The Next Pivot to Asia
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 17 มิ.ย. 2024
- Join Hudson for a conversation with Robert D. Blackwill and Richard Fontaine, who will discuss their new book Lost Decade: The US Pivot to Asia and the Rise of Chinese Power. The book argues that the United States should undergo a renewed pivot to Asia while maintaining commitments to Europe and the Middle East. As the international order becomes more unstable, Blackwill and Fontaine stress that the US has far less margin for foreign policy error today than a decade ago. They also say policymakers need to understand what the pivot aimed to achieve―and where it fell short―to muster the resources, alliances, and resolve to preserve an open order in Asia and elsewhere. Crafting an effective policy for the region, they contend, is crucial for preserving American security, prosperity, and democratic values.
Ambassador Robert D. Blackwill is the Henry A. Kissinger Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations and a senior fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. He served as deputy assistant to the president and deputy national security advisor for strategic planning under President George W. Bush, presidential envoy to Iraq, and US ambassador to India from 2001 to 2003.
Richard Fontaine is the chief executive officer of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Previously, he was foreign policy advisor to Senator John McCain and worked at the State Department, the National Security Council, and on the staff of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Dr. Patrick M. Cronin, Asia-Pacific security chair and senior fellow at Hudson, will moderate the discussion. Ambassador Blackwill will join the conversation remotely.
Learn more at: www.hudson.org/events/asia-ce...
Please US, instead of pivoting to Asia, turn inwards to look after your own backyards and your needy people. Concentrate on improving the welfare of your population through spending on improving educations, health , housings and much needed infrastructures instead of wasting your resources on military expenditures all over the world. The Asians are very capable of looking after themselves without you interfering in their internal affairs. If your households are in financial strives, you will not be in position to be guardian of the world.
China has been in the world for over4000 years. It has its ups and downs but able to get itself out of the mess and has never fires a shot into other people’s backyard, except during the era of Jenghis Khan and he was a mongol and not Chinese. Confucius sayings go that one must be able look after oneself before looking after one’s family and serve your nation with harmony.
US and theWest have opportunities in their glorious past to serve people in the so called third world countries but what they did was taking their resources and left them dirt poor. Now a newcomer is on the scene helping with infrastructures that US and the west is jumping up and down.
Think about this and maybe you can understand why so many countries you once has influence on are turning their backs on you.
Maybe China should stop looking outward and look inward to help their poor and needy and not genocide Uyghurs. China helps with infrastructure and getting a lot of belt and road nations in debt, they take resources too. CCP has been around for 80 years. Don’t confuse the CCP for Chinese blood. The U.S. economy is directly dependent on global trade and Taiwan straight, if you want the U.S. to help it self out and its people; it standing down is the wrong option. Lots more bad would come because of that.
When the US was on its back foot in years past, the American dream still existed. That dream is long gone for the average American. Everyone is missing that factor. What is the element that’s going inspire people to push through adversity? Until someone figures that out, well, you’re all wrong.
Thats a really good point, but I’d argue the reality of a communist coalition leading a new world order ought to be enough on its own.
However , the idea that Washington can communicate and educate the masses is to this point is unlikely.
Unfortunately it may require a dramatic event to get everyone on board.
These are not scholars but warmongers
Warmongering Evils
How about the US pivots back to its own wretched country and leave the rest of us alone?
World is changing, justice is being restored
"Black will", the name sounds bad ass
I remember the Asia pivot, and the Lost Decade, differently.
This pivot, years in preparation, was heralded by President Obama in a 2011 address to the Australian Parliament, in which he reaffirmed America’s role as a Pacific power and a champion of fair and free trade.
With the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement we had an opportunity to form a trade and strategic bloc that upholds worker rights and environmental protections while undercutting China’s influence and putting pressure on them to raise their own standards as a cost of doing business.
And by including Brunei, Malaysia and Vietnam - countries that can serve as a buffer against China’s ongoing campaign to “annex” and assert de facto territorial control of the South China Sea by building militarized artificial islands in it - TPP represented a pointed strategic attempt to uphold freedom of navigation for a vital international body of water, through which $5 trillion of cargo - fully one-third of global trade - transit annually.
Also, we got Canada and Mexico to renegotiate NAFTA in exchange for increased access to the Asia-Pacific Rim, the fastest-growing region in the world, and persuaded protectionist economies to open up their agricultural, automotive, professional services, and financial sectors to foreign competition in order to provide American workers and exporters a level playing field.
We even got Vietnam to agree to allow independent labor unions.
Given the above mentioned features, much of the world saw the TPP as a work of masterful diplomacy that would strengthen the U.S. position and standing in the region - economically, diplomatically, and strategically - and effectively counter authoritarian China’s hegemonic rise.
And it was the strategic value of TPP in strengthening our ties with both military allies and trading partners, and curbing Russian adventurism and Chinese expansionism, that was noted by Trump’s Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, Defense Secretary James Mattis, and chief economic advisor Gary Cohn, who all supported, to ultimately no avail, the TPP initiative.
But the TPP was blocked by the Republican majority Congress.
And with regard to blaming the Obama administration for not succeeding in forcefully getting the TPP past an obstructionist Republican led Congress, remember that a wide range of surrogates, including business leaders and Ohio’s Republican Governor John Kasich, were enlisted to tout its benefits.
Somehow, against mounting odds and bad-faith scare-mongering fueled by spurious populist agitprop and Wikileaks propaganda leaks, Obama led a 12-nation coalition to craft a new type of trade agreement in the Asia-Pacific Rim - the world’s fastest-growing region - that would internationalize Western values and condition favorable trade conditions upon verifiable, enforceable standards for human rights, labor rights and environmental protections rather than institutionalize cheap exploitable labor in developing countries with lax or nonexistent protections, as prior trade agreements had done.
Also that same year - in the final year of Obama’s presidency - the Republicans refused to allow a White House representative to make a presentation on the President’s proposed budget, refused to hold hearings on his nominee for the US Supreme Court, and rejected repeated pleas to make a joint, bipartisan statement denouncing Russian attempts to interfere in the presidential election.
Instead, in Trump’s first days as President, we withdrew from the Trans Pacific Partnership, which has decimated our export markets, prompted a wave of farm bankruptcies as a result of punishing tariffs, and left us without a framework to renew strained ties with military and trade partners at a time of increasing aggression by China.
And with regard to blaming the Obama administration for somehow not succeeding in forcefully getting the TPP past an obstructionist Republican led Congress, remember that a wide range of surrogates, including business leaders and Ohio’s Republican Governor John Kasich, were enlisted to tout its benefits.
Somehow, against mounting odds and bad-faith scare-mongering fueled by spurious populist agitprop and Wikileaks propaganda leaks, Obama led a 12-nation coalition to craft a new type of trade agreement in the Asia-Pacific Rim - the world’s fastest-growing region - that would internationalize Western values and condition favorable trade conditions upon verifiable, enforceable standards for human rights, labor rights and environmental protections rather than institutionalize cheap exploitable labor in China and in developing countries with lax or nonexistent protections, as prior trade agreements had done.
Also that same year - in the final year of Obama’s presidency - these same Republicans refused to allow a White House representative to make a presentation on the President’s proposed budget, refused to hold hearings on his nominee for the US Supreme Court, and rejected repeated pleas to make a joint, bipartisan statement denouncing Russian attempts to interfere in the presidential election.
Instead, in Trump’s first days as President, we withdrew from the Trans Pacific Partnership, which has decimated our export markets, prompted a wave of farm bankruptcies as a result of punishing tariffs, and left us without a framework to renew strained ties with military and trade partners at a time of increasing aggression by China.
I didn't know the Next Pivot to Asia means is How to slow down Asia!! Not shocking.
This outfit receives money from the Taiwan governent and its China Centre is headed by Mike Pompeo. Enough said.
Indo-Pacific basically being a maritime theater and China increasing her naval strength by leaps and bounds (and USA unable to keep pace with China), what prevents USA to 'delegate' naval capacity & capability to her Indo-Pacific allies & partners?? A case in point is AUKUS. I don't understand why countries like Japan, India & S Korea are not part of it? These are the Asian powers who will do much of 'heavy lifting' against China in Indo-Pacific, and US must empower them with SSN platform & technology. SSN, rather than any other platforms, are going to decide the balance of power in Indo-Pacific vis-a-vis China. America shouldn't lose another decade under the guise of protecting her SSN technology!!!
What is SSN technology?
Simply, no one is at PRC's scale. IF US does not double its military spending, PRC will leave US behind in a decade or two with less than 2% GDP on military. So China is in it for long game and even US could not keep up.
@@stephenyang2844 Nuclear powered attack submarine with conventional weapons
The focus is on unmanned small ships and submarines technology of low cost ,which can be produced in large scale, that is enough to counter china and that is already going on
what happened to previous one?😂 you can't pivot to something twice😅
Its called running around in circles
✌️👍👍🇧🇷🇷🇺🇮🇳🇨🇳🇿🇦➕️👏👏✌️
America should go home and sober up from its arrogant and ignorance attitude towards Asia. A quick review of history will remind American hawks that China had dominated the world for millennia before. Today‘s India has been way over-appraised, with Modi‘s smooth flowery English.
What dominance do you speak of. The scientific revolution and the enlightenment and Industrial Revolution happened in Europe. Since at least 1400 the West has been far more innovative than China. Even going back to Rome this is true. America has been incredibly open and friendly and supportive to China in the last 50 years in many ways. China has repaid that generosity by bellicosity and ingratitude and theft on a massive scale. China should open up; allow foreigners to buy property, bring immigrants in from Asia and Africa and show the world tolerance with arms wide open. Then there will be peace. The Chinese people are smart and work extremely hard, they should help The Global South by bringing them into their country.
@@aftdelyou people think others are fools , don't you ?
@@mohican6158 No. I don’t have any opinions about people I don’t know. Only people I know.
@@aftdelyou demonstrate rigid thinking.
Why do you think the CCP is the same “China” of millennia. When there’s been many different empires/dynasties/revolution/civil war? The U.S. system is older than the CCP.