he lied on the keys anyway TRUMP Is a legend and he put no on the key.. I counted four WRONG KEYS.. because he is a dem he marked them that way.. bias poll
There is a bakery in Cincinnati that also predicted every presidential election correctly since 1984 the number of cookies sold. The bakery is Busken Bakery. This year the owner Dan Busken says: "Tremendous lead. Sold so far Trump cookies were 9,827. Harris - 3,131.” No crumb’s uncounted"-(NYPost Oct 8/24). Regardless of who you trust for your predictions, please go vote for your chosen candidate.
@@pradhyunmudaliar6606 CA is a shit hole now no one cares you let Harris ruin your state.. I dont even want to tour it anymore.. not coming to see your junkies.. smh., how effin sad
It really doesn't. Most people who like Trump will draw their arguments based on things he said and an image he presented during the campaign. When pressed they can't remember any official actions he took as President.
Actually 10 out of 10 the supreme court decided the Gore election. And as he said he had to document his research for the united states and had a correct prediction. But yes like with earthquakes he can't predict catastrophe which would change the pattern.
@@saraf9081 False. 7 out of 11. Lichtman claims his 13 Keys predicts the popular vote, so he was wrong about 2000, wrong about 2016, and wrong about 2024. Lichtman and Democrat fanboys can't cherry pick what things about his keys they want to keep, and what they want to ignore. Lichtman wrote in his book that his 13 Keys predict the popular vote, so based on that claim, he was wrong 3 times - regardless of who won the electoral college... and if Dems claim that 2000 election was stolen, then he was wrong about 2020, because that was stolen, too.
I agree with Professor Lichtman's 13 Keys method. But in the swing states the polls are so close, I wonder if this method will work in 2024. In any event, this election will be a real test of the keys.
I highly doubt he’s wrong…..I study his keys on past elections, and the system works very good…..the 13 keys paint a clear picture. I know very well why Hillary lost in 2016, and why Trump lost in 2020” example…..Trump lost 7 keys in 2020. This election is very easy to predict.” Using his system”
Gore gave up too easliy, seemed like he was over it. Gee, can't believe back then in 2000, Colorado was actually a hard red state. My how times change.
Of course, I don't see the whole picture of your country from the inside, and I can answer some questions only from the information that reaches us here in Europe. But, with all due respect to Allan Lichtman, I count 6 no's on his own tune. It's also worth pointing out that Ukraine doesn't have any big wins. And is highly likely to remain in Russia's orbit. So I disagree with the statement of the esteemed Allan Lichtman, which is exactly the key no from the keys to the white house As a conclusion: Donald Trump has a very good chance of winning.
You're stupid, predicting Biden wasn't going to drop out, is not the same as predicting the next president. He didn't think it was a good idea for the democrats to push Biden out the way they did. He has been correct for 40 Years, who else has that kind of track record? You?
No he didn't. He said they would retain more of the keys if Biden stayed in, and thought, like most of us did, that Biden's leaving would mean chaos -- losing the incumbency and contested keys. He was pleasantly surprised, like the rest of us, that Democrats got behind Harris immediately and polls keep moving in her favor.
This man has an insane success ratio. The probability to just guess 9/10 of the last elections is 0.9% but he has enthusiastically. If he says Harris will win, she is gonna win let’s gooo! 💙💙💙
The problem is that Trump is also an incumbent. Not a sitting incumbent but an incumbent nonetheless. It’s biased to assume Harris gets that and Trump doesn’t
He’s said no one gets incumbency key bc you have to be sitting president not sitting vp or former you have to be current so no one claims that key unless Biden steps down right now a month out from election
I don't think you can have multiple incumbents at the same time for a single office. One is either in the position or not. Carter, good ol' 100 year old Jimmy, I've never heard referred to as an incumbent. Simply past president.
So, even if you were to accept the idea that Trump is an incumbent, Harris would only lose one key. Flipping one key is not enough to change the overall prediction..
@@bluetaco-b1i my life is amazing. I just prefer the economy we had under Trump. Lichtman is making absurd points. No wars? No Blunders? Ukraine has been a massive success? What? This is all relative to liberal talking points. Months prior he said Kamala would almost certainly lose if she replaced Biden. He's lost his marbles
@@ChristopherDonnerArtist totally agree with you and check out Nate Silver.. I truly believe he has a strong point to consider, every one wants to think they are above the other but no one will truly know before hand but GOD.. Amen Vote RED
As a single country the US has been the biggest donor to Ukraine (~$56.6 billion), but the EU has provided a total of $126 billion and has committed to another $54 billion until 2027. So, to say that US is most important contributor is an exaggeration since the EU has donated more than triple that amount. Further, the US is prohibiting export of european military platforms, such as the swedish Gripen fighter, to Ukraine which contains US equipment, and thus requires re-export permission from the US. The Gripen fighter would suit Ukraine much better than F16, since it is built to be able to start and land on ordinary roads and is extremely easy and fast to refuel and rearm compared to any other fighter in the world. I hope the prediction of the presidential election is right though, since Trump would be a disaster for US relations with their allies and for world peace.
@@jantegner36 You're delusional - over 600,000 dead Ukrainians isn't a success story. The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense estimates that over 653,060 casualties have occurred between February 2022 and September 2024 including between 40-50,000 amputees from combat and landmines
Trump will be a disaster? Seriously? When he was President, we had controlled borders, lower food prices, cheaper gas, more jobs, world respect, less illegal drugs and religious freedom. How exactly would it be a disaster should he win again? He would implement the same policies and make America great again by putting our citizens first. Again, how would that be a disaster? If she wins, you can kiss America goodbye because she will lead is right into WW3.
@FirstNameLastName-wt5to Since 2022, the EU and its member states have donated €38 billionin military aid, of which €28. From the beginning of the Russian Special Military Operation in February 2022 to the latest known figures, the United States has donated $246.8 billion to "Punish Putin." On October 16th Joe gav3 another $425 million
you cant be right 100% of the time.. and this time I am hoping he is wrong.. Oh look at the poly markets, people say they are meaningless but then there are multi millionaires that do business on them.. making money by leaning on that data..
So he was great when he predicted Trump would win and now he's not because he is looking at the same data points and sees a democrat win? It's data not opinion.
Well you can stop tuning into cnn/mnbc/colbert/kimmel if you want that. Crooks? Time to put your 3d glasses on. I just hope for this country that Harris will have the GUTS to talk to the world leaders and not EVADE them. Not abandon our troops again. Build up a mismanaged border for the last four years and stop flying illegal aliens over the borderS via private jets.
The difference is this year there are people whose minds are corrupted by a cult leader, so they will vote not by facts, but by lies that they believe to be truths, or simply don’t care that they are lies. Hopefully he is still accurate though.
Question - how about the fact that half the country believes lies and thinks the country isn’t doing well even though the statistics show it is doing well?
@@FirstNameLastName-wt5to No, I understand that the country is doing well. I’m asking how the fact that half of the voters don’t believe the country is doing well affects the keys, since one of the keys is based on the country’s well-being.
Al Gore won the popular vote and tied the electoral college. It cane down to a Florida recount that people think would have favoured Gore, before the Supreme Court stepped in. So I credit him as right on that one
He was actually right with Gore /Bush the Supreme Court decided the results of the race not the people. Which is why his research had to be documented for the government.
Under his own standards he's wrong then. Especially with the natural disasters this administration has failed to address I don't see a path to victory. The economy can't be doing that great if it can't support people in a natural disaster.
@@Magaliesaboutriggedelections Really? The current Hurricane situation is a lie then? We didn't leave billions of dollars in weapons in Afghanistan? Giving billions to Ukraine to fight a war when we should be helping our own people is a lie also? Seriously, are you a bot?
Yes please not going back to her and Joe's horrible economy, open border, billions to Ukraine, disaster withdrawal of Afghanistan, crime is up. Sorry not a successful administration.
A couple of his keys. Have some things in them.They refer to foreign policy. Harris didn't deal with foreign policy. She dealt with bringing foreigners into the country. Trump's, the one that I had's that with foreign policy and got things done
Exactly. His "13 keys" are totally subjective and he's not even following his own keys honestly. If he truthfully answered his own keys, it would indicate that the incumbent party has too many "False" answers (6 or more). The fact that Biden dropped out makes 2 of the keys irrelevant.
Wouldn't the charismatic key (where the candidate must appeal to a wider base than narrow party base) go to Trump. Last I heard he had the unlikely endorsements: Muslim endorsement, Union, Border Patrol, Isreal, a year over year increase to his black & latino voters..
Litchman really checked whatever boxes he wanted with this one. The economy is not doing well and Kalama has the charisma of a boiled potato compared to Trump.
1:14 He doesn't even know Kamala's ethnicity properly but thinks he can predict the election result. Very funny. Kamala is African-South Asian NOT African-East Asian🤦♂️
@jre2775 nobody knows what Comrade Kamala's policies are because she doesn't have any unless they are stolen from Trump. Kinda like Tim's Stolen Valor.
@@agaragar21good thing anyone with a 5th grade education on the US government knows that is not possible. duh. our founding fathers created checks and balances and different branches of government to prevent that.
Pure lip service as always from him. Any tips in cash already are not taxed, and the majority of people who work don’t even make tips. Most people who work overtime don’t get paid for it. So once again he’s making something look better than it actually is. Just like the devil. What a coincidence.
Your “god” will be dead in about 5 - 10 years. Probably sooner if he keeps eating fast food every day. Turn away from this path to perdition before it’s too late.
Buddy’s subjectivity and age makes his opinion irrelevant. TRUMP 2024!!! Look up even odds elections 3 times in history. 1880 Garfield. 1952 Eisenhower, and 1980 Regan. 1 matchup was close the other 2 were landslide victory’s. On this guys model he rates trump as not charismatic then mentions Eisenhower and Regan as charismatic haha. All were republican victories. Short odds favorites -150 or worse odds for favorite are 1-6 in elections only Kennedy was able to pull it off. The betting odds have predicted all but 2 elections since history. His theory is flawed by his age and subjectivity
@@ag201245you know Kamala ship is sunk. I have real life experience. No one who commits a summary offence gets jail time but keep telling yourself that you’re marginalizing your party.
@@CWaldo428 summery offense? Is that from Russian constitution? Oh my bad they don’t have any. Here in USA we called convicted felon, 34 counts. Let your oligarchs know orange Put-in is done.
@@lionelhowell4972 nope Kamala already ahead of Trump in Electoral Votes. You are a sick person Voting for an Election Denier. He Rigged the Election. He is Racist so you must be Racist
It's weird you're using "weird" against the guy who popularized the label against the right. Why do you keep insisting she isn't black? Just look at her.
@@janarigden2938 he predicted Biden would win in 2024 which I'm confident won't happen. He predicted Gore would win easily and " technically " he lost by 537 votes.
@@c.f.okonta8815 Are you trying to tell me that she, like most African Americans, is descended from a white male? There is a pretty horrific reason for that.
Yeah but if you think about it do you really want a woman running?? As a women myself Like trump is not my favorite but he's the right way to go Kamala will Destroy this country. We need to make America great again ❤🎉
Its largely about immigration, which should be the single issue for every American voter. Your economics or whatever aren't gonna matter when you literally live in new-brazil, and your 70 IQ neighbors are crashing their cars everyday and eating things they shouldn't be eating.
@@boblatkey7160 I don’t believe those things about Trump. you need to stop listening to liberal propaganda. When Trump was president, everything was cheaper ,and the world wasn’t at war! You can’t tell me that America is better with Biden and Harris!
@@MrDarkparakeet is Kamala's husband running for president? Why is that any of your business? or are you just doing the typical Republican thing which is to spread negativity and hate and look for anyone and everyone that you can dig up dirt on?
Well thanks for the tip Lichtman! I’m down $2000 because of you!
Not bcz of him, bcz of your dumbness 😅
No need to share your prediction. It's absolutely wrong !!!!
He never applied his keys to a coup before!
he lied on the keys anyway TRUMP Is a legend and he put no on the key.. I counted four WRONG KEYS.. because he is a dem he marked them that way.. bias poll
HIS KEYS SHIT THE BED.LMAO
There is a bakery in Cincinnati that also predicted every presidential election correctly since 1984 the number of cookies sold. The bakery is Busken Bakery. This year the owner Dan Busken says: "Tremendous lead. Sold so far Trump cookies were 9,827. Harris - 3,131.” No crumb’s uncounted"-(NYPost Oct 8/24). Regardless of who you trust for your predictions, please go vote for your chosen candidate.
😂😂😂😂😂
@@danasutton6769fortune cookies?
Well, had the same bakery located in California, the numbers would have been the opposite.
@@pradhyunmudaliar6606 CA is a shit hole now no one cares you let Harris ruin your state.. I dont even want to tour it anymore.. not coming to see your junkies.. smh., how effin sad
Governing, not campaigning, is what truly matters.
How do you get to governing without campaigning?
It really doesn't. Most people who like Trump will draw their arguments based on things he said and an image he presented during the campaign. When pressed they can't remember any official actions he took as President.
@@jodi-annedavidson5348 Yep and if the Democrats governed like they campaigned maybe we would be in a better position
Then Trump doesn’t matter cause his governing awful despite expert campaigning.
@@newjerseylion4804 If he actually wins will you get upset?
9 out of 10 impressive. But not guaranteed
Nothing is guaranteed. Not even our life’s.
Actually 10 out of 10 the supreme court decided the Gore election. And as he said he had to document his research for the united states and had a correct prediction. But yes like with earthquakes he can't predict catastrophe which would change the pattern.
@@saraf9081 False. 7 out of 11. Lichtman claims his 13 Keys predicts the popular vote, so he was wrong about 2000, wrong about 2016, and wrong about 2024. Lichtman and Democrat fanboys can't cherry pick what things about his keys they want to keep, and what they want to ignore. Lichtman wrote in his book that his 13 Keys predict the popular vote, so based on that claim, he was wrong 3 times - regardless of who won the electoral college... and if Dems claim that 2000 election was stolen, then he was wrong about 2020, because that was stolen, too.
I agree with Professor Lichtman's 13 Keys method. But in the swing states the polls are so close, I wonder if this method will work in 2024. In any event, this election will be a real test of the keys.
The profesor don't care about the polls
hes gonna be wrong this year and u can take that to the BANK..
@@kellymoses9862 You’re on record now.
@@kellymoses9862 cool get your money ready
@@kellymoses9862 LMAOO who the F are you to say it fool
This didn’t age well..
He lost the ability to interpret his own keys.
Lichtman will be retiring nov 6th, because his theory will be proven wrong.
And it was
Now he's down 2 out of 10. Better luck next time!!
I like these straightforward questions.
His explanation so simple
But, we must vote
I think he will be wrong this year. I think Biden stepping down and handing it to Kamala, will be the down fall to his usually accurate prediction.
I hope so.
I keep thinking she's actually Sarah Palin.
I highly doubt he’s wrong…..I study his keys on past elections, and the system works very good…..the 13 keys paint a clear picture.
I know very well why Hillary lost in 2016, and why Trump lost in 2020” example…..Trump lost 7 keys in 2020.
This election is very easy to predict.” Using his system”
The list is absolutely insane this year. This guy has lost it. He’s not living on the reality the rest of us are.
People say that every election . So far he has been right 9/10
Correct.
We would be back here in 4 weeks 😂
Really interesting actually
I bet he judges wrong this time
I hope he is wrong this time.
@@margaretestrella2862even if Professor Lichtman is wrong, his 13 keys to the White House will still outweigh any set of poll numbers
@@margaretestrella2862 Why? You want Ukraine to fall and more women to die of miscarriages? GEEZ dude. Have you no humanity?
Trump will win💯
He was epically wrong 😂
Thanks,but nothing makes sense today.
10/10, Gore was robbed
Absolutely true. Bush wanted revenge for his dad’s lost war in Iraq and to get Hussein. 9/11 was an excuse to get Hussein. That’s another story tho.
Absolutely. And so were we.
Alan did prove the corruption of the system by the 2004 election. So ALWAYS THOUGHT was 100%
Gore gave up too easliy, seemed like he was over it. Gee, can't believe back then in 2000, Colorado was actually a hard red state. My how times change.
Yes he was 😮
Of course, I don't see the whole picture of your country from the inside, and I can answer some questions only from the information that reaches us here in Europe. But, with all due respect to Allan Lichtman, I count 6 no's on his own tune.
It's also worth pointing out that Ukraine doesn't have any big wins. And is highly likely to remain in Russia's orbit. So I disagree with the statement of the esteemed Allan Lichtman, which is exactly the key no from the keys to the white house
As a conclusion: Donald Trump has a very good chance of winning.
HE ALSO PREDICTED BIDEN WILL STAY IN THE RACE 😂🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸.. .
You're stupid, predicting Biden wasn't going to drop out, is not the same as predicting the next president. He didn't think it was a good idea for the democrats to push Biden out the way they did. He has been correct for 40 Years, who else has that kind of track record? You?
No he didn't. He said they would retain more of the keys if Biden stayed in, and thought, like most of us did, that Biden's leaving would mean chaos -- losing the incumbency and contested keys. He was pleasantly surprised, like the rest of us, that Democrats got behind Harris immediately and polls keep moving in her favor.
He predicted he would win in 2020 and he did he predicted Trump would win in 2016 and he did
@@linguaphile42was going to comment this, but you explained it perfectly.
It’s just a prediction not an endorsement. Why get so obviously offended that you sound ridiculous?
This man has an insane success ratio. The probability to just guess 9/10 of the last elections is 0.9% but he has enthusiastically. If he says Harris will win, she is gonna win let’s gooo! 💙💙💙
He was right in 2000 10/10 Al gore won the us supreme court got it wrong
He got it wrong in 2016. But then changed his prediction system because he didn’t want to be wrong lol
Where is the proof @@redhorizonentertainment6560
@@redhorizonentertainment6560 He predicted Trump then, and made a lot of people mad. You might be thinking of 2000, when SCOTUS decided the winner.
@@redhorizonentertainment6560no he got it right in 2016 look it up
The problem is that Trump is also an incumbent. Not a sitting incumbent but an incumbent nonetheless. It’s biased to assume Harris gets that and Trump doesn’t
She is wavy on a few but even with those she still wins she is not considered the incumbent in his keys
He’s said no one gets incumbency key bc you have to be sitting president not sitting vp or former you have to be current so no one claims that key unless Biden steps down right now a month out from election
I don't think you can have multiple incumbents at the same time for a single office. One is either in the position or not. Carter, good ol' 100 year old Jimmy, I've never heard referred to as an incumbent. Simply past president.
I thought he said Harris does NOT get the incumbent key...???
So, even if you were to accept the idea that Trump is an incumbent, Harris would only lose one key. Flipping one key is not enough to change the overall prediction..
He's totally speaking out of his butt
U mean like orange man
Christopher is mad because he is not in love with his own life
@@bluetaco-b1i my life is amazing. I just prefer the economy we had under Trump.
Lichtman is making absurd points. No wars? No Blunders? Ukraine has been a massive success? What? This is all relative to liberal talking points.
Months prior he said Kamala would almost certainly lose if she replaced Biden.
He's lost his marbles
@@danasutton6769 no like dementia man you last best candidate
@@ChristopherDonnerArtist totally agree with you and check out Nate Silver.. I truly believe he has a strong point to consider, every one wants to think they are above the other but no one will truly know before hand but GOD.. Amen Vote RED
As a single country the US has been the biggest donor to Ukraine (~$56.6 billion), but the EU has provided a total of $126 billion and has committed to another $54 billion until 2027. So, to say that US is most important contributor is an exaggeration since the EU has donated more than triple that amount.
Further, the US is prohibiting export of european military platforms, such as the swedish Gripen fighter, to Ukraine which contains US equipment, and thus requires re-export permission from the US. The Gripen fighter would suit Ukraine much better than F16, since it is built to be able to start and land on ordinary roads and is extremely easy and fast to refuel and rearm compared to any other fighter in the world.
I hope the prediction of the presidential election is right though, since Trump would be a disaster for US relations with their allies and for world peace.
Trump has already proven he can make peace deals.On the other hand Putin invaded Ukraine 5 days after Harris’s speach in Germany
@@jantegner36 You're delusional - over 600,000 dead Ukrainians isn't a success story. The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense estimates that over 653,060 casualties have occurred between February 2022 and September 2024 including between 40-50,000 amputees from combat and landmines
Trump will be a disaster? Seriously? When he was President, we had controlled borders, lower food prices, cheaper gas, more jobs, world respect, less illegal drugs and religious freedom. How exactly would it be a disaster should he win again? He would implement the same policies and make America great again by putting our citizens first. Again, how would that be a disaster? If she wins, you can kiss America goodbye because she will lead is right into WW3.
That number is for this year alone. The U.S. has given $175 billion total.
@FirstNameLastName-wt5to Since 2022, the EU and its member states have donated €38 billionin military aid, of which €28. From the beginning of the Russian Special Military Operation in February 2022 to the latest known figures, the United States has donated $246.8 billion to "Punish Putin." On October 16th Joe gav3 another $425 million
The professor lives on another planet this time he was wrong we live in a case of all the keys are failing😂
Ok...u know it all 😂
Giovanni it’s obvious you are MAGA😂 you are a joke
All good things must come to an end. Lichtmann has let his personal politics get in the way of his formula.
you cant be right 100% of the time.. and this time I am hoping he is wrong.. Oh look at the poly markets, people say they are meaningless but then there are multi millionaires that do business on them.. making money by leaning on that data..
So he was great when he predicted Trump would win and now he's not because he is looking at the same data points and sees a democrat win? It's data not opinion.
REMEMBER THAT ALAN?WHAT YOU'RE SAYING RIGHT NOW I'LL BE POSTING THIS ON X. BECAUSE OBVIOUSLY, ALAN'S NOT GONNA LET ME SPEAK. MY FIRST AMENDMENT....
Let’s hope he is correct please be RIGHT
I think he is right and that would become the beginning of US downfall
I pray he is right. My mail in ballot in Illinois was accepted two weeks ago.
Trump won so you are all wrong.
All I can say is the rest of the world hopes and prays we have seen the last of Trump and his crooks after this year
Yep
okay sorry 99%of the world the rest are idiots like you
Well you can stop tuning into cnn/mnbc/colbert/kimmel if you want that.
Crooks? Time to put your 3d glasses on.
I just hope for this country that Harris will have the GUTS to talk to the world leaders and not EVADE them.
Not abandon our troops again.
Build up a mismanaged border for the last four years and stop flying illegal aliens over the borderS via private jets.
hes gonna be your next daddy get ready
@@kellymoses9862 dream on we will see by the end of this week
His 'keys' were wrong. I called it. His rhetoric is left. HE is left. Guess what... WE decided. Not you.
The difference is this year there are people whose minds are corrupted by a cult leader, so they will vote not by facts, but by lies that they believe to be truths, or simply don’t care that they are lies. Hopefully he is still accurate though.
Question - how about the fact that half the country believes lies and thinks the country isn’t doing well even though the statistics show it is doing well?
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. That’s you right now.
@@FirstNameLastName-wt5to No, I understand that the country is doing well. I’m asking how the fact that half of the voters don’t believe the country is doing well affects the keys, since one of the keys is based on the country’s well-being.
@@tiredofthenonsence6819 How do you define the country doing well? The only people the current economy works for are the ruling class.
This isn’t a question.
@tiredofthenonsence6819 the country is not doing well by any metric.
Why was one of your prediction wrong? Will this prediction be the the second one you may get wrong?
If you dont know what happened with the Gore/Bush election then you don’t know that was a wash prediction
Al Gore won the popular vote and tied the electoral college. It cane down to a Florida recount that people think would have favoured Gore, before the Supreme Court stepped in. So I credit him as right on that one
No it's not
He was actually right with Gore /Bush the Supreme Court decided the results of the race not the people. Which is why his research had to be documented for the government.
This man is so biased he cannot see straight. His own keys are actually predicting a TRUMP LANDSIDE.
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 I said that this men is a total fraud he just want to be known as a good professor my behind is 😂😂😂😂😂
@@leiderekleiderek6660
How come his predictions have been so successful…
@@ann-yeawonlee8826 100% SUCCESS, scares the shit out of MAGA, because it's the TRUTH.
He predicted Trump in 2016... god you people are so stupid :/
Ann your head is on backwards
I'm pulling for my President Donald J Trump ❤️
keep pulling...
@@monsieurmike2072😂😂😂😂 you totally win the I internet today 🥇 🏆
@@kimberlyaustin6677 ...😆⭐️
@@kimberlyaustin6677 how is weather in Leningrad?
pull you pud dummy.
Allan lichtman is my ride or die
Not East Asian. Not even Asian. The Indian subcontinent is not part of the Asian continent because it sits on a different tectonic plate.
Sub-continent
Incumbent key goes to Trump. Trump was president before but not harris.
no stupid that's not how it works. your other comment was really stupid too. I'm concerned for you
Facts
@@a124asnot facts. Learn to read
Ann you must hate your life
@@ann-yeawonlee8826 Is he president right now?
God let it be so
Really good questions by the reporter!
When the dust settles, Allan Lichtman’s model will have failed because it didn’t factor the challenger having incumbency favor.
Under his own standards he's wrong then. Especially with the natural disasters this administration has failed to address I don't see a path to victory. The economy can't be doing that great if it can't support people in a natural disaster.
Lies, lies and more lies
False
Dude, that is a Trump LIE. They HAVE been supporting people during natural disasters! Shame on you for lying about people while they're suffering
@@Magaliesaboutriggedelections Really? The current Hurricane situation is a lie then? We didn't leave billions of dollars in weapons in Afghanistan? Giving billions to Ukraine to fight a war when we should be helping our own people is a lie also? Seriously, are you a bot?
It is not true that they’re failed to address the hurricanes, even Desantis said they gave more than enough to Florida
The keys tap into the actual psyche of voters.
What about war in middle-east and these hurricanes and Trump habitual lying. He says, may have salvaged the other two keys.
Incumbent key is now changed
Never going back… Kamala 2024🙏🏽🇺🇸🗽💙
💙💙💙
LOL 😂😂😂😂😂
Yes please not going back to her and Joe's horrible economy, open border, billions to Ukraine, disaster withdrawal of Afghanistan, crime is up. Sorry not a successful administration.
BOOOOOOOO hell no
Wow. That guy is a genius in my opinion. I strongly agree with everything he said. Let's just hope he's not wrong this time.
A couple of his keys.
Have some things in them.They refer to foreign policy. Harris didn't deal with foreign policy. She dealt with bringing foreigners into the country. Trump's, the one that I had's that with foreign policy and got things done
Trump 🇺🇸🎉🎉
He is totally lost and out of touch
Referring to orange put-in?
Trump and his MAGA freaknutz are out of touch and lose the rest of their marbles when Harris wins
Cheers blue in Nov
Exactly. His "13 keys" are totally subjective and he's not even following his own keys honestly. If he truthfully answered his own keys, it would indicate that the incumbent party has too many "False" answers (6 or more). The fact that Biden dropped out makes 2 of the keys irrelevant.
Only because it’s not what you want to hear.!!!
Kamala Harris is a mix of black Jamaican and South Asian, not East Asian
You may lose credibility this year Allan… this year could be the anomaly…
You can't wish it into being. I trust him on this
He said trump would win popular vote in 2016, he's already been wrong on trump once.
@@JakMakes-z5o trump lost the popular that year to Hilary. Correct
@@estellee-d3tthey say that every election about him
@@JakMakes-z5ohe correctly predicted Trump would win the presidency in 2016 regardless
SEE I DONT BELIEVE IN POLLS ……..KAMALA HARRIS WILL WIN
Lmao ok buddy keep coping
When CNN is even predicting a Trump win that’s how you know you’re fucked
All he did was tell the angry black woman what she wanted to hear.
What about war in middle-east and these hurricanes and Trump habitual lying.
He has been always right😊
Not always. 9 out of 10, but let's hope his record continues.
Go trump!
@@giggles7179well the one time he was wrong was Gore v Bush. He couldn’t have predicted that the Supreme Court would decide who won.
Nope - he thought Biden should of staid in and was saying that was the best chance of democrats winning - clearly dude doesn’t know anything
@@giggles7179 Tina Peters can’t help him this time
Alan wearing a wig?
No he still has a full head of brown hair. Amazing huh? 😂
So???? And ur point is what ???
He's a Healthy Athlete. RUNS Senor Athletics.
So
Two weeks away from being irrelevant
Irrelevancy activated
Nice Lichtman, now you just lost all your credibility. You are irrelevant now.
Wouldn't the charismatic key (where the candidate must appeal to a wider base than narrow party base) go to Trump. Last I heard he had the unlikely endorsements: Muslim endorsement, Union, Border Patrol, Isreal, a year over year increase to his black & latino voters..
Harris 2024
Amen. Amen. Amen Amen Amen
Much respect for you professor Lichtman. 🥰🥰
Scam
Litchman really checked whatever boxes he wanted with this one. The economy is not doing well and Kalama has the charisma of a boiled potato compared to Trump.
1:14 He doesn't even know Kamala's ethnicity properly but thinks he can predict the election result. Very funny. Kamala is African-South Asian NOT African-East Asian🤦♂️
Great interview
Lets see if hes right again. I hope not but everyone is entitled to their opinion.
I'm praying he's right.
Trump is advocating for NO TAX on tips, overtime, & social security 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Lmao it’s the republicans that are always cutting social security he is not doing anything for social security look at the policies not what they say
And he also advocating for President for LIFE !
@jre2775 nobody knows what Comrade Kamala's policies are because she doesn't have any unless they are stolen from Trump. Kinda like Tim's Stolen Valor.
@@agaragar21good thing anyone with a 5th grade education on the US government knows that is not possible. duh. our founding fathers created checks and balances and different branches of government to prevent that.
Pure lip service as always from him. Any tips in cash already are not taxed, and the majority of people who work don’t even make tips. Most people who work overtime don’t get paid for it. So once again he’s making something look better than it actually is. Just like the devil. What a coincidence.
YALL NO ONE CAN PREDICT THE ONLY TRUE PERSON THAT KNOWS IS GOD AND WE NEED TO PROTECT OUR COUNTRY 🙏 Make it great again trump!!!!
Your “god” will be dead in about 5 - 10 years. Probably sooner if he keeps eating fast food every day. Turn away from this path to perdition before it’s too late.
Make America Trumpless Again, then it will truly be great!💙🌊💙🌊
Thanks Professor
Buddy’s subjectivity and age makes his opinion irrelevant. TRUMP 2024!!! Look up even odds elections 3 times in history. 1880 Garfield. 1952 Eisenhower, and 1980 Regan. 1 matchup was close the other 2 were landslide victory’s. On this guys model he rates trump as not charismatic then mentions Eisenhower and Regan as charismatic haha. All were republican victories. Short odds favorites -150 or worse odds for favorite are 1-6 in elections only Kennedy was able to pull it off. The betting odds have predicted all but 2 elections since history. His theory is flawed by his age and subjectivity
Ready or not orange jumpsuit is coming for orange Put-in.
@@ag201245you know Kamala ship is sunk. I have real life experience. No one who commits a summary offence gets jail time but keep telling yourself that you’re marginalizing your party.
@@CWaldo428 summery offense? Is that from Russian constitution? Oh my bad they don’t have any. Here in USA we called convicted felon, 34 counts. Let your oligarchs know orange Put-in is done.
@@CWaldo428 His age makes him irrelevant so does Trump’s age.
@CWaldo42you are absolutely wrong, the young want women's wright's and will prove that Nov5 cheers......🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
The third party key should go to trump bc rfl endorsed and is campaigning with him
I predict President Trump.
I predict you will be wrong.
But you dont know 💩.
@@hwnsrfaboy43the way I am rolling over the floor laughing. 💙💙💙
You are right, historychannel123 is the election guru of the future and successor of Allan Lichtman
Allan lichtman might be proven wrong this time
And how would you know. Professor Lichtman knows exactly what he is talking about. Stop being negative so you must want crooked Trump to win.
Not a chance, watch the LANDSLIDE come 11/5 for Harris/Walz. remember, most people like to vote right near the end like 11/2 to the very day of 11/5
@@lionelhowell4972 nope Kamala already ahead of Trump in Electoral Votes. You are a sick person Voting for an Election Denier. He Rigged the Election. He is Racist so you must be Racist
@@BrendaMayfield-d4w???????
@BrendaMayfield-d4w Are you blind? read my comment before posting
He's going to be right again.
He doesn't know her race. Dad is Hindu-Irish and mom is Indian. This guy needs to get his facts straight.
Trump is advocating for NO TAX on tips, overtime, & social security 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
@@jre2775and kamala is trying to copy as many of his ideas as possible
@@jre2775More promises he would break. LOL.
@@vincesmith2499like Harris wont lie? She lies about everything, even her race
Only God knows the future. Vote TRUMP
💙💙💙
The "p" is absolutely silent.
This guy can’t even correctly answer his own 13 points; Trump takes 12 of the 13, realistically.
He's weird and he doesn't know that she's not black. What else doesn't he know???
You are weird girl, go outside, a person can be mixed race goofy
It's weird you're using "weird" against the guy who popularized the label against the right.
Why do you keep insisting she isn't black? Just look at her.
@@dennischiu272 You must be talking about the first Indian-American senator in the United States. Do your homework.
@@bobmajew53 She is both Indian and black.
You folks pretend biracial is a hard concept. It's not.
@@janarigden2938 he predicted Biden would win in 2024 which I'm confident won't happen. He predicted Gore would win easily and " technically " he lost by 537 votes.
i predict… his streak is about to end.
😂
This dude has lost his mind. No way in hell she wins
either way ...one is definitely going to hell...Satan is waiting...😂
You don’t know Mexico recently elected there very first female president recently
Look up his 13 Keys model. It is unchanged from 2016, when he predicted TRUMP would win.
The sheer victim complex of these people.
I hope he is wrong too!
And you are...
I think he will be right 💙💙💙💙
U wish
No doubt 💙💙💙
@@richardsy2159we wish and we will make it happen 💙💙💙
@@richardsy2159 Yup! That's why I said "I think" and not "I know."
😊this year could be the anomaly
Wrong, not African. Her dad is Hindu-Irish and her mom is Indian. You're wrong already.
Her dad is Afro-Jamaican.
Her Dad’s parents were Afro-Jamaican (Jamaicans of predominantly African descent). So African-Indian is correct.
@@jessejameslatimer8686Kamala Harris dad is half Irish ☘️ descent
@@c.f.okonta8815 Are you trying to tell me that she, like most African Americans, is descended from a white male?
There is a pretty horrific reason for that.
@@c.f.okonta8815 Most Afro-Americans are descended from white males, yes.
Care to guess why that is?
he will be wrong this time..
Only in maga freaknutz make believe will he be wrong. Cry please when Harris wins on November 5th
Omg, I hope you’re right. 🙏
All I can say vote if u want to protect our democracy and honor our constitution period! Let’s not be apathetic
@@bluinternationalmusicduo2762 Amen! Vote red 💪🏼
Democracy is cringe, the constitution outlines an aristocracy of white male landowners, and that's a good thing!
Yes, Trump ❤❤❤❤❤
Exactly why I'm voting for trump!
I dont know about Kamla harris ..but I dont understand why people support Donal trump..his policies have failed and he has no plan for future
Yeah but if you think about it do you really want a woman running?? As a women myself Like trump is not my favorite but he's the right way to go Kamala will Destroy this country. We need to make America great again ❤🎉
His plans were working and the country was in a good state😂 it's turned to shit since the Dems got back in
@edwardharrison1963 agreed 👍 where are these people living that don't see or feel the difference between this horrible administration ♥️T🤍R💙U♥️M🤍P💙
Its largely about immigration, which should be the single issue for every American voter. Your economics or whatever aren't gonna matter when you literally live in new-brazil, and your 70 IQ neighbors are crashing their cars everyday and eating things they shouldn't be eating.
@@smileyface970 We live in reality and dont blame government for every hardship.
Well, Allen weather forecast job is available hurry.
Well he will lose this time
Yes.. he will.. You may lose credibility this year Allan… this year could be the anomaly
@@estellee-d3teven if he does, the 13 keys to the White House outweigh any set of poll numbers
Let’s remember that the Donald did send Lichtman a note of praise for his prediction of him winning
@@MJBfromWilloughby Of COURSE he did, because he's a man baby
Nah
Come back after 5e November,so you can see how totally wrong he is😂
Trump will win!!
My educator
I smell a bit of bias...
He was wrong as many discussed here 😂🎉
What about addition of Lebanon to middle-east war.
Trump 2024
A liar and a cheater and a fraud and a person who treats women like crap for president? How awful can you possibly be? Shame on you!
@@boblatkey7160 I don’t believe those things about Trump. you need to stop listening to liberal propaganda. When Trump was president, everything was cheaper ,and the world wasn’t at war! You can’t tell me that America is better with Biden and Harris!
@@boblatkey7160Shame on you for voting for the party of hate, abortion,
Division, race baiting, war mongering and child molestors
@@boblatkey7160what about Kamala’s husband??😂😂😂
@@MrDarkparakeet is Kamala's husband running for president? Why is that any of your business? or are you just doing the typical Republican thing which is to spread negativity and hate and look for anyone and everyone that you can dig up dirt on?
Omg lmho hahaha too funny and true.
I have Harris winning a squeeker unfortunately
And we are Fd
Ur crazy like Trump then
Let’s go!
Let's go Bridon!
Great explanation of the 13 keys and how they work!
Lichtman has let his bias infect his prediction this time.
He didn’t like trump in 2016 but he predicted he would win and he was right. So yeah…
@@eddiethatch5060 and so did several million others. Lichtman picked Gore over Bush easily and Biden in 2024 which we can now assume is wrong
@@Robert-fs6gego act all butthurt over at FOX
81 millions fired him last time and it’s going to 110 millions in 2024. No to orange knee pads.
Lol its unpleasant when it doesn't fit your opinion