Could Russia take the whole of Ukraine? | Major General Tim Cross
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ก.ย. 2024
- "They haven't said that they're not still trying to take the whole of Ukraine."
Major General Tim Cross questions what will happen when Russians have take the entirety of the Ukrainian region of the Donbas.
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Times Radio: Thank you for sharing these videos. However, can you please stop repeating snippets at the start? It is disconcerting and unnecessary. Thank you.
I thought Russia was running out of weapons, ammo, hardware, etc. I thought Putin was dying, like of a different disease each two weeks. I thought Ukraine was winning EASY thanks to the heroism of The Ghost of Kiev and Ben Stiller. Who could imagine that “evacuation” actually means surrender, “strategic withdrawal” means running for the hills dropping weapons, leaving wounded and equipment after total rout? How are they going to call Ukraine’s unconditional surrender? May be strategic evacuation across the polish border.
🤭😂😂😂🙏
Yes they are advancing successfully to Poland.
Sort of like the Red Army in WWII when the Germans pushed them all the way back but then the allied supplies kicked in and they were able to drive them back. You can't call a wat like this over unless one side seems ready to concede, and neither do so there's no saying where it will lead.
🤭🤭🤭
Would anyone with any sense think Putin would honor any agreement long term? He broke both the Budapest Protocols and Minsk accords.
Yes, glad you are one of very few that know about these prior agreements. However, my hopes are that putin will lose credibility at some point, and it will start a leadership transformation, to hopefully someone who prefers peace than war.
He will sue for peace after he takes Donetsk , rest, rearm, then attack again in the future by telling his brain washed population that the nazis are attacking! You cannot stop a nuke armed country like Russia. They cannot be defeated militarily on a strategic level, because you cant attack assets within their country without risking nuclear war. Only by their own internal politics can they be stopped. Ukraine is ,sadly, finished in the long run. But at least they are savaging Putins` army and costing Russia trillions.
The only one who broke the Minks treaty was the west
@@webersteve1547 explain your thinking?
Minsk protocols? Please....Ukrania send Azov against Lugansk and Donesk....war was the logical conclusion, Nato is happy
War is a matter of logistics. So give Ukraine the capability to hit supply targets far behind the front, even in Russia itself. That will stop the shells and give Ukraine the time to mount counter attacks. So instead of talking about it, give them the huge amounts of artillery the need. Saves a lot of Ukrainian casualties and the rest of Europe a lot of headaches.
quite true and I might add, it also boils down to the Russian economy which is currently under sanction siege from the west . a collapse in oil and gas prices due to worldwide economic recession will result in a collapsed Russian economy resulting in even worse logistics that they arlready have and the Russians not being able to finance the war. and not being able to finance the war results in a more weaker dillapidated Russian army with supply shortages and very poor logistics.
😁
i imagine Russia would just use a small scale nuke on Ukraine if that was the case
More importantly give them more HIMARS and other MLRS. They need precision missiles to stop Russian resupply, especially of ammunition. It should be said that what Zelenskyi asked for from western allies from day 1 has showed itself as being the most effective equipment once it got there. So it is time to ramp up and give more. If Russia wins this war, it will be a turning point for global security. Not in a good way.
@@roscopeco2000 and invite total sanctions on Russia along with war with NATO, and one nuke wont win the war , Russia would have to use multiple nukes to make the Ukranians surrender.
Putin has emptied his bases near the Finnish border and from the far eastern republics for available troops to insert in Ukraine. They can barely hold the part of Ukraine that have occupied and the Russian people better start getting used to the idea of +100k troops being permanently stationed there, of which thousands will come home in coffins; year after year. It's really the Afghanistan-USSR war 2.0.
Source: trust me bro
Stop lying!
@@janestones323 he's not wrong about 2 things. The further you spread out in hostile territory, the more troops you need to station there. The longer you remain, the more likely you are to encounter guerilla attacks within your lines, that's just probability at work. It's going to take years of media and politics to convince people they're happy with their shelled cities
For a country as large as Ukraine it's estimated that they will require way more than 100k. They have to rebuild what they have destroyed also.
its worse than Afghanistan and Chechnya. those the Russians occupied fully, in Ukraine is a real war not a insrugency and they only occupied 25 percent of Ukraine and have trouble holding it or expanding it.
Since the gentleman is so knowledgeable,I would suggest sending major general Cross to the eastern front and have him win this war .
Yes, he can take a Ukraine uniform and he can defend them. I agree with that !
Someone’s feelings are hurt.
@@andrewcrowder4958 Andrew dear , I suggest that those who want to fight to step up and prove their convictions by going there . Are you ready to go there ?
Ukraine are fighting better than Russia, that's for sure.
How 🤔🤣
And you know it because you were there?
🇺🇦 fights valiantly
🇷🇺 fights for an evil dictator
@@Gumiho-34 Better
@@Gumiho-34 By giving up ground very slowly to a much larger force.
They can take it, but they can not control it.
@ Jim Stone - "They can take it, but they can not control it." - That's the problem. You can't take control over cosacks and partisans - you never could.
Good analysis, thank you Times Radio for having Tim Cross on your show.
@Mike Osip pardon me!
War Of Attrition
Great wishful thinking of could have should have and what if’s.
well I cant listening to him, as he said russian making bussines, ist this already nato bussiness ?
“Good analysis:
** Ukrainian will win but now they are losing badly
** Russia will never win but now they are crashing them
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
they are not producing 20,000 rounds a day so how long can they keep this up. Thats 600,000 a month. That has got to be seriously eating into there stock pile. When does someone say, we cannot keep this up.
they don't need to produce 20,000 rounds a day. NATO does that and sends 600,000 a month to Russia.
Well I presume Russia will consolidate after they take the Donbas and stop using so much ammunition. If this takes 2 months, seems reasonable estimate they need about 1.2 million rounds, can they find this?
I can see the Russians buying weapons and ammo from the Chinese and North Koreans,
@@achatcueilleur5746 : That's some strong Russian propaganda right there.
@@MrBobsmith34 I believe Russia can produce that amount . Simple set up factories in China.with their vast resources they can easily produce that.
Zelensky: "Our troops are fiercely fighting the Russians. We are about to besiege Kiev"
Russians are in same place in Donbas as were 3 weeks ago.
Are getting pushed back away from Kherson.
Lost isle of serpents.
Are dying like flies.
No Russians not going to take Kyiv anytime soon.
@@puellamservumaddominum6180 You are lucky to have a clown as president. At least you have fun everyday.
Your comment hasn’t aged very well.
Could you believe it .
Despite having more planes, more war ships and tanks and more missiles.
The only thing is saving Russia is artillery.
My answer is no .
They won’t be able to shell everything in Ukraine.Espacially with Himars.
One major obstacle is the Dnipro river .
That’s why Ukraine is trying du secure the south front with their counter offensives in Kherson.
Artillery is great because it is easily hidden for a short period of time, its mobile, and relative cheap compared to planes and missiles. However, planes and missiles tell the people of Ukraine that nowhere is safe in Ukraine and they can be hit at any moment.
Ukraine is being kept on a drip feed, The west needs to smarten up and provide the tools for Ukraine to win .
Biden and democrats will never win another election with putins infiltration of American politics Putin needs to fall on his face ,if he survives America will be in serious trouble so will europe .
Western politicians need to step up allow ukraine to win and win big This is not a game this is serious .
Once they are out of Eastern cities lining the border, they are shooting 20,000 shells a day of which it looks like 95% are ending up in empty fields. They are fighting a road war among the trees lining the roads. You cannot move 20 divisions on two lane roads.
and despite massive massed artillery barrages the its taking the Russians a long time to break Urkainian defenses in the Donbass, thsi is due to a number of factors: worn out artillery poorly maintained artillery, poor quality soldiers manning the artillery, poorly motivated quality Russian troops vs. highly motivated tough Ukrainian troops. in fortified dug in positions. Yah its telling it takes a lot of bombardments and several tries by Russian infantry to take Ukrainian positions at high casualties. yah and at the rate they are going they wont even come close to shelling everything their artillery and ammo will run out and will have to oursource from the Chinese and North Koreans for new artillery or hey how about raiding their museums for WW2 artillery pieces hahah
@@johnwalsh4857 I saw a Russian train loaded with T62s, which was a tank first used in the early sixties.
If Russia wins this war, it's a shame and embarrassing on the allies that are incapable to push up to the maximum to help Ukrainians who put their lives for their country and others.
Russia takes its lands and territories back
This will be a good statement to the west. Russia is the country🇷🇺💪.
@@general9043, Have you seen the exploding Russian arms depots? I heard that Ukraine blew up 7 of them so far. One of them crated a giant mushroom cloud. It was incredibly impressive. I wonder how many missiles and artillery rounds were in there.
@@general9043 Russia is the country being sanctioned
@@Paul-wo3qh Well now Russia is doing much better than Germany or USA. We suffer from our own sanctions. I would say the west failed.
Thanks Senior Defence analyst on your good and balanced analysis.
Taking Ukraine is one thing you'll need about 2million men to Garrison it and the Losses would be horrendous and Unsustainable by any Stretch of Imagination
Hi from Russia. We not invaders or occupants. We not even a liberators. We are the same. How much guerilla we encounter in Crimea? Zero. And Crimean tatars are real haters, unlike Ukrainians - most of them turn back to Russians just by changing TV channels for couple of weeks. And those who refuse - either die in battle or flee from country.
Given the slow pace at which heavy weapons are being supplied to Ukraine, the possibility of an ultimate Ukranian offensive, meaning outgunning Russia by the ratio of 3 to 1 is turning not into a distant dream but a fantasy.
If all the NATO artillery was supplied to Ukraine, It would be 1:1-1,5:1...
Ukraine can't win this battle.
Opinion from the West is fading quickly, media are preparing the next topic.
Ukraine can't defend itself and prepare counter offensive in the same time.
Manpower is decreasing like snow on sun now from Ukraine. Almost noone on the ground wants to fight against Russo-Ukrainians or Russians for a corrupted governement.
People want to live, want peace. The war is a non sense.
They are starting to roll in, it takes time, no point having the weapons there without trained crews, they can be targeted before being used.
Actually, ukraine already have all it needs since the war start. All the best possible weaponry and trainings, they are better trained and equipped than any nato member, except the us. That is why the russians succumbed to losses on the first couple of weeks. But then the russians adapted to their tactics, then the tide of war reverses. Every kind of weaponry the west supplied, the russians match it with weapons of higher category. Its just hard to admit that they have a better weaponry. And the only sensible option is to surrender to save territories and soldiers. Unless the west would risk nuclear war.
@@dilasgrau6433 they are not better trained or equipped than the majority of nato🤦🏽♂️ Otherwise they wouldn’t be having weapons donated to them that they don’t possess.
@@dimwitsixtytwelve Actually, yes. Weapons are needed to replace losses. According to a senior Ukrainian officer, they have lost their pre-war heavy weaponry.
It will only happen if we let them
We cant have this kind of russians around anylonger.
What needs to be done needs to be done
Are you suggesting nuclear war. Russia has far more nuclear weapons then the rest of the world combined.
Then go do it, big man.
Well, Ukraine is calling you. Get up from your sofa and volunteer as cannon fodder. You will be highly welcomed.
God bless the Russian troops and pray they bring the war criminal Zelensky to justice! 🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇸
@@bass7100 ok, Ivan. I hope Putin is paying you to post such utter drivel
By the way, I hope everyone has watched Prof John J Mearsheimer's lecture/talk in 2015 about how the Ukraine was being 'led down the primrose path' to destruction by the warmongers in Washington. How right he was.
So what was Ukraine supposed to do John? Surrender immediately and let Putin's Russia (and it is Putin's Russia!!) take their country over?
Saw it your spot on John. Listen to colonel Douglas macgregor too
The EU and the U.S. needs to send 5X the artillery and MLRS with the rounds to support those weapons.
When will that happen???
That's easy for you to say. You are not paying for the equipment. The American taxpayers are paying for it. The Americans are beginning to realize that although they may want to support Ukraine some, they want to support themselves during these times of high inflation. With the cost of food, gas, electricity and ordinary items, the money could be better used supporting its own citizens. Let the EU fund the war with Ukraine if they want. Surely, they don't mind paying much higher prices for food, oil and gas.
Then they will find the Ukrainians don't have the troops, the system integration or expertise to use them.
So NATO is knowingly killing the Ukrainians to support its expansionist ambitions.
it will happen when all the big arms producers ramp up production, because no country has unlimited stocks of ammunition and other stuff, Biden and Macron have already signed decrees to move the industry to "war time " production, Germany?who knows, the UK? you tell me
@@erniebell1858 the US was quite happy to waste $300 million a day in Afghanistan. Ukraine is peanuts to bring a real threat to its knees
As an EU citizen I'd like to see this happening. At the same we need to resupply our militaries too, to replace the aid given out. I hope the governments find quickly where to take the money from.
Never ending interviews of retired ex military, asking same old questions and getting same old answers, overly repetitive
Yet here you are watching them❓🙄
@@nigelbradshaw8266 looking for new perspectives, but it isn't happening
Like a old tape recorder
@@nigelbradshaw8266 is that acrime that’s democracy
If you fight a defensive war, then the question of defeat becomes a 'When' instead of an 'if'.
I doubt Russia can capture Ukraine as a whole. With 45 million inhabitants, Ukraine is quite a big country and Russia simply does not have the military capacity to take it all. However, up to 60% of Ukraine could permanently go to Russia. Ukraine, as we knew it from 1991 to 2022, is done.
If they cause the Kiev regime army to collapse they can. And they're doing a good job at trying to achieve that.
45 mln minus those in Ukraine who are for Russia, minus those who fled country. I read recently that estimated around 7 mln have fled. Russia's population is 145 mln which is 3.5 times more than in Ukraine.
Also do not forget, as Putin said, Russia haven't even started fighting and I can assure you that his words are true.
Ukraine does not have 45 million inhabitants. They once did, if you count the 5 million people that were Ukrainian citizens but were working full time in Europe. So pre-war they had 40 million. Now 5 million have gone to Europe, almost all of the teenagers and young college educated women. 35 million. 4 million to Russia. 31 million. And another 4 million men hiding in the villages and apartments of Ukraine so they won't get drafted and have to fight (of course this also means they can't work). Of the remaining 27 million, the average age is 55 years old, and that is conservative. A nation of old women is not viable.
@@Sant2409 keep in mind that a very large portion of Ukrainians are either Russian or pro-Russian
If donbas region will be under Russian control and if Russia takes Odessa oblast the economy of Ukraine will fall so low because the most industrial places in Ukraine is donbas and zaparogia regions and with cutoff Ukraine from black sea like they do in azov sea Ukraine will can't export grains and it will be like Afghanistan or Somalia so the Ukrainian people will go against their government and that's what Russia wants
Short answer: no
Yes, they can, if the Ukrainian resistance collapses. And because war is unpredictable, this could happen at any time in the next months or years. Russia has the endurance to turn most of Ukraine into rubble, and at some point there won't be much left for Ukrainians to live in or resist from. Their leadership might get taken out or fail out of some other reason. It's not so simple as saying Russia can't win this.
Exactly. What the Russians are demonstrating right now is tons of time, men and ammo to take minor towns. Kyiv would be a monster task for them.
@@jonnygreen2602 u see they've taken 25% of ukraine and still believe that garbage
@@hep8008
Russia: we can take Kyiv
Reality: failed to take Kyiv
😢 😭 😿 😢 waaahhhhhhh poor Rascists
The commentator says that “you need a 3 to 1 advantage to go on the offensive”, Ukraine has 700,000 troops, Russia has 200,000, by his own calculation Ukraine should be on the offensive right now taking back territory but they’re not, in fact they’re losing more every day, this is why commentators like this lose all credibility, interview someone that knows what they’re talking about
They actually have up to 1 million according to Zelensky, and getting hammered.
The sad thing about your comment is it shows you didn't bother listen to what he said. A 3 to 1 advantage is needed for fully equipped and trained troops. He then said that Ukraine is not in that position right now, but maybe at the end of this year.
Perhaps if you stopped trying to dazzle us with your non-existent military expertise, you'd stop making a prat of yourself.
@@achosenman9376 If you believe Ukraine will have anything that resembles a country by the end of the year…I have a bridge to sell you
Watch what happens when they drop a bomb on the Russian gains lol they think they are Winning up until they feel the sudden explosion lol one thing is bullying your way to a country that doesn’t defend itself (“Afghanistan “) another is to go directly into a wolves mouth and say I’m not lunch lol Putin has not seen the surprise that awaits him ( BOOM!)
If Russia can jack-slap Hilter in WWII, nobody has a chance. I guess we didn't learn from Russia's history yet.
Russia needed American weapons to defeat the Germans- your point would be?
Germany kicked Russia's teeth in during WW1 lol.
Without lend lease aid brought by the western Allies and the second front that divided the German army on multiple fronts. They were fighting in Mediterranean, and western Europe, and a wide eastern front. It might be looking quite different if the Germans and their allies would just had to fight the Russians/ Sowjets. And the Sowjet army consited also out of armies / raised in countries that now are not part of Russia, including Ukranian.
Ukraine has been using almost its entire military strength in men and equipment from the beginning, giving up ground and taking heavy casualties. Russia is not using its entire army in Ukraine and is using about 20% of its total potential military power in men and equipment. Ukraine isn't going to turn this around they never had a chance.
That is a fallacy, however. 🇷🇺 cannot bring to bear much more of its military capability on this front. They have a large country to defend, limited logistical capability political challenges associated with full mobilisation.
@@elysiumfields exactly, and after a certain point, Putin can't conceal the losses from the Russian people.
Good analysis from Tim Cross
Ask Germans: how was it figting Russians in winter, snow, ice while being attacked 24/7/365.
The Russians lost more troops and equipment than the Germany did. America gave a lot of aid to Russia
IN MY OPINION: Ukraine has done very well at fortifying Donbass region in the last 8 years. HOWEVER, As everyone knows Russia is waging a war of attrition most of Ukraine's forces is obviously in the Donbass. FAR AWAY from Nato countries that border Ukraine such as Romania and Poland which are supplying Ukraine with their weapons/supplies. So I just figured another reason why the Russians don't mind going slow is because the farther west they push Ukrainian army the easier it will be on their logistics. Right now the supply lines to the front lines of the Donbass is very stretched meanwhile Russia targets their logistics and engages Ukraine troops that're not supplied well enough for engagement leading to heavy casualties for UA. Harsh situation for Ukraine. I don't think all of Ukraine will be taken but what one can certainly say is negotiations won't be in their favor UNLESS an intervention takes place which wouldn't be a good idea either.
It takes a lot of time to destroy those entrenched forces. It's getting easier. It was far easier taking Severodonetsk and Lisichansk than it was taking Rubezhnoye and Popasnaya earlier on. In fact, the collapse at Lisichansk should alarm the pro-Kiev crowd.
@@lordhighexecutioner Russia just needs to keep harassing logistics if they can with saboteur groups and missiles. Ukraine has stretched supply lines lots of NATO supply coming through Poland and I think Romania too but it's time sensitive for Ukraine. Did you watch ABC foreign mercenary from Ukraine video? He even says they had no ammo and low supplies Russian forces could've wiped his squad out... If many units are like this which seems to be the case the toll will be more devastating than what we see now.
War Of Attrition Ukraine is Commiting Suicide
I think they are just letting us hang in our own noose.(economically) if they weren't they'd involve at least 60 or 70% of their ground forces rather than 20 or 25%.
Another reason to move slowly is the Syrian strategy. Attack, negotiate, let dissidents leave, even ship them out in buses, let pro Assad peoples stay, rinse and repeat. That way theirs only friendly peoples left in your occupation zones. They learned well from their experiences as well as our experiences in the Middle East. A large, fast invasion means the conflict will accelerate and accelerate even after the full blown invasion succeeded long ago. And is therefore a doomed operation.
@@lanceb7288 well said I agree.
This didn’t age well. It didn’t take “a couple of months” to occupy Donetsk oblast. They’ll NEVER occupy all of Donetsk.
If Ukraine had full military assistance they could stop the Russians at the very least from progressing further into the country.
BS
I am not an expert but it will take 2 weeks not 2 months
Dreams of grandeur.
I got a good laugh.
Ukraine will get all of its land back.
♥️🇺🇦🏆💪
when? probably never, I'm guessing
Not sure , but the whole country, I seriously doubt it.
You laugh at your own ignorance
@@yvesdi is that from a movie that Ben Steeler and that clown dreamed up?
The country formally known as Ukraine does not exist anymore. It has been militarily defeated, conquered and divided.
The sooner the reality is recognized and accepted the better it will be for what Russia will leave unconquered.
Exactly what Americans did in Raqqa and Mosul. As for whether they will take all of Ukraine? Given that the West have thrown all they had at Russia (e.g. SWIFT, oil\gas sanctions), there is no longer any dissuasive measures left except a world war.
The war which the sh♤thole known as russia will lose. Bring it. I cannot wait for US tanks doing THUNDER RUNS in Red Square.
The sh♤thole known as russia would do well to remember the $11 Billion 1940s dollars that were provided during the Great Patriotic War. Stalin himself acknowledged that the CCCP would have lost the war, if it were not for American Lend Lease. Khrushchev also acknowledged this in his memoirs. $11 Billion in 1940 is over $300 Billion today. This type of assistance will be provided to Ukraine, forever. The sh♤thole cannot possibly keep up with this level of armaments.
So this is the point in the conversation that the sh♤thole known as russia threatens to use nuclear weapons. Let me remind the sh♤thole known as russia that the US maintains 14 Ohio Class submarines, just ONE leg of our nuclear deterent. Each carries 24 Trident II-D5 missiles. Each missile carries 14 independently targetable warheads (MIRV). Each warhead is selectable for up to 475,000 tons of effective yield. So 14×24×14=4704 warheads. For reference Hiroshima was 13,000 tons of effective yield.
The sh♤thole known as russia should be well aware of US Strategic Doctrine. Launch on Warning. If we see a russian launch of nuclear weapons, we launch everything, before the first russian warhead detonates. russia go boom.
And out stuff works Dmitry. We didn't spend our military funds on Shoigu's dacha or Gerasimov's hookers.
Remember when they announced sanctions - the swift, reserve freeze whatnot? It was when Russian officially recognised DNR and LNR as independent. West played its trump card. Russia had nothing left to lose so it moved onto invasion. Since then, Russia withstood and outmaneuvered all the economic moves intended to harm its economy. Simply impressive
@@valkyrie9553 Sanctions are a long term instrument, designed to take the sh♤thole known as russia's military out of competition on the world stage, forever.
Without access to modern tooling, machinery or chips and virtually zero native industrial capacity to produce them now, the sh♤thole's military industrial complex can manufacture just about F all. And so it will grind to a halt.
Who cares if the sh♤thole known as russia won't supply gas to European Union. Very soon indeed, the EU won't be buying. Maybe the sh♤thole can sell it at a discount to India or China, as over supply and low demand for sh♤thole gas will depress prices.
sanctions are meant for the long term, means from this point until centuries later russia will still be poor or might even go extinct as a country due to poverty/bankrapcy etc.
@@helioshyperion8077 predictions in centuries is a joke. We can’t even predict 10 years. Russia will recover economically because hydrocarbons won’t peak till 2055. So they have another 35 years of increased revenue.
Except that to move to take the rest of Donbass, they are limited to tree lined roads separated by vast open fields. So they have to move forward with no urban centers any more to hide in just road trees. This will be very costly.
Urban fighting favors defenders, especially defenders who are outmatched in heavy equipment, like Ukraine.
Goes both ways it'll end in a stalemate and be very destructive for both. In a way they will "de-nazify" ukraine but at such a high cost to their own country. We will see in the future if the shale oil in donbas will be enough to recover their economy and if Ukraine without the east will do well.
@@noelsoong777, It’s Ukraine who is denazifying Russia.
@@noelsoong777 I doubt Russia has any amor left to do an amored push past Donbass and in a month Ukraine will be having more HIRMARS systems, any russian mass troop concentrations will become easy pickings for that system
@@noelsoong777 How can they DE-NAZIFY the Ukraine, when most of the NAZIs are in Russia?
Thank you Major General!
Time to bog Russia down into Afghanistan Part 2: an asymmetrical, grinding, war!
Think of the insurgency against Russia/Soviet Union in Afghanistan during the 1980s!
Glory to Ukraine!
💪🏼💪🏼💪🏼
🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
I dont think its afghanistan more like the Nazis in the USSR during WW2, bog them down like that with the Russians being the nazis in Ukraine.
Agree!👍👍👍
While it is true that the West does not have an inexhaustible supply of military equipment, our ability to produce more is vastly superior to that of Russia. The Russian economy is roughly the size of the American state of Texas, there is no reason in the world that the West shouldn't be able to bury them in equipment if that is what we really want to do.
Fun fact. The Russian economy is now about the size of Ohio.
The west would win in Ukraine but we'd have difficulty winning in Russia
@@loveandmoney economy?
Russia has enough nukes to determine wether you live or die.
China is by far the largest manufacturing economy in the world and the largest producer of steel, by far. They can easily provide the Russian with thousands of heavy guns and millions of shells.
Top 10 Steel-Producing Countries in the World - million tons (Mt) in 2021:
China - 1,032.8.
India - 118.1.
Japan - 96.3.
United States - 86.0.
Russia - 76.0 (estimated)
South Korea - 70.6.
Turkey - 40.4.
Germany - 40.1.
Since the US don't have to provide troops, US can fight Putin for 40 years, long after he's dead.
If a conservative estimate of Russian expenditure of shells is 100,000 per-week, then we’re discussing millions of rounds. What is the estimate of Russian inventory and replacement rate. My fear is Russia is in wartime production due to Syria and The West is still in peacetime mode. There’s also the issue of using many different type of systems that require specific training and specific shells., which creates a logistical nightmare. NATOs strategy had always been to combat Russia’s numerical vs The West’s technological superiority. It seems for now that was a faulty strategic assumption.
Lie4052 -- NATO members have standardized their ammo -- going way back -- because of logistics.
The 'training' pitch is just a political whitewash. Everything from HIMARS on over is EASIER to use than ever.
Example: three centuries ago, a musket required over forty-steps to reload. Today, one throws in a clip.
This type of advance occurs across the board in EVERY weapon system.
HIMARS uses touch screens to aim and fire -- from the cab. It's reloaded by the 'clip' -- ie pod.
Caesar and the others use tiny crews. Sophistication is only required by the repair crews -- not the warrior crews.
As I type, the UA is gutting Putin's ammo dumps... spectacularly so.
The USA is spooling up its idled ammo plants. These are enormous -- and the US has dozens. Their shells must travel by ship.
Russia needs trains to operate at that capacity and there is three train routes from Russia into Ukraine. Two of those can still be hit by Ukrainian drones or artillery. The third rail line is on the Crimean bridge.
The have been reports of as many as 60,000 shells per day being expended by Russia, no one really knows for sure. They waste the vast majority of them any way, but some do hit targets. Some analysts have indicated what amounts to an arsenal of 20 million 152mm artillery shells in Russia (pre invasion). Allowing for losses and expended shells it could be that Russia have burnt through half their inventory, but pure conjecture admittedly.
@@orlock20 Russia so far hasn’t destroyed all communication means in Ukraine. Anything extreme Ukraine does Russia will destroy Ukraine’s all railway links to Poland and destroy their airfields making Ukraine unable to receive even any other help
Russia did not go into “wartime production” due to Syria lol. That’s like saying the U.S went into “wartime production” for Afghanistan, which we didn’t. They’re barely doing it for this war.
Don't you just love it when they don't answer the question in their own description?
A good report and update.
Taking "real estate" and holding "real estate" are two different things that Russia is incapable of doing! In their "taken cities" they are losing 15-20 soldiers every night due to Ukrainian Partisan fighting!
Sabotage, derailment of trains, deflating tires, shooting soldiers from the reargard...explosives. The war will spread...
Almost all people who support Ukraine leave as the Russians move in. And the Ukrainian army tries to get everyone to leave so they can shell more indiscriminately than they do. And they consider those that stay separatists and don't care if they destroy their homes.
You can't have an insurgency is there are almost no Ukrainians there.
You evaluation is in line with the rest of the fantasy evaluations posted here.
The more Ukraine in the hands of the US is pushed to confront Russia - the more risk it faces to get completely eradicated . The US wants Russia to hold Kyiv too- they are doing everything to achieve that end
After the 2014 revolution (perceived as a coup by at least 30 percent of the population) the only way forward for Ukraine would have been federalization on the Canadian or German model. The two eastern oblasts would have become like Quebec, and there would have been an acceptance of Ukraine's binational/bilingual nature. None of that happened. The Kyiv authorities doubled down and continued their centralizing, "unifying" efforts while also further stigmatizing Russian language use and the ethnic Russian population. It was obvious to anyone with a brain that such policies would end in tears, perhaps even culminating in the breakup of Ukraine - which indeed is now a possibility in light of Russia's intervention.
That was the minsk agreement which Ukraine violated and tried to mobilise an army to invade the republics.
It is obvious to anyone with a brain that everything you said is false, because Russians and Russian-speakers live not only in the east, but for some reason these regions do not try to escape from Ukraine.
The situation is actually quite serious. Currently Russia are winning due to sheer firepower. Ukraine needs a lot more weapons at a faster rate. It is good that some are in training but Ukraine probably dont have a year to get ready. Russia is breaking them down bit by bit.
The situation has aways been serious.. however Russia can also be bled dry trying to push forward as well. This war is far from over. But I don't know what you call "winning". I think the failed to win right from the start because of the northern collapse of their offensive. I think the only thing that went well for them was the capture of kherson during the early stages of the war. everything has been a fairly nasty struggle.
But Russia is also wearing itself down. I doubt it can maintain attacks of this intensity without going into a total war economy with full mobilisation
@@DS9TREK It depends on what kind of battle they are fighting there tbh, if the arty duel continues the russian won't be as worn down sadly. A recent report from vicenews shown that ukrainian soldier rarely seen any russian soldier before retreating from a position, this is bad because it means the russian get to conserve their manpower. As for the russian economy they are still doing pretty well atm, there are no major shortages yet if we go by some russian vlogger.
@@erwinvalken154 not true
@@righthandstep5 Which part isnt true? Can u be more specific so we can have a constructive debate?
Cross is wrong about one thing: the USA does have no end of weapons and ammo to send. (Not so the Europeans.)
It's political will that's touchy. Biden is the boy that bailed on Kabul.
Trump had nothing to do with it, at all? LOL.
Bunkerboy bone spurs made the exit deal with the Taliban, Biden delayed the exit by several months.
@@wessexdruid7598 Biden over-ruled his SecDef and the Pentagon.
That's WHY the abandonment was so chaotic... very un-military.
By why would anyone take a critique from an English pagan ?
LOL.
BTW, Trump tried to get out of Syria -- the US has as many guys there as Afghanistan. The Press never ever brought that up. The Pentagon and State Department were against getting out of Syria -- and simply LIED to Trump -- straight through his administration. Only at the end, days in front of the election (2020) did a die hard Democrat come public with how he'd absolutely F'd Trump -- lied to keep 2,500 troops in Syria.
THIS is what Trump was talking about: the Deep State.
Congress never authorized ANYTHING WRT to Syria -- just Iraq and Afghanistan. So, thank you 0bama. JV team, indeed.
@@mattdonna9677 So... Then Biden poisoned the well?
The fact remains that the Pentagon was ALWAYS against withdrawal. It was hardly alone. MANY a career had been made blowing money in Afghanistan -- mission creep is the term.
The Pentagon never took Trump's dead line seriously. If it had, then the Pentagon would HAVE TO HAVE begun pulling the boys out even before Trump left office.
The Pentagon avoided pulling out of Syria, too. It had as many guys in Syria as it did in Afghanistan.
Folks, these deployments become 'self-licking ice cream cones.' The Deep State feeds on them.
The Federal budget is glutted with self-licking ice cream cones. Stuff that started out as a Grand Idea devolves into just a money hustle.
@@davidhimmelsbach557 You clearly follow Trump's alternate reality. It's almost as if his plan and his timings to leave Afghanistan weren't in place when Biden came to power.
Trump didn't drain any swamps because he WAS the swamp. He has done permanent damage to your Republic.
Shouldn't the Talking Heads have a Basic understanding of the situation before asking questions?
I disagree with him regarding an offensive next year, watch the South around Kherson it's hard to believe that a huge chunk of the worlds nations cannot match the supply if Russia. Its a bit worrying as doesn't that mean NATO wouldn't be able to fight a long war against Russia if it had to.
Ukraine is just next to Russia, and Europe will be stagnant if this war continue next year,
Russia doesn’t have any supply, it has huge stockpiles from the USSR era.
@@lifessogood2995 everything is going that way, such a shame all because of one misinformed paranoid old man.
@@lani6647 like the huge stockpile of tanks, it's how many work. I'm pretty sure the supply isn't endless.
It's like Putler's cowered them (OTAN) (sic) et al so they're not able to think straight, and they should be wanting very much to finish this Russian problem sooner, much sooner than sort of later?
20,000 artillery rounds per day? I heard 50,000 and 100,000.
Anyway, at this rate, when will Russia run out?
Maybe few years but not soon. They get ammunition from other country or mass produce them at Homeland.
its already running out.
its using belarusian stockpiles now.
bad sign
@@dannyxv7278, How exactly are they mass producing them? I watched a TH-cam video showing how to the United States manufactured artillery rounds during WW2, and it’s an awful lot of work. Today we would automate this process so the majority of the work is done without involving human labor.
The problem is that Russia can’t make computer chips, and because of sanctions, they can’t buy them either. There are only 140 million Russia and they have to produce food and other things to keep the country afloat, while the west can build automated factories to mass produce artillery and other weaponry with a minimum of human involvement.
@@cedriceric9730, They’re also using ant ship missiles against land based targets. Also a bad sign.
Most of their artillery used in Ukraine dates back to the Soviet era, they certainly have enough ammunition stocks for a world war!
And the russian arms industry is still functioning
And don't forget that, by seizing Ukraine and other areas, Russia controls more resources & wealth. Ukraine is one of the world's major foodstuffs "bread baskets." The Soviet Union also built it's biggest ships in Ukraine, not in Russia. Case in point was the cruiser MOSKVA,... Ukrainian-built. Ukraine also designs and manufactures high quality weaponry that, in Soviet times, strengthened the USSR's armed forces. And Ukraine's access to the Black Sea remains a focus of Russia's jealousy, just as it was when Russian Empress Catharine the Great first drove Russia to its shores. Failure to get Ukraine will further impoverish the Russian (i.e., Putin's) treasury.
All Ukrainian built ships are junk Mosokova and Knuznestsov
Stop your nonsense! Ukraine designed, manufactured, built...Facepalm. USSR did! USSR! What Ukraine is capable of we have seen in last 30 years since they got independence: literally capable to built nothing! Capable only to sell and destroy everything they got in Soviet Union: factories, plants, arms etc.
Russia did not want to start a war. Ukraine didnt,same the Eu. This is all about the wonderful usa. beautiful country!!!
No negotiation, otherwise the orcs have the time for possibly years to do it all again.
wow, how stupido r u ?
That was the tactic. The Minsk agreement was only meant to give Ukraine chance to build an army.
Ukraine had eight years to fortify positions around Luhansk and Donetsk, due to the separatists there, and yet they still got rolled in a few weeks. But then you find out Russian artillery is firing 20,000 shells a day. I bet some armies don't use that much in training in a year.
This almost came close to stating the obvious, Ukraine will never be in a position to mount an offensive operation. They are loosing their best troops in these stand the found & fight battles, while Russia have air superiority and air defences. They will never allow Ukraine to build enough forces to go on the offensive!
@@delboyg01 So how come Ukraine pushed the Russians back from Kyiv and Kharkiv if they can't mount any offensive action?
@@twentytwo4419 Because the Ukrainians really never pushed back the Russian from Kyiv and Kharkiv(it was just propaganda), the Russians left the areas by themselves, ¿Why? a question for the Russians, maybe they not had the manpower to fight the way they want on multiple fronts at the same time, or who knows really why?
@@twentytwo4419- Answered for me! You shouldn't believe the propaganda our media is feeding us, all the stories on our news is coming direct from the Ukraine authorities with zero vetting or independent verification.
Who knows why Russia didn't attack Kiev, what we do know is that the force was never enough to hold such a large city even if they did overwhelm it.
But since then, there have been zero Ukrainian advances, only stand and fight defence, and loosing every single time. Now they are calling up conscripts up to 60 years old, even trying to get refugees deported for Europe so they can be fed into the battles.
There is no way that they can rebuild the army which was the largest and best NATO trained in Europe!
@@stalinfontana If memory serves me correctly, the Russians pulled back from Kiev as a concession for the peace talks happening at the time. The real question is why they haven't returned since the peace talks stalled. Are they scared because of how it went last time they were there? Even if it wasn't as bad as some claim it was, it definitely was great. They have since been striking it at will using long range missiles though even as far west as Lviv. So maybe there is just no reason yet to come back. Not saying they should come back either. What's really worrying now is whether Kyiv will exist in case of a strike on Kerch.
They will negotiate when they get donesk, then they will settle and in a couple months advance again, like in Crimeia.
There was somebody from Russia side rhat maybe in two years Ukraine is gone (dysfunctional, uninhabited etc) Ukraine took a very blatant offense to its heritage even from 2014 doing atrocities in Donbass. Ukraine for sure never expect that 2 leaders of Donbass will ran to Moscow to be recognized and seriously seek help to stop what Ukraine government had been doing to them. Though living independently as a nation, Ukraine forget and rebelled and turned away too much to its heritage to the point that theh were kikking Donbass people and now at war against Russia in favor for USA and the west wherein it shouldnt be. Ukraine must look back and remember who is the iconic figure symbol that is common ro them 3 (Russia, Ukraine, Belarus) that alone has somehow have a heritage links that Ukraine is rebelliously fighting, Prince Vladimir counted Kyiv as spiritual heart of Russia, and Russia itself as political heart of Russia. Such complexity in modern days people camnot just say for Russia to leave No western country or anyone of us outsider can ever say such to countries that by heritage in thenpast intelinks at each other, rather us people, USA amd west shouldnt innterfere by weapons but interfere to mediate dor cessation of the conflict. And that Zelensky must go out where he is and look at the iconic monument and remember who he is amd that in his time how the 2 or 3 are linked with each other. Zelensky must go to Moscow to make at peace with Russia. Or else destrucrion will jjst fall upon them especially the more as Ukraine is doing an accomplice for USA and wwst already to its as a war against Russia at its own expense usingnits ground in desteuction, deaths, and debts as weapons supplied to them arent even free.
The West is deep in the process of discarding its history and culture - they of course could care even less about Russian history.
We have to remember that UKR positions in the East were prepared over the period of 8 years and they have been largely overrun and now LNR/DPR are holding them instead. I cannot see how UKR can re-take them by force. Also a large proportion of UKR NATO-trained troops have been taken out either dead or injured and a lot of the current fighting force are conscripts. I wouldn’t be surprised if UKR army folds quicker than 2 months and what will remain is partisan war. This will not go well if it extends into winter.
UK is training10,000 Ukrainian troops now!
@@CH1LDOFTHEMOON I heard... Compare 4 months of training for 10k soldiers to 10k (conservatively) soldiers trained every year for 8 years... These 80K (conservatively) are now mostly out of combat whilst defending well dug-in positions. Now UKR is talking about a counter-offensive into well dug-in positions. These 10k will last a couple of weeks.
@@mmazourov There's no compare. This is training involving western weapon systems. 4 month will do. For mastering the weapon systems that is. UKR will be careful sacrifying this personal. Another 10k will follow for training. I think the odds are UKR can slowly take back territory in fall or maybe start 2023. Whatever happens I do hope this war will end at the negotiating table. The problem with UKR winning is the sharp line between nato and russia. The same for Russia. Putin knows it. Zelensky knows it ( and admitted that he does not see UKR as part of NATO in March i believe ) . There's no good ending otherwise in the long term.
@@hanslepoeter5167 time will tell, but I think that further investment in the war will just be money down the toilet for Europe and all the while sanctions on gas and oil will bankrupt the people and industry, particularly in the EU 4 + UK
@@mmazourov The nature of war is money down the toilet. The EU and UK are relatively rich and can probably maintain relative high standards. Russia has not and cannot. History tells us that's not a decisive factor. I hope for the best for all.
Many Russian villages have lost an entire generation of young men being killed in Ukraine. The lasting implications are not good for Russian society as a whole. Not that they care about this right now, of course.
The US and UK young men will also go in heaven in coming wars
@@PozorUkraine You have completely missed the point.
@@simonjones3863 how many did the USA lose in Vietnam
The real problem is Putler, take him out and then things might change !
Problem?Zelensky the runt.
Just remember the LPR will celebrate their Independence day July 3rd. Happy 4th of July America.
The best ever interview on Ukraine that I have heard. It is a credit to both parties. I love Ukraine.
Without air power no major offensive can happen
Russia says that will be a declaration of war if anyone supplies offensive weapons Ukraine is just delaying the inedible.. it’s a shame that they don’t realize they’re being used as puppets
Absolutely right.
Absolutely, unfortunately the same is true for Ukrainian counteroffensives though.
Yeah which is why most ukrainian counteroffensive got bogged down pretty quickly, their air force is pretty much nonexistent
Had air power been used right in beginning while Putin was trying to get all his soldiers and equipment into Ukraine, sat in huge convoys. It would have been all over before it even began. The whole lot were sitting ducks. I would like to see them try that one with a Nato country 🤭
We don’t know if it’s like the outbreak of WW1 until after the event, and by that time it’s too late, so there’s no room to be complacent about the risk of escalation
@Key Wei there were 8 years between the invasion of Crimea and the invasion of Ukraine. This is difficult to characterise as a rush to war. I am not buying the western narrative that Putin wants further wars. He seems quite reluctant, if we take the Russia narrative or encirclement seriously. We don’t need to agree with the perspective to understand it
nah they couldn't take kharkiv or kyiv
They can destroy both.
Not from the range they are kept at. And 750 billion $ have already been advocated to rebuild afterwards. Russia can’t rebuild their army once annihilated.
@@Andreas-gh6is If NATO send ammunition.
@@Nobleheart111 NATO will give a hand.
@@Andreas-gh6is they can try highly doubt that. the moment the Russians use nukes, they are kaput total sanctions. and near war with NATO.
I like these Brits!
From their island with the new independence from EU they do their job again in a determined way. The UK is definitely the most important partner of Ukraine in Europe! Cheers!
A German in Ukraine.
🤣🤣I suggest you read:
"The atrocities of the british empire "
@@user1qaz2wsx3edc and I suggest you look at what is happening TODAY (or even within living memory) instead of revisiting things that happened generations ago (& which were no worse than anything else going on in the world at the time).
@@user1qaz2wsx3edc Do not know this one. What i know is whenever i meet a nice brit somewhere he is astonishingly well educated and has a position. Has a lot to do with british history either.
Maybe the onks are 10 generations behind the modern curve. Stuck in the mud of the mid ages. Warfare style looks like this.
@@heikowohr951 ohh yeah so well disguised the westerners are. And you as a German should cover yourself with your ears.
@@user1qaz2wsx3edc you are right my family were once slaves in the British empire & we are only talking about my grandads grandad. But tbf it is not today's generation who committed those crimes but they have no doubt benefitted.
The only things we have an inexhaustible supply of are liars, schemers, deception and evil intent.
Yes. But remember what Heraclitus said. (We have equipoise through opposing forces).
Ukraine have mobilized 800k, since 24th of February. Back then Ukraine had 230k on the frontline already. Even with 50k losses its still in good shape, in the manpower sector. Yes the mobilized troops is less trained than the regular army. But many have recent war experience. As 800k is also the number of troops that have served on the frontline, since 2014.
Russia had a 180k army at the beginning of this, with "official" chechen numbers of 70k. That was estimated to be around 10k chechens. Pluss a second or maybe even a third limited mobilization of conscripts signing to be 'professional' soldiers, raising the age bar to 60y, taking from putins own army(the national guard) and using alot of the ukranian separatist. That they came to 'protect' on the frontline as Canon food er, to keep 'real' russians casualties low. The separatist regions had a army of 40k pre invasion, and mobilized for war already back in December 2021. Wich is estimated to be around 100k, today. So if we take Ukraine claimed 36k killed russians. Also russia is in a decent shape.
Anyway my point is that russia will not be able to conquer whole of Ukraine, unless they mobilize the entire russia. With another 400-600k troops, and those need to stay in Ukraine for many many years to keep control.
But it all depends on western support and Ukraines will to fight.
Russian standing army is 950k strong. if they were to mobilize and limit the age to 60 then they'll have in excess of 40 million men from a population of 150m. Ukraine stands no chance if this were to move from being a special military operation to a full blown war. that's when probably the message will sink in Washington. STOP POKING THE BEAR
@@felipe-vibor... A truth with modification.
Their profesional army is the one in Ukraine. About 200k 'profesional' soldiers.
That 900k figure is conscripts and border guards that they need to protect their BORDER and bases around Russia. It's not 900k that they can throw in Ukraine all of a sudden. If Russia mobilize their country can mobilize about 3.5 million. That need to be taken out of russian business, industry, economical sectors. That's already a huge impact that the russian society need to replace, and support on the battlefield. They also need to equip those 3.5 million.
And a proper mobilization, takes about 6 months. A rushed crisis mobilization about 3 months. I'm sure russia will cut any corner they can, and let the war teach them as they already have done.
I'm sure in a total war russia cud find 40 million. But they cant equip or support them. Without running russia into the ground.
And will the russian people let putin do all of this..
In Lisichansk alone, over 5400 of Ukraine's best soldiers / mercs were eliminated, with over 2000 of those KIA.
Their soldiers have confirmed up to 80% lost and it's only getting worse for them. Clownskyy has sunk to sending children for training in the UK.
@@badhombre4942 Evidence please, Russia once said they shot down 1,000 TB2's, the company that makes them only made about 300. They have shot down more planes than Ukraine ever had, including ones given to them. I could never anything from Russia
The more Ukraine in the hands of the US is pushed to confront Russia - the more risk it faces to get completely eradicated
In the first place, why would Putin think of capturing the entire Ukraine ? I would just focus my attention and take the East, since that’s where all the resources and industrial sites are. Kiev is just administration, taking it would be nothing of value. Just a waste of time and resources.
Then why attack it in the first place?
@@richardmoloney689 I think it was more of a diversion. Get bulk of the Ukrainian forces focused on the capital, which in turn leaves the eastern wide open. Then double back and attack the Donbas region
May God bless Ukraine as it fights for a just peace.
God doesn't bless nazi's.
It is not fighting for a just peace. It is fighting for the expansionist ambitions of NATO.
Ukrainians die for this, and Ukraine is losing / will lose. NATO may be happy with the result, but they are just savage gangsters, that do not represent the people of Europe or the USA.
Of course the media has trained you well to support your masters.
Praying for the most corrupt country in Europe that’s rich.
One of the most intelligent explanations of the war in Ukraine. He didn’t go into who was winning and didn’t pick a side. Not the usual anti Russian Times Radio propaganda.
i would say doing that aswell as hittig russia supply lines and even going guerrilla to do that would be effective
Insurgency is the way to go, keep hitting specific targets that the Russians need. Small groups of saboteurs and target designators for long range weapons and more deadly drones to take more of the Russian specialist vehicles and anti aircraft systems. Eventually they will do real damage to Russians and although it is going to take a fairly long time, eventually they will win, the Russians can’t fight a technical war so will slowly fail. The Russian smash and grab tactics are despicable which shows their complete desperation for success and lack of fighting skills. Slava Ukraine
The problem is Russia will retaliate 10x harsh.
@@lifessogood2995 How?
Hard to do since the eastern region are populated with pro russian separatist. U cant conduct guerilla warfare when the civies there dislike u. Most pro ukrainian citizens has evacuated to the west.
That will takesyears
России невыгодно захватывать Украину, как же отличается информация в разных странах об одном событие.
Это уже стоило России, члены российских войск, убитых в бою (KIA), транспортных средств, танков и других боеприпасов. Эти расходы также были начислены Украиной. Я обеспокоен не столько потери оборудования в этой войне, но в основном за потерю, понесенные бабушками и дедушками, родителями, супругами и детьми тех, кто убил и ранены в этой войне. Это люди, которые больше всего страдают в Украине и России.
Let's hope that the "West" wakes up and send EVERYTHING that the Ukrainians need to push Russia out of ALL of Ukraine. Once the hostilities end, NATO needs to add Ukraine to prevent any further Russian aggression.
It is likely to lead to capture and reverse engineering by Russians and chinese
What planet are you from ? You talking about war as if it runs on unlimited amount of men … how many have died already are you going there to help out you muppet !
For a country as big as Russia and a country with a big military and a huge stockpile of nukes it isn’t taking humble Ukraine easy. 🇺🇦 🕊
No chance the further they are from Russia border the harder it gets...size means nothing.
8 years of preparation, entrenchment and stockpiles make you go slowly but nonetheless that’s Russia dictating the pace, saving personnel
@@RiXFortuna If they are saving personnel now, I hate to know what the russian KIA figures will be if it really gets tough.
💙💛💙💛💙💛💪💪💪🙏🙏🙏💌
@@poopyanalbumhole Yep, whenever Russians hit a city they just demolish it.
💙💛💙💛💙💛💪💪💪🙏🙏🙏💌
first one must take into account that Ukraine military is one of the most experience and powerful in europe before the war..and russiana are still winning..the west media trying to downplay Russian military might is fools play paid for it in Ukranian blood...
if the whole EU gives its weapons and ammunition to Ukraine, it still cannot be compared with what Russia has and how much it has
Why do you have the weird autocut on all your videos, where the same footage is repeated twice? Makes it hard to watch
TO ALL VIEWERS: Ukraine is a cause worth supporting. Let's all contact our government representatives to urge them to increase military aid to Ukraine. You can call your representatives, send them an email, send them a good old-fashioned letter, respond to one of their Tweets ... something. Take the time to help Ukraine now ... you'll be proud of yourself when you do.
Insanity, this is a Warcrime to sacrifice the Ukrainian people for the American Empire
@@chasx7062 You are so obviously a Russian propaganda agent. The true war crime is to invade Ukraine, shell their cities to rubble, ravish their women, mass atrocities, world starvation, etc. You should be ashamed of yourself for trying to help such criminal regime.
🤭😂😂😂
Barrel life comes into play at some point.
Considering they spent 3 months to take Luhansk with heavy casualties. The answer is No
Yeah, its the 5 month of the 3 day war
@@derspieler4793 if it was a war it would of been finished a long time ago Der!
Twenty thousand rounds of artillery a day? This doesn’t sound sustainable in the long term.
When will people tired of listening to "experts". Another expert who has plenty to say that means nothing. The Ukraine military has less than a zero chance of winning. Remind me, didn't the Ukraine military have years of NATO training? Don't the Ukrainians have or had a 3 to 1 advantage in troops?
This is the exact opposite of traditional thoughts about troop numbers of offense against defense. Russia and the separatists have been annihilating the Ukrainian military. This will not change except it will likely get much much worse for the Ukraine military.
With what! Its militery weakens while weapons flood into the Ukraine!
With pea shooters
@John Leal Not the same news as you! Glory to Ukraine!
@@zameisie7016 Grow up! This is real just like the bodys flooding back into Russia!
@John Leal Dream on! The average russian don't even want to be there! Ever hear of the ww 2 or Vietnam, etc etc, obviously not! When you fight for your country you fight till the last man! This will end up with a dead Putin and the russians relieved to be able to hightail it out!
Major General Tim Cross means
" that the Russians are creating a desert and calling it peace".
"calling it peace"
Nope - they're calling it _liberation_ ! Frankly, I thought that 'our' propaganda in past conflicts was pretty crass - until I heard the Russian version: what century are they living in ?
@@marvinc9994 Seriously. Russian state Tv is basically Psychotic. I don't know if you have seen much of it but id go so far as to call those people evil. They regularly call for nukes to launch to wipe out outer countries.. call for the conquering of nato countries and they seriously are calling for a return to USSR days..
You are projecting the NATO approach to Mossul. You clearly haven't taken note of the complementary Russian humanitarian effort. Look up the ministry of defense site.
@@evitoonbundit2453 You mean the forcible deportations of people to remote parts of Russia or at least the ones that survive the rampant shelling of the civilians. You cant offer humanitarian aid while indiscriminately shelling the same people you just offered aid to, then claim moral high ground.
@@marvinc9994 maybe its time for you to watch what the actual interviews of 'liberated' people, to determine what century you live)
According to Gen. Cross, taking the Donbass could take a couple of months. Also, the Russians are using 20,000 rounds of artillery ammo per day. At that rate, Russia would fire 1,200,000 rounds of ammo in the next two months. It is a fair bet that the Russians also do not have replacement barrels for their field artillery. That would mean that every howitzer would be 'shot out' and wildly inaccurate.
How many million rounds of artillery ammo do the Russians have stockpiled? How many replacement howitzer barrels? The numbers just don't add up for the Russians.
All of Donbas will be secured by August. When winter arrives the two sides will be encamped along the Dneipr River.
Don't worry Russians know what they are doing.
Besides the life span of barrels, artillery rounds are comparatively cheap compared to other battle implements even when producing millions of rounds.
due to the lack the orcs are already using the ammo of Belarus 🙄
Info from where?
@@dariusz1594 Belarus had better be careful . Petunia is a bad neighbour
@@Lubet0TheGreat Not wise to blindly trust randos on the internet.
Ukraine was preparing last 8 years for this, what happend?
Hes missing something important. Yes they have a lot of artillery, but the barrels on those dont fire indefinitely, and its questionable whether they can re-barrel what they have, or if they even have the parts to do it with anymore. The western arms being sent there can and will be serviced regularly, I dont know if the russians can do the same. If not, their artillery is reaching the point, by now, where accuracy is no longer possible. That may change how effective they can continue to be.
Russia has an industrial base.
So Russia that has a big working military industry CANT resupply their weapons, but Ukrain that has no military industry left and can only work with handouts CAN????? HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE IN YOUR MIND???!!
Ukraine has 10-20 times less tanks and no Western tanks and their old Soviet tanks do not have parts to repair since 50 years old. Howitzers yes are new but tanks are old and rundown
@@attilamarics4808 In my mind and everyone else's it is a fact that Russia does not produce any of the chips in its systems, the west produces those and guess what bot boy ??
@@attilamarics4808 i have no idea why this looks logical to them
They would if they could. But we won't let them.
If Russia could do it, NATO would be forced to intervene. The security threat to Europe posed by such a scenario would be immense. They just couldn't allow it to happen.
So we'd refuse to have Russia on Nato's borders ?
S'a bit rich , innit ?
Tell me why are people are forgetting nukes exist here?
NATO Cannot get involved they are not members dur
@@laurencesmith2199 A Russia that has just swallowed Ukraine whole could not be allowed. They would just regroup and attack again when ready.
Better to just get boots on the ground in Ukraine and defeat Russia there.
@@LutherusPXCs Maybe because no-one can use them without being obliterated themselves.
Russians keep pushing this idea that they can use nukes with impunity. That simply isn't the case. Russia would cease to exist.
Ukraine is a very big country it would be a tall order.
Are the artillerysystems of the orcs indefinite? Doesn't the embargos on crucial parts of the weaponry working?
nope in fact, you waste a lot more ammo when you use uneducated orcs from the Russian countryside to man your artillery.
Can you imagine the wear on those barrels?
russia cant make more tanks,
the sanctions worked.
but it had extreme quantitative edge
It is. You can hardly imagine how many we have in stock.
What crucial parts can Elfs embargo, if all weapons are selfmade from Russian parts?
Russia has time and mass. We have to make a choice. Red line Odessa.Otherwise Putin will take the whole of Ukraine. Then Moldova. He will attempt to take Lithuania passage to Kaliningrade
It all depends on what the West provides Ukraine. If the West gave Ukraine everything it asked for, this war would probably be over by the end of the year or next year at the latest. Giving Ukraine just enough assistance to resist but not win efficiently is the problem.
Exactly, reminds me of Vietnam as Americans didn’t get enough equipment and fire power in for the south to defeat the north, which it provided enough support to just split the country in two - Sorry that was Korea -they did the simple in both them wars, see a pattern? If they wanted to win these wars they could have, even though both were proxy also. A lot of prolonging the wars. I guess we’ll wait and see.Cheers
You don't make money by ending wars, that's the problem.
if the West will give Ukraine everything it wants it will not the war with Ukraine anymore but with NATO (technically).
Give them what they need and ( sorry been some decades ) w-33 ??? artillery nukes.
You can also make money rebuilding Ukraine's post-war infrastructure.
Ukraine to go on the offensive? If one believes that, then I've got a bridge to sell you!
A bunch of clueless vegetables are wild guessing in the comments "When Russia will run out of ammo". I will give you a glance of Russia's production capabilities. During the WWII the USSR produced 16 BLN artillery shells or around 11 MLN per day. The current Russian economy is more than capable to keep the pace with the production of around 50-60k spent on the front daily.
I couldn't possibly agree more.
They will run out once they achieve victory, and production cease the reason to be .
Guys are completely on other world. Media has them thinking that Russia is some kind of white Congo
I have a one word answer to that question…NO!!!. The Russians are getting absolutely mauled.
Counter fire is good, but taking out supply lines is better. If these can be seriously damaged then Russia will not be able to sustain what it's doing for too long. Needing 3 times as many soldiers for an offensive does seem to suggest that Russian advances must be bought at a cost of three Orcs for every Ukrainian soldier, which is very encouraging. Over 30,000 Orcs have already been eradicated, if this rate can be kept up then one would hope to see over 100,000 dead Orcs by the end of the year, which would be really good.
The idea of 3 to 1 casualty ratio only applies if we assume parity between forces in other areas. If you look at WW2 Soviets took far more casualties that German during the invasion of 1941-2. Russian superiority in artillery and air power mean that in all probably Ukraine taking far more casualties. Also I think we can be critical of the invasion without being quite so celebratory about the idea of 100,000 of people dying- being critical of political leaders is one thing but I don't it good idea to dehumanise Russian or Ukraines.
The western minds are very fervent with hate , imagine idiomatically referring to the pinnacle of creation as orcs . Takes a demonic mind to reach that graceless low point
The Ukrainians have higher death tolls when they are forced to fight in open fields under artillery fire (like after the Russia breakthrough around Popasna).
They could, but why bother considering the cost. If successful they will take Kyiv, Odessa, and everything east of the Dnieper river. After that they will look to Moldova.
Belarus may come down from NW too
Putin will pursue his legacy over the rest of his pathetic life, and that’s to restore the original USSR 🤕😔
Fancy wanting a failed state back.
Putin hates the USSR, he wants to restore the Russian Empire. That's why Finland is so scared. It was never part of the USSR but it was part of the Russian Empire.
On the contrary, it's the EU that is attempting to reconstruct the USSR using the force of NATO to impose "the liberal world order" around the globe. One woke-Marxist federation ruling the world.
Who care how long they take as long as they need. - if you can do better jump in - it took Britain 3 years to enter the War in Europe in 1939 to 1943 after being pushed out of France in 1939/40.
"Who care how long they take ..." the Russian economy. And the family of the cannon fodder.
@@owenbevt3 they are going at pace as not to inflict anymore casualties on themselves and preserve manpower and equipment. They have been very successful making the right strategic moves, Pincer movements, using Air power to knock off entrenched fortifications that the Ukrainian Forces have dug during the last 8 years. Then Artillery and constant bombardment.
Snake Island installations do not exist any more - the SU-34 Struck twice yesterday and on the 1st to obliterate any standing building and dock. There will be no Anti-Ship or Anti-Aircraft battery installation - there is also no more Ukrainian Navy.
The island is just to exposed.
In the South, Ukraine dies not have to manpower to counter attack and you have heard all these statements but there is nothing and only probing sorties.
So in the coming weeks they will fold in the Donbas and concentrate on the South. However, Russia needs to cut power from the Russian Controlled Nuke on the South Side of the Dnipro River and destroy all Cell Phone communication on the northern side of the river.
The time has come to knock them out and then take Mykoleiv and Odessa,
Move the grain to Russia and re-export as Russian Grain. Russia expects to harvest 140 million tonnes n August, Ukraine maybe 40 million tonnes.
@@cliveengel5744 HA! i guess they hide the photos of huge convoys stupidly destroyed in ambush, "elite" troops failing cadet tactics and of strategic blunders so big they show up for orbit from you. But such losses can not be hidden from there countrymen for long evedn when comanders are to spineless to send the bodys home.
@@owenbevt3 Comrade - do you think the Englanders won the Great Patriotic War? - a simple questions which needs to be looked at - No they were just along for the ride.
@@cliveengel5744 I'm not sure what your talking about and even less sure of its relevance.
Given a typical 155mm barrel life of 1,500-2,000 rounds, the Russians are wearing out between 300-500 artillery pieces a month, and 20,000 $500 shells a day is $300 million a month. Let's see how much longer they can keep it up?
It wears out the rifling, but the Russians are attacking cities and towns at close range so smooth bore cannons are OK for that.
No problem.
China will supply theirs..
I would feel better if Ukraine wasn’t getting pushed back.
@@253NYCWEST I would not worry to much the Ukrainian military is looking long term. The Ukrainians are inflicting maximum casualties and damage with the minimum loss possible... Russia will not be able to sustain this level of engaugement for the time required to take their objectives..
To answer the question of the topic: No, Russia can't. The Russian army is to weak for that.
No they aren’t. They have a mountainous supply of artillery and the so called financial pressure placed on Russia has only strengthened their currency and ruined the West. The West and NATO (No Action Talk Only) are weak otherwise they would be on the ground with Ukraine giving them physical support, not hiding.