Lol, "Why did Russia perform so poorly?" Come on now, the real question now is, why would you believe a word coming from Western-allied media when it was so obviously and desperately trying to establish a global anti-Russia, pro-Ukraine narrative. You should be able to tell by now when US intelligence is force-feeding content into the info stream. Another huge tell is the existence of almost exclusively Ukraine-flattering combat clips on mainstream social media. It's statistically impossible, thus forced.
The fact that they used Burger King, the most deployable fast food, makes it even better. For context, as far as I know, they can load up a military plane with everything a Burger King restaurant needs and transport it to any base they have?
loving this format. My only tip is that kyla isn't punching the mic enough. right now she's only hitting it every couple of minutes. these are some rookie numbers
@@griffinlester9098true but hopefully she can understand her role a little bit going forward. there’s gonna be a learning curve here for sure and I think its important that she figures out that when she’s out of her depth on a topic she doesn’t need to try to compete with them and hang. just ask questions from a layman’s perspective, that role is important.
Ryan's a naturally gifted teacher. I love the way he engages his listeners to think of the answers to the questions they ask rather than just telling them.
Why? Because he's on a State Dept. Payroll? He's a clown. A propagandist. Nothing about him says military or competence. He's just a guy smoking a cigar in a fedora, pretending he's important.
My staff sergeant once let me fire a 60k TOW rocket in a training op...I was a Corpsman who just learned how to fire an M4 probably 6 months earlier...needless to say I completely whiffed the target because i had no idea how the steady the sites. This guy ain't lying when he say's training is expensive and this is why we have the most powerful military in the world because the military has the money to blow on jackasses like myself firing 60k rockets at hesco barriers for shits and giggles.
@@philiphorner31 What you’re looking for is a “good” reason…that’s something entirely different but there’s always a reason, you just need to get a little creative. 😂
Yeah till Burnham Wood suddenly appears on Dunsanane Hill. SUPRISE! WTFBBQ! Who really believes the U.N. is faultless in engaging with Ukraine which before this was known as the most corrupt country in Europe?!
This guy reminds me of the best EE profs I had in uni, just completely passionate and knowledgeable about his subject. Have him back as often as you can.
the guy can barely read the map of the conflict, destroying the Crymea bridge is absolutely pointless now while the bulk of supplies is being transferred thru the Zaporozhskaya oblast and the Khersonskaya oblast land. He is clueless
August is really gonna shine when editing this. Adding in how the tank works was so cute. Having a "pop up video" type of information (not style) to supplement what's being said is really good. Edit: Video too!?! 😯 this is gonna smack. You should take any usable segments you can from the podcast and do this.
Wtf I'm from Kyiv and this Molotov Cocktails on the bus stops thing is nonsense I have no idea who told you that but whoever did needs to get their intel in check
@@rollerknobster The socks and partyanki in the Russian military part. That info is at least 10 years old. Also, he said that Wagner was effective, but in reality, they suffered greater casualties and used more equipment than a regular army to achieve the same result. He also talked in a way that implies the possibility of destroying the Crimean Bridge to the point of no repair without first holding the territory with troops. Which is not impossible, but would take a lot of precise explosions.
@@user-kh6nn4vj8m While the partyanki part is indeed 10 years old, the Wagner were less effective on a per-unit-of-personnel basis, but they were still quite effective overall, specifically because they would utilize the meatwave attacks with, in part, massive amounts of conscripted prisoners. This was not an option to the Russian military, at least on a legislative level, and does skew the stats (also has nothing to do with "outdated info"). The Crimean Bridge one is not really a point since you said yourself it's not impossible. Therefore, implying a possibility is reasonable (also has nothing to do with "outdated info"). I mean if you disagree with his analysis that's fine I can understand that but I was talking specifically about outdated info.
I also think he has some good content, but he also often overestimates Ukrainian capabilities and underestimates Russian ones. He did the same in this video. By all accounts, 2024 is going to be a very hard year for Ukraine where they will mostly be trying to just hold on, and Ryan is over here claiming that we could maybe see them retaking large parts of occupied lands by the end of the year. That is just ignorance on his part.
@@franciscomap75 How exactly? Yeah, they had the surprise attack in the Kursk region, but even western media is starting to question what this offensive will achieve, and it has more or less stalled out after Russian reinforcements arrived. I still find it pretty hard to believe that we will be seeing anything like their 2022 Kharkiv and Kherson offensives anytime soon, if at all. It is also important to note that the amount of territory Ukraine has captured in Kursk is nowhere near as much as the amount of liberated territory in their 2022 Kharkiv offensive. So with that in mind, exactly which part of my comment aged badly?
Loved the podcast! Suggestion: to aleviated the vibrations from the tavle going up into the microphones you could add some sort of soft material under the fot of the mic, like rubber, leather, foam.
Go look his early videos where he was parading the same Western propaganda of Ukraine will win. What changed suddenly? Your answer is in His attitude: "he plays for whoever pays the piper". He just goes with the tide. Now, aukraine is losing and suddenly he is seeing the obvious truth that was there from the beginning of 2022.
Some technical criticism just from a viewer concerned with aesthetic. Destiny and erudite should shift more to the right because the camera cuts off his right shoulder. The camera angle for the guest should be slightly higher and there should be some kind of colorful stuff in the background with color, the all black back ground looks off. The window idea is awesome but be wary off overcast days. The camera on the guest should be slightly moved so that Destiny's soy shoulder doesn't show and personally having a little less space on his right side will be more aesthetically pleasing and his hand gestures won't be off camera. That big bottle out of focus in front of Erudite is distracting and should either be taken off the table or wherever it can be off camera. The main three person camera angle is slightly out of focus and and slightly too dark that can be improved by both having stronger lighting and lowering the fstop(also having fill light to counteract harsh shadows. Possibly even find a good middle ground for a more dramatic look using the fill/light ratio) while accouting for diffraction. Please anyone correct me for any errors or unreasonable changes.
@@electron6825the worst part is the outline and everything isn't there on the stream or vod on the podcast channel, August is adding it in post for some reason lmao
This guy was a great guest! Informative, fun to listen to, knows how to tell a story, made sure others got a chance to say what they wanted. He's exactly the kind of person I hope to see more of on this podcast!
Hats of to you mister Ryan McBeth. very well informed and well spoken. which is hard when you are talking about war and its catastrophic implication. I also chuckled a little because my father was actually a part of the F-16 exchange program between US and Belgium. We lived on Edwards Military base on the border of Nevada and California for 2 years.
I don't know if that's as substantial as we may think. If you look at military spending in the US, a very significant portion goes to bloated admin costs and overpriced contracts with orgs that are only slightly less bloated...we burn a fuckton of money. But the issue with Russia is that they're much poorer, they don't have a great manufacturing supply chain, and their military industry has been mostly dormant for decades.
@@TheStatisticalPizza Russia is rich AF, it's just that the money is concentrated in the hands of the oligarchy. Putin has established a culture of corruption on every level of Russian society, which means even if the Kreml decides to dish out money to, for instance, modernize infantry equipment you can be sure that everyone in the chain will try and steal as much of that money as possible and then lie to their superiors, while also paying off authorities that are supposed to investigate corruption. Such cases of corruption almost never get exposed and when they do they are just publicity stunts to make Putin seem like he is "hard on corruption". Additionally, Russian armory personell is known for just selling equipment illegally for personal gains. The US and it's military may have a bloat problem but compared to Russia, corruption in the US is heavily frowned upon and it is much more sophisticated than the petty corruption you see in Russia (or even some other ex commie countries), which is why it is harder to prove and detect. Also, claiming that the Russian military industry has been mostly dormant for decades makes absolutely no sense considering they have modernization plans in a ton of areas: Ratnik program, development of T14/T15, development of the Bumerang IFV, development of SU-57, stealth submarine propulsion, adoption of the AK-12 and so on.
@@TheStatisticalPizzaThe US spends a lot but they actually get what they paid for. In Russia the higher ups say to order 100 trucks, the guy ordering the trucks orders 80 and pockets the rest, the company marking the trucks delivers 40 and bribes the guy receiving it to say that got all 80, the trucks that do get delivered slowly get picked apart in storage by under paid soldiers selling the parts on the black market. Now every has lied and said we have 100 trucks but actually there is like 10 working one.
It is sort of a myth about the ammunition carousel that is operated by the auto-loader being the reason for NBC protection and the turret flying off. 1. The tank's breech will be exposed to air from outside regardless of the automatic loader nor a human loader. Tanks achieve this by using special filters and air pumps to have constant overpressure of air inside the tank. Russian tanks without autoloaders also do this. 2. The turret flying off in catastrophic detonation of all of the tanks ammunition usually occurs from the *other* ammunition stored inside the vehicle, instead of the ammunition in the carousel underneath the turret basket. This spare ammunition is located in the turret's real walls, next to the driver inside the fuel tanks behind the front plate, and in the gap between the turret basket and the engine, although this depends on the model. T-55 and T-62 are manually loaded tanks, and they explode just the same. Plenty of vehicles explode like this when their ammunition is hit, the reason why the Abrams is always compared is because it has all ammunition stored in the rear of the turret behind a blast door, with blast panels on its roof. If ammunition detonates, it cannot build up pressure and blow the turret, nor will it cook the crew. T-90M, the latest Russian tank, moved its spare ammunition to the same location. However, it still has the carousel, so a detontion is still possible, (especially from top attack munitions, like the Javelin), but less likely compared to older models such as T-72, T-90, and T-80.
@@guydreamr protection by ignorant people talking about “3 days” not realizing there was no battle for Kiev. While airport next to it was taken in three hours
@@denisc.1282 The Russian forces came within a few kilometers of Kyiv before being repulsed as evidenced by the wonderful present they left for the civilized world to see at Bucha and Irpin just outside Kyiv, so your statements are inaccurate,
This guy has been out for some time...seems he never heard of the russian railroad work going into Crimea already completed, that makes the Kerch bridge redundant for logistics and supply purposes..
exactly its always pro ukrainians talking about that damn bridge, they are living in 2022 and early 2023 thinking that the bridge holds any strategic value anymore it actually bothers me how dumb these people are
That railroad is to feed OUT of Crimea into the ground units already into Eastern Ukrainea. To feed into Crimea you need the Kerch bridge from Russia proper and that’s the vulnerability Ryan is talking about: isolating Crimea. All other Russian railroads north of Crimea inside occupied Ukraine are easily targetable from Western Ukraine.
@@Ryan_Christopher the railway starts at Rostov on don and finishes in sevastopol, the point of railway is to stop using the bridge for military assets. Why would the Russian bring military assets across the Kerch bridge to put on that railway when bring the military assets to Rostov on don and then down to sevastopol through the occupied territories is much safer?
@@MrWankyTankbecause to supply their needs across the whole front they need both routes. Choking either one, makes it hard to feed and supply their troops across a broad front. Redundancy is important. If you’ve only got 1 route, sabotage or a few strikes completely chokes off supplies. Russia needs and wants multiple supply routes.
Ryan: I'm an underwater ceramic decontamination specialist translation: I'm a dish washer Ryan: I'm an open source intelligence analyst translation: i lurk telegram channels
He has four-year degrees in both cybersecurity and software development, and has extensive experience consulting for, among other organizations, Veloxxity on information warfare and OSINT. So yeah, I'd say he knows what he's talking about.
@@BravoMx You're making a straw man argument, that wasn't your original proposition. Your original comment challenged Ryan's intelligence credentials, not his expertise on the Ukraine war.
@@guydreamr again, stop meat riding bro. my original post was making fun of the way the dude made his telegram lurking hobby sound more verbose than it really was. again average redditor could be in that seat giving the same opinions.
@@PotentiallyCriminal if the rails are not working non of that critical infastructure can get supplies. You can not watch all the Rail and a small team can sabotage it. You just said the rails makes the bridge irrelevant, which is wrong, because those rails will be harrassed night and day slowing logistics to a crawl.
@@josephbucknavage6739 There is massive corruption in the US government and a lot of corruption even within our military. The point is that most talk of "corruption" in Ukraine is Russian propaganda. Russia is far more corrupt than Ukraine. Does that change our calculus?
He has no clue about the degree of corruption they have. They are covering it up A LOT. Journalists were arrested, died, the church banned, priests arrested...on and on and on...They were LITERALLY the most corrupt country in Europe before the war.
@@JustChill-zd4ibyes, they are...seems that you have neither never used ones or you might tried but you actually dont know how to use them...😂 And no , im not russian, many other countries used them too. Done My service in 90`s and even If these were allready going off mist who were taught to use them actually preferred them instead socks. Much more easier to wash and dry and also much better for your feet, specially If you wore winter boots or rubber boots... Leather/gore-tex boots with socks in -30°C or in autum/spring rain are wayyyyy worse than older tech😂
I actually really don’t like the lighting from outside tbh, makes everything either gloomy or too bright, there’s also just miscellaneous items around makes it look like a living room
Way more Russians are fleeing than Ukrainians. Travelled much recently? Oh, I forgot. You lost your exchange rate and your ATM card does not work abroad anymore.
@@rmdomainer9042 If you actually travel around Europe and even North America you will see lots of Ukranians in all big cities despite the fact that men are forbidden from leaving Ukraine.
@@alexk3604 That has no bearing on anything I just said. Go to any cafe in Phnom Penh, Manila or Hanoi right now and see what nationalities dominate. At the end of the day, Ukrainians are on the side of justice. You are on the side of authoritarianism and mrdr.
@@alexk3604 That has no bearing on anything I just said. Go to any cafe in Phnom Penh, Manila or Hanoi right now and see what nationalities dominate. At the end of the day, Ukrainians are on the side of justice. You are on the side of authoritarianism and mrdr.
@@alexk3604 Those are residents and they have been there for a long time. Meanwhile, in Asia, you see pasty faced Russians from a mile away. Funny part is that just like in the 90s, you can also spot them due to them having weird clothes.
Destiny don't know wtf he's talking about!! Ukraine had built fortifications since 2014 and it's extremely difficult to break those defence lines.. when Ukraine tried it's summer offensive last summer they got destroyed and suffered enormous casualties!
What she says at :37 about the theory of violence is quite profound. Society requires that all violence be in the hands of the police, because channeled violence is the foundation of law, and law is the basis of the state. Social contract theory is that we give up some rights, the right to commit violence, in return for increased safety. But everyone is theoretically capable of violence, and the state has the power to unlock that violence with army indoctrination. So the state actually controls the ability to use violence in the individual. Martial arts can slowly bring that control into the hands of an individual, and generally also teaches a code of conduct to go with that training. But many movies are violent fantasies, in which violence is a magic power, so people do long for their own capacity for violence. But this entire conversation is not useful to society, which demands that it not even be a question, all violence is in the hands of the police. There is room for some philosophical conjecture here, as she says.
love how at 12:48 in the live comments, Brunkaren "reminder that russia is winning the war".. a "war" russia, with probably the 2nd most powerful army in the world (claimed) planned to win in 2 weeks by overunning ukraine, a small country with a small military and a former comedian as a president. now 2 years later.. russia are no where near any objective victory.. on top of that, ukraine just invaded russia in the kursk region. doesnt really look like winning to me.
@@jacobhammock3355 You aren't thinking big enough. Putin intended the fall of Ukraine to shatter the West's cohesion. The opposite has happened. NATO got even stronger. And he's wrecked his economy in the process. His grand strategy failed. Everyone now sees the danger Putin poses. Even if Ukraine capitulated there's no going back.
I like Ryan, hes a good guy but I think his view of this war is framed on his training and experiences which are probably vintage at this stage. Cheap inexpensive drones that can carry a warhead or drop ordance, in addition to artillary is what will win this war. Sadly Russia seems to be winning that race imho. The Russian military may be downright haphazard in their approach but they also have an uncanny ability to adapt to a situation. Ignoring that is a recipe for disaster.
He is still thinking the old way. He thinks F-16 is gonna win the war for Ukraine 😂😂😂. With dozens of Su-35 jets, Russia couldn't win the war but he thinks somehow F-16 will do it for Ukraine!!! No, the future is a massive number of cheap drones. That's where the victory will come. The Russians and the Ukrainians understand this, that's why they are putting a lot of efforts to make more drones. Ukraine already used all those systems that he is talking about: HARM missiles, AAMRAM missiles, JDAM-ER bombs, etc... none of them changed the course of the war. In fact, Russians have successfully nullified the JDAM bombs with electronic jamming. Instead, drones have proven many times they can help Ukraine turn the tide. Ryan thinking on this war is out dated unfortunately. The future of war is drones of all type, air defense, electronic warfare. Expensive fighter jets and fancy missiles are going to be a thing of the past. We can clearly see this on the battlefield.
There is so many things wrong with what he said about Russian army, training, blowing up bridge, etc. I don't even know where to begin. No country can defeat Russia. Same as no country can defeat US or China. Understand that Europe and UK would have fallen if USSR wasn't attacked by Germany in WWll. But Ukrainian was trained and equipped by NATO from 2014. Clearly their training dosen't work. And there's no way that Ukrainians can take back any of the land they lost. Because it's Russian land now. And most of the people living there are ethnic Russians. And Blowing up the bridge will not give Ukrainian an uper hand at the negotiating table. Remember, Crimea was under Russia for years before the bridge was built. And Russia still started this military operation.
3:46 - Not completely the full story (incorrect on this point I fell really). There is something called being hull down and in the lower depressions of landscapes / geography if you have a lower tank profile, it is much easier to remain undetected and hull down. Also, when you have a laser rangefinder like the Abrams, Challenger or even the T-72 has (basically all modern MBTs) it is not hard to hit your target. So, it is more about trying to remain unseen and really for a normal infantry man on the ground, it still has that effect of being difficult to be seen and if you're hull down, you're even more difficult to hit). Now where the real problems come in isn't even really with the javelin (Many weapons have top attack, the British NLAW has top-down attack once you spotted your target, hell even Russia has a landmine that can do top attack, that will jump up if a tank is detected and comes close and also the missiles strapped onto helicopters have top attack, than can see very far away, more than an infantrymen can), the problem comes in with recon. Recon is way too good now. With thermal sights on a drone, it can see the battlefield 24/7. And any tank (even the Western tanks we saw with the Ukrainian counter offensive) were sitting ducks.
It's almost like the US support for Ukraine was a waste of time and all we did was find the death of hundreds of thousands of people. Why does this sound familiar?
US support wasn't "waste of time" IF usa and itrs allies did nothing ukraine would have maybe fallen and showed that west is weak and pathetic babies and usa is weak to even do anything against russia OR other dictator countries who hate usa
20 years is not accurate, they started to get rid of them in 2007 and the usage is decreasing since then, and mostly not used today. However they have been issued as well as improvised and are used when supplies are low.
It all depends on how one defines "winning" - is it getting what you want or preventing what the other side wants? Especially in the context of how much one's hands are tied behind their backs ...
Judging by what their respective leaders say, Ukraine wants to get back to its 1991 border and Russia seeks the destruction of the Ukrainian military. This already on some levels mean that Ukraine is going to lose its own war goals one way or another, as it’s an unrealistic pipe dream.
got a pretty high regard for the F 16 getting air dominance over a battlefield that's got so much anti air coverage that nobody has been able to establish air dominance. Truth is the f16's that ukraine will get will not have the latest upgrades, the air frame is 40 years old and they have zero stealth so while they're better than say a mig 29 or su 27, they aren't that much better. Also talking up the amraam is a solid missile for a 30 year old missile that's seen updates but would you rather have that or the hypersonic r77 that is way faster and has more range. What's going to happen is those f 16's are going to hang back from the frontlines just like the rest of the air assets are because both sides have tons of anti air capability. or they're going to get shot down.
USSR didn't survived Afghanistan war with 50K casualties after 10 years. Ukraine has support of the West, russia has the most sanctions. Reality is that it will be impossible for russia to keep not just Crimea but all their territories. That's why they are begging for negotiations
No, it just means it was predestined that it would take Russia more time. Idea that Ukraine has any possibility of reclaiming any land is pure delusion. How did last counter offensive go? Oh right...
@@5ufo sanctions have failed, Russia is too independent to be effected by them and has many international friends which can supply it with anything. They took it long ago when russians were establishing the current line and all those regions were not taken, they were literally given to them buy the russians. The current line is impenetrable while the one russians left had 0 defenses. Also the most equipment Ukraine had was during summer offensive...which pathetically failed and made a mockery out of the Ukrainian forces.
@Schizofre Official Russian casualties after 2 years are 400k and half of black sea fleet. And it is the most sanctioned country in the world now. Russia won't survive just on propaganda and copium
Dear expert, portyanki were replaced by socks about 15 years ago, some use them willingly, not because there are not enough socks, but because they believe that footcloths are better than socks, the gorka-3 suit is better than the new "pindos" multicam combat shirt, and tarpaulin boots are better than trekking boots
America probably thought that there was no way the Vietcong could defeat the US + friends. America probably thought there was no way the Taliban could defeat the US + friends. Winning a war is only the first problem. Maintaining peace is a real conundrum. Russia cannot defeat Ukrainian conventional military and follow up with the sustained miltary presence necessary to suppress unconventional (terrorist/partisan/guerilla) war. The territory isn't worth the cost. Putin miscalculated the resistance. It's simply a matter of time and cost benefit calculation. Putins retirement victory lap backfired, end of story.
There is no option in which Russia will give up Crimea. It is more likely that conflict will escalate to nuclear war than Putin will retreat from Crimea.
Sadly Ryan lives in a fantasy world and does not intend to leave it. While he has a good understanding of technical aspects, he has no clue of russians/ukrainians and their mentality or what the hell is actually is going on there. It is a shame.
@@DonXardasI can point to one mistake - Ryan overstates Ukrainians' morale, recently there's been a lot of talk about manpower shortages, people hide from mobilization officers, the parliament can't pass stricter laws in fear of public backlash, same with Zelensky. It's not critical yet, but it is suboptimal. However, Ukrainians are extremely well informed about what's going on in their country. Russians just ignore the war, or get endless victory reports from mass media. Only a small percentage frequent milblogger channels, know the true state of affairs and an ever smaller one is actively pro-war and donating etc.
I have serious doubts about F16 giving Ukraine air superiority. They will be able to contest the sky much more than now, but superiority? Ukraine is to receive about 60 F16s, which means they will still be in a severe numerical inferiority. The F16 is also not a new plane, and the ones Ukraine is about to receive especially not. Finally we see how well all the other western wunderwaffen turned out to be. Some were proven to be pretty good, but gamechanger? No.
Not to mention that it's all about the tactics and strategy that they will use. I believe that Macbeth is being very optimistic about the outcome of this conflict and in part dominant down to a point where it's kind of misleading. I've noticed that a lot about some of the things he covers in his channel. He is also very much like destiny and uses a crap ton of straw man to make his arguments. But overall he has a lot of correct information however it is a lot about how he relates it
@@boblawblaw892Wasn't this guy proclaiming that Russia was failing in 2022? He has technical knowledge, but that's about it. The sudden explosion in his TH-cam viewership really pumped up that head of his.
@@MrCooper89they literally were failing all over the place in 2022 are you high? They were getting their ahh beat all over ukraine from kyiv to kharkiv to kherson, that was arguably ukraines best year...did you see how much troops and equipment and vehicles they lost? Not to mention the ukr counteroffensives? I mean russia has literally 100x the military capability, economy and power as ukraine, and they still cant advance more than 100m in 2 or 3 places in ukraine, theyve taken exactly 3 large towns in an entire year of fighting, let alone any significant area, and theyre in a significantly better position now than they were in 2022, I mean they technically arent losing anymore but they definitely were in 2022. Its clearly and obviously a stalemate, and thats with a major improvement from last year...
Its only effective for the first 2 months then it gets countered almost completely. So they might do some damage for a couple of months but that's about it.
The Ukrainians are not using any doctrine right now. They won't be able to tie in an air component into their ground offensive. Not to mention them ignoring their training time and time again.
Alot of people talk a lot of shit about destiny but I see a man trying to figure shit out like the rest of us. I appreciate someone humbly asking questions and trying to learn instead of never even questioning your opinions like most.
This was the best podcast listen i have had in years. I appreciated Kyla's questions a lot more than I thought I would on this particular topic. Good Job
@37:00 to answer your question; go read FMFM-1 it’s the Marine Corps’ war fighting doctrine. It will say “Warfighting” right across the top. Let’s you peak in at the Marine philosophy of war and how to go about it. Gives great insight.
Russia sees this fight as a fight for survival. They will not lose it. It would be the same as if Mexico allowed Russian troops and bases in their country, USA would fight Mexico till they win. You also have to remember there are millions of ethnic Russians in Eastern part of Ukraine who are willing to fight against Ukraine. They have been doing it since 2014.
Ryan has some good points, but this video makes it seem like he is drastically overestimating Ukrainian capabilities and underestimating Russian ones. He doesn't seem to acknowledge (at least in this particular video) the fact that the Russians are learning and adapting and that they are not the same force with the same structure and capabilities and training that they have shown in the early days of the invasion. We also have to acknowledge the reality as it stands right now - Russia is winning right now. Not saying that it will stay this way, but this is the current situation. Ukraine has been largely dependent on foreign aid. The relative lack of foreign aid in recent months (in contrast to 2022 and 2023) is showing on the frontlines. They are barely holding the frontline, in fact the Russians are advancing in several parts of it and Ryan here is talking how Ukraine could take back the occupied territories and even Crimea. Wake up dude, it isn't 2022 anymore. The Russians have brought many more men to the frontline than they had in 2022 and they are learning and adapting the same as the Ukrainians are adapting. Despite what media sometimes wants us to believe, the Russians aren't stupid or retarded and unable to learn from their mistakes. In fact, we've all seen the success of the Ukrainian Kharkhiv and Kherson offensives in late 2022, and then the subsequent failure of the 2023 summer offensive (despite all the western equipment supplied specifically for this offensive). It shows the Russian military is adapting. And right now, largely due to exhausting a significant part of their offensive capabilities during last summer's offensive, the Ukrainians simply don't have significant offensive capabilities like they did before. They are not at all capable of retaking occupied territories at this point. There is a reason why Ukraine right now is asking largely for defensive weapons (most importantly air defense systems) instead of offensive ones. 50 or so F-16s aren't going to change this overnight, in fact it is questionable if a few dozen F-16s will have a major impact on the war at all right now. By all accounts, this year is going to be a very hard one for Ukraine where they will be trying to just hold on, and Ryan here is saying that they could be retaking lost lands by the end of the year. As if destroying the Kerch bridge will magically enable an exhausted Ukrainian military to just completely wreck the much stronger than 2 years ago Russian military in Ukraine. Not to mention the Russians are well aware of the vulnerability of this bridge and have been for a while, which is why they are developing and strengthening alternative routes. Just a couple of months ago or so they announced they are rebuilding a railway from Rostov to Berdyansk to serve as an alternative to the Kerch bridge, but there are also other routes already being used.
The Russians have access to Crimea from the north, blowing up the Kerch bridge is an inconvenience not a game changer. It’s like Ryan hasn’t looked at a map.
Romanticized propaganda self-propagates - a virus using emotion as a delivery mechanism, and it makes victims feel good, so they help spread it to feed the war machine. Ever wonder why there is not US sponsored peace propaganda?
@@romailto9299 well, the abrams tanks arrived in september or october if I recall correctly, but yeah it wouldn't have made a difference. Zaluzhny made the right call to stop concentrated armored attacks after a few weeks because they clearly couldn't break through. The offensive was just massively hyped up, but anyone following the situation a bit more closely could predict that the offensive would most likely not achieve any massive success, especially not liberate Crimea or whatever else the western media was predicting.
I support Ukraine but to think they will take back Crimea is delusional. They only managed to put a small dent on the Surovikin line and they losing territory day by day right now. Also the F-16 is not a wonder weapon that this guy thinks it is, it will have no significant effect on the battlefield. I don't understand why people keep saying these about western weapons.
F16 are a gamechanger as much as abrams, bradleys, nato weapons, patriots, javelins and western sanctions on russia where supposed to be a game changer, Ukraine will loose unless something crazy happens like "nato boots on the ground".
If they take back Crimea though then Russia is cooked which is why Ukraine is riding high on morale right now & they need all the morale they can get because morale is what turns the tide of war more so than any other single variable hence why that dam break was genius
They’ve been conserving forces and ammunition. You haven’t seen a large scale attack from Ukraine outside of the Kharkiv offensive. And nobody is saying the f16 is a wonder weapon, they’re saying it will force Russia to move their SAM batteries back which will open up the frontline to greater attacks
![[กูเพิ่งซื้อมึงปิดหนี] 20 นาที ผมรีวิวเกมที่แย่ที่สุดในโลก CONCORD](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/XhC-3q3Ii7I/mqdefault.jpg)
FULL 3 HOUR PODCAST ►th-cam.com/users/livekJUPhhShFP4?si=Xkjwo_9LWf8hIpE_
OFFICIAL PODCAST CHANNEL ►www.youtube.com/@BridgesStudio
EPISODE 1 ►th-cam.com/video/xUVhL545hQw/w-d-xo.html
Lol, "Why did Russia perform so poorly?" Come on now, the real question now is, why would you believe a word coming from Western-allied media when it was so obviously and desperately trying to establish a global anti-Russia, pro-Ukraine narrative. You should be able to tell by now when US intelligence is force-feeding content into the info stream. Another huge tell is the existence of almost exclusively Ukraine-flattering combat clips on mainstream social media. It's statistically impossible, thus forced.
Just as I bitch below the podcast that there should be more marketing for it on the main channel, you drop this lol August w
no destiny
putin is not afraid ofthe russians
he's afraid of america
THAT'S why they fight
Hey there Russia didn't use MRNA at all and China only started 5 months ago
Maybe get a rimlight for Steven, so he gets better seperation from the background. Easy thing tonset up and maybe worth to do. Just an idea❤️
Explaining a US army platoon in terms of a Burger King is the most American thing I've heard in a while
The fact that they used Burger King, the most deployable fast food, makes it even better.
For context, as far as I know, they can load up a military plane with everything a Burger King restaurant needs and transport it to any base they have?
🇺🇲🇺🇲
Ryan is an awesome guest
@@Shinigamichild13 Isn't is just a good analogy for a layman?
It's art!
We can tell Kyla is clearly a war thunder player
low tier though lol
@@xxtripleokgaming Low Tier Best Tier, Me and all my homies H8 Top Tier.
Im top tier US air and ground, and like 7.7 germany and russia. Gotta say top tier just isnt fun lol@@Plamler
@@xxtripleokgaming props above 3.7 and jets below 9.3 are fun imo. Theres just less missile spam and more skill required.
I don't understand how she's never seen independence day.
loving this format. My only tip is that kyla isn't punching the mic enough. right now she's only hitting it every couple of minutes. these are some rookie numbers
Tiny needs to eat that mic too
Don't understand Kayla's function at all. She makes me annoyed. Like a child, which constantly has to interrupt a interesting discourse with jokes.
@@janoschiithis topic wasn’t really her wheelhouse but she’s gonna crush if it’s a more psychology/sociology focused guest
She's not Gavin McInnis
@@griffinlester9098true but hopefully she can understand her role a little bit going forward. there’s gonna be a learning curve here for sure and I think its important that she figures out that when she’s out of her depth on a topic she doesn’t need to try to compete with them and hang. just ask questions from a layman’s perspective, that role is important.
Ryan's a naturally gifted teacher. I love the way he engages his listeners to think of the answers to the questions they ask rather than just telling them.
He just barely has a clue what he's talking about and somehow you think that genius.
@@Betazetagot any examples or proof?
@@Betazeta And you do random TH-cam commenter show your credentials 😂
@@williamwilliam5632Did you have an aneurysm or something? You can't write lol
@@Betazetagot anything to back this claim up?
He's got some drunk uncle energy in this vid, but still a huge fan of Ryan McBeth.
Definitely sounds like he has a few drinks before hand, not to mention the bottle he has next to him 😅
Why? Because he's on a State Dept. Payroll?
He's a clown. A propagandist. Nothing about him says military or competence. He's just a guy smoking a cigar in a fedora, pretending he's important.
@@JamesJeffersonRecordscope
@@morphkogan8627 sorry about your extra chromosome.
@@JamesJeffersonRecords The guys content is literally the furthest from propaganda but clearly you drank a little too much koolaid.
My staff sergeant once let me fire a 60k TOW rocket in a training op...I was a Corpsman who just learned how to fire an M4 probably 6 months earlier...needless to say I completely whiffed the target because i had no idea how the steady the sites. This guy ain't lying when he say's training is expensive and this is why we have the most powerful military in the world because the military has the money to blow on jackasses like myself firing 60k rockets at hesco barriers for shits and giggles.
A TOW can be launched in a trainer. There's no reason to spend $60k.
@@philiphorner31 can you be a little more patriotic please? Mr. Raytheon has kids to feed too.
@@philiphorner31 What you’re looking for is a “good” reason…that’s something entirely different but there’s always a reason, you just need to get a little creative. 😂
"For none of woman born shall harm Ryan Mcbeth"
Yeah till Burnham Wood suddenly appears on Dunsanane Hill.
SUPRISE! WTFBBQ! Who really believes the U.N. is faultless in engaging with Ukraine which before this was known as the most corrupt country in Europe?!
Love the format, don't know why the editor put on a visual effect that makes it look like i'm watching this through my microwave door but okay
Lol i kinda like it idk
BOOOM!!! You got it!!! Just what I was thinking. Though overall im not too concerned as I'm not all eyes on it
hahahahaha
lmaoo
This guy reminds me of the best EE profs I had in uni, just completely passionate and knowledgeable about his subject. Have him back as often as you can.
nah
@@JamesJeffersonRecords You are a troll and I bet you have never served in the military so why do you have your panties in a twist, kid?
@@JamesJeffersonRecordswhat th fuck is up with your hate boner?
I got CIA operative in Havana with a briefcase of cash vibes.
the guy can barely read the map of the conflict, destroying the Crymea bridge is absolutely pointless now while the bulk of supplies is being transferred thru the Zaporozhskaya oblast and the Khersonskaya oblast land. He is clueless
This guy is Nedry who sold the Jurassic park embryos.
August is really gonna shine when editing this. Adding in how the tank works was so cute. Having a "pop up video" type of information (not style) to supplement what's being said is really good.
Edit: Video too!?! 😯 this is gonna smack. You should take any usable segments you can from the podcast and do this.
Wtf I'm from Kyiv and this Molotov Cocktails on the bus stops thing is nonsense I have no idea who told you that but whoever did needs to get their intel in check
Not from Kyiv, but...I feel like half the info this man was spitting is months or years old?
@@104glyboy My comment was about just that one statement, I couldn't tell if any of his military analysis was outdated. Any specifics?
@@rollerknobster The socks and partyanki in the Russian military part. That info is at least 10 years old. Also, he said that Wagner was effective, but in reality, they suffered greater casualties and used more equipment than a regular army to achieve the same result. He also talked in a way that implies the possibility of destroying the Crimean Bridge to the point of no repair without first holding the territory with troops. Which is not impossible, but would take a lot of precise explosions.
@@user-kh6nn4vj8m While the partyanki part is indeed 10 years old, the Wagner were less effective on a per-unit-of-personnel basis, but they were still quite effective overall, specifically because they would utilize the meatwave attacks with, in part, massive amounts of conscripted prisoners. This was not an option to the Russian military, at least on a legislative level, and does skew the stats (also has nothing to do with "outdated info"). The Crimean Bridge one is not really a point since you said yourself it's not impossible. Therefore, implying a possibility is reasonable (also has nothing to do with "outdated info").
I mean if you disagree with his analysis that's fine I can understand that but I was talking specifically about outdated info.
@@rollerknobster why Ukraine didn't stop this meatwaves? They didn't know how youse a machinegun?
I've been excited for you to talk to Ryan for a long time. His stuff is extremely detailed and informed.
😅🤣
I also think he has some good content, but he also often overestimates Ukrainian capabilities and underestimates Russian ones. He did the same in this video. By all accounts, 2024 is going to be a very hard year for Ukraine where they will mostly be trying to just hold on, and Ryan is over here claiming that we could maybe see them retaking large parts of occupied lands by the end of the year. That is just ignorance on his part.
@@MaxCroat well, this aged badly
@@franciscomap75 How exactly? Yeah, they had the surprise attack in the Kursk region, but even western media is starting to question what this offensive will achieve, and it has more or less stalled out after Russian reinforcements arrived. I still find it pretty hard to believe that we will be seeing anything like their 2022 Kharkiv and Kherson offensives anytime soon, if at all. It is also important to note that the amount of territory Ukraine has captured in Kursk is nowhere near as much as the amount of liberated territory in their 2022 Kharkiv offensive. So with that in mind, exactly which part of my comment aged badly?
I wish Destiny managed to talk to Perun, now that would be amazing.
Isn’t he anonymous though?
@@TKUA11I could see maybe a conference call.
@@TKUA11 He isn't really anonymous. He did an interview with Jake Broe.
I very much doubt Perun would talk to someone as polarizing and politically engaged as Destiny.
@@LunaticTheCatand Perun isn't politically engaged?
Loved the podcast!
Suggestion: to aleviated the vibrations from the tavle going up into the microphones you could add some sort of soft material under the fot of the mic, like rubber, leather, foam.
Definitely.
That and/or a filter
Ryan is like the Neil deGrasse Tyson of military analysis, and I’m here for it
I was thinking the same thing, expect I find it a bit patronising and inauthentic unfortunately
except this guy knows what he's talking about and isn't an activist clown masquerading as an expert
@@rigg4146 well said
@@hugobirch891 exactly. Just like degrasse tyson.
Go look his early videos where he was parading the same Western propaganda of Ukraine will win. What changed suddenly? Your answer is in His attitude: "he plays for whoever pays the piper". He just goes with the tide. Now, aukraine is losing and suddenly he is seeing the obvious truth that was there from the beginning of 2022.
Oh man. This is such a good crossover for me🔥🔥🔥
Mcbeth is a Chad, never would've imagined.
No it isn’t
yes it is@@Eunos_FD3S
@@Eunos_FD3S no it isn't lol?
Maybe u don't know what a crossover is, or understand how qualifying it "for me" works
@@Eunos_FD3SYes, it is.
@@cody967 I do, I’m just going around disagreeing with everyone regardless of the topic. Have a good day
Some technical criticism just from a viewer concerned with aesthetic. Destiny and erudite should shift more to the right because the camera cuts off his right shoulder. The camera angle for the guest should be slightly higher and there should be some kind of colorful stuff in the background with color, the all black back ground looks off. The window idea is awesome but be wary off overcast days. The camera on the guest should be slightly moved so that Destiny's soy shoulder doesn't show and personally having a little less space on his right side will be more aesthetically pleasing and his hand gestures won't be off camera. That big bottle out of focus in front of Erudite is distracting and should either be taken off the table or wherever it can be off camera. The main three person camera angle is slightly out of focus and and slightly too dark that can be improved by both having stronger lighting and lowering the fstop(also having fill light to counteract harsh shadows. Possibly even find a good middle ground for a more dramatic look using the fill/light ratio) while accouting for diffraction. Please anyone correct me for any errors or unreasonable changes.
I hope they get rid of that ugly filter, or at least tone it down.
all these "ERM, LITTLE BIT OF ADVICE 🤓☝️" comments BRO STHU
@@electron6825the worst part is the outline and everything isn't there on the stream or vod on the podcast channel, August is adding it in post for some reason lmao
I swear, nitpicking is going to be the downfall of society smdh
Destiny should cut back on the adderall as well
This guy was a great guest! Informative, fun to listen to, knows how to tell a story, made sure others got a chance to say what they wanted. He's exactly the kind of person I hope to see more of on this podcast!
Hats of to you mister Ryan McBeth. very well informed and well spoken. which is hard when you are talking about war and its catastrophic implication.
I also chuckled a little because my father was actually a part of the F-16 exchange program between US and Belgium. We lived on Edwards Military base on the border of Nevada and California for 2 years.
Thank you for getting Ryan Mcbeth on here
Corruption is a big reason for Russia's failure too. The defense minister has probably stolen 20% of the budget just himself.
Correct, there is many issues the Russians face and the root cause of nearly all of them is corruption.
I don't know if that's as substantial as we may think. If you look at military spending in the US, a very significant portion goes to bloated admin costs and overpriced contracts with orgs that are only slightly less bloated...we burn a fuckton of money. But the issue with Russia is that they're much poorer, they don't have a great manufacturing supply chain, and their military industry has been mostly dormant for decades.
@@TheStatisticalPizza Russia is rich AF, it's just that the money is concentrated in the hands of the oligarchy. Putin has established a culture of corruption on every level of Russian society, which means even if the Kreml decides to dish out money to, for instance, modernize infantry equipment you can be sure that everyone in the chain will try and steal as much of that money as possible and then lie to their superiors, while also paying off authorities that are supposed to investigate corruption. Such cases of corruption almost never get exposed and when they do they are just publicity stunts to make Putin seem like he is "hard on corruption". Additionally, Russian armory personell is known for just selling equipment illegally for personal gains.
The US and it's military may have a bloat problem but compared to Russia, corruption in the US is heavily frowned upon and it is much more sophisticated than the petty corruption you see in Russia (or even some other ex commie countries), which is why it is harder to prove and detect.
Also, claiming that the Russian military industry has been mostly dormant for decades makes absolutely no sense considering they have modernization plans in a ton of areas: Ratnik program, development of T14/T15, development of the Bumerang IFV, development of SU-57, stealth submarine propulsion, adoption of the AK-12 and so on.
@@TheStatisticalPizza and yet they outproduce the west in artillery shells
@@TheStatisticalPizzaThe US spends a lot but they actually get what they paid for. In Russia the higher ups say to order 100 trucks, the guy ordering the trucks orders 80 and pockets the rest, the company marking the trucks delivers 40 and bribes the guy receiving it to say that got all 80, the trucks that do get delivered slowly get picked apart in storage by under paid soldiers selling the parts on the black market. Now every has lied and said we have 100 trucks but actually there is like 10 working one.
It is sort of a myth about the ammunition carousel that is operated by the auto-loader being the reason for NBC protection and the turret flying off.
1. The tank's breech will be exposed to air from outside regardless of the automatic loader nor a human loader. Tanks achieve this by using special filters and air pumps to have constant overpressure of air inside the tank. Russian tanks without autoloaders also do this.
2. The turret flying off in catastrophic detonation of all of the tanks ammunition usually occurs from the *other* ammunition stored inside the vehicle, instead of the ammunition in the carousel underneath the turret basket. This spare ammunition is located in the turret's real walls, next to the driver inside the fuel tanks behind the front plate, and in the gap between the turret basket and the engine, although this depends on the model. T-55 and T-62 are manually loaded tanks, and they explode just the same. Plenty of vehicles explode like this when their ammunition is hit, the reason why the Abrams is always compared is because it has all ammunition stored in the rear of the turret behind a blast door, with blast panels on its roof. If ammunition detonates, it cannot build up pressure and blow the turret, nor will it cook the crew. T-90M, the latest Russian tank, moved its spare ammunition to the same location. However, it still has the carousel, so a detontion is still possible, (especially from top attack munitions, like the Javelin), but less likely compared to older models such as T-72, T-90, and T-80.
So many mistakes, delusions, wishful thinking.. keep on doing that until you get sober.
@@MrZlocktar here are your roubles comrade
This started off so well, then it just entered into realm of fantasy
Kinda like the fantasy of taking Kyiv in 3 days.
@@guydreamrprotection by it’s ghost
@@denisc.1282 Protection by the incompetence of the Russian army, and the valor of the Ukrainian defenders.
@@guydreamr protection by ignorant people talking about “3 days” not realizing there was no battle for Kiev. While airport next to it was taken in three hours
@@denisc.1282 The Russian forces came within a few kilometers of Kyiv before being repulsed as evidenced by the wonderful present they left for the civilized world to see at Bucha and Irpin just outside Kyiv, so your statements are inaccurate,
This guy has been out for some time...seems he never heard of the russian railroad work going into Crimea already completed, that makes the Kerch bridge redundant for logistics and supply purposes..
exactly its always pro ukrainians talking about that damn bridge, they are living in 2022 and early 2023 thinking that the bridge holds any strategic value anymore it actually bothers me how dumb these people are
That railroad is to feed OUT of Crimea into the ground units already into Eastern Ukrainea. To feed into Crimea you need the Kerch bridge from Russia proper and that’s the vulnerability Ryan is talking about: isolating Crimea.
All other Russian railroads north of Crimea inside occupied Ukraine are easily targetable from Western Ukraine.
@@Ryan_Christopher the railway starts at Rostov on don and finishes in sevastopol, the point of railway is to stop using the bridge for military assets. Why would the Russian bring military assets across the Kerch bridge to put on that railway when bring the military assets to Rostov on don and then down to sevastopol through the occupied territories is much safer?
@@MrWankyTankbecause to supply their needs across the whole front they need both routes. Choking either one, makes it hard to feed and supply their troops across a broad front. Redundancy is important. If you’ve only got 1 route, sabotage or a few strikes completely chokes off supplies. Russia needs and wants multiple supply routes.
Man Ryan looks like he’s either gonna sell or buy Dino secrets
Under rated comment.
Pure cope.
Ryan: I'm an underwater ceramic decontamination specialist
translation: I'm a dish washer
Ryan: I'm an open source intelligence analyst
translation: i lurk telegram channels
He knows something.
He has four-year degrees in both cybersecurity and software development, and has extensive experience consulting for, among other organizations, Veloxxity on information warfare and OSINT. So yeah, I'd say he knows what he's talking about.
@@guydreamr stop meat riding, sybersec and softdev give you as much authority to comment on Ukrane russian war as an average redditor. smh
@@BravoMx You're making a straw man argument, that wasn't your original proposition. Your original comment challenged Ryan's intelligence credentials, not his expertise on the Ukraine war.
@@guydreamr again, stop meat riding bro. my original post was making fun of the way the dude made his telegram lurking hobby sound more verbose than it really was. again average redditor could be in that seat giving the same opinions.
The Kerch Bridge is irrelevant now that all the rail lines have been placed in Southern Ukraine. Ryan is high in his own hopium.
people just want there to be a clear win condition, its not going to be so simple now.
Rails are easier to destroy than a bridge
@KaptajnKaffe the rails aren't the key.
Rolling stock, rail yards, support infrastructure are all critical
The rails are in artillery and missile range, the Kerch bridge is well away from the front
@@PotentiallyCriminal if the rails are not working non of that critical infastructure can get supplies.
You can not watch all the Rail and a small team can sabotage it.
You just said the rails makes the bridge irrelevant, which is wrong, because those rails will be harrassed night and day slowing logistics to a crawl.
Ryan talks about being a expert ten times as much as he actually offers anything that resembles expertise
Says the guys who didn't think Ukraine would last this long
most people thought they would last days
12:35 "There might be some corruption" That is like saying the south pole "might get a bit cold".
Yeah, when this guy glossed over corruption his stock fell ten points with me. This guy knows stuff but his flashlight isn't the brightest.
@@josephbucknavage6739 There is massive corruption in the US government and a lot of corruption even within our military. The point is that most talk of "corruption" in Ukraine is Russian propaganda. Russia is far more corrupt than Ukraine. Does that change our calculus?
@@josephbucknavage6739 Yeah, he seems knowledgeable but maybe not a people person.
He has no clue about the degree of corruption they have. They are covering it up A LOT. Journalists were arrested, died, the church banned, priests arrested...on and on and on...They were LITERALLY the most corrupt country in Europe before the war.
Damn how dare he not say some BS propaganda nonsense you've been fed for ages right?
Wait....so Destiny was wrong about the war the whole time?
No way! How is this possible?
As is Ryan, going to his videos back when it started
Ehm.. Regarding "portyanki" instead of socks - No, no we don't use it anymore, don't know for how many years.
Those are still used by older guys because if u know how to wrap them they're better than socks
@@nkinash321 No, no they are not.
@nkinash321 only if you have really bad socks.
@@JustChill-zd4ibyes, they are...seems that you have neither never used ones or you might tried but you actually dont know how to use them...😂
And no , im not russian, many other countries used them too.
Done My service in 90`s and even If these were allready going off mist who were taught to use them actually preferred them instead socks. Much more easier to wash and dry and also much better for your feet, specially If you wore winter boots or rubber boots...
Leather/gore-tex boots with socks in -30°C or in autum/spring rain are wayyyyy worse than older tech😂
who cares. slava ukraini!
Why does Ryan Macbeth act like Raymond reddington?😂
Eventually you start noticing the filter on the video and it starts getting annoying
Feels like I'm watching the conversation through a screen door lol. Very odd editing choice to say the least.
Omg now I can't unsee it 😢
I actually really don’t like the lighting from outside tbh, makes everything either gloomy or too bright, there’s also just miscellaneous items around makes it look like a living room
is it only me who is getting an echo/fan reverb throughout this?
Put this McBeth character against Andrei Martyanov and you’ll find out how clueless this Americans are.
Go watch RT if you wanna fantasize about Russia winning so much
> "Ukranians are fighting tooth and nail and won't give up"
> Young men fleeing the country to avoid fighting.
Way more Russians are fleeing than Ukrainians. Travelled much recently? Oh, I forgot. You lost your exchange rate and your ATM card does not work abroad anymore.
@@rmdomainer9042 If you actually travel around Europe and even North America you will see lots of Ukranians in all big cities despite the fact that men are forbidden from leaving Ukraine.
@@alexk3604 That has no bearing on anything I just said. Go to any cafe in Phnom Penh, Manila or Hanoi right now and see what nationalities dominate. At the end of the day, Ukrainians are on the side of justice. You are on the side of authoritarianism and mrdr.
@@alexk3604 That has no bearing on anything I just said. Go to any cafe in Phnom Penh, Manila or Hanoi right now and see what nationalities dominate. At the end of the day, Ukrainians are on the side of justice. You are on the side of authoritarianism and mrdr.
@@alexk3604 Those are residents and they have been there for a long time. Meanwhile, in Asia, you see pasty faced Russians from a mile away. Funny part is that just like in the 90s, you can also spot them due to them having weird clothes.
This guy has no idea what he’s on about it’s fucking hilarious
Destiny don't know wtf he's talking about!! Ukraine had built fortifications since 2014 and it's extremely difficult to break those defence lines.. when Ukraine tried it's summer offensive last summer they got destroyed and suffered enormous casualties!
Neither do you apparently but sure, go off my short king lol
@@LightningDoesStrikeThrice what exactly doesn't I know what I'm talking about?
What she says at :37 about the theory of violence is quite profound. Society requires that all violence be in the hands of the police, because channeled violence is the foundation of law, and law is the basis of the state. Social contract theory is that we give up some rights, the right to commit violence, in return for increased safety. But everyone is theoretically capable of violence, and the state has the power to unlock that violence with army indoctrination. So the state actually controls the ability to use violence in the individual. Martial arts can slowly bring that control into the hands of an individual, and generally also teaches a code of conduct to go with that training. But many movies are violent fantasies, in which violence is a magic power, so people do long for their own capacity for violence. But this entire conversation is not useful to society, which demands that it not even be a question, all violence is in the hands of the police. There is room for some philosophical conjecture here, as she says.
Aye.
love how at 12:48 in the live comments, Brunkaren "reminder that russia is winning the war".. a "war" russia, with probably the 2nd most powerful army in the world (claimed) planned to win in 2 weeks by overunning ukraine, a small country with a small military and a former comedian as a president. now 2 years later.. russia are no where near any objective victory.. on top of that, ukraine just invaded russia in the kursk region. doesnt really look like winning to me.
This dude been propping up Ukraines chances.
I am really adverse to listening to him come back to reality two years later.
This comment!
Putin already lost. He missed his chance to roll over Ukraine and show the West and NATO were fragile.
@chrishooge3442 that isn't how attrition works
@@jacobhammock3355 You aren't thinking big enough. Putin intended the fall of Ukraine to shatter the West's cohesion. The opposite has happened. NATO got even stronger. And he's wrecked his economy in the process. His grand strategy failed. Everyone now sees the danger Putin poses. Even if Ukraine capitulated there's no going back.
@@chrishooge3442😂😂😂😂😂
Bots out in force in the comments already
Yup, its a pretty common thing with videos treating the Ukrain conflict.
oh no. did someone say something you disagree with? :D
@@nonyabisness6306more like you see the same copy and paste comments from the same accounts
Astounding how little Destiny knows on geopolitics and the Ukraine war
I like Ryan, hes a good guy but I think his view of this war is framed on his training and experiences which are probably vintage at this stage.
Cheap inexpensive drones that can carry a warhead or drop ordance, in addition to artillary is what will win this war. Sadly Russia seems to be winning that race imho.
The Russian military may be downright haphazard in their approach but they also have an uncanny ability to adapt to a situation. Ignoring that is a recipe for disaster.
He is still thinking the old way. He thinks F-16 is gonna win the war for Ukraine 😂😂😂.
With dozens of Su-35 jets, Russia couldn't win the war but he thinks somehow F-16 will do it for Ukraine!!!
No, the future is a massive number of cheap drones. That's where the victory will come. The Russians and the Ukrainians understand this, that's why they are putting a lot of efforts to make more drones.
Ukraine already used all those systems that he is talking about: HARM missiles, AAMRAM missiles, JDAM-ER bombs, etc... none of them changed the course of the war. In fact, Russians have successfully nullified the JDAM bombs with electronic jamming. Instead, drones have proven many times they can help Ukraine turn the tide.
Ryan thinking on this war is out dated unfortunately. The future of war is drones of all type, air defense, electronic warfare. Expensive fighter jets and fancy missiles are going to be a thing of the past. We can clearly see this on the battlefield.
I bet OP would have backed Persia against Greece, back in the day.
I wanna see a conversation with Lazerpig and this guy.
Them duo debating tankies on military capabilities would be a must watch
This is like watching an alternate reality in which Chris Chan became a scam artist.
There is so many things wrong with what he said about Russian army, training, blowing up bridge, etc. I don't even know where to begin.
No country can defeat Russia. Same as no country can defeat US or China. Understand that Europe and UK would have fallen if USSR wasn't attacked by Germany in WWll.
But Ukrainian was trained and equipped by NATO from 2014. Clearly their training dosen't work.
And there's no way that Ukrainians can take back any of the land they lost. Because it's Russian land now. And most of the people living there are ethnic Russians. And Blowing up the bridge will not give Ukrainian an uper hand at the negotiating table. Remember, Crimea was under Russia for years before the bridge was built. And Russia still started this military operation.
Except this guy is not really an intel analyst...
Destiny thinks 80% of his population would fight.. yea naaaa
30:00 typical american thinks they are invincable , and forgets they have lost most of their wars
Very clown take on this
@@noobmansuperstarboy is being you or being nut hugger for American wars
No explanation of the build up and reasons for this war.
No understanding of the way this conflict is going or the balance of power.
The guy thinks Russian military still uses portyanki, what do you expect. I'm surprised he didn't say anything about NKVD.
3:46 - Not completely the full story (incorrect on this point I fell really). There is something called being hull down and in the lower depressions of landscapes / geography if you have a lower tank profile, it is much easier to remain undetected and hull down.
Also, when you have a laser rangefinder like the Abrams, Challenger or even the T-72 has (basically all modern MBTs) it is not hard to hit your target. So, it is more about trying to remain unseen and really for a normal infantry man on the ground, it still has that effect of being difficult to be seen and if you're hull down, you're even more difficult to hit).
Now where the real problems come in isn't even really with the javelin (Many weapons have top attack, the British NLAW has top-down attack once you spotted your target, hell even Russia has a landmine that can do top attack, that will jump up if a tank is detected and comes close and also the missiles strapped onto helicopters have top attack, than can see very far away, more than an infantrymen can), the problem comes in with recon.
Recon is way too good now. With thermal sights on a drone, it can see the battlefield 24/7. And any tank (even the Western tanks we saw with the Ukrainian counter offensive) were sitting ducks.
"You play stupid games, you win stupid prizes, and one of those prizes might be a Tomahawk missile."
Sarmat much better and 100x times powerful than old tomahawk
It's almost like the US support for Ukraine was a waste of time and all we did was find the death of hundreds of thousands of people. Why does this sound familiar?
US support wasn't "waste of time"
IF usa and itrs allies did nothing ukraine would have maybe fallen and showed that west is weak and pathetic babies and usa is weak to even do anything against russia OR other dictator countries who hate usa
Good morning, Vietnam.
Hello from Russia. Russian army hasnt been using "portyanki" for around 20 years. "Expert"
20 years is not accurate, they started to get rid of them in 2007 and the usage is decreasing since then, and mostly not used today. However they have been issued as well as improvised and are used when supplies are low.
@@user-gp5wu6hk2c "around"
@@user-gp5wu6hk2c the same with Ukraine, they started getting rid of portyanki in 2007😅
Highly depends on what unit you get assigned to.
Apparently they had to start bringing them back due to supply issues
It all depends on how one defines "winning" - is it getting what you want or preventing what the other side wants? Especially in the context of how much one's hands are tied behind their backs ...
Judging by what their respective leaders say, Ukraine wants to get back to its 1991 border and Russia seeks the destruction of the Ukrainian military. This already on some levels mean that Ukraine is going to lose its own war goals one way or another, as it’s an unrealistic pipe dream.
got a pretty high regard for the F 16 getting air dominance over a battlefield that's got so much anti air coverage that nobody has been able to establish air dominance. Truth is the f16's that ukraine will get will not have the latest upgrades, the air frame is 40 years old and they have zero stealth so while they're better than say a mig 29 or su 27, they aren't that much better. Also talking up the amraam is a solid missile for a 30 year old missile that's seen updates but would you rather have that or the hypersonic r77 that is way faster and has more range.
What's going to happen is those f 16's are going to hang back from the frontlines just like the rest of the air assets are because both sides have tons of anti air capability. or they're going to get shot down.
USSR didn't survived Afghanistan war with 50K casualties after 10 years. Ukraine has support of the West, russia has the most sanctions. Reality is that it will be impossible for russia to keep not just Crimea but all their territories. That's why they are begging for negotiations
No, it just means it was predestined that it would take Russia more time. Idea that Ukraine has any possibility of reclaiming any land is pure delusion. How did last counter offensive go? Oh right...
@@KolyaUrtz Ukraine reclaimed Kharkiv oblast and Kherson city already. Now they have even more equipment. Russia has more sanctions.
@@5ufo sanctions have failed, Russia is too independent to be effected by them and has many international friends which can supply it with anything.
They took it long ago when russians were establishing the current line and all those regions were not taken, they were literally given to them buy the russians. The current line is impenetrable while the one russians left had 0 defenses. Also the most equipment Ukraine had was during summer offensive...which pathetically failed and made a mockery out of the Ukrainian forces.
@@5ufo all gains in the last year and a half were russian....so how can Ukraine take them back??? Why are you daydreaming? Lmaoo
@Schizofre Official Russian casualties after 2 years are 400k and half of black sea fleet. And it is the most sanctioned country in the world now. Russia won't survive just on propaganda and copium
When two over prepared sober people meet a vet on vacation.
Now Ryan is a Intelligence Expert 😅😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 only in his own mind.
If it is your "expert", we will be fine in Moscow
👏🙂
Yay Ryan and Destiny
No way!!! Ryan fucking McBeth!!! I love this guy!!!
That lady keeps interrupting the guy with subject matter expertise it’s annoying af.
do you know that the man blown up at the bridge did not know he was to be blown up with it? 22:22
Americans love talking about things they do not understand.
Thats actually insane seeing the type of thing Ive seen a lot of russian supporters say...
Russians love doing it even more. I blame the vodka.
@@cameronspence4977 tell me how talking nonsense is making you a russia supporter?
Russian Bots
the guy who made all the wrong calls telling us what's what, that's rich, this guy is the Jim Cramer of military analysis
The craziest thing about this interview is that erudite has never seen the movie independence day
The white frame is unnessessary it weired looking at it in a dark room. Would be better without it.
Dear expert, portyanki were replaced by socks about 15 years ago, some use them willingly, not because there are not enough socks, but because they believe that footcloths are better than socks, the gorka-3 suit is better than the new "pindos" multicam combat shirt, and tarpaulin boots are better than trekking boots
Actually portyanki were replaced with socks in Ukrainian and Russian army at the same very year 15 years ago
Watched the full episode, was really interesting to see Ryan speaking so openly and in length about all those topics!
Desiny really needs to stop sharing his aderal 😂 not every one can handle it
Give Ryan a role in the next Jurassic Park.
I like Ryan but why does he act like he’s talking to children when he’s explaining something lol
i thank dan for finally fixing destinys camera
Is this a podcast from 2023? This is not going to age well.
Destiny and shapiro should get married and be in an open relationshit
America probably thought that there was no way the Vietcong could defeat the US + friends.
America probably thought there was no way the Taliban could defeat the US + friends.
Winning a war is only the first problem. Maintaining peace is a real conundrum.
Russia cannot defeat Ukrainian conventional military and follow up with the sustained miltary presence necessary to suppress unconventional (terrorist/partisan/guerilla) war.
The territory isn't worth the cost. Putin miscalculated the resistance.
It's simply a matter of time and cost benefit calculation.
Putins retirement victory lap backfired, end of story.
Notsoerudite is so freaking gorgeous. Also, this is an amazing interview.
There is no option in which Russia will give up Crimea. It is more likely that conflict will escalate to nuclear war than Putin will retreat from Crimea.
Than Russians will retreat from Crimea*. It has nothing to do with Putin personally.
A lot of negative comments lately
tanks in a nuclear war bro
@@backwardthoughts1022tanks are literally designed to have a biohazard system for nuclear and chemical war, both east and west do this
Because people can smell BS....When the see it!!!!!
Nice propaganda, needs more Ghost of Kviv though
Curious, do you snooth out the wrinkles in your brain yourself, or do you have someone else don it for you?
Feeling like I’m an army expert from playing battlefield games. The names of the equipment and playing the game help me understand.
Sadly Ryan lives in a fantasy world and does not intend to leave it. While he has a good understanding of technical aspects, he has no clue of russians/ukrainians and their mentality or what the hell is actually is going on there.
It is a shame.
Sadly you are wrong
@@darthrevan6713 care to explain?
@@TheSherwoodRus I dont think he can.
Fact
@@DonXardasI can point to one mistake - Ryan overstates Ukrainians' morale, recently there's been a lot of talk about manpower shortages, people hide from mobilization officers, the parliament can't pass stricter laws in fear of public backlash, same with Zelensky. It's not critical yet, but it is suboptimal.
However, Ukrainians are extremely well informed about what's going on in their country. Russians just ignore the war, or get endless victory reports from mass media. Only a small percentage frequent milblogger channels, know the true state of affairs and an ever smaller one is actively pro-war and donating etc.
I have serious doubts about F16 giving Ukraine air superiority. They will be able to contest the sky much more than now, but superiority? Ukraine is to receive about 60 F16s, which means they will still be in a severe numerical inferiority. The F16 is also not a new plane, and the ones Ukraine is about to receive especially not. Finally we see how well all the other western wunderwaffen turned out to be. Some were proven to be pretty good, but gamechanger? No.
Not to mention that it's all about the tactics and strategy that they will use. I believe that Macbeth is being very optimistic about the outcome of this conflict and in part dominant down to a point where it's kind of misleading. I've noticed that a lot about some of the things he covers in his channel. He is also very much like destiny and uses a crap ton of straw man to make his arguments. But overall he has a lot of correct information however it is a lot about how he relates it
@@boblawblaw892Wasn't this guy proclaiming that Russia was failing in 2022?
He has technical knowledge, but that's about it. The sudden explosion in his TH-cam viewership really pumped up that head of his.
@@MrCooper89they literally were failing all over the place in 2022 are you high? They were getting their ahh beat all over ukraine from kyiv to kharkiv to kherson, that was arguably ukraines best year...did you see how much troops and equipment and vehicles they lost? Not to mention the ukr counteroffensives? I mean russia has literally 100x the military capability, economy and power as ukraine, and they still cant advance more than 100m in 2 or 3 places in ukraine, theyve taken exactly 3 large towns in an entire year of fighting, let alone any significant area, and theyre in a significantly better position now than they were in 2022, I mean they technically arent losing anymore but they definitely were in 2022. Its clearly and obviously a stalemate, and thats with a major improvement from last year...
Its only effective for the first 2 months then it gets countered almost completely. So they might do some damage for a couple of months but that's about it.
The Ukrainians are not using any doctrine right now. They won't be able to tie in an air component into their ground offensive.
Not to mention them ignoring their training time and time again.
Alot of people talk a lot of shit about destiny but I see a man trying to figure shit out like the rest of us. I appreciate someone humbly asking questions and trying to learn instead of never even questioning your opinions like most.
17:26 Sorry, but you don't how it is there now. Now they beat guys and throw them into vans to sent to front.
Why is there 2 women vs 1 man isn't that a bit sexist?
The moment the guy with the hat said there is a chance to take Crimea, lost all credibility.
He's never had credibility.
It’s not like they tried really hard last year or anything and completely failed
This was the best podcast listen i have had in years. I appreciated Kyla's questions a lot more than I thought I would on this particular topic. Good Job
@37:00 to answer your question; go read FMFM-1 it’s the Marine Corps’ war fighting doctrine. It will say “Warfighting” right across the top. Let’s you peak in at the Marine philosophy of war and how to go about it. Gives great insight.
@Destiny you should read this too. “FMFM-1”
Russia sees this fight as a fight for survival. They will not lose it. It would be the same as if Mexico allowed Russian troops and bases in their country, USA would fight Mexico till they win.
You also have to remember there are millions of ethnic Russians in Eastern part of Ukraine who are willing to fight against Ukraine. They have been doing it since 2014.
Ryan has some good points, but this video makes it seem like he is drastically overestimating Ukrainian capabilities and underestimating Russian ones. He doesn't seem to acknowledge (at least in this particular video) the fact that the Russians are learning and adapting and that they are not the same force with the same structure and capabilities and training that they have shown in the early days of the invasion. We also have to acknowledge the reality as it stands right now - Russia is winning right now. Not saying that it will stay this way, but this is the current situation. Ukraine has been largely dependent on foreign aid. The relative lack of foreign aid in recent months (in contrast to 2022 and 2023) is showing on the frontlines. They are barely holding the frontline, in fact the Russians are advancing in several parts of it and Ryan here is talking how Ukraine could take back the occupied territories and even Crimea. Wake up dude, it isn't 2022 anymore. The Russians have brought many more men to the frontline than they had in 2022 and they are learning and adapting the same as the Ukrainians are adapting. Despite what media sometimes wants us to believe, the Russians aren't stupid or retarded and unable to learn from their mistakes. In fact, we've all seen the success of the Ukrainian Kharkhiv and Kherson offensives in late 2022, and then the subsequent failure of the 2023 summer offensive (despite all the western equipment supplied specifically for this offensive). It shows the Russian military is adapting. And right now, largely due to exhausting a significant part of their offensive capabilities during last summer's offensive, the Ukrainians simply don't have significant offensive capabilities like they did before. They are not at all capable of retaking occupied territories at this point. There is a reason why Ukraine right now is asking largely for defensive weapons (most importantly air defense systems) instead of offensive ones. 50 or so F-16s aren't going to change this overnight, in fact it is questionable if a few dozen F-16s will have a major impact on the war at all right now. By all accounts, this year is going to be a very hard one for Ukraine where they will be trying to just hold on, and Ryan here is saying that they could be retaking lost lands by the end of the year. As if destroying the Kerch bridge will magically enable an exhausted Ukrainian military to just completely wreck the much stronger than 2 years ago Russian military in Ukraine. Not to mention the Russians are well aware of the vulnerability of this bridge and have been for a while, which is why they are developing and strengthening alternative routes. Just a couple of months ago or so they announced they are rebuilding a railway from Rostov to Berdyansk to serve as an alternative to the Kerch bridge, but there are also other routes already being used.
I believe we have ample proof of Russia's capabilities and they are very poor. They are spooning their own borders 2 years in.
The Russians have access to Crimea from the north, blowing up the Kerch bridge is an inconvenience not a game changer. It’s like Ryan hasn’t looked at a map.
Romanticized propaganda self-propagates - a virus using emotion as a delivery mechanism, and it makes victims feel good, so they help spread it to feed the war machine. Ever wonder why there is not US sponsored peace propaganda?
Do you mean Ukrainians didn't defeat the Russians in summer 2023 despite all 31 Abrams tanks?
@@romailto9299 well, the abrams tanks arrived in september or october if I recall correctly, but yeah it wouldn't have made a difference. Zaluzhny made the right call to stop concentrated armored attacks after a few weeks because they clearly couldn't break through. The offensive was just massively hyped up, but anyone following the situation a bit more closely could predict that the offensive would most likely not achieve any massive success, especially not liberate Crimea or whatever else the western media was predicting.
I support Ukraine but to think they will take back Crimea is delusional. They only managed to put a small dent on the Surovikin line and they losing territory day by day right now. Also the F-16 is not a wonder weapon that this guy thinks it is, it will have no significant effect on the battlefield. I don't understand why people keep saying these about western weapons.
US & EU delay weapon & ammo delivery by 6 to 12 months to appease Russia.
F16 are a gamechanger as much as abrams, bradleys, nato weapons, patriots, javelins and western sanctions on russia where supposed to be a game changer, Ukraine will loose unless something crazy happens like "nato boots on the ground".
If they take back Crimea though then Russia is cooked which is why Ukraine is riding high on morale right now & they need all the morale they can get because morale is what turns the tide of war more so than any other single variable hence why that dam break was genius
nice, deleting my msg classy,
They’ve been conserving forces and ammunition. You haven’t seen a large scale attack from Ukraine outside of the Kharkiv offensive. And nobody is saying the f16 is a wonder weapon, they’re saying it will force Russia to move their SAM batteries back which will open up the frontline to greater attacks