Ukraine Goes into Kursk: A Dose of the "Russia Contingency" with Michael Kofman

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 ต.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 26

  • @terjeoseberg990
    @terjeoseberg990 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    At 21:50, “Russian advances are accelerating north of Kharkiv.”
    Really? How fast are they advancing north of Kharkiv?

  • @markb8468
    @markb8468 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Also, about that column that got whiped out, where were all the IFV's and APC's? Instead you have 40 loaf vans nose to tail. It appears that they don't have any extras.

  • @johnwalsh4857
    @johnwalsh4857 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    well I think the current Ukrainian offensive into Kursk main goal which was achieved was to cut off the rail network from Kursk to the Russian grouping of forces in Northern Kharkov. this was achieved thereby cutting off supply lines to Russian forces there. and also destroying the Russian military logistical infrastructure in the area. and I think this sets up a future Ukrainian counteroffensive north of Kharkov when the Russian forces in Northern Kharkov are probably out or low in supply making them easier targets for a counteroffensive if successful will be a massive political and military blow to Putin even worse than the Kharkov offensive of late 2022.

  • @Davitofrito
    @Davitofrito 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    The Russians cleared the minefields on their side in prep for their own attack. Troops for this were far back. It's why troops aren't being pulled from other fronts.
    This is amazing but can't help but think its the Arden offensive 1944 and not 1940.

  • @Attlanttizz
    @Attlanttizz 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    awful sound (mic) quality btw

  • @rocko7711
    @rocko7711 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    🇺🇦

  • @Cotictimmy
    @Cotictimmy 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Good chat. Wishing success to Ukraine.

  • @SHW5010
    @SHW5010 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    audio: podcast from a broom closet.

  • @looinrims
    @looinrims 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Already watched on the app (was wondering why it was split into multiple parts) but commenting for the algorithm

    • @semicolonenthusiast1354
      @semicolonenthusiast1354 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It's split because the first part is released as a promo to sign up for membership to get the second.

  • @paulyoung4422
    @paulyoung4422 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The towns are still intact, the soldiers can live off the land.

  • @hccdgvvfccdgn993
    @hccdgvvfccdgn993 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I remember also talking to my friends on a tincup on a wire back in the days.

  • @CatalystD9
    @CatalystD9 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    #Peremoha .. 🔥🔥🔥

  • @gardnert1
    @gardnert1 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Well THIS aged like spoiled milk. Kaufman is just way to pessimistic (dressed as cautious) to be reliable in this war.

  • @michaelthayer5351
    @michaelthayer5351 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    The smart thing for the Russians to do would be to contain the Kursk Incursion with local forces and conscripts, without diverting anything from the Donbas, and then fixing the Ukrainian reserves in place to prevent them from being diverted to either the Pokrovsk or Toretsk Fronts which are both in dire need of reinforcements and rotation. This will allow Russia to continue its methodical advance on that front while depleting Ukraine's strategic reserve and being fairly confident that their spearheads are safe from a determined counterattack. While from a political and publicity perspective it is definitely not ideal the Russians were never going to get good media coverage abroad and domestically they can frame this as another justification to the populace that the war must be won lest the West become emboldened and launch further mini-Barbarossas.
    Imagine if those 2-4 brigades deployed to Kursk had instead been used for a counterattack toward Ocheretyne to try and cut off the Russian Salient creeping towards the crossroads at Pokrovsk. That still probably wouldn't have worked but it would've bought some time and made the Russians more cautious, diverting focus and forces towards securing their flanks rather than pushing onwards.
    Instead Ukraine seems focused on publicity, which does make a degree of sense as their war effort is dependent upon Western willingness to keep Ukraine in the fight and exaggerated claims about the scope and impact of the incursion in the media definitely will help Ukraine's fundraising in the near term. There is also an element there of trying to get Russia to give up on their Kharkov front in exchange for the International border outside of the Donbas being a semi-DMZ and localizing the war there. While that has some merit and is definitely interesting from an international relations standpoint I don't know if the Russians will agree, at least publicly.

    • @ihorWerbiuk
      @ihorWerbiuk 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Damn ....I read a Ukrainian statement a few days ago that the Kursk expedition is only going to last approx 2 months ? What I hear/read is how the Ukrainian army lacks soldiers , if this is so , then why does the Ukrainian high command even put meagre resources into such a precarious situation . No wonder the russians are bemused . Surely Ukrainian general staff are not delusional .....

    • @terjeoseberg990
      @terjeoseberg990 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@ihorWerbiuk, “bemused” ?

    • @toddfromwork8931
      @toddfromwork8931 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Russian bot

    • @michaelthayer5351
      @michaelthayer5351 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@toddfromwork8931 why is everyone with a different opinion a bot? I want a healthy debate especially about an interesting war that doesn't affect me.

    • @toddfromwork8931
      @toddfromwork8931 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@michaelthayer5351 It does affect you. Ukraine's struggle is the world's struggle.

  • @doolittlegeorge
    @doolittlegeorge 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Who is "she" and why does she need to be taken care of "quickly"?