When will Wrexham reach the Premier League?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 พ.ค. 2024
  • Try The Athletic for FREE for 30 days: www.theathletic.com/tifoirl
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    Wrexham have captured worldwide attention through their Hollywood ownership and documentary series charting their journey up the football pyramid.
    The big question is, how long will it be until they actually make it to the Premier League? While their finances look to be secure in the hands of Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney, tactically they may need to make managerial adjustments as time goes on.
    Jon Mackenzie breaks down just what the blueprint for promotion looks like through the English Football League, and how Wrexham can efficiently climb the ladder.
    Timestamps:
    00:00 Intro
    00:11 All teams promoted from 4th tier to the Premier League
    01:48 Fast promotions (less than 10 years)
    04:19 Finance
    10:23 Management and Tactics
    13:41 Conclusion
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    About Tifo Football:
    Tifo loves football. We create In-depth tactical, historical and geopolitical breakdowns of the beautiful game.
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    #Wrexham #EFL #PremierLeague
  • กีฬา

ความคิดเห็น • 531

  • @SuperMickyChow
    @SuperMickyChow 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +881

    As a Luton fan, we achieved it through the perfect storm of the following:
    Fan owned club
    The best value recruitment in the top 4 divisions
    Never spending beyond our means
    Managers who understood the project and worked with it
    Good old fashioned hard work and luck

    • @WilliamWallace42
      @WilliamWallace42 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +111

      And unfortunately your getting relegated instantly

    • @soulsleep31
      @soulsleep31 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

      @@WilliamWallace42 Hahahahahah so true

    • @drunkenhobo8020
      @drunkenhobo8020 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +181

      ​@@WilliamWallace42Which to be fair, isn't a complete disaster as they're not overspending trying to stay up.

    • @ek6352
      @ek6352 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +79

      ​​@@WilliamWallace42they invested in the stadium and with all that pl tv money they will probably be back up. Also they might not get relegated as all the bottom 5 teams are close in terms of points.

    • @msfklfl123
      @msfklfl123 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      @@WilliamWallace42 yeah but they'll be making $$ this season.

  • @Allardje10ifly
    @Allardje10ifly 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +958

    Leave it to Tifo to assume you're not an idiot and therefore actually explain things properly and be really informative

    • @friesneverdies
      @friesneverdies 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      alright but I am an idiot though

    • @jgons
      @jgons 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      He didn’t explain it right. His data is completely wrong because it assumes promotion and doesn’t include the teams that never make it. You have to use lengths in leagues of all teams. Not just the ones that succeeded.

    • @tomo8235
      @tomo8235 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      @@jgons the question wasn't "how likely is it to get to the prem" though it was "how long has it taken teams to get into the prem from the same level that wrexham are playing at currently" which they showed all the teams that did get into the prem from league two, why would u show the teams that failed cuz they didnt make it to the prem yet so they haven't entered that statistic as of yet, if the video was made last year im sure luton wouldnt be involved cuz they wasnt an example of a team to make it to the prem from league two as of that point in time, so his data is right within the context of the question, again if it was how likely are they to make it to the prem then yes u would use teams that HAVE and HAVENT made it to the prem from league two

    • @jgons
      @jgons 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@tomo8235 You don't think the teams that didn't make it would like to? MOST teams fail promotion. You absolutely have to include the failed attempts. It's how data analysis works. You can't skew the results by only the successful pool. I get what your saying, but his presumptions is faulty. It rules out the possibility that they may (probably not with what they're spending) be among the teams to NEVER do it.

    • @tomo8235
      @tomo8235 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      @@jgons again the question was not “if they can make it or not” the question was “if they will get to the prem, looking at the past teams that was successful, what is a good prediction” I’m sure if the video was looking at how realistic it is they make it into the prem they would use failed attempts but they was basing the video on the idea they do get the prem and answering a question how long would it take for that ideal situation to happen

  • @zaneplatt3533
    @zaneplatt3533 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +692

    Fantastic video. Wasn't too complicated or over simplified. Felt just right

    • @Simargo
      @Simargo 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

      Fantastic comment. Wasn't too complicated or over simplified. Felt just right

    • @traviswebb3532
      @traviswebb3532 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@mftmss7086expand on that please?

    • @Lus_nom
      @Lus_nom 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      AGREE

    • @Freudian_Sips
      @Freudian_Sips 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Ok Goldilocks

    • @adb3067
      @adb3067 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@Simargoyes

  • @michaelpyatt831
    @michaelpyatt831 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +274

    They might be able to blitzkreig league 2 and 1. But in the championship they will have to contend with teams with premier league parachute payments and that’s going to be the big question

    • @ellipticalsoul
      @ellipticalsoul 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +45

      As a Forest supporter who had to wait 23 years to get back in, I have to agree. Even League One is a massive ask with some big teams like Sheffield Wednesday, Sunderland, Derby, Hull, Bolton etc having been in there recently or currently.

    • @noahpagel2823
      @noahpagel2823 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @nickp9171 Go Reds!

    • @Jack-sq6xb
      @Jack-sq6xb 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      6 months later you called it. I wish them luck in league 1

    • @Alex-cw3rz
      @Alex-cw3rz 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Didn't know combined Arms where allowed in football

    • @jacksonlewis84
      @jacksonlewis84 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Yes

  • @zsertymiop7136
    @zsertymiop7136 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +277

    I think an important factor to consider is that if Wrexham were to have a few seasons of stagnation, maybe stuck in League 1 would interest from the owners and outside parties diminish.

    • @catramax
      @catramax 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +44

      They failed to get promoted in their first season, the owners double downed, they may do the same, spend anything and do anything to find success, at least until they get to the championship

    • @zsertymiop7136
      @zsertymiop7136 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +75

      @@catramax Obviously its all hypothetical, but could you imagine if they spent say 3 or 4 years in league 1, im just not sure how marketable that is.
      Doubling down in the Vanarama is considerably less expensive than doing so in League 1 though.
      It will he interesting to see.

    • @somethingcleverhere
      @somethingcleverhere 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@zsertymiop7136 One aspect that's been brought in analysis for why Wrexham was picked for investment is regionally it doesn't have many rivals to share a fanbase with, so it can have a more stable base. Just one aspect, but underremarked is that the whole story is not the happy accident of two sports fans falling in love with a deserving town, but well-researched investment. They had to be ready for a few years of non-investment.
      I imagine the owners are in for the long haul? But the tv show will be long gone when the battlecry turns into "we're sustainable!"

    • @mankytoes
      @mankytoes 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +43

      Yeah, the massive assumption here is that Disney+ stick around. A lot of non-football fans are watching the documentary, but how many years is that going to last? Five? Ten? It seems like a lot. It's a good show, but will enough Americans really watch dozens, hundreds more episodes about plucky little working class British football?
      It could go either way, but if I had to bet, I'd guess this will end in tears, not the Premier League.

    • @zsertymiop7136
      @zsertymiop7136 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      @@mankytoes I can't imagine Disney being interested in a programme around a middle of the table side. If they is no promotion challenge can they really sell it?
      The finances of Championship teams compared to League 1 and 2 is a huge gulf, the assumption they would easily be able to find further finance is a big one.
      Saying all that, I like Wrexham and have a few mates who support them. Nice to see them having a good time after years in non league.

  • @jondubourg5390
    @jondubourg5390 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +111

    It always bothered me that I was losing money in fm. Now I know it's reaistic

    • @Tom-qb1rj
      @Tom-qb1rj 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      All owners spending just to hope the clubs stature improves and value goes up over time.

    • @velderyx2135
      @velderyx2135 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Be a farmer mate, always works 100%

  • @NR-fd9wv
    @NR-fd9wv 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +51

    i think there was an interview with reynolds where he briefly mentions the possibility of outside investors. my guess is that they have already considered this once they reach the championship. with the popularity and attention wrexham has been enjoying since they took over, the fact that there are 2 famous guys who represent the club, reynolds previous business success and their hollywood connections, i'm sure it will be easy for them to find investors.

    • @yuugael4010
      @yuugael4010 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      would be fun if they ask other stars who have interest in the sports and wanting to own a club

    • @A-small-amount-of-peas
      @A-small-amount-of-peas 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@yuugael4010 Will Ferrell might be a possibility, he's already a good friend to Rob and Ryan, a massive soccer fan with a net worth of $160 million thanks to his former production company being very successful financially before his split with Adam Mckay but in the world of business they are better off attracting a non celebrity.
      I think the best arrangement they could do would be to sell the majority stake in the club to someone of more means but keep a decent stake in the club for themselves so they can still be visible brand ambassadors for Wrexham, still take part in the documentaries and lend their celebrity to the club as i'm sure no Wrexham fan wants to see them leave the club for good as they saved them and more importantly have rejuvenated the local community

  • @sususegar
    @sususegar 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +150

    There's just one caveat in this data. This is all taken from teams that actually reach the PL, so this is assuming that Wrexham WILL get there. Not to say they can't, just that it forms a very optimistic view when you only limit the comparisons to teams that did make it.

    • @dubbaphatt3368
      @dubbaphatt3368 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      Yes I’d like to see a comparison to other similar sized clubs from similar sized towns who have attempted the same. None have succeeded as far as I can tell.

    • @aaronflatt3525
      @aaronflatt3525 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

      ​@dubbaphatt3368 luton are the only comparable really, and we are a fluke. The championship is easily achieved but the prem is such a huge leap, as illustrated by the spending differences

    • @dubbaphatt3368
      @dubbaphatt3368 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      i dont think Luton are a good comparison at all. Its 5 times bigger than Wrexham and is on the verge of the largest city in Europe. Also has a history as being a previous top level club.
      A better comparison would be Barnsley or Huddersfield, but even they are more than double the size of Wrexham town,. @@aaronflatt3525

    • @jgons
      @jgons 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      That what I said too. It’s much more likely they don’t make it statistically so you have to include the lengths of all the teams that didn’t make. This is a heavily skewed data set toward success.

    • @albinjohnsson2511
      @albinjohnsson2511 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Exactly.

  • @go-ek7sg
    @go-ek7sg 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +174

    Ryan Reynolds is from a place called Canada but no problem. It’s a state in northern part of USA.

    • @ben7286
      @ben7286 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

      Thank you! Quite difficult to recall the name of that 51st state of the U.S.

    • @henrymarks1632
      @henrymarks1632 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

      I mean he is an American just not USA

    • @helloweeny
      @helloweeny 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

      He's had American citizenship for a long time.

    • @ballsballsballs3617
      @ballsballsballs3617 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      @@helloweenyreps Canada tho

    • @Avatar1977
      @Avatar1977 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      It's the Canadian border region of America

  • @joshedge7485
    @joshedge7485 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +85

    I think their recruitment will be very important. The average age of their key players lies somewhere a little over 30, making sure that they are building a team that can compete in 5 years instead of just signing ex PL players in their twilight years will be important. They have a good few younger players who show promise, hopefully they can get it right and continue to lower that average age, finding players who fit into the system and can offer more than just 2-4 years of high level play

    • @CrabSully
      @CrabSully 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yeah, this seems to be a common theme, where they splurge on guys who are amazing and can get instant results - but I don't see much investment into the future. They should really be trying to snap up young upcomers who can grow and be important in a few years time.

    • @venettore3601
      @venettore3601 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      tbh, I think their current recruitment approach isn't a bad idea from now until the Championship. Once there, they can develop their youth players right as their more senior players are on the way out in order to make that final push into the Prem. Keeping in mind, of course, that the higher they go up and the better their trajectory looks, the more likely they are to attract high caliber prospects.

    • @XzMattyxZ
      @XzMattyxZ 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      That's Parkinson though, great underdog manager with experienced heads for the short term but I wouldn't entrust him to build medium-long term

  • @helloweeny
    @helloweeny 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    A penny for Nathan Jones' thoughts. Leaves luton, fucks up at Stoke, Luton get promoted. Leaves Luton, fucks up at Southampton, Luton get promoted.

    • @00dude3
      @00dude3 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      he'll probably be back at Luton again come January

  • @anandmahamuni5442
    @anandmahamuni5442 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +34

    Don't expect at all, it's fookin difficult

    • @deeznoots6241
      @deeznoots6241 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      Yeah they got the money to dominate the lower tiers but they’ll struggle competing against the financial might of championship teams, many of which will of course have parachute payments

    • @magicjack4076
      @magicjack4076 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@deeznoots6241my team Leicester who shouldn’t of been relegated anyway is destroying the championship right now with a new manager and system from just quality right now and not even playing that well.
      Wrexham would be stuck in the championship minimum 10 years

  • @mylittlethoughttree
    @mylittlethoughttree 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +99

    Good video as ever but the question on my lips is "when will Ipswich reach the premier league?"

    • @anandmahamuni5442
      @anandmahamuni5442 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      McKenna is cooking

    • @ILLALLU
      @ILLALLU 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Looking good this season!

    • @John_Kennedy27
      @John_Kennedy27 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Time's up

    • @notyourfriend1634
      @notyourfriend1634 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      It's not your fault

    • @mylittlethoughttree
      @mylittlethoughttree 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@notyourfriend1634 are you referencing good will hunting, by any chance?

  • @MrCIA312
    @MrCIA312 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    INCREDIBLE JOB. Love this

  • @karlmckinnell2635
    @karlmckinnell2635 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent work, well reasoned analysis with data and well presented 👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽

  • @bulelanibotman
    @bulelanibotman 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    i absolutely love tifo when it backs their findings with actually data & how you how they reached that point, fantastic video

  • @deniskuzmic
    @deniskuzmic 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Brilliant video, perfectly explained and I learnt a lot from it. Thanks

  • @robinthebobin6537
    @robinthebobin6537 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +51

    Excellent video from Tifo as always! Fantastic analysis that is in-depth, insightful and detailed, but delivered in a straightforward way.
    As others have mentioned, I think the one potential hitch with Wrexham is that the exponential growth is sort of tied to sponsorship deals and interest from the TV show. If they go up the leagues quickly, you could see their income increase rapidly and exponentially as sponsors become more interested. But on the flip side, if they were to stagnate in say League 1 for even 2 seasons (I know this isn't long at all in the grand scheme of things but for a tv show it may be), it might be very hard for them to continue to do the same numbers on WTW and interest from brands may drop off a cliff. As John said in the video, the net worth of Ryan and Rob alone would definitely carry them through for the 3rd and 4th tier, but immediately becomes difficult once they're in the Championship. That's when they'll need behemoth sponsors such as United or TikTok the most.
    I do hope they can continue to move up the leagues, because it's a brilliant show and would be great for the town of Wrexham. I also agree wholeheartedly with the idea that this is a club run in the right way, so would be sad to see Ryan and Rob lose interest (Imo this is inevitable if they stagnate for too long)

    • @benry007
      @benry007 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      I think it would still be interesting if they are in the championship for a while but I agree they need to get through the other leagues at a decent pace to stay relevant. They may also seek investors when they get to the championship. If they bring on some other popular wealthy stars it could also renew interest in the club if it starts to wane.

    • @robinthebobin6537
      @robinthebobin6537 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@benry007 Bringing in other stars is a good shout for the sort of thing that could keep it going actually.
      Just to be clear, when I say "keeping it interesting", I'm not really speaking for me (a bit of a football nerd lol), the audience of Tifo (also football nerds) or average british football fans; I'm sure we'd all enjoy watching it and following the club for a while even if they were in the championship for a fair few years. I'm more talking about the American audience/non-football-fans who are fans of Wrexham from the TV show. Realistically (nothing against those people as they obviously have other interests), I think it might be hard to keep the tv show and following the club interesting for those people if there was a period of stagnation.

    • @robinthebobin6537
      @robinthebobin6537 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@benry007 You're definitely right about investors, agreed. Ryan and Rob will probably be acutely aware when they reach the Championship of how much money they'll need in proportion to the money they actually have. What would be really exciting (and a logical progression for the theme of the project) would be if they got more hollywood megastars - but ones even bigger than Ryan😂😂, on board. Not sure how many of these exist with a much higher networth than him though lol. Also for progress in the prem (a long way away if they ever get there), they would definitely need an ownership deal with someone with serious money, and yes for better or worse that would probably be some sort of Saudi investment group I'd imagine.

  • @blur7491
    @blur7491 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very well put together video, easy to understand and the speaker presents everything really expertly.

  • @liquidfungi
    @liquidfungi 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Faster Than Most People thought was possible. They are one step closer.

  • @jasongraham731
    @jasongraham731 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great data and analysis.
    And very interesting

  • @nueva681
    @nueva681 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I love these football data dives! I wish I could do more of it myself. Still learning.

  • @teddybear-el5wz
    @teddybear-el5wz หลายเดือนก่อน

    This video is exactly what it needed to be. Super engaging and interesting. Perfect delivery

  • @eamonreidy9534
    @eamonreidy9534 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Tifo, proof that people do want detail and complexity as long as you can explain and teach it with clarity

  • @Eazpezey
    @Eazpezey 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Wow that was very insightful❤

  • @joshc1981
    @joshc1981 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Correction: if they can get to the PL. These things are not foregone conclusions. Just look at Salford.

    • @SteRDLK
      @SteRDLK 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Salford were targeting the Championship by 2029?

    • @joshc1981
      @joshc1981 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@SteRDLK and they're still stuck in the midtable of leauge 2. Bet the PL will be terrified.

    • @SteRDLK
      @SteRDLK 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@joshc1981 2019-20 - had lost two of the last 10 before the season was stopped. Next two seasons combined nine points from the playoffs. Last season five minutes from Wembley. Get a clue

  • @Citizen-ku8kv
    @Citizen-ku8kv 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video! I don’t know much about British football and don’t follow sports in general. Still really interesting and I was able to follow ❤

  • @stupidturdnugget
    @stupidturdnugget 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    So happy I found this channel. As an American whose has only been a fan for a few years, both your channels have been invaluable to me. Thank you!

  • @CezrDaPleazr
    @CezrDaPleazr 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This was such an incredible video, thank you

  • @Talk3rs
    @Talk3rs 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    The thing to consider as well is, whether their star players have quality for Championship. And it would be maybe for a great video for Tifo.
    Check how many players stayed all the way (and played part in success).
    While the quality might be great right now and they might have stars for 5th, 4th or even 3rd level, once you get in Championship and challenge for PL, you need different level of players. I checked Bournemouth in 09/10 and 14/15 (their promotions from 4th and 2nd level) and they had 1 player, who started regularly (15+ matches) in their L2 promotion during the LC promotion season. That means they discarded their entire squad within 5 seasons.
    That is why these clubs as well utilize loans, because they know they cant would need to do 2-3 complete overhauls of the squad. Because there are very few players, who are LC promotion quality (and the wages of that level) who are willing to go to L2.
    So in the end you need to compete with L1/L2 quality players to get to L2, Championship/L1 level to get to L1, Championship quality to get to Champ and then do it again with TOP champ/PL calibre players.
    That means they have ahead at least 2-3 more rebuilds to even challenge for promotion level and it is always question, how quickly they can do that.
    On the finance front, they have rather smaller stadium (15.5k), which would rank as one of the smallest stadiums. And the matchday income is huge amount of money.

  • @WhatsTheDealWithSports
    @WhatsTheDealWithSports 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    great video, thanks guys

  • @rurugby
    @rurugby 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    7-10 years for Wrexham seems very fast to me. I could see them making League 1 after the 2024-2025 season. And not sure how long it would take to promote there. And getting out of the Championship is very hard. I think the key takeaway right now is 3 teams should be promoted from the National League not 2. Considering how well National League teams do in League 2.

    • @AlexRN
      @AlexRN 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      We’re past the halfway point and Wrecham is firmly in 2nd place in their first season of League Two do you still think they can’t get out this same year.

    • @laxuspoldish6165
      @laxuspoldish6165 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They are making League 1 now

  • @colinjohnson8511
    @colinjohnson8511 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    great video as always, But if i may . Mr Reynolds is Canadian ( which yes means dollars , but like all things canadian their dollars are just slightly nicer ) 9:08

  • @SqueakyWeasel247
    @SqueakyWeasel247 5 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Wow, it's refreshing to see two up top!

  • @AM2K2
    @AM2K2 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Cheers - good insight

  • @DeyCallMeWagzzz
    @DeyCallMeWagzzz 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    How does getting promoted in the first year of League Two impact the timeline and outlook?

    • @tomatoisnotafruit5670
      @tomatoisnotafruit5670 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

      it doesn't

    • @tomatoisnotafruit5670
      @tomatoisnotafruit5670 4 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      it doesn't really because the real challenge for a "rich" club is the Championship not League 2

    • @DeyCallMeWagzzz
      @DeyCallMeWagzzz 4 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@tomatoisnotafruit5670 understood but if they were estimating 2 years in League 2 would love to get an updated opinion on the success and trajectory of

  • @BOABModels
    @BOABModels 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    It's now been ten years since Portsmouth were relegated to the 4th tier and we look like going up to the Championship this year🤞but I'm not sure we will go straight into the promotion hunt in the Championship. I'd prefer stability if we do go up.

  • @Mogojoegotube
    @Mogojoegotube 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    crazy that they're already going into league 1, one season in league 2 that's unheard of coming straight up from the national league. The future looks bright for wrexham!

  • @ChrissyboyH44
    @ChrissyboyH44 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    So I recently found this interesting info:
    English football clubs who could possibly make the Premier League (1992-93 onwards) for the first time in their history within the next 5 seasons (from most to least likely):
    1. Preston North End
    2. Bristol City
    3. Millwall
    4. Wrexham
    5. Plymouth Argyle
    6. Oxford United
    7. Leyton Orient
    8. Peterborough United
    9. Notts County
    10. Rotherham United
    So Wrexham 4th as things currently stand to possibly make the Prem for the first time over the next 5 seasons, although it could well be longer. Who disagrees with the order of this? I am rather doubtful over Rotherham ever making it, however far into the future...

  • @gofannon1943
    @gofannon1943 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Awesome vid

  • @dubbaphatt3368
    @dubbaphatt3368 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Probably never. The town is tiny. They’ll need Boehly level investment to push through to the top.
    I’d wager the backers will lose interest before they get close.

  • @Trainspotting13
    @Trainspotting13 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    las personas estamos muy necesitadas de valores, de pasion, de lealtad... y Wrexham nos da la posibilidad de sentirlo, sobre todo a personas que no viven el futbol de cerca y no tenian un equipo al que amar

  • @walsh451
    @walsh451 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Itll be interesting to see how they go, back to back promotions up to league 1 is impressive, but they had a decent league 2 side last year in the National League, most of their players could play top League 1 or championship now. A few years in one division is never an issue, but it might be for the owners.

  • @treasuren
    @treasuren 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Not only have I heard of FFP, but I've also heard of all the other letters

  • @afropunkx
    @afropunkx 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Man I thought a mosquito got caught in my headphones for a sec.

  • @MathewClarke-bp6rw
    @MathewClarke-bp6rw 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Why focus on the clubs that got promoted quickly through Tiers 3 and 2 - Wrexham are still in Tier 4!

    • @Rggg95
      @Rggg95 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Because he’s covering their potential journey to the PL

    • @JoaoFederle
      @JoaoFederle 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      because he said that tier 4 is the one that usually takes the least time, and that wrexham are currently well set financially for it due to their high revenue against the salary cap.

  • @1990DJB
    @1990DJB 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Probably never. Unless they get lucky, their realistic ceiling is probably to survive at Championship level for a few seasons if they are well managed.
    Also I think this video underestimates how difficult it can be to get out of League 1. In the past, far bigger, and better resourced clubs than Wrexham ended up being stuck there for years e.g. Leeds, Forest, Sheff Utd, Portsmouth, Sunderland, Ipswich, Bristol City etc. It takes a lot of money to compete with these types of clubs over a sustained period at the top of League 1, and even more just to survive in the Championship.

  • @ChrisMcFarlanee
    @ChrisMcFarlanee 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very interesting stuff. A bit distracted by all your hand movements though, big man!

  • @vrushabhambade2965
    @vrushabhambade2965 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    AFC Richmond is also a great case in point for moving up the tiers 😂

  • @thelastgreataudit8112
    @thelastgreataudit8112 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Bring back the tifo football show!

  • @AngryAnt0
    @AngryAnt0 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Cov fan here, just to point out that last seasons play off final was two of the lower end spending teams in the champ, which is pretty impressive considering how much money is thrown at teams.
    Personally I think they'll fly through L2 & L1 but then stop at the champ for a good number of seasons, unless they do it in one season and don't get found out (much like Ispwich are currently doing).

    • @jaycartwright1170
      @jaycartwright1170 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      thing is with ipswich is that they were in the depths of league one for quite a while, so when they went up they were fully prepared for the championship. I agree they'll fly through l2 and l1 but I dont think a third promotion in a row is even a slight possibility

  • @CaelanDafydd
    @CaelanDafydd 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    I think Wrexham need to stick by Parkinson until he gets them into League One. He's clearly a competent manager at lower league level, and has earned a couple of seasons in League Two after getting them up there. However, I don't think they should be going into the Championship with the direct style, as that may lead to stagnation and may become expensive
    Hiring a new progressive manager in League One would enable them to start rebuilding the squad at a level where they are very likely to be safe even during the transition. They might then take a few seasons longer than average at League One level, but they would be better equipped for the Championship, and wouldn't end up getting stuck if they did go up then

  • @petermcdonnell5873
    @petermcdonnell5873 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I love your stuff man but please try to sort out the less/fewer issue!!

  • @collinmoeller1345
    @collinmoeller1345 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    I think they’ll get investment and super charged revenue if they make it to the championship asap. Think it’s crunch time for them as the publicity if they make it to the championship will help drive an actually sustainable fan base that much more.

  • @user-tg6vq1kn6v
    @user-tg6vq1kn6v 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It would make more sense to include the 5th tier if comparing since the start of the Prem

  • @Arsenefaithful
    @Arsenefaithful 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This guy is great.

  • @YeTism
    @YeTism 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +31

    Championship is their ceiling. And they’d be lucky to get that far.

    • @pownder
      @pownder 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You underestimate the power of money. Reynold is a genius of marketing and utilizing star power. As long as they are successful on the pitch, they'd be able to bring in unlimited money. The only barrier to success for them will be recruitment. if they recruit wisely and sustainably, they will make the PL in record time. Unfortunately, having money rarely translates to proper recruitment. I hope they overhaul the board and appoint a director of football once they make league one. This will be essential to escape the championship

  • @jgons
    @jgons 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Your data is wrong. You’re only comparing them to the teams that succeeded. You have to include the teams that didn’t succeed for an accurate sample of moving between the leagues. Most teams never make it and that’s certainly a possibility for Wrexham even though the way you’re analyzing it it’s acting as if it’s a given they will get to the PL.

  • @masterc05
    @masterc05 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    How do people always forget that Bournemouth had a billionaire owner?

  • @hoytoy100
    @hoytoy100 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wow. That system is super complicated and it is hard to see how teams stay afloat. Maybe it would be best to release the top tier teams to go play with themselves, and completely realign the system, leagues, and revenues.

  • @CelticBhoy67
    @CelticBhoy67 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video 😊😅

  • @ms.antithesis
    @ms.antithesis หลายเดือนก่อน

    i think the investors plan is, like with a lot of other reynolds busines projects, to try and find new investors and sell once you've used your name to make a name for the business.

  • @lilbaz8732
    @lilbaz8732 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Can't see the viewing figures for welcome to wrexham holding up for too many years. Once they start to dip it might get cancelled. Obviously that will mean less money from sponsorship.
    We'll see though.

    • @cliftonkid
      @cliftonkid 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Completely agree. It's a great show now and I'm sure next year with them in League 2 will probably be entertaining, but if they get stuck in League One for a few years I can't see it remaining so compelling

    • @mbitenas87
      @mbitenas87 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Wouldn't be surprised if they manage to get amazon on board to get featured in "all or nothing" series if FX cancels them in the future.

    • @somethingcleverhere
      @somethingcleverhere 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It's got to be a stepping stone in the marketing, it's loss offset by the fans it does pull in. While a lot of fans won't stay after the show, a base of revenue will, and they'll have at least a few years of lucrative exhibition tours while it's running. Still a big if, but they need to run until they're more popular/financially stronger, not forerver.

  • @DynamiteBobby
    @DynamiteBobby 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Just unfathomable their wage budget isn't significantly higher now than it was in their first season

  • @WOOOPdoctorFROGhere
    @WOOOPdoctorFROGhere 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I like how Nathan Jones is the fundamental reason why Luton have achieved two promotions, yet he's never actually been promoted with Luton.

  • @ballantynedewolf
    @ballantynedewolf 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    "Hands and away" - I'm pinching that

  • @noahsmith4505
    @noahsmith4505 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    For people in the States, put Revenue in brackets next to Turnover

  • @ASHSRV
    @ASHSRV 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I have to add 2 things:
    1. The championship is very difficult to get out of, especially when dealing with the relegated premiership teams and their parachute payments.
    2. Getting to the Premiership is all fine and good, now try sticking in that league building for 5-10 years! Most likely find relegation within 1-3 years. I’m not sure on prices but looking to spend 100-250 million on players to keep up in the Premiership after your promotion.

  • @danrodrigues3531
    @danrodrigues3531 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    If they were to get promoted to some of the higher leagues, at some point, does a larger facility for them to play in to be economically viable? At what point would that be?

  • @robinsantarita8831
    @robinsantarita8831 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    guess what, I saw maddison the other day and i wanted a pic... then he told me to f off and that his shoes were worth more than my whole outfit! what a guy!

  • @Sci1211
    @Sci1211 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I think where they’ll come unstuck is when people get bored of the tv series. People aren’t just gonna watch it forever

  • @HTx78
    @HTx78 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    i’m happy to see them make and stay in champions

  • @XzMattyxZ
    @XzMattyxZ 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Much as I love Parky for what he did with us (Bolton) he isn't the most sustainable squad builder and I don't think is going to be able to control games in the champ (his style of play with us was needed given the underdogs we were with no money and a bunch of rejects but at Wrexham where you can basically build whatever you want I don't think it'll last a poor run of results in L1, presuming they get up this year)

  • @calebking4569
    @calebking4569 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    If i had to guess there will be a huge investor once they reach the championship to continue their success

  • @andynichols5625
    @andynichols5625 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Can you do a video on sunderland please

  • @Lord_Shouty
    @Lord_Shouty 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I tend to agree if they invest right 8 years, however other teams are also investing and they have to be really careful with FFP rules. I can see them getting stuck in the Championship for quite a while....

  • @edwardbrown7986
    @edwardbrown7986 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    My favourite thing about Wrexham is seeing two blokes new to the sport fall in love with it. Also they are very likeable which helps

    • @hackett152332
      @hackett152332 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      No yank is likably

    • @debuthunter5389
      @debuthunter5389 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@hackett152332 - Ryan Reynolds is Canadian.

    • @frankf684
      @frankf684 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@hackett152332kinda like there’s no good teeth in UK?

  • @NiBo608
    @NiBo608 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I agree with the risk of the direct approach. That is probably why they have the worst defence of the top 5 in League Two.

  • @apple-on5pq
    @apple-on5pq 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I actually lead Wrexham to won the premier league when I was playing cm2 back in the old days.

  • @Jonathan2342
    @Jonathan2342 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It will become harder to attract quality plus you need a strong academy to succeed imo. They should be trying to draw top players 15-17 yo and get them playing in a system together. Personally, I see them stalling at league 1 until they stop chasing the best available player and start building a core of talent.

  • @davidloveday8473
    @davidloveday8473 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Presumably that's an average 14.33 years to get to PL *if* they get to the PL at all. Your graphs exclude the many teams that have never made it from 4th tier to top tier.

  • @freddtheredd
    @freddtheredd 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I have just got them to league 1 from the national league in 2 years on fm

  • @timmy5876
    @timmy5876 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    10-15 years i think as a wrexham fan. We won’t go up this year but we will definitely go up next year or the year after then again we’ll spend 2/3 years in league one so let’s say in 5 years time we’re in the championship which is very hard cus naturally 2 teams go up instantly then there’s the playoffs. We’ll be there for 5 years to 10 years cus u always expect 2 of the relegated teams to have a good go at the top then there’s another couple who challenge

    • @lukemaher7901
      @lukemaher7901 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You’re not a Wrexham fan. You’re not even Welsh.

    • @timmy5876
      @timmy5876 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@lukemaher7901 literally born in wrexham hospital mate lol

    • @laxuspoldish6165
      @laxuspoldish6165 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Well, they are going up this year.

  • @fpl_djhammer
    @fpl_djhammer 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    in 6 years' time mate
    did it on my RTG save, ezpz

  • @DarthRevan182
    @DarthRevan182 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Wolves were in the 2nd tier at the start of the premier league era, so not sure where 4th tier comes into it. Only had 1 3rd tier season since 1992

  • @RevStickleback
    @RevStickleback 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Recruitment is key. They can do well currently because they can outspend most of their peers. In League One it'll be harder. At Championship level, that will no longer be an option. There are much bigger clubs there than Wrexham, with owners who have deeper pockets.

  • @foodtuub
    @foodtuub หลายเดือนก่อน

    Not sure how an older track can be accurately translated today so many teams have money towards the top and FFP compression . Seems that junior developement would be a good way to bolster this

  • @bkayser05
    @bkayser05 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I'm curious, how much did Wrexham spend to get from League 2 to League 1? It's rare to have back-to-back promotions and they obviously did it faster then expected

  • @PeteBaldwin
    @PeteBaldwin 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The FFP regulations have made promotion much more difficult. In League 2, they're against plenty of teams that have no money so they can outspend them. In League 1, things will start to get a lot more difficult and once they reach the Championship, there are lots of clubs that are spending as much money as they are physically allowed to. At that point, it's more about how much revenue they can bring in to offset any costs... If they make all the right decisions and sign the right players, it's possible but the advantage they have at the moment won't work for them as they get higher and higher up the leagues.

  • @antiussentiment
    @antiussentiment 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The Sweetheart and I are Australian rugby fans that, thanks to the Welcome to Wrexham series, now keep an eye on League 2 also. The Dear Woman is also painting her Wrexham (away strip) Subbuteo team even.
    What a great video breakdown of how English football works.

  • @CoysRamirez
    @CoysRamirez หลายเดือนก่อน

    So from what I understand, owners might not even really wish to get promoted from 3rd to 2nd division cuz every team's basically throwing money trying to get to the prem to recoup losses and make a killing. I wonder if there are any teams that intentionally throw a promotion into 2nd div cuz they don't wanna deal with that

  • @user-ir7qp8nt3l
    @user-ir7qp8nt3l 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Were the words "Phil Brown" and "good management" used in the same sentence?

  • @PKOB2
    @PKOB2 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    they struggled to beat crawley town, so my guess is that it will take them awhile.

    • @lukemaher7901
      @lukemaher7901 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Fingers crossed once the interest from the documentary dies down, and they suddenly have 30% of their legitimate revenue then they can’t support the wage bill, they’ll sell some players maybe pay out of the owners pocket and receive sanctions. Back to the national league for you Wrexham ‘fans’, try and get out of the hardest league without bankrolling it now

  • @justinerwin2605
    @justinerwin2605 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I like how the money image is a USD

  • @dr_ubo
    @dr_ubo 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I'll be honest, I doubt they'll ever arrive at the Premier League but I still find it extremely important if they land and become regulars on the Championship.

  • @Omar_Little
    @Omar_Little 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Is this a reupload?

  • @VinVaris
    @VinVaris 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Notts will be waiting for them like the rival main character

    • @laxuspoldish6165
      @laxuspoldish6165 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Actually, Wrexham will be waiting for Notts now.

  • @DynamiteBobby
    @DynamiteBobby 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wait... Does Jon not think there would have been hefty promotion wage rises when Wrexham got promoted from the National League?

  • @hunterheyden2672
    @hunterheyden2672 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I’d say they need 2 or 3 years in league 2, another couple years in league 1 and then they’ll likely remain in the championship for a while

    • @laxuspoldish6165
      @laxuspoldish6165 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      They only needed one year in League 2 😀

  • @EshBBX
    @EshBBX 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I sincerely doubt Reynolds and co. actually realize the scope of investment/money being dealt around that comes with promotion and degradation. Buying a club for 2M doesn't get you to the premier league, even the lowest ranked squad in the premier league probably has a total value of 150M+, nevermind the fact that they'd also have to build a new stadium to match during this time costing another 60-120M.