John Bolton on NATO, Trump and the latest in Ukraine (Full Stream 7/11)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 ต.ค. 2024
- As NATO marks its 75th anniversary, John Bolton has been sounding the alarm on the possibility of Donald Trump retreating from the alliance if he is elected again. The Post’s Michael Scherer speaks with Trump’s former national security advisor about the state of NATO, what a second Trump administration’s foreign policy might look like and the latest on the war in Ukraine.
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Trump keeps polarizing the people instead of talking about issues that American people matter . what is Trump program about health and building America.. he talks only about how he can divide Americans.
He is not the right person to be prisdent of the America
spot on
Democrats literally called everyone didn't agree with them deplorables. Biden was just as divisive as Trump, and in certain area's even more.
I like and agree with 99% of Bolton's narrative.
It is obvious trump is simply unfit for the Presidency and Biden is just too old, too cautiously conservative and not decisive enough. Americans deserve better choices.
I totally agree that the USA withdrawing from NATO would be so dumb and catastrophic, a pivotal cause for the other 70 countries of the Western World, a strong alliance of developed, wealthy democracies allied in all sorts of collaborations, business, trade, military , policy and values to no longer trust and see the USA as a reliable ally, leader of the Free World.
It would cool relations with the USA, NATO would continue, maybe renamed but the need for a European mutual defence alliance remains. They would develop further their defence industries and stop buying 100s billions of US-made military weaponry, proliferate nuclear weapons, reduce military bases and intelligence sharing with the US, extend this coolness and distrust to disadvantaging American business interests. The USA would distance itself from the Western World, 50% of the global economy as a bloc.
The USA would lose not only its place and influence in wealthy, significant Europe but the rest of the World too including the pivotal Asia Pacific and give a green light to China. Strategically, it would lead to the USA's decline as a superpower, as Putin and Xi want, are trying to achieve.
Agreed.
If the USA give the EU their bit of NATO then the EU could have a EUTO
@@gavinmc5285 If the felon gets elected, they'll likely have to do something of that nature. If nothing else, free Europe will need reliable partners to share classified documents with, and members who will give military aid rather than trying to give away their territory to score points with Putin.
A US withdrawal from NATO would overnight destroy American prestige and respect. It would be the very weapon that America's adversaries have long sought and it would have come from the one source that no-one anticipated! How would Trump explain that to the veterans who he claims to have such great respect and gratitude for?
Trump is a phony, period .
. NO WAY trump! As a Republican for almost 50 yrs, I CANNOT VOTE FOR trump, and any of his supporters. I may not like Biden, but he is still a billion times better than trump!
Mr. Bolton understands the danger presented by Russia. Smart man
The USA is the big threat to the rest of the world..
Great questions, authoritative answers, thanks to you both.
This is hindsight of course but, when it was obvious Russia was going to invade Ukraine, NATO should have laid down it's own red lines; one of them being that any Russian military forces crossing into Ukraine would be halted by NATO air power.
The West has paid too much attention to the Kremlin's red lines without laying down their own.
The horse has bolted and time now for Ukraine to join NATO in spite of having been invaded by Russia.
This well paid warmonger would get us into WW3.
NATO couldnt win the Afghan War.
They will defeat Russia😂😂😂😂
What stuff are these guys on😂😂😂😂😂
Peyote😂😂😂😂
@ slavenaljinovic
America has 12 airplane carrier groups,and they cannot control the Houthis in the Red sea, but keep talking about attacking China as if that move would not immediately involve Russia, Iran and North Korea among others.
@@slavenaljinovic1162 NATO wasn't fighting in the Afghan war. Get your facts straight before you break out the laughing with tears emoticon. Some of us don't think that war is such a laughing matter.
@@djordjelezajic8435 America has no interest in attacking China (that's ridiculous). The US would probably help Taiwan defend itself against a Chinese attack (big difference) but so would Japan, South Korea, Australia and others.
@@IusedtohaveausernameIliked Yes NATO was on a picnic in Afgganistan.
Yes US proxy wars have resulted in millions of dead civilians plus trillions of dolara of taxpayers money wasted.
So now the same sheme in Ukraine.
Who cares about the hundreds of thousands of dead.
US arms sales booming.
US LNG sales booming.
Control ove Ukrainian minerals secured.
Bolton. Please be the Hawk that reasonably compromises on domestic politics. Ukraine is pivotal. 🐺
eh?
@@risacademics Pivotal for what.
Endless American hegemony.
Hawk Wolf diplomacy
Bolton makes a lot of sense!
I would've voted for Pence or Haley, no way for Trump this time.
Vote Phil T. Fealty
Joe Biden was sharp as a tack during the NATO 75th anniversary presentation, so his debate performance was an anomaly. Compared to the word salad Trump regularly tosses out, I'll take Joe Biden any day to the Donald. 🇺🇸🗽⚖️🌎
I don't consider myself a conservative, but the more I listen to John Bolton's interviews the more I agree with him.
Kudos to Bolton for tribute to Pence.
The globe is one world.
America need to forget about Trump and vote on somebody else.
Biden or Trump : Cracker or Biscuit
I have a lot of respect for John Bolton. I hope, for the sake of saving our democracy , he would endorse Biden.
The most important subtext at the NATO summit is the relief that John Bolton no longer represents the Project 2025 element of the American national security process.
The most important subtext of NATO is currently the Kremlin
@@gavinmc5285 The Kremlin isn't a subtext. It has renewed the alliance.
He didn't dare criticizing Trump. Nothing good to say about Joe Biden..shows Bolton is a far right man.
He did piss off Trump when they were visiting Japan or South Korea. Trump immediately sent him to China to find tea leaves.
He criticized Trump on many other occasions.
He does criticize Trump..Bolton straight shooter
You're (not) supposed to be particularly nice or kind in politics
He wrote a book. "The Room Where it Happened". Reading it as we speak. Remember despite his criticism of Donald Trump, he refused to testify at White House impeachment. hearings. 50O pages of saying how important and smart he is and talks incessantly, almost obsessively, in my opinion, about North Korea and Iran. Give it a shot! I am persevering. 😉😉
Bolten has integrity and experience to be president. He is right about Trump, A shame the Republicans did not get behind him.
😂😂😂he has what, experience? Experience in warmongering. The rest of the world is fed up with US forever wars.
So John, you seem to have clear ideas and intellingence for...Why don't you go for presidential elections..You have the experience and capabilty for... Cheers
Presidents don't get elected to do work
NO JOHN DOES NOT HAVE ANY SUCH QUALIFICATIONS! BOLTON IS
A HAS BEEN, A NEVER WAS & NEVER WILL BE!!
JUST ANOTHER
STUPID DUMMKOPF
Not even a dog will vote for this guy, Yale alumnus😂.
I cant believe I'm the first one to comment on this hours after posting.
Am i the only one who finds this interesting? 🤔
With a punk like bolten , not sure ppl care😎
Probably.
Unfortunately people seem to be more interested in click bait and propaganda.
People who speak realistically and logically don't get much attention.
In this particular case people on the left hate Bolton because he's been on the right and people on the right hate him because he doesn't support their ridiculous nominee.
I'm with Bolton and I think the majority in the country, thinking that being stuck with these 2 candidates is a disgrace.
@@jerseyshoredroneservices225 i agree 👍
Bolton has no influence any more and is irrelevant.
Deterrence is a theory that has been proven wrong on multiple occasions.
Right. I wonder how John Bolton would feel if everyone around him would try to deter him all the time and at all costs.
This fool wright here is insane 😳
Stop smoking drugs 😹
The only reason I clicked on this was to say I don’t know why anyone would bother for an instant with this man.
He could have made an immense contribution to his the well being of the USA.
In a disgraceful manner he put money before his country.
( I don’t listen to this amoral opportunist for a nano-second. )
Theodore Roosevelt famously stated his prescription for foreign policy thus: To speak softly but carry a big stick! While I can't imagine that old warhorse John Bolton ever speaking in hushed tones I would have 💯 confidence in his dexterity with the ɓig stick! I like the cut of his jib, I just wish he was on the ballot for President!
I have long wished that Ambassador John Bolton had a direct policy voice in Washington. He is absolutely straight spoken - a bit to the right of Bismarck but very clear and focused
If Mexico was seeking to join a Chinese-led military alliance and that alliance was predisposed to accept Mexico, which might lead the China to place weapons and troops in Mexico, what would we have done?
stop this Russian propaganda. US doesn't constantly attacks Mexico, doesn't force English language, doesn't kill Mexicans, doesn't lecture Mexicans on Nazism, etc.
The good thing is that situation in Ukraine has nothing in common with your imaginary situation. Ukraine was no where near joining NATO in 2014 and still russia robbed Ukraine of its territories. Btw, I'm from Sevastopol (Crimea), I know what I'm talking about. Btw, think why russia was ok with the Baltic states being parts of NATO for decades.
John Bolton for US 47th.!!!😮😅
Not voting for either is a cop out, Bolton
Oh, how much has changed in one day...
Mr. Bolton is very good. I really like your analysis. I would vote for Mr. Bolton for being my president.
You'd vote for WWIII.
Bolton as a strategist has zero credibility if he can't recognise that Trump/Biden is a binary decision. He outlines the drastic consequences of Trump taking the US out of NATO but ducks the implications - that he has to endorse Biden.
Joe Biden 100%
Previously Bolton said he'd run for president of the United States. His criticism of Trumps' and Bidens' foreign policy failures are insightful.
Stop the Bolts
My (at least semi-) educated opinion in intern relations from Hungary, EU, (more or less) is that Bolton is reasonable. Realistic, BUT with all due respect, one pillar is missing from his thoughts: Europe, OK, he grew up and practiced in the exact context when Euorpe became slugghish, too comfy. And its actors, members lost their teeth. But his negligence in including it as a defining stakeholder of the future and near future is soooo American :) Europe is one of the 3 economic Greart Powers of the Planet. Due to US withdrawal process from security in Europe , the Old Continent (China seems older to me, India likewise), the old continent will grow up to the task, It has the means. And now, it has the motivation. Mr. Bolton, your views on Europe's role(s) would have been a valuable addition. Thanks anyway
Old Europe or New Europe?
The president of Ukraine mr putan😂and my vice president Donald trump🤕
Trump is seriously unfit for the office.
President John Bolton has a NICE ring to it...
Sounds better than Trump.
Mr Trump got to choose friends of America ?
Not never like welcoming Howdy Modi of 2 face India
Like Putin?
Like Janus
Mike Pence is one of the biggest wimps in politics. Bolton has a chance to support democracy here & he fails. It’s a shame he can’t find a way to actually help in Ukraine.
The wimp that stood up to sedition do you mean?
So one would be a disaster, but the other is old. Voting for Dick Cheney.
Vote Dick for Terror
Bolton is such a disgusting opportunist and coward, it's almost nauseating!!
Well Europeans are tired of tRump...
They'd like to upgrade to sirloin
Bolt's assumption that Russia is waging a full fledged war is very wrong. Ukrain never had and will never has a chance against Russia no matter what you provide.
You obviously know nothing about russia.
The evidence shows otherwise.
2025 - "Crimean endgame" or the beginning of the "Moscow Gambit"?
2014, from the letter "Crimean Gambit" to Surkov: "Starting a war in Donbass, Russia will fall into a trap"... 2024 - the third year of war, where hot battles are taking place in Donbass, with no victory or defeat in sight for both Russia and Ukraine. But the war of resources cannot help but affect processes within Russia itself. What are these processes?
Is the Russian "Federation" a country or an empire? The Kremlin itself does not hesitate - it is an empire. And here the meme comes to mind - how often do you think about the Roman Empire? What can you think, what impressions? About the end of the Roman Empire. As an empire, having no obvious competitors, how did it fall? The diagnosis of the reasons for the end of the empire can be applied to others later, only with variations...
What unites the metropolis and the provinces - the financial system. The basis of the Roman monetary system was the denarius, originally made of pure silver. During the reign of Octavian Augustus, the denarius contained 95% silver. During the reign of Caracalla, who was in urgent need of money, only 50% silver remained. By the 3rd century AD, inflation had reached 15,000%. But the empire existed, another factor was needed - that was war. Two factors yielded results - the Roman emperors were unable to pay their armies. In the end, it was Germanic tribes, such as the Goths and Vandals, who delivered the final deadly blow to Rome.
At the beginning of the 20th century, the diagnosis of the causes of the end of the empire spread to others - four years of war led to the fall of the Kaiser and Austro-Hungarian empires, inflation and war. The capitals of the empires were not conquered, but by the end of the war in 1918, the amount of money in circulation had increased by 5 times. However, prices only doubled during this time. Hyperinflation in a short period of time accelerated events. Events in the metropolis capitals - revolutions, protests - are not the cause of the empires' downfall, as they do not change the structure of the empire, such a subtlety. In 1933, imperialism in Germany entered a cycle... The fall of the Austro-Hungarian Empire also showed that the weakness and strength of empires lie in the provinces.
But what about the British Empire, how did it survive after 1918, considering it also suffered from inflation? Here there are two factors - it won the war and had the donor support of the USA. However, after the Second World War it still collapsed. This was an evolutionary end of the empire as a project. In the 20th century, a third factor of influence emerged - the so-called financial "empires" based on financial and trade flows as an alternative to the territorial old empires. An example is the dollar, a product of already national Democracies. In the 21st century - the euro. In order to prolong the imperial project, Great Britain optimized its expenses by reducing its fleet. The Roman Empire also made optimization - in the form of the Byzantine Empire, reducing its territory and reloading its ideology with Christianity.
So, there are 4 obvious factors of the fall of empires - inflation, war, provinces, and financial-trade flows near the borders. The 5th factor is the structure of the economy, the share of military spending even in peacetime, which affects inflation. An example of its influence is Admiral Tirpitz's concept of destroying the British Empire through an arms race and inflation. Knowing that Britain adhered to the standard of naval superiority to be twice that of its rivals, he built battleships (the most expensive ships) in series - as a factor of strength only. Meanwhile, Tirpitz was against the German Empire entering the first World War, but Wilhelm II did not listen to him, and the "Tirpitz fleet" had already launched inflation in Britain. However, this concept was realized during the Cold War, a sensitive issue for the Kremlin even now.
The Russian sub-Empire of Putin's regime. In times of its greatness, the Imperial Russia consisted of layers, like an "onion", due to historical development - the internal empire and the external, changing one, based on the conquest of national formations. The internal part is now the Russian "federation", the external part now consists only of Belarus, parts of Georgia and Moldova, and the situation in the Caucasus is still unclear - there are other factors there. The external empire preserved the structure of the internal part, but this is no longer the case now. Therefore, Putin's regime represents a part of the historical Russian Empire, and this is what distinguishes it from other empires. The stable structure of the Russian sub-Empire, now?
What do we have - an ongoing war in Ukraine, inflation (as of 24.07.24 the official rate is 8%, Central Bank rate is 16% - a clear trend towards an increase), two financial-trade flows at the borders - dollar/euro and yuan, problems in the provinces of the internal empire (a "parade" of problems since the beginning of 2024), military expenses. Add to this a power bloc for maintaining the situation in the internal empire, which also fuels inflation, even if the war on the Ukrainian border suddenly stops. Moreover, all these factors act together and have a cumulative effect of escalating inflation to hyperinflation (around 30%), which speeds up events. So, the Kremlin may once again witness a second geopolitical catastrophe, but this time the cause will be the actions of the Kremlin itself. With hyperinflation, troops in Ukraine will die faster than they are paid, and the power structures in the sub-Empire will lose motivation to work for the metropolis when there are financial-trade flows nearby, such as the yuan. Inflation of 8% and the Central Bank rate of 16% - playing with the exchange rate and increasing empty money supply do not change anything, just like it didn't save Germany in 1918.
The only way out is optimization or cessation of the war in Ukraine, reduction of military expenses after the war, and receiving inflows into the budget and investments. But on what terms is this possible? Are the borders of Ukraine in 1991 sufficient for the stability of Russia's quasi-empire in its current form?
Currently, there are two financial-trade flows - the dollar/euro and the yuan. The dollar/euro is the foundation of Ukraine's resilience in the war and the basis for sanctions against the Kremlin's quasi-empire. It is closed as a possibility. Behind the dollar/euro flow are the so-called Democratic standards and institutions, with which the quasi-empire has come into conflict.
Sanctions based on the dollar/euro flows have changed markets for Russia's quasi-empire, and these markets have reflected back on Russia itself. An example is the oil trade. Russia has been pushed into Asia for markets in India and China. In February 2024, there were too many oil tankers in the Indian Ocean with dumping prices. This affects the interests of the Persian Gulf, which has triggered activity from the "green genie". These events in Russia in 2024 based on "Islamic radicalism" and elsewhere can be explained. This was not happening in 2023, factually. If "these tankers" continue in the Indian Ocean, we can predict terrorist attacks in Russia and elsewhere in the fall of 2024.
The financial-trade flow - the yuan, which is China, does not have Democratic standards behind it. It is part of China's mixed imperial policy. There is territorial expansion and the development of the yuan as a basis of influence and market expansion without territorial conquests. China's military program falls under the concept of Tirpitz, for expanding competitive capabilities without war. It actively operates in the Dollar/euro zone and is tied to Western markets. In other words, it is a "chameleon" that changes its "color" - methods based on the market it operates in. This financial-trade flow sets China's policy - more or less, whatever is more profitable.
A vivid example of how it acts during the war of the sub-empire and Ukraine. Supplies exist to both sides of the war, integration into economies is absent. "Yuan" likes to parasitize on the dollar/euro, but at the same time, by using its standard procedures, the dollar/euro create a symbiosis of interests with it where it is profitable. China is clearly in a state of evolution, with ideas of Xi Jinping about the middle class being just one example. The path China will choose is not yet clear. If the "yuan" is at the border of Russia, it will influence the provinces of the internal sub-empire through socio-economic connections, as the dollar/euro once influenced the whole of Ukraine through Western Ukraine. But Ukraine is a country, not an empire. For an empire, this means the emergence of separatism. The sub-empire itself used the "ruble" in Crimea and the Donbas in 2014 to start aggression, but encountered a much stronger flow of "dollar/euro" and did not make a retreat. For the Kremlin, as the center of the "federation", it is necessary that the operator of the "yuan" be the Kremlin, not processes in the province. If China does not allow the Kremlin to be the operator of the "yuan", then it clearly has plans that are not herbivorous, while there is no need to fight - the "fruit will fall into its hands" in time. There is also a question of what China wants - influence on territories or the territories themselves? The answer will be given in 2025. For China to not lose more or less in logic, it is necessary to coordinate its position in the West - the key condition is the borders of Ukraine in 1991. In addition, the "Yuan" has already established itself in Central Asia.
In the end, Russia's near-imperium has problems not only on the front with Ukraine and the unavailability of the dollar/euro as a flow, but all around - "green gin" and the influence of the yuan. Simply returning to the borders of 1991 does not solve the problem. This is a trap for the imperial Russia in 2024, simply stopping the war does not give anything in the near future. From this, there are two scenarios.
"Crimson endgame" - optimization of borders and expenses or exchange of interests. Returning to the borders of 1991 and allowing the Kremlin to be the operator of the "yuan". The problem of the "green gin" is solved by reducing tankers in the Indian Ocean with a reduction of military expenses. For the history of the Russian Empires, this is not the first time. Catherine II did this - she sold Alaska to avoid conflicts of interest on the American continent. While currently the near-imperium is at its maximum strength in the West in Ukraine, it can do this with greater advantage and containment of processes in the imperial structure itself. This scenario does not solve all problems, it directs events into a manageable channel and is a prerequisite for the evolution of Russia itself. The "Crimson endgame" is beneficial to everyone.
Ukraine gets the borders of 1991 and development in the EU/NATO. The West gains influence over China, China gains resources, the near-imperium Russia remains within internal borders with stabilization of processes, with the possibility of evolution.
Bolton the Psychopath 😂
Nuclearpath
You're the first psychiatrist who's commented on this clip
Look who is talking.
Bolton the warmonger 🤬
And who is the druggie here? Not Bolton, of course.
Trump ✝️❤👍😊 Biden 🏳️🌈😳
The king of warhawks
A warmonger says what? Bolton sucks.
Insightful ..
I have followed Bolton for years and think he is as hard headed and difficult to work with as is Trump. And Dick Chaney? Please!
*cheney
Why is this man even speaking publicly?
I wonder why after one million of Iraqi deaths he is still not sentenced
@@NKomarov worried about justice? Get ready to be judged for backing up russian atrocities in Ukraine, комаров.
Lost of talking to John Bolton.
DO NOTHING BUT BOAST BOLTON
Bolton Wanderers FC
What are the steps should be taken ?
Left then right. Or right first, then left.
Good leader
WORLD STAGE: NATO #postlive
This Guy is Moran
Poor reporter led interview, typical of the WP!
Mr.Bolton likes war than peace. He thinks wars making USA great.
No Hawkers, No Traders
"You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war."
@@ad.infinitum.per.aspera
Even you choose honor in the beginning, get dishonor in the end.
John Bolton. Great choice Washington Post.....NOT!!!
Why is this murderer still not in jail?
Sounds like a clown all the time😮
Can't hear you
It is easier said than done after everything has been done so far.