Nvidia valuation based on expectations that it can do no wrong, says NYU's Aswath Damodaran

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 พ.ค. 2024
  • Aswath Damodaran, NYU professor of finance, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his views on Fed commentary, Nvidia, AI hype, and more.

ความคิดเห็น • 260

  • @Debbie.Burton
    @Debbie.Burton 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +314

    I recently sold some of my Nvidia stocks to secure profits, but I'm retaining a portion for the long term, its growth potential is robust. I'm also considering diversifying my $400K stock portfolio, but I'm uncertain about managing risks in my next move.

    • @benitabussell5053
      @benitabussell5053 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      When diversifying, spread investments across sectors and assets to lower risks. Research and consult a financial advisor for aligned decisions.

    • @HarrisRyan-oy8eo
      @HarrisRyan-oy8eo 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Working with a financial advisor has been a game-changer for me. They provided invaluable insights and tailored strategies that aligned perfectly with my risk tolerance and financial objectives. With their support, I've seen significant growth in my investments and gained confidence in my financial future.

    • @A_francis
      @A_francis 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Can you share details of your advisor? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.

    • @HarrisRyan-oy8eo
      @HarrisRyan-oy8eo 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      *Sharon Lynne Hart* is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

    • @EverlyndPerez
      @EverlyndPerez 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I searched for her name on the internet, found her page, and reached out via email to schedule a conversation. Thank you.

  • @RichardMoore-jg5tl
    @RichardMoore-jg5tl 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +461

    I think it's important to stick to stocks that are immune to economic policies. I'm looking at NVIDIA and other AI stocks that have the potential to power and transform future technologies. It seems AI is the trajectory most companies are taking, including even established FAANG companies. Maybe there are other recommendations?

    • @RusuSilva
      @RusuSilva 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I bought into NVIDIA around September last year because my financial advisor recommended it to me. She said the company is selling shovels in a gold rush. It accounted for almost 80% of my market return this year.

    • @FusunTumsavas-cq7tp
      @FusunTumsavas-cq7tp 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      That's a great analogy and I love the insight. Professionals could make a really big difference in investing, and I think everyone should have one. There are aspects of market trend that is difficult for the untrained eyes to see.

    • @RossiPopa
      @RossiPopa 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      That's a great tip. I'm setting out 50k to invest in the market this year. Any particularly useful tips you could offer to me?

    • @FusunTumsavas-cq7tp
      @FusunTumsavas-cq7tp 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

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    • @RossiPopa
      @RossiPopa 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I looked up her name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her. Thanks for the tip

  • @Vivienedouglass
    @Vivienedouglass 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +438

    Strong BUY. Still early innings. NVIDIA is the dominant leader in AI and the preferred technology partner globally. Even w new competition on the horizon, NVIDIA is far ahead of the competition. 85% market share. 76% margin. Unrivaled demand for new Blackwell chip. Demand far exceeds production for Blackwell through to 2025 and beyond. No competitor has anything close to Blackwell. And forward P/E is about 33 (cheap for a high growth stock). Buy this stock and wait. You will be rewarded.

    • @Jamesjerome0
      @Jamesjerome0 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Problem is that NVDA is addicted to the datacenter, their mobile offerings are terrible. Inference needs to happen at the edge (mobile) and training will not have the same amount of demand as time goes on. NVDA is a major bet on aggregation of resources (compute) but this is cyclical as we have seen dozens of major shifts in this industry. Remember when Citrix aggregated desktops with VDI and then it imploded because VDI has a problem with latency? AI Inference in the datacenter has the same problem with latency. AAPL and Samsung are the best buys for AI now that we are transitioning from training to inference. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek a pro who knows about the financial markets. Cheers

    • @AmithKaury
      @AmithKaury 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The truth is that this is really not as difficult as many people presume it to be. It requires a certain level of diligence, no doubt, which is something ordinary investors lack, and so a financial advisor often comes in very handy. My friend just pulled in more than $84k last month alone from his investment with his advisor. That is how people are able to make such huge profits in the market.

    • @kurtKking
      @kurtKking 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      nice! once you hit a big milestone, the next comes easier.. who is your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking?

    • @AmithKaury
      @AmithKaury 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

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    • @kurtKking
      @kurtKking 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks

  • @lucasanderson8993
    @lucasanderson8993 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +238

    AI stocks will dominate 2024. Why I prefer NVIDIA is that they are better placed to maintain long term growth potential, and provide a platform for other AI companies. I know someone who has made more than 200% from NVIDIA. I'll also take these other recommendations you made.

    • @Blitcliffe
      @Blitcliffe 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I agree, just because the market presents opportunities doesn't mean we should rush in headfirst. For this reason, we should look for appropriate market analysis or guidance or, alternatively, seek advice from certified market strategists.

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      @mesutserim1595 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

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      @tommychestnut5335 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

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    • @mesutserim1595
      @mesutserim1595 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

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    • @tommychestnut5335
      @tommychestnut5335 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thanks a lot for this suggestion.

  • @darrenphilip247
    @darrenphilip247 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +174

    My spouse and I are adding a variety of stocks/ETF to my present holdings for the long term, We've set aside $250k to start following inflation-indexed bonds and stocks of companies with solid cash flows, I believe it is a good time to capitalize on the market for long-term gains, but it wouldn't hurt to know means of actualizing short term.

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      @farehtinyilmaz851 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      If you’re new to investing or have a more complex financial situation, It can be helpful to work with a financial advisor who can provide personalized guidance and help you make informed investment decisions.

    • @finleysterling562
      @finleysterling562 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

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    • @finleysterling562
      @finleysterling562 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

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    • @MooreScott-hd5fz
      @MooreScott-hd5fz 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

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    • @finleysterling562
      @finleysterling562 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

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  • @FrankPatrick-no8zo
    @FrankPatrick-no8zo 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +221

    One question please! Is NVIDIA a safe buy to outperform the market this year? I'm tired of these new buys every week, just to make up some assets with low percentage on my $236k portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%.

    • @Sampson-jh7yq
      @Sampson-jh7yq 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Yes, but do your own research. Avoid index funds, mutual funds, or specific stocks for now. Consider 5% fixed incomes as a safer option. Alternatively, consider hiring or working with a good market strategist for added safety.

    • @alicegomez7232
      @alicegomez7232 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Took control of my portfolio, faced losses in 2022. Seeking change, consulted a fiduciary advisor. Restructured and diversified with dividend stocks, ETFs, Mutual funds, and REITs. Portfolio surged to $610k with an annualized gain of 28%.

    • @jose2212-
      @jose2212- 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch if you don't mind

    • @alicegomez7232
      @alicegomez7232 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

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      @DennisJack-km8ho 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

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  • @Sonder2030
    @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +51

    8 months ago he said fair value for Nvidia is $240. It’s $1050 today. Mr. Dean of valuation, it’s actually cheaper since earnings.

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      hes not wrong about the true value of the stock. the price of the stock factors in factors outside of the intrinsic. if you're listening he even said nvidia will beat earnings for the next year. but after that? doubtful

    • @chiquita683
      @chiquita683 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Meanwhile if you actually followed him you know that he owns the stock and has said that there is both a focus of valuation and understanding momentum that is important for investing. He cut half his position last year and kept some to see how high it would go

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@chiquita683 exactly

    • @thenewbanker1225
      @thenewbanker1225 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@chiquita683lol trimmed half and kept the rest. Shows even he doesnt have strength in his convictions

    • @robertwilliam9558
      @robertwilliam9558 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@user-kg1od9es5d Keep doubting Jensen. We can keep accruing our $.

  • @kk22001
    @kk22001 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +30

    There is a reason why he is a professor not a hedge fund billionaire. CNBC is stupid to invite him to talk about Nvidia

    • @SirMo
      @SirMo 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Nvidia has a 55 PE. For 2.5 Trillion dollars company is unheard of. It's priced for absolute perfection and that it will continue to grow at this rate. The stock is way too hot.

    • @briantep458
      @briantep458 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@SirMo High growth stocks use forward PE, not TTM. On a forward basis NVDA is trading at around 33 which is below their historical average. Of course the stock is expensive, but stock markets, especially in bull markets, operates with very little rationality

    • @SirMo
      @SirMo 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@briantep458 A $2.5T company is not a high growth company. Not anymore. That's my point.

    • @briantep458
      @briantep458 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@SirMo 100bln in sales in 2024, 200bln in sales projected for 2025. This implies a 50-100% move up in the stock price for the next 12 months. Anything with sales over 30% is considered high growth. Remember NVDA guides one quarter at a time. They can easily play this game where they "beat and raise" for the next 6 quarters

    • @mahamannu
      @mahamannu 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@SirMo Whether we like it or not, NVDA currently has the dual distinction of being both a multi-trillion company as well as a high growth company. Probably the only company in the history. It will take 1 quarterly report where they miss guidance and/or Revenue estimate ( since most of their revenue is essentially profit , P/E is not an issue), either the whisper number or company projected number , and the stock would then act like a high growth company's stock and fall 20%.

  • @XShollaj
    @XShollaj 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +39

    This guy was saying 300 is definitely too high back then - what happened 😂

    • @spanishflea634
      @spanishflea634 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      It's called a bubble.

    • @TheParadoxy
      @TheParadoxy 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      If you listen to the whole thing, he says Nvidia will continue to beat expectations in the short term.

    • @2011hwalker
      @2011hwalker 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      what about the clowns who said Tesla "was going to blow through 500"....Nvidia will back track in time.

    • @gumpenaprasanth6142
      @gumpenaprasanth6142 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      He is an idiot, dont believe in finance ppl who dont understand tech. How can a Finance prof talk about the opportunity in AI?

    • @eliopalombi
      @eliopalombi 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@2011hwalkerI agree nvidia is overvalued and there is an AI bubble, but never compare it to Tesla. Tesla’s valuation was, and still is, based on false promises about the future; nvidia at least has the fundamentals to back up their lofty valuation.

  • @tcc447
    @tcc447 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Let's not forget this was a $110 stock just 19 months ago. Trading at only 4x FY 2026 earnings (FY 2026 ends in Jan 2026, only 20 months from now). You can argue the stock has routinely been terribly underpriced because the Wall St analysts cannot see around the corner to the true earnings potential of the company.

    • @jeffreysmith6161
      @jeffreysmith6161 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      When have analysts or the media been right?

    • @marbles203
      @marbles203 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Or you can say what analysis say, that its over priced from recent data thats cyclical.

  • @whatarefacts4610
    @whatarefacts4610 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    I am so embarrassed for him whenever Aswath Damodaran opens his mouth commenting a knowledge domain he knows absolutely zilch about. Calling it a "chip market" proves the point.

  • @doug6723
    @doug6723 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    "It can do no wrong?" Nvidia by Huang's own account has made big mistakes. They'll no doubt make more, but they've proven to be an adaptable company and Huang is good a anticipating where the markets will be and fulfilling them.

    • @idkidkidk2554
      @idkidkidk2554 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      He believes he is the only person who is right.

  • @wils5923
    @wils5923 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    This whole valuation thing is purely based on history and future projection based on historic trendline. If you invest based on valuation your portfolio will consist of the most boring stocks that simply fluctuates between 1 or 1.5 standard deviations.

    • @BigLotsResurgence
      @BigLotsResurgence 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      But at this point it’s like buying the s and p index fund since returns will likely be 10-15 percent a year

  • @rayflective
    @rayflective 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    The force is strong with NVDA. - Yoda

  • @information7793
    @information7793 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Even I would not short NVDA, always profits, an American based company, includes storage and even gambling. It is a mini ETF?

  • @Srednicki123
    @Srednicki123 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    he is right, some people forget how massive the valuation by now is, and growing from here is much, much harder, growing another 10% means now adding the worth of GM, McDonalds and JPMorgan.... also there won't be many players that train very large models because this is damn hard, hyperscalers are in a panic arm race right now to train the biggest models but if that turns out to be a dead end and/or smaller local models will get better less GPUs are needed

    • @doug6723
      @doug6723 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I don't listen to people like this. I'm listening to the CFOs and CEOs who are saying "you have to adopt AI or you'll be left behind." That doesn't mean Nvidia will have continued success. There's no way they can keep growing at this pace. But people also make the assumption that Nvidia won't find different markets, innovate, or discover/acquire/pair with other businesses. AI if. nothing else will make so many things in our lives more efficient. Since time is money, it's impact will be bigger than a lot of people realize.

    • @PaulJohnBeatles
      @PaulJohnBeatles 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Taiwan semiconducter will double the amount of chips produced for nvidia by the end of the year 2024, so it is easy for Nvidia to continue supreme growth.

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      exactly!!!!

  • @PaulJohnBeatles
    @PaulJohnBeatles 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Ok so. By the end of this year Taiwan semi will double the amount of h100s sold by nvidia ( double counted from the situation that was on in the beginning of this year). This means that Nvidias growth numbers will continue to be superior, huge. But, Jensen said that even blackwell will start to produce a lot of wins and cash for Nvidia even during this year. This means that Nvidias growth will continue in a never before seen scale! Blackwell and h200 together with h100 will raise Nvidias profits even higher than any wall street analyst can even imagine. And yeah there are of course other income sources for Nvidia too

  • @mahamannu
    @mahamannu 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    with Due Respect to Ashwath, Most people are not holding stocks for 3 to 5 years like he does. Aparantly he bought n sold Amzn only 6 times in 20 years. So from his point of view, its correct that NVDA is expensive and has been 1 missed quarter away from falling , ever since the stock was $400. And someday that will happen. I hope he realizes that 95% of people, even the ones who say they are long term investors hold for a year or so. california taxes you same for Long term gains as short term gains.

  • @MrMountain707
    @MrMountain707 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    This guy is never right about Nvidia. Just a permabear.

  • @stefantest5320
    @stefantest5320 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    1 year ago he said NVDA is expensive at 400 dollar

    • @eh7599
      @eh7599 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      and he was right

    • @stefantest5320
      @stefantest5320 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@eh7599 ah ok :D good I did not sell

    • @KenjiEspresso
      @KenjiEspresso 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      And I’ve been buying ever since 😂 but even I know it will get a huge pullback at signs of REAL risk. But average investor doesn’t get it.

    • @breadloaf2163
      @breadloaf2163 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@eh7599 🤡

  • @MARKXHWANG
    @MARKXHWANG 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    it is momentum? do you study fundamental when valuing a company

  • @garyscott9261
    @garyscott9261 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +26

    This guy comes across as a smug know it all who doesn’t know it all.

    • @KT-zx9jr
      @KT-zx9jr 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The market knows best

    • @eh7599
      @eh7599 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      don't cry

    • @jeffreysmith6161
      @jeffreysmith6161 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      He’s an academic, that’s what they do and he’s actually one of the smarter academics, btw

    • @KT-zx9jr
      @KT-zx9jr 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@eh7599 Argentina.....

    • @jeffrose5622
      @jeffrose5622 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      He is an arrogant DF and generally speaking a complete loser.

  • @user-xm7iy1oc6j
    @user-xm7iy1oc6j 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I appreciate how transparent you are about your wins and losses. It's refreshing to see a trader who isn't afraid to show their mistakes and learn from them.

  • @hariprathap4684
    @hariprathap4684 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The numbers speaks and not only that the way the eco-system NVDA has built for new market places such as phrama, Healthcare possible. Its a start of a new Era with AI

  • @RajDeelish
    @RajDeelish 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    The Prof said NVDA was overpriced hundreds ago.

  • @mrcmid9132
    @mrcmid9132 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    💡 if Nvidia is beating earnings expectations overwhelmingly, where are the other companies that are doing business with Nvidia and are they blowing out earnings as well?

  • @OA-B
    @OA-B 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    While it might be true, this was said last year when nvidia was in 300-400 range too.

  • @comedyshot1
    @comedyshot1 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Industry experts in Revux leadership team add immense credibility.

  • @somnathkaluse3968
    @somnathkaluse3968 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Revux market entry timing couldn't be better; strategic positioning.

  • @michaelmorris5758
    @michaelmorris5758 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It proves its not about how smart you are its so many other factors to make money in the markets

  • @clifftanch
    @clifftanch 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Could do with a concise, clear explanation why it’s impossible for the AI chip market to reach $1 trillion in sales even if the overall AI industry reaches $2-3 trillion?! So far, it’s only an assertion with some hand waving.
    Hope we’ll get more …

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It’s impossible because he can’t imagine it. Argument from disbelief 😂

  • @willberry6434
    @willberry6434 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +34

    This dude is awfully smug for being wrong so often

    • @khaledalruwaily3166
      @khaledalruwaily3166 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Yeah he is so wrong all the time its funny as hell. hahhahaha

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Confidence attracts cameras, substances always has to prove itself which is what Jensen is doing

    • @BigLotsResurgence
      @BigLotsResurgence 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      He’s like Cramer and Stephen a smith

  • @AdarshBishariya
    @AdarshBishariya 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Revux focus on user experience sets a new industry standard.

  • @guitarMartial
    @guitarMartial 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Academic analysis and what happens on the street are at times poles apart.
    Prime example is this Prof.

  • @Aarifking-nc3mc
    @Aarifking-nc3mc 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Revux partnerships serve as a testament to its industry credibility.

  • @Sitti2300
    @Sitti2300 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Refreshing to hear difference views. What's the point to listening to another Nvidia will keep going higher comments lol

  • @vikasgrey
    @vikasgrey 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Agreed, people are considering NVDA as the "Stock of the year." However, I'm curious about which stocks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth over the next decade. I've allocated $200k for investment, looking for companies to make additions to boost performance

    • @mollyEmiliano
      @mollyEmiliano 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Investing without proper guidance can lead to mistakes and losses. I've learned this from my own experience.If you're new to investing or don't have much time, it's best to get advice from an expert.

    • @LilianaAgnes
      @LilianaAgnes 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

    • @Leonardogreta
      @Leonardogreta 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

  • @Rafael555888
    @Rafael555888 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Jensen said the trillion dollars of old data centers need to be upgraded, besides building new data centers. but this guy says there is no way a chip market can be worth trillion dollars. I understand the chips is just part of the cost of a data center but , still, the market seems to be quite large

  • @jeffcann9159
    @jeffcann9159 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    He’s looking at the price action and thinking it’s overpriced. But it could be trading at 22-25 2026 earnings and 30x 2025 earnings. It’s not overpriced.

  • @RaviKumar-eu7mq
    @RaviKumar-eu7mq 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The speed of Revux transactions is a market game-changer.

  • @mateusz3162
    @mateusz3162 5 วันที่ผ่านมา

    the king himself has spoken!

  • @hayatisschon
    @hayatisschon 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Here is a strategy I apply, this assumes you already have certain amount invested, and not buying anymore, but optimizing exit strategy. Not legal advice. Let's assume I have 100 units of NVDA stock. I determine my short term, medium term, and long term percentages for Nvidia, e.g. 20% for short term, 40% medium term, and 40% long term, you can customize yourself differently based on your tolerance. I won't touch long term investment for 10 years no matter what, even if WW3 breaks out. Short term portion, I will sell to take profits whenever convenient, and invest into index, what is tricky is what to do with the medium term portion. For medium term, I am considering to wait a few more quarters after stock splitting, and maybe wait till mid 2025. Good luck everyone!

  • @KT-zx9jr
    @KT-zx9jr 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The market knows best

  • @user-bk4xq8pp6p
    @user-bk4xq8pp6p 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    the chip market definitely should be a trillion $ market

  • @Xicheng17
    @Xicheng17 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I feel it’s exactly like Tesla from 500ish to 6000+ in more than 1 year, now it’s 2700ish. It will come down at some point, but no body knows when and how much.

  • @pierrec1590
    @pierrec1590 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    With all due respect for Prof. Damodaran, the market is limited only by imagination. There will probably be an AI bubble, but later. At the moment NVDA is at the epicenter of a revolution that has been centuries in the making, starting with mechanical automata of the 18th century writing letters, playing chess or playing the piano. In the gold rush metaphor, NVDA is forging the blades of the shovels used by the AI miners, somewhat like they used to build the shovels for the Crypto miners before ASIC chips took over. The tools required for the new technology are still in their infancy and a lot more improvement will have to come. Very few people fully realize the true meaning of what is going on: it is too early.

  • @chinchowpowpook
    @chinchowpowpook 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    believe after stock split it will spiral down to $40, I will scope cheap at $25

  • @francoperrotta4968
    @francoperrotta4968 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Split 10-1 ..making it worth i believe 100$ a share correct if iam wrong ..load up afte the split

    • @Financein10
      @Financein10 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      split doesn't effect the fundmentals

  • @DharmeshParmar-zq1ix
    @DharmeshParmar-zq1ix 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Bullish on Revux well-thought-out tokenomics!

  • @neesre1118
    @neesre1118 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    2.7T mkt cap, up 2.4T in 1yr. Up 1.4T mkt ytd. It will be the next csco or intc at these levels. 5 yrs growth already priced in. 60% revs from 5 companies and 1 of them is funded by nvda itself coreweave. These are all one time revs not recurring.
    Had a good run retail should frontrunner institutions and dump the stock at these levels.

  • @ItsEverythingElse
    @ItsEverythingElse 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Dude, the entire market is priced to perfection and has been for a long time.

  • @HariomVermaverma-uh6vs
    @HariomVermaverma-uh6vs 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Transparency commitment by Revux is refreshing in the crypto space.

  • @johnnyguitar2929
    @johnnyguitar2929 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    He has been saying Nvidia was overvalued since it was $400. It’s so much more than momentum. He continues to underestimate AI and how it will grow.

  • @ahmadtariq80
    @ahmadtariq80 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Damodaran doesn’t understand the technical angle of AI chips are only a single % of the total chip market today. And it will entirely conquer the entire chip market

  • @Jim-nt7xy
    @Jim-nt7xy 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    Here's another perspective. If this guy was good at investing and making the right calls, he'd be a hedge fund manager making millions.

    • @Synthminator
      @Synthminator 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      If hedge fund managers were good at managing money, they'd be managing their own money, not in a HF. They're good at raking in fees.

    • @Jim-nt7xy
      @Jim-nt7xy 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@Synthminator It's better to use other people's money

    • @titusp9488
      @titusp9488 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      if you ask HF managers …most of them are his students , he teaches valuations not a investor

    • @Jim-nt7xy
      @Jim-nt7xy 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@titusp9488 If that were the case, we'd all be HF managers. You cannot teach a HF manager when to pull the trigger

    • @briantep458
      @briantep458 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      valuations almost never matter in bull markets, they only matter in bear markets. In bull markets, the story and momentum can drive a stock's price to absurd levels

  • @briantep458
    @briantep458 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +22

    the smartest people are often the worst market predictors

    • @jeltt2150
      @jeltt2150 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      That's because the market is the sum of all the average market makers hence smartest one tend to be ahead of their time

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@jeltt2150 yep. being smart doesnt pay ironically! only at the RIGHT MOMENT lol

    • @illegalsmirf
      @illegalsmirf 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@jeltt2150 'ahead of their time' Is that what you call people who call for a bear market every year and get it right once every ten years?

    • @eh7599
      @eh7599 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      wrong. don't cry

    • @BigLotsResurgence
      @BigLotsResurgence 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I disagree, Warren Buffett is a genius

  • @ahmadtariq80
    @ahmadtariq80 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    If the stock price is overvalued why aren’t funds shorting it? Answer that Damodaran

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      because too much of the market is buying right now. shorting now is too early. shorting in 10 months? yes.

  • @m3talHalide-rt2fz
    @m3talHalide-rt2fz 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It’s shocking that he’s still brought on. What’s scary is that students pay for this.

  • @jeffrose5622
    @jeffrose5622 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    AND cnbc trots out the one arrogant DF that thinks NVIDIA is a losing proposition......too funny!

  • @user-zv5hr2gb5m
    @user-zv5hr2gb5m 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Community-driven approach by Revux is precisely what the crypto space needs.

  • @ff-katto_prince5260
    @ff-katto_prince5260 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Revux is among the few cryptos with real-world utility.

  • @PaulJohnBeatles
    @PaulJohnBeatles 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    For some proud people, it is just too much to say, I was wrong and I am still wrong. This guy is a legend for wrong reasons.

  • @garybalatennis
    @garybalatennis 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    He’s been consistently saying Nvidia and for that matter everything in the market is “overvalued”. If we had listened to him, we’d be a lot poorer, not richer or smarter. I’d like to ask: what is the true value of this guy’s valuation opinions?? Answer: They’re way overvalued! Lol

    • @eh7599
      @eh7599 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      wait and see. you will lose all

    • @garybalatennis
      @garybalatennis 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@eh7599 Yeah, they told me that about Netflix too. Bogus valuation. They were wrong. I made a lot of money. Then all of a sudden, it seemed like they were “right” when in 2022, Netflix tanked big time, and I lost mucho dinero. Well, guess what happened after that - in 2023 and 2024?? Netflix roared back with some creativity and adjustments, and is now the undisputed profit king of streaming. Nvidia can do the same. They will expand and explore all kind of chip and data center upgrades, and call it AI version 2.0, 3.0 etc. (Super-Chip Blackwell is coming soon by the way, and already sold out!) No Aswath, they don’t have to find new big markets, just keep refining and expanding the one big one they all ready got. Bottom line: there is more to “valuation” than earnings, revenues, price-to-earnings, price-to-book, etc. etc. There is an undefinable dynamic, a creative and mobile aspect to a company and it’s leadership that investors might ascribe value to over time.

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Bears are so lame. Their reward circuitry is such that they get excited when the market declines. They’re professional haters. Especially doing it against the best company in the world.

  • @lawrencefearon6830
    @lawrencefearon6830 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Professor Damodaran has been wrong for the past year on NVDA. But the past year all I've done is booked gains trading JUST the call contract stock options. He's not alone. The shorts have lost more money in a vastly profitable company than any other. Real bears don't short profoundly profitable companies, they short losing companies. Because Nvidia is where shorts go to die.

  • @chrischan4091
    @chrischan4091 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    There are some people you should avoid listening to when it comes to NVDA. Top 2 would be this dude and Cathie Wood.

  • @illegalsmirf
    @illegalsmirf 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Thank you, come again!

  • @spanishflea634
    @spanishflea634 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Alot of buthurt Nvida owners in the comments.

  • @aguyinavan6087
    @aguyinavan6087 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I got one major question for Aswath. What is the value of the mind of God?

  • @ScentlessSun
    @ScentlessSun 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    He is way off base here. The biggest risk to NVIDIA is actually China invading Taiwan and TSMC not being able to get their chips to the world, but even then… that would affect everyone and companies like NVIDIA would fight for capacity at Samsung or Intel. People that got left out in the cold would get their chips made by GlobalFoundries. I still find this all very unlikely.

  • @nesnaj1730
    @nesnaj1730 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I admire Prof Damodaran but sometimes you just got to admit that those theories on valuations don't apply to real life. The direction of which a stock move is anyone's guess.

  • @madisonave.7817
    @madisonave.7817 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Dang of Valuation.

  • @chocopie6277
    @chocopie6277 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    If I listened to Aswath last year ("over valued"), I would have missed out on over 120% gain. I totally disagree with this guy since last year, and honestly who really cares if it's over valued for the short to mid term... goodness it's a freaking growth stock with earning to match.

  • @Lex41127
    @Lex41127 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    this guy said bitcoin at 3k had no value its 70k today

  • @akki44444
    @akki44444 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I don’t understand him. He is skeptical about Nvdia but he trusts & buys Tesla!

  • @user-lt1oy1kz9u
    @user-lt1oy1kz9u 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Nvidia built on top of "AI Datacenters" for leverage and pump their sales very large margins. These startups have no choice but to buy cards any price their key investors want. Investors are buying Nvidia stock and then promoting sales. These AI datacenters are not making money. And large cap companies are keen to reduce TCO. GPUs have notorious small refresh cycles so customers will jump to alternatives as soon as clowns at AMD and Intel come with better supply.

  • @hugonavakopp
    @hugonavakopp 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Lol no mention at all of bitcoin mining at all , which is the real reason behind nvidias explosion in value !

  • @doncampbell1560
    @doncampbell1560 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Evaluating NVIDIA as a "chip maker" and ignoring the full stack of NVIDIA's business is nonsense. He seems not to pay attention to the full scale of AI solutions and "parts" that NVIDIA and its partners are engaged with.

  • @RM-nm3xn
    @RM-nm3xn 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Trick question: how many rich professors do you know? Have ever heard of? Yeah, none.

  • @pragmatica1032
    @pragmatica1032 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Why do I feel deja-vu with Cisco in the late 1990s?

  • @starmount326
    @starmount326 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    @ 2:32 NVIDIA and AMD CEOs surely disagree with the professor's comment. According to Huang, the CPU cloud data center business that is upgrading to GPU acceleration computing is $1T. AI infrastructure build-up is another $1T. The total is $2T. The professor believes he knows the semi business better than AMD and NVIDIA CEOs.

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      There has been no potential actualised. When Meta etc realise the LLM's are nonsense and cant actually reason...bye bye nvidias revenues.

    • @starmount326
      @starmount326 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@user-kg1od9es5d it sounds you are smarter than MSFT, GOOG, META, TSLA, ORCL, OpenAI, and AMZN, as they all spend billion of dollars for nothing as you said.

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@starmount326 yeah he’s definitely smarter than all those companies combined just like Mr Dean of valuation 😂

    • @user-kg1od9es5d
      @user-kg1od9es5d 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@Sonder2030youre both stupid. compettion forces compainies to spend. in 1 year they will realise the LLM is a fad. and nvidia's revenue will fall off a cliff. Nvidia is OK for 1 more year,after that expect a HUGE crash

  • @Fellow117
    @Fellow117 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    nvda $8000 by 2034!

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I like your direction but I’d say $8000 by 2028. Remember they 9x’d in the last 18 months what’s an 8x from here by 2028? The most bullish analysts have had to keep raising their numbers in the past year. AI and accelerated computing are the future of technology.

    • @Fellow117
      @Fellow117 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@Sonder2030 nvda to the moon!

  • @SISU_LIFE
    @SISU_LIFE 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    If "experts" like this knew as much as they sometimes act, they'd be sitting on a huge yacht soaking up the good life vs. working as a professor. I don't mean that as disrespect (I know it sounds like it) but the point is even the smartest people can't predict the future with any certainty. If they could, they would capitalize on it with riches beyond the imagination. These are always estimates but estimates are full of flaws and personal bias.

  • @HelloWorld-hb7yt
    @HelloWorld-hb7yt 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Aswath is logically, don't listen to the pumpers who's earnings depending on the commission.

  • @mauriceMrGrind
    @mauriceMrGrind 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I HAVEN'T EVEN WACTH THE VIDEO BUT EVERYTHING THAT COMES OUT OF HIS MOUTH REGURADING STOCKS OS 99 PERCENT NEGATIVE WITH OUT FAIL🤔

  • @michaelfink3505
    @michaelfink3505 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It’s lost 50% and 66% of its value previously.

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Indeed, in 2022 about 60% if you exited then you’d have missed a 500% increase. Gotta take the rough with the smooth if you wanna make money on a good business.

    • @michaelfink3505
      @michaelfink3505 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I didn’t exit after my advisor told me too and bought again at $489. Just saying it’s going down at some point when Musk and Zuckerberg stop stockpiling.

    • @Sonder2030
      @Sonder2030 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@michaelfink3505 while they are the most famous customers, Nvidia sells to everyone. One of the highlights of the earnings is the increase in diversification of their data center customers. Now sovereigns are buying like crazy, enterprise is just getting warmed up. And even Zuck is talking about how his bottleneck will be getting enough power before having enough chips.

  • @zacharybushaala5717
    @zacharybushaala5717 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Bro thinks he’s cookin

  • @edbifulco
    @edbifulco 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    🤡🤡🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @marbles203
    @marbles203 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Where gonna have the biggest market crash in history in a few years lol

  • @mellarx1277
    @mellarx1277 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Sigh...another professor.

  • @recklessrt
    @recklessrt 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    This guy doesnt know a thing about AI or high performance computing let alone inferencing or training. He's never had to develop an AI to solve a computing task once considered impossible. Folks like him dont realize that Nvidia represents the biggest technology paradigm shift in the history of mankind. Nvidia isnt just a chip. Nvidia is a whole new computing infrastructure that is solving unimaginable problems. He clearly is ignorant of whats happening in front of his face.

  • @keto6789
    @keto6789 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Awww I guess he missed out ....

  • @xxxs8309
    @xxxs8309 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Damo got NVDA all wrong

  • @MathSolutionsForYou
    @MathSolutionsForYou 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    And CNBC has to bring in this guy...I clearly remember what he said a year or so ago ..according to him, NVDA was valued at most at $240 a share when the stock was then trading around $400 a share...this guy has no credibility at all, irrespective of whatever his qualifications are...CNBC should retire these guys as they keep on bringing tired old perspectives which have not bode well for investing at least for the last 20 years

  • @MARKXHWANG
    @MARKXHWANG 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    425% earning growth has nothing wrong, lol. who care about FED

  • @PaulJohnBeatles
    @PaulJohnBeatles 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Looking this guys face you can tell that he is a liar and someone never trusted.

  • @sailee2346
    @sailee2346 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    great job cnbc in allowing this guy a platform to spew his nonsense

  • @forajc
    @forajc 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I find this guy sounds intriguing but says little of substance...

  • @tachyon7777
    @tachyon7777 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Not very smart. I think after this video, I don't have confidence in this guy's analysis.

  • @bullsnam2239
    @bullsnam2239 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    He is overvalued. I don’t care what he said

    • @eh7599
      @eh7599 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      don't cry

  • @chienfangchen5876
    @chienfangchen5876 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Proved yourself wrong again and again , a professor ? A laughing stock ? You should hide yourself then in ivory jail .