@@saberint It was a really great stream. My only problem was my connection speed was fluctuating wildly which made reading and posting comments difficult.
@@grahambaker6664 oh that sucks. I had about a 5 second lag between the stream video and the TH-cam video, then in the stream chat I could see people commenting, but not in the TH-cam stream! Then 5 minutes later I would see them comment in TH-cam🤯
.. military expert Alexander Kovalenko points out that it is too early to draw conclusions, but the picture clearly shows: this is definitely not an ATACMS ballistic , missile
I listened to Arthur’s video a few days ago and Russia’s base near Finland is abandoned with no tanks or soldiers and that same thing goes for other borders - Russia is sending every single thing to Ukraine. He said something like there is no secret stockpile of any of it.
To be honest I think Russia's tank reserves have been overestimated. The same with AFV and artillery. Its ok counting storage parks but after years out in the open how many can be made functional. Looking at various satellite photographs you can see tanks without turrets, engines , tracks etc. How much of a rebuild do the tanks need to get them back in service?
Exposed barrels, for sure. Expect a loss on the lower side of the barrel of enough rust to allow a failure to seal around a fired shell. Engine parts are probably rusted enough to sieze.
I agree. The numbers of everything have been wildly inflated. Including what they say they are producing per year. They counted refurbishment as production the past two years and now it is becoming obvious. The French researchers had given a pessimistic scenario of Russia would have gotten down to 250 tanks by Spring of 2024 at the loss of 12 per day (which Russia was losing during the Fall and Winter). Their optimistic scenario was based on adding in 1500 tanks to replace the ones lost in battle. No way that happened.
They are running out of tanks is the answer. They would use them if they had them. Russia wouldn’t send people on motorcycles if there were stockpiles of tanks.
The current State Department and Jake Sullivan's policy are reminiscent of the Vietnam War. During the war, all air targets in North Vietnam had to be approved by the President Johnson with certain areas in North Vietnam completely "out of bounds" for all military attacks. Needless to say many hundreds of US aircraft and personnel were lost as SAM sites in these protected areas were off limits by order of the President. It wasn't until Operation Linebacker II by President Nixon that eliminated these protected areas and after 11 days of unlimited bombing of these areas did the North Vietnamese return to the negotiation table. This analogy with current State Department/Sullivan policy reminds me of the disastrous results now as they did then. This shows that history does indeed repeat itself unless we learn from past lessons. Sullivan need's to pull his head out of his ass as he has rectal myopia.
In german we say "das Gefecht der verbundenen Waffen" which means that all the Systems have to be combined and effective together. Only then will they achieve the best results. I think thats what you meant in your Statement. @2:00
Good morning JP. Honestly the timidity and stupidity of these one hand behind their backs rules of engagement is aggravating. How is it acceptable to do this? The arrogance and condescension is staggering. Give Ukraine the capability to end this damned war. SLAVA UKRAINI from the United States.
Hello Jonathan and ATP team. Have a great day. My 2 cents is that the Abrams is having maintenance problems due to the age of the vehicles supplied by the US. Delivery of spares is problematic so down time is high.only 31 or so M1A1s supplied. The Bradley are sent in batches of 100s. So more of them can be stripped for support parts. The videos show no more than 1 or 2 Bradleys' used at any time against Russian BMPs or tanks , neither side is using company sized units of tanks and MICV's in the attacks and counter attacks.
@@surpriseitsus9622 In the interview with one of the tank crews they said their fire missions were at ranges of 700 meters into the tree lines .that cree seems to have had around 8 months with the tank.😄 cheers .
Hi Sherrill 🤗 😘 ❤ you go girl, I write every Sunday. I would never go to the orange side, but Sullivan is a wanker indeed. I'm going to need to start writing to the Pentagon wussy boys too. Enjoy this gross humid heat 🔥 Lynn
@@surpriseitsus9622 🤦♀️0h, you mean Orange Jesus side. No, of course not. I just want Biden to be the best version of himself. Enough to sustain the Ukrainians 😡. How about enough to win? How about we don’t provoke Russia to escalate with our hesitation and weakness, allowing Russia to adapt at every turn.
With Ukraine taking out one of Russia's space satellite and communications nets what do you think the implications will be. They have 4 of these and should Ukraine manage to take out another one then it could affect Russia's abilities to communicate with their military satellites. This will cause problems with everything from Russia's version of GPS to being able go programme glide bombs missles etc. Could they turn to the Chinese for help? Would the Chinese want to help them?
Hi Jonathan, many thanks for al the work you are doing. Great coverage. If you have not seen it, would you have a look at the CSIS pc on The Russian Defence Industry Today. It would seem that despite the Ukrainian degradation of Russian war resources, even at their current low level the Russians have enough to keep the Ukrainian forces occupied and continue the war.
yeah i am very doubtful on that IRIS-T strike too, the vehicle is in the treeline and they managed to hit the field next to it, but the fire didn't even come 20 meters close to the vehicle
@@geoffgill5334 Yes, Russia would use them if they had them. There is no stockpile. They have already taken the tanks they had placed at the border of each country. They use everything including golf carts.
Per the Ukrainian loss: It looks like the field around the vehicle is golden color signifying ripening grain. It's too early in the season for grain to ripen. Just a thought.
Not only Twitter - On FaceBook, military sci-fi writers with large followings have commented that, although they post daily, sometimes followers complain the posts are not showing up in the viewers' feeds. The followers thought the writer had stopped posting.
Neither side can mount effective combined arms operations. These operations require well trained troops, effective and operational equipment, and adequate reserves to exploit breakthrough opportunities. Add in the impact of drone operations in both intelligence and attacks and here we are.
Just look at Andrew's numbers, neither side has large workable tanks for huge offensive numbers. Damaged + ancient tanks are reducing both sides tanks numbers to incredible low concretation given the length of the front.
I wonder how hard it would be to manufacture "new" aircraft on vintage designs like the Yak-52 or P-51 or Spitfire to take out drones... With Spitfire you don't even need a runway... any open field can be used for landing and take-off!
What does it say about Ukraine Military funding when they constitute a Zone brigade but don't supply them with trucks, drones. and other necessary equipment as claimed by Pete from Project Konstantine's Project Tatyana?
We in the west can replace that generation capacity if we want to There are a massive amount of very large mobile generators that could be sent to Ukraine
Wording is important, right? Zelensky said 9 GW over the time period of 7 attacks (until now?). Because he added the time window, that can be compared to the electrical energy consumption of the Netherlands over 3 months.
W is already a timed unit j/s so Like when 1 part of our powerplant has 1600MW "strength" it and the whole plant produces 15 TW's per year. So maybe he is talking about the output "strength". So if you run the plants for 1 hour you get that amount of GWh, then if the plants need to produce that or able to produce the number is another question but its like when you plan a solar panel system you plan according to KWp and not KWh. Forget what I said, I assume that if you would run those plants for 1 hour at max capacity you would get the number he said in GWh, KWh and so on. So he is talking about whatever it is called in eng, the potential of the plants.
36:47 This is frightening, this kind of manipulation is another level. I have been trying to be a member in some pro Ukraine YT channels and my credit card rejects for fraud suspect... I confirm it's legit, but it all repeats... This problem does not happen in other categories of channels.
I don't understand something. It has been said many times that drones are more accurate than artillery. They also have pretty good range. Why not use more drone attacks on aircraft and forget the US restrictions on long range missiles? Educate us.
Long range drones are slow and fairly easy to shoot down. There is good air defence around the airfields unlike, say oil refineries. Aircraft can also take off or be moved if they know the drones are coming. On some of the airfields the aircraft are moved position several times a day as a precaution.
Both drones and missiles are in constant short supply. However, missiles are much tougher to shoot down, so drones are sent against undefended or less defended targets.
Are the YS that stupid saying that within the parameters laid down is enough. Is he crazy or have not a clue where these glide bombs and other stuff being launch from. If he doesn’t he should not be in that position.
@ATP geopolitics can I ask u for advice I live in dumfries Scotland yesterday I got a reform UK leaflet through my door it seems they have a candidate here in dumfries I want to arrange to meet him to talk to him about what nigel farrage said about Ukraine about see if he agrees with it and on the leaflet they only talk about illegal immigration which Is also disgusting no mention of anything else he would do for dumfries and Galloway please can u maybe advise me on some questions for him thanks
The iris t is not the same area the field is different colours look at the field in one with puff of smoke u don't have that dark colours that are in the one with the burning all of that black Isn't from the burning it's too far away and is not part of the burning because the scorch marks are black the dark field is dark brown not black @ATP geopolitics
They day you created this account. You mentionned you would unsubscribe from this channel. This is your second comment on this channel from then on. Idk just saying...
Most likely. I am pro Ukraine. But you and many bloggers are very left politically biased. If USA continues on this road, we won’t be strong enough to help anyone in the future.
The US needs to continue to support Ukraine. At the moment the far right (MAGA, DJT) do not support Ukraine. Biden and the Dems (center/left) do support Ukraine. Biden and the Dems actually are more Reagan Republican than Trump
Biden has the US pumping more oil than any country in the history of the world. He sold strategic reserves high and is buying them back low, making money on that, while also looking to further independence with alternative energy.
Honestly you have got the two mixed up. Biden immediately stopped pumping when he got in!! He emptied the reserves to try and cut gas prices. He cut the Alaska pipeline.
@@geniexmay562 according to forbes who fact checked trumps statement that the spr was highest under the trump presidency ,it will come as no surprise that it was a lie ,tho biden has also drained it but didnt lie about it
@@ATPGeo Please note that your facts are totally off and false. The Biden Administration has not repurchased any oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Oil Reserve. They have stated several times that they intend to purchase oil but never have. The last time oil purchases were actually tried was during President Trump's administration at $40 per barrel, but the proposed purchased to fill the petroleum reserve was blocked by the Democrats in Congress.
Hi Peter and a happy Tuesday to you 🤗 Scan is done! Computers were down, long lines, I was given wrong prep information about drinking 36 oz of water. I was stuffed full of water and had to drink a giant bottle of barium. Guy couldn't get my iv started, a lady came over and had it fixed in 15 seconds. Now I wait. 😊
@@user-aero68 Okay, I remembered now. In October, I was discussing this study because of how many tanks Russia was losing per day. The study had said that at the rate of losses of 12 vehicles per day, Russia could be down to 250 tanks by the beginning of 2024 and they were losing more than that back then. So, if they were down to 250 tanks by February, they would be running out at that rate by the Summer.
They'll never "run out " , but there is a point when demand will outstrip supply , ie when there are less new build and refurbed vehicles than the number destroyed ..
@@eastcorkcheeses6448 If they really have fewer than 250 tanks right now - and there are very few tanks on the battlefield, then they are close to actually running out.
Sodol was fired because Yermak is in the middle of a huge controversy where like, well, basically every ukrainian I know hates Yermak but maybe he has some support. Lets just say 80% of Ukraine is demanding Yermak immediately be fired and/or immediately arrested. The second Zelensky had a way to appease the masses by doing something other than firing Yermak (ie, firing Sodol) he leaped at it. Easiest decision of his life.
Honestly, I think the military realized there was no chance yermak would be fired so they got their heads together and thought hmm how can we use this to our advantage? And they decided to get Sodol fired. Never let a good tragedy go to waste.
Given the US’s huge stocks of ‘redundant’ Bradleys, I don’t understand why the US doesn’t supply Ukraine with all that the AFU could possibly use. Perhaps they already do and we just don’t know it.
26:40 - "The Iskander-M was operationalized in 2006 and is currently fielded by the Russian Army. It has a range of 400-500 km and uses both inertial and optical guidance systems to achieve an accuracy of 10-30 m CEP. It can carry conventional and nuclear warheads up to 700 kg and employs a maneuverable re-entry vehicle (MaRV) and decoys to defeat theater missile defense systems. Conventional warheads that can be equipped by the Iskander include cluster warheads, fuel-air explosives, bunker-busters, and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) warheads." (Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance)
@@viggoholmsen7203 Unless they have tested the missiles themselves, they are referencing some Russian sources. Ballistic Iskander-M is not exported. Only the shorter range, simpler guidance system Iskander-E. There are no official numbers but some leaks suggest that CEP for Iskander-M is 5-7m with optical guidance, and 30-70m with satellite/inertial guidance. But I would not trust those numbers at all. In Russia tests are falsified all the time to trigger payouts from government contracts. Systemic corruption makes all their stuff overrated and unreliable. Iskanders hitting fields, homes and pedestrian bridges are also not very convincing arguments for Russian technological excellence.
Russian soldier commented that anything large that ventures out is 100% going to be destroyed. Only hope of arriving at destination is to be small and fast.
a house uses an average 1.5 kW. 9 GW is equivalent to the consumption of about 7 million houses. these are rates of consumption, not a "volume" of consumption. "Volume" is measured in kilowatt hours. You might pay about $0.3 for one kWh.
@@ATPGeo We used to see it a lot with wind farms: "this farm will power 20 000 houses for X amount of time". Writers getting quantity and flow mixed up and engineers not providing the oversight..
About the video analysis around 13:00, I guess the Russians only got close instead of hitting, but still needed something for their propaganda. That would explain how the impacts did appear a bit off and why we get no continuous footage of the target.
At what point in this war do you think some senior general staff in russia will approach putin and tell him they no longer have enough equipment to defend the country if they were attacked?
It does happen. The popular general Popov critisized the high command and was then relieved of his duties. Later he got the command of the forces in Kherson.
Hi Jonathan, I'm enjoying your content, as usual. However, a technical issue with the broadcasts that I"d like to highlight: Very often, when you play a YT clip the volume is so low, it"s inaudible. Your narration at the time is fine to hear. I wonder if this is because you adjust the clip volume whilst listening through headphones? Not sure if I"m the only one with this experience. Nor am I audio expert enough to suggest technical tweak. As an avid (loudspeaker), listener I thought I'd tell you. Thank you for the great work you do! Jorg
Good morning, everyone. JP as far as anyone being a military expert at the moment. I think with the massive change in technology and drone warfare I don't think anyone outside Ukraine is an expert on "modern" warfare. This war has changed every aspect of how all future conflicts will be fought. Slava Ukraine. “The character of war is changing,” Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George " Oct. 9th 2023
Perhaps. But USA still would not fight with drones as primary. USA isn’t giving Ukraine the good stuff. Every few weeks I see videos on the new technology that USA military already has and their missiles already can change targets mid flight and things like that.
The problem with using Tanks in Ukraine is that the ones they have been given are not the latest Tech, they are not fitted with active protection systems or the latest reactive Armour. They also do not have the numbers required to achieve a major breakthrough or the combined support equipment. The Ukrainians have used their Enginuity as best they can to overcome these problems , but the West is holding back to much technology, I know for a fact they could do way more.
tho what you say is reasonable the reason they cant make a break thru is air support, they need to bust open the heavily mined defences of the surovikin line and that requires heavy ordnance that only air support can provide
@@Dinna-beDaft The point is quite a serious one actually if you care to dismount from your very high horse and consider the lack of military equipment Russia now has and the length of it's borders.
Initially, they glide at the speed of the aircraft that released them. They scrub off speed with air resistance as they fall. Eventually, they travel at the last speed their wing kits could provide lift as gravity takes over.
Thank you for your Herculean efforts to bring detailed updates everyday ! 👍
Good evening JP👋🙂
Good evening team 👋🙂
G'day Matt. 👍👋
@@grahambaker6664 gday Graham🙂 I hope you are doing great mate🍻 and maybe enjoyed the stream last night🙂
@@saberint It was a really great stream. My only problem was my connection speed was fluctuating wildly which made reading and posting comments difficult.
@@grahambaker6664 oh that sucks. I had about a 5 second lag between the stream video and the TH-cam video, then in the stream chat I could see people commenting, but not in the TH-cam stream! Then 5 minutes later I would see them comment in TH-cam🤯
Hi Matt, I watched the stream 2 hours after it ended. 😔 I was upset I missed it live.
You were great. I expect you were in chat while JP was talking 😂
Thanks for the update Jonathan keep up the great 🇺🇦🫡
..Hi Auzzie T. , and Thanks for the update Johnathan …. 💙💛💙
Did you see it was a 9M330 🇷🇺n missile that fell on the beach in Temporary Occupied Crimea .. picture as well … 💙💛💙
@@mike4480 Hi Mike yes I saw that take care
.. military expert Alexander Kovalenko points out that it is too early to draw conclusions, but the picture clearly shows: this is definitely not an ATACMS ballistic , missile
Hi 🤗 😘 good morning 🌅
I listened to Arthur’s video a few days ago and Russia’s base near Finland is abandoned with no tanks or soldiers and that same thing goes for other borders - Russia is sending every single thing to Ukraine. He said something like there is no secret stockpile of any of it.
What's to stop Russian separatists occupying a part of Karelia?
@@Paulus8765 I've heard there's been many environmental disasters there under Soviet rule, so not such a good place.
Morning JP Greetings troops 👍😊
Hi John 👋☺️
G'day John.👍
Hello 👋 John 😊
Thank you Jonathan! Hello team and friends 💙💛
Hi Mary 😊👋
@@Aussie_T 🤗
Hi Mary, happy Tuesday 💐
@@surpriseitsus9622 ☺🍹🌞
G’day all 👍🏻🇦🇺🇺🇦
Hi Bob, ok....let me guess....Good morning 🌅 ☕ stay warm, it's hot and very humid, thunderstorms, plus heat lightening.
@@surpriseitsus9622 Good morning Lynn, 06:50 cuppa and news catch up time 👋🏻😀👍🏻☕️🫖❤️. Cold front passing through, raining and 14°C.
Appreciate the report Jonathan. Hello Team. Keep on keeping on!
Hi Dawg 🤗
Brilliant video as always thank you for all the information provided by your good self keep smiling and be happy glory to Ukraine slava Ukraine pryvit
To be honest I think Russia's tank reserves have been overestimated. The same with AFV and artillery. Its ok counting storage parks but after years out in the open how many can be made functional. Looking at various satellite photographs you can see tanks without turrets, engines , tracks etc. How much of a rebuild do the tanks need to get them back in service?
Exposed barrels, for sure. Expect a loss on the lower side of the barrel of enough rust to allow a failure to seal around a fired shell. Engine parts are probably rusted enough to sieze.
I agree. The numbers of everything have been wildly inflated. Including what they say they are producing per year. They counted refurbishment as production the past two years and now it is becoming obvious. The French researchers had given a pessimistic scenario of Russia would have gotten down to 250 tanks by Spring of 2024 at the loss of 12 per day (which Russia was losing during the Fall and Winter). Their optimistic scenario was based on adding in 1500 tanks to replace the ones lost in battle. No way that happened.
Morning all, thanks JP.
Good Afternoon Jonathan and the ATP team
Hi Richard 🤗
@@surpriseitsus9622 Hi Lynn
They are running out of tanks is the answer. They would use them if they had them. Russia wouldn’t send people on motorcycles if there were stockpiles of tanks.
The current State Department and Jake Sullivan's policy are reminiscent of the Vietnam War. During the war, all air targets in North Vietnam had to be approved by the President Johnson with certain areas in North Vietnam completely "out of bounds" for all military attacks. Needless to say many hundreds of US aircraft and personnel were lost as SAM sites in these protected areas were off limits by order of the President. It wasn't until Operation Linebacker II by President Nixon that eliminated these protected areas and after 11 days of unlimited bombing of these areas did the North Vietnamese return to the negotiation table. This analogy with current State Department/Sullivan policy reminds me of the disastrous results now as they did then. This shows that history does indeed repeat itself unless we learn from past lessons. Sullivan need's to pull his head out of his ass as he has rectal myopia.
In german we say "das Gefecht der verbundenen Waffen" which means that all the Systems have to be combined and effective together. Only then will they achieve the best results. I think thats what you meant in your Statement. @2:00
This is JL Mackie's INUS causality that i was referring to.
Good morning JP. Honestly the timidity and stupidity of these one hand behind their backs rules of engagement is aggravating. How is it acceptable to do this? The arrogance and condescension is staggering. Give Ukraine the capability to end this damned war. SLAVA UKRAINI from the United States.
Hello Jonathan and ATP team.
Have a great day.
My 2 cents is that the Abrams is having maintenance problems due to the age of the vehicles supplied by the US. Delivery of spares is problematic so down time is high.only 31 or so M1A1s supplied.
The Bradley are sent in batches of 100s.
So more of them can be stripped for support parts.
The videos show no more than 1 or 2 Bradleys' used at any time against Russian BMPs or tanks , neither side is using company sized units of tanks and MICV's in the attacks and counter attacks.
Hi Ansel 😊 Abrams are too heavy for roads in Ukraine. They are beasts of burden
@@surpriseitsus9622
In the interview with one of the tank crews they said their fire missions were at ranges of 700 meters into the tree lines .that cree seems to have had around 8 months with the tank.😄 cheers .
🇺🇦🇩🇰
Alright. You’ve given me enough material for my next letter to Biden. In fact, I’ve already written and sent it. Enough to sustain the fight 😡.
Hi Sherrill 🤗 😘 ❤ you go girl, I write every Sunday. I would never go to the orange side, but Sullivan is a wanker indeed. I'm going to need to start writing to the Pentagon wussy boys too.
Enjoy this gross humid heat 🔥 Lynn
@@surpriseitsus9622 🤦♀️0h, you mean Orange Jesus side. No, of course not. I just want Biden to be the best version of himself. Enough to sustain the Ukrainians 😡. How about enough to win? How about we don’t provoke Russia to escalate with our hesitation and weakness, allowing Russia to adapt at every turn.
With Ukraine taking out one of Russia's space satellite and communications nets what do you think the implications will be. They have 4 of these and should Ukraine manage to take out another one then it could affect Russia's abilities to communicate with their military satellites. This will cause problems with everything from Russia's version of GPS to being able go programme glide bombs missles etc. Could they turn to the Chinese for help? Would the Chinese want to help them?
I was thinking this exact same thing. Will it harm their GPS capabilities? I think it might.
Thinking that Russia will be trading land to the Chinese for military equipment
@@geoffgill5334 China is already just taking russian land. look up Bolshoy Ussuriysky Island. Many articles about this.
Where are the other space coms stations?
Hi Jonathan, many thanks for al the work you are doing. Great coverage. If you have not seen it, would you have a look at the CSIS pc on The Russian Defence Industry Today. It would seem that despite the Ukrainian degradation of Russian war resources, even at their current low level the Russians have enough to keep the Ukrainian forces occupied and continue the war.
I totally agree on Biden Jake Sulivan fear of escalation is a bad policy, totally wrong headed!
yeah i am very doubtful on that IRIS-T strike too, the vehicle is in the treeline and they managed to hit the field next to it, but the fire didn't even come 20 meters close to the vehicle
The RU use of M/C and ATV's might be an attempt to cross no man's land faster and less conspicuously than a column of Tanks and APC's.🤔
Simple Orcs are running out of Tanks and apcs
@@geoffgill5334 Yes, Russia would use them if they had them. There is no stockpile. They have already taken the tanks they had placed at the border of each country. They use everything including golf carts.
The Russians throw everything they have at the Ukrainians. No way they are saving tanks.
The "impact" on the Iris-T is a completely different location. Doesnt't even look ,ike it.
Per the Ukrainian loss: It looks like the field around the vehicle is golden color signifying ripening grain. It's too early in the season for grain to ripen. Just a thought.
Not only Twitter - On FaceBook, military sci-fi writers with large followings have commented that, although they post daily, sometimes followers complain the posts are not showing up in the viewers' feeds. The followers thought the writer had stopped posting.
Neither side can mount effective combined arms operations. These operations require well trained troops, effective and operational equipment, and adequate reserves to exploit breakthrough opportunities. Add in the impact of drone operations in both intelligence and attacks and here we are.
Just look at Andrew's numbers, neither side has large workable tanks for huge offensive numbers. Damaged + ancient tanks are reducing both sides tanks numbers to incredible low concretation given the length of the front.
Did the IrisT move into the field after it was hit?
I wonder how hard it would be to manufacture "new" aircraft on vintage designs like the Yak-52 or P-51 or Spitfire to take out drones... With Spitfire you don't even need a runway... any open field can be used for landing and take-off!
Wonder if Argentina still has any of those Pucara's ?
What does it say about Ukraine Military funding when they constitute a Zone brigade but don't supply them with trucks, drones. and other necessary equipment as claimed by Pete from Project Konstantine's Project Tatyana?
We in the west can replace that generation capacity if we want to
There are a massive amount of very large mobile generators that could be sent to Ukraine
I hope that's possible.
Yes but they too would become immediate targets. Air defence needs to be installed as a priority.
@@Dinna-beDaft no argument about that but hitting 20,000 diesel generators is a big ask particulalry if they are placed in basements .
Looks to me like the Tel was emitting a smoke screen
Wording is important, right?
Zelensky said 9 GW over the time period of 7 attacks (until now?). Because he added the time window, that can be compared to the electrical energy consumption of the Netherlands over 3 months.
W is already a timed unit j/s so Like when 1 part of our powerplant has 1600MW "strength" it and the whole plant produces 15 TW's per year. So maybe he is talking about the output "strength". So if you run the plants for 1 hour you get that amount of GWh, then if the plants need to produce that or able to produce the number is another question but its like when you plan a solar panel system you plan according to KWp and not KWh.
Forget what I said, I assume that if you would run those plants for 1 hour at max capacity you would get the number he said in GWh, KWh and so on. So he is talking about whatever it is called in eng, the potential of the plants.
Don't confuse W and kWh.
Maybe lack of fuel may a problem for tanks
should read drone brigade not zone brigade.
Where would you be without those caveats ?
Bring back the spitfire..
36:47 This is frightening, this kind of manipulation is another level.
I have been trying to be a member in some pro Ukraine YT channels and my credit card rejects for fraud suspect... I confirm it's legit, but it all repeats... This problem does not happen in other categories of channels.
33:50 -
There is something completely out of wack with the figures and comparisons as stated by Kudrytsky.
But the point is coming across.
30:41 can someone find a US general with some balls
Retired, unfortunately...
I don't understand something. It has been said many times that drones are more accurate than artillery. They also have pretty good range. Why not use more drone attacks on aircraft and forget the US restrictions on long range missiles? Educate us.
Long range drones are slow and fairly easy to shoot down. There is good air defence around the airfields unlike, say oil refineries. Aircraft can also take off or be moved if they know the drones are coming. On some of the airfields the aircraft are moved position several times a day as a precaution.
Both drones and missiles are in constant short supply. However, missiles are much tougher to shoot down, so drones are sent against undefended or less defended targets.
Are the YS that stupid saying that within the parameters laid down is enough. Is he crazy or have not a clue where these glide bombs and other stuff being launch from. If he doesn’t he should not be in that position.
@ATP geopolitics can I ask u for advice I live in dumfries Scotland yesterday I got a reform UK leaflet through my door it seems they have a candidate here in dumfries I want to arrange to meet him to talk to him about what nigel farrage said about Ukraine about see if he agrees with it and on the leaflet they only talk about illegal immigration which Is also disgusting no mention of anything else he would do for dumfries and Galloway please can u maybe advise me on some questions for him thanks
I've just done a video on this topic
Check yesterday's Geopolitics video. Get your pen and paper ready. You can do this 💪
@@ATPGeo thank you I do not want this reform UK anywhere in power I'm actually shocked dumfries had these clowns
@@surpriseitsus9622 thanks my friend
Does Dumfries have a lot of inflatable boats coming ashore? Where would they even come from?
WTF is your UK reform muppet on?
Sorry US 😂😂😂😂😂
The iris t is not the same area the field is different colours look at the field in one with puff of smoke u don't have that dark colours that are in the one with the burning all of that black Isn't from the burning it's too far away and is not part of the burning because the scorch marks are black the dark field is dark brown not black @ATP geopolitics
Why don't all those people sue twitter?
If you would stay out of our Politics, we wouldn’t leave like me today now
Um...? Literally a geopolitics channel.
They day you created this account.
You mentionned you would unsubscribe from this channel.
This is your second comment on this channel from then on.
Idk just saying...
You are just another trump troll 👐
Mayflies come and go. Nobody cares. Go little mayfly.....
Most likely. I am pro Ukraine. But you and many bloggers are very left politically biased. If USA continues on this road, we won’t be strong enough to help anyone in the future.
No, I don't agree, Ukraine must, must start taking the initiative and we need to be keeping one step ahead of these bastards!
The US needs to continue to support Ukraine. At the moment the far right (MAGA, DJT) do not support Ukraine. Biden and the Dems (center/left) do support Ukraine. Biden and the Dems actually are more Reagan Republican than Trump
Nonsense
Musk really need lower tax he only get payed 56 billion for his very not so hard work.
Just to remind you Trump had the US energy independent!
Biden has the US pumping more oil than any country in the history of the world. He sold strategic reserves high and is buying them back low, making money on that, while also looking to further independence with alternative energy.
Honestly you have got the two mixed up. Biden immediately stopped pumping when he got in!! He emptied the reserves to try and cut gas prices. He cut the Alaska pipeline.
@@geniexmay562 according to forbes who fact checked trumps statement that the spr was highest under the trump presidency ,it will come as no surprise that it was a lie ,tho biden has also drained it but didnt lie about it
@@ATPGeo Please note that your facts are totally off and false. The Biden Administration has not repurchased any oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Oil Reserve. They have stated several times that they intend to purchase oil but never have. The last time oil purchases were actually tried was during President Trump's administration at $40 per barrel, but the proposed purchased to fill the petroleum reserve was blocked by the Democrats in Congress.
Biden has a better business head than Donald Chaos, who has filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy for his companies six times.
To you this is probably common sense if Russia intends to keep any kind of military action in the future they must keep some kind of reserve .
Morning Team, Jonno and all wellthinking others. Have a great Tuesday!
Hi Peter and a happy Tuesday to you 🤗
Scan is done!
Computers were down, long lines, I was given wrong prep information about drinking 36 oz of water. I was stuffed full of water and had to drink a giant bottle of barium.
Guy couldn't get my iv started, a lady came over and had it fixed in 15 seconds.
Now I wait. 😊
Thank you
Last October, French researchers had felt that Russia would run out of tanks right about now and I think they were right.
Interesting. Do you have a link to that research?
@@user-aero68 I will look for it. But I didn't bookmark it.
@@user-aero68 Okay, I remembered now. In October, I was discussing this study because of how many tanks Russia was losing per day. The study had said that at the rate of losses of 12 vehicles per day, Russia could be down to 250 tanks by the beginning of 2024 and they were losing more than that back then. So, if they were down to 250 tanks by February, they would be running out at that rate by the Summer.
They'll never "run out " , but there is a point when demand will outstrip supply , ie when there are less new build and refurbed vehicles than the number destroyed ..
@@eastcorkcheeses6448 If they really have fewer than 250 tanks right now - and there are very few tanks on the battlefield, then they are close to actually running out.
Much love Jonathan and hope you are well ❤
Hi David 👋😊
🥉👏👏👏👏👍😊
Morning Johnathan ☕👍🇬🇧🇺🇦
Hi Team, Thank you Jonathan
Hello 👋 Tomi, very humid and hot in the desert 🏜 We are not used to this 😂
@@surpriseitsus9622 Hi Lynn, its very warm in here too, 26c still and its evening
Sodol was fired because Yermak is in the middle of a huge controversy where like, well, basically every ukrainian I know hates Yermak but maybe he has some support. Lets just say 80% of Ukraine is demanding Yermak immediately be fired and/or immediately arrested. The second Zelensky had a way to appease the masses by doing something other than firing Yermak (ie, firing Sodol) he leaped at it. Easiest decision of his life.
Honestly, I think the military realized there was no chance yermak would be fired so they got their heads together and thought hmm how can we use this to our advantage? And they decided to get Sodol fired. Never let a good tragedy go to waste.
Many say Yermak is the most important person in Ukrainian politics. What's your take? (You probably don't have enough time for that can of worms)
@@ATPGeo its honestly a race between ending the war and yermak destroying the country.
Thank you. Jonathan , for the update! Slava UKraine ! 💙💛✌️✌️✌️❤️
Thank you, Jonathan for part one👍👍
That supposedly IRIS-T hit are 2 different fields.
GO back and look at the tree lines they are totally different heights & widths .
Given the US’s huge stocks of ‘redundant’ Bradleys, I don’t understand why the US doesn’t supply Ukraine with all that the AFU could possibly use. Perhaps they already do and we just don’t know it.
morning JP AND TEAM UKRAINE 🇺🇸🗽🗳💙☑🌊🗳💙🇺🇸🐶 Slava Ukraini 🔱
If american weapons can now be used in Russia then why cant the NATO fly aircover over Ukraine. A no fly zone
Yes, we need a blue 🌊 😊
26:40 -
"The Iskander-M was operationalized in 2006 and is currently fielded by the Russian Army. It has a range of 400-500 km and uses both inertial and optical guidance systems to achieve an accuracy of 10-30 m CEP. It can carry conventional and nuclear warheads up to 700 kg and employs a maneuverable re-entry vehicle (MaRV) and decoys to defeat theater missile defense systems. Conventional warheads that can be equipped by the Iskander include cluster warheads, fuel-air explosives, bunker-busters, and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) warheads."
(Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance)
Yeah, according to the Russians...
@@cigarsid7445
The organization cited is based in Virginia, USA.
@@viggoholmsen7203 Unless they have tested the missiles themselves, they are referencing some Russian sources. Ballistic Iskander-M is not exported. Only the shorter range, simpler guidance system Iskander-E. There are no official numbers but some leaks suggest that CEP for Iskander-M is 5-7m with optical guidance, and 30-70m with satellite/inertial guidance. But I would not trust those numbers at all. In Russia tests are falsified all the time to trigger payouts from government contracts. Systemic corruption makes all their stuff overrated and unreliable. Iskanders hitting fields, homes and pedestrian bridges are also not very convincing arguments for Russian technological excellence.
Essential coverage of the Ukrainian struggle!
🙏🇺🇦👏💪
"OUTSTANDING" !
Russian soldier commented that anything large that ventures out is 100% going to be destroyed. Only hope of arriving at destination is to be small and fast.
Great report , slava Ukraini
er - oops, 6 million houses. slip of the pencil . .
a house uses an average 1.5 kW. 9 GW is equivalent to the consumption of about 7 million houses. these are rates of consumption, not a "volume" of consumption. "Volume" is measured in kilowatt hours. You might pay about $0.3 for one kWh.
But that's why i was confused abotu the comparison with a volume.
@@ATPGeo We used to see it a lot with wind farms: "this farm will power 20 000 houses for X amount of time". Writers getting quantity and flow mixed up and engineers not providing the oversight..
About the video analysis around 13:00, I guess the Russians only got close instead of hitting, but still needed something for their propaganda. That would explain how the impacts did appear a bit off and why we get no continuous footage of the target.
At what point in this war do you think some senior general staff in russia will approach putin and tell him they no longer have enough equipment to defend the country if they were attacked?
That point has passed imo. China may wish to take back some land.
Not sure anyone would be brave enough to tell him that truth.
I too think they would rather say nothing, than risk ending up in jail or some high level window exit.
It does happen. The popular general Popov critisized the high command and was then relieved of his duties. Later he got the command of the forces in Kherson.
Unlikely to happen. The bearer of bad news gets the anger.
The russian photos dont match the terrain.the swamp by one and brown field fresh plowed os a spring thing.
Hello team 🥐☕️😁👌🇨🇵
Hello 🇺🇸 🍔 ☕ 🌽 😁
@@surpriseitsus9622 Hi 😁👍
Thank you Jonathan ❤ Love to Team ATP ❤ Love to Ukraine 🇺🇦 🫂 ❤
Anything that holds the russians back or causes them to worry, is good for Ukraine 🇺🇦 ❤
Hi Nik ❤ 🤗 🌌 ✨ I hope things are well
@@surpriseitsus9622 👋 😊hello Love, I hope you're well too! 🫂❤️ 💐 🌌🙏
🐹❤🇺🇦
👋🏼🫶🏼🇺🇦🇬🇧
JMSP FTW 🎉
Fradinator Hi 👋😊
🥇👏👏👏👏👍😊
@@paraandy3821 👏👏👏🫡 g'day
@@Aussie_T hey Aussie 👋👍🙃
Hi Jonathan,
I'm enjoying your content, as usual.
However, a technical issue with the broadcasts that I"d like to highlight:
Very often, when you play a YT clip the volume is so low, it"s inaudible. Your narration at the time is fine to hear.
I wonder if this is because you adjust the clip volume whilst listening through headphones?
Not sure if I"m the only one with this experience. Nor am I audio expert enough to suggest technical tweak. As an avid (loudspeaker), listener I thought I'd tell you.
Thank you for the great work you do!
Jorg
👋
G'day Mark 👋😊
Hello everyone 👋😊 with special thanks to Jonathan 😎🌻
Hi L, love, L ❤ 🤗 🌌
Slava Ukraine and got my update with my breakfast.
With the Yak it’s like something that would be used in the First World War but it works incredible
Good morning, everyone. JP as far as anyone being a military expert at the moment. I think with the massive change in technology and drone warfare I don't think anyone outside Ukraine is an expert on "modern" warfare. This war has changed every aspect of how all future conflicts will be fought. Slava Ukraine.
“The character of war is changing,” Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George " Oct. 9th 2023
Perhaps. But USA still would not fight with drones as primary. USA isn’t giving Ukraine the good stuff. Every few weeks I see videos on the new technology that USA military already has and their missiles already can change targets mid flight and things like that.
1st😁
🥇
Congrats 👏🥇
🥈👏👏👏👏👍😊
Great morning to you, Deena!
@@paraandy3821Hi Andy ☀ 🤗
Thank you 💪💪🇺🇦💪💪💛💙💛💙
Looks like they missed and started a fire in the field
The problem with using Tanks in Ukraine is that the ones they have been given are not the latest Tech, they are not fitted with active protection systems or the latest reactive Armour.
They also do not have the numbers required to achieve a major breakthrough or the combined support equipment. The Ukrainians have used their Enginuity as best they can to overcome these problems , but the West is holding back to much technology, I know for a fact they could do way more.
tho what you say is reasonable the reason they cant make a break thru is air support, they need to bust open the heavily mined defences of the surovikin line and that requires heavy ordnance that only air support can provide
Dads Army could successfully invade Russia right now
Nonsense - a completely useless comment, not even funny in any way.
@@Dinna-beDaft No way! 😁
@@Dinna-beDaft The point is quite a serious one actually if you care to dismount from your very high horse and consider the lack of military equipment Russia now has and the length of it's borders.
Amusing and quite possible under the current circumstances that rus finds itself in now - but everything is still going according to plan......
How fast do the glide bombs glide? I don’t understand why they can’t be shot down, or at least something could be placed into its path.
Initially, they glide at the speed of the aircraft that released them. They scrub off speed with air resistance as they fall. Eventually, they travel at the last speed their wing kits could provide lift as gravity takes over.
@@sirsmeal3192I learn every day 💪 🧠 🤗
Sup bois
I wouldn't be surprised if the destruction of the IRIS -SLM launcher didn't happen at all! Its a strange video as you said.
Thanks for update.
🔱🔱
Probably a bit too much detail and commentary on damaged equipment these days. Still my personal highlight but getting skip worthy.
Escalate now..
Escalate what ?
Too easy to hit a tank with the 3,000 fpv drones made every month.
Incredible personel losses added to huge Arty and vehicle losses..Slava Ukraine