Can Russia Disintegrate Territorially?
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 10 เม.ย. 2023
- 👉👉 Join the VisualPolitik community and support us on Patreon: / visualpolitik
Russia is made up of 84 regional entities - plus the territories they have invaded in Ukraine, which they recognize as their own. Many of these regions are populated by ethnic groups with a culture, religion and even language very different from the one spoken in Moscow.
In many cases, we are talking about huge territories that have been marginalized by the Kremlin for centuries. Russia's hyper-centralism and lack of investment have left many areas with almost no infrastructure. The differences between the poorest and richest regions are much greater than in the European Union.
Moreover, the Putin administration has contributed to exacerbating this problem: particularly after the invasion of Crimea in 2014, which took away a lot of resources that would otherwise have gone to the development of less prosperous regions. The war in Ukraine and the consequent increase in military spending in Russia is sure to make this problem even worse. Especially since many of these disadvantaged regions are making the greatest sacrifice in terms of soldiers killed. To what extent could the Ukrainian war lead to a wave of separatism in Ukraine? Could Russia become Balkanized? In this video we tell you.
#Russia #Putin #Ukraine
![The Wall Song ร้องข้ามกำแพง | EP.202 | ตั้ม วราวุธ / เบสท์ คำสิงห์ | 18 ก.ค. 67 [1/5]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/cwIoA7XHqnE/mqdefault.jpg)
"In 1905 the Russians gave it to the Japanese...." so kind of them to do after Japan literally destroyed the entire Russian navy in one of the world's most embarrassing defeats.
They traded it for Hello Kitty backpacks and cartoon porn.
@@benjauron5873 Who, the Japanese? Its Russian last time i check and they made quite good use of it, Sakhalin 1 and 2 are obviously there me think.
@@HgHg-yp6ft Battle of Tsushima. And considering the sad state of the Russian military today (Moskva and Admiral Kuznetsov), I am thinking that a repeat of that battle would occur if Japan decided to retake the Kurils.
👍🇯🇵👍😊
@@davidford3115 Thats when the Russians lost but then how Sakhalin is theirs now? I think that something did happen between 1905 and now but not quite sure.. Btw they still had the northern half of that island at the end of that partuicular{1905} war. And how you think that Japan will repeat 1905 against a super nuclear power who had 16 nuclear submarines calling the Russian Far East their home?
Russia isn't going to disintegrate. But you can keep dreaming.
This war went from Russia will win in 3 days to will Russia disintegrate?
Sadly that's what it looks like.
Disintegration of Russia is CIA wetdream 😁😂
Hey! Pootler is playing 5D chess! We, mere mortals, are simply incapable of understanding his plan. But yea...how's that 3 day "special military operation" working out?
It will never disintegrate......not possible
@@prrfrrpurochicas Sadly for whom?
Russia collapsed twice in the twentieth century, so it's not exactly a rare event.
They system is increasingly inadequate. I should mention that there are Belarusian, Russian, Chechen and Siberian Battalions fighting for Ukraine. And that is just the beginning.
If you count 1905, that would be three times.
3 times in a century ~ every 30 years, the last collapse was in the 90’s..so it’s due 😂
@@TheRezro The Free Russia Legion; thousands of Russians fighting alongside the Ukrainians.
They bear a white-blue-white flag. Many are angry and even furious toward the Kremlin for what it has done both to Ukraine and to Russia.
And many have sworn that they will not stop fighting the Kremlin even after Ukraine wins the Russo-Ukraine War.
If at all, once, after the revolution. And to be honest, they did only loose territories where there was a more or less properly organized nationalist movement.
Considering the fall of the USSR as a russian collapse is just lack of knowledge.
Tuva never belonged to China. It is ethnically and culturally close to Mongolia and together was a protectorate of the Manchurian Qing dynasty, which conquered China, Mongolia, Xinjiang, Tibet, and Tuva. Saying that countries like Tuva or Mongolia belongs to China is as ridiculous as saying the USA belongs to India since they were both under British rule at one point.
The Qing dynasty established its dominion over the Khalkhas after intervening in their war against the Oirat. In 1691,
Tuva had historically been "disputed" territory between Russia and China
Someone with more in dept historical knowledge should probably update the WIKI
dude, qing dynasty is china. they are the first governing body to officially use the name "china" in international treaties, just ask any manchurian, over 99% would say that qing is china. to say that qing dynasty is not china is like saying tsar russia is not russia
@@superpowerdragon The Qing were not China, they were the Manchu people of Manchuria which took over China in 1644. They maintained their elite, seperate identity for a very long time and only assimilated into Chinese culture after the Taiping rebellion in which the Taiping Han waged a genocidal war against their imperial master, killing everyone who was a Manchu in the lands they took.
Even manchuria and east turkestan arent chinese.
Russia keeps expanding yet rarely if ever develops lands it seizes. That alone should show they're poor stewards of the land they hold.
Reminds me of that vin diesel trilogy, riddick
and USA is better ~ lilke how they managed Iraq and Syria. Right.
Reminds me of this certain fantasy race. What they were called as again? Ah Orcs!
@@zero-dollartrader6440 USA didn't annex those regions like Ruzkiez did. Not just that but USA did in fact rebuild infrastructure and even improve it from the previous state in Iraq.
@@zero-dollartrader6440 how is this relevant? That does not excuse Russia for trying to expand even if they don't have the means to support it.
Kalinigrad back to Germany, Sakhalin and Kuril Islands back to Japan, Transnistria back to Moldova, Karelia back to Finland, South Ossetia and Abkhazia back to Georgia, Crimea and Donbass back to Ukraine!
Germany has signed treaties promising to never expand German borders again - so Kaliningrad will never become Königsberg again.
Actually I think Kaliningrad should be independent. It is a historical anomaly. For a russian region to be part of Germany makes no sense. Anomalies, the historical kind, tend to results in independent countries, even if that country has similarities to other already existing countries (Austria, Cyprus, Belgium etc.).
Transnistria should be a part of Ukraine or should also be independent and should have strict neutrality like Switzerland or Austria. No military troops on its territory. As a Romanian, I do not want Romania to unite with a Moldova containing Transnistria. Transnistria is too russiophonic and russiophilic and soviet-phillic.
I agree with everything else you wrote.
I would rather nuke them all then lose like that if I was Russia.
As a German I can tell you that we do not want that city back. It's full of russians anyway. You could make it an independent baltic republic at most
And Moldova back to Romania.
It's funny to hear that in the Republic of Sakha people are melting the ice for drinking water because of its scarcity. I have been living in the Republic of Sakha for almost 40 years and I can say that no one in this gigantic region is thirsty. Ice is melted only because it is the ethnic tradition of the Yakut people. In addition, if you ever tasted the natural water from the ice of the northern river, then you would no longer have a question why this is being done. This water is just incredibly clean and delicious! Unfortunately, these are the charms that some people in some countries will never have access to. I recommend that you study the topic of ice harvesting in Yakutia on the Internet.
The question is whether this is done for traditional reasons, or because there is a lack of potable water due to an absence of water purification plants. People in most countries don't do this because it is wasteful of fuel and is time consuming. Not to mention the presence of pollutants in many sections of Europe and North America.
The water would still be from the same place and taste more or less the same. Just needs to be stored and distributed, which you can't do.
Don't bother brother, everyone in the west has a sick hatred of russia and Russians. They want russia and everything related to it get destroyed
I live on a beach in Northern Australia. It's bloody beautiful, and I don't wait for the ice to melt. It's just here to keep the beer cold. But, if you love snow, maybe I understand you wanting to be there.
@@nicholasconder4703water purification plant and water distribution pipes would probably be very hard to maintain in these climatic conditions, ice harvesting is probably a very sensible alternative for those people who know how to do it properly following a secular tradition.
You should do a video with the title "Can USA disintegrate into 50 states and other territories?"
No one wants to leave the US, everyone wants to join the US. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
@@ihorperec4990same with Russia(except the joining part)
@@ihorperec4990Loool, let's give some help to california, texas, and some other
Gotta say, if Tartarstan does gain independence, I hope they invest plenty in their tourist board, it looks beautiful 😍
Good point
If Russia did disintegrate, I would think it highly unlikely that any of the new states would be persuaded to give up their nukes. That didn't work out very well for Ukraine.
Nukes aren't a deterrence when it comes to conventional warfare and they're extremely expensive to maintain. Ukraine having nukes would have made little difference.
@@StandTallTx Nukes have certainly deterred NATO from getting directly involved in Ukraine.
@@StandTallTx it definitely is, how can you even say something like this considering no nuclear powers have ever gone to war with each other?
when yelstin mistook a norwegian rocket for a us invasion he was ready to unleash russia's whole nucear arsenal on them, nukes are the only deterent worth having, diplomacy and promises are worth very littles.
@@theforsakeen177 As far as I know India and Pakistan fought a war while both having nuclear weapons.
@@seleukos-5700 a very limited conflict more akin to a border skirmish, the last actual war between them was in 1971 and there hasn't been a similar one since.
Thank you for a very informative video. Keep it up!
Chechnia will be an interesting case... On one hand, the Chechen people have unlikely given up on their aspirations for independence. On the other hand, their stongman Kadyrov derives his power from the Kremlin, regardless of how macho he presents himself.
To be clear. War in Chechenia is actually still ongoing.
Chechnya and Dagestan together could make for an Independent Islamic Republic.
Chechnya gets more money from federal budget than it pays into. Should it ever become independent ee shall see another North Korea - poor and militarized.
@@anitagorse9204 Tatarstan proves otherwise. If they could become prosperous under independence in all but name, so would Chechnya.
Kadyrov is putin's lapdog like Lukashenka.
80% of Russians live on the smaller Europe West side of Russia and they relate the European culture much more than Asian.
I could see East Russian Asians going their own way.
Nonsense! We aren't part of Europe and never were!
@@PskovCybercat Over a million young Russians fled Russia , even before the invasion (Brain Drain) .
They fled to the west not China or Mongolia .
@@PskovCybercatмы часть Европы во всех смыслах, но высер про дальневосточников смешной😂
In majority of the Russian republics over 50% of population is Russian... And even the minorities clearly understand that if this "decolonization" happens, the life after it won't be very good - look at what happened to a bunch of the Middle Eastern "-Stans", like Tajikistan for example.
@@user-xm9ed8ej6pМы не западники. Мы евразийцы, потому что наши предки подарили нам эту обширную и разнообразную землю, поэтому, если вы действительно хотите, чтобы вас приняло западное ЛГБТ+ сообщество, тогда идите и сражайтесь за Украину, чтобы мы могли очистить ее от предательского мусора. США уничтожают 99% коренного населения, а у тех, кто остается, остается все меньше и меньше земли, они живут в заповедниках, а это небольшое место, и когда они находят ресурсы, они переселяют их. Наши предки этого не делали, они наказали предателей, но они не уничтожали наш русский народ, даже во время Великой Отечественной войны. Некоторые солдаты из небольших регионов были возвращены домой. На западе их отправили бы сражаться до последнего. Я не говорю, что меньшинства не помогли. Они сделали это, но я хочу сказать, что небольшие меньшинства были сохранены. И если вы хотите поговорить о Китае, то посмотрите на Маньчжурию и Восточный Туркестан.
I grew up in the Sakha Republic. My guy, they’re melting ice and drinking it because its a traditional thing that the Yakut people do. Please do get your facts right.
Yup. And that's the only real option for the World to avoid big wars in the near future.
In 1905 they gave Japan, as per the Treaty of Portsmouth, half of Sakhalin, not all of it
I've been talking about this for a year. It depends on Putin's internal logistics, his ability to rush control troops where needed, and that's dependant on air: which is now a non-starter, thanks to lack of maintenance. The Tartars hate the Russians with a will.
@Альберт Валиев I hope you BROTHERS get your fridam for CRAMIAN TATAR BROTHER
@Альберт Валиев The UN seems to be minded that way. Aleikum Salaam, Eid mubarak.
Yes, but how many men who would be capable of fighting wars of independence against Russia are instead going to die at Suvla and Sud El Bar... I mean Ukraine.
I hope Russia finds a way out of this mess without breaking up and nukes winding up on the black market 😱
Well the tartars hate ukranians
It depends.
If the Russian economy collapses and Putin becomes unable to pay the military and internal security forces, then territorial disintegration is definitely on the cards.
Yes that is a very good point. While the army and the police and the FSB get paid, Putin is OK.
But Russia will run out of money soon, it has too many costs to bear.
Welfare, the war, the army, pensions, subsidies
They can still print money. So what if it's worthless? In America, we call that Bidenomics.
I would imagine the effects of Putin signing conscription orders on a large scale could well end up causing regional governments to consider a breakaway attempt, especially if that conscription was to follow the unequal pattern seen during the 'limited' call-up of reserves. To be successful though I would imagine that some of these regions would have to break-away at the same time so as not to be overwhelmed by Russian government forces.
Regional governments are regional czars. They are not representative and do not care for their ppl. They are there to collect dues and syphon off a percentage before sending it to Moscow. This system is in place since the Mongol empire.
Looks like you imagined wrong.
Russia is a monocraty.... it means "a democraty with only one choice" ! ^^
@@msdgroup9164 Westerners want people's rights to be respected as much as possible which in anything else than a democracy doesn't happen...
@@msdgroup9164 : You can't export democracy. USA thought it was possible but it's not...
The democracy come from the will of the people to be free. If this will is not powerful enough, the power goes to the strongest.
Democracy is still the most evolve system of power management of a society.
@@msdgroup9164 Please name me any western countries that are actually democratic this day and age. No such thing. It's all communism at this point.
@@msdgroup9164 : Here in France the President is in charge of 2 things : External politics and the army. He does just what he wants in these 2 domains. All the rest is in the hands of the gouvernment.
I don't understand what you mean when you say : "This is something that westerners cant see."
Do you think we are blind about who we are, what we are, and how our gouvernment works ?
Where are you from ?
Norway, Sweeden, Finland, Murmansk, create the nation Laponia.
Laponians have their own language and culture. They are the kurds situation of the scandinavian peninsula.
Very well made video, thanks!! :)
That would be a dream come true! Can't wait for it to happen
Is that one modern metric Belgium, or an older imperial Belgium? Eitherway, happy to hear the use of Belgium as a unit of landmass catching on multiple good TH-camrs
Telling me a region was 3 times the size of Costa Rica taught me absolutely nothing though...
me hearing imperial Belgium:
**J. Jonah Jameson laugh**
you serious?!
I mean yeah they did wreak havoc in the Congo but I think everyone including Belgium is trying to forget that...
I am Buryat, I don't speak my own language, only Russian. None of my parents nor grandparents nor their parents spoke the language, cause it was forbidden to learn. About culture: we are urbanized, lost any reminders of culture, I know nothing about it. And yeah, Slavic Russians hate us, because we are not enough "white", even though they assimilated us very well. When Asian Russian goes to Moscow they will be stopped to check their ID. And Slavic Russians will laugh at us "Look, Chinese speaks accent-free Russian"
no terrorussia - no problems for neighbors and the whole world!
I am a Buryat myself (from Irkutsk) and look pretty Asian. I lived in Gelendzhik for much of my life, and nobody called me anything. Though, after I moved to Cyprus, that's when racism happened.
@@arch3978 the problem is that as an asian russian we are represented nowhere. I have been to Cyprus and people were shocked to see my russian passport. More or less there is rasism and russians lead the whole world to believe in that only white russians are exist in the country.
Comment seems fake as usually its going vise versa, Chineese, Korean and of cause Kazakh are called Buriat not the other way.
@@dickystrike6966 really ? So why the rest of the world don't know about anything about it Buryat, Sakha or whatever, but Chinese, Korean etc ? You're being a white Russian, you will never understand the passive rasism in Russia. Also , stop gaslighting Снежок, пиши в другом месте
This is my type of visualpolitic video. Me like this 😂
A real eye opener for those of us who are less well informed. Thank you!
One of the things that always bothers me is the complete sublimation of Manchuria as a historically distinct and separate ethnic group, language (totally unrelated to Chinese but closely related to the Siberian Mongolian, Manchurian, Uighur, Kyrgyz, and Turkish languages and people's), separate country and separate nationality. Tuva was never part of "Chinese China". Tuva was part of the Manchurian Empire which in addition to other territories included China. NOT the other way round. This historical slight of hand is still playing tricks on people today when China claims to have inherited the Manchurian Empire. Many ignorant westerners thinking that everyone that has an epicanthic fold is "all the same "easily fall into this trap. It's as ridiculous as if the Japanese empire invaded and controlled China, then 100 years after that empire dissolved people start claiming that Japan was part of China and therefor Hokkaido is part of China. Igor Panarin, the father of Russia's info wars philosophy, used to have a TH-cam channel before all of his videos got mysteriously deleted was into predicting the breakup of the United States. (look him up on Wikipedia) How ironic the true breakup to come is actually the colonial construction we think of as the "Russian Federation". ( yeah a "federation" that is mostly Altaic Turkic in nationalities but called " Russian" ) This is why nuclear war would be a bad thing for Russia. It could completely decimate Russia as a homeland and even as a population and only leave all of these other non-Russian republics. Who would control the nukes? The same nation that controls them to this day. The ethnic Russians , certainly not the vassal states like Tuva and Tatarstan. But since we're going to be loosey goosey with history, remember, Mongolia controlled Russia for 240 years. Mongolia also controlled China for 74 years, then came the Ming. Afterwards, the Mongol's Manchurian cousins took over tat part of the world for 250 years, so the whole area belongs to ..... Mongolia and Manchuria? Again Tatars and many of the other republics are not Russian. This federation should be thought of more like the European Union. Joining the EU does not make Hungarians French. The distinct nationalities are not interchangeable and should be respected. Greeks are not Swedes. . So let's be more precise in order to understand what's going on and what could happen.
Finally someone who understands the difference between Manchurian China and this Chinese China. Well done 👍🏻
I really hope you have your own TH-cam channel… I’d switch to you over the Visual Politics 🤣
'Han' China, not 'Chinese' China, since China proper has about 100M ethnic minorities.
Also, with the European portion of Russia gone, I'd say the ethnic Russians east of the Caucus Mountains would be separated from their nukes - and their lives - if they don't drop their racism quickly. That won't happen.
Interesting point of view, but can you tell me what is the weight of "ethnic" russian population in the russian empire then federation vs the other "ethnic" components, and what was the Han "ethnic" weight in the mandchurian empire vs the mongol/mandchu component ?
You are talking nonsense. The Asian peoples of Siberia cannot be Russian and no one calls them Russian. Russians are white Europeans Slavs. The national republics of national minorities in Russia are artificial republics invented by the Bolsheviks, which means they are not legitimate, Russia is primarily a country of ethnic Russians.
Brits appear to envy Russia and desire their resources.
I assume the Viking Heritage is what they dislike.
A very, very good review!
It's like these guys read Peter Zeihan and were like, "Huh, that would make a good video."
You actually think Putin spent the money to maintain the old Soviet nuclear arsenal? 😂
They didn't maintain their TRUCK TIRES! 😂😂😂
And in the event any kremlin monies were allocated to maintain the Nucs, they’ve probably been scrapped and sold on eBay years ago by hungry military employees.
We’re talking about hyper- corrupt Russia after all.
Pakistan didn't maintain their country yet they have a nuclear arsenal. It's all about priorities
Well, the money for the maintenance 'disappeared' somewhere on a way
Do you really want to find out?
I've been saying the same thing
A nuclear arsenal is expensive and most people don't think that they will ever be used
So what are the odds that the oligarch that was suppose to maintain the arsenal cooked the books?
Yes it can
Visual politics needs to talk about Ecosia they are a search engine that plants trees
Great video!
8:29 the Ukraine also hold a referendum for independence before USSR was dissolved. The proposal of dissolution was REJECTED as people voted to keep the Union with Russia.
This was BEFORE communist coup in August 1991. After that Ukrainian referendum had shown very different result.
@@eugenekaminky7690 you mean 2014 referendum in Crimea?
@@dickystrike6966 no. I mean Ukrainian referendum of December 1991
With 193 ethnicities 71% are ethnic Russians. If it happens it would still produce dozens of little Russias. They'd still be connected by common language and culture and they'd still unite against the west.
Like Ireland still is considered as English, because they do speak in majority that language?
You may be surprised about the people...
29% of is actually a great number. And even Russia itself treats *ethnic* russians as shit. That's alarm bells ringing.
@@frankthetank5708
Unless you think that Russians in Sakha are comfortable being a smaller, weaker, landlocked state...
Everyone in Russia understands on a deep psychological level that the territory must remain intact.
Everyone inside it benefits from a larger potential reach. We remember the 1990s very well
Strength in numbers as they say. The only way Russia stays divided is if the West imposes it onto Russia, against their own Western values.
@@LancesArmorStriking
Liechtenstein is very small.
Nonetheless it's a fully sovereign and wealthy country.
Russians aren't the inhabitants of Sakha anyway.
@@LancesArmorStriking no the only way russia gets freedome and liberated into smaller strong countries is an internal uprising.
4:13 You forgot to mention that they also claim the Kherson and Zaporizhia Oblasts in their entirety.
Thanks for a lot of great content that I have watched in the past. Now that your goal is to tease me with all of the great things you are offering only to patrons I realize you do not want just viewers, you really only want people who give you money. You really should be smarter than to use your free platform to tell people over and over again that they need to pay you to get the interesting stuff. There are lots of smarter and more subtle ways to attract patrons rather than to rub it in peoples faces that you are withholding unless they pay you. Thanks again from a former subscriber.
Tack!
I was surprised to learn there's a Jewish autonomous region in Russia. "Bald and bankrupt" travelled there in one of his videos
Rule number 1. Never trust Russia under any circumstances.
Russia Rule #1. Never again trust the West after NATO lied to Russia with the phony Minsk cease fire accord.
Nice video
Could you repeat where the Winter Olympics was held😂
Anyone else is looking at all these autonomous regions and soviet republics, realize that they were all gained in 16-18th century when Russians expanded east of Urals and think .... hey ... these are the same as other European colonies, e.g. British .... Russia just connected them their country instead of calling them "colonies".
Thats why its so ironic that those with russia calls the west neocolonialists....
Yeah, which is why it's so funny and sad that a lot of Africans are pro-Russians and against the West "because Russia isn't a colonising power". At this point the West is better than Russia because Russia is actively trying to get new colonies while the West isn't. Just because these colonies aren't in Africa doesn't make what's happening insignificant.
Complete nonsense! The Russians did not touch the national culture and nationality of the colonized peoples of Central Asia and Siberia, but simply demanded a tax from them. Of course, those who did not pay the tax and resisted were killed. What would you do in this situation? Local savages are trying to kill you, will you stand still? The Russians are not responsible for colonialism, since the Russians themselves were serf slaves with lower rights than the captured colonial peoples. A black from Africa was higher in social status than a simple Russian farmer, and this is in Tsarist Russia! This is a shame! The tsarist government used the Russians as a cash cow to feed the captured peoples and granted privileges to foreigners.
The Cossacks treatment of indigenous peoples in Siberia. Terrifying.
The story of these „independent“ territories shows: don‘t trust the „heirs“ of the dictators and oppressors! Had they not trusted Jelzin, they would be free! Trusting the wrong people and institutions always gets you in trouble, and, to be fair, rightly so! People are responsible for whom they give their trust!
great vid
@3:20 Three Costa Ricas eh?
Well now I totally get it!
How many elephants is that?
Don't know about Russia but i am sure about UK going through this situation with Scotland and Ireland being headache for the royals and economy in a more dire state than what Russia or France has
Northern Ireland and Scotland independence is finished
Scotland needs the permission to have a referendum on independence from Westminster and they got it
They voted to remain UK
And they have been told they will not be given permission for another referendum
And the UK has a bigger GDP than Russia by 2 trillion
And has two currencies in the world top 10 strongest currencies
Russia's ruble isn't even in the top 20
Russia would likely hold together... largely.
The biggest most obvious candidates lie in the Caucasus Mountains.
Second in line might be cantral Asian Territories.
Lastly, China would certainly like to take "back" territories along their border... be it formerlly Mongolian territories or Primorsky Krai (a.k.a. Outer Manchuria).
not while the west is embargoing them and trying to slow down their technology.
Probalby China is the main risk from all those you mention. But yes, I think Russia can still keep all its territory, maybe with an active insurgency.
Indeed. If Russia collapsed, the China would try to take back outer Manchuria. And if THAT happened, I could easily see the Japanese move into Sakhalin Island as well as the Kurils.
According to Konstantin of the Inside Russia TH-cam channel, China is already invading Russia, not with military means but with money.
No military operations. Instead, Russian governors in eastern and southern Russia would suddenly become very favourable toward Beijing and outright ignore orders from the Kremlin, and the Kremlin will just keep quiet about it and do nothing.
According to Konstantin, China is the Number One country that is benefitting from this war, and they are very happy and excited about it.
Konstantin met a Chinese businessman in Uzbekistan who didn’t even bother to hide how gleeful and excited he was at the opportunities that Chinese businesses and corporations have gained due to the war.
Infographics made a video claiming that the war has been disastrous for China, and I don’t agree with that.
China is already making moves in the Middle-East and Central Asia. They aren’t wasting any time filling the vacuum that Russia has made.
In my opinion, China won’t even need to formally annex Russian territory, nor create breakaway, so-called independent states off of the Russian Federation.
Instead, while on paper those regions would still be part of Russia, the regional leaders would be taking orders from and sending money and resources to China, not the Kremlin; essentially parts of China in all but name.
And this is allegedly already happening, right now.
Modern-day China does not fight wars with bullets or bombs, it fights them with money.
There are entire settlements and ports in Europe that are outright owned by China…
I recently spoke to a (polite) Chinese person who abhors violence and is anti-war, but who also happily said that perhaps one day in the future, China could simply buy the White House.
It is a big problem for the USA that so many American businesses choose to outsource manufacturing to China.
One possible long-term measure that the USA may be taking is to support the growth and development of India.
In my opinion, India definitely has the potential to one day become a global superpower, and the USA is actually supportive of this and investing in the growth of India’s industries and economy.
China already has mandated that their maps show the areas that used to be part of China in their old Chinese names.
That summit where Putin got nothing from Xi after groveling? He agreed to let China help develop the area.
I'd say China is already on the road to getting those territories back, with interest.
You should look up the guy who fixed the tsar's railway system.
One can only hope so! 🤞
5:25 Free state of Saxony is also part of Germany (Federation). That's how it can also be done in Russia. 😅
The denomination "Free State" is purely historic and means that those states were freed from their former ruler (like kingdom of bavaria). They have no special status within Germany whatsoever.
@@TheSandkastenverbot Exactly. A few U.S. states are technically called "Commonwealths," but it does not mean they exist under any different set of laws than any other state.
Would be nice to see the same video about North America: will Canada and USA survive the century, taking in consideration that self determination movements emerge in Texas, Cascadia, California, New England and Québec just to name a few.
Could even do it with the so-called United Kingdom: when will Scotland break free from Westminster's yoke? Is a United Ireland possible after Scottish independence? Would Wales be keen on leaving the union since they're not well represented? Could England survive on its own or should it become the 52nd American State?
I'm craving for more Brit Politics on this channel. Just saying 🙂
@@yossariandunbar2829 you're confused about how Scotland isn't an independent country? Then the fact that the SNP couldn't convince the Scots to go separate ways is an easy statement. As a Scotsman and a Scottish independence activist, there's a big difference between the Scottish National Party and the YES camp. One is a political party, another a sovereign group of people. I understand that there's division in the Scottish electorate, yet it's no surprise when the mainstream media is controlled by one political elite which aims to divide the society between "us" and "them".
I also know that Welsh independence isn't as big as Scotland's case, but support is rising by the days.
Scottish people have had mandates for independence since 2015, yet they're still stuck with the idea that a referendum is the only option while UDI would be more effective.
Anyway, will we see the dissolution of the British union one day? Only time will tell
@@yossariandunbar2829 you're raising good points man. In the case of Scotland, Scots at a majority wanted clearly to remain in two unions, UK and EU. As we all know, Brexit happened and it turned the tides.
Another thing is, I've had a talk about the idea of a US state declaring independence from Washington. My American friend said to me "we're not a democracy, we're a republic. Then we have our second amendment. So it's not about who gets the most votes, it's about who has the most guns".
@@yossariandunbar2829 лол, "распад британии невозможен и вот почему". И в то же время "да, Россия распадëтся".
@@evilkat8143это типичная западная политика "разделяй и властвуй", пора бы уже начать не обращать на это внимание.
I sincerely hope so.
"A territory equivalent to three Costa Rica's"
"one Belgium a year"
I wasn't expecting to need Google to watch your videos
Funny that a Soviet republic broke away from Russia and then became prosperous and then when back in the Soviet Union (I mean Russian Federation), it was once more impoverished.
💸💸💸
Ruzzia was leaching on their satelite states. That's why eastern-Europe and Baltics had massive increase in GDP and well being while Ruzzia's collapsed after the soviet fell. Ruzkiez are incapable to build, only good for stealing. Which is why any region they annex always ends up being impoverished under them.
And oddly enough, all the Warsaw Pact countries have done so much better in the EU.
@@recoil53
Yes, benefiting from colonialist instructions will do that for you.
That doesn't make it morally right.
@@LancesArmorStriking So in your opinion it is morally better to be a impoverished russian colony suffering from russian colonist instruction than a free and rich EU country raising its people out of poverty?
@@recoil53 Once they broke free from russian colonialism they grew rapidly.
Yes it can but its highly unlikely. No territory has the ability to fight and win independence. But I do believe there will be major problems in the years to come.
It may not be a case of fighting and winning independence. I could see the possibility of it coming down to Moscow having neither the will nor them means to hold them.
@@hughjass1044 that would be great fredoom for minorties and no bloodshed
@@hughjass1044 integrety of the Federation is crucial for Putin's system, I think he will counter any seperatist movement asap, i.e. making sure that regional politicans, police and military stay loyal to the Kremlin.
Chechnya kind of did and is minuscule
@@hughjass1044 True like Chechenya, Buryatia , Dagestan and who knows even Karelia .
That won´t be necesarry, everything is going according to plan. The plan seems to be we are perfectly capable to tear ourselves apart.
Visual politik always make videos about Russia like there is nothing else to discuss about 😂😂😂
Oh boy can it. Or it could if Putin wasn't smart enough to send as many minorities and Eastern Russians as possible to prevent them being strong enough to rise up and carve out a state. But I gauruntee that this is the future we face and we should be hopefully making sure nukes are secured in such a scenario.
It could, the soviet union did. Russia had a budget deficit of $52 billion in the first quarter of 2023 so at the very least we are all guaranteed a good laugh at russias expense once its reserves run out 🥳🥳
First of all, Russia has a MASSIVE deposit. It will take years to dry that out. Second; the US debt is 30 TRILLION dollars and still surviving. Infact most western countries got huge debts and the are surviving.
@@vladimirbazhaev7851 yes, but western countries have access to the IMF and banks that can lend them money, Russia doesn't anymore due to sanctions
@@vladimirbazhaev7851 sorry to disappoint you but no it will not. Russia had $650 or so at the beginning of the war. $350 billion was frozen immediately. Russia had a budget deficit of $47 billion in 2022 and then $52 billion in the first quarter of 2023....its not going to take long. The US has debts of $31 trillion but the US does not have a massive budget deficit like russia....and inflation is already twice as high in russia as it is in the US...that's before russia does any borrowing 🥳🥳
@@vladimirbazhaev7851 The USA’s GDP has always dwarfed 🇷🇺, which is tiny for the size of the country and all of the natural resources. One word that starts at the top - corruption
@@strictlysport3624 That 3350 Billion that was frozen is earmarked as reparations in rebuilding Ukraine as is.
Hopefully 🙏
I'd love to see some of their western regions gain independence but a full on fragmentation of the country would make Siberia free real estate for China giving them energy independence and a quarter of the world's fresh surface water, allowing them to wage war on neighbouring countries without worrying about being cut off.
Those pipelines would be easy enough to cut off.
And China has gotten leverage to develop those areas anyways.
What's the point of a foolish independence? What will it give other than pride and war?
@@purple.requiem freedom from a murderous regime...
Can you do a video on where Russia has its WMDs stationed? Go into what republic has has them and how that republic feels about being in Russia if there’s any separatist movements or unrest.
I’m sorry I’m not a patron but I love this channel you do great work!!
I seriously doubt Russia store nukes in those.
"Can" it? Of course.
Will it? That's the question.
Priorities and interests knows no boundaries for politics or development of nations, problem is... would good outcoming the bad just because we've made a decision like this, or ignore that thingy problem... then what it will affect others.
In your wet dreams yakees😂
Уже далеко не только в мечтах янки.
1:32 Wow, I lived nearby this mosque, it's a small wooden mosque in Kazan called Medina.
9:23 I think more credit in making peaceful negotiations goes not to Yeltsin, but to Shaimiev, then the president of Tatarstan.
15:41 The Forum of Free Nations are just a bunch of folks, most of them are not even known in the regions they supposedly represent.
Personally, I don't believe Russia will break up, the maximum is what we saw in the 90's - decentralization and maybe some trouble in the Caucasus.
First of all, out of 21 republics only in a few the titular ethnicity is a majority. For example in mentioned Buryatia only 30% of population are Buryats, while ethnic Russians consist 60%.
Second, those republics where ethnic minorities are majority are geographically isolated - Tatarstan is in the middle of Russia, Yakutia only has access to the Arctic Ocean. Those in the Caucasus are basically isolated too - there are only a few mountain passes to the south.
The only exception is Tuva, it both has mainly non Russian population and borders another country. The problem is the country it's bordering - China. I doubt that anybody there, looking at what's happening to the Uygurs, would willingly fall under the influence of China. And this is is inevitable if they seperate.
@ 6:52 there is a red squirell in the yellow map on the most western side
Yes it can and please do it!!!!
Yes! China might gain Siberia. China playing the long game
China regards the treaties of Aigun and Peking as 'unequal'. I think they might want their land back.
From all things China do not like unequal deals.
@@TheRezro There are roughly 25 'unequal treaties', several affect Russia and land Russia forced China to give up.
@@steven4315 Yup. And Russia become weaker and weaker.
Japan, Korea and Mongolia would all be trying to get that land too.
This is what I've been saying, although Xi is on the road to getting it all back.
Whether Russia wins or loses, they will need China more and more as this drags on. Putin will keep giving Xi everything in exchange for crumbs.
In Xi's ideal world, this would be after the West is brought to heel, but he won't mind greatly if the order is changed.
"Can X Collapse" Yes, yes of course they can, anyone can.
Nothing is eternal. The rest, not so much.
Absolutly!
And it's not a if it's a when...
You guys should make a video on What happens if Russia wins in Ukraine
they are too scared to even think about it.
We already know what will happen if they win. Ukrainians will be massacred and deported in the millions, the population left over will be infused with many millions of Russians to try to russify Ukraine once again... It happened at least 3 times in the history, Russia won't change it's patterns
A) Sanctions go on
B) russia has no finances to develope and maintain the occupied Ukraine or parts of it
C) Ukrainian partisans would probably keep stabbing and blowing up ru occupants for decade to come.
That would be my guess
Define winning? Cause the way the things are going that would be close to a fairytale.
Russia's victory would mean WWIII and the end of civilization on the planet. It can not be allowed.
There‘s the German Version of the video? So many great videos are only on the english channel 😢
Actually this isn't the original channel, the original one is a Spanish channel called
Interesting...
Throughout its history, Russia has collapsed many times.
with each collapse, Russia became bigger and stronger.
You inattentively studied the history of Russia.
Wishing Russia to collapse is the most monstrous mistake.
A world that honours the UN charter would and should guarantee the reformation of the Tatar federation that Russia destroyed and conquored
hhahhahha
Start with reformation of Native Americans federation, or if you to scared, how bout Palestine?
Definitely you can be!!
Gorbachev caused one of the worst humanitarian crises in modern history.
Next topic should be, "could the US have a second civil war"
I do believe it’s been under way for quite some time already. It’s a cultural war at present. Let’s hope it doesn’t get any worse.
@@davidclaudy4822 They've got us fighting a culture war to distract us from fighting a class war. We are being plaaaaayed.
In coming
Increasingly levels of repression of free speech and political persecution says "yes".
May be black vs white or red vs blue
Their best opportunity to do that would be now when there's a stalemate in the Ukraine war. There would barely be any troops to spend to keep other groups from breaking loose. And Finland recently joined Nato, so Putin only gets more paranoid about that border now, and will likely have troops along that border as well.
Wait so you only do part of the video and the rest only on Patrion ? If so let us know so I can unsub.
5:25 it basically is like the UK, where it’s supposedly one country, but also 3(4ish?) countries
It’s a “nation” within a nation at the head of a Supranation
Everybody keeps talking about Russia falling apart but in the EU and US, there are so many social problems that are being ignored.
(In)stability is a sum of many factors; wealth, inequality and general organization of society are all very important, as is the system of checks and balances. Russia is lacking in ALL of them. If you throw a botched war into account, things don't look good, especially in the future.
@@anitagorse9204 No disagreement Anita! Just pointing out that the reporting is pretty biased. For example, over 10 years the US was in Afghanistan and Iraq which by any measure was a failure. But there was never any comment about the bad policy, impact to the world and the US.
They have already mentioned EU, and for the same reasons (culturally, economic etc..) ...
I have a theory that Russia purposely doesn't build roads and bridges because it makes it harder for regional mobilization of separatists to get to Moscow or even regional capitols without the federal controlled rail system.
😂
Actually, I have heard such theory, but from other point of view. Russia don't develop infrastructure in regions bordering China, because they want to have these territories be more connected to mainland and remain them dependent from Moscow. Who knows, if it makes sense...
Dude try to educate yourself. Start with map of population of this territories (ppl/km2). Then try to think. Who gonna repair all these roads and bridges? Russia became capitalist so you all can chill already. And capitalist didnt spend money for fun (if we didnt talk bout yachts).
Most of countries having regions of tundra and northern taiga do not develop them.
In Russia such regions are more populated and developed, than in any other country.
Most of people in Finland, Norway, Sweden and Canada live in southern parts of countries, leaving northern territories almost unpopulated
The thing about nuclear arsenals is that they take an insane amount of maintenance to keep functional. At least that would spare the world from the threat of independent ICBMs, but would not protect us from others using the radioactive material in “dirty bombs.”
i love the way you said -40 degrees without stating you meant fahrenheit or celsius. since this is the culmunationpoint between the 2 measures
No one cares
@@DENVEROUTDOORMAN nobody cares that you dont care
I kind of see 3 Russia's...European Russia, Central Asia Russia, and Far East Russia. If Russia did fall apart, European Russia will probably remain the way it is...Central Russia will effectively be a buffer zone, and Eastern Russia will probably be chopped up between Japan and China...with China specifically going after the former outer Manchuria area and Japan going after their claims on the islands. I dont see Russia collapsing within the next 20 years but you never know.
Will never happen 🇷🇺🇷🇺Z
@@user-yf1mw6qu3u ...ever studied Russian history - it has already happened several times. Certain USSR collapsed just couple decades ago.
Central Asia isn't part of Russia. Learn some geography
@@KateeAngel If you look at my original comment it says Central Asia Russia...it is the part of Russia that isn't European Russia and isn't quite the Far Eastern Russia...somewhere between Komi Republic and the Sakha Republic
@@user-yf1mw6qu3u Not saying it will happen now but it has happened a few times before. The current Russian Federation was the result of the fall of the Soviet Union in 1990/1991 and the Soviet Union itself was the result of the fall of the Russian Empire in 1917/1922...they even fell to the Mongol Invasion during the 1200s (though a lot of places did at the time)
Should it?
And should the possibility be offered to the residents of that federation?
Think, and consider how that conversation would go, were one to take it to both leaders, and the lead ones.
Oh, it’s a VICE Grip Garage video 😅
A British guy worrying about Russia while the United Kingdom falls apart...rather ironic😂
A fool becomes a dinosaur in a tar pit when he tries to re-litigate all of his ancestor's implacable problems.
We can only hope, if it does, China will gobble up the eastern parts for sure.
and you like that?
And situation for minorities will become worse
One thing why Tatarstan is so developed is tatars in Kazan have tight relationship with tatars in Helsinki Finland. One thing what Moscow and Putin don't prefer at all. So they have direct contact to western markets they don't need Moscows help.
Also I don't understand why they keep saying "but Tatatstan is surrounded by Russia". First, you don't have to conform to Russian drawn maps of Tatarstan, it can be enlarged. Second, Tatarstan borders Bashqordistan in the East and almost borders Kazakhsgan in the South East. Orenburg used to be part of Kazakh SSR, Stalin took it away in order to prevent Tatars and Bashkirs from becoming SSRs or even their future independence. This can also be undone
There are no Tatars
What about Putin's relations to his Tatar wife?
Yes but i dont know how its going to go
While the destruction of Russia is not part of the goal in saving Ukraine. Taming its ambitions certainly is. But that could set the stage for some parts to break away like it did in 1990.
Yes, Russia is not a homogeneous state. They are a federation where different regions have different semi autonomous status. You want peace in Europe? Balkanize the Russian federation.
@qikert2515 The Russian Federation is not 80% Russian ...
80% may speak Russian that doesn't mean they are Russian.
Russia is one of the few nations in the world who can choose to call themselves an Empire because of the vast amount of different ethnic people who make up the Russian Federation.
If anything Russia is the perfect nation to balkanize.
Are you saying people who live under the yolk of another shouldn't have a say in their own self determination? Welcome to Russia ... first time?
Were your grandparents ''auxiliary police" by any chance
@qikert2515 In the last century Russia has imploded twice correct? We are slowly watching the 3rd. This war in Ukraine will damage Russia in the same way the Russo Japanese help speed up the down fall of the Russian Empire.
You do understand that 21 national republics (intended as homes to a specific ethnic minority), 4 autonomous okrugs (usually with substantial or predominant ethnic minority),1 autonomous oblast .. The 83 (or 85) federal subjects which together constitute the Russian Federation.
There is no other nation in the world who can birth more nations from its demise like Russia can. Its more or less her destiny to do so. This isn't the middle ages .. as more people learn who they are and their history more people will want their own representative government and not one appointed over them.
Poland is CIA colony
Ah yes, peace, like it was in Balkans yes?