Xi Jinping’s ‘Counter-Containment’ Strategy | Jude Blanchette
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 19 มิ.ย. 2024
- A key pillar of Xi Jinping’s policy agenda is the fortification of China’s economic and financial system in the face of what he has described as US-led “containment, encirclement and suppression”. This talk explores the elements of this policy agenda and its implications for the United States and Australia.
Jude Blanchette holds the Freeman Chair in China Studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Previously, he was engagement director at the Conference Board’s China Center for Economics and Business in Beijing, where he researched China’s political environment with a focus on the workings of the Communist Party of China and its impact on foreign companies and investors. Prior to working at the Conference Board, Blanchette was the assistant director of the 21st Century China Center at the University of California, San Diego.
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An American who has some understanding of China, very rare these days. But he has limited understanding of the US 😂. As a former Chinese ambassador to the US puts it, "there's no bottom line to the ill will of the US for China". Mr. Blanchette talks about the lack of market economy in China, but does acknowledge some very good chinese competitors. Where do these formidable competitors come from if there is no market mechanism? 😂
state subsidies hahaha. thats what american businessmen are complaining about
@@gamingcentral2295 That's nonsense, an excuse, a copium. Does American state exist? Yes. Then it's a competition of state vs state, and Chinese market wins. Every state redistributes money, that's one of the basic elements of a state. The difference is that American state subsidies are inefficient (corruption, for example, is legal in the US, and is called lobbying) and favor the 0,01%, whereas China strengthens almost everyone through synergy, and the end result is that the US has no chance of competing with China because the Chinese economic model is better. It's not even close.
@@gamingcentral2295 Do you think subsidies can produce formidable competitors? Let us see how the US subsidies turn out then.
@@huanghermann5207 industries that a nation wants to champion will be subsidized by their government.
There are many who understand China. There is no short supply. IT IS the lack of PODIUM for them to speak. Political environment is not permitting.
This guy has some understanding of CPC but not all. Firstly does he actually understand what China wants from the 4 modernization, the idea first was became a major ideology under Deng Xiao Ping. This guy clearly like many other western Chinese expert only read half of what Deng actually said about China's internal and external policy. And Xi's policy is never about adjusting cages it is about China advancing its economy beyond being the work shop of the world, this has to be done through advancement in technology and stop certain bottleneck that can limit Chinese growth, Xi clearly see the semiconductor industry being a point or an industry to target, no sure it is Xi being the real genius and if not he certainly has a very good team surrounded him . Like many other this guy talk about demographic challenge in China, but this is a problem world wide, but one thing he does not understand is the fact that the US has much larger proportion of people that are older than 65 than China, 16% to 14%, also Chinese labor force is much much larger than the US 740 million vs 172 million. Many economic facts also point to the fact that reduce population does not directly result in reduction in productivity. The US current policy towards China has nothing to do with PLA, it is to do how and why China decide to pursue its own future economic and social development. The US has a policy that it would not stand for any kind of peer challenge regardless of what Chinese political system really is, even if China is to convert the current political system into democratic one. The US wanted a China that it can control economically and politically, anyone witness what happened in the last few years would have know this when they can look beyond the lens of 'democracy' or 'communism'. I think there is a way out of this and that day will be China totally destroyed the idea that the US can continue to maintain its dominance over China in technology. Talking about Geopolitics America's current success in building a block countering China only appear with Japan/Korea in East Asia, India and Philippines further south with Australia and possibly New Zealand, there is very little support in other ASEAN countries in the region, then there is Burma, Pakistan, Iran, much of middle east much in favor of China rather than the US, this also extend to Africa and South America. European is in Europe and there is only 28 countries in NATO and they are not in immediate border near China. Talking about C919, China was using the GE engine for the earliest example of that planes and gradually we are seeing they are putting their own home made engine into the newer planes, they do have a step by step procedure to build these planes base on their home technology, if we look at their space technology and their advancement in tech, I would not as confident as this guy here, about the semi conductor industry, five years ago when trump kicked off his sanction against China, did the US actually think that last year China could develop its own 5nm chips ? Not only have they successfully increase the capability of their maturing semi conductor industry and they move far beyond what the US thought they would in a little over four year. Now if you ask Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang who he considered to be the most major challenger for his company, his answer was Huawei. The more US sanction China the more likely hood they will forge their own way into having their own ecosystem to semiconductor industry that will eventually shake off the control of the US companies have over them. The sanction is also galvanized Chinese tech companies together.
Well said!
President Putin tell President Xi, if you breakup, Russia will be next.
President Xi also tells President Putin, if you breakup, China will also be next.
So, why not we work together.
Agreed !
I sympathized Russia for being contained by US for so many years. But I admired the strength of Putin to overcome the containment not just by the US but the whole of the WEST.
This shows Putin is really something when Russia can still hold the ground.
❤China ❤Russia
US behaving like a Mafia Don….either you give in or build up your arsenal & army of goons.😂😂😂
China didn't shut out EV competition. There isn't any competition.
When u judge everything thru d hubris Western lens..way of thinking, d unique capitalist system, governance, etc.. everything about China is not ideal. But d funny thing is China has been outperforming everybody for d last 3 decades, n d Western liberal ways have not delivered results for its society during d period.
I think it's not a bad idea to be humble sometimes. U might learn something useful.
Why spend so much time basically gossiping about your neighbours?
A true athlete actually hopes to have a fair chance, so that He can prove that his talent or effort is the reason he can win the competition, rather than relying on the opponent not being able to participate in the game
China is working on One Belt One Road , on Trades & Infrastructure projects .
China is the #1 or 2 trading partner of over 140+ countries .
The US is working on One Bomb One Road , on Wars & Bad-mouthing China .
The US has over 313 Military Bases around the World , and still building more around China .
There are too many Warmongers in the political circle in the US in the last few decades .
313? What about the remaining 483?
@@naturalselection1203 are you saying the fact ? That many ?
@@albertcadgame8314 Almost the same number of tents in the US as there are US military bases around the world. Meanwhile, Merikans are sending billions of dollars to Ukraine & Israel.
@@albertcadgame8314 Correction : Over 750+ US Military Bases around the World , of which 313+ are
surrounding China . And 3 - 4 more are setting up at the moment in the Philippines .
@@naturalselection1203 "Do you know how many Military Bases we have surrounding China? 313. Americans need
to wake up. It is a different world. We have about 750 military installations in 80 countries. '" says 2024 Democratic presidential candidate, Marianne Williamson.
"Pro market economist are not at the table" thanks to the hostile US containment efforts.
Expert? Through a zoom lens and narrow minded focus
Agreed, China is building two new "Maritime Great Walls." 1) Maritime Great Wall 1.0 from the North Pole to NZ. 2)Maritime Great Wall 2.0 in the South China Sea along the Six Dotted Lines.
Together both Maritime Great Walls 1.0 and 2.0 will secure Chinese goods, services, shipping, and citizens around the world. Both these Maritime Great Walls in the Pacific Ocean and South China Sea will be secured by the PLA and all carrier groups. 😂
China **should be** worried about external forces rather than about "internal rejuvenation".
These strategies against external forces is across the board - science and technology, defence, soft power (not so successful), currency and capital security.
The world has changed since the China-Russia axis has taken shape, starting with the Ukraine SMO (which has been played out since 2014, intentionally by the other axis).
At the end of the day, the axis with the most economic power will win the geo-political. China (manufactures), Russia (energy, commodities) will emerge stronger.
I want to see the day that the global south will see their lot getting better.
I wonder why there is no mention about hegemony.
We have the Korean war and a containment policy until at least early 1970's . Kissinger's policy influenced US-China relation for the next 50 years ---diplomacy are work until his death. What we were left with are WWIII warriors, disguised as diplomats or foreign relation experts.
As close to an unbiased analysis as you can get, and quite informative. However, this is much too late, because things have already been set in motion, and when the 🚀🚀🚀 start flying it is no longer important who was right or wrong, or what sequence of events lead to the current situation
The idea of "containment" by the party in power (such as the US, or the "west" as a collective lead by the US) for their adversaries or potential adversaries is exactly to prevent this from happening by denying them the means to gain such capability. They don't need to think about difficult questions like "who's right or wrong" if no one can challenge them.
Alas, we can see that it just doesn't work and the containment itself might create enmity in the first place and make matters worse as time goes by.
wrong. Ukraine sold on lies, and now it is without real allies. nobody wants to support nazis or genociders.
I like listening to Blanchette
There is a competition between US and China. Who will win, depends a lot on the leadership. So the big question is, Biden smarter or Xi smarter? Trump smartet or Xi smarter? Put your money on who you think is going to win. And hope for the best!
Democratic countries are more often than not, not run by the president, PM, or whoever in charge as the head of the state/government. They who hold the power are the lobbyists (finance, advocacy groups, etc.) , old men/women in power sitting for ages in the government, and influential institutions (military, think-tanks, intelligence, etc.) who together make up the "deep state".
US's idea of competition is to machine gun the competitors.
Biden and Trump spend more time punching each other in the face while Xi watch in amusement... Sun Zi says, the best plan is to win without a fight...
The answer is a no brainer, I'm putting my money on Xi & the Chinese people.
Pay the tribal people compensation rather than respect 😊 I am sure they will appreciate it more.
Jai Hind. How would you compensate for Genocide of the local aboriginal people, Jews and Gazans? Some heartfelt apology for the past suffering is probably the best.
@@tedchandran
We can do something about what we did in this century, in our lifetime, and as we type
For example STOP the ETHNIC CLEANSING in Gaza. Return the Palestinian and Syrian land
Very doable.
Thank you, a very concise and understandable explanation. I hope people in the USA listen to you.
Quite impressed with this speaker, a rare expert and is able to speak about Chinese economy and strategy clearly, obviously not as knowledgeable as Keyu Jin, the LSE professor, he is way much better than Kevin Rudd, which these days are using his outdated view about China to make money as a speaker 😂
I'm not a follower of Kevin Rudd, but what exactly outdated things that Kevin Rudd said?
In simple terms, the loser is trying to make up new rules, what is new?
Such a liberal move to be like "yeah ill read this peace of paper and feel a little bad but you guys aint getting this land back. Lmao"
The best outcome for the N.W. Pacific region now is for U.S. allies to jump ship, so to speak. Neither Japan nor Korea need to remain subservient to the U.S. Both Japan and South Korea have a lot to learn from the DPRK; their close North Korean neighbours, having struggled against U.S./UN sanctions sufficient to become a genuine sovereign country whose people are now all the more resilient and secure. Conversely, states that remain subservient to U.S. administrations are getting what they deserve, they are gradually becoming less secure and more impoverished eg; the Phillipines, Japan, Afghanistan, Germany, Britain, Israel, Australia etc:
Outstanding content.
when was this recorded ?
Wow you finally posted the video that took a long time surely it can be done in a more timely manner??????
Jai Hind. There are now incredible amount of the Western hubris on Xi genocidal regime and the Axis of Evil. Rather according to the PM of Albania Umat and Nato member straight to the face of Genocidal Blinken, the 3 Devils or Evils to the Umat2 are however respectively, US Imperialism, Soviets Social Imperialism and Zionism.
I think America has a lot to learn from China. We should care about this country first and foremost, not Ukraine, not Israel, not Taiwan, not the EU, etc.
Agree with you 100%
Is the US helping these countries or using them as a sacrificial pawn for its own imperialist ambitions
Ask Elon Musk about the competitiveness of the Chinese market.
Don't just repeat American slogans.
Be a true scholar, look at facts
Chinese competition has a hand behind the players, that is the government - national or local. These government supports enable the connected and "skilled" players. Most others play by the rule of the market economy have to work extra harder or be extraordinarily lucky!
@@NorCalMoDo if Elon Musk were you, he wouldn't have set up a factory in Shanghai, but now he is expanding his Shanghai factory even bigger
Elon Musk would not hesitate to shut all his factories in the USA, and relocate to China tonight. Elon Musk publicly said, nobody in DC consulted him on the latest rounds of 3X EV tariffs against all Chinese electric Autos. 😮
@@NorCalMoDoChina works as a team player
China elevated 400 million of its cotizens out of poverty and help developing countries build infrastructure. Enables thc country to grow and advance along with the rest of the world. While America cripples itself into extreme inequality where nearly 20% struggle with hunger and lack of housing. The country‘s economic engine has one dead cylinder.
A question --
Why are the Anglo Saxons so insistent on maintaining hegemony of its race?
How about co-existing with other races?
Mother Nature
Might be the only reason ⁉️
Have you seen an Anglo Saxon?
@@lycao7451Have I seen an Anglo Saxon? No comment. 🤣🤣🤣
Geopolitics/Capitalism has no permanent friends or has no permanent enemies.
Was that Gordon Chang in disguise?
Opinion disguised as fact! The speaker asserts his opinions critical of China and its leadership purely to assert the superiority of his Western paradigm. US semiconductor restrictions, which he upholds as critical are built on one critical technology - EUV lithography. From Etching and deposition to photoresists and packaging, China's domestic technology advances.
To be honest, his critique is merely singing sweet music to the ears of a Western audience. It is a form of group self-deceit where the speaker searches for areas to critique and exaggerates their impact. His analysis is filled with the usual "Beijing fails...", or "Xi fails..." wishful narrative. He presumes to know the thinking of a leadership that he has never had access to directly or even indirectly.
Consider his analysis of the C919 aircraft. He upholds this as a testimony of Chinese technological dependency, however, the Chinese tactic is to seek the best technologies at the prototype stage - otherwise, they would have gone for easily accessible Russian aero-tech. They do this to ensure that a standard of quality is upheld when they eventually substitute with domestic-based systems and components. This is called "catfishing", and is practically illustrated by Tesla's introduction to the Chinese EV market which has raised the quality of Chinese EVs to their current world-beating standard. Meanwhile, the Chinese are about to launch in quick succession the C929 and the C939; rapidly building on their 15-year learning experience with the C919.
Let them sleep, otherwise when they wake up, they will only face the cruel reality.
China says Mind your own business. if you want to trade, it's okay, if you want war, go make my day.
Did you just, “Yada, yada, yada.” The entire trump years? ;)
Actually, I appreciate that.
He 🤔 Ng the is smarter than Ci Jinping on how to run China .....hahaha.
You can't even spell a two letter mane correctly - oh dear.
Mr. Blanchette’s confidence that he could do a better job of running China than Xi seems to rest upon an unshakable faith that China and the U.S. can have a mutually profitable mercantile relationship, and he gives us some advice on how China might better pursue that goal. On how China might better pursue some of its other goals, say, of ethnociding the Uyhgurs in its newly occupied Eastern Turkmenistan, Mr. Blanchette is silent. These goals are perhaps eliminated from his calculus as being extrinsic to a mercantile concentration. However, what if China’s goal of Han ethnocentricism trumps Mr. Blancette’s mercantilist utopia in the Chinese Emperor’s calculus? Fate is indeed a cruel mistress for having put Xi instead of Blanchette in charge of China’s future.
Half the game of politics is how well you work with other politicians and those under you..
So no, he has no connections or standing in the CPC so no, he could not even be a successful village leader, let alone a city mayor, provincial governor or president.
He would need to start from the bottom and lift up a village from poverty over like 10 years or so to open doors to keep moving up the political ladder, and I doubt he would be able to last and succeed in those first 10 years as he tries to prove not just his capability as a leader, but also his ideological and national loyalty to China and CPC.
He probably wouldn't even pass the first step. To join CPC. Apparently even xi got rejected 3 times before he succeeded.
US has a cocked gun pointed at China's head, and Mr. Blanchette is talking about Xi's failure to concentrate on rejuvenation? You have to be alive before you can rejuvenate.
At least he is far more realistic than you. You formulate your ideas on US propaganda and false accusations of genocide. What could go wrong? Everything.
Doesn't matter what China does or don't do because of the size and population of china.
US will only let them climb the pyramid to a certain level and No More period . You think US wants to be like UK ,France ⁉️. Your Technology can only reach so high .
The same will apply to India .
Smaller countries is to stop them from getting nuclear power.
That's the name of the Game .
And the rest is just western BS.
East Turmenistan do NOT exist in the real world
It is a CIA creation, troll.
haha sour grapes so sour
Xi Jingpin should hear this talk.
Why?
Yes, why?
China has the world's finest, brightest, and most competent bureaucrats who lead the nation as a manufacturing superpower. And you think this guy whose country sells minerals and couldn't transform Aus into a manufacturing powerhouse, knows better than Chinese leadership. you probably believe election and democracy make you superior without doing anything.
lol, only if you want your country to be destroyed.
@@Andromeda365 probably for comic relief. This is a good joke.
🤮🤮🤮🤮
These speeches n centres are tailored for Western consumption. If they tell the truth, they will loss all their sponsorship n funding😂😂😂
Based on the liberal perspective, the determinants of Biden's foreign policy are largely domestic. So, it's essential to look inside the United States Blackbox of what's going on there, which is based on organizational, bureaucratic, and pluralist models of decision-making.
As the Axis Forces (Germany and Japan) planned for World War III, the current strategic landscape change is the construction of Germany and Japan since the wake of World War II. When the paradigm shifted, the non-Axis Forces scholars did not change their analysis framework, resulting in a circle unable to explain why events happened the way they happened.
However, the problem occurred because there were no push-and-pull factors or tug-of-war among those actors in the opinions about China. As a result, the Biden team moved from non-coercive alternatives of 'de-risking' towards the realist perspective of coercive techniques of power in which the use of force is acceptable.
Containment period ⁉️
They can't compete with Large country with hugh population and advance technology ⁉️
India will also be contain when they reaching a certain level.
⁉️⁉️⁉️