I love the analysis, lol need to watch it again. I love the larger river bet size for 2 reasons leaving the math out of it for sec, esp at a small live table. 1. the larger bet smells like a bluff and may get called enough with top pair, I believe not showing down keeps your hole cards a mystery and that has some value as far as table image.
I'm only at 4:08 so far, but your check back on the turn not only might induce him to bluff the river, but also sets up YOUR river "bluff" that'll get called often. I'm predicting a 1.2x bet on the river that gets called - nice pot! (Hope I'm right!)
What's your play if you get raised on the river here? I kinda disagree in the larger bet size, how does he ever call with sets /2p here with a 75 bet, can't you bet like 25 and just get called way more often
Thanks for your videos, James. I am confused about the term "Regs". Especially when it comes to predicting how one will bet (or not). I think of regs and regulars. Some regs are GTO savvy, some are not. Some regs and exploitive and TAG% to LAG% are balanced, others are not. Some know about the math, some don't. So is a reg someone that plays regularly at the same card club, or is it someone that does not know math and GTO. Like on a scale from 1 - 10, fish to pro, where is the range of the reg?
Something I have been rolling around in my head for a while...considering that there are people who will call any bet of any size no matter what the condition of the board and there hold cards are you ever truly overlooking an opportunity to bet and is there actually such a thing as improper bet sizing?
@@ThePokerBank thank you for the reply. that is not what i meant but would you be willing to elaborate on your answer? i'm not quite sure how you are using the term suboptimal. It would help to understand where you are coming from.
Why no consideration to making it 30 preflop? Do you think you're going to get threebet? More than likley you fold out the limpers for that price or get 1 to the flop heads up OOP. Both great scenarios. Not saying this was bad, you def have more reads than I do. And I dont think even in a vaccume that you played the hand bad. Im just surprised the raise wasnt even mentioned as I think the majority of low stakes regs would make it.
This is where several low-stakes vloggers are losing value. They bet turn and river for 50% or less nearly 100% of the time when they value bet because they want to get that call.
I don’t agree, straights are great for betting big turn and rivers because there a lot of hands that a fun player will call no matter what: any two pairs, top pair, set, trips if it posible. The thing with this one card straight is that two pair will call but probably will not bet. Only maniacs will bluff this board and he has to bet really big to get the bluff trough
@@ThePokerBank I still think is better to bet pot turn and 3/4 pot river. You won more this way because if he has something good he is not folding the turn. And by the river he won’t fold because river card doesn’t change anything
Oh for sure, higher the better against really weak players when you're near to the nuts😏 Also, people get tired and only see their own hand getting hit and forget something really basic like flush draw or whatever Thats a rule i have... Dont play once i get tired❌ Dont play for fun whilst having a drink❌
I love the analysis, lol need to watch it again. I love the larger river bet size for 2 reasons leaving the math out of it for sec, esp at a small live table.
1. the larger bet smells like a bluff and may get called enough with top pair, I believe not showing down keeps your hole cards a mystery and that has some value as far as table image.
Nicely said Eric!
I always appreciate your reminders of the importance of the elasticity of your opp and how it may or may not impact bet decisions. Thanks for the vid!
You're very welcome!
I'm only at 4:08 so far, but your check back on the turn not only might induce him to bluff the river, but also sets up YOUR river "bluff" that'll get called often.
I'm predicting a 1.2x bet on the river that gets called - nice pot! (Hope I'm right!)
That's a pretty good guess Geoff!
I appreciate your videos. Do you ever raise pre-flop with 9/7?
Cheers Byron! And yup, usually from LP and sometimes as a 3-betting hand...
What's your play if you get raised on the river here? I kinda disagree in the larger bet size, how does he ever call with sets /2p here with a 75 bet, can't you bet like 25 and just get called way more often
I didn't think he ever bluff XRs the river there. And now you know how to do the math, plugin your assumptions and see how the EVs compare 😁
Is that orange city Florida?
Another helpful vid James. Ty
You're very welcome Chris 😁
Thanks for your videos, James. I am confused about the term "Regs". Especially when it comes to predicting how one will bet (or not). I think of regs and regulars. Some regs are GTO savvy, some are not. Some regs and exploitive and TAG% to LAG% are balanced, others are not. Some know about the math, some don't. So is a reg someone that plays regularly at the same card club, or is it someone that does not know math and GTO. Like on a scale from 1 - 10, fish to pro, where is the range of the reg?
Another informative video. Thanks James
You're welcome 😀
Something I have been rolling around in my head for a while...considering that there are people who will call any bet of any size no matter what the condition of the board and there hold cards are you ever truly overlooking an opportunity to bet and is there actually such a thing as improper bet sizing?
If by "improper" you mean "suboptimal" - then yes
@@ThePokerBank thank you for the reply. that is not what i meant but would you be willing to elaborate on your answer? i'm not quite sure how you are using the term suboptimal. It would help to understand where you are coming from.
JAMES SWEENEY AKA Splitsuit, the goat
Thanks Sven!
I love the non-standard "looks like a giant + sign" range.
Thank you!
Are those poker chips round on the edges?
Most of them lol
@@ThePokerBank man I've tried to find chips like that to buy I just can't seem to anywhere
Why no consideration to making it 30 preflop? Do you think you're going to get threebet? More than likley you fold out the limpers for that price or get 1 to the flop heads up OOP. Both great scenarios. Not saying this was bad, you def have more reads than I do. And I dont think even in a vaccume that you played the hand bad. Im just surprised the raise wasnt even mentioned as I think the majority of low stakes regs would make it.
Great job. Thx
You're very welcome
This is where several low-stakes vloggers are losing value. They bet turn and river for 50% or less nearly 100% of the time when they value bet because they want to get that call.
Yup. It can be too face-up against thinking players and miss too much value vs. weaker players
I don’t agree, straights are great for betting big turn and rivers because there a lot of hands that a fun player will call no matter what: any two pairs, top pair, set, trips if it posible. The thing with this one card straight is that two pair will call but probably will not bet. Only maniacs will bluff this board and he has to bet really big to get the bluff trough
He had some maniac tendencies fwiw
@@ThePokerBank I still think is better to bet pot turn and 3/4 pot river. You won more this way because if he has something good he is not folding the turn. And by the river he won’t fold because river card doesn’t change anything
Oh for sure, higher the better against really weak players when you're near to the nuts😏
Also, people get tired and only see their own hand getting hit and forget something really basic like flush draw or whatever
Thats a rule i have...
Dont play once i get tired❌
Dont play for fun whilst having a drink❌
Smart =)
1st reg!
No one with right mind pays that bet! If u get called u chopping
Thus why I gave my read on this player (hint, villain was not an "in their right mind" kind of player, lol)