Why won't China Surpass the United States? - VisualPolitik EN
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The Debate of the Century: Will China surpass the United States economically and militarily? Polls say most people are inclined to think so. Not surprisingly, over the past 40 years, China has experienced an economic boom and an improvement in its military capabilities. Even according to World Bank data, China's inflation-adjusted GDP is already higher than that of the United States.
However, things could be very different from what they seem at first glance. In this video we tell you all the details about how the great political and economic competition of the 21st century may evolve: the one that pits Xi Jinping's China against the United States for world dominance.
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They closed out 2020 with good data because they manufacturer the numbers too 😏
You forgot to add how all commoditities are pegged to the US dollar and how it benefits the North American market and economy, but that may be left to another video ;).
allright lets bet if US will be no1 economy after 2028.
@@r3dpowel796 Probably will... COVID does not bode well for China's side.
@@youxkio Trust me youtube favour american propaganda. we will have to see if this ex journalist for wallstreet propaganda network is just another Gordon chang.
Anyone remember in the 80's when everyone in the West was going crazy worrying Japan was going to dominate the world?
exactly what I was thinking
Well the main difference between Japan and China is that Japan's way of life and economy are equal to Western countries. They have quality goods, they are efficient and they politically and socially stable. If Japan's population was just to continue to grow it would have probably surpassed the US. China also has a shrinking population, but everything about their economy, politics and societal structure is far from stable. China is constantly censoring political dissendents, the communist party has fractured and there are two factions competing for power, they are oppressing all minorities and religions, and they are extremely aggresive towards all of their neighbors. Japan is not doing any of that.
@@dallascopp4798 interesting. Are there examples you can provide? To be devil’s advocate, we are seeing increasingly unstable political system in the west. Trump. The Capital riot/insurrection. Etc. Seems like both China and the US are a bit of a mess.
yes. Just relax and dont worry about China. He just like a Japan. GDP will go straight for 20 years from now!!
@@occam5375 The insurrection was mostly theater. And Trump was by, and large theater since he was so ineffective. Contrast that with China that actually makes political dissidents disappear. In the U.S. the capital rioters are getting a fair trial. That's what stability really entails. If someone says something bad about the government, and that someone suddenly vanishes that's a heavy sign of instability if that is the only way to remain stable. Think about it. The U.S. at one time fought a civil war, and that didn't destroy it. Simple conflict is not necessarily a sign of instability.
If China is inefficient, I don't know what even India is.
India is superpower: th-cam.com/video/CQYPVmCcpBk/w-d-xo.html
ccp invests in china infrastructure, India not so much
@@MajesticOak You are dreaming!! Not in next 1000 years unless Indian fix its dirty "democracy"!
The fact that most of the indian population still wash in the same ditch they shit in means that their infrastructure possibly needs a little work.
As Donnie Trump would say a "shithole"
I am an American, and currently live in China. From what I have heard and seen, you're pretty well "spot on".
To top it all off your a drain on their economy right now having to keep you under surveillance 24/7. You must be giving them something of value or you would have been gone by now?
Are you still alive? @ronald simons
Are you writing this from a ‘work camp’?
@@danclmb what is wrong with you? There are at least 100,000 Americans in China right at this moment doing business. I doubt China has that big of a “work camp” 😉
I am an American that left China this summer. I don't regret it. I liked my time there, but I was ready to leave.
My father works for a company (American) that was contracted by a Chinese competitor to assist the inexperienced Chinese company in constructing a facility, using the American company’s experience. Two things my father noted were that the entire design that the Chinese were constructing was needlessly complicated to generate more labor and jobs, even down to the ways everything had to be welded. The other thing of note was the complete apathy for construction worker safety, and the nonchalance of the Chinese foremen upon hearing of fatal accidents.
I am a Chinese and you are right.
that's becuz of they are Kung fu men; No safety needed.
You're not going to be able to feed 1.4bil people well... some are gonna get dregs... the totalitarian government. Idk... 1.4bil people with complete freedom? China's probably gonna burn from the inside.
Most high ranking chinese politicians have their kids in harvard and yale.
China just wants to be left alone to develop man... they ain't gonna rule the world. But it be cool to see them brawl, light up the skies.
At least a huge wargame. Broadcast. Entertaint us.
If a country starts at a low level, then the growth can be phenomenal. In more developed countries, a smaller growth yields greater value.
Not when the country has 1.4 billion people..... literally the population of 14 Russias 14 Japan's 20 Germany's 60 Australias.....when u have that many people,every percent of growth is a feat.
@Hans Otto Kroeger Kaethler how much of the chineses economy is privately owned ?
@@billfurlong4421 It changes a lot over time,but the state owned enterprises account for around 30%,so privately owned more than 50%,others may come from collective ownership
The USA is not in the South China Sea because it cares so much about the Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam, freedom and Democracy or free elections.
USA is there because of this: "IT IS IMPERATIVE that no EurAsian challenger emerges capable of dominating EurAsia and thus of also challenging America". ~ Zbignew Brzeziński, former national security adviser for Jimmy Carter 🤔
@@olefella7561 Our good old Asia-Pacific region is now referred to as 'Indo-Pacific', and before long it would be called the 'Anglo-Pacific' region.
By the way thanks for your insightful multi-pages 'Ole Fella' comment at, th-cam.com/video/H6nkAVegk0g/w-d-xo.html
Japan is the largest _foreign_ holder of US debt, not the largest holder. Fairly important difference.
Yeah a huge difference...vox video explains it well.......
@Wiggles Wiggles Local governments, pension funds, individuals... en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_of_the_United_States#Debt_holdings
Wtf do you know?
@@BeachSamuraiStudios Ah, an epistemological question! Unusually deep, yet concise, for YT.
I trust the Japanese a hell of a lot more than the Chinese. Michael Pillsbury dug into Deng Xiaoping's 100 year plan to defeat the West. Buying up debt was one of the top priorities.
As for the Japanese, their national Constitution and relative lack of standing forces means they are heavily dependent on the US for their protection. If America is strong, they are safe. If America succeeds, they succeed. The Japanese have a vested interest in seeing the US remain strong. The Chinese only want leverage over us.
If you look at history (the past hundreds of years), China, and also India, had been the biggest economies of the world. But had never been able to project this power beyond their borders. Like European countries were able to do. Having a huge population has the benefit of making you the biggest economy, but the curse of keeping your power firmly within your own borders.
this time everything is different.
This is one of the best explanations of the weaknesses of the Chinese economy I've seen in one video. Great video.
America has many weaknesses, but we really shouldn't be overly worried about Chinese hegemony too soon.
China is doing some things very well. I'm impressed with their long-range planning and especially the idea to become a leader in the new technologies of the zero-carbon future.
You've been bamboozled my friend. Can't credit CCP for long range "planning" while their housing infrastructure is dangerously outdated, not to mention their ghost cities sit vacant and dilapidated. Not very efficient at all. America does have many weaknesses as well, chief among them our growing dependence on central government coupled with reckless, irresponsible mismanagement of the budget and zero accountability for the Federal Reserve - both cancers of big government. When government grows too big, society soon decays.
@@Redditor6079 Agree with both of you. You measure the real force of a society more by looking how it handles national or international crisis, financial ones like 2008, or 2020 with the covid. Not sure the US handled both of them well, there still 50 millions of poor people living with less than 900$/month, and it's probably more. The USA could have done sooooo much better
I like what countries like Germany or France have done the past 40 years, they protect much more their people, and they are still both successful capitalist and socialist economies at the same time, with some weakness of course. But a good combo.
There's a 2012 IMF study, arguing that France and Germany are the best economy in proportion of population, taking also into account social indicators, infrastructures, and they're also the most capable economies to handle a financial crisis.
th-cam.com/video/HRJtT4e6gRE/w-d-xo.html
USA vs China
USA vs China
@@CloudC-kj6kt
True. Terrible failure of US leadership and the cancerous philosophy of neoliberal capitalism. And it's only one of many disastrous failures.
China talks the talk and Americas fool politicians eat it up but to say China has any interest at all about zero carbon emissions is just naive and incorrect. China has currently on the drawing board 420 coal fired power plants it will have built by 2030. Ninety percent of all ocean pollution comes from seven rivers in Asia two of those are in China. When China mines for rare earth it has no interest about the environment. Only a fool thinks otherwise.
China had a really good run. Seriously who thought in the 1970s that China would get THIS far?! That’s already a massive victory, even if China has a total meltdown.
@Superior than everyone that's why the British started a war to sell drugs to them lol
@Superior than everyone China is the worst and most backwards country ever, and also racist Af. Way more than the US or other countries. And still has most of its population living on a dollar or less. Every time they announced less poverty they just lowered the threshold. It's all about face anyways.
Simple base effect growth for the first 30 years of that growth
@Kong Jun Jie China will not get anywhere as long as the ccp is in power and wu maos like you get paid.
True
"Without data, you're just another person with an opinion." - W. Edwards
Truth👍
He lacks data too...
First of all NEVER underestimate your opponent.
Second, this idiots don't take in account socio - cultural aspects of this nations or the "human capital" as this idiot pointed out.
USA at this point is a total mess, while China is highly determined.
USA cant even figure out each bathroom they should use the "two moms" military add of US says anything you need to know about this problem.
It does not matter if a country is more powerful than the other,if theres no will to fight back US wilL lose.
He did ok , China has about 12 years
If this statement is true, so often is its inverse: without an opinion, you're just a person with data. As management guru Peter Drucker once said, "To get the facts [i.e., data] first is impossible. There are no facts unless one has a criterion of relevance.” In short, without an opinion to start with you won't know what part of the data you should be counting as facts.
I work in defence and id rather not elaborate on that. All of this is economic data missing a key factor. Our own inefficiency. It can take 2 days to put a circuit breaker on a submarine into a safe condition for us to simply turn off a pump on an active military ship to even clean a pump or to tighten a wire. This is because of the red tape and bearocracy brought out by us trying to account for the stupidest person that could possibly be hired. The chinese dont have this problem.
Keep hanging tough USA much respect from Australia ✊🏻
Don't ever give them coal again, stay strong Australia, respect from the USA
Right back at you Aussie friends 🇦🇺🤝🇺🇲
@@jmoney1410 I hope we don’t ever give them any more coal nor should we they need to stop trying threatening other nations giving them resources isn’t fixing the problem.
@@bridgedavis8989 thank you 😎
@@jamiehorosak3718 agree with you , 💯 percent, they ease your lockdowns yet, take care
I don’t think China needs to be as powerful as the US, but if China can take Taiwan, defend it, and themselves, then they’re powerful enough. That is is what causes concern.
One of China's major goal is to establish an Asia economic system independent of U.S. dollar monopoly, something Japan wanted to do during WW2. Due to colonialism, Western governments hold great influence over world economy for centuries, having an continent free of such influence would allow local nations to trade freely, much like using Euros.
China cannot take Taiwan with out risking war with the United States and is why it has not happened! War is not in either countries best interests nor the world…..
@@adrastoso9727 Any nation whom U.S. calls an enemy but hasn't invaded, is an enemy that could potentially cause U.S. significant damage, such as China, in comparison to Iraq. While U.S. has the strongest army in the world, they are scattered everywhere to maintain control over other nations. If U.S. and China ever fought, Russia would join in the moment U.S. send in the back-up. The U.S. would suffer enough losses that they could no longer maintain the aforementioned control over the world as they are right now, even if it won the war.
As it is, it's far more beneficial to wage battle over economy and media. As difficult as it is to say no to China's economic potential, international media is largely within the control of U.S. and European nations, defaming is far easier than using guns.
@@Cyberium our economies are tied together to make it economically a bad idea to go to war. It is tough to break because all these corporations are making so much money on cheap labor, or at least they used to…. Things are changing and public option has turned on China among everything this video talks about.
People seem to assume that Russia would just come to China’s aid and declare war on America, but that could work against Russian’s interests. China wants lands that Russia holds in support Siberia. The only reason Russia and China are getting along is because of the threat of the United States! In reality China is a far greater threat to Russia because America doesn’t want to possess any of Russians lands while China does!
Also, America has far more allies than China does. China just tends to upset its neighbors are they fear China for good reason including fellow communist Vietnam. In a situation such as a war many countries would try and stay neutral, probably including Russia as well. There are TH-cam videos talking about what could happen in a war between China and Russia; interesting stuff but not in anyone’s interest.
@@adrastoso9727 It's economically tied, yes, and another reason why U.S. would not declare war with China easily. Though, China had been wanting to establish an Asian trading zone with minimal U.S. dollar influences, that works against the agenda of Western corporations, leaving it unchecked would be bad business also. It'd end U.S.'s monopoly of the world, that's what U.S. and its allies are afraid of.
As for Russia, you might be surprised that they very well might come to China's aid, the reason being that if China is defeated by U.S. and subsequently occupied, U.S. military would be right next to Russian border, do you think Russia would allow that? Russia also has high oil reserve, one reason why U.S./Europe is trying to economically oppress Russia to sap it for cheap, which Russia is NOT at all happy about. (Europe pretty much serves U.S. at this point)
And when you consider allies, you also need to consider the ever-present issue of economy. U.S. was the leading economy of the world, it also have military base on multiple nations' soil to present a physical threat, it was easy for weaker nations to choose U.S. over China a few decades ago, for profit and safety alike. However, now that China can potentially provide a more lucrative trade deal, these nations are forced to choose sides. It's not they're afraid of China, what they're afraid of is that they have to choose side between two super powers. Do not for a moment believe that U.S. wouldn't punish its "ally" for their misgiving. None of those nations, including Japan, enjoys having U.S. military bases on them, and each of them are tired of being U.S.'s puppets. Last time Taiwan disappointed U.S., the U.S. ditched the alliance and befriended China. There's no such thing as moral or justice in international politics, only profits. If a war ever happened, how many of U.S.'s allies would actually help out? I bet most of them would wait for the result.
And, do you remember why U.S. and Europe recently want to impose their infrastructure influence on the rest of the world? Because while they spent the past centuries continuing modern colonialism, China actually progress significantly on building its own as well as helping continents like Africa. While Westerners pillaged Africa for resources, keeping them minimal like cattle, China offered ways to build Africa nations in exchange for resources. China must've done something right, or else U.S. and Europe wouldn't be following China's steps, late though it may be.
Putting restrictions on how many kids people can have is what really screwed them in the long term of things
Demographic bomb about to go off
Well, there were other issues (their fucked up housing market and piss poor diplomacy doesn't help) but yeah, the baby thing will be one of the biggest nails in their coffin.
@@roythousand13 those are mostly already rich countries that are far better equipped to deal with that problem, tho
And how many highly-educated, highly productive people wish to move into China? The number is staggeringly small. Therein also lies the strength of the West: the best and the brightest move over there -including many of China's own top performers. This allows US to withstand its demographic decline much better.
I suspect it was a secret plot by the Americans to weaken them long term by playing on their fears of overpopulation, fears that were so prevalent during the 1970's and 80's and the Chinese fell for it hook, line and sinker. Anthropogenic climate change is now the new fear.
How can you fail to mention that a major contributor to America's wealth is it's currency being the world's reserve currency.
and the petro dollar
And that is going away very soon!
Industry, foreign aid, and establishment of services as an economic sector is what made their currency the global currency.
@@primeoil4758 and what is going to replace it? Lmao the US dollar is the most stable it’s not going anywhere.
@@deliveryman12 CBDCs. Virtually every nation is developing it and once it's on you dont need 3rd party currencies for cross border trade but use your own CBDC
Always remember history changes everything..the greatest superpowers of today might end up in books in few hundred years- someone's quote
Also the gap between rich and poor in US is going up, it's more scary than that of china...
Did you mean to say "time changes everything"? History is looking backwards, time is looking forwards. You're correct that a country once hegemonic cannot sustain that position forever. Look at all the empires of the past.
Its too early to call at this point, is my thought. Sure China's slowed down their growth and they have lots of problems to overcome that are holding them back.. but at the same time we have a US that seems to be dead-set on destroying its own dominance. Its not really a question of whether China can surpass the US at this point, it seems to be more of a question of whether who will collapse in on themselves first.
USA is already collapsing, Socially, politically, manufacturing, militarily and scientifically. The bully of the world is destroying itself , after doing the same to a hundred countries before. Thanks be to god. Lol
@@simonjones9455 > Thanks be to god
I wouldn't be giving divine approval quite yet. Sure, the US has been a less-than-ideal overseer of the world, but power vacuums don't tend to last long. _Someone_ will take over if the US falls.
So the question can't be "is the US a good steward for the world?", the question must be "would whoever replaces them be even worse?"
And unfortunately, the answer to that question is undoubtedly "yes, much worse". China's foreign relations policy is little different from the US'. Less bombs involved (so far) but that's mostly because they don't (yet) have the military resources to do that. Beyond that, their playbook is almost identical to the US'. And their internal policy is a human rights atrocity at best.
Next in line used to be the EU, but after Brexit they're obviously less of a power in general, but more importantly they've focused inward trying to repair their own problems before another country decides to secede. They have little interest in foreign policy at the moment beyond the absolute necessities of trade and self defense. And even if they stepped up, its not like Europe's got a fantastic history either when it comes to world dominance. Sure the modern EU is a much different beast from the multiple competing kingdoms of colonial times, but that history is still there.
So we're down to what.. Russia? They aren't exactly known for their benevolence either. Though in some ways getting this far down the rankings might be OK to a certain degree - Russia is still classified as a "superpower" but they're a very distant third from the US and China - the control they impose likely wouldn't be fantastic, but at least they probably aren't powerful enough to impose _too_ much on the rest of the world. At least as things currently stand.
And that's about where the list ends. There's not really any nation or group of nations that come anywhere close to the power of those 4. Maybe the African Union will get there some day, but that's probably decades away and they're still constantly on the verge of civil war between various tribes, factions and whatever other demographic breakdowns can be found across those multitude of countries.
But 4 is more than enough. I can't imagine any world where the top four powers all disappear at the same time that doesn't involve them _making_ each other disappear - ie: massive nuclear war. And if that ever happens, there won't really be any countries to worry about anymore. The tiny fraction of us that survives will all be back to living in tribes.
@@altrag
But let me just say this both country has committed human rights issues but it is China in the United States that is not being transparent about such issues. You were clearly just someone who speaks without facts but instead supports one side for the sake of popularity and so-called nationalistic Pride.
Not to mention what China did to my family in which they brutally murdered most of them for speaking out against such regimes. What’s so great about China or the United States when it is the people of individual countries not the government that’s the most powerful at its head.
@@aviatorsound914 Huh? Maybe you misread what I said? China's far worse for human rights abuses. No question about that.
Its their foreign policy - ie: dealing with _other_ countries where China and the US are on similar footing, with the US likely being somewhat worse (simply due to the US' military power - I have no doubt China would happily commit atrocities abroad as well if they had the capability).
There's nothing "great" about either country, but _some_ country is going to be the leader of the world. I'm just discussing the possibilities. But neither you nor I have any say over who will "win" in the end.
@@altrag Wow you should make videos, you are definitely better than this channel. But the dominance of a single superpower is a rare event, it is likely that things will return to the way they were, and the conflict will be between many powers and alliances, and the time of international law will end.
Wise man say, if nvidia factory not currently on fire, nvidia factory will be on fire in near future.
I heard some Seth in here.
Nice reference, fellow guildsman
Something I read recently that wasn't discussed, and may have a large impact on China. Modern economies progress through a predictable cycle, one of the biggest aspects of this cycle being a huge increase of manufacturing output, to the point where that nation dominates in that area of the world economy for a period of between 40 and 50 years. This pattern occurred within the UK, the U.S., Japan and France all at some point over the last 150 years. China which saw a huge increase in manufacturing beginning in the 1970's is just coming into period where this cycle begins to show a slowing in manufacturing output in a maturing economy. More than likely this pattern occurs as labor and material costs increase and production is rotated into nations with lower labor expense. More than likely this will be India and Africa in the coming decades filling this aspect of global manufacturing capacity.
China knows this, this is why they are investing heavily in Africa.
USA manufacturing started to buy materials from China to sell their products. Later they outsourced their operations to China, and bugger the USA workers. However, The shareholders and big boys still get their wealth. Such is Capitalism and the naivety of the brainwashed masses. Shelf life. Now on the decline and soon out.
Sweden was in a similar position after WWII, it was one of the last intact, fully operational economies in Europe and had the ability to produce massive amounts of wood and steel, this in turn let the mainly social democratic government reform the national and implement all the social security systems it has. The growth of the Swedish economy from 1945 well in to the 1970's-80's was nearly unprecedented but then.. Well today Sweden is trying to reforge itself in to a modern service based economy as most of the industry has shut down.
South east Asia first then Africa i.e. Indonesia Vietnam Bangladesh Cambodia Thailand Malaysia etc
@@dailytact1370 Sweden will be islamic in 30 years. So it doesn't really matter.
A well throughout and excellent video, really gives you a new perpesctive.
A very good snapshot of the current situation. another interesting perspective would be a comparison of the investment each country is making in education, tech, financial centers, reserve currency status, and a few other determinants of power status. How will current investment position each country in, say, 40 years?
You need to acknowledge “Unrivaled” by Michael Beckley. Nearly everything you said came straight from Beckley’s latest work. Not mentioning his work, not even once, is intellectually unethical.
Because nobody challenges them when they do this until now...
Thanks for bringing this to light!
China was following friedrich a. hayek while America follows john maynard keynes. It should be the other way around.
According to this video Switzerland should be the world superpower. After all it's even more efficient and wealthier than America. America isn't and hasn't ever been the wealthiest or most efficient economy, because you don't need to be in order to be the most dominant. And the part about the Chinese military was dumb because China doesn't even aim to have global military parity with the US - they only want to be able to fend off the US in their own backyard. They're literally behind Azerbaijan in military spending per capita, while the US is second in the world (just behind Israel) lmao! They pretty much invented a narrative for China in order to deflate it. The only valid thing this video pointed out was China's impending demographic difficulties, which is hardly news to anyone.
Or they just aren’t unique concepts
How a country perceives itself and its capabilities may be more worrying than what it is actually capable of doing.
If by worrying you mean important, I agree completely.
Thats an Indian thing. China Sets goals and a period and it usually achieve those goals before the period even ends...
@@xila-man8249 China's remarkable economic success has come at the cost of environmental destruction, social unrest and personal freedoms. The CCP is so afraid of free thought that you'd be breaking the law just by reading this if you live there. It's breathtaking corruption at the highest levels of government is staring down a huge, cheated, lied to and pissed off underclass,. Toss in a real estate collapse and there's your revolution... again. Good luck.
@@bardigan1 Buddy you don't have to waste your time with me by selling me your Anti - Chinese propaganda sentiment... I follow China thoroughly both from Western bias news and Chinese media news as well. And I had come to learn never to take anything the Western Media say about China seriously...
@@xila-man8249 I'm not anti-Chinese, I'm anti any system that thinks it's more important than the people it represents. You were the one extolling Chinese economic successes, I just pointed out the costs they've paid to achieve that success. It's not sustainable. Don't confuse that with anti-Chinese.
The most accurate US/China comparison videos I’ve ever seen. Majority of TH-cam videos of China know nothing about China
I'm from US and I know that our status is mainly from having a working relationship with so many countries and having the best allies on the planet.
US status is mainly due to its militar and financial power, as well as its colonial history and its constancy of purpose to be the imperial successor to the UK.
@@mbsaizvega907 Well, duh... It is the biggest military and financial power in the world, and your theory is that is where it's status comes from? And it has not occupied one singe country with imperialism. In fact, it has left every country it ever occupied, even after WWII. Look at what the soviets did after WWII and the countries THEY occupied. The US has kept the ocean free for trade, provided everyone with free GPS, always render aid after disasters, etc, etc. You want to be a hater, but your logic is full of holes.
@@noahway13 US have invaded and occupied many dozens of countries, and It has military bases all over the Earth. It IS an Empire whether you like it or not.
It's funny that you say that I express hate for saying that, because the video and almost all the comments understand it that way and are proud of it.
@@b.s.5239 What do you think Russia or China would do if they had the might and capabilities of the US and NATO ? Talking of manifest destiny? Go back thru time and see what has happened when one country entered another, how many of them took care of business (catching Bin Laden) and departed? No country did that ever until WWII, and Russia tried keeping it's new possesions. If you think every country in the world has the US afraid of it, that is why US is not attacking, you are legit crazy. And the US will leave is asked to. For one, they abandoned their big base in Philippines when asked. They gave back the Panama canal for ZERO. Etc.
@@noahway13 The US has occupied dozens of countries, has organized hundreds of coups, has committed genocide every day since its founding, has killed millions of people by weapons, starvation and other methods...
Fear has a lot to do with the friendly attitude of so many countries. People want to stay alive, Keith
And avoid if possible drawing the attention of the United States
If ya spent 7 days touring China you would. Realize everything is cheap, even the shiny skyscrapers are cheap. It’s a paper dragon.
Hope the aircraft invading Taiwans airspace are cheap and cheerful
@@oldgreybeard2507 If it attacked it would be shot down in 1 minute
@@oldgreybeard2507 why would they be cheerful?
@@luiso2166 because it can be countered
A lot of their buildings are structurally unstable.
Good. American hegemony is FAR from perfect but the prospect of a world made in the image of China's Orwellian surveillance state is the stuff of dystopian nightmares.
American hegemony is not really a thing anymore outside the Western Hemisphere. Regional player have slowly been gaining momentum on the world island.
@Christopher Meisner I think the overestimation comes from the US Navy having more than half the worlds super carriers along with 10 jump carriers. So the US is completely capable of closing out sea lanes for an extended period of time if it really wanted to. Other than that then I’d agree. Although I don’t think we’ll swallow you guys up any time soon lol.
@Christopher Meisner Canada is a good neighbor and trading partner. Very stable government they don't commit ip theft.
It's always better to have a "world police" nation that is more powerful than the others but not too powerful to take over the world. And the US doesn't want to take over the world because it's a democracy - governments change every 8 years (at max) and so does the national course
@@IpSyCo the us navy does have a good chance in countering the chinese navy since the usa basically has more experience than china itself
I appreciate your proction style, editing things, whittling it down, maintaining a fast pace. Good job mates.
I like how even though you're literally half-rapping with how fast you're talking I can still understand and follow your talk. Usually people who speak with this tempo are pretty hard to follow. Literally almost thought I was in 1.25/1.5x speed for a moment
Smooth brain
The aged population dilemma is very true, you can’t imagine how much effort had to be invested just to get married. For starters, poor individuals especially male factory workers will have trouble finding mates because no parents in China willing to give away their precious daughter to a poor bum. As for the bride, they too interested in grooms who achieved the minimum 3 criteria which is Car, House and Wealth. If a men couldn’t supply all of these criteria, then it is unlikely for them to tie knot. Ironically some wealthy individuals can’t pick their lovers, often forcibly sign up with matchmaker by parents who wanted to secure elite family lineage. Worst, even both parents agreed on marriage, the groom had to follow custom such as paid upfront for “bride price” ; giving money to bride’s extended family and reserve seat at the banquet; organising a wedding ceremony that cost a bomb yet enduring the hazing culture during banquet as purported by Chinese marriage. At the end, it left groom and their family heavily in debt let alone discussing about raising kids. But as Chinese custom would tell, parents will again interfere couple relationship which likely coaxing them to produce a heir. These factors lead to breakup of a union and divorce preceded. Another hammer throw into Chinese government works when a survey done in early 2021 indicated 95% of new wed couples refused to conceive a child. The post quickly taken down to mitigate humiliation. From the current situation, if China government did not give tax break for new parents or doing any drastic changes, then its population will keep declining over years.
thanks for your coment, it seems to be worst that we know. For some countries is hard reach higher levels due to their cultureal believes that sometimes are hard to modify or change , specially if the population do not have much access to external cultural influences that allowd them to compare and see ways of living from a different angle.
Wow, China will die off.....all Western countries should be dancing in the street.......but they are not. Wishful thinking does not make it happened.
Is this the one-child policy's revenge?
@@benjesus6571 no, it was the right policy at the time. Like anything else, there will always be consequences. The policy solved short term problems to survive but in the long run there will be different problems that needs tweaking. A lone mountain climber got his hand lodge between a rock. What was his short term solution? It may be drastic but he is able to live another day.
@@vangcruz4442 ok CCP bot…
As an American it makes me proud that anybody from anywhere in the world can come here, become a Citizen, and be prosperous. You can't buy that kind of soft power.
What about the wall?
Tell that to blacks and native Americans who have been living in hell since America's inception
The Chinese being a prime example. Could be all those students coming home from Uni in the West are giving Xi indigestion. Hence the crackdown on boys bands and foreign tutors.
while they can. the vast majority don't. And quite a few can't even become citizens because of how demanding US immigration requirements are.
@@hughmungus2760 I'm not demanding at all. You have to learn English because that's what language the test is given in.
It’s good to hear that China’s poverty has drastically gone down. That’s something that China used to get criticized about. I hope one day that the people of India can do as well as the Chinese and get out of poverty too.
If it means lowering the bar on the definition of "poverty" and not really providing the freedom of movement and information needed to break upward, it's not really that much of an achievement.
@@doujinflip China's bar on the definition accounts for their PPP. An apple in China costs way less than that in US. US has more extreme poor than China.
@@doujinflip Still, much less poverty in China nowadays
As you hinted at when you compare the two powers lists of enemies and friends it is hard to see how China could become the dominant global super power in the traditional sense. At a minimum if the two side came into conflict the US can rely on support from the majority of China's neighbours and the rest of the anglosphere. It has a very long road ahead of it if it seeks to replace the US.
China needs to chill the hell out. They are pushing and pressing buttons of so many other countries which makes those countries band together.
If they'd just take a chill pill and relax a bit on the political side of things they could sit back and watch America fight itself... Instead they lie, cheat, steal, and bind your legs and arm together.
It will be interesting to see their influence in Africa.
This is an insightful analysis. The future is unwritten and anything can happen, but this does show that China has weaknesses.
One thing is certain, leftists/communists, like him, are disappointed; they always side with Russia and China and are against the US.
@Matthew Shields The channel might be pro-capitalists but the bald guy in the video has admitted that he is a left winger.
Even left wing people got to eat.
@Matthew Shields China is more capitalist than anyone else…. It might have a communist government system but their business practice is incredibly capitalist.
@@inflationstation1 Bullshit. China is a communist country using capitalist elements to enrich itself. And it shows It is just the recent crackdown on tech industry and demand for wealth distribution.
@@3s0t3r1c China has seen the mess made over here and China is clearly looking to grow its influence, have a military that is proud to fight for its country and I doubt pissing off the classes that are going to do the footwork in their goals is a good way to go about it.
I don’t know how many British or American service members/ working class you have spoken to lately but the odds of them risking their lives for the quality of life they have is minimal.
I think we’ll be lucky if we don’t see a guillotine set up in Trafalgar Square in the next 10 years.
The US: Protoss
Europe: Terran
China: Zerg
Except US is using China and China holds huge part of US external dept
@@Gastell0 when you owe the banker 1M, the banker has leverage. When you owe the banker 1B, you have leverage.
@@Gastell0 The US holds more of China's debt than China holds of the US.
My life for Aiur! Adun Duridas!
thanks , good info
Good video, the only thing I would have done differently is made the graph of the population over 65 year old as a percentage of the population, not in absolute numbers. That's a bad way to compare two countries with vastly different population sizes.
It's a shame they destroyed all of the cultural history and artifacts at the start of the whole thing.
last time I check forbidden city is still there
@@amos325 forbidden city is a drop in the ocean if you know the amount of history and artifacts destroyed.
@@amos325 wu Mao alert, this Amos is a paid ccp shill, who in their right mind would take this as an argument ahahah, so if every cultural site in France is destroyed but the Eiffeltower then its fine?
what about native american? any shame in that?
@@jianhuang2293 what aboutism is your strong point. Okay then so what about the people who died from hunger in China (millions) how about the uighurs genocide. What happened In the past cannot be changed but we can learn from it hence why western countries don't do genocides anymore contrary to the nazi ccp
Surprised you didn't mention 1) increased cost of shipping 2) environmental impact 3) working population demographics.... would think all three (plus reserve currency) favor USA
Nor did the video mention that Joe Biden (who was installed and not elected) is in China's pocket with deep, corrupt and notorious financial ties to his family. All that smiling footage of Joe in this video doesn't even REMOTELY reflect A) how he really is, now (senile and disoriented, virtually 100% of the time), and B) soundly hated in most of the USA. He has no base. There are NO Joe Biden lovers in the USA. Certain people just hated his opponent -- but they do NOT love him.
@@nicko8605 you must not study history. .....all empires of the past also say the same as you. China will rise to power and eventually self destroyed like any empire of the past. U.S is in the process of destroying itself. U.S is so powerful that no country can destroy it but from within, like most people will die of cancer.
@@noahhyde8769 That is true, the Lizard people who are really controlling the world have installed Biden into position.
@@noahhyde8769 dude u crazy
@@noahhyde8769 trump has brands and money in China 🇨🇳
Good Information, thanks.
Very insightful
Somehow the US is getting "richer and richer" as the government goes further and further into debt. When you own the money printer and control the global reserve currency, that's a bit of an unfair advantage isn't it?
Not for long.. the world will ditch the dollar and that country sooner than we think
Printing press of other countries are also pretty high, the reason why it remained the reserve currency is because it’s printing at a lower rate.
Ah Chinese bots. Seems they finally noticed the video.
The hare had his great advantage. Yet the tortoise won. Today US has emulated EU by creating wealth from policies. While China has emulated world history by industrializing. The US had their industrial advantage disassembled. If the pen is mightier than the sword. Then who is mightier? Policy makers or makers of both pens and swords?
@@davebauman4991 The USA produces more today then it ever has, with much less people. Look it up. The USA is still by far more industrial then any country.
as someone that's lived and worked in both countries, was in the US military, and has studied and worked at universities in both countries, I can agree with almost all of these points except the ones discussing university. To say that American universities are essentially superior to Chinese ones isn't in the least bit accurate. While cheating is rampant in Chinese universities and individual creativity is not so highly celebrated, Chinese universities are significantly more focused. They are less profit driven so they don't need to feed courses that take away from specialties into the curriculum to the same degree that America has to.
I’m from Russia and I actually like the Gen Ed system American colleges have. It’s nice not to have a limited education, but I can see the issue with taking a philosophy class as a computer science major
@@CleverChina my big qualm is that it actually effectively gatekeeps people that could be great in a specific field from continuing on with their studies, and it makes studying more expensive and take longer.
@@caspermac funny how most of the world wants to go to US universities and not chinas universities
@@Homer-OJ-Simpson I'm assuming you're saying that from the viewpoint of someone that's only experienced university in one country. I'll take what you say with a grain of salt big guy
@@Homer-OJ-Simpson also, what do you mean most of the world? Where in the world have you gotten that information? Where have you been and what have you done there?
Great Job!! I didn't know any of this information
great video! super informative
I'm not a huge fan of the US, but given the choice between them and China for the World's superpower - it's a no-brainer
Well said. All fun and games aside China is way worse
yes coz US brings wars and makes many ppl die across the globe
@@wayne1516 The US might be a nicer place to live, but it's a far worse country to have as world superpower. The US has only served itself and its allies well - for the rest of the world it's been disaster after disaster after disaster. Their foreign policy has been destructive and hegemonic, much like their British predecessors. China hasn't been to war in decades, and even the wars it did launch all those decades ago have killed far fewer people than America has even in just individual wars.
@@ArawnOfAnnwn nope China is worse as a super power. The fact that you feel you can type bad things about US on TH-cam without fear of censorship proves that point.
@@wayne1516 Lol no! That you make such a big deal out of censorship while discounting millions of deaths in so many wars is telling of just how warped your ideologically inclined thinking is. And the censorship you posit won't even be a thing to begin with, because you people literally invent doomsday narratives to fuel your paranoia. China doesn't even aspire to have that level of global control - it literally views it as an unaffordable and idiotic expense. This video makes the same mistake when it talks about the Chinese military versus the American one, pretending the Chinese are gonna have massive blue water fleets like America does. In reality China is 58th in the world in military spending per capita, behind Azerbaijan lol! America is second, behind only Israel (Russia is 25th, for context). And this despite America being in a far more secure geopolitical position than China or indeed most countries in the world are - that shows how militarist they are that they spend so much anyway.
China has better things to do. They want security of their region, which means being able to beat the Americans in their own backyard. Beyond that, they'd rather focus on economic programs both locally and internationally (like the BRI) as a way of exercising power. You're making the dumb assumption of a binary choice, as if China is just gonna take over America's role if it becomes the big kahoona. Hardly.
And TH-cam is an American company, which means China will never have much control over speech on here - pretty much only as much as Google allows it to, in order to get access to the Chinese market (in other words, the same situation as today). So I'm hardly afraid of censorship on TH-cam if China succeeds, as they simply won't have the same level of hegemony. Indeed they won't even have hegemony - they'll counterbalance the US.
Now YOU prove your point. America has way more blood on its hands than China does thanks to its endless foreign wars - something China can't even do in most countries even if it wanted to. Preferably without falling back on a half century old dead man who still didn't kill via foreign wars. There are broken countries all over the world thanks to American hegemony, so kindly drop the self-centered whining about speech online and deal with the corpses. Cos all that vaunted free speech and democratic accountability still hasn't stopped the US from constantly going to war everywhere, despite having had decades to do so. While authoritarian China hasn't been to war in decades.
Very interesting fact based analysis. My only comment is that when you talk about retired population you show some Japanese happy pensioners. The rest is great
@@nationalistfanatic6291 Yes, but do you know why China has fallen in the first place that led them to communism ? Its also because of the White Men who wants tea 🏴 (Great Britain, England)
@@nationalistfanatic6291 no??? Are you dense??? My point is, that if not for the British selling freaking opium to the chinese populace at the time (marking the beginning of Century of Humiliation) it could be different just like japan, (but they aslo did not industrialized, so its kinda their fault). The fall of the qing dynasty is because of the "White Man" i did not even said the the chinese people are lesser idiot
@@nationalistfanatic6291 you also said that if it werent for the white man they would be eating grass right now, right??? If China is a democracy it would be like Taiwan (Originally Democtatic Republic of China)
@@thequandlecultiston3157 man just ignore china just ignore it.I meant i just say china isnt that scary tbh and its just boring to see about
USA USA USA
At the 11 minute mark you talked about the aging Chinese population, one thing that is constantly being over looked is the huge population drop that China will experience in the next few decades. The one child policy (1 child to 2 parents will result in a huge population drop) combined with the tendency of favoring boys and you end up with some cities with a 10:1 ratio of men to women. Also, currently China is on the verge of a nation wide famine. China long ago out grew its ability to feed its own population and they are unable to import enough food to meet its growing needs. This is why they tend to eat "exotic" foods like bats, not because they have a taste for it but because they have to eat whatever is available. Wild game is nearly extinct in the Chinese country side and the coastal waters have been severely over fished. China is truly on the verge of collapse. If famine does take hold before the population drop it could mean war with its neighbors as they try to seize resources (in this case food rather than oil).
Ignoring China's aggression towards AI development is pretty dangerous. Major GPT innovation is pretty much how most civilizations become superpowers and the increased advancement of AI is no doubt that technology. As a software engineer, I am scared by how little people still understand about how AI impacts us today and how significantly it will impact us in the future. AI today is literally disproving theories we have believed for decades and making nearly instant progress on things we have not been able to discover/progress in centuries.
"For every dollar of exports to the U.S. 55 cent's are components made in the U.S."..... I had to replay that several times, just to make sure I heard it correctly....
Haha. We export expensive wrapping paper. If a chip is made here for a computer, then it is like 95 cents of every dollar. That is a dramatic example, but I’m certain that scenario illustrates the basic concept he’s suggesting. Still..55 cents?
@@300blk3 Do you mean "We", as in the USA???
Aviation components, medical equipment, and agricultural goods of all sorts are some of the things China depends on the US for. That's before considering the education and tourism to Chinese visitors which if considered exports the US has a massive trade surplus on.
No matter how you slice it China now has the most important thing - the market.
no, they don't want facts. if that was the objective would be better to delete the video
but those important components are from united states. so that market you are talking about will collapse. just like what it did to huawei.
@@wintermelowns7749 im interest in this analyses, could you explain how it will collapse? thank you
its simple actually. they manufacture most of them. but they cant create the critical components for it. and they are too dependent on others, like energy.
look what happened to huawei, since chip and google ban. huawei shrank.
they ban australian coal. now an energy crisis.
No they don't. The Chinese market is not only insular and virtually closed off to the world, but as they go broke it's also declining. Take it from someone whose company has been shifting away from the Chinese market for four years and who is now the ONLY name in my industry as a result.
That is an excellent analysis. Great work
very nice video, congratulations
As a Chinese，The biggest problem in China is aging，China's birth rate is declining year by year. Can you imagine if there are billions of elderly people in a country? It is becoming a reality！China will not be able to move forward at that time
Of course nonstop growth is never possible, and China will face the same late-stage and post industrial challenges as the US and the western world did, but to say that US remains number 1 forever is a bit delusional too.
I pray to God Xi doesn’t start a war over Taiwan!!
America has been hinting to China that the world’s military will descend upon China if they don’t relax and cool the threats!!
China cannot defeat the United States in a war because America has over 7000 intercontinental ballistic missiles and other thousand station around the world just pointed at China!!
@@BILLEON2005 China is just bluffing over Taiwan - for god sake, it was Taiwan that actually help grind the gears to China developing a free market economy. You do not think the CCP and Taiwanese companies communicate?
@@icysaracen3054
Why do you think China wants Taiwan?
They are the largest producer of semiconductors in the world and China within completely dominate almost every single computerized electrical instrument moving forward and give them a massive military and strategic advantage in almost every aspect of computers!!
If China and Taiwanese companies communicate I assume it’s not in a very friendly manner after all the threats recently from China plus yesterday they flew 57 bombers and jets over Taiwan for 12 straight hours signaling to the world we’re getting ready!!
I think China needs to be careful…
@@BILLEON2005 i don't think Xi exactly cares about what his people think, he'll most likely declare war on the us and taiwan before he dies, and if anything goes wrong he'll just kill himself like hitler had. i believe this because why would china do such a disgusting stunt in the first place? makes no sense.
Balance of payments?
External debt?
FDI growth?
The US only owes money in USD so the debt isn’t really as big of a problem as a lot of people make it out to be. I’m interested to see what the future of China’s FDI looks like after the recent crackdown on tech companies and the Evergrande situation.
Have you seen how much debit the Chinese government is in? Around 5 trillion USD
Foreign holdings are around 6-7 trillion USD, 1 trillion owned by china. But since this government is thirsty to print money with the initial 3.5 trillion giveaway (upt to 5 in the near future) that 6-7 trillion will be worth sh..t when the dollar hits the bottom.
Happy to live in America and very grateful, and can't stand anyone who's not living here that's not grateful and willing to contribute to this society. Many foreigners would do quite a lot to live here, yet I see young ungrateful Americans everywhere.
Gotta stay on our toes and keep striving, US!💪
The Chinese growth strategy was simply to grow as fast as possible without consideration of regulating and developing industry, safety, and legal issues. The easy part of fast growth in China is over, because the wasteful creation of redundant unused assets is prohibiting further growth as inefficiencies in China become more and more a factor in restricting all forms of what a self sustaining economy does.
If that is true, how can China possibly make the high speed train of high efficiency and high accuracy that US can't even dream about？
@@Lee-Van-Cle The specialty of high speed train technology is the domain of the Japanese and not of American technology. They stole the technology and everyone knows about the incident, because there are articles and statements by Chinese economists that gave their opinion about the situation. If you don't want to read Japanese protest news about it, Fortune magazine has articles about the overall timeline and occurrence of the event.
@@fturla___156 You sounds like Trump and your claim is based on fake news. Starting from 2004, China bought both the train and technology from Japan, and then Germany.
Then she developed the Chinese system with her patented technology.
There was never any complaint from the Japanese and German company, as the deal was lucrative.
The rule is simple, like Trump said: If you don't like, just leave. Similarly, if it is unfair, don't trade with China.
Take it or leave it, the choice is up to you, But bear in mind that foreigners are no longer entitled to sell opium in China now.
@@Lee-Van-Cle You don't have any back up to state your claim. And on top of that, you just proved in your second statement that your first comment was wrong. LOL - I'm wondering if you are going to delete some or all your comments just to hide? Most people do, when they find out that other people realize that they are either stupid, incompetent, lying, or any combination when the mistake is obvious. Maybe you still don't know? LOL
@@fturla___156 I don't need any back up, as there was no such claim of Technology stealing from the companies Kawasaki and Siemens. The burden of proof is on your side, and you are the one supposed to hide.
BTW, You are right that the domain of USA is not in Infrastructure, namely, Build Back Better, but blah, blah, blah, as the Swede put it.
The domain of US is to make homeless people, both inside or outside the states.
Number of Homeless, American First! My Congratulation!
For all the issues with American imperialism I'd much rather have them at the top then the Chinese.
China is empire if you think about it.
Because you are brainwashed to think that
@@Uns46 and you are brainwashed to think that China is any better
This. Yes, America has problems galore, and it's really easy to complain about those; and they should be complained about, because America is currently a flawed democracy. But that's the thing; although flawed, it is a democracy, not a one party authoritarian regime. Furthermore, America has committed atrocities, yes. But it is _nothing_ on the scale of what has happened in china. So as bad as the us can be, I'd much, much rather live under us hegemony than chinese
@@Uns46 AFAIK my internet isn't censored or blocked like the Chinese is that's the first most obvious and undeniable fact that the rest of the world is in the right while the ccp is just a Bastard dictator that shouldn't have the right to even command over one li of property
Very informative.
"Chinese soldiers spend 20% of their time studying communist ideology". Where is the difference between them and the US Army?
At the moment, not much, except that Chinese soldiers are not shamed for their culture.
Chinese army beats USA for synchronised marching. They’re number 1 in that at least.
North Korea: *ahem* did somebody mention synchronized marching?
That's because US troops learn how to better fight wars, not how to march to catchy songs....lol
🤣🤣
We have 37 year old mothers apparently completing Ranger School, maybe they can boost our synchronized marching.
@@chobai9996 Like they did in Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan? If you can't even meaningfully control those third world countries through military occupation, you're not gonna win a war against a much larger and powerful country, like China. And any war with China will be fought on Chinese turf in the sea or in Taiwan, which makes it even more difficult.
30 years ago nobody talks about China, now every news agency and US government everyday China China China.
Lmao because they had an economic boom like Japan did. Japan was thought to be the next superpower and was talked a lot as well.
@@theobserver3753 Lmao 🤣, eurocentric eh?
@@theobserver3753 japan could not be a super power because of small land mass with the population of only 8% of China.
@@theobserver3753 your analogy is flawed
@@BLAZE-sj6lf Japan would always be a regional power, but never one to rival the US. This is because Japan has pretty much operated as a US vassal state after the Second world war. The US would not allow such potential to be reached for anyone else.
Excellent!
China's structural weakness is worrying. It makes China more likely to lash out militarily, not less.
Interesting video, however for your credibility I believe you should be consistent in your presentation of data. For example, the video showing population over 65 years old (11.09) should be adjusted for population, my impression is that the graphs which supports your narrative are adjusted for population. I really hope VisualPolitik can remain as objective as possible in its videos, as I enjoy them a lot, therefore I wanted to mention it when I see traces of divination to this, as if I get it diverging to much would make me value your service less.
Have a good day,
Came to the comments to say exactly that!
This doesn't really change the fact though that China similary to many western countries suffers from a rapidly from an aging population aswell as its population growth declining sharply due to the long held 1 child policy. How this compares to the US is questionable but in addition to this you have to considere what has been said about its efficiency in general.
Thank you mate, I learned a lot in this video. 👍
Great video
Very well made analysis.
As long as the world has to buy dollars before it can buy gas there is no catching up...
Objectively, your are right.
Dependency on oil is vanishing, there's a reason why oil nations are looking to liberalise their economy.
Muhammad bin Salman wants to turn Saudi Arabia into Dubai while keeping only mecca & Medina as sort of muslim version of Vatican state which exists similarly in Italy.
It's pretty smart.
enter unlimited US moneyprinting. Either the world gets off the dollar, or the world goes into hyperinflation with the US.
A lot of countries are accepting the Yuan in exchange
@@Dept246 not even China uses their worthless currency when it comes to global investments. They tightened their spending on projects of other countries when they started running out of dollars.
China itself is subservient to Dollars,
This was a summary of Michael Beckley’s Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World's Sole Superpower.
If China is so good, Why millions of ethnic Han-Chinese escape from China to Uyghur East Turkestan, Tibet, America, Europe, Latin America even Somalia ? ... Why so many Chinese are dying in on their way escape from China to other countries ? . . . If China is so good, Why China's Uyghur organ harvesting is going on, Uyghur genocide is going, Tibetan genocide is going on, Southern Mongolian genocide is going on ? . . . Why China cannot produce enough food to feed over 1.4 billion citizens ? . . .
@@victoriaalton4940 it can, but keeping the conquered regions weak is good for the CCP.
@@victoriaalton4940 lmao this is so wrong on so may levels. Okay you want to make a point about human rights in China, point taken, but all your facts are wrong lol if China controls xinjiang, how would "escaping to" there be any better? it doesnt even make sense logically lol
And it's a fact most ppl refuse to digest
@@victoriaalton4940 this is just pure idiocracy lol, china has a lot of moral flaw and of course and CCP have a really bad image, but millions of Han Chinese fleeing the country? Well not sure about that 🤣 can't feed 1,4 billion of their people? What time is it now 1970? , can't deny the uyghur geno part for sure, but never ever heard about tibet genoc, are you pulling that out of yo ass?
I think that more important than the question "Which is the most powerful country?" is the question "How can all countries in the world live peacefully together?". The time where more powerful countries destroy weaker countries to add them to their empire is over. The collateral damage of war, especially between major nuclear powers, is too big to handle. In a nuclear war nobody will win. We (the people of the world) must quickly try to establish a global system that can handle conflicts between countries in a fair and transparent way. We need global law and global law enforcement. The current global system cannot deliver this. Now is still time to get it done. But time is ticking ...
To get transparency, you'd need every country to become a democracy. Democracies are willing to make agreements that depend on transparency, verifiability, and accountability, but authoritarian states refuse transparency is suicide for dictators. Authoritarian secrecy stymies democracies attempting to make transparent verifiable arms control treaties. And so the arms race goes on, because otherwise democracies would be committing suicide given that the world is full of authoritarian, unaccountable states run by what are essentially criminal gangs. It is also relevant that democracies never in history, or almost never, have gone to war against one another. R.J. Rummel has counted up wars over the last couple of centuries and found that by far the largest number of wars in that time took place between non-democracies (something like 200 wars, I don't remember the exact number). The next largest number of wars took place between a democracy and a non-democracy (something like 100 wars, again, I don't remember Rummel's exact number). And the smallest number of wars, either zero or just a few, depending on how you count, happened between democracies. Liberal democracy is, among other things, a key technique of peaceful coexistence. Make sure liberal democracies protect educational freedom and develop steward-ownership style capitalism, and there's real hope for the world.
An excellent analysis
What would be the American economy without china? If China would cut all the supply of their product to the US overnight, the American economy would collapse almost overnight as well. This would hurt the Chinese economy to some extent but for sure not collapsing.
And what would the chinese economy be without its exports and PRIMARILY what would it have become if it wasnt for foreign investment and a more open market?
If the US economy were to collapse then the global economy will see a crisis not seen before. Forget China Europe Latin America every economy would collapse due to how connected the world is to the US economy.
@@jahbrenpanvilla the world is more connected to the Chinese economy than the American. majority of the countries have china as largest trading partner including Europe.
@fa q That was exactly my point. In reality, the US economy is many ways just added value on top of Chinese goods. What would Apple be without cheap manufacturing in china?
US advantages: It is an immigration magnet and attracts top talent all over the world also English is widely spoken so immigrants can integrate easily and contribute.
US disadvantage: Democratic processes sometime leads to more in-fighting and pandering to voters than pushing unpopular policies that solves economic issues.
Chinese advantage: A large population and lower cost. A strong educational system with many more engineers and scientists produced. Single-party system can plan very long term economic policies as well as push for unpopular policies.
Chinese disadvantage: A poor immigration magnet, still not an attractive place for people to stay or immigrate (also difficult to immigrate). The Chinese language is not widely spoken thus it is difficult to attract talent to China. Rapidly ageing population with a large healthcare and pension risk in future. In short, what Japan is facing now is quite similar to what China is facing. Finally, a single-party system is not fallible as we can see that their economic policies are faltering.
I would say their (current) economic policy's are not just faltering but will cause a retraction or recession in China, the biggest factor in China's growth was the adoption of a capitalist economy however capitalism and communism are two incompatible systems and for one to flourish the other has to eventually go, China has mostly avoided that choice by having special economic zones and keeping the CCP mostly out of the equation however with the rich elites getting richer and the free flow of information necessary for innovation it was eventually going to bring to light it's gross inefficiencies and put pressure the CCP run government to reform.
What did happen was Xi and his back to the future 'Mao is the best!' crack down, under Xi the CCP is reforming the economy and it's people so as to not threaten the CCP which means good bye to capitalism in China and back to a mostly planned economy and it will be 'that' which will be the driving force to the growing gap between it and the US.
The Language thing is changing fast though. I know that on our school Chinese was taught the same as French or German (you have to pick 1 of those three to graduate in).
China is absolutely a better country than AmeriKKKa in so many ways, it has better and modern infrastructures, cleaner and safer cities, you can hardly see thrash or garbage on the sidewalks or streets, there's no homeless people living in tents defecating and urinating the sidewalks and streets, used syringes are also scattered EVERYWHERE, AmeriKKKa is a disgusting place to live in, a literal sh*thole. 😁
Very good. Thank you. But you missed one key difference. USA is intrinsically selfish. China is intrinsically community and Nation before self. That’s a huge rudder on what can and will be done. USA can’t even control Covid. Ditto selfish countries that essentially glorify democracy where even village idiots can vote......
@@BLAZE-sj6lf better infrastructure? Havent u heard about the blackouts across 1/3 or the country? What about all the tofu buildings? What about all the fake and tainted food that is sold through out china? How is that safer than the US countries? Some food getting tainted with opium. Instead of syringes its added directly into the food? How is that safer ?and lets not forget that China exports fentanyl to drug dealers. Trying to get westerners addicted to it. the CCP has no morals and are very racist towards foreigners in China. th-cam.com/video/GYr87XCAa48/w-d-xo.html
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It's an interesting analysis. I agree on most of the insights however there is something that converts China into less competitive country which are increased costs of supply chain between China and US. Marine transport costs increased a lot during 2021, which starts to make goods made in China more expensive than before; you can observe it in the prices of computer or laptops for example. One country that will benefit out of this will be Mexico due to the fact that a lot of investments are starting to shift towards Latin America instead of China, mainly due to lower transport costs because Mexico is closer than China plus it has much more democratic government than China. However the fact you mention about the difference in wealth betweeen both countries will vanish due to the fact that both countries are already drowning in debt which is simply out of control and nobody has done anything about it so far.
Fantastic video
Quite happy with America's friendship / dominance especially compared to the alternatives.
I fully agree. America is far from perfect but with American leading the world for the last 100+ years, the world is in good shape and there definitely has been more peace and prosperity throughout the last 100 years than any other point in history.
@@calebjx8812 please tell me you’re joking. Ever heard of Iraq, Libya, Syria, Vietnam?
I would rather have territorial disputes with china and trade with them than go support the US creating genocides and having huge debt
@@djokovic28 He isn’t joking. The world has certainly prospered due to the US, No matter how hard you wished it didn’t. Yes, they have done a lot of shit that is seriously not okay. But as AfterMouse said, it is WAY better than the alternatives.
@@thunderbolt4451Here i fixed your comment. “I would rather trade and side with the US/West than support China who is Committing Genocide and have been absolute assholes as well as threatening it’s neighbouring countries.”
Main thing saving USA is being the world's Reserve currency
coming to an end soon
@@alanssshh you think so? any particular reason why?
@@iRoyalpriesthood I guess he's going to talk about oil
@@JohnSmith-oe5rx you also have to consider the adoption of CBDC
You know its odd, but watching your video today gave me sense of relief. Don't know why, but I am grateful for the video. Thank you!
Excellent and Outstanding Analysis!
Efficiency Comes with Time and Experience
And Capitalism.
not really... experience and being at the top can easily lead to the sloth that Margaret Thatcher hated, though in her rush to make things more efficient, she destroyed the advantage that the UK had... carefully made machinery that was over-engineered, could be repaired and was long lasting. Sadly, and ironically, I think she played a large part in the West's decline, certainly to that of the UK.
@Moon Shine but is it great? It's all relative. I visited the place, and as Oscar Wilde said "I went to the US expecting little and ca,e back disappointed". A few great people, but a lot of uneducated, paranoid and boring (both in the sense of worldliness as well as classical education). I'd love to have some freedoms and space the 'septics' have, but I'd hate to live there - not for all the money in the world.
You know what’s ironic it’s been shown that the less impoverished a nation is the lower the population growth so if the cpd actually did it’s job the problem would have fixed itself
The implications are really interesting. An economy cant sustain itself with a declining population. This is the reason for immigration. Not a conspiracy like populists believe. Traditional religious and impoverished countries produce human capital. And more advanced countries continuously skim off the educated and affluent, making it more difficult for developing nations to advance. This is going to have bizarre effects on the gene pool and on culture. China will also need to import labor. Its going to become a nation of immigrants.
@@e.priest8937 Ah, but there's the problem. China is notoriously anti-immigrant, not just politically, but culturally. Right off the bat, outsiders are viewed with heavy suspicion, whether it be from dark days of colonialism, distaste of "western capitalism and values", or just plain racial discrimination. Add to that that foreigners are given few legal rights (foreigners have virtually no path to citizenship) or financial freedom (i.e. foreigners can't buy property, operate a business without Chinese intermediary, it's extremely difficult to acquire a driver's license, etc.) and that Mandarin is rather difficult to learn, and it's very uninviting for immigrants, especially in recent years.
@@QuantumAscension1 how is that a bad thing? Demographic replacement of a country's native population is actually not good. Example: Europe and the US
@@QuantumAscension1 what do you say about Japan, or South Korea. They have very strict immigration laws. You can't become a citizen, ever. Japan even told the UN to fuck itself after suggesting they take Syrian refugees. And Western liberal systems aren't for every people. The failure of the Middle East and North Africa proved that fact.
@@QuantumAscension1 that's false. Green card holders are allowed. China doesn't allow non residents to buy property, unlike the US where the global elite pick up luxury units as investments and tax havens. Houses are for living in, not to park your extra millions of dollars or to speculate on.
very reassuring
Shockingly, totalitarianism isn't popular with the vast majority of people in the world and allying with such a regime isn't popular with anyone not raised to believe that the state is smarter, better, and more capable of running your life than you are.
The US has significant soft power which will continue to drive its growth for decades. The world dreams American - likes their brands, movies, pop culture, and appreciates the concept of Liberty.
China would have to change its entire ethos of treating people like tools to grow the country in order to have any sort of impact on the world.
That soft power is like poster and will end with one scrach!
@R R I have to buy a laptop bag , guess which brand i will go for ?
american tourister .
@@yashvardhanojha6796 yup you lived in a bubble.
Maybe in slave nation of anglo colony liKE lND l A
Agreed. China can't even make movies lmao.
China understands its limitations and its weaknesses. This is why they pushed so hard to become the dominant power. Geography, government structure, and an aging population is what will ultimately bring the country down.
@fa q wumoau.....speak louder, the CCP didn't hear you so you can get $$$$
@@AntAntL stay mad while China stays winning
@@sleepyjoe4529 Hope Xi sees this, bro
@fa q Well, the only chinese on youtube from china Are wumao, unless you're using an illegal VPN then thats - social credit for you.
@fa q that's about .20 cents for today. Keep it up, you might make as much as a uyghur in xinjiang does in one year. Maybe you should post about that....why don't you?
That's quality content!
"Hold on , wait a second , . Pass me that joint. Hey , hey , go tell my guy to grab my bag of stuff. Hey , what's that , pull to the left, I mean right. Hey , go wake up the captain , I'm confused."
Ah yes measuring countries by how many millionaires are in the country...
USA, USA we love our rich people... gotta go, the shift for my third job just started gonna need it to pay off my student loan and my medical fees from falling off the stairs last week.
China is destroying its rich, meanwhile the rest of the world is begging for millionaires.
@@jonathanjones3126 The rest of the world is begging for middle class, not millionaires.
@@ArawnOfAnnwn who do you think is paying the middle class?
Usually Millionaires who started successful companies
@@deliveryman12 Ah yes, ye olde trickle down theory of prosperity. How quaint!
China, like every country, faces its own unique domestic difficulties. Those problems are very large in China though. This video actually provides a lot of meaningful input. I've been studying Chinese growth since 1990 and there's no doubt about its achievements. However, the growth figures over the past few years have simply been a fictitious fantasy provided by the CCP in order to look good. As lifestyle and expectations change in China then the more the dictatorship is exposed and hence the uber-nationalist tone from the CCP. They can't keep a lid on it. The millions of Chinese students that study abroad are different people when they return and that has been the case for the last 30 years. The CCP does not represent China or the Chinese population.
Exactly, the achievements belong to the diligence of Chinese people.
As long as CCP doesn't disturb the people, the economy skyrockets.
The reversing gears actions of the current guy irritate ultimately the west and Chinese people.
Chinese people dare not to talk on China's social media.
CCP even censors the western social media and new-media. They fund many western universities to whitwash ot downplay China negative news and help China hobby the western governments. That is the big threat to the living of the west.
The US president Biden is still weak to China.
such hollow words, nothing meaningful presented here. pathetic
@@sdliong5206 I agree with this statement. “Millions of Chinese students go abroad”. More like rich and privileged groups.
While billions of lower income people stay back in the nation. Elitist mindset at its finest.
I concur. There are so many innocent Chinese that are suffering because Xi Jinping wants world to have good image of China.
Hi can anyone tell me what flag they use at around 13:10? I thought hammer and sickle was the Soviet Union's flag
I know I am a little late but is there anyway we can get link too the sources of the data in this video
The mistake that China made is that they were betting too much on Western/American decline. They should realise that USA is extremely resilient .And it’s the greatest innovation powerhouse because of its ability to attract talent from across the world. China should have tone downed its nationalistic rhetorics and continue to focus on growth like it did in the 90s but it’s too late for that now. Now, they have to readjust.
China is getting to the hard part now. Going from a non industrialized to an industrialized nation is tough. They did this with remarkable speed. Foreign investment and infrastructure spending made them a very good low value added industury base. Cheap labor and great ports and roads. The rate at which it happened may have harmed their ability take the next step to a consumption driven economy though. A rapidly urbanized population tends to have less kids which means it ages quickly. They may get old before they get rich and this can mean stagnation and deflation. The same situation as in Japan but Japan is much wealthier by comparison. Robotics may be able to help with this from a production side but the consumption side is still there.
Look as what they did to Jackie Chan, they turn their people into puppets.
@@jason4275 Actors are puppet with farts.
@Zgnid Olias
China's national rhetoric is not their problem. They grew their market economy and now have decided they want to go back to communism.
And then there is the problem that China has never answered for murdering over 100 milllion people like the Nazi's have.
The mistake you make is thinking they bet on American decline to begin with. You're following the same wrongheaded thinking the video does - inventing a narrative for China in order to deflate it. In other words, straw manning.
I dunno...the Chinese still produce more engineers every year than the US *has* engineers.
I worked with Chinese engineers for an international auto exhaust part manufacturing. Lead engineers from other countries gave them an SOP for a process to help pass quality control. Most of the engineers in China that I worked with, failed to follow the SOP and lagged the project for approximately 3 years until I came. Not saying all of them are like that, but I wouldn't sweat. China does come up with innovative concepts but typically fail in quality control
The CCP is full of engineers, no farmers allowed. Can't feed itself.
They "graduated" 15 million from Universities THIS year...12 million are unemployed.
Computer Science PhDs literally run the Chinese Education system. Here in America, we choose our leaders based on their race and minority identity.
are there sources for ths video?
I find the idea of country’s debt ridiculous, as long a country exist, it can keep racking up debts and nothing will happen
So to sum this up, they basically mean that china is all about 'quantity', and the U.S. presents 'quality'
idk if that's what they mean, but that is true...
@MorPlays yup! They should replace the word 'joke' with 'china' hahaha!!
@@sickocell lol this dude has a hammer and sickle in his profile pic, says it all.
Attributing "quality" to the US gives them way too much credit. You know with all the "Right to repair" stuff currently happening.
But I get the sentiment.
@@kukelhupf yeah kind of understand that as well. But if we're only comparing two countries, can't go wrong with the U.S. quality.
There are definitely a lot of reasons as to why China might not surpass the United States of America, however do not let bias blind oneself. The United States is and has been on fragile ground for decades. It has overstretched itself in many ways. Quality of life, access to education or health care, these are things that Americans largely lack unless they are more well-to-do. Sure, if we look at metrics that are largely a show of the wealthiest Americans, it looks good, but that ends up giving a false appearance.
True but America is not unique in that respect. China and many other nations, have the exact same problems.
I found the video biased. How can he say the growth of the 1% in America is a good thing. Most of the 1% have grown their wealth through tax breaks, subsidies, deregulation of the labor market and denial of health care. Like you said China might not surpass the US but most of the indicators he used are totally irrelevant.
@@michaelotieno6524 He's biased but you're not? OK, whatever.
@@michaelotieno6524 Retirees with a million dollars in investments or pensions is not the elite 1% in America. In fact, the average value of a 401(k) held over 15 years is over half a million. That's the average.
(Although one could argue that the figure "one million dollars" is worth less and less due to undereported inflation.)
@@michaelotieno6524 Yes, it is true. However, much of the corruption and preferred treatment is prevalent in most nations. It does have negative impacts and leads to inefficiencies, but to me that actually speaks to some of the strength that the US institutions have held.
Another thing many fail to mention is.. China exerts Zero Cultural influence .. which a strong metric that can be underestimated ..