Josh Pate On CFB's Biggest Swing Games In 2024 (Late Kick Cut)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ก.ค. 2024
- College Football Saturdays are less than 2 months from returning, and on Late Kick Live Ep 528 Josh Pate discussed 5 swing games that will heavily impact this season. Miami vs Florida in week one will be huge for the losing team's odds the rest of the way. What will UGA vs Ole Miss look like late in the season? Nebraska vs Ohio State has sneaky potential in the Big Ten. Josh also looks at Clemson vs FSU and Kansas State vs West Virginia. Let us know what you think in the comments below and be sure to SUBSCRIBE to the channel and CLICK THE BELL for notifications as we bring you multiple live shows per week!
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Oklahoma at Auburn is gonna be a massive swing game.
So is the real UT at OK - it sorta defines both teams' expectations for the new SEC schedule. And that's if Tennessee doesn't get surprised sleeping on NC State at a neutral site
My hinge games:
Notre Dame vs A&M
LSU vs USC
Texas vs Michigan
Penn State vs West Virginia
Auburn vs Oklahoma
Tennessee @ Oklahoma is an underrated game
ND at TAMU week 1 is a hinge game for both teams, and should be a good indicator of what either team will be this season.
You are absolutely right but A&M wins that day
I don’t think so. ND can lose that game and still go 11-1 and make the playoff. In the flip side, A&M can lose that game and still go 9-3 or 10-2. Both scenarios are still really good
Could be true. It will say a lot more about ND and go a long way toward securing them a playoff spot as this could be their toughest game. A&M could squeak one out but not amount to much
Actually, I’d like to rescind my statement. A&M plays a fairly easy schedule with all of their toughest games at home.
This is a much bigger swing game than I could have imagined. I don’t think Riley Leonard is all that great, so if he has a poor showing, ND is suddenly questioning everything whereas A&M will be saying “why not” with their schedule
PRODUCER JESSIE USED THE WRONG THUMBNAIL ALERT🚨🚨🚨🚨
Josh, I would think if you’re going to include a Nebraska game under the heading “Biggest Swing Games,” it would be the week 2 Colorado at Nebraska game. You made a good case for the Ohio State game, but still, importance hinging (most likely) on margin of victory for Ohio State?
To not have Michigan as the swing game makes zero sense. There is 1 game the solely defines OSU every year and that’s vs Michigan, Nebraska is hardly relevant and probably has a 90% of losing that game
If OSU goes 11-1 snd Michigan goes 7-5 but wins, then OSU wins it all, no one will care
@@jayandrusiak No one can deny the importance of Michigan/Ohio State, but I don’t believe the traditional last game of the season for both teams would qualify as a “swing game;” the season will be over.
As a Nebraska fan, I think you’re right about Colorado being the biggest hinge game, but I also want to mention USC.
Biased cuz I’m an Auburn fan but Oklahoma at Auburn feels like a huge one. Both have a good chance of being 4-0. First SEC road test for Oklahoma. Could be a huge turning point for Auburn if they win that one and start 5-0 going into Georgia or huge for Oklahoma as they play Texas the following week. Assuming they both start the season strong this would be a huge turning point for either team.
I think OU will drop games to Tennessee and then Auburn to start off a tough first season in the SEC.
Oklahoma at Mizzou could be really huge
Texas vs Michigan week 2 will be huge. Which one of those playoff teams looks poised for another playoff appearance?
Hope they both lose
Maybe for Texas.
But Michigan has not only a new Qb, but also a totally new OL. Very talented rising seniors, mostly, plus 2 older players, yet they might need a few weeks to gel.
I expect that line to be great by mid season, but they easily could lose Michigan the Texas game, without that saying much for the B1G championship...
This is also the first SEC/B1G matchup that everyone will be watching. Which conference will get bragging rights?
Ohio State vs. Nebraska isn't a hinge game because Ohio State has nothing to gain.
I think OU loses to Tennessee and Auburn to start off a tough year at 3-2.
Wrong comment reply 😂
@@mattwilson7344 Way to go. Totally ruined my day!! 😶
If Miami blows out Florida, Napier doesn’t make it to the WLOCP.
LSU vs USC will definitely be a SWING GAME.😅
“Sun belt Billy” - Uncle Lou
I genuinely think Tennessee at Oklahoma is one of the biggest swing games this season. It’s early in the season, and if UT takes it, they’re going to be playing Bama undefeated and with a revved up roster hot on the Nico train- and if they take our Bama (which is a genuine possibility in the atmosphere of Neyland stadium), then they’re likely going undefeated into Georgia and making the playoffs whether or not they win that game.
If Oklahoma takes it, they start out their SEC play (because yes, it’s their first SEC game) with a huge statement, knocking off the team led by Josh Heupel, their former National Champion QB, and Nico Iamaleava, the current most anticipated QB walking into this season. They would be setting up very nicely for future matchups with that kind of momentum, and I think they have the staff and the fan atmosphere to do it.
One of the most underrated swing games this season in my opinion. I feel confident saying the winner of that one will go on to earn a playoff spot and be a genuine threat.
Wazzu OSU, will decide a conference title xD
Georgia vs Bama is the biggest swing game. Either passing of the torch or a reminder that nothing has changed, at least that’s how the media would see this. Also OSU and Oregon fans should root for Bama so they get their 1-2 matchup
If Alabama beats Georgia, they will move up to #1 because nobody else will have a win even close to that.
Not if.....As Bama beats Georgia...Roll Tide.@@CrashB111
I honestly believe that UGA will get past, over, through and around Bama in Tuscaloosa this year. A little frustration taken out for Not being able to beat Saban in the past, except for in the Nati. Don't get me wrong. Bama is very, very good and a playoff team. I just think UGA will be ready for Bama this time around because of Kirby Smart.
@@brianreese7804 UGA hasn't "been ready" for Bama since 2007.
Kirby is 1-5 and the 1 required two attempts in the same season, after getting the breaks beat off them in the 2021 SEC Championship.
What hinges on Florida vs Miami? The 7 th place conference trophy?
FSU just created new branding for their academics. Now, the Seminole logo will only be used for athletics. Big 10 prep?
I'd say HM Mizzou OU for sure is a critical game for both teams
Osu has the 2 biggest in big12 back to back early. Week 4 utah at osu. Next week osu at ksu. Osu wins these the conference could be over in September.
How is Georgia at Alabama not a swing game?
2:25 "Nebraska may be favored in all eight games before they play this one [Ohio State] in Week 9." No offense, but Nebraska plays _seven_ games before they face Ohio State, not _eight._ 1) UTEP, 2) Colorado, 3) Northern "Irate", 4) Illinois, 5) Purdue, 6) Rutgers, 7) Indiana. Ohio State is their 8th game. The extra week is 10/12 when they have a bye.
I agree watching the Big12 is very entertaining.
As a Bama fan Hugh Freeze at Auburn is a dangerous combo, he’s one of the better coaches that’s under the radar love him or hate him he knows what he’s doing
Freeze is always dangerous in big games, But he'll drop a game he shouldn't against a nobody as well
Freeze is dangerous unless Jerry Kill is involved. Auburn will lose to Vandy.
ANY game Oklahoma plays in the new SEC will be a SWING GAME! Beating Oklahoma to trash both them and Big 12 is a statement win for every SEC opponent. I count 4 different teams in the comments referencing Oklahoma.
Josh, Nebraska played Ohio State close a couple times during the Frost era - and do you know what a close loss to a great team proves? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!!!!!
If close losses were indicators of success, Scott Frost would have been coach of the year and Nebraska would be punching their ticket to the playoffs
Josh Josh Josh! You’re my dawg bro but as a PSU fan I will help you out OS WILL BEAT THE BRAKES OFF THE HUSKERS 55-10
I think Georgia at Alabama is another swing game. Mostly because its not just another case of can Georgia finally get a win in Tuscaloosa. But also how strong is the Alabama fan base after all those years of being spoiled by Nick Saban. It can determine how much or the fans are true fans or how many are leftover bandwagons.
Nebraska don’t stand a chance against Ohio State
Hopefully, that's the sentiment inside the ohio locker room too, and a much improved Nebraska team catches them looking ahead to penn state.
That 4 game stretch of Iowa, Oregon (road), Nebraska, and PSU (road) is brutal. I don't see ohio making it out of that month without at least 1 loss. It very much could be Nebraska that gives it to them
My nittany lions better be focused at West Virginia
Ohio st and Nebraska isn't a hinge game. A hinge game is a game that the outcome affects the season both ways. Ohio st gonna boatrace them.
Michigan Texas week 2. Most are assuming Michigan will be taking a big step back while Texas gets better. Even though they both lost roughly the same amount of production. Sure, Michigan has a new coach, but also had the deepest team in the country last year and rotated players at almost every position all game with little to no drop in production. Meaning, the "backups" had almost as much playing time as the starters and their experience level is much higher than what allears on paper. As of now, michigan is a 2.5 dog at home.
What's the narrative going to be if michigan wins? My guess is that if it's close, the narrative will remain almost unchanged with the additions of it being an out of conference game that doesn't matter, Texas was on the road early in the season so it doesnt mean anything, and a few other "reasons" their preseason predictions weren't wrong.
But what if michigan wins big or in dominating fashion? That's when things would get real interesting, and we'd get to see some people struggling to somehow keep Texas at the top of the pile while somehow discounting what michigan did.
If Texas wins, small or big, then of course the game not only matters, but is a huge deal. We'll be hearing things like Texas will win the SEC and NC, while michigan is losing 3 or 4 or more, and missing the playoffs.
Don't think UM losing to Texas would tell us much, though.
Michigan has not only a new Qb, but also a totally new OL. Very talented rising seniors, mostly, plus 2 older players, yet they might need a few weeks to gel for Michigan's run first offense to really click.
I expect that line to be great by mid season, but they easily could lose Michigan the Texas game, without that saying much for the B1G championship...
@positroll7870 It tells us that Texas is the real deal and a legit NC competitor. I know most already seem to believe they are that, but I'm not one of them. I think Texas is being overrated, and they're not even as good as they were last year. I also think michigan is being slightly underrated. So if Texas wins on the road, it's a bigger accomplishment than they'll likely get credit for. I guess it won't matter though since they're already being ranked so high, but it should.
If Texas wins, the worst they do is 10-2, but could easily go 11-1 or possibly 12-0 with an upset over Georgia. If they lose, I think the best they do is 9-3, but 8-4 is equally likely. Both scenarios probably keep them out of the playoffs.
Nebraska possibly starting 7-0 just shows how OVERRATED the Big10 is. Nebraska is rebuilding and a fringe top 30 team at best. They should easily win their first 4 conference games.
Syracuse georgia tech
I would throw Florida at Tennessee in there, for whatever reason no matter how bad Florida is Tennessee struggles with them. If that trend continues you’ll see a 3 loss Tennessee that’s left out of the playoff.
What about Clemson vs. Georgia.
First game, Clemson probably has about a 25% chance. If Clemson wins, they have a marquee win and might be a lock for a playoff spot…and it could serve as that weasel Dabo’s statement that he’s still a championship caliber coach. One more good but not great year and I think we can kick him to the curb.
If Georgia loses, we’d have to ask where the bottom is on their season. They penciled in (at worst) this W vs. Clemson, and now are staring at @Texas, @Alabama, @Ole Miss and a potentially very good Tennessee with a loss on the ledger.
That game could decide who’s in and who’s out when we take inventory at the end of the season, so it’s an enormous swing game
@brianritchey7923 see I’m with you man, except for the fact that if you look at roster strength and trajectory, Clemson’s shot is probably much less than 25%. I would LOVE to see them knock off Georgia that early, but I don’t think anyone’s going to catch them slipping until maybe midway through the season. Still a very important game though to set the tone for Georgia’s program- I’m hoping it’s at least a close one
Texas and Missouri HAVE to beat Oklahoma or they lose all credibility. Especially Missouri.
BIG12 is going to be an "entertaining" conference.
If Georgia doesn’t loose a game this regular season with that schedule I’m done watching college football
Feel like Nebraska being favored in most of their games should illustrate how bad the Big10 actually is
Nebraska’s losses were only by one score last season. Typically, teams have it go in their favor the season after. Plus, there’s always a dramatic improvement in year two of Matt Rhule teams (at the collegiate level).
@@creoleman I don't think Nebraska is bad I'm just saying in the sec if a true freshman is starting at qb they ain't winning v many games
With that many teams in a conference teams will occassionally draw easy schedules. This is that. They miss all the top B10 trams beside OSU.
Nebraska makes the playoffs, Ohio State doesn't.
So is ND gonna have weak schedules every year now so they can get in the playoff?
Their schedule this year isnt too bad
Who cares about north dakota
Week one hinge game for two teams that’ll probably both finish 6-6 come on now you’re crazy.
I still think Florida wins it too.
Miami's schedule is laughable. If they go 6-6 Mario is fired. They can sleep walk to 9 wins. I despise Miami btw.
Miami will crush Florida, Nebraska is going to give Ohio St a fight but lose, Clemson is going to surprise Florida St and beat them, Georgia is going to walk all over Ole Miss, and nobody cares about Big12. haha there is my parlay!!
Clemson coming to Tallahassee beating Florida State? I don’t see it.
Miami crush UF in the Swamp week 1? Yeah that's an 11.
@@kendalllodman Clemson brings Revenge.... Bet on it. Tigers PROVING they will be Seminoles convincingly
@@kendalllodman Florida state is not as good as advertised
@@chrishaugh1655 UF is pretty bad and Miami is underrated
Alabama MIGHT beat Georgia, they also MIGHT lose to them, Texas, Auburn, Ole Miss, or Tennessee
Alabama doesn't play Texas or Ole Miss in the regular season bruv.
Really!?