Ukraine War Update BUMPER NEWS (20240519a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 มิ.ย. 2024
  • Here is today's UWU NEWS giving you all the nuggets you need to add to your understanding of events.
    Del's open-source Russian loss stats:
    onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?r...
    Bill's stats dashboard: www.ukrainewarstatistics.com/
    Merchandise for the A Tippling Philosopher blog network and TH-cam channel. www.redbubble.com/people/john...
    Buy me a coffee: www.buymeacoffee.com/GkxsyfQ
    Paypal Donate: www.paypal.com/paypalme/johnn...
    UA Supporter merch: uasupporter.com/atp
    Check out this website of pro-Ukrainian inks:
    www.heroyam.org/slava_ukraini
    Discord: / discord
    Videos/sources:
    Hits/losses
    x.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1...
    x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/17918...
    x.com/blyskavka_ua/status/179...
    x.com/nexta_tv/status/1791840...
    NOELreports/statu...
    Osinttechnical/st...
    NOELreports/statu...
    TWMCLtd/status/17...
    AndrewPerpetua/st...
    TheDeadDistrict/s...
    Maks_NAFO_FELLA/s...
    noclador/status/1...
    Strikes
    x.com/igorsushko/status/17916...
    x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/17918...
    wartranslated/sta...
    JayinKyiv/status/...
    Tendar/status/179...
    TrentTelenko/stat...
    TWMCLtd/status/17...
    TWMCLtd/status/17...
    NOELreports/statu...
    Maks_NAFO_FELLA/s...
    Tendar/status/179...
    _____
    0:00 Start
    0:50 Hits/losses
    18:30 Strikes
    33:55 Other
    _____
    DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSS DATA
    1) These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
    2) These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
    3) All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
    4) Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
    5) Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
    6) Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
    7) Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
    8) All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
    9) Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

ความคิดเห็น • 201

  • @edmanzini3664
    @edmanzini3664 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +29

    I just realized that I average just over 6 hours on my IPad daily. Of that, a quarter of the time is watching JP videos. You sir are a machine, Keep pumping out information, I will continue watching untill Ukraine wins. Slava Ukraini. ❤from Canada

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Thanks for watching?

  • @user-do2qr8cq6k
    @user-do2qr8cq6k 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    🇺🇦👍Hi Jonathan. I totally admire your stamina and keeping us so well informed. Thanks Mate 🇳🇿👍

  • @cloraformsgood5340
    @cloraformsgood5340 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    A more positive vibe from Ukraines command.
    Hopefully they are up to great things in the near future.

  • @PantalonesGrandes-px1io
    @PantalonesGrandes-px1io 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

    Derailing trains is a super strategy. It is really very labor intensive to clean up the mess and restore traffic. Loss of goods from the transport is bonus.

  • @budwebster1031
    @budwebster1031 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

    Have a great Sunday folks and relax

  • @thefastandthedead1769
    @thefastandthedead1769 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    "It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself"' The words from 1320 in the Declaration of Arbroath seem as applicable today as they were then. Slava Ukraini and her supporters! 💙💛

  • @greenhighlander7
    @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

    Bradley's showing up could be a sign that certain unit has arrived in the area. or that units are getting new equipment.

    • @sherylpetrucci5730
      @sherylpetrucci5730 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Hi Mika!😃

    • @greenhighlander7
      @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@sherylpetrucci5730 Hi Sheryl!☺

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hi Mika 👋 😊

    • @greenhighlander7
      @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@louisefoley2683 Hi Louise!☺

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Hi. I've been working all weekend, and now (not) looking forward to working all next week. Going to be another struggle to keep up with all JP's videos.

  • @CyberBeep_kenshi
    @CyberBeep_kenshi 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +19

    Mornin.
    82 trucks..... buh bye logistics

  • @clivedunning4317
    @clivedunning4317 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +45

    Anyone else starting to think . . . "The Tide is Turning" ? . . .

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

      Hi Clive, fingers crossed 🤞

    • @annepalmer1654
      @annepalmer1654 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      YES YES YES YES YES.

    • @michelemarr76
      @michelemarr76 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      🙏🇺🇦🙏🇺🇦🙏

    • @carolwilliams8511
      @carolwilliams8511 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      It's been turning ever since the aid was cut off because I could see that, even without US help. Ukraine was fighting fierce and the enemy was making no significant gains. The shock of the ammo starvation gave Europe a pair. Everyone's awake now and Ukraine's drone army is growing. Troops will be sent from Western allies to back fill things like maintenance of equipment, training, medics etc if Zelensky asks for itor of the frontline collapses seriously. Ukraine will win. I have never doubted.

    • @alanchristensen5735
      @alanchristensen5735 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Just wait until the F-16 arrives. 🎉

  • @andrewplowman1002
    @andrewplowman1002 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    Thank you

  • @VillaMasterSF
    @VillaMasterSF 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    tracked garden shed - every single time i see that -> i must laugh....

  • @jmtpolitico80
    @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    Thanks A lot JP!!! Your hard work is always much appreciated!

  • @taniaryndenko2381
    @taniaryndenko2381 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    🌾💙💛 happy Sunday hugs to all ⭐️ ty JP..great start to the day..

  • @quasar6959
    @quasar6959 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Thanks you Jonathan for part one,a good day today as you said up-and-down all the time up and down👍👍👍

  • @bobrichards6696
    @bobrichards6696 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

    G’day all 👍🏻🇦🇺🇺🇦

    • @_Mary_M
      @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      🙂💙💛👋

    • @bobrichards6696
      @bobrichards6696 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@_Mary_M Hi Mary 👋🏻😀👍🏻❤️

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      G'day Bob 👋 😊

    • @sk.43821
      @sk.43821 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      G'day Bob 👋👍😊

    • @bobrichards6696
      @bobrichards6696 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@louisefoley2683 👋🏻😀👍🏻 G’day Louise

  • @jmtpolitico80
    @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    From what I hear the AFU is holding back a lot of there best Western Equipment for the Main Offensive that will come when the AFU think Russia is degraded enough! I think the Major Offensive will bring the Abrams, Challenger 2, and Leopard 2, Bradleys, etc into the fight! I believe they need them to actually make a break through!!

    • @user-sg6or2nu5n
      @user-sg6or2nu5n 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      This is 100% true.........I have done some calculations and Ukraine has thousands of units of armor that have not seen the front yet..........it's just in reserve. They are just waiting for modern air frames. Think about it. What western army would ever launch a major offensive without air cover. I really like to read Davis Axe in Forbes magazine. In an article from Feb. 24, he estimated Ukraine has 2,000 tanks.

    • @cloraformsgood5340
      @cloraformsgood5340 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Iv been thinking the same thing.

    • @jmtpolitico80
      @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      @@user-sg6or2nu5n Exactly! And that Tank amount is only going to grow! New Tanks will be coming in from US, UK, and Germany. Thats why we have not seen tons of these on the Front. We are still training Tank crews on the New Western Tanks so when they get New ones, they will have crews already Trained on these Machines. I thin k more Abrams will be sent over any others due to there being more of them. But that is why mainy Large Western Ground Equipment has not been on the Frontlines. It's easier for Ukraine to Use it's Trained Tank Crews, to Train more Tank Crews on these pieces of equipment so when they arrive they are ready to be manned and sent to the front!!!

    • @user-sg6or2nu5n
      @user-sg6or2nu5n 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      @@jmtpolitico80 Yep.......I still think they are set to get 100 more Leopard 1's Another 100 Swiss Leopard 1' are sitting in a warehouse in North Italy that can be send.

    • @jmtpolitico80
      @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@cloraformsgood5340 I know this is happening cause I seen it in the Western Regions of Ukraine a few times where they were training New Tank Crews on the Abrams Tank. I seen it before any of the Abrams even went into use, and I seen it again but just not with the Abrams but they were all together doing some kinda war games before I left. They had the Abrams, Challenger 2, Leopard 2, T-72, and I even seen a couple T-90s. Not sure whether those were Abandoned and taken by the AFU or they were bought somehow. But ya they were in a Huge Range which had to be some 30x30 sq miles. it was Huge! They also had Bradleys and other IFVs. So there is a Plan that is being played out in War Games. from what I could see and what I over heard while I was there in the area. I have no Idea what the Plan is, I can only Speculate, I am Not far enough up the food chain to be privy to the details. So that is what my planning is if I were the Commander of the AFU! My Crimea approach is the only way I see a possibility of a big enough break through! It will have to start as an Invasion around the western banks of Crimea and through the Dnipro River Region, as well as the Southern lines pushing south all at the sametime. Russia doesn't have the Reserves , so they would have to pull Troops from the North and East to rush them basically through a small region of Donetsk, which then we will get Sat. Intel on from the West, which we can then Rain Hell from HIMARS, Artillery, Drones, and even Air Force on as well. Which would end up in Russia losing the Logistics Initiative they would need to Support the South! So that would be my Plan of Attack overall. Obviously there is way more to it. But I think it is the only Plan we would have of Taking the Advantage back from Russia! Cause as long as we have the support from then on will we be able to push them out of Ukraine entirely! Cause really it's the only option. I don't know why anyone talks about Negotiating cause Zelenskyy cannot do it. He would have absolute Chaos on his hands and maybe even a rebellion of the Troops! Cause in their eye's that is the only option!

  • @jackfrost149
    @jackfrost149 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

    Thanks Jon.

  • @Wolfje9346
    @Wolfje9346 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +26

    G’morning Team, Jonno and all Ukrainminded others! Have a great Sunday! (With family, Archie and other doggo’s)

    • @_Mary_M
      @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hello 😊

    • @Wolfje9346
      @Wolfje9346 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hi Mary👋

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Hi Peter 👋 😊

  • @jmtpolitico80
    @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

    They are stockpiling for the Major Offensive!!! Everything is being stockpiled from what I have heard! I got a Report that there were approximately 2.5 Million Rounds of 155mm Rounds that were still in storage before the last Aid Packages were approved! So I think there is a lot of behind the scenes planning for something in the Future which I believe will be a Major Offensive. And I believe Crimea is going to be the Objective of the Next Main Offensive! It makes sense to me to start with crimea as Russia will have a hard time resupplying the South between Robotyne and Crimea! That will put Russia in a Majorly bad position to resupply anywhere in the South as long as the Air bases are destroyed and Air-Defense is Destroyed!

  • @Fubar2024
    @Fubar2024 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +27

    Thank-you!!💪💪🇺🇦💪💪💛💙💛💙

  • @greenhighlander7
    @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    Allo allo! 😊

    • @cloraformsgood5340
      @cloraformsgood5340 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Allo Allo - the name of a great aeries.

    • @greenhighlander7
      @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@cloraformsgood5340 It is I, LeClerc! 😁

  • @lonelyavatar
    @lonelyavatar 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    Thank you. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 ❤ 🇨🇦

  • @_Mary_M
    @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +13

    Hello Jonathan and have a nice day 👋💙💛

    • @greenhighlander7
      @greenhighlander7 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      👋

    • @_Mary_M
      @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@greenhighlander7 🤗!

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hi Mary 👋 😊

    • @_Mary_M
      @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@louisefoley2683 ☺

  • @johnhare595
    @johnhare595 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    Morning JP Greetings troops 👍😊

  • @WreckingCru3
    @WreckingCru3 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +19

    Good morning from SC!

  • @jmtpolitico80
    @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    Good Day JP, TEAM!!!

    • @_Mary_M
      @_Mary_M 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hi 👋💙💛

    • @jmtpolitico80
      @jmtpolitico80 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@_Mary_M Hi Mary!!!!

    • @louisefoley2683
      @louisefoley2683 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Hi 🇺🇦🇭🇲🌻👍

  • @lipgloss202
    @lipgloss202 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Take care team!

  • @donseyfried3477
    @donseyfried3477 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Afternoon all, thanks JP.

  • @smith...1
    @smith...1 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Hello Team and Jonathan 👋😊🌻

  • @richardbennett8522
    @richardbennett8522 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Cheers Jonathan and the ATP team for Part One

  • @durdei1
    @durdei1 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    One thing i dont understand about catastrophic exploding blyatmobiles is that it suggests they are carrying lots of ammunition for the main armament, when the blyatmobile design itself nullifies the main armament almost entirely.

    • @cloraformsgood5340
      @cloraformsgood5340 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      They don't need many to fill the carousel, obviously the more in the carousel the higher the turret toss

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It's a plan to get rid of as many of their troops as they can so they don't have to pay them.

  • @RickFromTheNetherlands
    @RickFromTheNetherlands 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Hi Jonathan, great to see those large, long range drone attacks into Russia and Russian occupied territory! Troops are the most valuable assets for Ukraine and using these drones on a large scale will definitely cripple Russia at minimum troop loss.
    Mart de Kruif has been in the militaire for a long time and ended his career as a luitenant-general and commander of our army. He is mentioned as a candidate to become the Dutch minister of defense.
    He gave an interview a few days ago about the attack in the Charkiv area. He explained it is very unlikely the goal is to occupy Charkiv. However, he thinks this is the prelude of a bigger Russian attack that will probably take place somewhere in the next few weeks. He explains that if Russia plans a major offensive, they have to do it soon, because Ukraine will get stronger when more Western weapons arrive.
    My addition to his story is that the mobilization of Ukraine will limit the time frame even more. I think Russia can afford to wait 3 weeks, but if they wait 3 months their offensive will be troublesome.
    This would make the Ukrainian drone attacks so important (and might be timed accordingly), attacking airbases to immobilize as much air support as possible, destroy military bases, basically attacking all key infrastructure and present air defense systems that might try to protect those infrastructures.
    F16’s might not solve everything, but they become a lot more powerful when Russian airbases suffer and Russia keeps losing hard to replace AA-kits.
    Russia could move an S400 system, but building one is a totally different story. Ukraine has the same issues, but The West can always squeeze out more.
    In my opinion we “squeeze” too often, resulting in not giving the Ukrainians the benefits the could really have to defend and strike back and, maybe more important, introducing a waiting period for new material to arrive, leaving the Ukrainian troop and the material they currently have vulnerable for attacks.
    With my limited knowledge I would say sending more stuff would be cheaper in the end. Especially if you take Ukrainian losses into account.
    I hope this rant is a bit more structured than some of my others.
    Cheers, Rick

  • @RichardKrom-ul5zo
    @RichardKrom-ul5zo 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    UKRAINE IS DOING, WELL . 🇺🇦👏

  • @jbdsvld8175
    @jbdsvld8175 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    May have been said before, but the factory in St. Petersburg was producing plastics. Polycarbonate or polyethylene if I'm not mistaken. Ah. It was mentioned later on in the episode. :-P.

  • @user-di8wk3pr9m
    @user-di8wk3pr9m 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Nine Atacms were destroyed over Crimea. I absolutely believe that. What I do not believe is that they all would be destroyed by Russian air defence. Some of them might be destroyed by a Russian oil depot, by a refinery, an airport, or a Russian command post heroically blocking it's way.

  • @capohd28
    @capohd28 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    I think those attacks using only 2 or 3 drones per target were really about mapping air defences. If they got through that was a bonus, meanwhile getting very good information about defences onroute as well as at target.

  • @icourant
    @icourant 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Electricity and heating for the population are not produced by gas stored in tanks, as those are reserved for liquids such as fuels, diesel, and Euro 98. Instead, gas used for generating electricity and providing heating in homes is transported through pipelines. Therefore, the impact of attacks on depots is limited when it comes to the availability of electricity and residential heating for ordinary citizens. However, fuel prices at gas stations are likely to increase as a result.

  • @catherineandpaulfuters2523
    @catherineandpaulfuters2523 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thank you for your coverage and insights
    🇬🇧🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🇪🇺

  • @yamaneko-ex8fy
    @yamaneko-ex8fy 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Jonathan, I can hardly keep up with the pace of your videos. Very greateful you are doing this important job!!!

  • @jeffveeder4165
    @jeffveeder4165 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    The number of damaged or destroyed Russian vehicles is mind blowing and yet I can't help to think its inflated. U brought up a good point that 1 day of losses equals what some small European nations have in total for military vehicles. anyways. Good show n thx as always for giving info absolutely not given on regular TV news in the States.

  • @keithkane7891
    @keithkane7891 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great and informative video as always keep up the great work!! Slava Ukraini💪🇺🇦💪🇺🇦💪🇺🇦

  • @NikkiOwen
    @NikkiOwen 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thank you Jonathan ❤ Love to Team ATP ❤Love to Ukraine 🇺🇦 ❤️
    Life is getting un the way lately, sorry. Catching up 🫂

  • @Fifty-one-Fifty
    @Fifty-one-Fifty 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Very naive of the looters to think theyre going back home with that washing machine any time soon.
    At least alive anyway.

  • @kjfjdkiflfkd
    @kjfjdkiflfkd 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Algo!

  • @V-V1875-h
    @V-V1875-h 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Ukraine Congalining their drones through russian air defense is quite funny

  • @-Deena.
    @-Deena. 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Доброго ранку команда!🧡

  • @user-rv4ob4tg9x
    @user-rv4ob4tg9x 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Sup bois

  • @user-gf7kc5fc5m
    @user-gf7kc5fc5m 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Good morning from 🇺🇸 JP! Thank you for your excellent reporting! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 Victory for Ukraine 🇺🇦 🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @chiperffic
    @chiperffic 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I feel like sometimes I am on the same wavelength as JP. I post a message as I am watching the video when 5-10-15 mins later JP says damn near exactly what I posted making me delete my comment…..Love your work JP!!!

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Heh. Great minds think alike. (And fools seldom differ...)

  • @mariannevandenlemmer3428
    @mariannevandenlemmer3428 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Great report, as always. Thank you JP! greetings from Marianne from Belgium!

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Hello!

  • @NAFOLangley
    @NAFOLangley 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    4:51 Hey Jonathan,
    If the reporting I heard was correct, the first aid package from the $60bil from the US included 100 Bradley fighting vehicles.
    That may explain why you're seeing more on the hits & losses.
    The Bradley is arguably one of the best armored vehicles on the battlefield. So you'll probably see units ditching their BMP for a Bradley.
    The teams that have used them long enough to be comfortable using the Bradley - seem to do really well against anything the Russians bring.
    Thanks for all the hard work you do!

  • @martinlye2748
    @martinlye2748 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Slava Ukraine and thanks for your report.

  • @MARTINHEMEYER
    @MARTINHEMEYER 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    SLAVA UKRAINI

  • @carolwilliams8511
    @carolwilliams8511 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Donate the the drone army! United24.

  • @origprankster
    @origprankster 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Garden Sheds = STUGIII's

  • @paulyoung4422
    @paulyoung4422 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    It was all go at Oleg's Refrigerated Truck Business. Yesterday he was bringing back the fallen from Ukraine. Today the Tzar has sent him to bring Ice Cream to the Widow's.

  • @michelemarr76
    @michelemarr76 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I hope supplies are coming in to the front. I'm hearing some have not received anything yet, and are barely holding on. 🇺🇦🙏🇺🇦

  • @icourant
    @icourant 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    The spent casings from air defense systems do not pose a risk to residential areas as they are ejected and fall close to the deployment site of the weapons. Instead, it is the projectiles that may impact buildings if they miss their intended targets or return to the ground.

  • @davidbaker9479
    @davidbaker9479 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Glad to see that subsciber number keep climbing. I feel like it was semi stagnant arpund 20-25k for a bit, but maybe that was just in my head. Anyways, steady climbing with all the great work you are doing!

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thanks David

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It was stagnant, but I think interest in following the war flagged after the failed offensive last year.

  • @axelpro09
    @axelpro09 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    36:35 Better to make 2 trench ditches at close distance than to put teeth.With the Wheel digging the trench with 2 back and forth it would build a ditch where the tanks would go nose-first

  • @FireMoon42
    @FireMoon42 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Bradleys are old kit themselves, they're just far superior to old Russian kit. Look for them using the Swedish IFVs, the CV90s, being deployed as the Russians are , apparently, desperate to take them out. To the extent, it's claimed that, T90 deployments are often an attempt to hunt down the CV90s.

  • @Aussie_T
    @Aussie_T 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you Jonathan I'm catching up sorry missed your stream I'm heading back to it 💙💛

  • @jakestephenson3115
    @jakestephenson3115 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    we have lost the pioneer and anka news chanel, youtube at it again

  • @mikechesh-nq9gj
    @mikechesh-nq9gj 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    The American military is playing a blinder, not one American has been forced into this war, depleting russian forces by at least 50%. Drip feed Ukraine with old due to be retired hardware at the expense of Ukraine lives. Not good for Ukraine but good for the free world.

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Sad, but true. Meanwhile, the West really dragged their feet getting production back on line and will pat the price in a year or two.

  • @grahambaker6664
    @grahambaker6664 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Don't discount the Ukrainian's own abilities in weapons design and development. Ukraine was the home of many of the Soviet military aerospace and armoured vehicle design bureaus. The Soviet system separated design and serial production facilities. Ukraine got the design facilities but the production facilities were located elsewhere. Many of the Soviet missiles had the serial production centres in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      You forgot ship design as even the submarine Moskva was built in Mikolaiv.

  • @axelpro09
    @axelpro09 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    32:39 ❤I also saw it and thought it was the same to shoot at 220 degrees at eye level and rejoice. Soon there will be shooting between opposing positions for a drone It's the first thing I thought in the total 15 seconds dedicated to the video

  • @ianmcleod48
    @ianmcleod48 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I have a hypothesis that some of these mysterious fires deep inside Russia that have no evidence of the actual event/strike that started the fire are the result of AFU/GUR/SBU SOF units having really good success behind enemy lines with various drones/loitering munitions, some of them might even be western made, and we just probably aren’t going to learn about it for a while. I’m also fairly certain a lot of these long range drones are using western developed AI assisted systems to actually target/home in on the most vulnerable points of their targets, but again we probably won’t get confirmation on such things for a while.
    Also, it seems like GLSDB is actually pretty effective, and so are the JDAMs/Hammers/Paveways lol

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      GLSDBs were an utter failure and are not in use anymore. J-DAM and Hammers, on the other hand, perform very well.

  • @jakealcock5905
    @jakealcock5905 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Awesome fight last night. Don't quite know how it went to split decision, thought Usyk had him by unanimous honestly. But maybe I am a bit biased.
    feeling a bit fragile today!😂

  • @sk.43821
    @sk.43821 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    #PRONUNCIATION ⚠️
    Kushchevskaya/Кущевская - you read it pretty/very well. BUT.
    *The adjective endings -kaya/-naya (-кая/-ная, i.e. Moskovskaya/Московская), -kiy (-кий, i.e. Leninskiy/Ленинский), -ovo (-ово, -ого) are never stressed.*
    Stress the syllable before the adjective ending, last syllable of the stem, -chév-.

  • @Brandon34098
    @Brandon34098 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    i believe gepard proximity fused ammo has a timer so it wont come back down as a explosive round unless its fired pretty much at the horizon

  • @xzxzt4
    @xzxzt4 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    48 arty hehehehehe

  • @timmommens901
    @timmommens901 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

  • @UFO-Ark
    @UFO-Ark 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Most commontators estimate a 1:3 human loss ratio. Ukraine needs this to be 1:10 to maintain a fighting chance. Thats still horrific losses.

  • @axelpro09
    @axelpro09 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    35:47 I DO NOT understand why the Ukrainians don't use turtle type mltb to recover damaged vehicles but they risk and then lose the Abrams variant

  • @robertamity3563
    @robertamity3563 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    🇺🇦🎯🇷🇺🛢️🚀💥🔥🇷🇺🛢️🔥👍🇺🇦 !

  • @Paul-wo3qh
    @Paul-wo3qh 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    25th LSA

  • @WT_Door
    @WT_Door 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Re: exhaustion of Russian (former USSR) equipment reserves - while this is some of the most interesting data that I see on the war (Covert Cabal in particular), I strongly believe that the Russians will not run out of artillery/tanks/IFVs, etc. As stocks dwindle I am certain that there will be replacement equipment that flows in from NK and from China (I expect China has a lot of former USSR or China-made copies of USSR equipment that has been replaced as China has modernized it's forces). And the supporters of Ukraine can complain about that - but has that had any impact on the supply of artillery shells from NK, or missles and drones from Iran?

    • @sk.43821
      @sk.43821 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The West can complain and it has no impact. More importantly Chinese overt military assistance gives NATO countries more justification for expanded support because of China's direct involvement.

  • @Donovanwashere
    @Donovanwashere 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    It would be so funny if Ukraine was saying they couldn’t take out the garden shed tanks just to troll Russia into turning all of their tanks into garden sheds lol. 🇺🇦🙏🇺🇸

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The garden sheds are welded to the hull blocking any turning *_even for aiming_* of the turret. The tank is reduced to a mine clearing test dummy.

  • @jimmifrandsen4740
    @jimmifrandsen4740 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    🥷💪💪❤️❤️❤️🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦❤️❤️❤️

  • @mwtrolle
    @mwtrolle 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    37:37
    I guess that makes sense, but not before the russians start to do something more useful for us hier war effort.
    For now they seem to be doing mainly stupid stuff, no need to interrupt them from doing that.
    But Ukraine need to have things ready they can do if russia start to get their sh*t together.

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Over two years now and little russhittogether yet. No reason to believe anything like that is going to happen anytime soon.

  • @iondarwish895
    @iondarwish895 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    The copycat Ukrainian dragon's teeth, at a glance, look smaller than the Russian ones. One might recall that the Ukrainians derided them calling them Toblerone, only to copy them.

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They are a hundred year old design that has really not been improved over the years.

    • @iondarwish895
      @iondarwish895 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      As an engineer I wonder how many bags of cement have been used per cubic metre of concrete, what mix design was used and what rebars have been used. The dragon's teeth might need to be secured through piling in order to achieve a meaningful barrier.

  • @robertamity3563
    @robertamity3563 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    🇺🇦🎯🇷🇺✈️🚀💥🔥🇷🇺✈️🔥👍🇺🇦 !

  • @myBestWishes677
    @myBestWishes677 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    US and UE should help Ukraine WIN

  • @brandonmcheyenehoward1077
    @brandonmcheyenehoward1077 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Pretty sure the F16 can be fitted with air to air capability that will take down the Russian bombers long before they realise it

    • @UFO-Ark
      @UFO-Ark 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Might even be a Bi-Plane with suitable avionics.

  • @DaniRaj666
    @DaniRaj666 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    George Barros of ISW said that Ukraine needs to stay active and not relinquish initiative.

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Exactly. That was my point about localized attacks to keep initiative in their favor in certain areas

  • @chiperffic
    @chiperffic 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    How can Russia claim to have shot down everything when we have video not only of the explosions but also you have UAVs being recorded hundreds of miles into Russia. Wouldn’t you have already shot it down before it made it a couple hundred miles into your country? That is already successful if they can make it that far and not be shot down because anything within that range clearly would make it through.

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      russia -vranyo.

  • @walkish
    @walkish 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Samba/Conga line of drones lol...glad it is AFU not Russia, its kinda terrifying

  • @kurtisengle6256
    @kurtisengle6256 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It's perverse, but, not paying your troops tends to make them more dependent upon the army for everything.
    It's a kind of institutionalized 'stockholm syndrome'. Earliest reference I know of was made by Xenophon, in passing, in Anabasis, regarding the attack on 'The Gates'. Before the attack, Cyrus was talked into paying the men. Which, apparently, he hadn't.

  • @burgundypoint
    @burgundypoint 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    More than a thousand casualties per day. That is unsustainable. How are the Russians still in the fight?

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They're going for 1/2Million, then pack up and go home...........

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They started the invasion with a population of 144 million warm bodies.

  • @axelpro09
    @axelpro09 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    18:13 china This is what contracts are for, thinking about the future

  • @tezzy5584
    @tezzy5584 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    I think you're too optimistic about Ukraine's drone strike potential. Look at Shahed raids today compared to a year ago, almost all are intercepted every single time now. Russia will adapt to this and we know they're starting to do the same thing that Ukraine does with teams of gun/cannon rather than missile based anti air systems. Ukraine had a head start on adapting to drone based strategic bombing, Russia will eventually (how long is anyone's guess) adapt.

    • @user-sg6or2nu5n
      @user-sg6or2nu5n 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      russia and adapt don't go together well..............they just put a banker that is an expert in crypto currency with no military experience in charge of the MOD.

    • @sababugs1125
      @sababugs1125 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      In the meanwhile they'll still do some damage

    • @tezzy5584
      @tezzy5584 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@user-sg6or2nu5n Having a civilian in the MoD position is quite normal and many western countries do it as well.

    • @jodieford5738
      @jodieford5738 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      By the time they have adapted hopefully all teachable refineries and military bases will already have been hit

    • @user-sg6or2nu5n
      @user-sg6or2nu5n 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@tezzy5584 for the West it may be normal but russia is not the west. The russian general staff is an old boy school.......they are not happy about this.....

  • @alanchristensen5735
    @alanchristensen5735 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Good morning JP. I've been distracted by the high spirited high jinks going on in the US Congress. Specifically the Space Laser lady Moscow Marge and Representative Jasmine Crockett from Texas. Our rules of decorum may need to be revised. Toodle pips

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It was obviously going to come to that at some point. But that was only round.1. Wait till the bell goes for round.2..........

    • @sirsmeal3192
      @sirsmeal3192 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ...or created instead of being unwritten.

  • @Snitzelvonkrumm
    @Snitzelvonkrumm 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Why would belbek not just be able to truck in the fuel to refill planes?

    • @ATPGeo
      @ATPGeo  22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      There is a reason they had a depot there for 450,000 litres of oil. To fly the amount of sorties that they would like, with that frequency, you would need to completely change your logistics.

  • @joblo341
    @joblo341 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    minor brain fart: Today is day 816, 803 killed anti-air is average just under 1, not 2, per day.
    The framework for the Garden Shed is often welded directly to the turret, so the turret is disabled from rotating without destroying their shed.
    I'm wondering if Ukraine was able to take out the crane that was moved from Sevastopol to Novorosysk that is used to load cruise missiles. That is a huge target!
    I haven't seen a recent tally of dead russian officers by rank ...
    Belbek air port I've heard their storage tanks were 500 TONS vs 450K litres ... That is a HUGE difference, I wonder which is true.
    Frankly, I'd rather see russia hitting parks and civilian targets than military and civilian infrastructure targets. Sucks to be a civilian, but
    Yes, a traditional 50 cal or larger shooting towards town is bad, but Gepard firing "AHEAD" type shells is less of a problem. The AHEAD shells self detonate in the air, causing smaller shrapnel to hit ground. yes Gepard shooting
    Those piles of pyramids are effective anti tank, just not wide spread enough, easy to go around

  • @giles-df9yu
    @giles-df9yu 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Too many rabbit holes but ok,

  • @glennshanley9078
    @glennshanley9078 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Grads are sht. All they do is hurl logistics downfield.
    Two launches is a truck load. Ru needs 20 of them, in total.
    So what if ru has 1000 more?
    UA and ru have f'kall grad ammo, and it aint worth making more grads or grad ammo.
    Let the Steppe Wolves do their hobby.
    Irregulars with technicals use limited scraps better.
    Make 5 mortar shells instead of one random missile.

  • @SIMEONNOVAK
    @SIMEONNOVAK 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    O yes How many troops does Ukraine have left cooking personal

  • @philjameson292
    @philjameson292 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Ukrainians boosting my chances of getting a cheap hotel room in Crimea this summer
    Something tells me there will be lots of spare capacity

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Book in at the Swallows Nest Hotel at Gaspra in Crimea. Highly recommended for views across the black sea.

  • @ashokagarwal78
    @ashokagarwal78 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    IF. Whatever figures your channel is providing regarding Russian losses and casualties are correct then where is the need to arrange peace summit in Switzerland. Ukraine has requested huge number of nations to attend and force Russia to accept peace proposal.
    Sir Russia right on top.
    Russia has been slaughtering Ukraine soldiers on the battlefield.
    Ukraine has a acute shortage of manpower.
    This ratio protected by you 5: 1 in favour of Ukraine doesn't hold.
    If Russian casualties are 500000 then Ukraine casualties should be 100000 only.
    No need to lower conscription age resort to full mobilization.
    Ukraine is doomed as war not ending soon

    • @DawnFox-kb1xq
      @DawnFox-kb1xq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      My, what a cheerful little rus troll. Ps: nobody believes Kremlin propaganda here. Go and pedal these views somewhere else.
      Ps2: Ukr is happy to discuss russian surrender anytime.....

  • @Mongo_Lloyd
    @Mongo_Lloyd 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +10