THIS Is Why You Take Risks In Poker - WSOP $3.7 Million One Drop

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 ก.ย. 2024
  • Let's take another look at the crucial bluff from the $111,111 One Drop final table. I briefly covered this in my documentary-style vlog covering that day, but today we're going to get into a bit more detail. Many people have asked me about this hand, as the decisions from both players have perplexed observers. This is my favorite hand from my WSOP bracelet win this year, so let's dive right in.
    Watch: I WON THE WSOP ONE DROP FOR $3.7 MILLION!!! - • I WON THE WSOP ONE DRO...
    See more WSOP coverage from PokerGo: www.pokergo.com
    Subscribe for more wsop vlog, news, comedy, and hand breakdowns. Poker Hands is the show where Doug analyzes live poker hands from tv poker shows such as Poker After Dark, EPT (European Poker Tour), High Stakes Poker, the World Series of Poker (WSOP), the Aussie Millions, WPT (World Poker Tour) the Big One For One Drop, and the PCA (Pokerstars Carribean Adventure). He especially enjoys reviewing hands by popular high stakes pros like Viktor "Isildur" Blom, Fedor Holz, Dan Cates (Jungleman), Tom "Durrrr" Dwan, Phil Ivey, and Daniel Negreanu.

ความคิดเห็น • 881

  • @DougPolkPoker
    @DougPolkPoker  6 ปีที่แล้ว +43

    I documented my One Drop journey on video from Day 1. Watch the behind-the-scenes view of winning the bracelet: th-cam.com/video/MwI0Ucc6lJU/w-d-xo.html

    • @CommonSenseABC
      @CommonSenseABC 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Doug Polk Poker How d'hell did he ever fold?

    • @Mihail4444
      @Mihail4444 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      I Beast Everything T-shirt - Awesome Pigeon

    • @deeloc1993
      @deeloc1993 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Doug Polk Poker you're a clown for wearing that i neast everything shirt lmao i caught the reference

    • @pokerbruh
      @pokerbruh 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I remember it like yesterday...great vlog, amazing run, and now a very favorable hand analysis. Thanks Bruh

    • @tongmaa
      @tongmaa 6 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      The Tournaments miss out on a great chance to help popularize poker. They should "rabbit cam" all the hands in the last 3rd of the tournament, so that they, and you among others, can show what the outcome of bluffs like this one (and others even more dramatic) would have been, but later after the tournament is over.
      Knowing that the "Rabbit cam" is being recorded would also encourage more viewing in re-runs done by their subscription sites, facebook, youtube, twitter ... ad nauseam ... for years and years ...
      It's certainly something I would like to see in analysis done like this one, Doug :)

  • @JohnSmith-su3ze
    @JohnSmith-su3ze 4 ปีที่แล้ว +143

    I hung out with Doug last year and he told me he just unloads the clip in these spots, then comes up with these rationales afterwards for his channel. The guys a genius!

    • @BrianJonesification
      @BrianJonesification 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hahaha exactly

    • @markreynolds1436
      @markreynolds1436 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      😁😁😁

    • @mdougf
      @mdougf 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Lmao

    • @jolaz69
      @jolaz69 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      I’ve tried a similar move in $100 satellite tournament. I opened and was in position with two callers. I had 9T off suit. Flop came Queen high rainbow. First two guys check and I check back. Turn brings in a low second club. Now under the gun takes a stab and middle position folds. I decide to 3x raise knowing this guy doesn’t even have a Queen. He thinks for a minute and calls. River brings in back door clubs and he checks. I unload the clip and he snaps with A high flush.
      I know you might think I should have shoved on the turn, but this same player called off all his chips putting his tournament at risk with a flush draw one orbit earlier and hit it.

    • @MrVibeCheck41
      @MrVibeCheck41 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Is this for real ? Lol

  • @shanehicks9143
    @shanehicks9143 4 ปีที่แล้ว +334

    Mike Postle would've called!

    • @dylan4652
      @dylan4652 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@LouisE-mp8lx of course the dick move works Everytime when you're poker God.

    • @39offsuit
      @39offsuit 4 ปีที่แล้ว +24

      It’s called Crotch Theory Optimal

    • @HitokiriShaggyTTV
      @HitokiriShaggyTTV 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Mike would have checked through to keep the pot small.

    • @bankrollbilly
      @bankrollbilly 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      All in

    • @citizensnips2348
      @citizensnips2348 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      GAWD!

  • @mightybatillo
    @mightybatillo 6 ปีที่แล้ว +960

    Meanwhile at the local casino they call with J6 and hit the J in the river

    • @msdunkel
      @msdunkel 6 ปีที่แล้ว +28

      OMG just last night we had a guy keep calling with JD 6? and he got his 5th diamond on the river. The pocket kings who did everything right tilted and we all enjoyed splitting his buy-in, but COME ON MAN!!!

    • @ThereAreTwoGenders
      @ThereAreTwoGenders 6 ปีที่แล้ว +177

      Adjust your game accordingly. If they are calling stations, then you should be overbetting your good hands and checking or betting light your draws/mediocre hands. If youre losing consistently at weak games at a local casino then instead of blaming others, you should look at yourself. Just some food for thought.

    • @DominationRotation
      @DominationRotation 6 ปีที่แล้ว +41

      You can always find your play against those calling stations and loose players. Play tight, set traps, and dont bluff them. That would be a good start.

    • @handianus
      @handianus 6 ปีที่แล้ว +21

      Loosing against one pair is nothing to cry about. I played a micro tournament online against a calling-station recently. I had AA, to my left KK, calling station had J5o. Eventually we were all-in. J5o wins, three of a kind. That guy had about 1 hour of amazing luck.

    • @nickyliner999
      @nickyliner999 5 ปีที่แล้ว +39

      ^ Lmao Frankensteiny boi chill 😂

  • @Anaxagoran
    @Anaxagoran 3 ปีที่แล้ว +35

    "Terrible fold."
    -Mike Postle

  • @zZmiLLi
    @zZmiLLi 3 ปีที่แล้ว +34

    11:24.....Robl face looks like he's trying to lowkey figure out exactly who farted but also trying to make sure everyone knows it wasn't him.

  • @jyc366
    @jyc366 6 ปีที่แล้ว +103

    seems like Jacobson is just too used to how mtt shitregs play and how they almost never have check jam bluffs on the turn in these huge icm spots..Doug is actually somewhat balanced in these spots

    • @shikeridoo
      @shikeridoo 5 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      RandomThoughts that is what the comment you’re commenting on is saying.

    • @Devilfish6666
      @Devilfish6666 5 ปีที่แล้ว +22

      @RandomThoughts Well but KJ spades is one of the best hands he can have here for the line he took. And since Doug can have tons of bluffs in this spot I think the call is mandatory. If you lose it, its just not your day but waiting for an even better hand and an even better spot will get you nothing but ur stack drained from blinds and pots like this that you give up with already strong hands just because they're not totally OP.

    • @user-vx1up7ty7z
      @user-vx1up7ty7z 4 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      @@timmtheilig6827 The issue is, even if he's "way ahead" (70-80%), he's still looking at a minimum 20% chance of busting, and not getting overwhelming upside. I do think he has to call, but probably shouldn't have bet in the first place if he can't call a shove (as Doug mentioned).

    • @myfantasy4u296
      @myfantasy4u296 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      If Moore had stayed in with his pair of 3’s he would’ve won. 😢

  • @andrewcampbell9695
    @andrewcampbell9695 6 ปีที่แล้ว +223

    Should have looked back at your rail and shouted, "Get your cookie jars out!!!!"

  • @jared_grey
    @jared_grey 6 ปีที่แล้ว +48

    Finally a TV poker hand where you bluffed and they folded. :)

  • @Phil-og8fx
    @Phil-og8fx 6 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    its always nice to see poker commentators go out on the felt and battle it out with the pros. doug proves he can hold his own. reminds me of when gable kaplan played on HSP, very impreesive kudos to doug

  • @DaSoulSlasher
    @DaSoulSlasher 6 ปีที่แล้ว +58

    I remember watching this hand live...I was so nervous for you I thought he was gonna call and hoped you were gonna get there with the flush on the river lol. No need for that though cause Polk has the balls to balance his range even in the biggest spots

    • @LoneRangers222
      @LoneRangers222 6 ปีที่แล้ว +15

      just as original as your lame ass reply

    • @adolfocamarena563
      @adolfocamarena563 6 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Why do you come on here and talk shit to someone who's a fan of Polk? Let him FanBoy as hard as he wants, man. To each their own.

    • @freshasmint
      @freshasmint 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      i enjoyed both replies, there's no winner here folks

    • @jayd1261
      @jayd1261 6 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      and I got the balls to balance my range on your moms forehead

    • @aaronh8943
      @aaronh8943 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Jay D No bro you just don't

  • @stacymartin5993
    @stacymartin5993 5 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    That's a snap call by most home players.

    • @thedude5599
      @thedude5599 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      That's a snap call for most pros as well. Come on now top pair second nut flush draw. Scared money fold !!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • @jeremydyar7566
      @jeremydyar7566 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Well Doug even said its a call

    • @jeremydyar7566
      @jeremydyar7566 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@thedude5599 I would've been scared of A5

  • @Bushalte_Stelle
    @Bushalte_Stelle 6 ปีที่แล้ว +147

    Foooooold !!

  • @classyassmothafucka8890
    @classyassmothafucka8890 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The half-pot continuation bet is magic. It serves several purposes.
    1. When you have the goods, your opponent is less likely to even attempt to draw out on you.
    2. When you DON'T have the goods, you have standardized your betting... so your opponent has to try to call with less information... which they won't want to do.
    3. When your opponent has the goods, you'll know it. If you've standardized your betting, they will likely only call with something good, and they will rarely raise... because that would be telegraphing their hand.
    4. When your opponent doesn't have the goods, they will be given the choice of either folding to a strong bet or engaging in a big pot with an opponent that they have basically no idea what is in their hand.
    If you standardize your pre-flop raising (I play about 1/4 hands and 3x raise half of those) and you ALWAYS make a continuation bet of half pot, you will be SHOCKED how quickly you are out ahead and bullying the table.

    • @ozrenbalic6051
      @ozrenbalic6051 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Until you start playing against good, aggressive players who will quickly figure out what you're up to, and they will start check raising you with impunity, forcing you to fold many hands that had decent equity.

  • @ilovebrandnewcarpets
    @ilovebrandnewcarpets 6 ปีที่แล้ว +89

    "FOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLD"

  • @danielhealy2736
    @danielhealy2736 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    You've started explaining things so well. I have taken a lot from your last 2 vids

  • @Eric-tj3tg
    @Eric-tj3tg 3 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    While this was a re-watch for me, it reminds me of how much I miss Doug and these analyses. Funny to listen to the commentators v. Doug's take and decision-making.
    Glad you took this thing down Doug. And, since it's been awhile, it was good fun watching you take down DNegs, especially as since he improved so much, he challenged and got the arrogance bitch-slapped away by Hellmuth (not that I'm a big fan of him).
    Cheers!

  • @striker9686
    @striker9686 6 ปีที่แล้ว +457

    If this was online poker you would have been snapped called and be out of tourney #rip.

    • @jonl1319
      @jonl1319 6 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      Striker yep no question lol. Barely got the chips in the pot called.

    • @SilkenfistLP
      @SilkenfistLP 6 ปีที่แล้ว +177

      and if this was an MMA fight i think doug has the advantage cause he is much bigger

    • @johns783
      @johns783 6 ปีที่แล้ว +65

      if this was online poker he would have been snap called and had 30% equity. fixed.

    • @andrewcampbell9695
      @andrewcampbell9695 6 ปีที่แล้ว +25

      Nah he would have binked the diamond on the river

    • @alleneng
      @alleneng 6 ปีที่แล้ว +22

      He didn't have a hud to tell him what to do

  • @zzbeast2443
    @zzbeast2443 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Doug not going to lie most the time I fast foward through yojr analysis to see the hand but the all-in move I never seen coming. That was gold

  • @crockett616
    @crockett616 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Seing this is very gratifying. I freerolled into EPT Monte Carlo many years ago and had Martin Jacobson run all over me on day one at my starting table :D Seems like a great guy though and obviously a great player.

    • @araratamedi
      @araratamedi 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hahaha poor guy , Jacobson won that one tournament for 10 mil not too long ago

  • @islphrs1350
    @islphrs1350 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    How on earth do you only have 151k subs? You deserve to be well into the millions. Another nice video and another nice play. Keep it up, Polka Dot!

  • @brandonhopkins5830
    @brandonhopkins5830 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    That was super dope to watch and helped me learn a bit more and understand bluffs a bit more thanks for the recap

  • @scottwesley5018
    @scottwesley5018 6 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Doug back to delivering quality poker analysis. Welcome back :-)

  • @mneo212
    @mneo212 6 ปีที่แล้ว +18

    You got to risk it to get the biscuit!

  • @tuubi2783
    @tuubi2783 6 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    Its funny to hear the commentators call Dougs play splashy and agressive, even though he always advocates a balanced GTO approach. Just proof that his strategy works

    • @OsefKincaid
      @OsefKincaid 6 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      It's because most regs underbluff, so if you're balanced, you look bluffy in comparison.

    • @lothararywuen8905
      @lothararywuen8905 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Tuomas Kallio GTO didnt reached yet most of the players 😂😂😂😂

    • @24magiccarrot
      @24magiccarrot 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Error Eliminator You might not be able to be GTO exact without being a bot, but you can strive to be as GTO as humanly possible.

  • @brodywinrow9222
    @brodywinrow9222 3 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Doug is a guy I would never wanna hangout with but man guy knows his poker so respect to him.

  • @j.hanleysmith8333
    @j.hanleysmith8333 6 ปีที่แล้ว +146

    Weird how I can care about poker for years and years and years, then one day, I just stop caring...

    • @antoniocoimbra5832
      @antoniocoimbra5832 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      it is just not that much fun. for some people it takes a while to understand :-P

    • @j.hanleysmith8333
      @j.hanleysmith8333 6 ปีที่แล้ว +12

      TheHumanity! Hmm...breaking even I'd say

    • @jayd1261
      @jayd1261 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      im winning and play full time but have trouble putting in good samples due to not caring

    • @johnoman6617
      @johnoman6617 6 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Poker Burn Out. It happens.

    • @Usernamehere263
      @Usernamehere263 6 ปีที่แล้ว +16

      Same thing happened to me but not poker, it was dota 2

  • @thesbcguy3642
    @thesbcguy3642 6 ปีที่แล้ว +44

    Big balls wins 60% of the time , everytime

    • @joehenderson2012
      @joehenderson2012 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      What? That's if he knows what hes up against dumb fuck. I hate Polk but this statement was dumb af n got liked by 20 other dumbfucks

    • @joehenderson2012
      @joehenderson2012 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Got one thru lol when no matter what he was up against he wins 4outta 10🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 pudgy fuck

    • @joehenderson2012
      @joehenderson2012 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      So if hes up against the nut strait he wins 60%? How about any strait? How bout a set? None of those r favorites or" 60%" moron

    • @matiasss550
      @matiasss550 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@joehenderson2012 i don´t get iy. Could do explain it to a dumb guy like me so I can understand better please?

    • @mattiba3422
      @mattiba3422 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's a semi-quote from Anchorman (Sex Panther cologne). Don't take the 60% equity literally 🤣

  • @denniss8644
    @denniss8644 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Doug - these videos without the sarcasm, posters and lame jokes are when you're at your best. Do more videos like this.

  • @jakethebasher
    @jakethebasher 6 ปีที่แล้ว +219

    Lmao "got one through"!

    • @stevenpasche7676
      @stevenpasche7676 6 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      haha, loved that back watching it live.

    • @darrenm394
      @darrenm394 5 ปีที่แล้ว +36

      I dunno why people find this funny. Horrendous etiquette lol

    • @ThereAreTwoGenders
      @ThereAreTwoGenders 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@stevenpasche7676 "got one through!"*

    • @ThereAreTwoGenders
      @ThereAreTwoGenders 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Dumb fucking idiot

    • @ousamaberrag3547
      @ousamaberrag3547 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @@darrenm394 there is no etiquette when playing for millions at the final table. Getting the opponent tilted might literally mean you making a few extra million..

  • @pawestrzelczyk9206
    @pawestrzelczyk9206 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great play great analysis. Thx Doug! Really love your channel, I've learnt a lot from you!

  • @1chance4life76
    @1chance4life76 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    giving the fact that this is probly the biggest tourney most these players has ever played pushing ther is probly the best move, Polk you got guts man! hell of a play sir, i mean if he calls hes really only has AK or AAs or set, but a set probly would have made a bigger turn bet, no way hes got 2 pair and like you said your bb range is nailing that board, damn beautiful play, i lot to learn in this hand, i think thers some spots and room for improvement in my game on the turn like semi bluffs that a lot of times i would just call or fold. Perfect example of a tourney ICM pressure play here, way to go Polk!

  • @tjebbedonckers
    @tjebbedonckers 6 ปีที่แล้ว +32

    This play obviously only works in tourneys that have a serious impact on your bankroll.

    • @WorldBeater123
      @WorldBeater123 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      TD best comment on here

    • @IgnatzzMaus
      @IgnatzzMaus 5 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      It's almost like Doug repeatedly talks about the tourney payout structure affecting play throughout the video

  • @danielson5182
    @danielson5182 5 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    You’re an amazing player and vlogger. Maybe I’m alone here but your videos are twice as long as they should be. Like I’d love if you’d comment over the action and pause it when needed. Not have us watch the same action twice.
    But that’s just me. You’re the man thanks for the lessons 🤙

  • @mattybee1856
    @mattybee1856 5 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I understand that everything I do at the poker table conveys information.

    • @eviltrain24
      @eviltrain24 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      i understood this reference...

  • @antnee8377
    @antnee8377 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Jambo city i liked the jam here you have some blockers ,straight draw, nut flush draw could still peg the ace. You were live & a GTO bluff shove IMO... Players who have never run deep in an an event may have trouble understanding pay jumps added pressure etc...

  • @m.k.4913
    @m.k.4913 6 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Hey Doug,
    do you really think about all the things you say in 3 minutes in the 30 seconds after he bet the 1,000,000? Or does a lot of the stuff comes afterwards ? Just wondering ;)

    • @Nash9r
      @Nash9r 5 ปีที่แล้ว +8

      Fast thinking about these things is crucial for being a successful poker player. Also, if you play for years, you have seen similar situations a lot of times, especially in NL.

    • @thundabird
      @thundabird 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      YES AND NO. HIS SUBCONSCIOUS IS. IF YOU HAVE TO THINK ABOUT IT YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG.

    • @linq7584
      @linq7584 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      For sure. Doug plays poker in the highest levels so it comes automatic since he is a thinking pkayer.

    • @zHqqrdz
      @zHqqrdz 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      No. It’s only a matter of experience.

  • @chrishagerty5467
    @chrishagerty5467 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I've been playing poker for 6 years now and I have never lost a single hand I would love to get this guy at a table. Guys like him have made me millions

    • @WorldBeater123
      @WorldBeater123 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      chris hagerty congratulations on being the only person on planet earth to never lose a hand

    • @MrVibeCheck41
      @MrVibeCheck41 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      What a doughbag

  • @MUFC20
    @MUFC20 6 ปีที่แล้ว +35

    Bad bet on the turn by Jacobson.
    Why would you bet KJ with a flush draw on the turn if you're gonna fold to a jam?

    • @joebid6116
      @joebid6116 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      maybe he think he had AK or Kk or KQ not only hand of flush wvich they beat him

    • @jeffhenderson1778
      @jeffhenderson1778 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      The turn bet was fine but lol @ bet/fold

    • @kevinsnyder1390
      @kevinsnyder1390 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Exactly what dough pointed out. In his position with his chipstack, and you're betting on the turn you absolutely HALF to call a ship.

    • @videonikita
      @videonikita 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      he could have just checked it down... i think the bet is why polk jammed him, he saw opportunity in that the guy wasn't willing to risk his entire stack to win that hand? simple explanation without all the "value bet" nonsense

    • @freeplayseveryday7484
      @freeplayseveryday7484 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Exactly. He wasn't counting on Doug jamming.

  • @LTdrumma
    @LTdrumma 6 ปีที่แล้ว +91

    The comment section is a pond. I wish I could be in a cash game with this comment section as the line-up

    • @batchagaloopytv5816
      @batchagaloopytv5816 6 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      fish usually notice other fish ...just sayin

    • @organicpotato9698
      @organicpotato9698 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      batchagaloopyTV yo goofy ass corny af 😂

    • @24magiccarrot
      @24magiccarrot 5 ปีที่แล้ว +8

      In fairness to the comment section most people can talk a better game than they play. Its so much easier to make a good decision when you are not emotionally involved.
      Analyzing this hand without being involved in it, its easy to say that jacobson should call in this spot even without the advantage of being able to see the cards folding here with top pair and good draw just makes you too easily exploitable, but when you are actually in this situation and it's your tournament life that is at stake for a lot of money it is easy to make the wrong decision.
      Even if you think your opponent has a set or straight in this spot you really do need to call you are ahead of most of Dougs range here, and have outs against any hand he could have, but that's so much easier to say from behind your keyboard and it's not your money involved.

    • @kevdawg55
      @kevdawg55 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      24magiccarrot ahead of MOST of Doug’s range? Is this a real comment supposed to be intelligent?

    • @kevdawg55
      @kevdawg55 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      Even if you think opponent has a set or a straight you call? Sooo, you have 20% equity tops against those hands, and you should call getting a little over 2-1? You need 30% equity. You wanna go ahead and delete your comment then? Just take the loss and learn from it. You’re welcome 😉

  • @zotovd2
    @zotovd2 4 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    One of the best hand breakdowns I've seen, bravo, thanks Doug!

  • @Filippirgos
    @Filippirgos 6 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I remember this hand from your vlog.
    Still can not believe Jacobson didn't call that shove with his hand, especially after he initially bet turn !
    IMO that'sbad play from Jacobson, after he bet he had to call with his hand, otherwise he shouldn't bet.

    • @Kevin_Roche
      @Kevin_Roche 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      You can see it in Martin's face that he regretted his turn action as well as his fold after Doug sighed afterward.

    • @slewofdamascus
      @slewofdamascus 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      That's the value of late position, too - it should be a mandatory question to one's self - if i bet here and get put to the ultimate test, what will I do? That way it's resolved. There were quite a few hands that could have had Polk ahead, but again this is stuff he should be considering before the raise. A check there would have been ideal. The equity is too valuable to have to fold to a shove or to be put to the test, at all, when it's in your control due to position. Polk deserves credit for making that play, a lot more than he's getting - it may have won him the tournament. It was a heady move.

  • @garygwin1741
    @garygwin1741 6 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Yah I'm kinda wondering how a World Champ folds there. But Hey, GREAT HAND DOUG!

  • @dereksierrawhitener9270
    @dereksierrawhitener9270 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Watch your videos about a year ago and they were way over my head been studying for about a year and now they're very informative can't wait to go back and watch them all thanks my man. Oh. And Danny boy doesn't stand a chance👌

  • @MBMASTR
    @MBMASTR 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    It looks after your analysis like he should have planed against Doug to bet hands that can call a raise on turn or just check most of range and take it easy. Even if he is giving equity to draws . Still better then giving him fold equity of real hands and increase the variance of geting out of tournament. Btw Doug, tournaments are nuts for you. Your balanced bluffing aproach is giving you huge added value.

  • @TraneFrancks
    @TraneFrancks 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    If I recall correctly, I ran the numbers in the Lab using CardRunnersEV and this wound up being a $359K $EV hand for Doug. Well played, ya pigeon. 🐦

  • @jonnyconstable
    @jonnyconstable 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hello, Your videos really help me out alot and i learn alot from what you say, but for me its not what i should be doing, its the hands and the situations i get involved in that i should not be doing that would help me out alot more, so maybe in the future could you do a video about getting involved in situations and doing things you should not be doing?. keep up the good work, John Constable

  • @DannyGoes_
    @DannyGoes_ 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Def a hand I’ll remember forever. Thanks for the added insight! Situationally I’m 50/50 on MJs turn lead, BUT given that you’re very bluff capable I’d like to see a check.

  • @NOTme2014
    @NOTme2014 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Its so sweet to see an EDGE so nice and clear. Thanks bro

  • @levankhasia6588
    @levankhasia6588 4 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Nice hand, but how right is your reaction after his fold ?

    • @c4thenerd171
      @c4thenerd171 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      This is how you know most poker analysis is trash. After the fact you can talk about all this nonsense. In reality, we all know most people apply 10% of the stuff they say. He prob thought he pushed him off like a low pair. It’s obvious he thought during the hand, he made a good push play. After the fact, he states a jam is a must call. Knowing this, if you know Jacobson is gonna “have” to call, you would never jam in that spot.

    • @wills6487
      @wills6487 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@c4thenerd171 He says a jam is a must call after the hand because he now KNOWS what Martin had. He listed several hands that Martin could have, and ruled out others based on his open and post-flop play. The jam was a must call, according to Polk, with Kx of spades, or an already made set or wheel. Did you ignore literally all the discussion leading up to the shove?

  • @persianprince4689
    @persianprince4689 5 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I bet you the diamond was coming Doug 😂😂

  • @graphetes
    @graphetes 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice win Doug! I'm glad you are still crushing dreams on the felt.

  • @thomassjoberg5786
    @thomassjoberg5786 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    @doug Polk poker what would you have done if Martin checked the turn?

  • @TheDJLiquify
    @TheDJLiquify 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    As an upswing member, the phrase around 15:00 "he's just dead" is not correct - it is clear that even if Doug turns the nuts, or has a set, Martin's spades will still assuredly be live (with the exception of a single combo of A5s)

  • @adrianallen1808
    @adrianallen1808 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I really do like this video. I have been playing poker for a while but also am not a professional. So it also changes my view on how to play from a psychology major point of view.

  • @joehenry9546
    @joehenry9546 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I enjoy these videos where Vanessa Selbst is commenting on Doug Polk’s play.

  • @daltt7817
    @daltt7817 6 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    do i get replied to if I dare wake up this early to watch a new polker handarino video

  • @OsefKincaid
    @OsefKincaid 6 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    The fold is theorically correct according to the people who calculated it on 2+2, if I recall correctly; we have tons of better hands to call with and it's not great to have spades since you would expect Doug to have more spades draw than diamond draws when he shoves the turn as a bluff.
    People also said that the bet turn is theorically correct as well, but I don't really think that's true. The argument is basically that if you don't bet this you don't have enough of a betting range on the turn, but I don't think that's a problem. That turn doesn't hit us at all, I don't see a great reason to bet more than very few select hands on it.

    • @raphfernandez2589
      @raphfernandez2589 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      OsefKincaid just out of curiosity why would we expect Doug to have more spades than diamonds? I would think he really only has pair + flush draw, and combo draws of spades where as diamonds he can have way more.

    • @michelcharbonnier7603
      @michelcharbonnier7603 6 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Tons of better hands?
      I mean, I'm not the guy to question the wizards at 2+2, but in my mind, we only have KK, AsKs and A5s as very clear calls. 44, 33, 22 and 65s would be other calls, but I'm not sure how Jacobson's range looks like in MP with 25 BB left.
      It looks pretty cuspy to me, but I think bet-folding is bad, simply because it kills so much eq.
      I much prefer either bet-calling or checking back the turn.

    • @OsefKincaid
      @OsefKincaid 6 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      (more spades than diamonds is me talking, not 2+2, I could be wrong) I think the spades that you fold on the flop are compensated cause you have raised some diamonds on the flop and you have some diamonds that call to the river (while you don't really need to show up with spades so you can shove most of your combinations). I guess it depends how often you call with Ax of spades on the flop, I would quite often (possibly wrong with that stack size).
      Michel, I'd have to find that thread again, I don't remember it well enough other than that they concluded the fold was justified (I remember cause it surprised me). Think some of the reasoning was based on the idea that typically people don't have enough bluffs in these high variance once-every-five-year spots, and Doug counters that by not giving a single fuck.

    • @Badbentham
      @Badbentham 6 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Sounds a tad to me as if the discussion on 2+2 was a fair bit on the nitty and generalizing end, slightly over-evaluating the tournament situation: "Everybody feels the pressure, everyone is tight." - So, not the best idea when someone like Doug is in the hand. :D Given the ICM, I strongly lean to a check behind here. But, if I decided to bet, I would be strongly inclined to go with the hand.

    • @josexavier1997
      @josexavier1997 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Jacobson actually doesn't even have 44, 33, 22 and 65s that often either based on how he was playing in this tournament. If he was playing normally he would, but he played very very tight in his opening range, so KJs has to be a call in this hand cause it's just too strong mainly because of his very tight opening range in this tournament.

  • @robideu5008
    @robideu5008 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you ask me, the all-in was the clear play, given the opponent's small bets up to that time, and your chance of making a flush, straight or AA. All in at that point was far and away the best play.

  • @thomasminter
    @thomasminter 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yeah, Martin Jacobson is a great player and would slice me up in a second but he really does make a rookie mistake here. At this stage in the tournament with stacks this deep a question to always ask oneself *before* you bet (especially on the flop or turn on a draw-heavy board) is "What am I going to do if my opponent shoves?" Go through this scenario first, and *then* make your decision about whether to check or bet. Betting first and only then thinking about how to respond *after* your opponent shoves is a place no thinking player should ever have to be.

  • @WMD250
    @WMD250 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    17:36 that moment !!! awesome video doug keep up the great job your awesome !!!!

  • @aroundtheworldin80blinds5
    @aroundtheworldin80blinds5 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really nice analysis Doug. More like this one, please

  • @colincgc
    @colincgc 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Jacobson must have nightmares about that hand. Tough spot but once he has put another 1m in on the turn, if he is looking to actually WIN the whole thing he has to be calling the jam. Only hand that has him totally crushed is A5 spades. Other than that, even if behind he is gonna have plenty outs. Huge money at stake but when stripped back, he really needs to be calling. Dodged a bullet there Doug!

  • @Gemelli_ar
    @Gemelli_ar 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love this video. Great analysis as always .Im wondering,If you could see his hand would you still do this? I don’t know many players that would ever fold that.

  • @peteypivots
    @peteypivots 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great play by play analysis, strong moves and even sicker sunglasses against the opponent. Keep the videos coming ! SN as a WC3 player whats your take on the Dota.

  • @RR-xu5xk
    @RR-xu5xk ปีที่แล้ว

    Doug looks like he should also be starring in movies like Top Gun. This is one person I wouldnt want to play poker with. He crunches all the analytics in his head in about 30 seconds.

  • @Robert-py5tg
    @Robert-py5tg 6 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Jacobson has a permanent pout

  • @TFA16
    @TFA16 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    You are a sick human being, Doug Polk. Thanks for the analysis, I was waiting for this one.

  • @justinneilsonn2665
    @justinneilsonn2665 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    I don't think Doug understands how unique his approach to poker is

  • @dimitriskontoleon6787
    @dimitriskontoleon6787 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    I am sure that in cash game was an easy call. Now he have at worst case the flush outs. (and maybe not all if you have set) possible out was k or j if you have AA but if he had a set? How much change you have to hit flush or straight

  • @crackeroftheyear
    @crackeroftheyear 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Probably a stupid question but do they keep the money they win on these pots? Only reason i ask is sometimes ill see that they win a mill for the tourny but the pots they play are way bigger

  • @WorldBeater123
    @WorldBeater123 6 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Shocked he didn’t call. He must have put you on A5 suited spades which has his flush beat and already picked up the straight. But if you had that hand you wouldn’t have went all in you would have built the pot. Not sure what that guy was thinking. Your 15min of commentary could be trimmed down to 4 words “sometimes you get lucky”

    • @lostblue5651
      @lostblue5651 5 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      lol dumb, nobody put someone in "XX suited spades". Its always about ranges. Doug had a lot of draws, straights and even two pairs in his range. He can go all in turn in all of these possibilities. Thats why you are not lucrative

    • @lexlawless5275
      @lexlawless5275 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Doug talks a lot of shit that amounts to nothing especially after he knows what hand his opponent has and knows the outcome of the hand in the "Post Game Analysis". I bet during his self-proclaimed brilliant "bluff", he was shitting his pants and hoping that his opponent would fold since that guy's tournament life was on the line.

  • @amputeevictory700
    @amputeevictory700 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Moore folded that pair of trays, i know he was feeling like he should have gave it a shot. But, my mentor always says, “ that’s why the cards have backs!”

  • @franv342
    @franv342 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Can someone explain to me why he would fold with QT◇? It is not the nut flush but he is getting enough pot odds. Mandatory call at least

  • @rickn.backer1087
    @rickn.backer1087 5 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    No way am I folding the kings...better to eat them than fold! POLK GOT LUCKY AND HE KNOWS IT!

    • @davidhill7490
      @davidhill7490 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      understatement of the year. martin's horrible play made doug's donky play look like genius. and that applies to cash game too. when your opponent plays bad you tend to play better. here, the normal play(martin's call which most pros would do) would ve made doug's play looked not so good, and even somewhat amateurish(i know i know doug is one of the best heads up players but this aint no heads up tourny) and reckless. to doug's credit though, fortune favors the bold and doug was the bold one. martin played scared poker.

    • @hansijawns
      @hansijawns 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      What would you suggest then? Never bluff in that spot? If you never bluff people can just fold every time you raise. If Doug never bluffs there, it was actually a really good fold. So what do you suggest?

  • @TOOLAPC68
    @TOOLAPC68 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    i came back to this video because i was in basically the same spot, i had the nut flush heart draw with 2 hearts on the flop queen high board and a club, with a club on the turn. i ended up calling an all in, villian had Q 10 of clubs and i didnt hit the flush on the river, however i did end up hitting an ace which was good enough to take it down. Ended up doing 3rd place in a 10 dollar tourney on global for a decent payday of 830 bucks.

  • @frankfindout1505
    @frankfindout1505 ปีที่แล้ว

    It's a little risky but I think the check raise might have been good because it's a good way to sort of camouflaging your hand also. And the raise might have stopped him from making a bigger 4 bet

  • @jayd1261
    @jayd1261 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I usually dont offer insight or my opinions on hands played by players better than me BUT HOW DOES HE FOLD THAT?!?!?

  • @unbreakable7614
    @unbreakable7614 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Just wondering was this your actual thought process in the moment or your breakdown after re-watching or maybe a combination of the two?

  • @dr3j4k
    @dr3j4k 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    wow...literally the coolest hand Ive seen him play. I woullllllllddddd kkkkkillllll to seee that river!

  • @dcul8812
    @dcul8812 6 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I️ do not understand why he folded. Call me loose, but I’m snap calling.

    • @joeashbubemma
      @joeashbubemma 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      Exactly. If you're going to play KJ suited, flop top pair, turn a flush draw, only to fold?

    • @dimitriskontoleon6787
      @dimitriskontoleon6787 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Is a huge pressing. If opponent have a hand like 33 or 2 pair? (unlucky) A5 diamons... OK he was not ready from opponent all in. So is wrong idea to bid in final table if you not ready to call all in. I mean the 1 million bet is not so good.

  • @Habeas.Corpus.Freeyoself
    @Habeas.Corpus.Freeyoself 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Not sure how your brain can fire that fast yet you sit so still it must be the shades Doug great job really boost your street cred

  • @HansPeter-mm8lj
    @HansPeter-mm8lj 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Listen to Dougs Videos is like a marriage - up some Point you cant live with or without it!

  • @the-chillian
    @the-chillian 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I'm sipping on a nice, smokey, peaty Ardbeg Corryvreckan while I watch this, one of the more heavily peated of the Islay malts. Wonderful stuff. I'd offer to share it, but...

  • @bobeskin
    @bobeskin 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    CONGRATS DOUG!!!!! It is weird, I have watched and listened to you for so many hours I feel like we are buddies. I am such a great guy I know you would want to join my posse!! Wait..... uhhh .... no I mean... Nevermind anyway nice win Mr. Polk

  • @DBxMASTER19
    @DBxMASTER19 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    AWESOMMMMEE!!!! What site is the best for making money? bc on your last video u said pokerstars was the hardest.

  • @jacomans9078
    @jacomans9078 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    I wanted him to call just so I could have seen how this was going to play out, whether you got your flush or he came up with another king, it would be interesting if you invited him to do a side by side with you .....Like Hagler and Hearns used to do after a big fight..haha, to see what his thought process was at these same junctures , and what decision making process he went through not to call. Good vid

  • @hexqtq
    @hexqtq 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really great play. I'll try to make fold that kind of hand on my next 50$ local tourny buy in, hope it'll work =))

  • @jaimeanderson2475
    @jaimeanderson2475 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    i think the analogy was wrong because after the flop your going to call the turn with that hand no matter what i belive the only import play was the all in on the turn

  • @juniorco3109
    @juniorco3109 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    side note, but what is the watch you're wearing in the game?

  • @michaljugo660
    @michaljugo660 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Doug i have one question!You have been in the game in online Poker for years and have great success. Could you make an video on how to recognize a bot or bots that is/are by the table ?Online Poker has change to unfair game. How minimize the risk to play against a bot? Stop playing ?

  • @mdd1963
    @mdd1963 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    17:36 -- Selbst obviously relieved at opponent's fold! :) (JK, Doug, nice moves!)

  • @Jolly-Green-Steve
    @Jolly-Green-Steve 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I would have insta called that all in with the KJ of spades. That is super strong in a heads up pot especially when the blinds are that high and if you are beat or get riverd so be it.

  • @Furthermore23
    @Furthermore23 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    It can be good a good move in high level tournaments but not in mid or lower.... They are gonna call you always in that spot. Cause they dont see probable straights, sets or two pairs posibilities they only see that they had the top pair with a flush draw.

  • @djinnification
    @djinnification 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    by the way you did not look too comfortable in that spot and of course this could be a false tell but I just think based on his possibility of being ahead already, as well as the easy 30% he has to have if he isn't ahead, it's a slam dunk bet and snap call (and for Jacobson a snap call is a 20 second tank)

  • @Nash9r
    @Nash9r 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Doug learned a new word. "ICM". Never heard it before in a vid ;) .

  • @poulpoulsen2417
    @poulpoulsen2417 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dear mr Polk
    You do make some good and solid moves, but what you are saying in this video is kinda home made as the hand goes on. WP u are a champ

  • @evanbland2079
    @evanbland2079 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love the plays and commentary

  • @85bezzer
    @85bezzer 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    if you think Doug plays a majority of his made hands this way then after the turn action, the range below has a surprisingly high 58% equity against KsJs. However given Jacobson only needs a bit greater than 30% equity to make the call and Doug is unlikely to play a majority of made hands this way the fold starts to look terrible from an EV standpoint.
    55-22,AdTd,AdJd,AdQd,Ad9d,Ad8d,Ad6d,K3s,Qd6d,Qd5d,Jd6d,Jd5d,Td6d,Td5d,A5o,43s,23s

  • @avisco01
    @avisco01 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Damn, not the best turn bet from him, and a worse fold there. Good move to put him in a really tough situation. He really didn’t have an optimal play given the situation, but imo he should call.