Weekly review, DRF chat, 7/1, 12/1, 14/1 & 33/1 Cheltenham ante-post selections

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 69

  • @andyharman6503
    @andyharman6503 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great vids Steve, your time, effort, and judgement is much appreciated by other racing fanatics like myself.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@andyharman6503 cheers Andy really appreciate that

    • @andyharman6503
      @andyharman6503 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @ no probs mate. Out of interest, do you go to the Cheltenham festival ? When I went a few years ago it was just way too busy. I now go away with the lads for the week, this year Benidorm as we did last year. It’s a great atmosphere with all the racing on big screens, decent weather, and a cracking drink.

  • @jeffskinner892
    @jeffskinner892 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    get well soon & really enjoy the videos & 2 months till Cheltenham now so that should cheer you up. Good Luck.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@jeffskinner892 cheers mate appreciate that

  • @garybnlr
    @garybnlr 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thsnks pal.... good man

  • @markjefferies435
    @markjefferies435 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Great stuff Steve for completing god you were rough got through well done.Like Salvator did loads wrong when he picked up was nice.Woild Steve like to see him front run think Paul was trying to educate him backed him at 20s down to 10s now the price is short.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@markjefferies435 cheers Mark appreciated and wouldn't mind him front running at all but the important thing is he settles. If he settles I think he just wins wherever he's ridden from. The double figures is nice he's a great chance.

  • @robhotchen6237
    @robhotchen6237 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Cheers Steve - good as ever. You struggled through 👍. A bit of ‘Night Nurse’ wouldn’t come amiss……..what a horse eh !!! 😀

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@robhotchen6237 cheers Rob appreciate that

  • @thomdidikai3323
    @thomdidikai3323 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great to get another ramble from you thanks again

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@thomdidikai3323 cheers mate no worries

  • @Cheltenham-Chat
    @Cheltenham-Chat 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Hope you get rid of that cold soon. I knew you’d back Kaid in the end 😊

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@Cheltenham-Chat cheers Mark be right again soon enough. Yea better late than never, only challenger to Mundi I can see coming out of that DRF race just makes sense. Just dropped the 36 pts on him🙄

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great show as usual Steve. I agree that Sixpence put a top performance on Saturday. She's 6s nrnb and looks value for the Mares Novice. Oliver Cromwell is one greedy trainer getting four on Saturday! Sympathise with your cough, I had two days in bed last week under the weather too. Thought I'd have to send for the last rites but survived. Get a hot whiskey in you and keep smiling.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@johngreene347 cheers John and that whisky sounds good right now

  • @crazyhorse562
    @crazyhorse562 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I agree with all selections, l came to similar conclusions, only 8 weeks now. Get well soon Steve, great show as always.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@crazyhorse562 cheers mate appreciate that

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Just after reading an article about the trainer Cromwell. I didn't realise that 10 years ago he was the farrier for Don Cossack. This has been some transformation into the training ranks!

  • @Ben98789
    @Ben98789 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great timing mate, can’t wait to watch!

  • @yowtran
    @yowtran 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Hope you get well soon. We do like your ramblings 😂.
    Was thinking book approach for the Supreme myselfbut then came tomy senses, Mundi just wins imo. If you are doing a book though, I think William Munny will turn the form around with Workahead. Just need to find out if Supreme is still the plan.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@yowtran cheers mate and I'm sure I'll be fine in a few days.
      Yea could well be right on both points there

  • @kevinshirt8665
    @kevinshirt8665 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Nice one Steve, great blog even though your not well. Hope it’s not me that’s pased it on to you 😂😂

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@kevinshirt8665Cheers Kev and no you're good was Leah, sharings caring and all that lol.

  • @anthonylangan4936
    @anthonylangan4936 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great show Steve get well soon

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@anthonylangan4936 cheers mate will do

  • @scottburgess1477
    @scottburgess1477 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Looking forward to this 😊 some good racing coming up with Saturday trails day drf entries then the big one before aintree and the spring thanks I'm locked in to this ramble.
    will you do final thoughts and preview on trials day drf and Cheltenham? Maybe something with Cheltenham chat?

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@scottburgess1477 Cheers Scott appreciate that and yea will keep going all the way to Punchestown

  • @albahathri
    @albahathri 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hi Steve, looking forward to your post weekend ramble next week. Would be interested on your thoughts on Kiss Will for Supreme. Have some "change" on at 16/1 NRNB with Hills.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@albahathri wouldn't be putting a line through him but he wouldn't be for me at the moment. Does seem like a year it could pay to go leftfield though so dont let me put you off, if the drf doesn't throw up anything then contenders like him become more interesting for sure.

  •  15 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    I liked sixandahalf, jumped on straight after the race at 16/1 before a bookie changed the odds

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Nicely done you got a great ticket there mate and serves them right hope you get paid😄

    • @The_Cheltenham_Bandit
      @The_Cheltenham_Bandit 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I need get on this horse...missed out on the price sadly

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@The_Cheltenham_Bandit the 16's was just a rick, barr that was 8/1 top price after the race, that's the price I took. Been steadily supported since but I'd say the 6/1 nrnb with Hills is more than fair, cant beat that price antepost as the last of the 7/1 has gone today. Dont see her bigger on the day and could be half the price and you get the nrnb there with hills.

    • @The_Cheltenham_Bandit
      @The_Cheltenham_Bandit 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @smoking_cheltenham cheers Steve!

  • @ZBRoganYT
    @ZBRoganYT 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    For me Minella Cocooner is an obvious Grand national horse this year. Very similar roadmap to Maximus last season. 25/1 fair

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@ZBRoganYT He's one I'd not considered will check him out

    • @barneyhughes9445
      @barneyhughes9445 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Followed him for the past couple years, not sure he has a big pot in him!

    • @ZBRoganYT
      @ZBRoganYT 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      He won the bet365 cup at Sandown last season. 3rd in Irish national

    • @barneyhughes9445
      @barneyhughes9445 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@ZBRoganYT completely missed the race in sandown, will watch that back.

  • @deancrozier7293
    @deancrozier7293 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I thought Hello Neighbour's win in a grade 2 ok debut over hurdles was a great performance and he can only improve

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@deancrozier7293 There was only a short head between him and lady vega who would be entitled to improve also and I dont get the difference in price between them.
      He's a Triumph contender for sure, I like the way he travelled, just think he's a bit shorter than he should be.

  • @kevinshirt8665
    @kevinshirt8665 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Struggling there bud, good on ya for carrying on

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@kevinshirt8665 cheers Kev yes keep gambling and carry on I think the saying goes😄

  • @whoppersupper3970
    @whoppersupper3970 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Happy Saturday pal
    Got a a question pal
    Do you bet much thru the week or at wkends or just keep it to the big meetings

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@whoppersupper3970 HI mate. Dont generally have many bets through the week, can have several at the weekend depending. Week before last I had 1 bet, same last week, a few yesterday and a few today. I do focus a lot on Cheltenham and the big festivals though.

  • @peterseymar7189
    @peterseymar7189 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Get well soon🐎❤️🐎

  • @adking18
    @adking18 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Not too much to comment on in the recent races - only comment I thought was Kel Histoire was blocked off and had to change direction and then started to stay on, but I'm not sure he was staying on in a manner that made it look like he wants 2 and a half. I read it more like he'd stay on off the fast pace of a Supreme and was maybe staying on just because he got blocked off from having his first run. As you say lots depending on the DRF but I think there's still a decent chance JP goes double-handed for the Supreme. Depends how much he wants to give Mark a ride in the Turners.
    I've also backed Sixandahalf - beating Qualimita by 12 is a very impressive performance I think considering a couple of other protagonists for that race were very close to Qualimita. Karoline Banbou has an entry in a maiden on Friday - not sure if she'll go but will be interesting to see how much she comes on from that first run.
    I'm still umming and erring about Saint Lucie. Watched her run in France back and she didn't look totally happy on the heavy ground despite a high knee action suggesting she might prefer it. The form of that race looks pretty shocking as well. The 1st, 2nd and 4th have all come out and been well beaten (think they all finished last or 2nd last next time out) so there's clearly scope to improve but I just have a question mark or two over her and I might wait until after the juvenile race this weekend where Lulamba and Sauvignon are both entered (I'm on Lulamba already, don't even remember backing him to be honest but checking my slips yesterday and there's one there!). There's a couple of other big money purchases not far behind her in the betting for the Triumph that give me question marks as well so at the moment I'm just leaning towards holding off for now. I think it's 8 out of 12 winners of the Triumph have come from that race, another couple have come from the juvenile race on Cheltenham trials day.
    Sounds Victorius is so slow but is probably just what you need for an Albert Bartlett. I can't get on with 365 so will be leaving him alone. I think there'll be plenty at a decent price on the day to have a go at so not in a huge hurry to get involved.
    Kaid d'Authie I'm already on for the Supreme. I want to have Ballygunner Castle on side for the Turners I think but the chat about Kopek des Bordes coming from others is putting me off at the moment. I just can't get away from the fact so much went wrong for him in the closing stages of that race he basically had to go and win the race 2 or 3 times and would have won comfortably and looking impressive if it wasn't for that. I think I'll end up backing him, leaving Kopek des Bordes alone and crossing my fingers.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@adking18 thanks for the comments there, always find them interesting and knowledgable. Broadly agree with most of that and regards Ballygunner Castle I think at the end of the day you have to trust yourself in the knowledge that sometimes you'll get it wrong. I totally agree with what you say about his run and I'm fairly convinced at the min he's 1 of 3 that will go into the Ballymore as hot fav, the other 2 possiblities been Kopek and Final Demand. He jumped better than Kopek and Final Demand has Bartlett possibilities so I'd say he's probably the percentage play, I guess it might be wise to wait until the final decs for the 2m Drf race and if he's a runner there with say Patrick up that would maybe be a little offputting

    • @adking18
      @adking18 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@smoking_cheltenham Agree with all of that. Ballygunner Castle's jumping wasn't perfect but he got a good bump jumping slightly left at the first and then the other novicey jumps were when he was being pushed all over by the loose horse so all things considered he held himself together very well.
      I'm happy to just discount Final Demand for the purposes of narrowing them down as he looks set to go for that Nathaniel Lacy and winners of that: (a) tend not to win at Cheltenham, and (b) have a better record of placing in the Bartlett than they do in the Turners. He's a possibility, but you have to narrow them down somehow and you've got 7 of last 12 winners of the Tattersalls have gone and won at Cheltenham (from 11 of them who've tried) whilst the 11 who went to the festival from the Nathaniel Lacey have produced 1 festival winner and that was Let's Dance in the Mares - it's not a great race for festival pointers.

    • @Martin-vs1wt
      @Martin-vs1wt 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Steve. Is Kaid D’Authie only entered in the Turners?

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @Martin-vs1wt entries for the nov hdls at Cheltenham not out yet so all options open to him.

    • @adking18
      @adking18 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @Martin-vs1wt Entries for the novice hurdle races aren't official until 21st Jan. I noticed Racing Post only lists him in the possible entries for the Turners at the moment but connections don't make official entries for a couple of weeks yet.

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Once they leave Willie they invariably aren't the same. Wee woman down the road had half share in Hurricane Fly then Killultagh Vic. All he home breds were named with Killultagh . One was returned after his days with Willie were over. He was a decent handicapper, she gave it to a local lad who had no problems in tackling any obstacle with the horse. In the end she took it back for fear he would break the lad's neck! He was a real character, was known for showjumping in the dark, bareback and full with alcohol. You couldn't make it up lol

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@johngreene347 🤣sounds like a fun place to live John. Wee woman down the road had some great horses there to be involved with.

  • @russellstanton7583
    @russellstanton7583 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Sounds Victorious is improving every race...

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    He has a very strong hand! Meanwhile according to Mr Henderson Constitution goes for the Internationals trial at Cheltenham. I can see Anzadam heading in that direction. Cannot see Jonbon or the Triumph Hurdle hope being beaten at Ascot. I can see the logic of Mullins running the mare but not in sending over Energumene. Then again, what do I know?

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@johngreene347 yea didn't expect Constitution Hill to go again before the Festival, in my mind that increases his Champion Hdl chances, the reason I think is it suggests he's proving easier to train this season thus more likely to show his best form. Will be very interesting to see Anzadam again should give us a better idea of his ceiling.
      Jonbon should be winning but his Cheltenham prep has been his worst performance of the season 3 times in a row I think. I dont know enough of the Triumph horse to say but certainly the market says he wins.
      Energumene is well suited to Ascot I think although the ground might be going for him. I think Willie was always coming here with him, he prepped in it both years before his Champion Chase victories and wouldn't be one for changing a winning formula I'd say. He did get beat both times but ran a huge race in defeat to Shishkin. I dont think either horse will run upto his mark and wont be having a bet but reckon Jonbon will get it done but probably not impressively.
      All the best John and I'd say you know plenty😊

    • @johngreene347
      @johngreene347 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Cheers........Barney Curley said "Never listen to a jockey, never listen to a trainer but judge a horse with your eyes".

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I see Indiana Dream is now trained by Jonjo O'Neill. He's entered in the big chase at Windsor on Sunday. He must have training problems, was a horse with huge potential last season.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@johngreene347 yea agree with that, never keen when they leave Willies to go elsewhere but 1st time up probably the time to catch him

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 13 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Spring De La Mare strikes for Cromwell on her debut over fences. He has a yard full of mare chasers.

    • @smoking_cheltenham
      @smoking_cheltenham  13 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@johngreene347 yea looked a fair bet today based on respective trainer form alone. He's shown himself to be excellent with the mares could have his own mares chase this year😊

  • @johngreene347
    @johngreene347 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I can't make head nor tails out of the Supreme or Turners this season. The Bumper as well looks a minefield.

  • @whoppersupper3970
    @whoppersupper3970 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    When you have time can you send a list of all your tips please pal,doesn't have to be them all to start with Tuesday
    Your thots on a 5 point streight treble on favs on 1st day
    Thanks and take care

  • @jerrysartain2539
    @jerrysartain2539 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Cheers Steve. Get well soon,take it easy. Yeehaaa