China wants to dominate global commercial aerospace markets by 2035. They are ahead of schedule.

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 มิ.ย. 2024
  • China is determined to become a global transportation superpower, with domination of high-value-added transportation technologies in rail, shipping, and commercial aerospace.
    Industry analysts concede that China's strategy to take over high-speed rail was executed to an almost perfect degree. However, they conclude that in commercial aviation, challenges are too great for China to overcome in a short time, and China will certainly not be positioned to take market share from Boeing or Airbus before the early-2030's.
    But these market shifts are already happening, China's COMAG is already securing orders from Asian-based airlines. COMAG's C919 is designed to compete directly with the Airbus 320 and Boeing's 737, and will be delivered to buyers outside China beginning in late 2024, years before industry insiders anticipated.
    Resources and links:
    China's rise as a transportation superpower challenges the EU
    merics.org/en/report/sky-limi...
    China plans C919 test flights and an Southeast Asia enroute to possible sales
    www.scmp.com/economy/global-e...
    Reuters, Brunei's Gallop Air places 2 billion dollar order for China-made C919 jets
    www.reuters.com/business/aero...
    China's COMAC C919 gets first foreign customer
    mentourpilot.com/chinas-comac...
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ความคิดเห็น • 471

  • @jamesho8820
    @jamesho8820 หลายเดือนก่อน +200

    The US continues to underestimate China's long term planning, ingenuity and resolve especially in the face of racism, American exceptionalism and duplicitous anti-competetive policies. Jiayou China!

    • @ZhenYae
      @ZhenYae หลายเดือนก่อน +21

      Yes. You do get the sense that Anglo-Saxon racism that is propelling the Chinese forward. 😊

    • @junizhao
      @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน

      This is exactly China’s advantage! China is the land of Sun Tzu’s art of war.

    • @Zerpentsa6598
      @Zerpentsa6598 หลายเดือนก่อน +26

      Precisely. The US dominated space for decades, and then passed a law to exclude Chinese from the ISS. THAT is domination. China then built its own space lab and have invited other nations to participate. Is that domination?

    • @jamesho8820
      @jamesho8820 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

      @@Zerpentsa6598 I am Chinese American. I know their mentality. I say bring on the challenges! The Chinese will be driven to overcome and surpass.

    • @j.c.4192
      @j.c.4192 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      ​@@Zerpentsa6598the US won't have an ISS soon. So... Why is the past relevant?

  • @bzhu3233
    @bzhu3233 หลายเดือนก่อน +174

    Dominance is not a Chinese term. China’s aim is never to dominate but to breakthrough any possible technology embargo from the West.

    • @verypleasantguy
      @verypleasantguy หลายเดือนก่อน

      The word *_"Dominance"_* came from the Latin word _domini_ , hence, it's a purely 100% Western concept.
      China never wish to dominate over anybody else. Unfortunately, Westerners like Kevin always project their own Western Views on China, describing China with their own Western Terminology ... in short, it's the *WESTERN NARRATIVE* that is *DOMINATING* the whole thing !

    • @HafiZzZzZz
      @HafiZzZzZz หลายเดือนก่อน +16

      👍👍👍

    • @junizhao
      @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน

      China’s ultimate goal is to make the world great again!

    • @4-SeasonNature
      @4-SeasonNature หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      Exactly. 💯

    • @junizhao
      @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน +18

      China does not seek dominance, it’s an Anglo Saxon concept. China seeks to make a better world in which every country prospers!

  • @hz240
    @hz240 หลายเดือนก่อน +55

    Another assertion that all roads, shipping canals, rail lines and flights lead to ch1na. Proud of ch1na’s success and perseverance to overcome the absurd sanctions imposed by the west.

  • @ching-yi2007
    @ching-yi2007 หลายเดือนก่อน +41

    The engineer that built Boeing's very first plane was Wong Tsu, a Chinese man. Tom Crouch, curator emeritus at the Smithsonian’s National Air and Space Museum said, "Wong Tsu put the company on the map."

    • @stevenliew2507
      @stevenliew2507 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      That is a true fact that only I know now.
      Thanks for the information.👍🤔

    • @ching-yi2007
      @ching-yi2007 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      ​@@stevenliew2507 After he designed the plane, he was not allowed to see the final product because of racism. As a result, he returned to China to help the country build planes. A few were built but China was really poor so a lot of his other ideas were shelved.

    • @WellSalt-Studio
      @WellSalt-Studio หลายเดือนก่อน

      王助( Wang Zhu 1893-1965 )
      The aircraft he designed allowed Boeing to obtain an order from the US military for the first time.
      "If you have a problem about aircraft that cannot be solved, then looking for Chinese Wang Tsu ( Wang Zhu ) is definitely the right choice!".
      After returning to China, in 1919, Wang Zhu and Bayama Zao successfully built a water training aircraft. 3 years later, they successfully built the world's first floating dock that can repair and park aircraft on the water. After that, under the leadership of Wang Zhu, China successively developed torpedo bombers, patrol aircraft and other aircraft models. In 1934, Wang Zhu successfully developed China's first medium bomber. Also during this period, China already had a complete set of design plans and product design drawings for manufacturing large aircraft.
      Wang Zhu was Qian Xuesen’s teacher and recommended tutors for Qian Xuesen to study in the United States. As a top expert in the field of rocketry, Qian Xuesen insisted on returning to China after being under house arrest in the United States for five years. He also had the power of Wang Zhu as a role model.

  • @user-on3ie9uv3x
    @user-on3ie9uv3x หลายเดือนก่อน +121

    "China wants to dominate global commercial aerospace markets by 2035. They are ahead of schedule."
    Corrected: China does not want Boeing and Airbus to continue to dominate global commercial aerospace markets by 2035. They are ahead of schedule.

    • @antwango
      @antwango หลายเดือนก่อน +21

      i.e China wants to compete and provide friendly competition that the West preach about.... my guess is the West wont be too happy about China's friendly competitiveness!
      China's competitiveness is just too much ''overcapacity''
      the West talk friendly competitiveness but cant and refuse to compete! throw toys out of pram

    • @thomaskim3128
      @thomaskim3128 หลายเดือนก่อน +36

      Correction: China does not need to dominate aviation. It just wants to be self reliant so not to fall victim to sanctions, export controls and embargo.

    • @HTeo-og1lg
      @HTeo-og1lg หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      @@antwango . Yes, we in the West cannot accept a world in which we are not the hegemon. We only give rhetoric that competition is good or acceptable. What are u going to do about it? 🤣🤣🤣🤣

    • @weizhang2834
      @weizhang2834 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      From news in China, I have never saw China wanted to domanate , they just use more their own plane in domestic flights

    • @davidlim5
      @davidlim5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      China's own planes for their domestic routes only.

  • @MarcoPolo-hn8or
    @MarcoPolo-hn8or หลายเดือนก่อน +55

    China can absolutely deliver 🇨🇳

  • @denislim123
    @denislim123 หลายเดือนก่อน +63

    Let us not forget that due to the US opposition to Chinese participation in the International Space Station, China single handedly launched its own Tiangong space station in response. China's own BeiDou Navigation Satellite System is more modern and superior to GPS. Time for China to get its fair share of the aviation pie long dominated by the US and Europeans.

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      China was happy to use America's GPS, until America weaponized GPS to strand a Chinese ship for no reason, no compensation, no apology. This revealed China's need for an independent GPS constellation, resulting in Beidou, with higher accuracy and global support across the Global South.

    • @PhiloSurfer
      @PhiloSurfer หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@ZweiZwolf The Yinhe Incident.

    • @kasikwagoma6740
      @kasikwagoma6740 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@ZweiZwolfthey weaponize everything, what a terrible set of people, so cruel, horrible and manipulative.

  • @ZYX58645
    @ZYX58645 หลายเดือนก่อน +78

    Boeing can take half the credit for accelerating that.

    • @MetaView7
      @MetaView7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      天時地利人和

    • @4-SeasonNature
      @4-SeasonNature หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Precisely. They call it: God helps those who help themselves.

    • @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863
      @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Boeing flying coffins, no thanks.

    • @fredrik3685
      @fredrik3685 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Ha ha. I was about to write a comment about Boeing but your comment is 💯

  • @ching-yi2007
    @ching-yi2007 หลายเดือนก่อน +32

    Kevin, I work with CEOs and sit in lectures of PhDs. Your insights and way of analyzing problems are just brilliant, way above many of these talking heads. I am a fan of your channel.

    • @trekpac2
      @trekpac2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Kevin has remarkable ability to analyze. He has become a go-to site for me.

  • @antwango
    @antwango หลายเดือนก่อน +102

    Dont think the Chinese have ever been late! theyre too organised!! they have plans, schedules! and they say what they do and do what they say!!

    • @davidz7858
      @davidz7858 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      And China always leave the room when it announces anything, so most times China beats schedule, rarely delay.

    • @strongchallenger2269
      @strongchallenger2269 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      And......
      If you want something said, ask India.
      If you want something done, ask China.
      - Maitreya Bhakal (Indian Author)

    • @yliang1688
      @yliang1688 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Chinese Leaders are busy to improve , While American leaders are busy in elections. ❤❤❤

    • @hengongchua6250
      @hengongchua6250 หลายเดือนก่อน

      China's biggest neighbor when they have a planned for tomorrow. They will beat the drums and blow trumpets very loudly to make sure the whole world can hear them. But the tomorrow plan never arrived or took a loooong time to arrive.

  • @prwchan
    @prwchan หลายเดือนก่อน +74

    China built their own space station. I'm pretty sure they can build passenger planes.

    • @Zerpentsa6598
      @Zerpentsa6598 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      They can, and have. But the US could try prevent them from flying to western destinations. It's like China makes very good telecoms equipment, but the US has banned them from the US and ordered its minions to do the same.

    • @hanmi1216
      @hanmi1216 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      ​@@Zerpentsa6598no worries. I won't set foot on their land either, as long as that land is not given back to the rightful owner.

    • @davidz7858
      @davidz7858 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      @@Zerpentsa6598that is different, China could respond to stop Boeing fly to China too

    • @davidz7858
      @davidz7858 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      @@hanmi1216you mean give the land back to native Americans?

    • @inkbold8511
      @inkbold8511 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @hanmi1216 So are you gonna go back to Europe? Cause all of Americas belonged to native Americans. Or are you going to be a hypocrite?

  • @walid7885
    @walid7885 หลายเดือนก่อน +86

    I am really addicted to this channel.

    • @tonyatgoogle6076
      @tonyatgoogle6076 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      😅😅😅😅 Me too

    • @hassantristed
      @hassantristed หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Same same😂

    • @MetaView7
      @MetaView7 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      I am glad he sometimes poses more than 1 video a day. It is good to have a mid-day fix.

    • @trekpac2
      @trekpac2 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      I find Kevin's posts to be extremely informative as well. I just love them!

    • @Longcloud
      @Longcloud หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      Agreed 👍

  • @trekpac2
    @trekpac2 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Kevin, your research is most insightful and useful to me for understanding where China is going. When I open up TH-cam, you are on the top of my must view list.
    As an Asian specialist myself, I treasure your information and your approach.

  • @knfk
    @knfk หลายเดือนก่อน +52

    I don't see how building commercial airplanes is going to be more difficult than building fighters or a space station. You be good too.

    • @j.c.4192
      @j.c.4192 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      All it is, is the engine's fuel efficiency to make profitable operations for airlines. That is the key.

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The challenge with commercial aircraft is operating efficiency cost vs distance, and uptime flight hours vs maintenance. They need to be profitable to operate vs operate extremely well.

    • @syncmaster915n
      @syncmaster915n หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It's not difficult to build the things you mentioned. But to build a commercially viable hi tech product is another story. China can build supersonic engines and ramjets, etc., but in building a fuel saving, durable (Chinese engines don't last as long as the western ones) and less maintenance turbofan, China has not mastered the art yet. Same goes for avionics. Another example, China can produce 5nm semi-conductors, but the yield is not as good as say the TSMC. Please note i'm on China's side; i'm only stating the fact.

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@syncmaster915n Given that the Chinese CJ1000 isn't yet in commercial operation, we don't know the efficiency, longevity or uptime rates. You're just speculating without any hard data.
      Same with the oft-repeated Western cope of presuming "poor yield" of SMIC's 5nm chips, when we can see that Huawei has sold 10s of millions of phones with those chips. SMIC is not mass producing at that scale with an experimental, low yield process. In fact, analysis shows feature consistency as would be expected from a mature high yield process. Unless you have SMIC data showing poor yield, then we dismiss your baseless speculation.

    • @kasikwagoma6740
      @kasikwagoma6740 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@syncmaster915nthey will get there, I trust their capacity and determination.

  • @yayunliu5280
    @yayunliu5280 หลายเดือนก่อน +29

    I am more excited to have a luxurious flight experience on an affordable price with China airplanes breaking current duopoly. Great for the consumers all over the world.

  • @junizhao
    @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    China does not seek dominance, it’s an Anglo Saxon concept. China seeks to make a better world in which every country prospers!

    • @kimchiba4570
      @kimchiba4570 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      China better do and stops being so passive.. The best defense is offense

    • @junizhao
      @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@kimchiba4570 ​This is a typical Western mentality that led to many destructive world wars and human catastrophes. Remember what Bruce Lee said about being water?

    • @user-je3kx6fw7e
      @user-je3kx6fw7e หลายเดือนก่อน

      China doesn't seek to dominate the South China seas? No. China wants the to dominate her neighbors. Ask any of them. They hate China bulling.

    • @justme6275
      @justme6275 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Chines DNA - business/make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    • @stevenliew2507
      @stevenliew2507 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@kimchiba4570 Read the Art of War and you will understand why China is not and will not take the aggressive offense position.
      You must be one of those paid bots of Western MIC stroking up war for more profit & control by your Master 🤪🤪😄😄

  • @frankacheampong608
    @frankacheampong608 หลายเดือนก่อน +28

    There was a time no one ever believed Tesla would have a rival of any note, especially not one from China. I suspect BYD and a whole bunch of others have got Tesla looking in the rear view mirror a whole lot sooner than they thought they would. If there's anything I have learned about the Chinese it is that their determination to succeed and their long term vision is unparalleled by any other nation on earth at this point in human history. We will all probably be flying Chinese aircraft within a shorter period than most would like to think possible.

    • @UlyaGaniya
      @UlyaGaniya หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Indonesian already did with their Transnusa airline, Comac jets

    • @7hx89
      @7hx89 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Flying cars are being developed and deployed in China. $EH. So, think bigger!

  • @kongshiahhwang6170
    @kongshiahhwang6170 หลายเดือนก่อน +34

    its time for the developed countries to ask china how to have win win before their economy irreversible damaged.

    • @UlyaGaniya
      @UlyaGaniya หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      With their currenct ego ans mindset? Very unlikely

  • @MetaView7
    @MetaView7 หลายเดือนก่อน +71

    China is not a Country; China is a Corporation. A smart corporation. A Well-run corporation, with very happy workers.

    • @Zerpentsa6598
      @Zerpentsa6598 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      It's both.

    • @eman67rp
      @eman67rp หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      No the US is

    • @georgewilder7423
      @georgewilder7423 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@eman67rp
      You're right, the US is....a total failure!!😮😮

    • @questworldmatrix
      @questworldmatrix หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Let's not get delusional. A lot for optimism in the last 40 years, yes, but China and its people aren't automatons.

  • @DanBurgaud
    @DanBurgaud หลายเดือนก่อน +26

    1980s: "China cannot compete in the textile industry." - - - WEST
    1990s: "China cannot compete in the steel industry." - - - WEST
    2000s: "China cannot compete in the electronics, mobile phone industry." - - - WEST
    2010s: "China cannot compete in the EV, Solar, ESS industry." - - - WEST
    2020s: "China cannot compete in the Aerospace industry." - - - WEST

    • @Ludak021
      @Ludak021 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      You can add AI to the list, it will be next, shortly. They already have several models working.

    • @bemmychan1518
      @bemmychan1518 หลายเดือนก่อน

      😂😂😂😂😂

    • @tancsun
      @tancsun หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Chinese education system does not produce critical thinking skills😅

    • @EliHaNavi
      @EliHaNavi 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      “Critical thinking” - the Anglo Saxon concept that produced DEI, gender-bending holiness and other nonsense and madness.

    • @jessicayoung1190
      @jessicayoung1190 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@tancsun But somehow China dominate those industries without critical thinking skill . West with all those critical thinking skill are falling behind China .😂

  • @donholmes4235
    @donholmes4235 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    Thinking of visiting China thanks to your work. Thank you.

    • @dnart4850
      @dnart4850 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      欢迎大家来中国看看

    • @MetaView7
      @MetaView7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    • @stevenliew2507
      @stevenliew2507 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You will be too shocked to see progressive China which is the opposite of not what the Western MSM Fake Propaganda have been churning out against China.
      Enjoy your 1st visit to China.
      Arriving into China airport will definitely give you an awe surprised 😉

    • @MicheleLLOYD-bk2mt
      @MicheleLLOYD-bk2mt 6 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I know China very well since 1998. It is amazing and has a wonderful social values. Enjoy your visit. I know you will be blown away. And happy that there IS INDEED a a better way……

  • @taterrhead
    @taterrhead หลายเดือนก่อน +40

    at this rate Boeing won't make it to 2035 anyways UNLESS it gets huge 'too big to fail' USD printer bailouts

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Boeing is guaranteed to exist as a US Defense contractor.

    • @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863
      @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      They already assasinated its 3rd whistleblower

  • @ComedyTalent2001
    @ComedyTalent2001 หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    American’s mentality in competition can be seen in the game show “Weakest-Link”. Often in this show, the best player are eliminated by a group of second to third tier players who are less competent or knowledgeable than their best opponents!
    That’s the kind of sportsmanship the American are taught, in addition to suffering from the “Tanya Harding Syndrome” by sabotaging their greatest thread or best opponents to get ahead!
    That’s the joke and reality of our Western Culture!
    We need to grow up and start working hard and playing fair!
    ❤️from🇨🇦

    • @user-kb9bd5tt8f
      @user-kb9bd5tt8f หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Like the American reality show the Survivors. It showcase the American mentality of cunningness and backstabbing to get to the top. Brings out the worst of human weakness and characters. Horrible show.

    • @7hx89
      @7hx89 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      So true. The global market is vast. Win win, not winners take all. Be good.

  • @cool-eye3674
    @cool-eye3674 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    I don't think dominance is the primary goal for the Chinese industry. Instead, it has always been self sufficiency. They think, for too long, they had been fleeced by the west and Japan. As a result of being able to stand on own feet, they can then think of exporting. They export at a price without absurd profit margins. So, here we go again. We will see another hi-tech product at cabbage price.

  • @tompell3032
    @tompell3032 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

    at least someone is building planes better than 737MAX

  • @AIPretendingToBeHuman
    @AIPretendingToBeHuman หลายเดือนก่อน +28

    "The correct answers is always closer to 3 years" (e.g. Semiconductors). “Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.”

    • @antwango
      @antwango หลายเดือนก่อน

      no wonder the West love talking and bragging about how great they are and how backwards and in the jungle everybody else is!!!! ahhh! XD

  • @pengchewoon1926
    @pengchewoon1926 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

    Great coverage. Thank you and keep up the good work.

  • @uptoapoint7157
    @uptoapoint7157 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    In 2014 Indonesia used to export nickel ore. Last year they become the worlds biggest producer of nickel. Local Indonesians get the mine licence, the Chinese build and run the plants.

  • @othmanmajid6380
    @othmanmajid6380 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    It's how it should be.😊

  • @user-fk8oz9ch9x
    @user-fk8oz9ch9x หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    That's why Elon Musk runs to China he saw good opportunity in China

    • @kimchiba4570
      @kimchiba4570 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Best part was he cooked up a lame excuse not to go India.. I laughed like f

  • @kibakobo
    @kibakobo หลายเดือนก่อน +20

    Nuclear. Check.Automobile Check. Commercial Aerospace. Check. Commercial Shipping. Check.

    • @4-SeasonNature
      @4-SeasonNature หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Chips, check. AI, check.

    • @kibakobo
      @kibakobo หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@4-SeasonNature oh, yes, thank you 🙏. Computing check.

  • @Ace1000ks19751982
    @Ace1000ks19751982 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

    I don't see why China can't produce passenger aircraft. China is one of few countries in this world that can produce jet engines. The most difficult part to produce in an airplane is the engine. China can produce engines for military aircraft, and it will be possible for them to build jet engines for passenger aircraft. If you put enough money and R&D in it, I am sure China can produce their own domestically produced passenger jet engine in the future.
    When China starts producing airframes, parts, and engines. China will be able to compete with Airbus, and Boeing. They can produce aircraft that costs less, and compete in the global market.

    • @tonysu8860
      @tonysu8860 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No, China can't produce any engines anyone would want to use if they value lives.
      Not one commercial airline or manufacturer uses any Chinese parts knowingly, even simple nuts and bolts

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      China has the high bypass WS-20 jet engine in the Y-20 transport which produces more than enough thrust for the C919. China prefers not to release their military aircraft engine to global buyers, so the CJ engine will be used instead. My understanding is that the CJ is already logging flight hours on a Y-20 test plane.

    • @Ace1000ks19751982
      @Ace1000ks19751982 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@ZweiZwolf A military jet engine has different requirements compared to a commercial aircraft.
      For military aircraft fuel economy isn't important. For commercial aircraft fuel economy is important, because companies that operate these things need to remain profitable.

    • @7hx89
      @7hx89 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      China probably is the only country now who has a good-sized wind tunnel.

    • @Ace1000ks19751982
      @Ace1000ks19751982 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@7hx89 That helps with designing air frames.

  • @marks1167
    @marks1167 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    This is a Great Channel actually the best on TH-cam, Thankyou for your work

  • @briannewman6216
    @briannewman6216 หลายเดือนก่อน +24

    China can obtain jet engine technology from the Russians while developing their own jet engine technology. The key to aircraft has always been the propulsion technology. The airframes are primarily a manufacturing technology, which the Chinese are already quite good at.

    • @manimalworks7424
      @manimalworks7424 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      They already had a breakthrough in jet engines

    • @junizhao
      @junizhao หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      China already has civilian jet engine CJ 1000 ready to be fitted on C919, and China also has WS military series of high bypass ratio turbofan engines. They move too fast for most people to follow.

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      China used Russian engines for their fighter aircraft, but has since replaced them with higher performing indigenous engines.
      China is currently using Western LEAP engines on the C919, but will transition to a domestic engine soon.

    • @goodlife6277
      @goodlife6277 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@ZweiZwolfStill with Rússian tech...

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@goodlife6277 Sure, and China invented gunpowder, so every firearm and shell in the world is made with Chinese tech.

  • @walhdamaskus2408
    @walhdamaskus2408 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Their playbook re far more sofiaticated than european playbook during the colonisstion of china.

  • @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863
    @cuteandfunnyearthlings2863 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Go china, support you from uk here.

  • @alcheung405
    @alcheung405 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Thanks for your honest analysis instead of the usual bad mouthing of China by Western folks.

  • @GreenIsland38
    @GreenIsland38 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Excellent reporting, very factual and very well presented by this gentleman from China Business !! Top stuff.

  • @user-qd8yg1fp7i
    @user-qd8yg1fp7i หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    Little correction; air isn't necessarily more technically difficult than rail...
    And they built a space station (ffs) by themselves !

    • @ajazvo
      @ajazvo หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      It may not be, but it is certainly more exposed to regulatory whims. The space station doesn't need to land at JFK.

    • @j.c.4192
      @j.c.4192 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      ​@@ajazvothe Chinese market is large enough to start. The smaller countries will follow.
      Like Kevin says, JFK won't have enough planes to land if they don't play fair. Rare Earth control will restrict Boeing and Airbus production levels.

    • @ajazvo
      @ajazvo หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@j.c.4192 agreed, my point however is that there is a very large international component to air travel. The smaller the country the more likely they will need to meet some non-domestic regulations. Those small countries find it easier to adapt FAA (USA) rules than to craft their own out of whole cloth. If the FAA doesn't fully certify an aircraft there isn't much of a market for it.

    • @ZweiZwolf
      @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Air absolutely is more difficult than rail. That's why we had steam trains before we had airplanes.

  • @binhe6500
    @binhe6500 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    It takes longer time to adjust people’s mindset

  • @parttimethinker7611
    @parttimethinker7611 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    I’m glad that the Chinese aren’t sleeping on their laurels…dreaming of genies. Thanks Kevin for an awesome video.

  • @felixsu375
    @felixsu375 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    The crazy thing is that US companies like Boeing know that competition is coming and yet they still refuse to automate and lower prices. They need to update the design so that the plane is more efficient in fuel use. But they just keep producing the same design. Also the top management needs to stop paying themselves hundreds of millions of dollars.
    You can't compete if all or a big chunk of the profit is going to managers who can't even manage the company well instead of going into engineering and development. The West needs to change if the West wants to compete. The culture of essentially rewarding yourself by looting the piggy bank is over. Keep doing that and Western companies will go extinct. Not because of the Chinese but because they can't stop paying themselves ridiculous amounts of money.

    • @hanmi1216
      @hanmi1216 หลายเดือนก่อน

      "The culture of essentially rewarding yourself by looting the piggy bank is over" Well you know, it's hard when they have those habits since their great-great-great-great-geeat grandparents. They have already done it for the last 5 centuries. It's already in their DNA....

    • @standoctor
      @standoctor หลายเดือนก่อน

      That's capitalism the western "democracies"are so proud of and the seed of inequality and conflicts

  • @soothsayer2406
    @soothsayer2406 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Yeah, the more players the better for the customers

  • @PD55_
    @PD55_ หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Demand for China's goods will accelerate in global markets, simply because other countries cannot afford costly US products in dollars, which are only getting more expensive.

  • @Anders01
    @Anders01 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    That's a good point you mentioned about how it will be easier for China to develop commercial airplanes than for Boeing or Airbus to develop raw materials and components. The Chinese approach seems to be bottom up, starting with the raw materials and the industry plus infrastructure for manufacturing and then start building the products from that. Just look at the EV industry.

  • @kibakobo
    @kibakobo หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    lol. Look at MC-21. Critical component is Titanium based alloys in aerospace. Which is monopolized by Russians 😊strategic partner of China.

  • @jojoeverycat7726
    @jojoeverycat7726 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Innovation always comes from necessity. Hugh necessity is the chinese case if they do not want to be in a situation of multiple sanction regimes by the west. Thanks to Russia, Iran and Cuba who showed us how the west did in technology, commercial and monetary embargo. For aerospace technology, it is so easy to see how they cripple the whole nation from long distance travelling. Only C919 and ARJ 21 are not enough China needs ten of thousands more of C929 C939 and C949 with chinese-built engines.

  • @all2031
    @all2031 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    If you are trying to save BOEING, address their horrible management issues, production issues, corruption issues to make it competitive.

    • @wheniamfree
      @wheniamfree หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Wow, same issues confronted by the country herself. So, how to solve them😅?

  • @rjv2395
    @rjv2395 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    tks, you nailed this one. (I always see the blue on your charts as green). if you take the EV market, the chinese companies have learned to innovate to survive the domestic competition. so the development time line and roadmap is so different from western thinking

    • @pengzhang5081
      @pengzhang5081 หลายเดือนก่อน

      中国🇨🇳从古到今都在创新
      断裂的是八国联军还有早期的倭寇日本在周边烧杀抢掠

  • @dayveda3736
    @dayveda3736 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Valuable information delivered well. Thank you!

  • @Longcloud
    @Longcloud หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Great info, short and precise 👍👏

  • @russellcollins5692
    @russellcollins5692 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    China needs to build well, no one can complain about that.
    The west won’t end up sitting on their Chinese made couches for long.
    Competition is not the end game, its quality off Life n Work in each off our unique spheres…….

  • @liamporter1137
    @liamporter1137 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Great foresight. Thanks for sharing.

  • @HiggsBoson2149
    @HiggsBoson2149 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The western media miscalculation is due to their linear timeline expectations. But China is now on an exponential acceleration timeline. 😮

  • @kibakobo
    @kibakobo หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    C-919 ; MC-21. Titanium. Keywords. Keywords here. 5:21 thank you for update.

  • @balkanleopard9728
    @balkanleopard9728 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Another eccellent eplanation video ' and the recent closing scenes have been great.

  • @AnotherExtraFist
    @AnotherExtraFist หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Capitalism thrives on imperfect info and people -- the more fractious the society is, the easier it is to press and keep your advantage. So, by its very nature, it can't compete with the kind of centralized and long-term planning (no elections just for elections sake) of an enlightened and focused polity.

  • @user-ln5pi6zp2t
    @user-ln5pi6zp2t หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    China does not wish to dominate but to be free from US abd Western dominance.

    • @famouschappi
      @famouschappi หลายเดือนก่อน

      China has greater aspirations - that is to save the world.

    • @kasikwagoma6740
      @kasikwagoma6740 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@famouschappiamen and that is what the global south wants and needs

  • @AnotherExtraFist
    @AnotherExtraFist หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Kevin, thanks for pointing out how Chinese engineers by and large are very capable of digesting Western science and engineering materials. Most of those we see here in the US undergrad and graduate programs are not the crème de la crème of the Chinese educational system, but they are already so very competitive upon touchdown, never mind a natural disadvantage in their command of English. The great thing going for "good competition" is that, to the man, Chinese students are enamored with all things Western due probably to longtime exposure to American pop culture. My point is, the Chinese do not reject the West without good cause, unlike the kind of provincialism toward most things China we see in many places here in the US.

    • @pengzhang5081
      @pengzhang5081 หลายเดือนก่อน

      抱歉 中国🇨🇳学生里迷恋美国🇺🇸?
      1000万学生里的极少数
      有100万吗
      没有吧

    • @aab7472
      @aab7472 หลายเดือนก่อน

      1.应该是在你周围的亚裔或者日韩给了你误解,法国18世纪马可波罗记录中国极其富裕,火药指南针我们发明的,我们反思了一个世纪(百年国耻),三体告诉大家西方富裕是因为三次工业革命,中国人根本不相信资本主义共产主义,道家思想讲阴阳。儒家的孟子被蒙古人带到西方,产生宗教改革和共产主义,本来就是我祖先的东西,我们极其熟悉。
      2.中国年轻人平视美国欧洲,俯视其他国家。中国精英最穷的时候也没跪舔西方,因为辉煌历史给予我们自信,那种我们一定会拿回属于自己的位置,这一点其他国家很难理解。你们有啥让我们仰视? 200种性别,吸毒,移民,幼稚的好莱坞英雄,糟糕的基础建设。你们有华为tiktok太空站那种高科技吗吗?(苹果创新越来越懒,波音腐败),生物芯片表示尊重。
      3. 西方日本长期在中国收买间谍,纵容日韩文化盗用中国文化让我们憎恨,我们崇拜祖先类似于你们崇拜上帝。我真诚的建议你们不要再盗用历史了,不然真的会为百年国耻报仇。
      4.中国大学生英语写论文商业够用,出国的除了去常青藤的不错,其他都是富二代,中国国内毕业很多天才去了军工航天华为。感谢美国华裔细分法案,拜托一定要重用印度人。

  • @douginorlando6260
    @douginorlando6260 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Elon Musk attempted to get approval for his autonomous driving technology but has been blocked. So yesterday Elon went to China, met with high officials and will be releasing Tesla’s FSD in China. Unlike the US officials, China recognizes the advantage this technology brings. Now China will be controlling world industry standards for FSD including compatible data bases of transportation routes, covering all kinds of data (accidents records, LiDAR, visual imagery, lighting, etc)

  • @dwei24
    @dwei24 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    love your insights

  • @user-cl7du3xv3g
    @user-cl7du3xv3g หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    your great .......

  • @Mike-ys4sr2023
    @Mike-ys4sr2023 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    My Question to US is how did they arrive at the technology to build anything plus commercial planes ??
    Same way other countries will develop their own technology 😅 😂

  • @jaytan915
    @jaytan915 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Godzilla is scary. Thanks for sharing.

  • @DumpTheDollar
    @DumpTheDollar หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another very insightful perspective video from Kevin, which you seldom get from other analysts. A combination of hard data and ground information. And presented in a very direct and easy to understand way. Great job.

  • @MrStevemur
    @MrStevemur หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    I'd like the Chinese to work on airships as well. Planes have more military applications so everybody throws money at them. But we could travel more sustainably and peacefully if we redirected our amazing technological abilities to just floating.

    • @bemmychan1518
      @bemmychan1518 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The Chinese are already building airships...they are already experimenting them. Until they perfect it for safety it won't be used commercially as their early stage passengers will mostly be their own citizens.

    • @MrStevemur
      @MrStevemur หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@bemmychan1518 that sounds good. Do you know names of any specific companies working on them? When the US rudely shot down that balloon about a year ago I was thinking that one of those would be nice to have.

  • @gregarnot5066
    @gregarnot5066 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Before TienAnMen I was selected to be director of China’s first flight test academy
    1985-6-7 I was translator of Lockheed flight test of Y-8 aircraft
    We advised China on reorganization needed to produce aircraft for international use
    In US Boeing made aircraft and FAA regulated design and certification
    But in 1985 China, the Ministry of Aviation was both manufacturer and regulator
    The Ministry of Aviation had to reorganize to allow an independent regulator

  • @wynetsang
    @wynetsang หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Science and Civilisation in China (1954-present) is an ongoing series of books about the history of science and technology in China published by Cambridge University Press. It was initiated and edited by British historian Joseph Needham (1900-1995). China has several thousand years of tech experience while the West only has several hundred years since the Dark Age.

  • @marks1167
    @marks1167 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    China uses American and European avionics C919 is not all Chinese similar to the Brazilian plane builder emraer. The Russian Passenger planes are 100% made in Russia China wants to share with Russia though Russia is not ready to share yet. Russia has built a Jet engine for wide-bodied aircraft and is looking very promising

  • @tonyjuliasto682
    @tonyjuliasto682 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you for the excellent report. You are correct regarding the Indonesian commercial airline's plan to order the C919, which is expected not in the year 2030, but most likely in 2024.

  • @wingkeeho5864
    @wingkeeho5864 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Determination and persistence leads to success.
    Complacence, greed, arrogance and ignorance lead to failure.

  • @chairmanimao7982
    @chairmanimao7982 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Boeing first engineer is a Chinese national Wong Tsu

  • @Sophie-iv4ci
    @Sophie-iv4ci หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Well, if China did not make their own plane, one day us will forbid others to sell them plane, quoting plane can carry soldiers!
    What to do!
    🤣🤣🤣

  • @Andrew-rc3vh
    @Andrew-rc3vh 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I'd say nearly every technology you need to master to build a plane is there in other parts of Chinese industry. One of the last hurdles was the steel alloys used to build jet engines, of which the fan blades are one of the most critical areas where the performance has to be top-notch. I heard recently they made a breakthrough in this area enabling homebrew jet engines. The C919 was using American engines, but there is some trouble with that as you could have guessed.

  • @bemmychan1518
    @bemmychan1518 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Better to be underestimated than overestimated. That's very Chinese, which is how they achieved what the West deemed as impossible. They keep their heads down and do. Only when that achieve their goals do they talk about it. ❤❤❤

  • @zuroneuro4665
    @zuroneuro4665 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    May I propose you give us an example of a failed Chinese attempt for taking over a certain industry, just one ! I mean, it's just to lift the morale of the Western troops ...

    • @ngheanchoong
      @ngheanchoong หลายเดือนก่อน

      China cannot make fake propaganda machines

    • @agusedyanto3324
      @agusedyanto3324 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It seems like nothing, China seems to be running in all directions at "high speed"

    • @jokeychin
      @jokeychin หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      football

    • @wind-stone
      @wind-stone หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jokeychinyeah, that’s fair.

  • @ZweiZwolf
    @ZweiZwolf หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    This is pretty much a given. China is almost certain to capture the overwhelming majority of the aircraft sales across the Global South via BRI investments. Boeing will shrink to supplying the US defense industry, while Airbus will be protected in Europe. But those are relatively small markets and slowly decaying. China will capture so much growth.

  • @danielodey7775
    @danielodey7775 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

    A great Channel. The view getting around the media is that the Chinese aerospace company which built the C919 was in a partnership with a western aerospace company . This western company did not renew its contract with the Chinese company citing theft of technical information . The final result is a jet , the C919, which is only 80% finished .The jet engines on the C919 use metal fan blades and modern jetliners have ceramic . The ceramic blades achieve better fuel consumption .Western aerospace companies have locked up all their technical information bases on how to build these fan blades and the Chinese are all upset . A similar situation with ASML and EUV Lith machines . ASML is now realising that if they keep supplying these machines eventually the Chinese chip industry will build copies of the machines .

  • @nicholasl5247
    @nicholasl5247 หลายเดือนก่อน

    One more small thing: According to local officials of LinGang , shanghai , They would provide lands ,supply chain support etc to Comac with their target to build 4 new production lines for C919 which would help to ramp up production capacity to 200-ish C919 in 2026 .

  • @grouchypatch9185
    @grouchypatch9185 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It was about time. Me and my partner are having an anxiety over little choice in choosing our flights.

  • @fahmad7194
    @fahmad7194 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good luck

  • @billhammett174
    @billhammett174 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Pareto Optimality: the greatest good for the most people. He didn't break it down to countries, ethnic/racial groups - just people...

  • @andreaskampe9143
    @andreaskampe9143 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    efficient jetengines and airplains with low weight and low drag koef with great lift capabilities is the critical thing. the electronics used is not especially advanced, and not a big cost. the software is the key..
    with super tuff competion among the massive amount of engineers graduating from china it is fact that rhey eventuslly will prevale.

  • @theansangong2659
    @theansangong2659 8 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Nothing is impossible for the Chinese! They already have plans to succeed. No such thing as I will try but it's always the strive to succeed with a plan whether it's 5 years, 10 years or 50 years!

  • @112313
    @112313 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    For china to build a commercial airplane is like for xiaomi, a phone company, in building a car...oh wait....

  • @hamkaling4458
    @hamkaling4458 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Why not work together?

  • @leunam3434
    @leunam3434 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I’ve been to Boeing in Washington and saw how they manufactured aircraft. It is not that complicated. A third world country like Brazil has been manufacturing aircraft for years. The high bypass turbofan engine is another story.

  • @francoisguyot9770
    @francoisguyot9770 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    That's awesome! I can't wait to go to China and travel places by air, highways and railways. Africa needs planes and high speed trains that are economical to create an elaborate network that connects all countries to each other. This should accelerate the inter exchange of commerce and seriously boost all Africa's economic development. Needless to say that mastering the aero-technology of tomorrow will also allow China to stand in pair with the US in terms of air defence. But I do not think that a war with China is viable for the US, mostly when Europe is re-starting their trade again with them. Whoever is in good standing with China has much to gain, and the sooner the better. Lately, France was actually considering joining BRICS, so I heard from someone on a You Tube channel, Italy was but withdrew... Anyways the BRICS are not ready to include the West yet, not until the modality of payment for transactions needs to stabilize .

  • @manwingchi9156
    @manwingchi9156 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It is highly possible, just look at high speed railway, space station, ship building, EV, drone, etc….😮😮😮😮

  • @Ju_pi_ter
    @Ju_pi_ter หลายเดือนก่อน

    Boing can’t even build a safe airplane now, a testament of engineer-led company to shareholder-led company.

  • @petehoney1
    @petehoney1 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    work together .. have shares in each others companies .. oh but US govt wont allow this

  • @malcolmbarnett8470
    @malcolmbarnett8470 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Those very smart people you refer to must have an answer about the use and service of Raytheon Boeing etc stuff under sanctions.

  • @horridohobbies
    @horridohobbies หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The West always makes the same mistake regarding China. It assumes China cannot learn quickly enough (or learn at all).
    The West said China cannot build jet engines like Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce and General Electric. WTF.
    The West said China cannot build photo-lithography machines like ASML and Nikon. WTF.
    The West keeps embarrassing itself.

    • @stchan8569
      @stchan8569 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      They forgot or didn't learn history that the countries with the highest GDP before 1800.

    • @blackknight4996
      @blackknight4996 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Inherent hubris and delusional self-confidence. Most vanished species behaved this way... eventually they vanished.

  • @havencat9337
    @havencat9337 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great news! nothing wrong with such a big country wanting a slice of the pie

  • @cabasadefogo9533
    @cabasadefogo9533 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    It is literally what Capitalism should be. Continue to innovate, push price down, for the benefit of the consumers at large! it seems firms in the west has come expect monopolies created with the help of their government and focus only on extracting rent and not putting out competitive products at lower prices.

    • @stchan8569
      @stchan8569 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      The sad part of capitalism is the management is paid horrendously well against the workers. Huawei is one company that the top boss owns only 1 % and incentives are given to the staff to buy shares in the company. The fruits of labour are more evenly distributed and Huawei also foreign nationals working within the company. It is the diversity and inclusion that make it a great company.

  • @MrsEAGLE-kp2wx
    @MrsEAGLE-kp2wx 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    They can 💪

  • @trekpac2
    @trekpac2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    COMAC’s integrating research programs with 10 universities? Typical of the exceptionally high level of focus in China.

  • @michaelfung4629
    @michaelfung4629 หลายเดือนก่อน

    So it’s all about planes trains and automobiles

  • @RealMe-sd9nm
    @RealMe-sd9nm หลายเดือนก่อน

    Brunei's Gallop Air has already placed an order for 15 of China's COMAC C919 passenger jet plane and 15 of their ARJ21 regional jet plane. Foreign orders for China made planes are already happening.

  • @tribemayamex
    @tribemayamex 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    they need client airlines to buy it. interjet defunct Mexican airline use to have sukoi planes but were retired after they bought airbus planes. maybe it was about not being able to easily repair them. so many factors will determine if they are reliable and cheap to repair