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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 ต.ค. 2024
- The Conservatives' loss in Wellingborough was caused by the biggest by-election swing away from the party since 1994.
Then came Tony Blair's famous 1997 landslide victory.
So are we set for a repeat of history?
Full analysis: news.sky.com/s...
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An important message to Tory voters at the next GE:
Stay home, save lives, protect the NHS.
😂
And Labour voters too, remember it was Labour that wished to lockdown longer,. It was the lefty teachers that were refusing to go back to the classroom.
Wonderful
Brilliant !
But I don’t think the Tories would do as bad at the next elections. They will likely loose them but there will be still too many of them after the elections results.
@@maximemaxime7705yep, 1 Tory is too many Tories
Excellent comment!
I’m not a huge Labour fan, but I’d be very satisfied to see tories get 0 seats. Useless, dangerous crooks.
It's all good mate until labour start their game then wht should we cry overall again for tories ?
@@Hygenictrust Politics is all about the lesser of the evils, and right now the worst of all evils is this Government, who have failed this country for 14 miserable years!
I am 87 and this is the worst Government in my living memory!
Sunak is as confident as a one legged man in an arse kicking contest
I thought he lacked a spine, not a leg!
I love to hear that the Tory Party thinks it voters stayed at home. Never thinking that 13 years of Conservativism has been so bad., that they are the problem. Sinking further and further with each Tory PM. Promising and never delivering. No Tory wants to believe they are the problem that drives people away.
The tories are so out of touch they cant believe the country has turned on them after 14yrs of chaos.
Major misunderstanding tory mp for nowhere in particular is actually calling the police on people telling him about tory corruption what what1
@@CJones-99 Speaking as someone who knows a lot of Tories - I've understood that not a single one is under the impression that the incumbent party is on their side.
The zeitgeist has shifted and many have woken up and have realized they must let this sinking ship go. It is this which has handed Labour the election on a platter.
Let us not forget that the prime minister's father in law is still operating in Russia and our exalted personage is still receiving millions of pounds from this connection plus the UK is also giving loads of tax payer money to the same company. "Disgraceful situation" does not describe this fully.
A bit rich to strike Sinai when he handles the damages of the rest. Really.
I don't think the father in law is even English, so why does that matter?
we used to call it corruption.
@@summerlove7779 he is giving millions in contracts to his family.
that is anti-competitive and also since he is indian the money leaves the country and no tax paid. wake up sheep
@@kanedNunable The father in law is a billionaire, I don't get why Rishi will need to send him money? Where's the evidence?
"..the tories would be left with just 8 seats" lol 😂 ideally they should have zero seats.
Yep, that's 8 seats too many.
Don't wait 4 years of Labour to realise its more of the same. Revolution now
@@danielcuddihy4273 Chaos never produces a good outcome either.
@@heliotropezzz333
Of course it does.
The lack of chaos in the history of our country is why things are so stagnant and rotten.@@heliotropezzz333
The last 14 years of Tory rule has been the most damaging and incompetent political rule in modern British history. Every single metric points downwards, people can’t even heat their homes and our once “German” living standards is starting to resemble “Spanish” or “Italian” living standards… Not to mention the death of the NHS!
Labour is a party I don’t particularly love either, but in comparison to the tories even a drunk homeless man would be a better choice for PM and parliamentary majority. So I will vote for anyone (with an actual chance of winning) but the tories this election.
We do however need a new proportional electoral system where more than 2 or 3 parties are all that matters, and where every vote gets actual representation.
The main reason for the 'death of the NHS' has been because the UK population has risen by about 10 million since 2010 - that's about a 15% increase. Not even remotely sustainable.
I'm an American who likes to observe UK politics. Correct me if I'm wrong but if the Conservatives spend too much time, trying to appeal to the reform UK vote they risk losing moderate voters in marginal seats to Labour or Lib Dems. And there are those who will vote tactically just to get the Tories out correct?"
No, the problem with the Tories is that they have been tyring to appeal to the moderates and have become barely distinguishable from Labour and the Lib Dems. The Tories are supposed to be a right-wing nationalist party but have foresaken that part of their party and that is why they are losing.
Labour Tories Liberals have all betrayed the electorate , Lest we Forget 🏴🇬🇧
Don't worry about our Country worry about your own and the corrupt democrats and the persecution of Donald Trump.
No that sounds fairly reasonable...
@@atTheHopmaybe. Personally wouldn’t vote for them if they went back to the right….
Maybe they will lose because of the shambles that they have been for many years. I won’t forgive them for truss so I will vote Labour.
2010 our only "big" problem was closing the deficit, remember that? Sensible too after the 2008 crash. Tories have since created problems with their FIVE destructive leaders since, each one making things worse:
1) Cameron = starting Brexit
2) Theresa May = failing Brexit
3) Boris = lockdowns, partygate
4) Truss = causing financial nightmare in days
5) Riki Sunak = cost of living
they tell us they are better than labour but have tripled the debt in 14 years whilst not building anything and having crippling austerity.
Exactly. They have no right to say Labour bankrupted Britain ever again because atleast in 2010, that budget deficit was spent directly on public services and the NHS which were working magnificently at that point.@@kanedNunable
@@robotbomb2581 and the budget deficit was a global issue not strictly UK one, where as the cost of living problem is a direct result of tories austerity and brexit.
@@lokensicarius9347nothing to do with covid and trillions in fake money dumped into the global economy? Inflation is affecting many of the covid nations it’s not just the U.K. and also nothing to do with Brexit. Turn off the MSM and research yourself.
The tories have a long history of ruining this country.
I live in Holland, but feel very connected to the UK. And this feels like a day of hope for change! And now.... general elections!!
Labour will be worse as they will spend, spend, spend and leave us a lot poorer - as they always do. I don't like the Tories but they are always better than Labour.
@@iangraham9050 It's two sides of the same coin at this point . Neither party cares more about the country than it does about themselves.
Replacing low grade politicians with low grade politicians, that’s the choice.
Its of their own doing and after they will say we should have listened to the voters, they never do though, the public wanted a bigger windfall tax on the energy companies the Tories said no in favour of shareholder profits, this alone will cripple them because everyone is paying 100% and over for the same energy than they were 2 years ago, hardly anyone can see a doctor, the hospital waiting lists are horrendous, there is no incentive for professional hospital staff, its seem the Tories are doing their best to piss these people off, food prices have shot up and hardly coming down, insurance companies are seriously cashing in and profiteering without any regulation, there is little or no hope for the young to ever own their own home and to top it all off Truss wiped 12% from everyones private pension in a month of madness.......I have more chance of being the next pope as they have of being re elected!
It's joever for the CONservative party.
They said that last time. I'll still vote for them, and I don't even like them.
Not really they just change their colour to red 😂
@@winstoningram99why ahahah?
@@WestisbananademocracyTrue. One party system
@@tempejkl Just easiest. And I don't really care about UK politics, but got to vote for someone. Both the available options are awful. And we don't have PR, so no point taking it seriously.
I wonder when Sunak will actually call the general. Hopefully not another December one.
He will call the general election in January of 2025 after the U.S elections
2025 most likely
@@c.f.okonta8815 I don't think the Nov US election has any bearing on Sunak's decision, but we'll see.
New Year's eve
@@winstoningram99 thanks 😑
God I hope so. My fingers are crossed for them
OUT! OUT! OUT! (if I may quote James Goldsmith)
I always laugh at people in these comment sections who think the reason conservative voters are fed up is because they've given up on conservatism. The actual reason they're not interested in coming out to vote is because the policies of the conservative party are virtually indistinguishable from Starmer's labour party, so what does it matter? Anybody who is vaguely right-wing (Truss, Braverman) has their position sabatoged and is marginalized within the party.
8 seats, they can go sit with the DUP
Brexit, Boris partying, Truss meltdown, Post Office scandal, freezing of the tax threshold during a cost of living crisis: They shouldn't just lose, they should lose their deposits!
I don't want either of the party's 😢
Me neither,
I don’t smoke cigarettes,
I don’t smoke cigars,
I don’t smoke a pipe
Pipe,pipe,pipe….
Vote Reform
@@JF_ContentEnjoyernope. They are a tory party disguised.
The party's what?
@@JF_ContentEnjoyerwhy? Theyre just tories in disguise
What a choice Labour or the Tories, two sides of the same out of touch elitist coin. We are so screwed
Yawn...only one of those parties has been in charge for 30 of the last 40 years.
It's going to be worse than in 1997. Think they'll lose alot of seats....and more big names will be voted out.
Considering the polls are for once actually accurate, we are on to see a Labour majority, a huge one.
I don’t usually like the labour party. But with Richie Sunak in charge Starmer is the better alternative to be honest
@EuroWarsOrg And there's to the greatest comment, lol
@EuroWarsOrg Not necessarily, but Parliament certainly is. They were created three hundred years ago, before telecomms and modern transport, so what's with the flummery, knee britches, wigs, sword lengths, maces, starting at 10, 30 4-day weeks a year?
@@JelMainI feel some relics of our past culture should exist for aesthetic reasons. But the system it's self needs huge change
@@DiazeDan Not when it stops real democracy, rule of the people. The Swiss have been using referenda for decades. Go read those texts of the late 17th Century and realise how sycophantic they are.
It was over for them after the parties during Covid
It’ll be worse than 97.
Not a big fan of Labour but, I'm sick of seeing these so-called Tory elites like Johnson, Rees-Mogg, etc. Are they living in a parallell universe?
No, they just say the quiet part out loud
That'd still be 8 too many.
Hopefully only a few but the most unhinged of the Con party members will be elected next time.
They are needed to continue to speak nonsense to remind voters to not vote for the Con party again.
Does anyone know why the vote that we had on proportional representation was so easily defeated in parliament?
I'm not suggesting that its perfect but I'm pretty sure most of our neighbours in Europe use it to good effect and it appears to better reflect the votes of the average citizen, as opposed to the default 2 party choice, who largely sit in the middle now anyway.
I wrote to conservative MPs about it and all the responses were either massively misinformed or lies. Basically the current system kept them in power so they wouldn't consider anything else. I would LOVE it if that same broken system they loved now destroyed them. Unfortunately I don't thing the current Labor party will be Amy more farsited once it starts favoring them
Asteroid incoming. 💥
When?
@@marccas10 election day. 😊
Armageddon if Trump is elected US President. He is friends with Putin & would throw 'Ukraine under the Bus' & USA would leave NATO. I think President Biden will expose all Donald Trump's weaknesses & win United States Presidential Election.
I think we need a new party at this point something that will look out for its citizens and actually listen to what we want
And do what. We are fools to believe that the politicians rule the country. Doesn’t matter who gets in they all end up becoming corrupt. We are ruled by corporations, banks and billionaires in the west.
Mps never listen to what people actually want
@@jeremysmith8035 people dont know what they want the people voted for brexit and now those same people want to rejoin the eu
@@riceboiii2937 Good point, at the end of the day we get what we deserve!
The real mystery is why are the conservatives in second place? Who are still voting for failure?
Most of the public who want rest of us to suffer
Me. I always vote them. It's just easiest that way
@@winstoningram99 getting your life trashed is easier ?
@@winstoningram99 Genuine question, why?
@@richardcatlin4390 Just because my life is good, and I'm only on a little over minimum wage. I don't like or trust them, but no need to upset the apple cart.
I seriously hope so.
We need to focus not on the swings to Labour but the redrawn map of the electoral boundaries which will have a significant impact. All constituencies will be new and give advantage to the Tories. So we cannot use the old constituency map to compare what might happen this time. Rather we need to look at the new constituencies and what might happen there. Not easy to predict because there is no previous history.
Hence why they're using previous best-match constituencies to make the estimate. How else would they do it?
For as much as I want the blue party out of power right now, I don't really want the red party getting 580 seats
Game over
Tories will see tens of thousands of people switching and voting for a centre/centre-left opposition and think “to get these people back on side… we need to go even more rightwing!”
Yes of course it’s over for him I expect him to be ousted before the GE.
Despite the results, billionaire Ritchie Sunak and his privileged government are all keeping warm, eating well and in good spirits - the fluid kind.
Millionaire Sir Max Headroom then😂
Yes, time for a change, I'll give reform a go
They brought it apon themselves.
Why is the CGI screen so wavey at the top and bottom? Did Sky cut your budget.
Is been over for a long time-the worst Tory party for years!!!😢
What will happen the day after?
Hopefully yes. Probably a lot closer but I think Labour will win next General Election. Boundary changes may aid the Tories.
Not if ours is going by. We still have no idea of our candidates - hopefully none.
That's 2 minutes I'm not getting back.
Bring it on!
Labour will be even worst of this country.
Blue being on the right is so weird to me as an American - even though it does make a lot of sense
Red has always been associated with the left in Europe and Britain. Blue with the right and the monarchy.
The tories deserve to be punished, but the galling thing is that if Starmer gets his massive majority then he has done nothing to earn it. He has no charisma and no policies; labour are still repellent to many. All starmer did was to sit back and watch; being in the right place at the right time. He has no vastly winning qualities at all
Starmer doesnt really need to 'earn it', the tories have had more than enough time to prove theyre awful.
It would be great if he lost his own seat and then lost the by election if there was one to try and get him back just into parliament
can someone please ask Ritchy about the seemingly somewhat bizarre relationship between INFOSYS, Unit 8200, Israeli Intelligence, Elbit Systems, & the running of the uk’s information infrastructure ? seeing as Sir Keith Steamer is a proud member of the Trilateral Commission, he’s highly unlikely to be the one to do it. ta.
Ok reforms ideas are what a lot of people want
But wanting things and then affording them well 🤦
It's all over for all of us if Labour get in.
The Marxist's will be licking their lips. They will divide and fracture the individual, even further.
@@museonfilm8919At least learn your enemy well, marxists hate the current labour party lead by keir starmer, he's expelled many on the left in the party and has shifted the party considerabley to the right. Keir hates the working class and his rule will feel weirdly familiar to conservative rule because he gutted the party of pretty much all meaningful reforms.
Sunak probably already renewed his green card
Labour have no answers to the financial problems facing this broken country. To suggest otherwise is delusional
It's not all over yet look at the vote in Kingswood last week no one is rushing to vote Labour they only got 107 votes more than they did in the 2019 election what happen is thd conservatives stayed at home only 37% of voters voted compared to 68% at the last election .what Rishi as to do us give the conservatives voters to come out and vote
Labour will think they will win because of like minded voters to them. It's not that, it's just that Torie voters don't want to vote Tories no more.
VOTE REFORM
Why?
@RemoanersRtossers, that’s not really an answer. There are other parties besides Labour and Reform. And why would Reform do any better than Labour?
@RemoanersRtossers, still not an answer to my question. And Gordon Brown was years ago.
Sir Keir still has time to screw it up!
Tory clowns out for labour clowns.
Yes, it's all a circus anyway. Maybe the lion- tamer will do us all a favour?
The Tories will be lucky if they even come in third.
Sunak is selling UK to India 🙄
Labour and the Tories are both awful, we need proper change. Reform is the only way.
Rather have a dose than vote Reform.
All that will be left of the Tories , will be enough to make Skiffle group called " Sunak and the Vulcans ".
And on the news the "swing-ometer" yep moggs gonna be used as a Pinyata
The British people will vote for who the press want us to vote for.
I dont think your understand Sky, even right wing voters despise the Tories right now. They'll be lucky to remain relevant after this general election.
This is probably the first time in history that an opposition party doesn't have to do anything to get a majority. That's how crap the tories are 😂
This is also a tactic for labour voters to stay at home during the general election.
The Muslims probably will.
Hundreds of thousands of illegals in the country the fault of the tories and labour. Illegal immigration and net zero lies can’t make me vote for either parties. We need that Dutch fella over here.
i hope the tories only get 8 MPs. Im sick of the colour blue now
62% of the voters stayed at home labour only had 17% of the total vote 21% voted for other parties if there was 100 % turnout but that was not what happened
Labour would win hands down if Keir Starmer weren't the snake he is, refusing to call for an end to the genocide in Gaza and expelling all MPs from the party who want to hold Israel accountable. He event went as far as blackmailing the speaker into sabotaging the SNP motion in that regard. Utterly shameful.
I'm just waiting for Labour to take over - thing will get so much better because their policies are going to be completely different from the tories..... oh wait....
8 seats sounds about right though I prefer 0 seats.
Yes
Vote them all out and they must be sent to prison
Making crap and rubbish decisions isn't the same as being a government which cracksdown on its citizens and kills etc and taking away their liberties.
In other words, our government while absolutely abysmal is not the same in comparison to N.Korea, or Russia. And I don't think unless something actually illegal occurred, making crap decisions doesn't warrant a prison sentence.
The Tories have increased the amount political parties can spend as this gives them an advantage.
The Tories are gerrymandering by changing the way boundaries are set, because this favours them.
Tories have take control of the BBC by planting their own into positions of power.
Tories have introduced voter ID as this favours them.
So reducing the need to provide policies popular with the people.
However the British people are still well educated and will not be taken as fools.
Whats wrong with voter ID ?
Control of the BBC 😂 if they had Liniker would be on the dole.
@@lloydnaylor6113Voter i d isn't needed. Voting fraud is tiny in the UK. Tories brought it in because they know a lot of poorer people vote Labour and many have no i d. And the tories are relying on apathy so hoping those without i d won't bother getting it. Trouble is middle classes and above are fed up with them as well so their cunning plan isn't working.
@@lloydnaylor6113BBC Chairman is a tory donor. Enough said.
@@royboy565isn’t it a chairwoman who’s currently running the BBC?
Let’s see how many of these promises actually happen will be interesting .
Reform UK or oblivion.
1:29 I will tell my future grandchildren this was the 2024 exit poll
Starmer is no more fit to be Prime Minister than his predecessor Corbyn.
Vote Reform!!
As if Tice or Farage or Habib or Widdecombe are prime minister material. Don't make me laugh.
And get a load of xenophonic public schoolboy racists.
Yes . Next
Out the sharks mouth into the crocodile..
Time to get rid of the Tories, the far right and the likes of Suella Braverman
Technical question - isn't there a new General election happening this year?
62 people out of 100 didn't vote!!!
Well if they were in favour of the tory government they would of voted for them...
And they didn't vote for the Tories. 😂😂😂😂😂
@@hellogoodbye177They clearly weren't in favour of Labour either.
Who can blame them? I certainly don't!
@@seamusoflatcapJust more in favour of labour than the tories.
I'll sleep soundly at night knowing that neither Tory or Labour will be getting my vote next GE.
I think millions will vote Reform uk to push the Tories into third place.
Third place 😉
@@techtinkerin rectified
If Sky News are saying it's over, it's over
Yes. We are destined to get a Labour government so there is no point voting Conservative, just vote Reform for a real change
A party full of ex tories is hardly change. The public aren't fooled.
Im up for voting Labour for the first time in my life or tactically to get them robbing tory A holes out of government
Liebor and conjob,two parts of a rotten egg. Vote reform.
It is all over for England. SNP 40 seats in 2024, Scottish Conservatives ZERO, Labour 18. Source Daily Mirror 11 Feb 2024. Poll sample 18,000 +
Why are sky not saying that the the Rochdale ex Labour candidate is now an independent??
They don't deserve even 1 seat
I mean the last 2 PMs before Sudak made people not wanna vote for Cons for awhile.
Get rishi out, general election , stalling thats what hes doing and making Britain suffer
The next Government will be Labour.
Not a great electoral premier by Tory chair Richard Holden, but don't worry, folks, "our plan is working."
God willing yes