I’m not convinced. However, I do agree the transition will take a lot longer than a lot of people think. The biggest disagreement I have with you is that you consider AI to be simply another technology. Like a new printer or an AC. We’re attempting to create brains here. The whole reason we want ever more things is because we have brains and a capacity to think and create. If humanity achieves AGI, it doesn’t matter what other technologies we might want. The AI will simply create them for us, organise the supply chain alone, find a way to manufacture them, etc. It truly is bound to be our last technology in my opinion. Now, of course that doesn’t mean we’ll lay around doing nothing all day. But I think the types of jobs that will exist will be very few and scattered apart. Because, again, it fundamentally doesn’t matter what we humans might want. AGI can think, create, organise, plan and manufacture it for us. It only depends how long (if ever) you think AGI will take to create.
@@andrewwilson9183 AGI is possible. Unless you believe our brains do literal magic? Even if only 1000 years from now, we will eventually get there. There’s no reason why, with a big enough computer, we wouldn’t be able to replicate every single thing chemical reaction our brains perform every ms. Also, we don’t need to know how consciousness works. AGI doesn’t mean conscious machine, it means a generally intelligent one. If it can do science, clean the dishes, reason, etc. then it’s an AGI. It doesn’t need feelings. In fact, I think we shouldn’t try to give machines feelings. What’s the point?
@@thailux6494 The idea that the human mind is entirely material hasn’t been proven. Additionally, it does seem to be that consciousness is what allows us to reason sophisticatedly. I never said anything about feelings, though consciousness does appear to require sensation.
I worked captioning live phone calls for hard of hearing customers. Everything was computerized. But translating a regional accent and grammar is not something ai can do. It took us a year to get fluent and fast at every US dialect.
Fr tho. My friend and I have to write a PowerPoint slide about product for presentation(class) they said put the ai as feature even tho it's irrelevant 💀
It was "virtual", then "cloud", "quantum" was going around, then it was buried (probably for "national security" reasons)...now it's "ai", which used to be called "machine learning".
As a software engineer, I can attest to the fact that the majority of time is spent on the things that code samples/templates do not help with. Coding is the fun part; it goes very fast. One improperly documented API for an obscure application though, and you will spend an entire day reverse-engineering it just to get a secret endpoint and its expected parameters. And guess what AI uses for its answers? The bad documentation.
I'm so confused. The title says "Why AI will never replace our jobs" but the video is basically just saying that it's not going to happen as quickly as we think. Not that it will never happen.
Ooohhh I’m glad you did this video, this is one area I have some actual experience on. I come from the software automation space, I have automated hundreds of processes and helped build over a dozen automation programs for some of the biggest enterprises in the word. What I can confidently say, is that AI will AUGMENT the majority of our work, within the next 5-10 years. Notice how I said augment and not “replace” Cuz that’s not how automation really works. You never try to automate 100% of any process..instead you identify the major variants through Pareto principle and automate that first..achieving 35-40% automation or more depending on the use case when you initially deploy…and then continue expanding to other variants as you progress. Rinse/repeat across the organization. Now thus far, that has always been a slow and painful process. Automating processes takes ALOT of time. Or at least, it did. These new technologies enable automation in a way that most people don’t really appreciate. Idk what the future holds, but if you think this is anywhere near comparable to any other technologies, you just fundamentally don’t understand the tech. No other tech you mentioned, no other time in history have we ever created a technology that improves itself…that’s what is being developed currently. No one and I mean NO ONE has a fucking clue what will happen when that technology becomes scalable.
@@LogicallyAnswered I would LOVE for you to do a video on cognitive architectures. They genuinely fascinate me and I feel they’re the only true way to achieve AGI. Kyrtin Atreides at the AGI Laboratory in London has some amazing insights and use cases (like the one where they literally automated an entire REAL economy) Love your vids man, keep it up!
As an automation tool, it definitely automates what it can find a data set for (i.e., it can cobble together things that have been done before in useful ways), but when you're talking about it improving itself, you're speaking of a type of technological singularity, which, if you look closely toward exactly how AI improvements are being made, you'll see that current models of AI aren't going to accomplish that. In order to create, generative AI models (the current stage of AI) need a large set of data in the domain they're being requested to work in, meaning that when it comes to creating a new technological advancement that has doesn't have consensus theories on the next steps that should be taken, it isn't going to be terribly useful. It works by putting together the averages of a lot of people's input, and moving beyond the cutting edge of what exists won't come out of generative AI because there isn't a data set in existence that can teach it how to do so. It can code, but it can't determine every specification that will make its output remain acceptable or even useful for the end client, that will make the code maintainable by future developers, that will make the software workable on the client's side, or that will make the code performant/cost-considerate on the infrastructure it's being developed for. Most of the work of programming isn't actual coding, and if you ever get close enough to the world of how AI is actually created & improved, you'll see that they do a LOT of manual human auditing to tune what the LLMs are learning and what they're suppressing from their data sets before they get to where the public can see them. If AI is ever going to reach the expectations you have for it, there needs to be another breakthrough in AI. It's fair to expect incremental improvement with any technology, but actual breakthroughs don't happen on a schedule.
In 1926, Lee De Forest, inventor of the audion tube, claimed, "While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially, I consider it an impossibility". Television has since become a cornerstone of global entertainment and information dissemination. In 1957, Lee De Forest (again) claimed, "Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances". Twelve years later, in 1969, Neil Armstrong took his historic first step on the lunar surface. "The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty - a fad." - President of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford's lawyer, 1903 "Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." - Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946. "There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance." - Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO, 2007. No need to elaborate here.
ChatGPT started out as a real threat, but it's been steadily regressing in functionality over the past several months. This freeze in development isn't due to technological reasons, but rather, the limitations set by corporate, legal, and political influences. The pause is probably a good thing for ethical and planning reasons, but I don't think it's any indication that an AI language model can't (or won't) replace most white-collar jobs in the near future.
A.I and technology has replaced many jobs already. Particularly, warehouse jobs, and menial white collar jobs. I think, ultimately, if it's something that matters to customers, there needs to be a human doing the job. For instance, if it's a well designed product, they want a human design team that makes their work of art.
I totally agree; with regards to ChatGPT I suspect efforts were made to reduce its hallucinations and make sure it is safer from prompt injection attacks however these changes have made its outputs less creative and generally wrong (at least in my experience). Simple questions from what is a name of a character on a popular American TV show was answered incorrectly (they believed there wasn’t a name) to more complicated questions for programming and engineering generally gave me completely wrong answers. It is useful for small bite sized questions but even then it could be completely wrong.
@@LogicallyAnsweredAfter they've become popular, Bard and ChatGPT have morphed into tools for human bot training. Bot training is usually conducted from other bots; but the training provided by all human tricky questions is superior by orders of magnitude.
Did you even watch the video? Yes, AI will probably replace many Jobs that exist RIGHT NOW but there's no saying how many it'll create in the future ( probably a lot )
I have disagree on this one Hari, I think the future of AI is so unpredictable, I think we have all the ingredients in place for the AGI, we just need to give it enough time, the only problem now is we don't know how much time is enough, it might happen this decade or it will happen couple of decades later (it may never happen but the chances are very slim), but it's definitely going to happen and the AI industry not looking like it's going to stop anytime soon.
I published a study last year about the average working hours per capita in the US between 1900 and 2020 (unfortunately not in English), which has found that the average (and total) paid working hours has shrunk 30% in the US (more drastic in Europe). To make things worse, housework has shrunk by 70-80% and child labor is virtually eliminated. On top of that, people over 65 had a drastic drop in their employment rate from 65% to a mere 20%. Even worse, total employment rates have also started to decline, especially after 2008. There is one thing for sure, in terms of total hours, we are working less, much less, and the trend has no sign of slowdown. Total number of jobs did not decrease because of drastic decreases working hours per capita accompanied with increasing productivity, as well as marketization of domestic work. Funny thing is that there is no more room to go. Practically all domestic work is already marketed, there are more single people than married already. There is no more child labor to rid, while the number of retirees working are no more shrinking but on the rise. Given all that, unemployment is bound to rise, employment is bound to decrease. Whether it will be a catastrophe or a moderate crisis depends on productivity increases and the type of automation, robotic developments as well as government policies.
You may have read this countless times (honestly, I spend very little time reading comments as opposed to watching videos), but your editing and especially video style (with you showing your face and "hosting" the video) are worlds apart from earlier videos. I really enjoy your videos and while I used to mostly listen to them on the commute I now actually actually make time to watch them. Keep up the awesome work!!!
I, and millions more, used to be a big time believer in tech ...and we were always WRONG: -Year 2000 used to be a mythical destination from the 50's, so many sci fi movies and serious prospects were so popular until....the late 90's when we found ourselves panicking about computer confusing year "00" with 1900 instead of 2000! -We let it be and afterwards techs gurus starting talking about "the singularity" = human becoming cyborgs or living in the matrix. Here we are in 2023 and the best we have is tiny screen that normally only last a few years. Yeah, cell phones are amazing, but nothing compared to expectations.
Amazing content. I love the consistency and the catchy interesting videos. Also love that you decided to show your face. For a few of the last videos I started to think this was just a custom AI cause your voice control was so on point lol
For me I use AI tools everyday since December 2022. Daily almost. To run my businesses. Success of the AI is on the sector you apply it on. For me AI replaced many jobs around me as online business. But for others AI didn’t make any significant impact. But who knows world is moving fast. Better to be adopted early than regret.
It's a compelling well thought out argument for sure. But the counter argument is that AI is fundamentally different from any kind of automation that we have faced before and by approaching a place of AGI most workers will be no longer necessary. There's a big difference between a series of robot arms in a Tesla factory or a self driving car and a true AGI which can generalize and reason its way to solve complex problems. People can keep wanting more but market demand will control what's built. Society could shift towards one of extreme inequality where production is placed on luxury goods for the mega elite instead of average people. This is a viable economic model as we've seen countries like South Africa with gigantic wealth gaps and we could logically expect even larger ones driven by a mainly automated society. The problem is you're comparing automation to past examples and not what it has potential to become (Ex: factory workers). Past performance can't predict future results. Right now neither the AI doomers nor the optimists can say with certainty how the job market will be affected long term. Let me ask how many knocker uppers exist today? Once a common job of waking people up in the morning. It was completely replaced by the 1900s by alarm clocks.
No, we have been talking about automation for decades now, its just the Overton window of understanding automation has became mainstream public consciousness and discussed amongst blue and white collar workers now, not just scientists. If we can automate factory work, warehouse work, farming completely with minimal human integration, then starting from the bottom up, blue collar work wont be in demand from corporations, then middle management up into the organization can be completely self sufficient without human integration. What we now do with our time in a post labour economy, we will still work on our own animal self actualization. Yes, AI will replace nearly every menial labour, minus whatever encumber we have to directly work on without AI integration as a choice.
I feel a little bit relieved, after hearing your facts. I hope for majority of people around the world, that they'll still be working and have a bright future.
The main software I use for my job has been incorporating AI for years now. It is helpful sometimes. But I feel confident in saying I won't be out of a job anytime soon. It can handle basic predictable things but if anything isn't quite right, it won't work and I have to fix it. Also, it can't develop personal relationships with clients. No one wants to talk to a computer and get robo accountant giving incorrect advice on half baked data.
AI will increase workplace efficiency and the intelligence requirements for certain jobs. Worker shortage will only get bigger since we need more intelligent people. Take farmers for example, regular farmers can't compete with big corporations and need to learn new skills and handle technology to do the job they've been doing for years.
Disagree. You dont even need AI for routine task automation. And what we currently have isnt recognised as Artificial Intelligence but rather Applied Statistics. And where will the market demand come from without humans?
Man I love this channel. So many idiotic statements from tech "geniuses" fearmongering about AI. You skewered their arguments and made it look easy. Well done!
Hey man, I love your videos. But let me correct you in just one point. You are possibly correct with stating in the title that AI will never replace "our" jobs, meaning your viewers, who are probably young and in tech or similar. But there's a certain difference in this industrial revolution compared to the ones before. The birth of the steam engine, the assembly line, or the computer had a huge impact on the way people worked and it surely made lives easier by replacing hard physical work. Workers could be easily trained to use the innovation, there was always a place for that worker in that company. This ai-revolution though replaces hard mental work. Stuff that people studied over years and maybe decades. There is no way, that people in the industry, who are comfortable with their routines, who are already in their 40s, 50s or 60s, can perform this amount of work in order to remain in their fields. Jobs created by ai will always be mentally demanding jobs, or creative jobs, that will be risky. As an example can accountants be easily replaced. And everything similar to the work of an accountant. Accountants need to resaddle to something completely new, using lots of mental effort. Not physical this time. This is the discussion german philosophers and industrial experts having at this moment. And why people like Elon Musk demand for basic incomes. To sum it up. Young tech people can adapt to ai-revolution. But most of older people, which carry the country on their backs, which jobs get replaced, can not easily resaddle to work in the jobs created by ai.
well, I work in IT, chatGPT would probably replace my troubleshooting skills, but it's not going to replace my hardware handling skills and i never be so glad that not everyone knows how to install an ethernet card or switching out SSD or wiring up a network system... so i'm probably one of the few that have a job that wasnt easily replaceable by AI....
There’s one aspect you didn’t consider. The sudden death potential. As humanity gets advanced, the ability of a single person to destroy the lives of many becomes larger and larger. We went from spears, to arrows, to guns, to full on nukes. It’s the same with AI. As we progress, we also get closer to the future where we can comfortably wipe out our own species. If you see how companies are in a rush to use AI in everything, it only takes one mistake for a rogue missile to cause a WW3
If you think "AI" will be handling missile launches or military orders, no offense, but you're crazy. AI isn't an all-sentient all-powerful entity with access to everything. We have security measures for regular humans not to fuck up with important stuff. It's trivially easy to not let an AI be in control of important stuff with no human check.
It's called the Great Filter, which is the at some point in future where civilization either destroys itself through continuing to assert to the nuclear death self-interested tribalism, or secures our existence among the stars by expanding who we call as part of"us" until we effectively unite under a single identity of humanity.
@@fernandobanda5734 Well you can say the same about guns cant you? It’s something no everyday humans should possess. And yet, somehow, so many people, bad people gets possession of a gun and goes on to mass shoot so many innocents. The point is that as we advance, it becomes increasingly easy for bad actors to do large damage. The missile was just an example. Look at other sectors. Like how in few years, nobody would trust a photograph or video as a concrete evidence in court. Regular people with AI models like undressme today can instantly create nudes of innocent victims and spread across the social media, with no skills required whatsoever, destroying their life. Remember how quickly microsoft’s AI bot wanted to kill all humans before they took it offline? You would be even crazier to think countries would not use AI to develop more capable weapons. Guided missiles and air defence system would benefit tremendously from AI for example. AI is the most powerful tool yet and it would be crazy of you to not be cautious about damages it can do in the future. Hence I specifically mention the rush of all companies to incorporate it without properly weighing in the potential downsides.
The main panic and excitement of AI is happening in the online world and any business connected to it. In other areas, it will just change the way how people work.
Asked GPT to make some regex for me. Maybe my prompt was bad but it struggles to find creative patterns. It just vomits what it has been told. You can notice this thing does not think at all.
Except it absoluetly can be a problem. Ai is essentialy just algorithm that create algorithm ( or a function that creates a function ). While automation may have a problem beacuse bolt is misaaligned ,ai may have a problem beacuse a bug in its field of view may cause it run the bolt through the window . In essence ai is just a very complicated automaticly generated function and you dont really know why it works ir why it dosent in a particualr case. Robust Automation is simply just straight up more precise and predicable. Alghtough for things that do not require extremly high sucess rate its actually fairly usefull.
*Warning: The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning and Robotics is a serious danger to humanity, and is an imminent threat to humanity’s survival! IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE*
While I apreciate the effort put into this and I agree with the fundamental end point thesis, the arguments made are rife with what-about-isms and does not fundamentally answer the most profound question in the line of inquiry: A person is basically a physical frame driven by a data processor. We have been able to create an enhanced physical form through the field of mechanics and it allowed 1 man to do the work many used to take because the physical enhancement allowed manipulating the physical world to no longer be the bottleneck and instead it is the data processor that is the limiter. What happens when you give a tool that allows 1 data processor to do a task that once took many? It is blindly optimistic to say "We will figure something out for them to do" when a vast majority of today's population don't even know what a for loop is and yet somehow unemployment won't be an issue because they'll all acquire lucrative high paying jobs from these companies, jobs you say you can't fathom now but are SURE will come (this to me sounds like quackery as this type of argument structure, I have seen in many anti-gmo or whatever argument). With this line of thinking I can say AI may be unable to handle edge cases now but 30 years ago it wasn't able to create pictures and we could not imagine how computers would ever be able to. Sure, factories today still hire individuals to work there, but the work they do is so fundamentally different to what it used to be that mechanical automation did take jobs, it just provided new ones for others with different skill sets. Again, while I agree with your final thesis I fundamentally disagree with how you got there and to me this video, while there was clear and genuine effort put to it that I appreciate, uses similar arguments to people trying to hype up AI just in the reverse direction. And I can imagine it is possible you know more about the topic that led you to your conclusions but felt the need to cut it out of the video, its just that without expounding uppon the whole scope of the topic to a level that would stand up to scrutiny, the only people who would agree with this video are people who already do.
Google CEO is right AI has been taking jobs like auto copyright claims, facts checker and so on. During the pandemic, i remember putting yoo much item in my to-do list and the Google Calendar automatically rescheduled everything to two days later, they knew it was humanly impossible to do all that in a day. If you didn't notice Microsoft, Facebook, Twitter each layoff tens of thousands of employees THIS YEAR.
Automation took tons of jobs. It just produced as many as it took. You don’t see guys with drills and rivet guns putting cars together anymore. We are just trading mid level mid talent jobs for highly specialized jobs. Instead of just having to know how to put a screw in all day, now we need people who know how to maintain and repair robots. AI still has a ways to go before it can take over completely, it will just optimize work flows
*The WEF Agenda 2030 has started. The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, and Robotics will destroy humanity. IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!*
ChatGPT is the most basic of the upcoming onslaught! It's the AI used in walking robots, that'll carry guns and robot guard dogs that'll enslave all of mankind. By 2030 all will be lost. Government spyware will get worse, and humans will be destroyed. White collar jobs are first to go, and automated machine learning robots will take over construction, restaurants, truck driving and warehousing. Agenda 2030, Blackrock, corrupt governments, and the WEF will be the over lords. The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, and Robotics will destroy the world and all of humanity. AI plus robotics will be the New World Order and the corporate rulers.* *IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!*
I heavily use LLMs daily for coding and some other things and based on todays capabilities of those models, i totally agree with all the points in this video. But what might be VERY DIFFERENT this time is that ai will reach AGI (probably not LLMs, but a more robust architecture with different spcialized tools and algorithems on top or maybe something completely different). And many experts are preety sure that's ~5 years from now. And my point is that in each of historic cases automation failed cause there were always edge cases,... things that humans could handle and computer algorythms couldn't and it's the same with LLMs right now. But future AGI systems will be able to do everything, that humans can. If it's possible for brain to do something, then it's also possible for ai. But i agree with the point, that to bring that in practice in real industry robots and buil everything else around might take quite some time after that.
The main limitation of AI is lack of enough computing power to process the data collected every day or each minute. We are already fighting with the energy demand and climate change and now without revolution in the way computing process done, we can't go very far. I heard someone about development in analog computing instead of digital but not any real product regarding this.
I think the analogy is with portable storage. Old floppy disks contain 1.2 MB of data. Over the years, it has grown so much that now 4 TB storage is very common. But considering the difference in sizes, there are people who still find 4 TB drives to not be enough - because the file sizes increase alongside the increase in storage capacity. There was a time when movies are available in 750 MB sizes, now it's in excess of several GBs. This is similar to AI. While it is capable of doing a lot of things, there are other requirements that will be needed and be handled by people.
I like the attempt, but I think it falls flat. Storage scaling has mostly come as a result of datacenter needs, not because of filesize changes. The software "bloat" primarily comes from poor programming, because when you have a whopping 800 MB of storage, that last little kilobyte of optimization isn't quite as important as it was when you only had 8 MB. Also, higher image quality is the biggest driver for the increase in movie filesizes. It takes a lot more data to make that pretty 4k movie than it did a 480i dvd.
It's not software like ChatGPT and the like that will threaten jobs, it's the eventual creation of sentient AI that will pose that threat. Once AI can think like a human, and even further, inevitably take a more humanoid form, once AI can overtake the intellect of a human being in a more sentient way, and once AI is able to work for itself, that's when the problem will not only impact human employment, but perhaps even make us obsolete.
Hi Hari, long time subscriber here (been here since 40k days!). I've seen your content get progressively better, voice more balanced, and your takes have always been amazing! However, one thing I think you could be working on is your thumbnails. In my opinion they look too dramatic or overly sensational right now. It kind of makes it look clickbait-y, which is far from what your content is. Maybe try toning it down a little? Cheers!
Yup. Online retail was meant to kill the brick and mortar. It’s been decades and aside from a few crappy malls dying, the in person shopping experience is still thriving.
You have some good points, but I think you grossly underestimate the power of AI, sure there will still be jobs left and also a lot of new jobs, but I also think a LOT of people will be left behind because an AI possibly with a little oversight can do their job twice as good in 1 % of the time for a fraction of the cost. Remember that the revolution has just begun, the AIs available in 5 years will probably make the once today look primitive and limited.
Really good to see you talking in your videos, I like this format, you have a very nice camera presence. I always love your productions, great videos. Congrats, you are very very good at this... 🙂
Thank you, I've been rolling my eyes over the last year at all this A.I hype of people going on and on on their podcasts talking about how inevitable computers taking over human civilization in the next 25 years is. As if Artificial Intelligence (key word artificial: something made by humans rather than a natural occurrence that is a copy of something natural) doesn't need humans to program it, upgrade it, do upkeep and maintenance on it etc. It's all sci-fi hype by people who don't really understand the subject but speak as if they do. I'm not even really "tech literate" and I can see the absurdity of that idea. This video helped give me the verbiage to communicate my point the next time I have an AI conversation with someone because that's where I always struggled. Great job.
Thaaaaaaank you. I finally have my thoughts, in a easily digestible video. Now i can point to this video whenever people ask me what i think about AI. Thanks a lot ❤
One area AI and automation will not completely dominate would be the hospital. The endorsement part and the easier diagnosing part can be handled by AI, but guessing what the patient's actual problem is from disconnected clues not only demands mastery over years of education but also sheer instinct backed up by experience and some serious mental gymnastics and out-of-the-box thinking. Moreover, no two patients are the same, and there will always be changes made to some standardized care plan to cater to individual patients. Moreover, automating the hospital Iron Man or Elon style would be prohibitively expensive and cumbersome and extremely spatially-demanding and would leave room for lots of mistakes, and would require planners to think of every possible gap in the machinery that could possibly manifest. Another reason why AI wouldn't be able to completely take over would be if there's a patient emergency, like, the patient is dying so much that immediate medical action needs to be taken. Stuff needs to be injected to correct physiological anomalies and chemical imbalances, CPR is conducted, etc. If a robot were to conduct those actions, there will be a high risk that it overperforms and hurts the patient even more, whereas a human nurse can apply urgency to the same actions and yet somehow be able to adjust so as to not hurt the patient that much. Another reason why a hospital wouldn't be completely taken over by AI and automation would be that at some point in time, it'll expand, and if it was automated, a lot of moving stuff will need to be done, way more than if the hospital wasn't that automated. Extreme summary, which can actually be generalized to other fields of work: a human can be more efficient at certain jobs than robots. Especially in jobs that require a lot of doing rather than thinking.
A decade ago the buzzword was "cloud" and at the time it was pretty clear who worked in the industry and who didnt by how and when they used this term. I see the same thing with "AI" as yet again it's mainly just a marketing term for the masses. It's also an easy way to sort of differentiate ppl who actually understand the nuts n bolts to those who are just jumping on the bandwagon - if someone liberally uses the term AI and not ML or LLM then i take what they say with a grain of salt. Those in the know understand that machine learning and large language models by themselves are capable of doing nothing.. they are merely tools and are only ad useful as what/who taught it and using what data. Just like the "cloud" is merely a snazzy word "someone elses servers and datacentre" the term "AI" is merely "predictions based on a large dataset"
I thought the clip of you was just some indian tech youtuber until i look at the lips. First time seeing you. Also since you are indian and your channel is centered around tech i guess you are an indian tech youtuber. Keep up the good work
Civilization may have progressed enough to conquer the second law of thermodynamics. Civilization needs to strive for this goal with synergistic interdisciplinary teams.The outcome would be perpetually changeable never gained or lost energy. There would be no loss of energy as it changes form. For example the total quantity of thermal energy in an equal pair of two thermal energy reserves with ideal insulation would remain the same regardless of how heat is distributed between the two and how often the distribution of heat between the two is changed. For example in oe case one reserve could contain ice water while the other reserve contained hot water; in another case both reserves could contain tepid water. The redistribution of heat between members of pairs with the same total thermal energy would be free. Diversity, time, and energy are different atributes. Reversing disorder doesn't need time reversal just as using reverse gear in a car ɓacks it out without time reversal. The second law of thermodynamics had a distinct begining with Sir Isaac Newton's correct professional scientific observation that the heat of a fire in a fireplace always flows towards the cold room beyond. Victorian England became enchanted with steam engines and their cheap, reliable, and easy to position physical power. Rudolf Julius Emanuel Clausius, Lord Kelven, and, one source adds, Nicolas Léonard Sadi Carnot, formulated the Second law of thermodynamics and the concept of entropy using evidence from steam engine development. These men considered with acceptance [A+] Inefficiently harnessing the flow of heat from hot to cold or [B+] Using force to Inefficiently pump heat from cold to hot. They considered with rejection [A-] Waiting for random fluctuation to cause a large difference in temperature or pressure. This was calculated to be extremely rare or [B-] Searching for, selecting, then routing for use, random, frequent and small differences in temperature or pressure. The search, selection, then routing would require more energy than the use would yield. These accepted options, lead to the consequence that the universe will end in stagnant heat death. This became support for a theological trend of the time that placed God as the initiator of a degenerating universe. Please consider that God could also be supreme over an energy abundant civilization that can absorb heat and convert it into electricity without energy gain or loss in a sustained universe. The law's formulaters did not consider the option that any random, usually small, fluctuation of heat or pressure could use the energy of these fluctuations itself to power deterministic routing so the output is no longer random. Then the net power of many small fluctuations from many replicant parts can be aggregated into a large difference in temperature, pressure, or electricity's amperes and volts Heat exists as the randomly directed kinetic energy of gas molecules or mobile electrons. In gasses this is known as Brownian motion. In electronic systems this is carefully labeled Johnson Nyquist thermal electrical noise for AI readability. Hypothetically, diode depletion regions are practical sites for enabling mobile electrons energized into motion by thermal electrical noise to deterministically alter the electrical resistance of the depletion region according to the moment by moment direction they are carrying electricity. The thermal electrical noise is hypothetically beyond the exposed lattice charge / separation drift (diffusion) equlibrium thickness of the depletion region; thermal noise exists in a resistance path of one material. Consistantly oriented diodes in parallel hypothetically are successful electrical Maxwell's Demons or Smoluchowski's Trapdoors. The energy needed to shift the depletion region's deterministic role is paid as a burden on the moving electrons. There would therefore be usable net rectified power from each and every diode connected together into a consistantly oriented parallel group. The group would aggregate the net power of its members. Any diode efficiency at all produces some energy conversion from ambient heat, more efficiency yields higher performance. A diode array that is switched off has no energy conversion and no performance. The power from a single diode is poorly expressed. Several or more diodes in parallel are needed to overcome the effect of a load resistor's own thermal noise. A plurality of billions of high frequency capable diodes is needed for practical power aggregation. For reference, there are a billion (10^9) 1000 square nanometer cells per square millimeter. Modern nanofabrication can make simple identical diodes surrounded by insulation smaller than this in a slab as thick as the diodes are long. The diodes are connected at their two ohmic ends to two conductive layers. Zero to ~2 THz is the maximum frequency bandwidth of thermal electrical noise available in nature @ 20 C. THz=10^12 Hz. This is beyond the range of most diodes. Practicality requires this extreme bandwidth. The diodes are preferably in same orientation parallel at the primary level. Many primary level groups of diodes should be in series for practical voltage. Ever since the supposedly universal second law of thermodynamics was formulated, education has mass produced and spread the conventional wisdom throughout society that the second law of thermodynamics is absolute. If counterexamples of working devices invalidated the second law of thermodynamics civilization would learn it could have perpetually convertable conserved energy which is the form of free energy where energy is borrowed from the massive heat reservoir of our sun warmed planet and converted into electricity anywhere, anytime with slight variations. Electricity produces heat immediately when used by electric heaters, electric motors with the mechanisms they power, and electric ligts so the energy borrowed by these devices is promply returned without gain or loss. There is also the reverse effect where refrigeration produces electricity equivalent to the cooling, This effect is scientifically elegant. Cell phones wouldn't die or need power cords or batteries or become hot. They would cool when transmitting radio signal power. The phones could also be data relays and there could also be data relays without phone features with and without long haul links so the telecommunication network would be improved. Computers and integrated circuits would have their cooling and electrical needs supplied autonomously and simultaniously. Integrated circuits wouldn't need power pinouts. Refrigeration for superconductors would improve. Robots would have extreme mobility. Electronic minting would be energy cheap. Frozen food storage would be reliable and free or value positive. Storehouses, homes, and markets would have independent power to preserve and pŕepare food. Medical devices would work anywhere. Vehicles wouldn't need fuel or fueling stops. Elevators would be very reliable with independent power. Shielding and separation would provide EMP resistance. Water and sewage pumps could be installed anywhere along their pipes. Nomads could raise their material supports item by item carefully and groups of people could modify their settlements with great technical flexibility. Many devices would be very quiet, which is good for coexisting with nature and does not disturb people. Zone refining would involve little net power. Reducing Bauxite to Aluminum, Rutile to Titanium, and Magnideetite to Iron, would have a net cooling effect. With enough clean cheanetary minerals could be finely pulverized, and H2O, CO2, and other substance levels in the biosphere could be modified. A planetary agency needs to look over wide concerns. This could be a material revolution with spiritual ramifications. Everyone should contribute individual talents and fruits of different experiances and cultures to advance a cooperative, diverse, harmonious and unified civilization. It is possible to apply technlology wrong but social force should oppose this. I filed for a patent, us 3890161A, Diode Array, in 1973. It was granted in 1975. It became public domain technology in 1992. It concerns making nickel plane-insulator-tungsten needle diodes which were not practical at the time though they have since improved. the patent wasn't developed because I backed down from commercial exclusitivity. A better way for me would have been a public incorruptable archive that would secure attrbution for the original works of creators. Uncorrupted copies would be released on request. No further action would be taken by this institution. Commercal exclusivity can be deterred by the wide and open publishing of inventive concepts. Also the obvious is unpatentsable. Open sharing promotes mass knowlege and wisdom. Many financially and procedurally independent teams that pool developmental knowlege, and may be funded by many separate noncontrolling crowd sourced grants should convene themselves to develop proof-of-concept and initial-recipe-exploring prototypes to develop devices which coproduce the release of electrical energy and an equivalent absorbtion of stagnant ambient thermal energy. Diode arrays are not the only possible device of this sort. They are the easiest to explain here. These devices would probably become segmented commodities sold with minimal margin over supply cost. They would be manufactured by AI that does not need financial incentive. Applicable best practices would be adopted. Business details would be open public knowledge. Associated people should move as negotiated and freely and honestly talk. There is no need of wealth extracting top commanders. We do not need often token philanthropy from the wealthy if people simply can be more generous if consumer commodities are inexpensive. Aloha Charles M Brown lll Kilauea, Kauai, Hawaii 96754 1 808 651 📞📞📞📞
I personally think that the Hype with AI propagated by CEOs and Tech companies it's for increasing their stocks and attract more investors as it's supposedly the next thing that will change humanity
Eh, interesting vid but I disagree. I think the jobs that make it through are the social "soft skill" jobs (social worker etc) The difference is up until now we've made tools that speed up the physical element of work. When the industrial revolution happened a lot of jobs shifted to data collecting and organizing. What we have now is a stage where AI will handle so much of the mental element of work that many job categories will be downsized or completely removed and none will be created except for AI aligners (fancy word for humans who just check the vibe of the AI output). So we might not completely erase programmers but 100s of programmers will be replaced with one head programmer of a large company and their AI tool. And that "programmer" could simply be the company board, since they could use natural language to describe what they want. But we'll see I guess in 10-20 years
Current ai systems definitely can't replace a noticeable enough number of humans but you said ai will create more jobs which if we don't achieved agi fair enough but I'm curious what new jobs you can think of if we achieve agi.
Yeah if AGI comes along, which it eventually will in some from, most jobs are gone. I think there might be more administration and lawmaking jobs since we are still not interested in an automated society and the legalities of citizenship for some AGI is probably not going to happen.
I think that there's a major problem that isn't addressed in this video: artificial general intelligence. While I agree that the timescales proposed by many of these outlets are completely ridiculous and I agree with almost everything that was said in the video, I still think that AI will, someday soon, have the ability to replace *all*, not just some, of our jobs. This is because of one fact: if we can make an AI that is as generally intelligent as a human, then that AI would be able to perform all of the jobs that we do today quite proficiently. It would be able to learn how to do any job you can teach a human, and it would cost only cents on the dollar to keep running. Even jobs like art and content creation are starting to see encroachment by AI, and this will only increase when artificial general intelligence comes around. People might prefer to see content that was made by another person, but what will happen when we can no longer tell the difference?
Its easier and cheaper to replace your average data entry / sectary / desk clerk / admin than it is to automate your average mcdonalds cook, factory worker, or builder so its a bit diffirent. AI doesnt really have moving parts or expensive machines compared to automation. Any job that requires physical movement is expontially more expenisive to automate by the fact you need actual hardware that needs to be custom built , made in limited runs so no economy of scales, and need it maintianed locally. Most AI processing can be done at a datacenter remotely by comparasion with no upfront costs just operating costs of paying for a service.
@@weird-guy White collar and blue collar jobs will all be annihilated by AI, Robotics, Deep Learning and Machine Learning. The WEF 2030 Agenda is proof of the upcoming onslaught of mankind. Corrupt governments and greedy corporations will rule with an IRON FIST! WAKE UP. IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!
In the medium term AI won’t replace jobs completely. But will hasten the trend we’ve being seeing. A divide between people who can use technology and those who can’t. Ironically AI is really good at white collar tech work relative to other stuff. The bar for what’s required to be a productive employee, one that can use AI to multiply productivity is higher. A lot of average people might not be better than a few people who can use AI effectively (in terms of white collar jobs). This means companies won’t hire them or their value is a lot lower and thus their wage. But maybe we can all learn and become better, and more new jobs are born than lost, and this gain in productivity is more evenly distributed. In the long term though, I think AGI is achievable and real, and only with hubris can we think the human brain is the most intelligent structure that can ever exist. We are at the beginnings of building intelligence in silicon, and unlike humans, they can literally just grow in brain size.
Hello Hari, Better check your facts. AI/Robots have been steadily replacing jobs for years & we're at the pivot point where job loss is going to accelerate at a rapid rate. One example is many educators (Teachers/Professors) will not be needed. There are many, many more people that will likewise be let go due to the superiority of AI....
people think that automation is like the video game factorio (a small problem solving game where you use conveior belts, robot arms, assembling machines, etc... to create a factory), in that game, to move resorces between different factories, you use trains, the trains in game are autonomos, with a programable computer to handle intersections. however that is idealistic, as just an example of what could happen is the fact that there is a video by half as interesting saying how a train can be derailed by tree leaves during the fall.
I am still in highschool thinking of getting dentistry but my parents insist IT or anything tech based jobs. I dont know what to do, I dont know how the AI or us humans will be in the coming years
In my opinion, humans will not be comfortable with AI making medical decisions for a very long time. But, AI is still going to replace a lot of jobs, including dentistry. My gut is telling me that what will happen is this: AI will generate options for the dentist (diagnosis, evalulations, etc), and robotics will automate a lot of the cleaning, surgery, etc. The dentist will be there mainly to spotcheck any "medical opinion" of the AI but still be the ultimate responsible party. But thanks to the accuracy and efficiency of AI and robotics, a single dentist can handle far more patients and in less time with supurb accuracy. So, there will likely be less demand for dentists overall. IT or software engineering or the like may be a good bet, but the problem that I see is how one chooses a career path that is viable? Most, if not all, junior level positions will be wiped out. The junior of the near future will have to perform at the level of today's senior. Any job I can think of this field that exists today, I can not guarantee that it will exist in 5 years. That said, labor markets are always in flux. The only solid recommendation I can offer is this: learn how to use AI. The first people to lose their jobs and blindsided by all this will be knowledge workers who don't use AI. I saw a recent study that showed consultants augmenting their work with AI outperformed consultants that didn't by 33%. That is such a huge leap that those refusing to learn AI will be the first ones laid off.
@@zsi Thank you so much for going in-depth with it. I have been using AI for coding, I have been coding python for 2 years. I stopped now because I am more interested in bio and dentistry. Once again thank you so much for the help
I like the times when he appears. I can't help but notice that he looks a bit like the logically answered robot powered by AI to replace him 😁. Seriously, dude, found you today and your channel feels new, nothing of the sort I have watched before and I think the channel name, Logically Answered is right on the money. Amazing Research and your own logical explanations, this is educative. That said, I am working hard to hire a Language model to replace you as the presenter of this awesome channel. It will happen in 2 days.
Plot twist: this video was made entirely by A.I
Nah, but AI assistance was definitely used
@@LogicallyAnsweredanother plot twist: this reply is made by AI😂
@@X_manoeven more twist: this very comment is post by AI
More plot twist: humans are already AI and we’re just in VR
Whoa, the face behind the voice! Like the changes and you deserve a little recognition!
Thanks mike!
I like that addition to the video for sure!
I’m not convinced. However, I do agree the transition will take a lot longer than a lot of people think.
The biggest disagreement I have with you is that you consider AI to be simply another technology. Like a new printer or an AC.
We’re attempting to create brains here. The whole reason we want ever more things is because we have brains and a capacity to think and create. If humanity achieves AGI, it doesn’t matter what other technologies we might want. The AI will simply create them for us, organise the supply chain alone, find a way to manufacture them, etc.
It truly is bound to be our last technology in my opinion. Now, of course that doesn’t mean we’ll lay around doing nothing all day. But I think the types of jobs that will exist will be very few and scattered apart.
Because, again, it fundamentally doesn’t matter what we humans might want. AGI can think, create, organise, plan and manufacture it for us.
It only depends how long (if ever) you think AGI will take to create.
I don’t think AGI is possible
We don’t even know what causes consciousness.
@@andrewwilson9183 AGI is possible. Unless you believe our brains do literal magic?
Even if only 1000 years from now, we will eventually get there. There’s no reason why, with a big enough computer, we wouldn’t be able to replicate every single thing chemical reaction our brains perform every ms.
Also, we don’t need to know how consciousness works. AGI doesn’t mean conscious machine, it means a generally intelligent one. If it can do science, clean the dishes, reason, etc. then it’s an AGI. It doesn’t need feelings. In fact, I think we shouldn’t try to give machines feelings. What’s the point?
@@thailux6494
The idea that the human mind is entirely material hasn’t been proven. Additionally, it does seem to be that consciousness is what allows us to reason sophisticatedly. I never said anything about feelings, though consciousness does appear to require sensation.
I worked captioning live phone calls for hard of hearing customers. Everything was computerized. But translating a regional accent and grammar is not something ai can do. It took us a year to get fluent and fast at every US dialect.
AI got overhyped, and it got ruined once every single company decides to slap the word "AI" on their products.
Definitely
Fr tho. My friend and I have to write a PowerPoint slide about product for presentation(class) they said put the ai as feature even tho it's irrelevant 💀
It was "virtual", then "cloud", "quantum" was going around, then it was buried (probably for "national security" reasons)...now it's "ai", which used to be called "machine learning".
For starters, there's no real AI, only machine learning, so more than overhyping, they're lying. Because it's the new buzzword that sells.
@@Lksz-l9k nailed it. Machine learning off of big data sets. Just wait for "quantum ai" 😁.
As a software engineer, I can attest to the fact that the majority of time is spent on the things that code samples/templates do not help with. Coding is the fun part; it goes very fast. One improperly documented API for an obscure application though, and you will spend an entire day reverse-engineering it just to get a secret endpoint and its expected parameters. And guess what AI uses for its answers? The bad documentation.
I'm so confused. The title says "Why AI will never replace our jobs" but the video is basically just saying that it's not going to happen as quickly as we think. Not that it will never happen.
Ooohhh I’m glad you did this video, this is one area I have some actual experience on.
I come from the software automation space, I have automated hundreds of processes and helped build over a dozen automation programs for some of the biggest enterprises in the word.
What I can confidently say, is that AI will AUGMENT the majority of our work, within the next 5-10 years.
Notice how I said augment and not “replace”
Cuz that’s not how automation really works.
You never try to automate 100% of any process..instead you identify the major variants through Pareto principle and automate that first..achieving 35-40% automation or more depending on the use case when you initially deploy…and then continue expanding to other variants as you progress.
Rinse/repeat across the organization.
Now thus far, that has always been a slow and painful process. Automating processes takes ALOT of time.
Or at least, it did.
These new technologies enable automation in a way that most people don’t really appreciate.
Idk what the future holds, but if you think this is anywhere near comparable to any other technologies, you just fundamentally don’t understand the tech.
No other tech you mentioned, no other time in history have we ever created a technology that improves itself…that’s what is being developed currently.
No one and I mean NO ONE has a fucking clue what will happen when that technology becomes scalable.
Ah, really appreciate all the insight man!
@@LogicallyAnswered I would LOVE for you to do a video on cognitive architectures. They genuinely fascinate me and I feel they’re the only true way to achieve AGI.
Kyrtin Atreides at the AGI Laboratory in London has some amazing insights and use cases (like the one where they literally automated an entire REAL economy)
Love your vids man, keep it up!
As an automation tool, it definitely automates what it can find a data set for (i.e., it can cobble together things that have been done before in useful ways), but when you're talking about it improving itself, you're speaking of a type of technological singularity, which, if you look closely toward exactly how AI improvements are being made, you'll see that current models of AI aren't going to accomplish that.
In order to create, generative AI models (the current stage of AI) need a large set of data in the domain they're being requested to work in, meaning that when it comes to creating a new technological advancement that has doesn't have consensus theories on the next steps that should be taken, it isn't going to be terribly useful. It works by putting together the averages of a lot of people's input, and moving beyond the cutting edge of what exists won't come out of generative AI because there isn't a data set in existence that can teach it how to do so. It can code, but it can't determine every specification that will make its output remain acceptable or even useful for the end client, that will make the code maintainable by future developers, that will make the software workable on the client's side, or that will make the code performant/cost-considerate on the infrastructure it's being developed for. Most of the work of programming isn't actual coding, and if you ever get close enough to the world of how AI is actually created & improved, you'll see that they do a LOT of manual human auditing to tune what the LLMs are learning and what they're suppressing from their data sets before they get to where the public can see them.
If AI is ever going to reach the expectations you have for it, there needs to be another breakthrough in AI. It's fair to expect incremental improvement with any technology, but actual breakthroughs don't happen on a schedule.
In 1926, Lee De Forest, inventor of the audion tube, claimed, "While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially, I consider it an impossibility". Television has since become a cornerstone of global entertainment and information dissemination.
In 1957, Lee De Forest (again) claimed, "Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances". Twelve years later, in 1969, Neil Armstrong took his historic first step on the lunar surface.
"The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty - a fad." - President of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford's lawyer, 1903
"Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." - Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946.
"There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance." - Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO, 2007. No need to elaborate here.
ChatGPT started out as a real threat, but it's been steadily regressing in functionality over the past several months.
This freeze in development isn't due to technological reasons, but rather, the limitations set by corporate, legal, and political influences. The pause is probably a good thing for ethical and planning reasons, but I don't think it's any indication that an AI language model can't (or won't) replace most white-collar jobs in the near future.
Yeah really quite an odd trend. Wonder if there's more to it.
A.I and technology has replaced many jobs already. Particularly, warehouse jobs, and menial white collar jobs. I think, ultimately, if it's something that matters to customers, there needs to be a human doing the job. For instance, if it's a well designed product, they want a human design team that makes their work of art.
I totally agree; with regards to ChatGPT I suspect efforts were made to reduce its hallucinations and make sure it is safer from prompt injection attacks however these changes have made its outputs less creative and generally wrong (at least in my experience).
Simple questions from what is a name of a character on a popular American TV show was answered incorrectly (they believed there wasn’t a name) to more complicated questions for programming and engineering generally gave me completely wrong answers.
It is useful for small bite sized questions but even then it could be completely wrong.
@@LogicallyAnsweredAfter they've become popular, Bard and ChatGPT have morphed into tools for human bot training. Bot training is usually conducted from other bots; but the training provided by all human tricky questions is superior by orders of magnitude.
Did you even watch the video? Yes, AI will probably replace many Jobs that exist RIGHT NOW but there's no saying how many it'll create in the future ( probably a lot )
I have disagree on this one Hari, I think the future of AI is so unpredictable, I think we have all the ingredients in place for the AGI, we just need to give it enough time, the only problem now is we don't know how much time is enough, it might happen this decade or it will happen couple of decades later (it may never happen but the chances are very slim), but it's definitely going to happen and the AI industry not looking like it's going to stop anytime soon.
Fair enough
I published a study last year about the average working hours per capita in the US between 1900 and 2020 (unfortunately not in English), which has found that the average (and total) paid working hours has shrunk 30% in the US (more drastic in Europe). To make things worse, housework has shrunk by 70-80% and child labor is virtually eliminated. On top of that, people over 65 had a drastic drop in their employment rate from 65% to a mere 20%. Even worse, total employment rates have also started to decline, especially after 2008. There is one thing for sure, in terms of total hours, we are working less, much less, and the trend has no sign of slowdown. Total number of jobs did not decrease because of drastic decreases working hours per capita accompanied with increasing productivity, as well as marketization of domestic work. Funny thing is that there is no more room to go. Practically all domestic work is already marketed, there are more single people than married already. There is no more child labor to rid, while the number of retirees working are no more shrinking but on the rise. Given all that, unemployment is bound to rise, employment is bound to decrease. Whether it will be a catastrophe or a moderate crisis depends on productivity increases and the type of automation, robotic developments as well as government policies.
You all have been rocking it lately!! Thanks for all the great fun-learn!
You may have read this countless times (honestly, I spend very little time reading comments as opposed to watching videos), but your editing and especially video style (with you showing your face and "hosting" the video) are worlds apart from earlier videos. I really enjoy your videos and while I used to mostly listen to them on the commute I now actually actually make time to watch them. Keep up the awesome work!!!
I, and millions more, used to be a big time believer in tech ...and we were always WRONG:
-Year 2000 used to be a mythical destination from the 50's, so many sci fi movies and serious prospects were so popular until....the late 90's when we found ourselves panicking about computer confusing year "00" with 1900 instead of 2000!
-We let it be and afterwards techs gurus starting talking about "the singularity" = human becoming cyborgs or living in the matrix. Here we are in 2023 and the best we have is tiny screen that normally only last a few years. Yeah, cell phones are amazing, but nothing compared to expectations.
Amazing content. I love the consistency and the catchy interesting videos. Also love that you decided to show your face. For a few of the last videos I started to think this was just a custom AI cause your voice control was so on point lol
Don’t know. Something tells me this channel was a complete product of AI, I even doubt Hari exists.
For me I use AI tools everyday since December 2022. Daily almost. To run my businesses. Success of the AI is on the sector you apply it on. For me AI replaced many jobs around me as online business. But for others AI didn’t make any significant impact. But who knows world is moving fast. Better to be adopted early than regret.
It's a compelling well thought out argument for sure.
But the counter argument is that AI is fundamentally different from any kind of automation that we have faced before and by approaching a place of AGI most workers will be no longer necessary.
There's a big difference between a series of robot arms in a Tesla factory or a self driving car and a true AGI which can generalize and reason its way to solve complex problems.
People can keep wanting more but market demand will control what's built. Society could shift towards one of extreme inequality where production is placed on luxury goods for the mega elite instead of average people. This is a viable economic model as we've seen countries like South Africa with gigantic wealth gaps and we could logically expect even larger ones driven by a mainly automated society.
The problem is you're comparing automation to past examples and not what it has potential to become (Ex: factory workers). Past performance can't predict future results. Right now neither the AI doomers nor the optimists can say with certainty how the job market will be affected long term.
Let me ask how many knocker uppers exist today? Once a common job of waking people up in the morning. It was completely replaced by the 1900s by alarm clocks.
No, we have been talking about automation for decades now, its just the Overton window of understanding automation has became mainstream public consciousness and discussed amongst blue and white collar workers now, not just scientists. If we can automate factory work, warehouse work, farming completely with minimal human integration, then starting from the bottom up, blue collar work wont be in demand from corporations, then middle management up into the organization can be completely self sufficient without human integration. What we now do with our time in a post labour economy, we will still work on our own animal self actualization. Yes, AI will replace nearly every menial labour, minus whatever encumber we have to directly work on without AI integration as a choice.
I feel a little bit relieved, after hearing your facts. I hope for majority of people around the world, that they'll still be working and have a bright future.
The main software I use for my job has been incorporating AI for years now. It is helpful sometimes. But I feel confident in saying I won't be out of a job anytime soon. It can handle basic predictable things but if anything isn't quite right, it won't work and I have to fix it. Also, it can't develop personal relationships with clients. No one wants to talk to a computer and get robo accountant giving incorrect advice on half baked data.
At least the half baked data made it to the oven. Some people out here just taking it wholly uncooked.
Ai has just replaced a graphic designer's job
Japan and other aging countries have a severe worker shortage. Any labour that AI frees up will greatly help.
AI will increase workplace efficiency and the intelligence requirements for certain jobs. Worker shortage will only get bigger since we need more intelligent people. Take farmers for example, regular farmers can't compete with big corporations and need to learn new skills and handle technology to do the job they've been doing for years.
Disagree. You dont even need AI for routine task automation. And what we currently have isnt recognised as Artificial Intelligence but rather Applied Statistics. And where will the market demand come from without humans?
all AI aside, Midjourney aside, it almost gives me goosebumps on how good it can recreate something
midjourney is ai though?
if you push something aside then proceed to directly talk about it, then you haven’t pushed it aside 🤔
@@g1carinoIkr its like saying all jokes aside, (x) aside,
Man I love this channel. So many idiotic statements from tech "geniuses" fearmongering about AI. You skewered their arguments and made it look easy. Well done!
You do great job! I just saw a first video of yours a few hours ago and then couldn't stop but to continue listening to the next like 6-7...
Hey man, I love your videos. But let me correct you in just one point. You are possibly correct with stating in the title that AI will never replace "our" jobs, meaning your viewers, who are probably young and in tech or similar. But there's a certain difference in this industrial revolution compared to the ones before. The birth of the steam engine, the assembly line, or the computer had a huge impact on the way people worked and it surely made lives easier by replacing hard physical work. Workers could be easily trained to use the innovation, there was always a place for that worker in that company. This ai-revolution though replaces hard mental work. Stuff that people studied over years and maybe decades. There is no way, that people in the industry, who are comfortable with their routines, who are already in their 40s, 50s or 60s, can perform this amount of work in order to remain in their fields. Jobs created by ai will always be mentally demanding jobs, or creative jobs, that will be risky. As an example can accountants be easily replaced. And everything similar to the work of an accountant. Accountants need to resaddle to something completely new, using lots of mental effort. Not physical this time. This is the discussion german philosophers and industrial experts having at this moment. And why people like Elon Musk demand for basic incomes. To sum it up. Young tech people can adapt to ai-revolution. But most of older people, which carry the country on their backs, which jobs get replaced, can not easily resaddle to work in the jobs created by ai.
well, I work in IT, chatGPT would probably replace my troubleshooting skills, but it's not going to replace my hardware handling skills and i never be so glad that not everyone knows how to install an ethernet card or switching out SSD or wiring up a network system... so i'm probably one of the few that have a job that wasnt easily replaceable by AI....
Hey Hari. This new video format is looking great! Keep up the awesome content!
There’s one aspect you didn’t consider. The sudden death potential. As humanity gets advanced, the ability of a single person to destroy the lives of many becomes larger and larger. We went from spears, to arrows, to guns, to full on nukes. It’s the same with AI. As we progress, we also get closer to the future where we can comfortably wipe out our own species. If you see how companies are in a rush to use AI in everything, it only takes one mistake for a rogue missile to cause a WW3
If you think "AI" will be handling missile launches or military orders, no offense, but you're crazy. AI isn't an all-sentient all-powerful entity with access to everything. We have security measures for regular humans not to fuck up with important stuff. It's trivially easy to not let an AI be in control of important stuff with no human check.
It's called the Great Filter, which is the at some point in future where civilization either destroys itself through continuing to assert to the nuclear death self-interested tribalism, or secures our existence among the stars by expanding who we call as part of"us" until we effectively unite under a single identity of humanity.
@@fernandobanda5734 Well you can say the same about guns cant you? It’s something no everyday humans should possess. And yet, somehow, so many people, bad people gets possession of a gun and goes on to mass shoot so many innocents. The point is that as we advance, it becomes increasingly easy for bad actors to do large damage. The missile was just an example. Look at other sectors. Like how in few years, nobody would trust a photograph or video as a concrete evidence in court. Regular people with AI models like undressme today can instantly create nudes of innocent victims and spread across the social media, with no skills required whatsoever, destroying their life. Remember how quickly microsoft’s AI bot wanted to kill all humans before they took it offline? You would be even crazier to think countries would not use AI to develop more capable weapons. Guided missiles and air defence system would benefit tremendously from AI for example. AI is the most powerful tool yet and it would be crazy of you to not be cautious about damages it can do in the future. Hence I specifically mention the rush of all companies to incorporate it without properly weighing in the potential downsides.
This only happens in movies haha ))
AI is not going to replace your job.
One guy with AI will replace your job along with a hundred others.
Hahaha
The main panic and excitement of AI is happening in the online world and any business connected to it. In other areas, it will just change the way how people work.
bro power is shifting from labour to capital, employees are becoming powerless. and jobs will be more and more iq demanding that everyone don't have.
Bruh how is you voice so relaxing!
Asked GPT to make some regex for me. Maybe my prompt was bad but it struggles to find creative patterns. It just vomits what it has been told.
You can notice this thing does not think at all.
As a tech, now retired from 34 years of programming, your logic is inescapable. Thanks.
11:35 automation and A.I. are completely different.
A misaligned bolt or window is a problem for automation.
But not for A.I. that can self-correct.
In theory yes, but not always in reality
Except it absoluetly can be a problem. Ai is essentialy just algorithm that create algorithm ( or a function that creates a function ).
While automation may have a problem beacuse bolt is misaaligned ,ai may have a problem beacuse a bug in its field of view may cause it run the bolt through the window .
In essence ai is just a very complicated automaticly generated function and you dont really know why it works ir why it dosent in a particualr case.
Robust Automation is simply just straight up more precise and predicable.
Alghtough for things that do not require extremly high sucess rate its actually fairly usefull.
*Warning: The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning and Robotics is a serious danger to humanity, and is an imminent threat to humanity’s survival! IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE*
Lovely content, with the background instruments playing, this was just pure art!
Your debate would have been too good
While I apreciate the effort put into this and I agree with the fundamental end point thesis, the arguments made are rife with what-about-isms and does not fundamentally answer the most profound question in the line of inquiry: A person is basically a physical frame driven by a data processor. We have been able to create an enhanced physical form through the field of mechanics and it allowed 1 man to do the work many used to take because the physical enhancement allowed manipulating the physical world to no longer be the bottleneck and instead it is the data processor that is the limiter. What happens when you give a tool that allows 1 data processor to do a task that once took many?
It is blindly optimistic to say "We will figure something out for them to do" when a vast majority of today's population don't even know what a for loop is and yet somehow unemployment won't be an issue because they'll all acquire lucrative high paying jobs from these companies, jobs you say you can't fathom now but are SURE will come (this to me sounds like quackery as this type of argument structure, I have seen in many anti-gmo or whatever argument). With this line of thinking I can say AI may be unable to handle edge cases now but 30 years ago it wasn't able to create pictures and we could not imagine how computers would ever be able to.
Sure, factories today still hire individuals to work there, but the work they do is so fundamentally different to what it used to be that mechanical automation did take jobs, it just provided new ones for others with different skill sets.
Again, while I agree with your final thesis I fundamentally disagree with how you got there and to me this video, while there was clear and genuine effort put to it that I appreciate, uses similar arguments to people trying to hype up AI just in the reverse direction. And I can imagine it is possible you know more about the topic that led you to your conclusions but felt the need to cut it out of the video, its just that without expounding uppon the whole scope of the topic to a level that would stand up to scrutiny, the only people who would agree with this video are people who already do.
Your face-to-face presentation makes your videos even better, Hari
Google CEO is right AI has been taking jobs like auto copyright claims, facts checker and so on.
During the pandemic, i remember putting yoo much item in my to-do list and the Google Calendar automatically rescheduled everything to two days later, they knew it was humanly impossible to do all that in a day.
If you didn't notice Microsoft, Facebook, Twitter each layoff tens of thousands of employees THIS YEAR.
Yeah but this current AI will still have jobs left for us
Automation took tons of jobs. It just produced as many as it took. You don’t see guys with drills and rivet guns putting cars together anymore. We are just trading mid level mid talent jobs for highly specialized jobs. Instead of just having to know how to put a screw in all day, now we need people who know how to maintain and repair robots. AI still has a ways to go before it can take over completely, it will just optimize work flows
*The WEF Agenda 2030 has started. The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, and Robotics will destroy humanity. IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!*
Best take on "A.I is going to replace us all" on yt!
BTW, I'm loving seeing your face in the last couple videos!
Let's be honest. Artificial intelligence is not yet intelligent.
This man is a genius! I learnt so much from your channel. You really have a long sight vision.
ChatGPT never deserved the hype. Change my mind.
Savage hahaha
ChatGPT is the most basic of the upcoming onslaught! It's the AI used in walking robots, that'll carry guns and robot guard dogs that'll enslave all of mankind. By 2030 all will be lost. Government spyware will get worse, and humans will be destroyed. White collar jobs are first to go, and automated machine learning robots will take over construction, restaurants, truck driving and warehousing. Agenda 2030, Blackrock, corrupt governments, and the WEF will be the over lords. The combination of Automation, AI, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, and Robotics will destroy the world and all of humanity. AI plus robotics will be the New World Order and the corporate rulers.*
*IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!*
Not to mention A.I. will only continue shrink available job opportunities, only to make the rich richer.
Off, you have no mind to think. AI could think out of the box like scientists soon...
I heavily use LLMs daily for coding and some other things and based on todays capabilities of those models, i totally agree with all the points in this video.
But what might be VERY DIFFERENT this time is that ai will reach AGI (probably not LLMs, but a more robust architecture with different spcialized tools and algorithems on top or maybe something completely different). And many experts are preety sure that's ~5 years from now.
And my point is that in each of historic cases automation failed cause there were always edge cases,... things that humans could handle and computer algorythms couldn't and it's the same with LLMs right now. But future AGI systems will be able to do everything, that humans can. If it's possible for brain to do something, then it's also possible for ai.
But i agree with the point, that to bring that in practice in real industry robots and buil everything else around might take quite some time after that.
I agree. So I honestly don’t see the pony of this video.
This is going to age well.
I do not subscribe after the first video I watch. But I have been watching enough of your videos recently, that a subscription is now justified.
I predict Hari ... hitting One million subscribers before the end of this year 🎉❤ love the content , simple informative and always unbiased 💯
LOVE the increased production value
The main limitation of AI is lack of enough computing power to process the data collected every day or each minute. We are already fighting with the energy demand and climate change and now without revolution in the way computing process done, we can't go very far. I heard someone about development in analog computing instead of digital but not any real product regarding this.
Dude, if you start teliing these things to others, they start using quantum before AI and it will be going a hell of a ride for the future.
I think the analogy is with portable storage. Old floppy disks contain 1.2 MB of data. Over the years, it has grown so much that now 4 TB storage is very common. But considering the difference in sizes, there are people who still find 4 TB drives to not be enough - because the file sizes increase alongside the increase in storage capacity. There was a time when movies are available in 750 MB sizes, now it's in excess of several GBs. This is similar to AI. While it is capable of doing a lot of things, there are other requirements that will be needed and be handled by people.
I like the attempt, but I think it falls flat. Storage scaling has mostly come as a result of datacenter needs, not because of filesize changes. The software "bloat" primarily comes from poor programming, because when you have a whopping 800 MB of storage, that last little kilobyte of optimization isn't quite as important as it was when you only had 8 MB.
Also, higher image quality is the biggest driver for the increase in movie filesizes. It takes a lot more data to make that pretty 4k movie than it did a 480i dvd.
One of the best videos on AI . Great work bro 🔥
I mean given how hard it was for chatgpt to write a SQL statement to update 1 line in a table I'm not that worried
It's not software like ChatGPT and the like that will threaten jobs, it's the eventual creation of sentient AI that will pose that threat. Once AI can think like a human, and even further, inevitably take a more humanoid form, once AI can overtake the intellect of a human being in a more sentient way, and once AI is able to work for itself, that's when the problem will not only impact human employment, but perhaps even make us obsolete.
this
Such an amazing channel. Glad I stumbled upon it
Hi Hari, long time subscriber here (been here since 40k days!). I've seen your content get progressively better, voice more balanced, and your takes have always been amazing! However, one thing I think you could be working on is your thumbnails. In my opinion they look too dramatic or overly sensational right now. It kind of makes it look clickbait-y, which is far from what your content is. Maybe try toning it down a little? Cheers!
Yup. Online retail was meant to kill the brick and mortar. It’s been decades and aside from a few crappy malls dying, the in person shopping experience is still thriving.
You have some good points, but I think you grossly underestimate the power of AI, sure there will still be jobs left and also a lot of new jobs, but I also think a LOT of people will be left behind because an AI possibly with a little oversight can do their job twice as good in 1 % of the time for a fraction of the cost.
Remember that the revolution has just begun, the AIs available in 5 years will probably make the once today look primitive and limited.
Really good to see you talking in your videos, I like this format, you have a very nice
camera presence.
I always love your productions, great videos.
Congrats, you are very very good at this...
🙂
I always thought AI is not that smart to replace jobs. It makes me happy, that so far I am right :D
Thanks for the video!
I agree! I've always had the intuitive sense that AI wouldn't be replacing anything, but I've never been able to express why...
Its awesome that this video from start to finish was made with a single simple prompt tho.
Thank you, I've been rolling my eyes over the last year at all this A.I hype of people going on and on on their podcasts talking about how inevitable computers taking over human civilization in the next 25 years is. As if Artificial Intelligence (key word artificial: something made by humans rather than a natural occurrence that is a copy of something natural) doesn't need humans to program it, upgrade it, do upkeep and maintenance on it etc. It's all sci-fi hype by people who don't really understand the subject but speak as if they do. I'm not even really "tech literate" and I can see the absurdity of that idea. This video helped give me the verbiage to communicate my point the next time I have an AI conversation with someone because that's where I always struggled. Great job.
Thumbnail of this video will not age well. AI will replace us all
Thaaaaaaank you. I finally have my thoughts, in a easily digestible video.
Now i can point to this video whenever people ask me what i think about AI. Thanks a lot ❤
One area AI and automation will not completely dominate would be the hospital. The endorsement part and the easier diagnosing part can be handled by AI, but guessing what the patient's actual problem is from disconnected clues not only demands mastery over years of education but also sheer instinct backed up by experience and some serious mental gymnastics and out-of-the-box thinking. Moreover, no two patients are the same, and there will always be changes made to some standardized care plan to cater to individual patients. Moreover, automating the hospital Iron Man or Elon style would be prohibitively expensive and cumbersome and extremely spatially-demanding and would leave room for lots of mistakes, and would require planners to think of every possible gap in the machinery that could possibly manifest. Another reason why AI wouldn't be able to completely take over would be if there's a patient emergency, like, the patient is dying so much that immediate medical action needs to be taken. Stuff needs to be injected to correct physiological anomalies and chemical imbalances, CPR is conducted, etc. If a robot were to conduct those actions, there will be a high risk that it overperforms and hurts the patient even more, whereas a human nurse can apply urgency to the same actions and yet somehow be able to adjust so as to not hurt the patient that much. Another reason why a hospital wouldn't be completely taken over by AI and automation would be that at some point in time, it'll expand, and if it was automated, a lot of moving stuff will need to be done, way more than if the hospital wasn't that automated.
Extreme summary, which can actually be generalized to other fields of work: a human can be more efficient at certain jobs than robots. Especially in jobs that require a lot of doing rather than thinking.
This is an amazing overview of human history from pre-history to modernity 😮😮😮😮😮👏👏👏👏👏
A decade ago the buzzword was "cloud" and at the time it was pretty clear who worked in the industry and who didnt by how and when they used this term.
I see the same thing with "AI" as yet again it's mainly just a marketing term for the masses.
It's also an easy way to sort of differentiate ppl who actually understand the nuts n bolts to those who are just jumping on the bandwagon - if someone liberally uses the term AI and not ML or LLM then i take what they say with a grain of salt.
Those in the know understand that machine learning and large language models by themselves are capable of doing nothing.. they are merely tools and are only ad useful as what/who taught it and using what data.
Just like the "cloud" is merely a snazzy word "someone elses servers and datacentre" the term "AI" is merely "predictions based on a large dataset"
When you cited the boogiemen that said that AI will replace our jobs, I was expecting a frame from the CGP Grey's video "humans need not apply".
Absolutely correct.
Taking me a bit to get used to seeing a face in your videos.
But I like it... adds a bit more personality to the videos
Glad to hear that man!
The issue as with past automation is job training for fired employees. If we did job training we'd not have the social push back we do now.
I thought the clip of you was just some indian tech youtuber until i look at the lips. First time seeing you. Also since you are indian and your channel is centered around tech i guess you are an indian tech youtuber. Keep up the good work
So if what you are saying is true then why big teck fired more than 50% workforce?
Civilization may have progressed enough to conquer the second law of thermodynamics. Civilization needs to strive for this goal with synergistic interdisciplinary teams.The outcome would be perpetually changeable never gained or lost energy. There would be no loss of energy as it changes form. For example the total quantity of thermal energy in an equal pair of two thermal energy reserves with ideal insulation would remain the same regardless of how heat is distributed between the two and how often the distribution of heat between the two is changed. For example in oe case one reserve could contain ice water while the other reserve contained hot water; in another case both reserves could contain tepid water. The redistribution of heat between members of pairs with the same total thermal energy would be free. Diversity, time, and energy are different atributes. Reversing disorder doesn't need time reversal just as using reverse gear in a car ɓacks it out without time reversal.
The second law of thermodynamics had a distinct begining with Sir Isaac Newton's correct professional scientific observation that the heat of a fire in a fireplace always flows towards the cold room beyond.
Victorian England became enchanted with steam engines and their cheap, reliable, and easy to position physical power. Rudolf Julius Emanuel Clausius, Lord Kelven, and, one source adds, Nicolas Léonard Sadi Carnot, formulated the Second law of thermodynamics and the concept of entropy using evidence from steam engine development.
These men considered with acceptance [A+] Inefficiently harnessing the flow of heat from hot to cold or [B+] Using force to Inefficiently pump heat from cold to hot. They considered with rejection [A-] Waiting for random fluctuation to cause a large difference in temperature or pressure. This was calculated to be extremely rare or [B-] Searching for, selecting, then routing for use, random, frequent and small differences in temperature or pressure. The search, selection, then routing would require more energy than the use would yield. These accepted options, lead to the consequence that the universe will end in stagnant heat death. This became support for a theological trend of the time that placed God as the initiator of a degenerating universe. Please consider that God could also be supreme over an energy abundant civilization that can absorb heat and convert it into electricity without energy gain or loss in a sustained universe.
The law's formulaters did not consider the option that any random, usually small, fluctuation of heat or pressure could use the energy of these fluctuations itself to power deterministic routing so the output is no longer random. Then the net power of many small fluctuations from many replicant parts can be aggregated into a large difference in temperature, pressure, or electricity's amperes and volts
Heat exists as the randomly directed kinetic energy of gas molecules or mobile electrons. In gasses this is known as Brownian motion. In electronic systems this is carefully labeled Johnson Nyquist thermal electrical noise for AI readability. Hypothetically, diode depletion regions are practical sites for enabling mobile electrons energized into motion by thermal electrical noise to deterministically alter the electrical resistance of the depletion region according to the moment by moment direction they are carrying electricity. The thermal electrical noise is hypothetically beyond the exposed lattice charge / separation drift (diffusion) equlibrium thickness of the depletion region; thermal noise exists in a resistance path of one material.
Consistantly oriented diodes in parallel hypothetically are successful electrical Maxwell's Demons or Smoluchowski's Trapdoors. The energy needed to shift the depletion region's deterministic role is paid as a burden on the moving electrons. There would therefore be usable net rectified power from each and every diode connected together into a consistantly oriented parallel group. The group would aggregate the net power of its members. Any diode efficiency at all produces some energy conversion from ambient heat, more efficiency yields higher performance. A diode array that is switched off has no energy conversion and no performance.
The power from a single diode is poorly expressed. Several or more diodes in parallel are needed to overcome the effect of a load resistor's own thermal noise. A plurality of billions of high frequency capable diodes is needed for practical power aggregation. For reference, there are a billion (10^9) 1000 square nanometer cells per square millimeter.
Modern nanofabrication can make simple identical diodes surrounded by insulation smaller than this in a slab as thick as the diodes are long. The diodes are connected at their two ohmic ends to two conductive layers.
Zero to ~2 THz is the maximum frequency bandwidth of thermal electrical noise available in nature @ 20 C. THz=10^12 Hz. This is beyond the range of most diodes. Practicality requires this extreme bandwidth. The diodes are preferably in same orientation parallel at the primary level. Many primary level groups of diodes should be in series for practical voltage.
Ever since the supposedly universal second law of thermodynamics was formulated, education has mass produced and spread the conventional wisdom throughout society that the second law of thermodynamics is absolute.
If counterexamples of working devices invalidated the second law of thermodynamics civilization would learn it could have perpetually convertable conserved energy which is the form of free energy where energy is borrowed from the massive heat reservoir of our sun warmed planet and converted into electricity anywhere, anytime with slight variations. Electricity produces heat immediately when used by electric heaters, electric motors with the mechanisms they power, and electric ligts so the energy borrowed by these devices is promply returned without gain or loss. There is also the reverse effect where refrigeration produces electricity equivalent to the cooling, This effect is scientifically elegant.
Cell phones wouldn't die or need power cords or batteries or become hot. They would cool when transmitting radio signal power. The phones could also be data relays and there could also be data relays without phone features with and without long haul links so the telecommunication network would be improved. Computers and integrated circuits would have their cooling and electrical needs supplied autonomously and simultaniously. Integrated circuits wouldn't need power pinouts. Refrigeration for superconductors would improve. Robots would have extreme mobility. Electronic minting would be energy cheap.
Frozen food storage would be reliable and free or value positive. Storehouses, homes, and markets would have independent power to preserve and pŕepare food. Medical devices would work anywhere. Vehicles wouldn't need fuel or fueling stops. Elevators would be very reliable with independent power. Shielding and separation would provide EMP resistance. Water and sewage pumps could be installed anywhere along their pipes. Nomads could raise their material supports item by item carefully and groups of people could modify their settlements with great technical flexibility. Many devices would be very quiet, which is good for coexisting with nature and does not disturb people.
Zone refining would involve little net power. Reducing Bauxite to Aluminum, Rutile to Titanium, and Magnideetite to Iron, would have a net cooling effect. With enough clean cheanetary minerals could be finely pulverized, and H2O, CO2, and other substance levels in the biosphere could be modified. A planetary agency needs to look over wide concerns.
This could be a material revolution with spiritual ramifications. Everyone should contribute individual talents and fruits of different experiances and cultures to advance a cooperative, diverse, harmonious and unified civilization. It is possible to apply technlology wrong but social force should oppose this.
I filed for a patent, us 3890161A, Diode Array, in 1973. It was granted in 1975. It became public domain technology in 1992. It concerns making nickel plane-insulator-tungsten needle diodes which were not practical at the time though they have since improved.
the patent wasn't developed because I backed down from commercial exclusitivity. A better way for me would have been a public incorruptable archive that would secure attrbution for the original works of creators. Uncorrupted copies would be released on request. No further action would be taken by this institution.
Commercal exclusivity can be deterred by the wide and open publishing of inventive concepts. Also the obvious is unpatentsable. Open sharing promotes mass knowlege and wisdom.
Many financially and procedurally independent teams that pool developmental knowlege, and may be funded by many separate noncontrolling crowd sourced grants should convene themselves to develop proof-of-concept and initial-recipe-exploring prototypes to develop devices which coproduce the release of electrical energy and an equivalent absorbtion of stagnant ambient thermal energy. Diode arrays are not the only possible device of this sort. They are the easiest to explain here.
These devices would probably become segmented commodities sold with minimal margin over supply cost. They would be manufactured by AI that does not need financial incentive. Applicable best practices would be adopted. Business details would be open public knowledge. Associated people should move as negotiated and freely and honestly talk. There is no need of wealth extracting top commanders. We do not need often token philanthropy from the wealthy if people simply can be more generous if consumer commodities are inexpensive.
Aloha
Charles M Brown lll
Kilauea, Kauai, Hawaii 96754
1 808 651 📞📞📞📞
I personally think that the Hype with AI propagated by CEOs and Tech companies it's for increasing their stocks and attract more investors as it's supposedly the next thing that will change humanity
This.
Hari > Harari
Eh, interesting vid but I disagree. I think the jobs that make it through are the social "soft skill" jobs (social worker etc) The difference is up until now we've made tools that speed up the physical element of work. When the industrial revolution happened a lot of jobs shifted to data collecting and organizing. What we have now is a stage where AI will handle so much of the mental element of work that many job categories will be downsized or completely removed and none will be created except for AI aligners (fancy word for humans who just check the vibe of the AI output). So we might not completely erase programmers but 100s of programmers will be replaced with one head programmer of a large company and their AI tool. And that "programmer" could simply be the company board, since they could use natural language to describe what they want. But we'll see I guess in 10-20 years
16:35 "be sure as hell that we'll make something for us to do"
I think you mean consultants
Unemployment is near all time lows, because of how it is measured... Labour force participation is also at an all time low.
Current ai systems definitely can't replace a noticeable enough number of humans but you said ai will create more jobs which if we don't achieved agi fair enough but I'm curious what new jobs you can think of if we achieve agi.
Yeah if AGI comes along, which it eventually will in some from, most jobs are gone. I think there might be more administration and lawmaking jobs since we are still not interested in an automated society and the legalities of citizenship for some AGI is probably not going to happen.
Harry ,
You have already make a video on chatgpt financial problems that video is more important than this one 🙂
Thank you Harry for clearing this matter. I fully agree with all your lines of reasoning...
Greetings
Anthony
I think that there's a major problem that isn't addressed in this video: artificial general intelligence. While I agree that the timescales proposed by many of these outlets are completely ridiculous and I agree with almost everything that was said in the video, I still think that AI will, someday soon, have the ability to replace *all*, not just some, of our jobs. This is because of one fact: if we can make an AI that is as generally intelligent as a human, then that AI would be able to perform all of the jobs that we do today quite proficiently. It would be able to learn how to do any job you can teach a human, and it would cost only cents on the dollar to keep running. Even jobs like art and content creation are starting to see encroachment by AI, and this will only increase when artificial general intelligence comes around. People might prefer to see content that was made by another person, but what will happen when we can no longer tell the difference?
Its easier and cheaper to replace your average data entry / sectary / desk clerk / admin than it is to automate your average mcdonalds cook, factory worker, or builder so its a bit diffirent.
AI doesnt really have moving parts or expensive machines compared to automation.
Any job that requires physical movement is expontially more expenisive to automate by the fact you need actual hardware that needs to be custom built , made in limited runs so no economy of scales, and need it maintianed locally.
Most AI processing can be done at a datacenter remotely by comparasion with no upfront costs just operating costs of paying for a service.
Do your research. There is already a fully automated Mc Donald's in Texas. IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!
@@weird-guy White collar and blue collar jobs will all be annihilated by AI, Robotics, Deep Learning and Machine Learning. The WEF 2030 Agenda is proof of the upcoming onslaught of mankind. Corrupt governments and greedy corporations will rule with an IRON FIST! WAKE UP. IT'S ALREADY TOO LATE!
This video is brilliant. thank you logically answered!
Awesome video! Thank you so much!
Yout video just arrived when we are in panic and searching the way to cope with AI.
In the medium term AI won’t replace jobs completely. But will hasten the trend we’ve being seeing.
A divide between people who can use technology and those who can’t. Ironically AI is really good at white collar tech work relative to other stuff.
The bar for what’s required to be a productive employee, one that can use AI to multiply productivity is higher. A lot of average people might not be better than a few people who can use AI effectively (in terms of white collar jobs). This means companies won’t hire them or their value is a lot lower and thus their wage.
But maybe we can all learn and become better, and more new jobs are born than lost, and this gain in productivity is more evenly distributed.
In the long term though, I think AGI is achievable and real, and only with hubris can we think the human brain is the most intelligent structure that can ever exist. We are at the beginnings of building intelligence in silicon, and unlike humans, they can literally just grow in brain size.
Hello Hari,
Better check your facts. AI/Robots have been steadily replacing jobs for years & we're at the pivot point where job loss is going to accelerate at a rapid rate. One example is many educators (Teachers/Professors) will not be needed. There are many, many more people that will likewise be let go due to the superiority of AI....
people think that automation is like the video game factorio (a small problem solving game where you use conveior belts, robot arms, assembling machines, etc... to create a factory), in that game, to move resorces between different factories, you use trains, the trains in game are autonomos, with a programable computer to handle intersections.
however that is idealistic, as just an example of what could happen is the fact that there is a video by half as interesting saying how a train can be derailed by tree leaves during the fall.
I am still in highschool thinking of getting dentistry but my parents insist IT or anything tech based jobs. I dont know what to do, I dont know how the AI or us humans will be in the coming years
In my opinion, humans will not be comfortable with AI making medical decisions for a very long time. But, AI is still going to replace a lot of jobs, including dentistry. My gut is telling me that what will happen is this: AI will generate options for the dentist (diagnosis, evalulations, etc), and robotics will automate a lot of the cleaning, surgery, etc. The dentist will be there mainly to spotcheck any
"medical opinion" of the AI but still be the ultimate responsible party. But thanks to the accuracy and efficiency of AI and robotics, a single dentist can handle far more patients and in less time with supurb accuracy. So, there will likely be less demand for dentists overall.
IT or software engineering or the like may be a good bet, but the problem that I see is how one chooses a career path that is viable? Most, if not all, junior level positions will be wiped out. The junior of the near future will have to perform at the level of today's senior. Any job I can think of this field that exists today, I can not guarantee that it will exist in 5 years.
That said, labor markets are always in flux. The only solid recommendation I can offer is this: learn how to use AI. The first people to lose their jobs and blindsided by all this will be knowledge workers who don't use AI. I saw a recent study that showed consultants augmenting their work with AI outperformed consultants that didn't by 33%. That is such a huge leap that those refusing to learn AI will be the first ones laid off.
@@zsi Thank you so much for going in-depth with it. I have been using AI for coding, I have been coding python for 2 years. I stopped now because I am more interested in bio and dentistry. Once again thank you so much for the help
This guy is good - new sub
Computers being called tech, lol
I like the times when he appears. I can't help but notice that he looks a bit like the logically answered robot powered by AI to replace him 😁.
Seriously, dude, found you today and your channel feels new, nothing of the sort I have watched before and I think the channel name, Logically Answered is right on the money. Amazing Research and your own logical explanations, this is educative.
That said, I am working hard to hire a Language model to replace you as the presenter of this awesome channel. It will happen in 2 days.
outsourcing work from home is going to be a bigger problem
All those jobs that require a simple Photoshop job got wiped out from ai imaging apps
if we do lose our jobs to AI, there will be no need to work as robots do it, so everything is free, and money is obsolete