, price dictates everything, if something is bigger than you think it should be, look into backing it. Question, if something is 3-1, it should win 25% of the time, is that 3-1 on the video with bookmaker over-round factored in however? Also it looks like from the video, the majority of your trading is done on Betfair, have you factored in commission payments? Thanks
Glad it was helpful!
Hello Mr Caan Berry. We don't need to speak too much grammar when we can quickly bring out example to buttress our point.
Here are boxing bouts for 31/10/2020; make your picks and let's work out the outcome on 01/11/2020 here. Thanks!!!
1. Lamont Roach 1.08
Neil John Tabanao 9.8.
2. Marlen Esparza 2.41
Sulem Urbina 1.67
3. Bektemir Melikuzier 1.05
Alan Campa 12.0
4. Elwin Soto 1.06
Carlos Buitrago 9.5
5. Jamie Munguia 1.26
Tureano Johnson 4.18.
I used to work out the over round in the betting shops before a race to gauge value. You have to take into account with horses people will back favourite names, jockeys which distort the pricing. All a bookie wants is his little bit of the pie.
Sure! Although it's not all that little when you work it out, is it. 365 done 660 Million profit last year alone.
@@CaanBerryProTrader People have a go at the Coates's, at least they had the foresight to see where betting was going and started Bet365 Online. In over 200 countries betting on horses, poker, bingo, etc. There's always winners and losers. What gets me is when they pay millions for football players?, The likes of Moore, Pele, Best all missed the good times.
I bet on goals and corners !
Cool. But where's the edge?
I think when you combine value with knowledge of teams, you have a dream scenario. Teams do matter because they are human being with emotions and tendencies. American sports especially, teams get streaky (hot and cold). Also, sometimes, good teams getting embarrassed last time out, 3 games in 4 nights, etc can all impact a teams value that night. I find with basketball and hockey, I find tremendous value in the live betting market (alternative betting), where ill get odds of something happened at 40% but its above that. Than if the line moves enough in my favor, ill either let it ride or sometimes try and hit the middle. very hard to do with soccer but a sound strategy for Most American sports.
Value wins or loses everything. Doesn't matter what you know about a team if there is no value, you just can't win!
No project like lzn
I trade the Financial markets. My win loss ration is approx 50%. BUT.................and this is the way I've been consistently profitable ( my winners are 3-4 times bigger than my losses. Caan.......You speak such sense PROBABILITIES are what Our focus should be on. There are No guarantees in trading or betting................but boy, can we put the odds in Our favour, if we know what to look for. I used to trade on emotion, with no focus, no plan - shooting from the the hip. No surprise, I lost alot of £££££££. Do your homework people, and focus on edge. Those who don't know what edge is...........YOU DON'T HAVE ONE!!!
very fair comment Phil
Best way to learn betting here
This applies to games like roulette because the odds are absolutely mathematically fixed. It’s not the same for horse racing as you cannot truly gauge what the true mathematical probability of winning is. You can have the wisdom of the crowd but that’s not the same as absolute mathematical truth as in roulette. The underlying fundamentals are obviously correct however.
Indeed, numbers don't lie!
Hi Caan, solid content like usual. Do you have any suggestions on which bookmakers allow for really fast live bet placement? I've been using a few bookmakers that take up to 11 seconds just to process a live bet which is ridiculous and a lot of value is lost when I miss good prices. If you could even point me in the right direction that would be great!
Caan ofc you won't reply and give out any truly useful information
Of course I do. I just don't do it all for free :) ....why would I? Same as the rest of the world!
Regarding bookies fast bet placement? They put the delays in for a reason, you won't find a faster one. Bit of a stupid question when you think about it.
@@CaanBerryProTrader Isn't that the whole point of your channel to help people become better traders? I didn't know if was used for self-promotion only which goes against the image that I believe you have presented to date - of wanting to help other traders develop. If it is for self-promotion only, then that makes me question why you're looking for additional sources of income and suggests you're not making enough from trading.
And since there is considerable difference between in play time delays from bookmaker to bookmaker as well as sport to sport, I don't think it's a stupid question at all, and if anything, it shows a level of thinking and consideration that is at least higher than your average punter at the bar.
"Isn't that the whole point of your channel to help people become better traders?" Yes, but everything has a price right? If you get a plumber to switch out your boiler he's helping you, but does paying him make it disingenuous? No.
"I didn't know if was used for self-promotion only" Are you serious? Sticking the word 'only' in there makes it quite twisted, and shows you probably have some alternate agenda here. Probably why the account looks anonymous. Anyway, why would anyone bother making TH-cam videos if there was zero benefits in doing so? It costs them time. The whole of TH-cam is pretty much self-promoting.
"If it is for self-promotion only, then that makes me question why you're looking for additional sources of income" Question it all you want. I'm not bothered, I've proved it many times over. I wonder if you would question using Virgin Atlantic because Richard Branson had already made enough money with Virgin Megastores. Flawed logic, many successful people have multiple streams of income, it just makes sense to.
The delayed placement one is pretty daft, as if any bookie is going to give you a super-fast delay increasing your chances of beating them.
@@CaanBerryProTrader Seemed like OP was asking a genuine question and made some good points in his other message.
Not sure why your immediate response was to insult and get defensive.
The last betting
brilliant video
Glad you enjoyed it. You don't often get honesty in this industry, but its how it works!
Thanks Caan, finally the truth about betting, no one will believe you though as most think the colour of the jockey's under trollies are a good indicator and add value. I discovered the maths a few years back and just went on a value betting spree and was eventually gubbed to death. Great fun. Nowadays I use value as a basis for my tipping site as that makes a lot more money and is zero hassle. If my subscribers knew I never ever watch a horse race or look at the form they would have several fits but as you say you could be betting on three legged donkeys and make money if the price is right. I automated the tipping using the BF API and am actually looking for some co-operation on a new project for auto arbing/value betting. Let me know if you would be interested or know someone who is.
Cheers, Stephen. You're correct of course, its sad that so many think like that (and listen to the medias narative, paid for by bookies). Inevitably doing this you will get restricted as people have seen in other videos.. fair few quid in it though.
Can you explain what you mean by automated the tipping using betfair api please? Cheers
@@CaanBerryProTrader I've won £10000 this month doing trebles and singles etc but I've hit a stopping point and can't get past 10k.. Keep going from 8k too 9k back and forth.. Any suggestions?
Opening lines do take into account public perception not always true implied probability and line movement isn't always indicative of money in/out. Weather could change, a player could be out, other things can move the line and change the true probability . Then you need to find a book that is offering you lines that are better than open and hope they keep your account open, not many books do that and most wont for long.
There is a strategy opposite to this most swear by called steam chasing. Everyone has a 100% winning strategy, it's just not the case.
Wisdom of crowds is a thing though... with hundreds of thousands of users on an exchange.
It is very hard to find someone on TH-cam who makes sense.Everyone has strategies...they simply don t work.There are only 2 sure ways of making money from betting: matched betting and arbitrage.That is math.The other ones are all relying on probabilities thus include risks.Yes,we know,long term...blah blah blah.Mathematically.In the practical world,the punter who just had a losing streak of n bets,can t abstain himself and puts his money on the first bet he finds.That is tilting.Strategies are extremely dangerous just because they depend on variance A LOT.Everything is good when u hit 2 3 in a row...but what happens when u lose in a row? That s why Martingale,Fibonacci,Labouchere,D Alembert,Paroli don t really work in real life .Of course,theoretically,it must hit Red sometimes,right?After 99 blacks.But do u still have money left in the bank? Not really.Every single idiot who posted on TH-cam about betting is talking nonsense.They all think theirs is the one.Lay the draw,lay the draw with insurance,bad each way races,always back the favourite away...etc.They simply don t work for the normal punter.Only if u have bots to find the real value .
Alternate point spreads is what I'm hearing
You are good man Caan 🙏
Thank you 🙌 im sure you are too! thanks for watching. Should see the most recent upload it shows an example
@@CaanBerryProTrader have a good Xmas mate
Hi Caan , in play with bookmakers though u can still get value. Is that correct. Because of price drift 👍🏼
Hi Leo, no unfortunately not. In-play the same applies, although the bookmakers typically make their margin bigger because of the volatility of price movement (because there are less bets struck etc). So their margin is bigger, meaning the price is worse, even poorer value. In-play betting on things like football and cash-out is a truly hideous proposal. Sorry if that wasn't the answer you were looking for mate!
Hi Caan , thanks for reply. I no cash out is terrible , I’m talking say Man City to win before game is 1.2 then after 30 mins they are 1.4 that is value no ??
@@leonolan3939 i use that sort of "backing losing favourites" type strategy all the time and it is definitely profitable but of course you need to use an exchange to get the most out of it not a bookmakers
@@leonolan3939 By that logic Man city is big value at 3.0 when there's 5 minutes left.
Just started properly gambling low stakes to I find my succeful markets I'm up couple hundred with goals over under
I’m trying to do this aswell, have any tips ? I’m looking to bet on football
Find some strategy and success before parting with your money. See the latest upload, thats a strategy that works.
Thank you 💣
Cool video. Where can we get before a race and opening (as soon as odds are available) price data to run some algos?
Betfair Historical Data? See this - th-cam.com/video/sVMcLLoH06M/w-d-xo.html
Awesome, thank you!
This video is good for me because all I know is the roulette table in gta 🤣
Vinewood?
I want to learn more on betting
This channel is the place then! This video is quite clearly laying out how value bets are done.
Not sure where to post this. Been watching your videos & betting on Betfair exchange on a laptop without any software as yet, although have looked at Geeks Toy but not very computer literate. Also have the book but halfway through it.
Right have laid a horse on Betfair & then backed it with a smaller amount to cover the bet which meant whichever horse won I was making a profit of about 10-15% of my original stake. The cash sign also comes up with the offer of a cash out !! do I take that as well or ignore it ?
to cash out with BT spread profit across the entire market. if you are backing for £2 and laying for £2 then you would only see the profit on the selection that you placed the bits because it is not hedged aka cashed out.
Super show.
Cheers. Tried to make it as simple and logical as possible for all to understand.
Then you loose a ticket on a fix 1.45 football match.
I really wish I understood this video!
Nothing to understand! The same old pro-punter bollox about "value" and what constitutes value.
Yeah, but. Exactly when looking at the exchange betting site, like Betfair for example, what is what i must be looking for to find which are the odds higher than should be? The blue or the pink ones?
@@victorcadavid5761 The blue ones, in line with the sportsbooks line.
I wish I could make it even simpler!!!
I try this on cricket
Thanks for the lesson, mate:)
No problems, thanks for the sub.
Very new to your videos but I’ve been on BF 15 years and your Thesis is sound. At the end of the video what is the rough costs for your education material referred to at your caan website . Thanks
Depends, there's lots of free stuff on there if that's what you prefer :)
"Probabili'y"
Lol! I've realised most English people do that😂😂
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
thanks for the strategy . i am a millionaire now
Cmon man... seriously. The math makes sense right?
Nice
Thanks for the video! The mentioned strategy works pretty well in sports I think. Am I right?
Yes
Thought this was pretty standard.
I guess that's a good thing :)
Arbitraging the sports betting market. How interesting
Thanks for the video! The mentioned strategy works pretty well in sports to my mind, is not it?
Absolutely!
On a Saturday with full list of football fixtures I like to bet on both teams to score yes with odds of evens or above that way I usually always make a healthy profit
Do you just choose the games with odds of evens or above randomly or do you look into both of the teams' match history (for example if both teams score often in other games they have played)?
Just look at the odds evens or better hard atm due to lack of fixtures
Funny how you didn't tell anyone how to find value in the end. For that people need to sign up to your courses. Which is probably how you make actual money.
in fact he did. You must to look at the exchanges odds closest to the start of the event. than you must to search for odds that are bigger on the other bookmakers. the bigger the gap between the odds the bigger the value and the bigger you must to stake. But it's really hard to find those value bets without a software. and then you must to pay for online bookies who can find these value bets alone. Or you can go for surebets too. In the end I think it's really hard work for a little outcome and If you go big you will get restricted. Think of another way to make real money. The only way to make money online betting and make millions is by courtside betting. But also to do that it s a bit hard and you need not to get caught as it is more restricted. If you wanna know more about it go here th-cam.com/video/kvT_yIVI2Qw/w-d-xo.html
Even then he can't tell you because nobody knows what the bfsp will be, you can anticipate moves some of the time but that's it. If anyone tells you different then they're lying
If you think that, you'll never find it. But even now in 2020 it still happens daily, and no, I'm not lying. I'm not just going to put that bit on TH-cam, because, why would I?
Plz make vedio on cricket
Made a whole document that calculated the chance of team a or b winning chance of scoring in first 10 min 10-20min etc against each time, bet 25 ish times a day and average a 0,8% return a day
So basically put Ur life savings on red or black
Not advised no.
Don't you just double up next round to get.... Oh sorry I bumped my head and stumbled in to a casino.
lol
Yes, then green comes out.
@@sabre22b Never double. You have to triple your bet.
Bookies are the biggest winners after all
Of course they are, they add rediculous margins and ban winners (see other vids on the chan).
@@CaanBerryProTrader Not always very often it is the very lack of value that bet 365 give with their early greyhound prices that gives the punter value if he knows what he is doing let me explain. The bet 365 greyhound odds compilers aren't that clued up and thus in nearly every bags race they tend to underestimate and overestimate several dogs chances to a large degree and thus this gives the punter two chances of making a good profit firstly by backing two dogs in certain races where in your opinion both dogs are overpriced and secondly by doing combination forecasts in races where you think your selections are overpriced. Of course you can only do this with 365 because they are the only bookmakers who offer guaranteed prices on forecasts and only last week i had three forecasts that paid way over the industry forecast dividend including one that paid £40 pound with bet 365 while the industry forecast for the same race was just over £10 of course it goes without say that you have to know your dogs and you must be selective with your bets to make it work
I did subscribed
Nice one!
Hi caan is this the information you were referring to in your previous video regarding the 100k subs, or is that something else? Cheers for all the great videos
No. I haven't shared that :)
What about surebets (arbitrage betting)? Is Betnetto surebets good platform? I overheard some guy at the restaurant talking about how he earn 2k monthly by playing surebets. Can this be real?
Arbitrage is a relatively safe way of milking incorrect odds yes. Never heard of the platforms you mention.
Arbitrage bettors will be limited by bookies within about a week and there’s little profit to be made from then on. You can make a few quid at the beginning but It’s not sustainable. The only way to make long term profits is to bet with exchanges such as Betfair and have a proven winning strategy.
I take it you keep track of all of your wins / losses on a spreadsheet. Stupid question but are you ever tempted to just stop when you hit the top, just to stop you from chasing the top again?
no because chasing is not an issue for me I don't bring in motion to the table I only take value and place my bet when I know I am in a good position otherwise I just watch
This video is gold if you really understand it
You got it! Think it has gone over a few peoples head to be honest but its quite simple really, understanding it and then looking in the right places is the key.
But how do you actually know what is good value ?
Which betting site do you use or recommend
I'm not going to recommend any in particular! However, I would say exchanges are a far better option for the end user in comparisson to sportsbooks.
In Simple English without The Complicated Math
Bet on The Germans
Huh? LOL funny stuff.
Still don't get how you identify a price of good value. Like in football betting, there so many markets. How do you know the price to go for?
olá cann sou brasileiro e gostaria muito de comprar seu curso iniciei no trader em abril de 2016 operei com futebol e lay galgos mais nem um dos 2 obtive sucesso , agora imigrei pro cavalo conheço tudo sobre odds , percebi que o comportamento das odds de cavalos osilão muito rapido..não teria como eu obter seu curso com legenda brasileira?
I need subtitles from asia😂
Sorry not translated yet.
i can tell you now if i put a bet on the higher 3 , 4 dollars on tennis you 99percent chance of losing
Hey Caan, in your opinion, what would you say is the number 1 horse 'Trading' strategy 'That Works' pre or post-off..scalping, front runners, b2l'ing steamers, or another? &what racing market would best suits the strategy
If you forced me to choose one, trading short-term based on support and resistance... an overlap with scalping there for sure although not entirely scalping alone.
@@CaanBerryProTrader Ta, is it still advisable to employ directional bias scalping at odds below 3.0 & even below 2.0?
I great strategy i have found to make steady profit is playing for a cash out. Maybe not the best for long term, however i will do a football acca on say 6 games to not finish 0-0. Now 0-0 isn't a common score in football but it can happen, but the likelyhood is, 4 or 5 of those games are going to have a scorer. At that point you cash out. Its rare that i lose on this and even though im not making mega profit its adding up. A few £30-£150 wins every day or 2 goes a long way. And the more you have you more you can essentially put on for larger profit margins.
Where do you do this?
Hi your information is insanely useful 👍
But my question is why not just take the best price in exchange markets since they provide the best price and push it even further to get even better price
Than go through all that hassle with soft bookies and get restricted and sometimes they refuse to pay what you earn
I don't get that really
??,
Because in the given example the exchange would not be representing value. Although if you have another more accurate gauge that tells you the exchange price is wrong then I whole-heartedly agree you should be using that as you say (after comm is factored in).
Got a question caan. Do you think that racing betting will remain the same after this pandemic. Eg. Do you think the bookies will all survive and if they do will things be the same as before with regards to concessions and prices?
It never stopped mate in Australia 🇦🇺
I agree.
It makes sense for horse racing but what about other sports? Do you have insight into that? For example, parlay bets on NBA, NHL and NFL? Ive been lucky on all three these past seasons but it is not consistent
all sports work on the same basis that you need to find value for your betting strategy. saying it is harder than doing it of course, but the industry has people looking in the wrong direction by getting them to focus on said sport or individual instead of price. the price is all that really matters!
I like to look at a horse when they come on the track during the post parade and how they look, that gives me a yes or no pick
Could i get an opinoin on Both Teams to Score plus Win?
See this video: th-cam.com/video/tZaTcgXrLrg/w-d-xo.html
It's all nice and tidy with the figures, but real life is not figures.
Probability does not work in horse races, football or any other sport. It only works in the Casino and they have their safety margin already.
So call me naive, but there is no betting strategy that is not based on luck.
Bayern usually wins with high goal difference against poor opposition at home? You found the best odds because of your famous calculation? BAM, 3:3 against Bielefeld.
If probability doesn't work, how do bookmakers choose the odds and make money? Were they just luckier than everyone else? ....thought not.
@@CaanBerryProTrader Bookmakers are not the ones placing the bet. I'm not a bookmaker, so what can I do about bookmaking?
I agree with your concepts, but believe that 'value' can only be found using large amounts of historical data (which exists). All quant hedge funds are relying on Big Data (for which they pay enormous sums), horse racing is no different. So relying on odds changes in the final minute(s) doesn't meet that criteria. We logged odds data from 90 seconds out , every second, and found no correlation between falling odds (so called 'smart money') and better outcomes. And even if that could work, you'd have to have a reliable signal that odds will drop *naturally* from this point to race time, and take the higher odds. And when I say 'naturally' I mean The Crowd is doing this independently and not following 'group think' while watching the screen. I do agree about the horse (or team) being a proxy for odds, there's no reason to get fixated on a horse.
there are a lot of assumptions there are James. whilst I agree with a fair portion of it you're also missing a few things, big data when manipulated and used in the right way will without question be useful but you have to remember there are also some very large participants in the marketplace that have been using such datasets for decades. manipulation also goes on which may be shroud in your judgement. value can also be found in several other areas although I'm not so inclined to share on TH-cam for free, sorry.
I think you are an excellent blogger, and my work is perfect for you. I want to talk to you about cooperation
That's great but we get about 20 emails a day saying this... not really interested.