@Andrew Elie I guess Vinny must have swapped luck with ProtonJon that week. *_Meanwhile, elsewhere in the universe..._* *ProtonJon:* "...huh. My luck's actually been pretty good recently. What's going on?"
To put this into perspective, you are more likely to encounter a shiny Pokémon in a single battle in a given Pokemon game than you are to do what Vinny did here.
Far more likely, in fact, as it's a 1 in 8 chance, due to Faerie or the Narrator also doing the title drop. I've done the math, and that actually bumps up the odds of getting the same voice five times in a row to a staggering *1 in 32,768.*
@@MilesEdgeworth129 Even if you compare it to Pokemon Tabletop's 1 in 10,000 chance of getting a Shiny, it's still less likely to get Charlotte's voice five times in a row.
That blows my mind, because I've played all the mainline Pokemon games besides Gen 5 and Gen 8. I even did some breeding and completed the Gen 6 Pokedex. Until Gen 9 I only ever encountered ONE shiny in Gen 3. ... It was a Wingull. ... And I had no Pokeballs. ... With only my level 100 team with Rayquaza, Kyogre, and Swampert.
Vinny playing this game was the best thing to ever happen in this world. Also the game is pretty good, I think the awful voice direction adds to the charm.
Definitely added to the charm of Vinny's stream. I played through the game right before him in Japanese, and well, let's just say the English voices change the tone of quite a few scenes.
You might think that a 1/6 chance isn't that high, and you might say "Hey, isn't that what luck is?" However, when we look at these five continuous Charlotte occurrences things simply don't add up. If we compare them to other Trials of Mana players, Vinny "Vinesauce" Pizzapasta is way above the 99th percentile even among the most experienced Trials of Mana players. You might be asking if we're just cherrypicking streams and that perhaps Vinny only got this luck after trying hundreds of times. I mean, even if its a small chance its bound to happen sometime, right? Well, to have a better understanding of our decision to remove his record from the Trials of Mana Charlotte% we need to know something called "String Theory". Here's a simple explanation...
Smart to put this bit in its own video, I'm surprised it took this long. It was already edited together for the Best of June 2020, so you didn't even have to do anything.
1 in 6 odds, each time. That means, the odds of getting the same opening voice clip twice in a row is 1 in 36. Three times is 1 in 216. Four times is 1 in 1,296. The odds of getting that voice clip five times in a row is 1 in 7,776. A .01286008% chance. Damn.
You know they say all title scween weadings awe cweated equal, but you look at me and you look at the othew pwotagonists, and you can see that statement is not twue! See, nowmally if you stawt up the game, you've got a 1-in-6 chance of being gweeted by any pawticulaw voice. But I'm a genetic fweak, and I'm not nowmal! So you got a 25% at least at heaw me! And then you add the faewie and the nawwatow to the mix? Youw chances of heawing anothew pwotagonist dwastic go down. See, with them, you got a 37 and 1/2 chance of not heawing one of the othew pwotagonists. But I? I got a 66 and 2/3 chance of talking, cuz Duwan, Angela, and Wiesz KNOOOW they can't talk ovew me, and they'we not even gonna twy. So, Vinny, you take my 66 and 2/3 chance, minus theiw 37.5% chance, you got a 29 and 1/6 chance of heawing someone else at the title scween. But then you take my 66.7% chance of talkin' if we was to go one on one, and then add 37 and 1/2... pewcent, I got a 104 and 1/5 chance of weading the title scween! Vinny Vinesauce, the numbews don't lie, and they spell TWIALS fow you at the title scween.
The voice acting is pretty horrendous as you may know already. The story is more lighthearted than the original. But I find the combat to be fun because I like the action oriented combat that they've made.
@@bubblemage its quite easy. But it was enjoyable either way. The upside is that means you can basically pick any character and any job. So just pick who you like and what sounds cool. The downside is I have little interest to replay the game to see the stories of characters I missed. :(
@@bubblemage Yeah it's pretty easy even on hard but you can unlock 2 more difficulty settings after you do the post game which are actually challenging.
![[LIVE] BABYMONSTER(베이비몬스터) - DRIP | 두시탈출 컬투쇼](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/UG05pxLGwzc/mqdefault.jpg)
There's a 1/6 chance of Charlotte announcing the title, so this is essentially just like playing Russian Roulette.
And Vinny lost 5 times in a row.
russian chawotte
Fun fact: you can't lose at Russian Roulette. You either land on an empty chamber, or, it's very suddenly not your problem anymore.
Wussian Woulette
@@CosmicWaltz7 A good way to look at it
BAM! BAM! BAM! BAM! BAM! **click** Oh, that's not so bad...
Your name: Johnny Water.
Your mission: Assist Vinny in self-inflicted alcoholism.
Johnny “Spicy” Water
John Spice Girl
Ew, John Water….
"Is my game broken? I-is my game broken?! WHAT!!!"
the amount of shock is just uncanny
Thats my fucking favorite part, the fact its near instantaneous
"Every copy of Twials of Mana is personalized"
"Evewy copy of Twials of Mana is Pewsonalized"
"Wwwww wwww ww Wwwwww ww Wwww ww wwwwwwwwwwww"
Mine is japanese, so I have no chance to hear Twials of Mana or reconize quickly the VO of Charlotte.
It's actually a one in EIGHT chance, not six because in addition to any of the protagonists, faerie and the narrator can also say the title.
@Andrew Elie I guess Vinny must have swapped luck with ProtonJon that week.
*_Meanwhile, elsewhere in the universe..._*
*ProtonJon:* "...huh. My luck's actually been pretty good recently. What's going on?"
@@GmodPlusWoW Nah their Glitch/oddity finding Passives are pretty equal Id say ;)
@@GmodPlusWoW What lucky thing even happened to Jon around June 2020?
so...thats 1/32K
@@expresionless953yep
With this luck, Vinny ought to speedrun Minecraft
If Vinny has luck like this, Dream's speedruns might have been actually real
@@annoyannoy The secret is the spicy water. It’s a performance-enhancing drug.
@@Kipwich Can i performance-enhance my life
@@annoyannoy Probably. How much spice ya got?
Do you think you can handle the many twials you will face?
@@annoyannoy Either that, or... Vinny faked all five?!
To put this into perspective, you are more likely to encounter a shiny Pokémon in a single battle in a given Pokemon game than you are to do what Vinny did here.
Far more likely, in fact, as it's a 1 in 8 chance, due to Faerie or the Narrator also doing the title drop. I've done the math, and that actually bumps up the odds of getting the same voice five times in a row to a staggering *1 in 32,768.*
@@MilesEdgeworth129 Even if you compare it to Pokemon Tabletop's 1 in 10,000 chance of getting a Shiny, it's still less likely to get Charlotte's voice five times in a row.
That blows my mind, because I've played all the mainline Pokemon games besides Gen 5 and Gen 8. I even did some breeding and completed the Gen 6 Pokedex. Until Gen 9 I only ever encountered ONE shiny in Gen 3.
... It was a Wingull.
... And I had no Pokeballs.
... With only my level 100 team with Rayquaza, Kyogre, and Swampert.
Twials of Mana
Twials of Mana
Twials of Mana
Twials of Mana
Twials of Mana
If you say *TWIALS OF MANA* into a mirror five times with the lights off a bucket of spicy water will appear in you’re room
in the past 24 hours i've rewatched this at least 30 times, thank god it's an actual highlight now
I just have this on loop as background noise
You literally willed it into existence
2:02 the way he's says that kills me lol
His game may not be broken, but he is.
god it felt like he would snap and scream
This kinda stuff proves he has italian blood. I can /feel/ him doing the hand thing at the monitor lmfao
@@RoseOfNight he would've screamed porcodio if that was the case
@@thatitalianlameguy2235 I'm argentinian, a country with a lot of italian descendants. We do the hand thing even if we don't speak italian
I still absolutely love how the very first video started with "Twials", and the very last one ended with "Twials".
I'm so disappointed the title doesn't say "five times in a wow".
Five Twimes in a wow*
Five times in owo*
Hewwo mistew Vinesawce, I bwought you youw favouwite spicy bevewage.
His visceral reaction to the fifth one just slays me and also gives me life.
Literally a 1 in 7776 chance for it to happen 5 times in a row
SHINY POKEMON
Although you should account for among other things all the times it did not happen. Confirmation bias and all.
@@YumekuiNeru Bro but it DID happen
@@bobosmith101 How many times did it not happen?
@@YumekuiNeru 2:19 vinny says it was 5 in a row
That water really spicy
Squeenix heard about the challenge and said "end this man's liver"
"GODDAMNIT THAT'S REAL"
every copy of tWiAlS of Mana is personalised
*evewy *pewsonawized
2:01 I love the desperation in his voice
Vinny playing this game was the best thing to ever happen in this world. Also the game is pretty good, I think the awful voice direction adds to the charm.
Definitely added to the charm of Vinny's stream. I played through the game right before him in Japanese, and well, let's just say the English voices change the tone of quite a few scenes.
Twials of Mana
Starring
Charwotte
*Stawing
God, this was amazing. Pewfect.
I wuv it, its wondafewl~♡
The Choicer Voicer brought me back to this classic.
thank you vinnyjohn extrasauce man
Twaials of spwicy watew
Vinny taking psychic damage
bwain werms ovo
the W in Twials of Mana means water. Spicy water.
The fifht time he got it, he got real mad.
the fucking unadulterated shock and horror on the 3 for 3. i LIVE for it
You might think that a 1/6 chance isn't that high, and you might say "Hey, isn't that what luck is?" However, when we look at these five continuous Charlotte occurrences things simply don't add up. If we compare them to other Trials of Mana players, Vinny "Vinesauce" Pizzapasta is way above the 99th percentile even among the most experienced Trials of Mana players. You might be asking if we're just cherrypicking streams and that perhaps Vinny only got this luck after trying hundreds of times. I mean, even if its a small chance its bound to happen sometime, right? Well, to have a better understanding of our decision to remove his record from the Trials of Mana Charlotte% we need to know something called "String Theory". Here's a simple explanation...
Imagine if this happened for Fire Emblem Heroes but with Sharena's voice. I probably would go insane.
Smart to put this bit in its own video, I'm surprised it took this long. It was already edited together for the Best of June 2020, so you didn't even have to do anything.
I love how Vinny's bewilderment progressively increases each time it happens
1/7776 chance to get it 5 times in a row
Man
@@Joiner113 wtvr I just love the fact that vinny gets mad every time a Twials of mana comes up
I still can't believe he hit a 1/7776 sequence
Johnnie Water, Texas Stranger
This never gets old I love it.
There was a 1/32768 chance of this happening.
Guess he didn't turn off his mods
*TWIALS OF MANA*
Thanks for six likes I guess.
"Twials of Mana" x 1
Fuck.
"Twials of Mana" x 6
*YES!!!*
1 in 6 odds, each time. That means, the odds of getting the same opening voice clip twice in a row is 1 in 36. Three times is 1 in 216. Four times is 1 in 1,296. The odds of getting that voice clip five times in a row is 1 in 7,776. A .01286008% chance. Damn.
but.. the narrator and faerie can also say it..
@@tf_d So 1: in 32,768 odds lmao
You know they say all title scween weadings awe cweated equal, but you look at me and you look at the othew pwotagonists, and you can see that statement is not twue! See, nowmally if you stawt up the game, you've got a 1-in-6 chance of being gweeted by any pawticulaw voice. But I'm a genetic fweak, and I'm not nowmal! So you got a 25% at least at heaw me! And then you add the faewie and the nawwatow to the mix? Youw chances of heawing anothew pwotagonist dwastic go down. See, with them, you got a 37 and 1/2 chance of not heawing one of the othew pwotagonists. But I? I got a 66 and 2/3 chance of talking, cuz Duwan, Angela, and Wiesz KNOOOW they can't talk ovew me, and they'we not even gonna twy. So, Vinny, you take my 66 and 2/3 chance, minus theiw 37.5% chance, you got a 29 and 1/6 chance of heawing someone else at the title scween. But then you take my 66.7% chance of talkin' if we was to go one on one, and then add 37 and 1/2... pewcent, I got a 104 and 1/5 chance of weading the title scween! Vinny Vinesauce, the numbews don't lie, and they spell TWIALS fow you at the title scween.
Ith my gwame bwoken??
feelin a bit of deja vu, like I watched this exact video from this channel before.
It was in June highlights and someone else uploaded the clips somewhere
drunk speedrun any%
1:56 that's the Gambler's Fallacy
1 in 32,768 chance of 5 Charlotte's in a row
(1/6)^5 = 0.0001286 = 1 in 7,776 chance of this happening
The passive giveth and the passive taketh away.
My bwain melted.
Twials of Mana
local New Yorker has a mental break down over an anime RPG game using UwU dialogic
"Twials of E!!"
Twials of spwicy wawer
Remember everybody, if you do the spicy water...
L A S E R L O A D S
I think Vinny might be one of the main reasons why Charlotte became the most popular character in Trials of Mana.
_Chat has been sated, you will be spared,_ *For Now*
trials of mana moment
twials of mana moment
1/7776 odds of that happening. That’s almost double the modern odds of finding a shiny Pokemon.
If there's a 1/6 chance on getting _Twials_, then that's a 1/(6^5) or 1/7776 chance in getting it 5 times in a row.
5 shots 1 every hour I can handle it no problem.
Twials of Mana was an amazing stream. Also...
E
twails of manna!!!1!!1!1!11!11
You can say he had some.. extra sauce
binni dwinks the spicy watew
L A S E R L O A D S
Verny of mwana.
This is the correct way to play Twials of Mana
7776 WILL COMMENCE AGAIN
Twials of mana
You know they say all men are created equal, but you look at me and you look at TWIALS OF MANA, and you can see that statement is not true.
I thought this was already uploaded on this channel.
TWIALS
My favorite Vinesauce 2020 moment!
_It's time to puke-puke._
it's like Twials Yahtzee
Charlotte is my daughter
Vinny confirmed hacking
The description says it's a 1/7776 chance and Vinny literally says it near the end of the video. Why is everyone calculating this is in the comments?
gotta make sure the math is like vinny's chances of getting Charlotte to say the title:100%.
And it’s still wrong, since it’s out of 8 voices, not 6
Twials of Mana%
Here Vinwy. Take this spicy watah. 🍶
This is a 1 in 7776 chance of happening, or 0.0128% chance
Spicy bevwage.
Pew pew!
pwetty gewd videwo
No, you WILL listen to Charlotte. XD
Twials
(1/6)^5 = 1/7776
is this game good? any opinions?
The voice acting is pretty horrendous as you may know already. The story is more lighthearted than the original. But I find the combat to be fun because I like the action oriented combat that they've made.
@@weirdo7319 i've read it's too easy, is that true? i hate easy games
@@bubblemage it's true.
@@bubblemage its quite easy. But it was enjoyable either way.
The upside is that means you can basically pick any character and any job.
So just pick who you like and what sounds cool.
The downside is I have little interest to replay the game to see the stories of characters I missed. :(
@@bubblemage Yeah it's pretty easy even on hard but you can unlock 2 more difficulty settings after you do the post game which are actually challenging.
So did he take breaks or something
No one:
Absolutely no one:
Charlotte: *TWIALS OF MANA*
wtf is spicy water
Water, but it burns.
I’m kidding, it’s alchohol.
@@TheOfficialMarioGalaxyFanclub ive never heard anyone use the term spicy water until watching this video
Maybe she actually has a higher chance of appearing
Should the title not be twiaws of mana with both the R and the L replaced?
No.
why does he keep closing and re-opening the game
Johnny Walker black label? I see Vinny is a man of culture as well
DREAM LUCK
So
Trials of mana crappy ghost filter highlights when?