Survivor 45 Pre-Season Cast Analysis
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 ก.ค. 2024
- Just in time for your fantasy drafts, my official pre-season Survivor 45 cast assessment is HERE.
/ idoled_out
Music: Silent Partner - New Tires
Read Mike Bloom's interviews here: parade.com/tv/survivor-45-cast
Intro: 00:00-01:32
Lulu Tribe: 01:33-13:01
Reba Tribe: 13:02-23:18
Belo Tribe: 23:19-35:10 - บันเทิง
7 Minutes after the premiere's end, I think I can safely say that none of us expected that to ever happen that quickly and swiftly.
Yeah. I just watched the episode and went. "well! got that one wrong." Did not think it would happen like that!
Came back after the premiere and man that Hannah prediction is killing me 😂
SAME 😂
too funny. this tribe is worse than the brains tribe
I thought the exact same thing. She did cause some chaos, though? Right?
Alright boys time to get the Idoled Out Cast Analysis bingo card:
-First Boot makes final three
-Sia award winner wins the season
-Young player he doubted defies his expectations
-Offhand comment becomes the most accurate prediction in the video
-idk you name the rest
the tribe he called a train wreck not being that bad
LOL, this comment aged poorly. So far he's bang on about the Lulu lemons.
@@Perkopoulos yeah true
26:44 Katurah connecting with Bruce? 😂
Im so excited to watch your first boot go on to dominate the game and win unanimously
No idoled out first boot pick has ever won.
@@petermcgill3405no but they tend to do well
It's the new era, it'll be a 7-1 vote
@petermcgill3405 Well he did jokingly say Gabler was first boot before he settled on Cassidy, that's all I'll add here.
Nah it's gonna be 7-1-0 because we're not allowed to have a modern final tribal end in any way other than 7-1-0
The real question is, will claire finally take part in a challenge?!
And will Sami finally reach the age of not 19?!
@@jiro110 LMAOO
Any minute now, Once upon an Island will reply here.
I think Claire on The Challenge would be hilarious since she never actually competed in one
No, it will never happen
Looking back it’s pretty funny to see how accurate you were about Kaleb and how Hannah almost seemed out to prove you wrong.
After the third episode, I’m watching this again. It’s weird how some people you got so right, (like drew linking up with Austin), and how some people were WAAAYYY off, like Sabiyah and Brandon
Oh Hannah caused chaos that’s for sure
Bruce was all about loyalty and he started in one of the most loyal tribal based alliances in the new era. We could've gotten Bruce as a member of the Tika 4 instead of the Tika 3.
If he stayed and everything go exactly as it did in 44, we would've gotten a Final Four of Tika should Heidi lose Final Immunity. Bruce most likely would be picked for Fire and maybe Carson too.
honestly if bruce stayed i foresee things shifting to the point of carolyn and maybe even yam yam being early boots, as much as i hate to say it :/
@@uglyaniimalsNah. Bruce would work with Carolyn can Yam Yam. It was stated Carolyn was close with Bruce. If Bruce was in the game I think only Helen goes home and they don't lose another challenge. Thats how I forsee it
Sifu is my boy! My kid trained under him. So close he calls him Uncle Niko
Still the most original pre-season cast analysis out there! Thanks, Luke!
Thank you so much! I super appreciate it!
This is probably the least I’ve agreed with one of your cast assessment videos, but that makes me even more excited to watch the season! This is a super high potential cast, with many of them having many different possible outcomes; should be hype
Haha a thought of you tonight with the Hannah Rose prediction
Honestly, if anybody can give us a casaya 2.0 its the Lulu tribe. I cant wait to see how they all mesh
I pray this ages well
@@avarogers3984and it has
@@avarogers3984it did NOT
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AND WHAT ABOUT IT? You got a half winner pick finally.
Luke, thank you for making content for as long as you have! Love your insights!
Spoiler post: episode one
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looks like hurricane hannah didn't manage to make landfall, quitting at tribal. i know she said she was thinking about it, but i was REALLY expecting it to be brandon or emily.
You nailed it! You said she would throw the rice in the fire if they “wouldn’t” send her home?
god your drew read is so funny😭
The references and jokes and snide remarks about the players in these videos are on point. My kind of humor
Love the optimistic and insightful stuff that seems to have love for any kind of person at first which i love
I know this is a nitpick, but I kinda miss you saying the name of the player who the award is based off of.
It's still there in the actual video graphic!
@@IdoledOut true, but with the golden filter it can be a little hard to tell
@@IdoledOutI prefer it this way, actually: in the graphic for those who really want to get the joke, but not so prominent that it becomes distracting.
@@aperson22222I hear ya but I also miss the name being recited - fit in with the ceremonious & campy tune of the vid imo. Also, a chance for me to learn a few alumni's last names! (Also I enjoy that Tom Laidlaw is now meta-famous on this channel for perennially contributing a superlative)
Great vid as always, looking forward to S45 and the reign of Kellie!
@@IdoledOut we miss it being announced though :(
i also have kellie as my winner pick, but i'm beginning to fear for kellie if so many of us have a strong faith in her skills to win... like is that bad? should we be worried? is SHE gonna be the robbed goddess of the season? 💀
A LOT of people are picking Kellie... including some RHAP folks.. hm...
i just hope kellie wont be the next claire
Watching this 6 episodes in and THIS IS SO ACCURATE.
For some reason in my head, I can see Kaleb saving himself with a idol in the most clutch time possible
Pretty close actually
@@crazyinsanepenguin da damn I was almost on the mark with this prediction 😭
@@papiayuso😂😂
You did a real good job here
Okay, I love the Napoleon Dynamite references
Wearing a vote for Pedro shirt right now lol
yessir !!! been waiting for this
I really hope that Bruce makes the Final 11/Jury Phase he deserves it this season just like he should've deserved it last time!
How did Bruce deserve to make the jury phase last time when he lasted pretty much 12 hours
Bro not only do you and I have the same winner pick in Kellie, but I have the exact same prediction and read on Keturah. I’m so glad someone else has faith in Kellie
My pre season prediction was this:
18TH. Hannah
17TH. Sabiyah
16TH. Dee
15th. Sean
14TH. Kendra
13TH. Austin
12th. Julie
Merge:
11TH. Kaleb
10th. Emily
9th. Brandon
8th. Sifu
7th. Drew
6th. Bruce
5th. Keturah
4th. J maya
Final 3:
3rd. Brando
2nd. Jake
Winner: Kellie
I’m off to a great start lol 😂
Kellie was so close to being my winner pick as well, but I ended up going with Austin. We’ll see how that goes
@@baileylynn5562 I had Austin in my top 5 for winner pick contenders, but I actually put him as the 6th person out because maybe we are in for a shock. Hope not tho
@@baileylynn5562same he looks too good to be true. I think he could make final 5 and go very far but will definitely be a big target for sure
Brandon?
@@casswashwash1070 Brandon yeah. Why you sound confused?
Thank you for posting the video.
Finale in 3 days, the takes for most of the final 5 are great, amazing read regarding Jake's idol
I'm between Julie and Kellie for my winner pick, glad you're going with Kellie too!
I had a dream last night that Bruce won survivor and went on to the amazing race. I wasn't so hot on his chances before but now he has to be my winner pick
womp womp
@@Victoria-nh1xr ikr. I was devastated
This video is making me rethink my entire bootlist!
I love your pre-season analysis videos! Probably my favorite thing you do (although all of your videos are top tier).
With that said, if Dee wins, I will never watch Survivor again. I cringed throughout her entire Bloom interview, and my immediate reaction was early boot.
So… still never watching it again? 🤣
LOL this aged like fine wine, didn't it? I actually found myself rooting for Dee post-merge, and I remembered this post. Then when she won, I was like "maybe no one read it?" This is a great example of how the pre-season press doesn't always tell the whole story. Dee was a pleasant surprise!@@jakeludwigg
14:25 so i actually asked austin on instagram abt this and whether he meant it strategically or as a character and he said that phillip is an s tier character / b+ tier player which if we're going off his caramoan game. i can kinda see i guess ??
I know it's different demographics so she probably wouldn't see it herself, but Sabiyah reminds me most of JT. Old School players would want to give her the money. If she had a Steven that had good strategy but needed Sabiyah's charisma to charm other players they could absolutely dominate this game together.
Problem is I don't think she has a Stephen on her starting tribe. In fact if she stays loyal to her tribe I think the people on it will end up screwing her over.
Im pulling for my dude bruce i think if he gets to the merge he can go on a immunity streak and win at FTC
Coming back to this after the premier is just sad… he was so hopeful for Hannah 😢😢😢😢
Sean would go on and play the third truly perfect game in Survivor history.
Loving how more of the awards are based on new era players.
2nd time in a row the “most likely to cause chaos” ended up being the first boot lmao
The floor tentacles pfp?
I think you messed up bad with Lulu. I think Sean will be charming and survive votes, Kaleb will be a Maddy from 44 and go home too early, and Brandon will overplay a few votes later and leave. Other than that, it was solid. My winner pick is Dee.
time for a rewatch
Here’s my takes this season (done in boot order prediction):
Drew; most likely to be first boot. I think people will vote him out for challenge performance and or not being able to take him at face value.
Bruce; most likely to be a victim of the woman’s alliance. I think he will be the target early for wanting to possibly bromance with jake which gives Brando the perfect opportunity to fit in with the ladies.
Brandon; most likely to implode his own game early. I think he is gonna be in a pretty good position for the first two episodes, but then be exposed and his tribe will want to vote him out.
Emily; most likely to be expendable, if she isn’t voted out early she’ll likely just be used as a shield and carried to the end.
Sifu; most likely to be perceived as a challenge threat. This guy has a lot of that strong physical and mental comp attitude to him, I think he’ll be voted out early for that reason alone
Julie; most likely to be seen as the mom of the game. She gives off alot of mom vibes in the game, but will probably be voted early for some reason.
Katurah; most likely to be voted out first in the merge. She’ll be the one to start a woman’s alliance and control the tribal phase of the game, but come merge kellie will put the target on her to make a big move early.
Brando; most likely to be a last minute vote out. I think he will be in a great position in the game until last minute strategy causes him to go home.
Kendra; most likely to be too loyal. I feel like she’ll be similar to Carolyn in playing emotionally rather than strategically, which might work for a little while, but will also be why she goes home.
Sabiyah; most likely to be the physical threat of the game. Being that she was an active duty marine she is going to be a really tough competitor, and very likely to win or come close to winning immunities often.
Jake; most likely to be blindsided. I think he will be the biggest move to vote out, and so someone will plan out a blindside on him.
Dee; most likely to come short of the finale. I think she’ll be voted out either because they fear she has an idol, or she’s voted out because of an idol.
Sean; most likely to be seen as a threat early on, but be forgotten afterwards. I get massive Romeo vibes from Sean, wouldn’t be surprised if he played like him too
Kaleb; most likely to be the Johnny FairPlay of modern survivor. I can only wonder if like FairPlay Jeff will dislike him.
Hannah; most likely to be the final boss. She’s going to cause chaos but also be the biggest threat to win at the same time.
Austin; most likely to be over confident in how he played. I get some Xander vibes from Austin, he’ll likely read the jury wrong and believe he played better than he actually did.
Kellie; most likely to not win for being the villain. I imagine a Russell Hantz style of villain game from kellie, she wants to play independent but also control what happens.
J’maya; most likely to win it all. She encapsulates how many of the modern survivors have won, she wants to be low key for a while until she makes a huge move and wins it all, similar to what Maryanne did.
Just my analysis on the cast
I think that Kendra is not most likely to be loyal. She seems to be to a free spirit.
As much as being a Survivor legend would be awesome, being a purple Survivor player would be so cool for internet points
My Pre-Season Rankings:
18. Drew
17. Shaun
16. Brandon
15. Bruce
14. Julie
13. Austin
12. Kaleb
11. Kendra
10. Dee
9. Emily
8. Hannah
7. Brando
6. Sabiya
5. Sifu
4. Jake
3. J. Maya
2. Katurah
1. Kellie
Watching post premiere and, oh man, Hurricane Hannah! Loved the insights
2:02 Was he by any chance also a flight attendant?
I love that you really did copy and paste Bruce's section. Though I'm 50/50 on whether you actually copy/pasted the audio from the first time.
Survivor is back! Lat’s goooooo
comparing drew to napoleon dynamite is ruthless😂
17:18 made me spit out my drink lmfao
Glad to know I’m not the only one who thought drew looked like napoleon
Hannah cause chaos alright only outside the island
Coming back after episode 1 3:46😂😂😂😂
I miss you saying the names of the former Survivors the awards are based on. Great video despite this as always though
Is Bruce a potential winner pick since he will be a first mat talker when they make landfall? About to finish watching the video where you might mention it lol but love your content!! Cant wait for the weekly breakdowns this season!
Rough start but I like the winner pick
TODAY IS THE DAY
Im confident with this prediction that Bruce will enter the final 8 and get idoled out
I hope Reba McIntyre shows up to serenade the Reba tribe every night at camp
17:22 I'm dying 😂
I really thought you were pulling a fast one on your audience when you said “Dee who?” cus I definitely finished it. 23:03
Most likely to cause chaos was right for Hannah!
Not really
I can't tell who the contestant was for Emily! Rachel Ako?!
I’m rooting for Kendra. Carolyn is my favorite of all time soooo
Reba might be my favorite tribe ever
Oh the Hannah prediction… 😬
It’s EMILY FLIPPIN??? Flippin!
(de) Lulu tribe gonna be that one chaotic tribe where that one MOR player is gonna go way to early where on another tribe would have at least reached 5th place.
Les gooo 8 minutes
I grew up with Sifu!!!!!! He’s liked by all. We are all routing for him out here!!!!
Now you may have all missed it, since it was a blink-and-youll-miss-it moment, but when Idoled Out was talking about Drew, he actually referenced a little known comedy called Napoleon Dynamite. Bit of a niche joke, but I respect it.
I think you’re really underestimating your fellow commenters if you consider that “niche” or “little known.”
@@aperson22222 r/woosh
LOL yes that was great. Austin is the Pedro to Drew's Napoleon Dynamite
KELLIE WAS ALSO MY WINNER PICK NICE
Taking averages of your past predictions of how your first boot and winner picks actually did, Sean will be 6th place while Kellie will be 7th.
Since we’re at it, here are my pre-season predictions
18- Austin 🔴
17- Brandon 🟡
16- Sean 🟡
15- Hannah 🟡
14- Dee 🔴
13- Sabiyah 🟡
12- Emily 🟡
11- Brando 🔵
10- Kendra 🔵
9- Drew 🔴
8- Sifu 🔴
7- Bruce 🔵
6- J-Maya 🔴
5- Kellie 🔵
4- Kaleb 🟡
3- Julie 🔴
2- Katurah 🔵
1- Jake 🔵
Bro your top 3 out is the 3 that I’m most rooting for 😭
Where do you find pre-season information?
There's a link to Mike Bloom's interviews for Parade.com in the description if you want more in-depth info on each player
You were as right about Hannah as you were wrong. She's manic and impulsive. But not final 5
Facebook has... I will be nice and say "a type" and it is not Sifu sadly
I love how she works in survivor because it’s like this middle aged decently in shape woman is considered a decrepit old granny
I thought Brandon was gonna get the him spradlin tbh
I am in the future. Oh no.
Well Hannah did cause some chaos but ..
3:42 that comparison is unfair to abi and j'tia
Hannah went first no chaos from her i guess
Is it me or does Brando kinda look like Evvie???
Lol I have those same pants Caleb is wearing
Lexington Steele looking dude is going to win
jakes favorite season being vanuatu makes sense knowing he watches ben shapiro and jordan peterson lol
"she beat addiction at 20" apparently not lmaoooooooo
The way my jaw dropped 💀
I feel bad laughing at her, but Jesus, you're right, she really did swap one crippling addiction for another.
Well Hannah Rose didn’t age well for being the person you are most looking forward to playing. Haha
14:00 😳🫢
Why are people saying Julie can’t win she is just like dee but with a lower threat level I
Think she can do it
Jesus, God, and the Holy Spirit love you very much!
Drew is first out guaranteed
Here’s what place I think the cast gets without watching the video:
Brando (18) - Blue
Hannah (17) - Yellow
Sean (16) - Yellow
Julie (15) - Red
--- Tribe Swap ---
Kellie (14) - Blue -> 1
Drew (13) - Red -> 2
Bruce (12) - Blue -> 1
J.Maya (11) - Red -> 1
---Merge---
Katurah (10) - Blue -> 2
Sifu (9) - Red -> 2
Dee (8) - Red -> 2
Emily (7) - Yellow -> 1
Sabiyah (6) - Yellow -> 1
Kaleb (5) - Yellow -> 1
Austin (4) -> Red -> 2
--Final Three--
(Jury starts with Katurah)
Brandon (4) Yellow -> 1
Jake (3) Blue -> 2
Kendra (0) Blue ->2
Brandon is the Sole Survivor!
Alliances:
Yellow four of Brandon, Emily, Sabiyah, Kaleb: Kaleb flips
Austin and Sifu
Katurah, Dee, J.Maya
Jake and Kendra (later Austin and Kaleb)
Austin and Kaleb (secret final 2)
Brandon would get the yellow 3’s votes as well as Austin’s
It’s nice watching Dee’s segment as she won in a dominant fashion being a triple threat.