Putin risks 'move against him' as Russian economy fears long war in Ukraine | Timothy Ash
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 มิ.ย. 2024
- Russia's war economy is not yet geared towards a long war and Putin's position will become less stable, Timothy Ash tells Kate Gerbeau on Frontline for #timesradio
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Negotiate? They were invaded and brutalized!
The west(nato) promised and made a deal decades ago they would not move any further east than the German border and would not put missiles any further. For decades the west pushed closer and closer to Russia with their nukes. The west pushed Putin into a corner and he had to bite back sooner or later. Putin has offers peace 3 times with the only thing being he held on to the parts of Ukraine he already held. The west forced Ukraine to turn it down. This war was started by America as per usual
Ukraine never wanted this war. If Russia wants peace it only has to stop the war and leave Ukraine
That would mean losing the war.
@@Withnail1969 Putin says it isn't a war, so how could he lose it!
@@everTriumph Russia says it is now.
That won’t happen, Putin can play the long game. When that orange idiot takes power Ukraine will lose simple as that
.... meanwhile, back on planet Earth ....
The 'Negotiation' word keeps popping up, which invariably suggests that Ukraine cede Crimea, and likely, several more oblasts.
How about "You get out of our country, and we won't go into yours." oh, and "Return those who taken from Ukraine, specially the children"
After that, one can negotiate Putin's replacement, and reparations to Ukraine.
Yeah you are so right..Russia must leave Ukraine,period..they totaly unprovoked attacked,invaded Ukraine with goal to eliminate Ukraine as a country,its people,culture,language etc..Ukraine dont have a choice but to fight for their survival..if Russia gets to keep 15-20% of Ukraine would be like surrender,would be devastating for Ukraine
With the world laughing at Rushin' army, what can one expect lol
Tragic for those children.
Why negotiate when ruzzia signed the 1991 Budapest agreement so borders must be returned to the scope of that agreement 💙🇺🇦💛
@@sharon_shaw In principle I agree.
Yet allL wars end with negotiation. Otherwise, they linger, with no more than an 'armistice' (an agreement to a temporary ceasefire), as with North Korea.
Thank you Kate Gerbeau you always hawe great show
She always show Russian military as a joke. Which it is. I am russian woman, I know
This man is spewing USA propaganda. Russia 's GDP increased 3% in 2023 and projected to increase to 5% in 2024 by IMF. This man talks like Russia economy is about to collapse. Russia is the fourth largest economy in the world.
Слава Україні! 💙💛
What are you saying.. what are you doing for that ?
Putin requesting for sewage fire at this, all he should do is to get out of Ukraine.
And get toilets for normal Rushin's😔
@@dpelpalyou seem obsessed with toilets.
@@stu281 I am Russian, that is why I want a toilet😔
@@dpelpal you’re as Russian as Swiss cheese.
@@stu281 I live Samara. This is why I laugh so hard at Russian army😂😂😂
I hope Ukraine never gives in to Russia. Ever. Russia needs to grow up and join the rest of the world in the modern era in cooperation rather than trying to be the self conscious bully that thinks the world is against.
Nice idealism but you cannot request that from one country only.. how Russia can do it if we ourselves dont think and act like that ?
There's a big difference between negotiation demands and surrender. Slava Ukraine ✊🇺🇦🇮🇪
ukraine can’t win. search colonel macgregor and john mearsheimer if you’re interested in a common sense view 🤔
Ukraine is losing this war. Ukraine is running out of men. As it is the average age in the military is 43 years old. If Ukraine doesn't negotiate, Ukraine will not exist soon.
Timothy ASH is astonishing, concise, brilliant 👏!
concise he is not
Yes, magnificent, intelligent conversation. My thanks to both of you!
Get rid of Putin, Russia!
We are try. We need toilet as well. Many toilet☹
Pray for the Russian people who are suffering and imprisoned for unjustly put in jail.
@@suzannahjames5264 indeed 🥺 it's terrifying how cruel Russians can be to good people.
@@sumiland6445 Especially when they're losing to U kraine
@@dpelpal i believe there are good russians, but sometimes it hard to tell 🥺
If Boarders are not restored it is not a Negotiation
Well, either negotiate or total surrender. You should read more, not watch CNN. USA news media are spewing lies.
Interesting discussion, time well spent.
Superb commentary Mr. Timothy Ash! Spot on! I Agree 1000% with Mr. Ash on most of what he pounted out here.Thank you Times Radio!
THE BEST video I have seen on Times radio, this guy being interviewed is spot on!!!!!! And this lady asked excellent questions!!!!
We need,must stand together with Ukraine,period!.its NOT Ukraine that have to surrender its land to the agressor who totaly unprovoked attacked,invaded them..thats ABSURD!
I am Russian I support Ukraine. From Samara
@@dpelpal👋👍💙🇺🇦💛
don’t fight a war you can’t win ! putin joined the KGB when he was 16 ! zelensky is a comedian with zero military experience.
ukraine has lost. period.
@@davereynolds3403 Zelenski was a comedian for sure. He turned Russia into one enormous joke lol
You should read more. Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe.
Ukraine cannot have another gap in support,the support has already been slow and inconsistent,they cannot survive indefinitely without all the necessary support.
16 months ago... those f16s are on the way! Still not here? The entire west has 300 thousand artillary shells and Russia makes 4.5 million shells a year! Kiev streets are empty because no one wants to fight for Ukraine... haha who is a joke?
@@KIZMET3001 putin,on day 853 of his 3days SMO to capture Kyiv while going begging to N.Korea one of the poorest countries on the planet ranked 173rd GDP per capita!
This alone is good enough reason to keep giving Ukraine lots of support.
What an informative interview - one of the best!
Great guest.
Team him up with Sir Bill Browder and they'll sort it out between them without the interference of impotent politicians.
Russia will tell us that everything is *PERFECT* in Russia, just like the USSR used to do. Ha ha ha 😂 🤣 😆 😄 😀
Russia 1989: _Russa Strong! All ok!_
Russia 1990: _Please send any canned goods and old clothes to Rusha'. We are starving._ 😪
Different ideology today oink ha ha ha.
@@dpelpal 30 years ago you need to read more.
@@stu281 That's why the world is laughing at the Rushin' army lol
@@dpelpalyou have bad programming get your supervisor to sort you out.
Just one point as the speaker mentioned Belarus and how it is helping Russia having contact with several people who live in Belarus I can tell you that the Belarusian people felt the last election was a sham and nobody likes or wants Lukashenko as thier leader and they do not agree with helping Russia against the Ukraine.
Its part of Russia
@@JesterEric not according to the people who live there 🙄
Well according to Russians the whole world is “ part of Russia “ :-)
Trump said Bidet stole the election.😅
The sooner, the better. Ordinary Russians need to wake up.
Wake up to what exactly???
I am Russian woman. Live Samara. Many are starting to wake up. TH-camr Maxim Katz helps with this.
@@stu281 The fact that you're losing the war and live in a country with no toilets lol
@@stu281 To be exact, they need to wake up to the fact that they have allowed the fabulous material wealth of their nation to be stolen out beneath their noses by a washed-up dictator.
@@stu281 To be exact, they need to wake up to the fact that they have allowed the fabulous material wealth of their nation to be stolen out beneath their noses by a washed-up dictator.
Thanks for keeping me uptodate on the war.
Putin… The world already knows..!!!!
Leave Ukraine….
not going to happen. wanna rethink 🤔
Great guest, good show.
We ae in Day 855. Two reasons -- the major reasons that Putin's 3-Day Special Military Operation failed, is that excpected the Ukrainians to roll over, and he had not Plan B. The Russians were completely unprepared to fight longer than 3 days or so. Those 200 paratroopers were tasked with taking the Goestmel Airport, and no consideration was given to the Ukrainian Artillery Division that was stationed there. Perhpas 12 of the 20 helicopters were blown out of the sky. Those 700 tanks on the Sikiva highway only had fuel for 3 days, food for 3 days. They were routed.
And now they don’t even have enough tanks and have to resort to glorified golf carts made in China. You love to see it…
Today at things that didnt happen.
Putin: _Kyiv in THREE DAYS!_
In June 2014 after the Invasion of Crimea the Russian Ruble was 33 Rubles to 1 US Dollar ... Today the Russian Ruble is 91 Rubles to 1 US Dollar Looks like Something Collapsed but it was Not the US Dollar 😀😀 The Russian RUBLE has Collapsed Against All Major Currencies ... Some Russian Banks are offering exchange Rates of 200 Rubles to 1 US Dollar " Everything According to Plan
Everybody says you need to save your money in rubles. So that's what I did. I hid my money inside a big pile of rubles. There's no way anyone's going to look for it there.🤣
It doesnt really effect them anymore, because they dont trade in dollar.
Ive seen this parrotted by the mentally ret..ded many times. Hope it keeps you warm at night after the defeat
@@bryandimery6509 Like the defeat Rushin's suffered to Ukraine in Vovchansk? And Ukraine didn't even have any weapons lol.
@dpelpal ret...ded defines that response. Last i checked the russians now control the microdistrict and ukraine is down to 7 bldgs. Maybe its ANOTHER win like: Mariupol, bakhmut, avdeevka, etc etc. Can you name one actual battle the ukrainians won? No, because they have NEVER won a battle. Youd know if you were intelligent
Brilliant interview
When putting talking about peace it means that he won't do a little take break before starting new offensive
Germany dragging its feet AGAIN!
Putin badly underestimated Ukraine.
Well he underestimated support from nato
The ruble didn't fall. It just lay down for a rest.🤭
Hard to fall when it was already in the dirt.
@@tomw.6757 Kinda like the Rushin' army🤣
Special nap operation
@@supersardonic1179 Again, kinda like the Rushin' army lol.
That is the way to inflation...duh!
Mostly I think T.G. Ash is right on the money. If anything he is being polite in his analysis of western (London Frankfurt, to an extent, New York) role in disguising Russian financial strategies.
The free world has been far to slow ,everything needed by Ukraine should of been supplied years ago patriot systems,jets,tanks,drones what is the advantage of these being held collecting dust in some warehouse ? The UN voted, everything should of happened then when 143 nations voted for Russia to withdraw.
The problem with starting a war is that you have to actually fight the war and win or lose the war. Putin seems to have forgotten this basic fact. There is no cheat code. Russia can leave Ukraine AT ANY TIME and end the war. Those are the terms, they've always been the terms, those will be the terms unless Russia figures out how to win the war. At this point it looks nearly impossible for Russia to do that.
Russia is the only independent great power in Europe
All the other European great power has
disappear
Does it tell you something
He intends to win the war.
@@WingkKong "great power' lol
@@xpkareem the world affair are decided by great
Power
Small country really have no say
been saying this for 2 years.....
That was very good, thank you.
❤Ukrainian ❤
Money is all that protects Putin not loyalty.
For the people who are still not sure if support Ukraine or Russia i suggest you this test:" imagine living a world where North Korea, Russia, Iran and China are the only option.
Now imagine a world where these countries didn't exist. Which world would you like to live in.
Western war criminal cry
Multipolar world will be established
@@XOXO-if8yo and everybody will fight to go to live in the better half, like is happening now.
@@XOXO-if8yoRussia wants a multipolar world just like we have now, except where Russia is the dominant country, not US or.China, or the EU. Russia, ie Putin, want's to be the dominant power without being the best at anything, financially, socially, or culturally !
@@ericwillis777Moscow is clean, cheap, abundant of food and their subway is like a museum and has no homeless people. St Petersburg is beautiful.
North Korea taks of sending "engineers" to occupied Ukrainian land. How do the appeasers and slow walking fear of escalationists like dem apples?. Smarter people have sounded warnings about the broader geopolitical consequences which largely go ignored or are brused aside as fear mongering or exaggeration. In this case under reacting is the danger not the opposite. To prepare for the worst possible scenario given recent and historical events is rational.
Great speaker thank you
Negocietions only by leaving Ukraine in full
They won't do that, clearly.
Soon, Ukraine will be known as former Ukraine.
Loosing Ukraine war may also weaken the position of western principle of rule of law, human right and free trade.
Western rule of law is seen as hypocritical at best. Israel, Iraq, Libya, Serbia, Syria et al.
Well we don't have free trade. We are putting up lots of tariff barriers and we banned Huawei equipment from our phone networks on dubious 'security' grounds. As for the rule of law and human rights I'm sure a well known recently freed prisoner will have lots to say about those, none of if favourable.
May ! May !!! - what planet are you living on ?
@Withnail1969 Mandella said USA is the worst country on human rights.
IT'S KATE CHABOT! IT'S KATE CHABOT!!😮
Sorry for being pedantic, but it was thirty pieces of silver not forty.
Gets a 10 from Len just for pronouncing putin as pootin
Timothy is back to exchange his mealy mouthed words for Rupert's thirty pieces of silver.
He is a freaking liar.
Ruskies dont have the cash to fight for more than 6 months,. Their reserves are running out. This man didn't read the latest ruskie financial report. The reserves are running out. Sanctions are working. The ruskie attempts to evade the sanctions have meant increased costs. Their allies are selling for a big profit to russia.
Forget it. He cannot be trusted. Eventually he will find a window and the next person won't continue this insanity.
I like Tim Ash! However, after listening to this interview for 20 minutes he is as yet to say something new or significant!!! Come on Tim. I can sense the frustration of Kate with him!!!
The continue of sactions against russia should be link to how long russia continue the war in Ukraine. So if this war continue for five years, then the sanctions stay another five years. There must be a cost on russia for this horrible war and it would force other countries to think about the cost before thye invade other countries
The war lasts five years, the sanctions last for ten years, double the length of the sanctions. That would give anyone a scare before starting an armed conflict
Always awesome to see Kate give interviews.
Reparations-how does that become a reality.? Is that even a legit a ent argument?
Tell that to the USA people as well.
There is no evidence China is reducing its trade with Russia. In fact, their trade numbers have gone up. What is this guy talking about
Russia has more in common with Asian countries than Europe. Hence they should become more integrated with Asia and forget Europe. Work with China on their belt and road initiative.
Russia lost on day one.
Nope the west lost on day one.
@@stu281 okay. But the actual evidence is on my side.
Has Kyiv been captured? Does Russia even control Donbas after two years?
No and no. 500k dead Russians for 25 km of rubble that you have no hope of occupying.
@@stu281 Especially since the entire planet laughs at Russia lol
@@stu281 The West lost how? Mighty Russia has been exposed as a fraud, can't even beat little Ukraine in 2 years 🤣
@@stu281Russian Teddy Bear 😂
Make them pay. This would set a precedent that will make many people on both sides of of the international money osmosis curtain nervous. It would also be another future consideration factor for any political decision that goes against the rules based order. This applies to everybody and would be significant. Even the USA would have to be subject to this. It could be the biggest peace keeping action of all time. Responsibility for actions..... Don't think it is an easy sell.
"Nations invoking fear of sanctions or prioritizing trade at any cost will inevitably face repercussions sooner rather than later, in terms of psychological impact in fact it's already having an effect on them and they don't realise it despite their misguided convictions. The perceived threat of economic disruption and the specter of nuclear conflict present a straightforward solution: rather than resorting to nuclear arms in attempts to isolate and disempower nations like Russia through ideological manipulation and economic climate sabotage, a more prudent approach would be to deliberately precipitate an economic crash. Let the disruption serve as a stark lesson to those attempting to contain and destabilize other nation's economy. This alternative, despite its disruptive nature, stands far preferable to the catastrophic consequences of nuclear warfare or not
Russia goes back to it's own country and stays there. Isolated and in endless decline like Cuba.😊
USA should get the h@ll out of Iraq and Syria. USA is stealing their oil like a thief. USA is illegally occupied these countries. Yankees should go home.
Russia has a smaller economy than Italy. Not exactly huge.
Who is Timothy Ash and why isn't he in the running to be PM! Why do we have the have a choice of Keir Starmer or Keir Starmer?
Just Googled Timothy Ash. Switched on dude! Timothy for PM!
great interview... And guest... Thanks. !!
Is the guy from Reform UK?. Talks like some of the ignorant GOPS. The frozen assets are not the only source of funding. Taxpayers funding Ukraine to weaken Russia or increasing defence investments is the same. EU secures the funding of Ukraine while UK has the cost of living crisis and the Brexit effects to struggle with…
Something tells me you claim benefits with cavalier talk of new taxes.
@@bryandimery6509 The voice telling you stuff is wrong. I just know that working public services means taxation. I live in Denmark by the way.
@bjrnhjjakobsen2174 then, you know, the majority of military spend in Nato and ukraine is done by us, the americans. Who have poor healthcare, schools, massive homeless and drug problems yet we squander our resources in wars bc thats where politicians find it easiest to steal. If you feel taxations thebest way, be democratic, offer those of us who dont want to pay our money back.
@@bryandimery6509 it's worth having a look at the Ukraine Support Tracker which has accurate and high quality information about which countries are supporting Ukraine. During various periods of time Europe has spent more on supporting Ukraine than the US has.
It's a complex picture with some European countries spending vastly more than others. Norway for example which has a lot of financial resources, has spent vastly more as a percentage of GDP than for example the UK which is having a tough time economically.
Let me take this chance to thank the American people for supporting Ukraine and in doing so helping to protect the rest of Europe. It's not said often enough that we in Europe appreciate this help.
A lot of rambling here. Just more whatever!
So that art piece, is it just cheerios???
We've heard this narrative for two years! BORING!!
And yet here you are listening and helping the algorithm 😂
@@ib7844
It's educational to see what others are listening to and believing.
@@ib7844 we just come here to have a laugh
So now ghosts ships now called shadow fleet .
❤
It all depends from what context you approach this question.. realism requires to take into consideration the thought of both sides.. so remarks like ... russia started so they should leave are fully unusable.. taken that into account than the 2nd question is what you want get from peace... my answer would be minimum losses of life.. but of course other approaches might be.. based on my context ukraine should have avoided this war by diplomatic means in the beginning.. that is keeping neutrality at this point in time.. no war would have been..but that is history now.. if we want to learn from history it means go back to neutrality now asap
just a no one here
BUT with my math
300 billion @ 5% interest = 15 billion a year
I guess KATE does not pay her own bills as with the other media people
also never mentioned is when Russia hand over that 300 billion it might have expected a sub1% return so +/- 4% is free to take
BUT the EU banks do not want to loose 300 billion of FREE MONEY on paper to loan out @ 8%
Putin needs to go Russia..
Putin has farage support and with that a whole load of nasties in reform/bnp/nf.
Get the money. No, it's not going to 'undermine the confidence in the Western financial system'... because there is no other financial system. And your money is safe as long as you respect international law. So... No law, no money.
Well now it seems Trump will be president after yesterday. It’s going to be very difficult for Ukraine.
Putin fears Trump and his unpredictability. Biden is predictably weak
@@JesterEric Trump care about business and losing a whole nation as customers over some country that relies on others is not good business, USA and Russia doesn't need to be enemies, they can share Ukraine and everybody be happy.
Hes a small version of Brian denehey
Can we have audio please next time 😂 quality control maybe 😆
I finished this comment at another TH-cam Channel when I immediately came across this title and discussion: "Russia hasn't been good on the offense since Stalin pushed the Nazi's out of russia and all the way to Berlin. Since World War II, russia has mostly been really good at defense. They lost in Afghanistan. But russia has been really good at "cold war" and being on the defense. We know how good the russians at defense from when Ukraine attempted their counter offense last summer. There is a history of russia's giving up, i.e. Afghanistan and the collapse of the Eastern Block. What Ukraine wants is to speed up the russian collapse on the eastern front. It took so long for the Eastern Block to collapse along with the Berlin Wall, but the West was not in a hot war then as Ukraine is in a hot war currently. It should be expected that with (1) the sanctions, (2) the Ukrainian heavy attacks on oil refineries, (3) the tremendous loses of russian lives and in military equipment, (4) the Black Sea Fleet's limited area of maneuvers, (5) the poor leadership of russian generals, (6) the failures of putin, (7) the free world against him, (8) the necessity to rely upon North Korea for help, ((9) the moral decay of the leadership of russia and their short term denial of war crimes, the kidnapping of children, and the eventual realization of payments of reparations, which they are now learning about since interests from their assets are going to be going to Ukraine, the problems inside russia that are not being address, should make putin an outcast in russia, and as such, by his inner circle. Expect a real bloodletting among his senior staff before his demise comes about."
What is this confused babble? Of course Europe will fund Ukraine if USA goes fascistic. There are other rich democratic nations also to resume funding. Europe has no options. If Ukraine would really start losing Europe would deploy troops and WW3 would follow.
The European can go to Ukraine now nobody is stopping them
putin silly boy
It is high class joke putin think nk survive rassia from Ukraine.
No audio?
I haven't got any audio either 😮
Turn volume up on phone mate.. Side of phone
I have audio
@@kevinmolloy9134 had full blast ...not a pip. Waited a few minutes, now there's audio 😊
@@elainekarlsson8384 all in good fun 😂 👍
25:10 30 pieces of silver! Get back to bible study!
They've been talking about putins down fall for years already
I hope that at some point the tradeoff is immediate restoration of the pre-2014 borders *and* immediate (or at least fast) accession of Ukraine to the EU and NATO *and* serious reparations in exchange for dropping sanctions against Russia. And if we drag this long enough, to the point that the Black Sea fleet is completely obliterated, Kaliningrad is on the verge of collapse, and other Republics inside of the Russian Federation start revolting, maybe Putin or whoever replaces him will cave in just to keep the status quo as close to what it was as possible.
Why not ask for a pony as well? Since your wish list is that of a child. In what world would the winner, Russia, cede everything over?
Get in line putin is writing a cheque
@@bryandimery6509 lol bro these guy's r delusional af
Another repeat. Please label repeats as abridged or brief so that we don't have to watch a few minutes before realising we've already seen it. The guests are excellent but the repeats let's the side down
All Putin has are nukes. Good luck Putin!
Never underestimate the power of denial
I'm Russian. Live Samara. So many of people in Russia do not realize we are losing this war. I can show many example.
The west over exaggerates it's importance globally 😂😂
Propaganda
Coping and hoping is not a strategy.
I think that's all Russia has at this point. Ukraine has basically defeated them
Delusional clown @@dpelpal
Tell that to Владимир Соловьёв + Oльга Сукабеева and stop their meaningless dribble
They don’t even have a government 🤣🤣🤣
We are coming up on the 4th UK PM since the war started. Johnson, that woman and little Indian guy. All trying to get rid of Putin. July 4th, a new one
I think they (Russia) don´t really care economy anymore, this battle is religious one.
All true and quite obvious but this dude is just carrying on
Stick to capital market events instead of military geopolitics
Yapping yapping geez
Tim Ash, Chatham House, Atlantic Council, Kyiv Post, FT...you having a laugh?
Im not saying it's easy
Facts zuid Arabia have already stopt selling oil in dollars 🤣🤣🤣