Why the Perfect Speedrun of Punch Out Will Never Happen

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 ต.ค. 2022
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  • เกม

ความคิดเห็น • 844

  • @SagesCartoon
    @SagesCartoon 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +997

    For those that don't know, the Mr. Sandman TAS has been tied by Summoning Salt!

    • @seanmaguire548
      @seanmaguire548 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      Really?

    • @SagesCartoon
      @SagesCartoon 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +22

      @@seanmaguire548 Yep!

    • @SagesCartoon
      @SagesCartoon 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +36

      check out his Alt, named Summoning Alt. Should be a vid of 2:16.48 Sandman!

    • @nuclearcoconut3664
      @nuclearcoconut3664 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      yooo awesome

    • @SagesCartoon
      @SagesCartoon 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      not gonna do cringe likes edit so instead imma do cringe likes reply but how does this have 350 likes-?

  • @thepopemichael
    @thepopemichael ปีที่แล้ว +4430

    You sometimes forget that the famous speed running documentarian, Summoning Salt, is also a speedrunner himself.

    • @icedo1013
      @icedo1013 ปีที่แล้ว +661

      "Then two weeks later, a runner by the name of me got this time..."

    • @Caddynars
      @Caddynars ปีที่แล้ว +266

      Yep. He’s been a Punch Out speedrunner for many years and has held records in many of the game’s categories.

    • @alej6712
      @alej6712 ปีที่แล้ว +362

      @@Caddynars he also never mentions himself, which is super humble of him

    • @HarambaeXelonmuskfans
      @HarambaeXelonmuskfans ปีที่แล้ว +60

      He’s a speed-running documentary channel, he’s literally the king of losers.

    • @SoapBurger
      @SoapBurger ปีที่แล้ว

      @@HarambaeXelonmuskfans someone who gets a bag + is revered by a massive community what a loser

  • @rita1525
    @rita1525 ปีที่แล้ว +2165

    Mac’s face when he lands a star punch in this game is hilarious to me for some reason. It looks like he’s upset to be dealing big damage.

    • @thevacationman9663
      @thevacationman9663 ปีที่แล้ว +89

      In my opinion, it looks like Little Mac is grunting when he uses it

    • @theepiceeeman8351
      @theepiceeeman8351 ปีที่แล้ว +96

      I thought he was looking at Doc Louis to see if he is proud of Mac using his signature punch

    • @ninjaguyYT
      @ninjaguyYT ปีที่แล้ว +74

      I got the impression that he put so much power into it that it's painful to him.

    • @autumnshinespark
      @autumnshinespark ปีที่แล้ว +23

      His face always reminds me of the hardcover comic book way back when, because I'd never seen the game played and he landed a star punch at the end.

    • @PinkManGuy
      @PinkManGuy ปีที่แล้ว

      GAY THEORY: HE IS A SOULESS SOCIOPATH AND WANTS TO HIT HIS OPPONENT MORE, SO WHEN HE KNOCKS THEM DOWN WITH LESS STRIKES TO THE FACE HE FEELS EMPTY INSIDE.

  • @ZykoMike
    @ZykoMike ปีที่แล้ว +840

    Not a single thing in this video will benefit me in any way in life. I absolutely loved the whole thing.

    • @dtsnelson
      @dtsnelson ปีที่แล้ว +44

      Learning is a benefit in itself, and I still know what you mean. Who knows you may make a friend because of some random info you remember from this video!

    • @Maxawa0851
      @Maxawa0851 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      Having fun is a benefit isnt it?

    • @ZykoMike
      @ZykoMike ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@Maxawa0851 I feel like the whole comment went over your head. I loved the video. Yes it was entertaining, which is why I loved the video, even though it will not benefit me in any other way beyond just sitting and enjoying the video. Which is high praise for a video, and how he delivers the content.

    • @Maxawa0851
      @Maxawa0851 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      @@ZykoMike yeah i know it was a compliment, but I mean that I'd consider fun itself to be a benefit

    • @blackheart0117
      @blackheart0117 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@ZykoMike sound like a kid

  • @SSM24_
    @SSM24_ ปีที่แล้ว +966

    27:52 - "the odds for the fight aren't too bad, at about 1 in 114"
    This really set the tone for the rest of the video LMAO

    • @suprmanjim
      @suprmanjim ปีที่แล้ว +21

      And piston Honda’s 1 attack in one part was 1 in 114
      Edit: it’s at 1:00:06

    • @spoobini
      @spoobini ปีที่แล้ว +14

      honestly tho thats same as it is queueing any competitive online game

    • @Spectator9672
      @Spectator9672 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I mean yeah, that odds of that aren't that bad

    • @poudink5791
      @poudink5791 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      For something that has yet to be achieved by humans 1 in 114 is indeed really good odds.

    • @MDLuffy1234YT
      @MDLuffy1234YT 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Gacha players: "I like those odds."

  • @athenaraines
    @athenaraines ปีที่แล้ว +680

    For reference, the odds of getting the perfect speedrun would mean that you have to play perfectly, hitting hundreds of inputs which already brush against the limits of human ability, while also selecting one randomly chosen atom from within **the entire solar system**

    • @randoprior4130
      @randoprior4130 ปีที่แล้ว +120

      Obviously a skill issue.

    • @dego-mon
      @dego-mon ปีที่แล้ว +91

      Clearly a lack of human determination

    • @tuio403
      @tuio403 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +51

      They are just bad ngl

    • @antoniotrivelloni8191
      @antoniotrivelloni8191 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +46

      So you're telling me there's a chance

    • @grunkleg.3110
      @grunkleg.3110 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

      That's like a 1 in 3 shot at that point

  • @EarthBound_Fan
    @EarthBound_Fan ปีที่แล้ว +155

    Don Flamango RNG: "We have you 32,768 to 1!" Little Mac: "I like those odds"

    • @cyanideytandcuriousseadogg4160
      @cyanideytandcuriousseadogg4160 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Mac: “These odds be one of me favorites Don”

    • @mikemurphy5898
      @mikemurphy5898 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Little Mac has his opponent throw the fight because of a gambling and substance abuse problem he has after just finding out he got his sister-in-law pregnant. It's actually a really dark storyline for a kid's video game.

    • @averagerobloxyoutuberr
      @averagerobloxyoutuberr 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@mikemurphy5898 Proof?

    • @diegordi1394
      @diegordi1394 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@mikemurphy5898 Where do you even find such outlandish claims?

  • @zacharyjeffares8158
    @zacharyjeffares8158 ปีที่แล้ว +685

    I’m surprised that animation team for this Nintendo classic was able implement “stance” into the game. By using the slight variations of timing, they were able to show how Mac is using a right handed stance. Very cool!

    • @kingkrispy5289
      @kingkrispy5289 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      NES development in general was crazy when you realize just how weak the NES is

    • @jambott5520
      @jambott5520 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      ​@@kingkrispy5289​ Honestly most of the maths here is well within the power of the NES, it is nowhere near complex enough to be a struggle for even a simple computer. Not to say it is easy to make that, I imagine the NES was programmed using a language that spoke directly with the hardware and was not abstracted, something like assembly, so it would be quite difficult to code, but computers are really good at maths.
      Most of what the NES struggled with is scale, there simply was not much space for graphical, anything. So having a large area with a lot of variation in sprites and tiles is very difficult.
      Mike tysons punchout is not technically impressive for an NES game, it's most impressive in terms of design. The design of the game works to the NES's strengths.
      The graphics are simple, leaving a lot of space for making the character sprites do complex actions along with having them be readable. This is what is most impressive for this game. The NES has such a teeny tiny amount of space to render sprites and to store animations for sprites. I imagine that there is some hacky fucking shit going behind the scenes to make it work, I would guess they have to fight the hardware in order to assign enough ram specifically to sprites which would otherwise be assigned to tiles, but I am not sure. Definitely some bullshit hack that caused at least 3 people to take a day off after they figured it out. You also have to remember that everything with sprites is in 8x8 tiles, making it even more unwieldy than it would first seem. The maths ain't that intense, something that a much weaker computer than the NES could do with ease. But the graphics, getting those to be readable, and to run at 60fps consistently, that is pretty fuckin dope.
      While the stance thing OP mentioned is cool, really it is at most a few extra bits of information. You assign the inputs of the punches, then assign a different animation to those punches. Most likely they have a default damage and timing for the punches, with the difference between the punches being a variable. A cool ass detail but technically not impressive.

    • @kingkrispy5289
      @kingkrispy5289 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jambott5520 I don’t remember leaving a comment here and I’m fasting Ramadan so all I’ll say is that I vaguely remember the punch out cart having some memory on board just to help with the gigantic sprites, probably raw graphical data issues, idk, ima explode, thanks for the comment tho

  • @itsybitsycherry
    @itsybitsycherry 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    There’s something magical and hilarious about the TAS essentially telling Bald Bull to go to hell and punching right through his attacks with 1 to 178 quadrillion odds.

  • @derekdavidson6738
    @derekdavidson6738 ปีที่แล้ว +395

    At one time, i could go through this game without taking a hit and thought i was great. This level of analysis and gameplay is just staggering to me.

    • @brad9284
      @brad9284 ปีที่แล้ว +51

      No matter how good you think you are, there's always someone better. That's what my mom would always say to me. Lol idk if that's good or bad.

    • @vgamer11
      @vgamer11 ปีที่แล้ว +62

      I still think that's pretty great; sure there are people who are so dedicated as to analyze the game down to its programming and statistics and whatnot, but when you've got no tools to assist you other than the original hardware and your wits, I'd say that that's something to be proud of.

    • @orlandofurioso7329
      @orlandofurioso7329 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      @@brad9284 That's also one of the biggest and most humble lessons from Dragon Ball

    • @bolothemenace9885
      @bolothemenace9885 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@orlandofurioso7329 *laughing in jiren*😂

    • @MannifyYT2023
      @MannifyYT2023 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @@brad9284 SummoningSalt on Mike Tyson: am i a joke to you?

  • @dan00b8
    @dan00b8 ปีที่แล้ว +106

    "ok, that was the hard part. now it's time for the other hard part" had me rolling

    • @legendgames128
      @legendgames128 ปีที่แล้ว +16

      "had me rolling" jabs?

    • @spoobini
      @spoobini ปีที่แล้ว +6

      it gets worse before it gets worse

  • @gfdggdfgdgf
    @gfdggdfgdgf ปีที่แล้ว +879

    Fun fact: if you're a top level punch out player there's a good chance you're also good at making interesting videos.

    • @patoa3481
      @patoa3481 ปีที่แล้ว +17

      Reminds me of Wirtual. Really good and knowledgeable about Trackmania where his video's are so amusing to look at even tho I don't even play that game all that much

    • @just_peace
      @just_peace ปีที่แล้ว +28

      Wild how the chance of any given punch out speedrunner making a series of speedrunning documentaries is higher than many of the probabilities featured in the video

    • @damiencouturee6240
      @damiencouturee6240 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      That's true for a lot of games it seems lol. Karl Jobst, Kosmic, MitchFlowerPower, Goose, I can think of off the top of my head.

  • @superjurppa
    @superjurppa 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    As a lover of impossible odds, the odds given in the very end for the whole TAS-speedrun are in the same ballpark as taking every grain of sand on the Earth, putting it in a bowl and then picking at random the same exact grain four times in a row. Or, if someone had simulated a full-game speedrun without RNG manipulation million times every second since the big bang, they would not have made basically any progress towards achieving this run yet, since they would be at around 0.000000000000000000000000000000001% of the number of games in which this run would occur.

  • @Smashomon8004
    @Smashomon8004 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    And now, Summoning salt has tied the Mr Sandman TAS!

  • @seanb3226
    @seanb3226 ปีที่แล้ว +131

    It's fascinating to me seeing games like this that have been worked out to a science. Incredible.

    • @Max_Casetera
      @Max_Casetera ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Yeah it's really interesting

    • @Johny9405
      @Johny9405 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      Most video games come down to pattern recognition and how fast you can see those patterns

    • @dtsnelson
      @dtsnelson ปีที่แล้ว +11

      This along with stuff like the minimum a press and speedrun of Mario 64 is absolutely insane to me. Like it gets to the point where you could write a Mathematics doctorate dissertation about some of the stuff in the minimum A press challenge.

  • @forgiveman
    @forgiveman ปีที่แล้ว +18

    This is getting to Bismuth levels of: "when I was about to publish the video a new strat was discovered."

  • @thisbox
    @thisbox ปีที่แล้ว +189

    0:00 Intro
    1:10 Timing Method
    2:26 Human to TAS Completion
    2:43 'Lass Joe
    3:39 Don Flamenco 1
    7:24 Great Tiger
    9:28 Getting a Star Animation
    10:08 "47.48"
    11:20 Piston Honda 2 (and the start of RNG)
    15:18 Von Kaiser 1
    18:17 King Hippo
    20:29 Mr. Sandman
    28:09 Bald Bull 1
    35:30 Super Macho Man Phase 1
    39:58 Super Macho Man Phase 2
    41:33 Super Macho Man Phase 3
    42:11 The Actual Odds
    43:30 Feasibility
    45:30 Mike Tyson
    48:48 Tyson Finder
    49:39 The Tyson TAS
    51:25 Soda Popinski
    52:32 Soda TAS Pop
    57:10 Piston Honda 1 (the bringer of RNG)
    1:02:11 The Odds...
    1:03:12 Don Flamenco 2 - Consistency turned into Fluid
    1:05:32 The Impossibility
    1:08:27 The Human Time
    1:09:28 Bald Bull 2 Human Method
    1:11:10 Bald Bull 2 TAS - The RNG Hell that nobody can or will go for
    1:14:28 Conclusion

    • @ultimatedouchebag6760
      @ultimatedouchebag6760 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      and i though the host didnt have a life......i was way off

    • @MannifyYT2023
      @MannifyYT2023 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Ah yes. My favorite Punch-Out character. ‘Lass Joe

    • @Spectator9672
      @Spectator9672 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      @@ultimatedouchebag6760 This comment doesn't make any sense

    • @fireyfan25
      @fireyfan25 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      So…
      No RNG - Glass Joe, Don Flamenco 1, and Great Tiger
      Humans have done / will do - Piston Honda 2, Von Kaiser, King Hippo, and Mr. Sandman
      Feasible for a human - Bald Bull 1 and Super Macho Man
      Mike Tyson (Dream luck heavily recommended but not required + 17 frame-perfect dodges) - Mike Tyson
      Requires Dream luck - Soda Popinski, Piston Honda 2, Don Flamenco 2
      Not going to happen - Bald Bull 2

    • @snakyYT
      @snakyYT 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Dont insult me boy glass joe. He aint a quiter

  • @nolan414_
    @nolan414_ ปีที่แล้ว +195

    Don 2 WR in 39.97 while the TAS is 58.00? Now that's insane 🙃

    • @Papamanual
      @Papamanual  ปีที่แล้ว +95

      Just shows who's on my mind for taking MY HONDA 1 WR.
      Kappa

    • @nolan414_
      @nolan414_ ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Hehe

    • @spookydivorce
      @spookydivorce ปีที่แล้ว +34

      Me, reading this: okay.. TAS is an acronym for tool-assisted speedrun
      Also me, who’s been raised on DC and a lover of Batman: Punch Out: The Animated Series

    • @Invariel
      @Invariel ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@spookydivorce I'd watch it.

    • @keithtorgersen9664
      @keithtorgersen9664 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@spookydivorce I just heard about TAS a few weeks back. I am only a casual gamer but it is still interesting to me. When I was younger I was all about using GameGenie, GameShark, Pro-Action Replay. I don't yet know what the above "WR" means.

  • @malirk
    @malirk 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    1987 - Summoning Salt beats MTPO before he is even born.
    ...
    2023 - Summoning Salt ties TAS for Mr. Sandman
    2024 - Summoning Salt ties the complete TAS

    • @Supersonic6427
      @Supersonic6427 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It's almost mid 2024 (5/18/24 at 2:45am (est) for your convience)

  • @Steevy84
    @Steevy84 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    Incredible work bro, the explanations and drawings + odds multiplying on each punch/dodge really shows how much you have figured out those mechanics to analyze the entire game frame by frame, very impressive.

    • @Papamanual
      @Papamanual  6 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Thanks! I appreciate it!

  • @s1rb1untly
    @s1rb1untly ปีที่แล้ว +21

    As someone who has occasionally dabbled with watching speedruns for the last 10 years, your breakdowns of the odds in these videos are among the *very* best on the internet. Not only is it informative, it's highly entertaining (especially for someone who actually grew up owning this since their 7th birthday...) -definitely gold standard level material, sir. 11/10

  • @VestedUTuber
    @VestedUTuber ปีที่แล้ว +187

    The odds of pulling off a TAS perfect run in Mike Tyson's Punch Out are so low that even quantum fluctuations after the heat death of the universe aren't guaranteed to eventually result in it. You're more likely to end up with a bubble nucleation event creating a new universe.

    • @psychotheunsane7285
      @psychotheunsane7285 ปีที่แล้ว +38

      Holy crap...you're right. In fact, it's more likely that another *you* will spontaneously materialize out of thin air...or win the lottery 20 times in succession.

    • @Streetcleanergaming
      @Streetcleanergaming ปีที่แล้ว +22

      ​@@psychotheunsane7285 BUT would it be more likely for another you to pop into existence while also having a copy of punch out and a TV with a console and battery to play it with?

  • @ericsbuds
    @ericsbuds ปีที่แล้ว +59

    wow... the fact that you cant retry later fights very easily is crazy! i hadnt thought of that. these speedrunners are dedicated :D

    • @Rith9789
      @Rith9789 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      You can practice using savestates, and then later do a run without them.

    • @gregmax19
      @gregmax19 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @@Rith9789just practice the rng

    • @jewels3846
      @jewels3846 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@gregmax19 I mean tbf im stoned and so them pointing out the obvious actually helped me 😂😂😂😂😂
      I was here thinking they couldnt save state to practice strats 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️😂

  • @Caligulove
    @Caligulove ปีที่แล้ว +40

    Oh man. Thank you for doing this. It explains so much of the "wtf this worked last time" feeling I've had while playing this game.

  • @jdurg
    @jdurg ปีที่แล้ว +37

    That was a fantastic video. Very well done. Thanks for making this. I think it's required watching for any MTPO speedrunner for sure.

  • @keithtorgersen9664
    @keithtorgersen9664 ปีที่แล้ว +43

    I tried this using save-scumming on the Nintendo Switch version. Even with my best timing I could not get past Tyson, that was unbelievable.

    • @Deamons64
      @Deamons64 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I know I'm well late, but it really doesn't help you that those Eshop ports aren't amazing. There usually is notable input delay in comparison to original, or even emulated. So, it makes the whole thing that much harder when everything you do has 2-5 frames of lag on top of the normal timing.

  • @colecreatedcontent4916
    @colecreatedcontent4916 ปีที่แล้ว +62

    I always knew of salts history as a top runner in punch out but I had no idea he was still an elite runner today cool tidbit

    • @Eggy79
      @Eggy79 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      He also just got SS WR too

  • @frikobraun
    @frikobraun ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Real respect for both the subject matter and that Driver music... I recognized it immediately! You're a real man of taste!

  • @stormlord1984
    @stormlord1984 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    "1 to the 10^58. Those odds are pretty unlikely."
    Unlikely. That is THE understatement of the century.

  • @CAJames902
    @CAJames902 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Great video. I'm a "Viewer" rather than a competitor, and I find this combination of examples and statistics EXTREMELY informative. Thank you.

  • @CalFPS
    @CalFPS ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This was an amazing video to watch! I also love having such an epic Bleach theme for Don freaking flamenco of all people.

  • @dungeonpastor
    @dungeonpastor ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Your production value is so high. Love the video.

  • @hanging4176
    @hanging4176 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Incredible video, your music selection is top notch as well.

  • @yiply42
    @yiply42 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Aside from the absolutely astounding research, editing, and general presentation, holy hell what a niche banger of a track at 1:03:14 by Shiro Sagisu, as soon as the first few notes hit I popped out of my chair, that song may have the coolest lyrics of any song I know. Thank you for the amazing vid, it made my day.

  • @mugiwarated6319
    @mugiwarated6319 ปีที่แล้ว +22

    So basically, if one were to start playing now and never stop playing until the heat death of the universe, executing perfectly every single time and resetting at the first instance of not perfect rng, the odds of a perfect run are still a near statistical impossibility.

    • @dspsblyuth
      @dspsblyuth ปีที่แล้ว +4

      When considering infinite time then your chances of doing it on the first attempt are the same as never accomplishing it

    • @stitchfinger7678
      @stitchfinger7678 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@dspsblyuth Only if youre already as good as youll ever be

    • @dspsblyuth
      @dspsblyuth ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@stitchfinger7678 60% of the time it works every time

    • @TehGamesaver
      @TehGamesaver ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@dspsblyuth If you consider infinite time, the chances are 100% you'll get this run, so no they aren't anywhere close to the same. I don't care how big the exponent is, if it's not infinite then it's not infinite and therefore possible.

    • @1uPUIKbDF8Wjv0eq3CtJSn7tkwjJce
      @1uPUIKbDF8Wjv0eq3CtJSn7tkwjJce ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@TehGamesavera simple example: although statistically improbable, it is possible to flip a coin infinite times none of which are heads
      you could think of it as an infinite series of infinite attempts most of which result in a success at some point but some will never

  • @commanderproton7763
    @commanderproton7763 ปีที่แล้ว +40

    Great video, it's insane seeing how RNG hell this can be for the speedrun. I wonder what the odds of SPO are, but unfortunately I don't think we know quite the full details of the RNG in the game are. Punch-Out Wii I hear has a lot less RNG I believe, so that would probably be the most possible of the 3 I'd guess.

    • @phantomgrape
      @phantomgrape ปีที่แล้ว +8

      Didn't someone almost get the perfect SPO run but lost it at the very end?

    • @HylianWindRider
      @HylianWindRider ปีที่แล้ว

      Yeah, I saw that in Summoning Salt's video.

    • @MannifyYT2023
      @MannifyYT2023 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@phantomgrape yep FatPotatoSeal
      The current WR by AwesomeAndy had a pace about a second slower but still had insane odds

  • @blueyandicy
    @blueyandicy 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    thanks for putting your music in the description!

  • @joebeezy9471
    @joebeezy9471 ปีที่แล้ว +130

    Love seeing a speedrun video that talks about Summiningsalt’s contribution to the speedrun ING community outside of his incredible history videos.
    I would love to see the metrics on the level of activity in speedrunning and/or the level of interest in speedrunning in general prior to Salt’s world record history videos and compare that to after his channel became so well known. I know he was a huge influence on my interest in speedrunning and I can’t be the only one.

    • @sebastiansanchez375
      @sebastiansanchez375 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I mean summongsalt does hold all but 1 world record for mike tyson’s punch out which is weird to think about

  • @Dorkchester1
    @Dorkchester1 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is an incredibly put together video and very easy to understamd could be used as a study in stats classes.

  • @davep4948
    @davep4948 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Awesome video pap! Well done sir

  • @crowleyand2
    @crowleyand2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    The soundtrack... OMG, could recognize each song...I need to rest from the screen LOL.
    You, sir, deserve internet glory. Subbed.

    • @freakbag420
      @freakbag420 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      What's the song at 11 minutes discussing piston? I keep feeling like have it figured out then it vanishes from my mind. Nevermind didn't realize it was in the description

    • @crowleyand2
      @crowleyand2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@freakbag420 LOL, Forget what I said as well, I didn't recognize that song and Driver's, but still, such a recognizable ost. Feels so familiar.

  • @jarontjones
    @jarontjones ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Ayo I was just scrolling TH-cam when I found this video😅. However, my good sir, you went so in depth it literally had me mind blown. I had never thought about a game like punch out to such an extent before. It honestly makes you appreciate what the devs were able to create with such old technology.

    • @Dreweybaby
      @Dreweybaby ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I know right

    • @coolnamebro
      @coolnamebro ปีที่แล้ว +3

      So true. The amount of soul and feel this game has is bordering on supernatural.

  • @SmugLookingBarrel
    @SmugLookingBarrel ปีที่แล้ว +15

    I keep coming back to this video, partially to watch the fights and partially because I like listening to you, and in the process I came up with an idea for an interesting challenge:
    What is the fastest possible time you can beat the game in, where the odds of the run are no worse than 1 in 1000?
    There's so many random events that save time, so I'm curious as to, if there was a very specific amount of luck you could have total through the whole run, what random events would you want to go your way that would save the most time? So if you want a random star, or a lucky low refill, or a good pattern, you need to spend some of your limited pool of luck.

    • @Papamanual
      @Papamanual  ปีที่แล้ว +9

      Those are very good questions... that I have no idea how to calculate lol...

  • @Acecox25
    @Acecox25 ปีที่แล้ว

    Awesome video man the detail and Knowledge is crazy lol☺️

  • @TheCompleteMental
    @TheCompleteMental 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Little Mac's boxing gimmick is just machine gun left gutpunches. Man does more liver damage than a gallon of everclear.

  • @Hovezipwn
    @Hovezipwn 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I choked on my beer when i saw the numbers rising on the last fight.

  • @Lix-iv8dn
    @Lix-iv8dn 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great video man, really high effort. i’ve been watching it bit by bit to help me go to bed over the past week. love your channel keep up the good ass content

  • @frosif7751
    @frosif7751 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    little mac's fists are so powerful he stops time, sounds like some anime shiz

  • @HumbleHurricane
    @HumbleHurricane ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Props to this insanely in depth and master class breakdown. But my guy, also huge shout out to the ungodly soundtrack chosen for the backdrop 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
    You are a REAL one!

  • @evannewman3997
    @evannewman3997 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Ahh, more PMD2 music right at the start. Awesome!

  • @pandoranbias1622
    @pandoranbias1622 ปีที่แล้ว

    Incredible work.

  • @mathguy3451
    @mathguy3451 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Yeah… no thanks bald bull 2. You win…

  • @k_three
    @k_three ปีที่แล้ว

    Great work man

  • @darkreyule
    @darkreyule ปีที่แล้ว

    This video was so fantastically done.

  • @hrnekbezucha
    @hrnekbezucha ปีที่แล้ว

    Great breakdown, thanks

  • @user-cc4mo1tq1y
    @user-cc4mo1tq1y ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video man

  • @PointEndClick
    @PointEndClick ปีที่แล้ว +5

    This video is awesome.

  • @TheSaxon25
    @TheSaxon25 ปีที่แล้ว

    fantastic breakdown

  • @ashisharky
    @ashisharky ปีที่แล้ว +3

    "Summoningsalt was the first one..." deadass almost fell backwards out of my bed doing a double take on that

  • @spoobini
    @spoobini ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Punch out runners be the type of people to buy scratchers every time they're at the gas station

  • @ZachGatesHere
    @ZachGatesHere ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I love how the Tyson rng went from not great to hilarious just in the last 10 seconds

  • @BigPoppi2
    @BigPoppi2 ปีที่แล้ว +30

    Wow this video is amazing I should’ve charged my phone so I could’ve watched the entire thing but my phone was ded and I forgot.... although DAMN the odds are unbelievably low for a perfect run compared to runs for individual fighters or individual circuits. I expected it to be like atleast 10x to like 26x harder for a perfect run of the entire game but instead its thousands harder. Thats probably not even near the actual chances.... anyway again, cool vid. really high quality.

  • @mattpeters4700
    @mattpeters4700 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    2.9k subs? WTF? This is some of the best content on you tube! If you keep this quality up I am sure you will explode in popularity. This video is so gosh darn great.

  • @blue5599_REAL
    @blue5599_REAL ปีที่แล้ว

    Love this channel

  • @MannifyYT2023
    @MannifyYT2023 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Wow
    1 in 51 Octodecillion 938 Septendecillion 225 Sexdecillion 37 Quindecillion 332 Quattordecillion 271 Tredecillion 540 Duodecillion 994 Undecillion 213 Decillion 31 Nonillion 60 Octillion 19 Septillion 456 Sextillion 688 Quintillion 275 Quadrillion 928 Trillion 354 Billion 886 Million 887 Thousand 882 odds of the perfect run.
    Insanity.

    • @zolli21
      @zolli21 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Summoning salt can get those odds.

    • @MannifyYT2023
      @MannifyYT2023 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@zolli21 can he get them 3 times in a row?

  • @zachlyons2425
    @zachlyons2425 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    very in depth wow!

  • @alexkuhn5188
    @alexkuhn5188 ปีที่แล้ว

    I love the fact you used the Giratina Battle Remix by GlitchxCity in the video, love their remixes.

  • @meachew
    @meachew ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Love the bleach soundtrack used, and wow the rng is insane for this game

  • @Madsiekins
    @Madsiekins ปีที่แล้ว +2

    This video deserves to blow up

  • @ShadowDemonSB
    @ShadowDemonSB ปีที่แล้ว

    Look at all this dedication and we still cant cure the common cold. Grest job! Fantastic video.

  • @zackbiggins2022
    @zackbiggins2022 ปีที่แล้ว

    Major respect for using Pokemon mystery dungeon music in the background

  • @DiscoStuIII
    @DiscoStuIII ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The amount of times you said frame perfect in just like the first 15 minutes of this video was enough for me let alone all the rng

  • @rickyortegaa
    @rickyortegaa ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very high quality video

  • @BigBoct
    @BigBoct 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Having now watched part of your recent high score TAS, I would LOVE to see a video about how you did it.

  • @CrownedFalcon00
    @CrownedFalcon00 ปีที่แล้ว +65

    Let's not forget the words of summoning salt. Never underestimate the lengths runners will go to save time. Certainly those final fights won't be perfected any time soon but I'm willing to bet that at least a few new timesaves will be found and techniques that are considered TAS only will implimented in real runs. Players get better, communities discover new tricks and so on and so forth. The only certainty in speedrunning is that being nearly impossible just means that it is inevitable given enough time, effort and manpower.

    • @Soma2710
      @Soma2710 ปีที่แล้ว

      Dick Stabbers. There are certain people who, if given the choice between nailing the prom queen vs. stabbing themselves in the dick, they’d stab their dick if it meant optimizing their run in one way or another.
      Dick Stabbers. Jick from KoL came up with this.

  • @DONBUBRO
    @DONBUBRO ปีที่แล้ว

    Ty for the video!

  • @inpyre
    @inpyre 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    SummoningSalt just tied the Sandman TAS yesterday.

  • @chadwolf3840
    @chadwolf3840 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    love stuff like this.

  • @vt_973
    @vt_973 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    "yeah in his house probably"-me when I use tyson finder

  • @diegodankquixote-wry3242
    @diegodankquixote-wry3242 ปีที่แล้ว

    I adored this video!

  • @badnoozva757
    @badnoozva757 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    THEE most fascinating math lesson EVER!!!

  • @themastermind8175
    @themastermind8175 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    and I thought I had too much time on my hands. This brings a new meaning to the phrase "too much time on your hands"

  • @rtyuik7
    @rtyuik7 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    15:09 - im surprised to NOT hear "We're Finally Landing" start to play when SSalt's name is mentioned...i mean, its kinda like his 'theme song', like how SuperMario64's FileSelect is the 'theme song' for Parallel Universes (or having to explain with "but first, we need to talk about.....")

  • @fallenmercury
    @fallenmercury ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Sounds like some NASA scientists just said fuck space lets focus on TAS.

  • @pathutchison7688
    @pathutchison7688 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Being able to beat Tyson made me a second grad god at my school. No one else could get past piston Honda 2. The good old days.

  • @sir.grumpypawson6598
    @sir.grumpypawson6598 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    1:14:48 "those odds are pretty unlikely" the biggest understatement ever. The universe is only 5x10^17 seconds old. That means that youd need one hundred duodecilion (41 zeros) people to do the speedrun perfectly every single second since the big bang to see this happen

  • @seammen6875
    @seammen6875 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    A moment of silence for Matt Turk's records, which pioneered Punch Out speedruns to begin with.

  • @theleftuprightatsoldierfield
    @theleftuprightatsoldierfield 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    To put the odds into perspective, the probability of picking a random atom in the observable universe and it being a part of you is about 1000 times more likely than naturally getting all the RNG in this run

  • @bananaspice1967
    @bananaspice1967 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Pokémon shiny hunters: You dare challenge me?

  • @agent8117
    @agent8117 ปีที่แล้ว

    For the people who like the song at 2:39 the song is Miami at Night Chase by Allister Brimble. This song was used in the soundtrack for Driver for the PS1.

  • @someonethatisnotabot2020
    @someonethatisnotabot2020 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Imagine some noob gets that insane luck and immediately lose the second they fight mike.

  • @noid2690
    @noid2690 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    DS Pokemon Mystery Dungeon music, bless

  • @ashtonyager5281
    @ashtonyager5281 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    3:40 fiesta de guerra! Great choice in music!

  • @kit9837
    @kit9837 ปีที่แล้ว

    Banger

  • @SGTsiete
    @SGTsiete ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I'd be honored to be on the leaderboards for even one of these fights starting from King Hippo onward. I wanna aim for King Hippo one of these days as a personal vendetta for him making me cry at a friends party when I was younger.

  • @SomeCanine
    @SomeCanine ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I had no idea the left gut punch did 20% less damage than the right gut punch but was faster. I'll almost certainly never use this information, but it's interesting.

  • @SFpurphaze
    @SFpurphaze ปีที่แล้ว

    Glad this popped up on my page good background listen while im about to start either ff4 5 or 6....but i put too much hot sauce on my food earlier so im currently on the toilet shitting fire. I say all that to say thanks for the video

  • @monkey-46
    @monkey-46 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    That thumbnail is terrifying

  • @Sleepycreature687
    @Sleepycreature687 ปีที่แล้ว

    I always like to imagine like, what if did happen though. Just a freak miracle. Nobody would ever believe your legitimate.

  • @feliomichaels
    @feliomichaels 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Not only are the odds absolutely impossible to overcome, given the numbers, it might be that it's impossible for the RNG function to call all of these consecutively as necessary to make such a run possible, as even with the event space, it might be that certain intervals of this run have sequences that couldn't be replicated on a non-TAS section bue to the random number function's value sequences. In essence, not only would some of these be literally impossible for humans, the whole run may be impossible on cartridge even with perfect conditions.

    • @Papamanual
      @Papamanual  9 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Im pretty sure it can be console verified, if it hasnt been already. But yeah, a human isnt pulling off some of these fights in isolation, let alone doing all the fights like this in a single run.