How is the war going? - July 2024

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 ส.ค. 2024
  • An overview of the frontlines in Ukraine and what to expect in the coming months.
    0:00 Intro
    0:39 Kharkiv sector
    3:22 Donbas frontline
    5:57 The southtern front
    6:37 Kharkiv diversion?
    7:47 Strategic bombing
    8:31 The big picture
    9:35 Point of culmination
    10:04 The coming months
    Support the channel: www.logicofwar.com

ความคิดเห็น • 1.7K

  • @StayPrimal
    @StayPrimal 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +389

    Thank you Anders.

    • @williamyoung9401
      @williamyoung9401 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

      Good analysis. But I don't understand why Ukraine needs to prove themselves anymore. Especially whenever they go on the offensive, Elon Musk shuts down the StarLink network for Ukraine...

    • @Pippie5555
      @Pippie5555 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@williamyoung9401 Do the Ukrainians no longer have Star Link?

    • @mrdwets8952
      @mrdwets8952 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@Pippie5555 Ukraines Starlink is paid for by the US Government so if anything happens, Elon gets to talk with the DoD about why its Starlink in Ukraine is down. That is my understanding of the situation. No idea about the current situation today but I have seen Starlink active in Ukraine up to this last month at the very least.

    • @Pippie5555
      @Pippie5555 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      @@mrdwets8952 Thank you.
      I am NOT a fan of Elon Musk...

    • @Razic1984
      @Razic1984 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @williamyoung9401 when did Elon Musk turn any off? Let me guess you heard it but no evidence..

  • @vandango1968
    @vandango1968 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +238

    Tusinde tak for din opdatering Anders.

    • @bigkillerwhale1801
      @bigkillerwhale1801 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

      1000 thank you for updates anders? Is that correct? What language?

    • @failogan
      @failogan 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

      Danish

    • @Bob94390
      @Bob94390 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +29

      And many thanks to the Danish people for great support to Ukraine. If all European countries had been as devoted, loyal and generous as the Baltic and Nordic countries plus Poland, this war would have been finished a long time ago.
      Tusinde tak!

    • @evgeniya7853
      @evgeniya7853 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@Bob94390 May I ask, what exactly do you mean by "Ukraine" and "the people of Ukraine"? Well, taking into account the civil war that has been going on in Ukraine since 2014. So what part of the population of this country do you consider worthy of your help?

    • @hoej
      @hoej 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      ​@@bigkillerwhale1801"1000 thank you" is a set phrase in Danish. Basically just means "thank you very much".

  • @Alan-wn7lo
    @Alan-wn7lo 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +103

    At last someone who takes the war serious and gives an accurate account of what's happening on the battlefield, in a manner a non military person can understand, Thank you☘️

    • @tankeriv
      @tankeriv 7 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Not so much. He is just another propaganda asset. 😕

  • @haroldsmith45302
    @haroldsmith45302 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +103

    Thank you for educating us in such a clear, easily-understood manner, Mr. Nielsen.

    • @dpelpal
      @dpelpal 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I am Russian, if only the world knew the true scale of loss in Russia. And we have not even 10% of the Ukraine. Foolish Putin, our Bunker Grandfather lives a lie

    • @gendaminoru3195
      @gendaminoru3195 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      But Ukraine only has 3 airports with runways long enough for F-16's to operate out of with strike load-outs, and the F-16's are delayed again. And those airports aren't close enough to the battlefields to strike without refueling and drops tanks slow them down too much. This is a very incremental war guaranteed to take another 200,000+ lives at this rate. Ukraine hits a refinery and a marine installation and an ammo depo, then Putin ratchets up with heavier glide bombs on more strategic infrastructure. Many think tanks in the west see the F-16's as not effective enough, but yet a reason for Putin to escalate strategic bombing further. The best bet is to probably let Trump negotiate an end before he takes the oath of office or it will just keep spiraling. This is worse than WW2 to see people killing their brothers.

    • @lorenzcassidy3960
      @lorenzcassidy3960 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

      "Let Trump negotiate an end" = "Force Ukraine to capitulate by blocking all US military support".
      Here, fixed that for you.

    • @gendaminoru3195
      @gendaminoru3195 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@lorenzcassidy3960 NO, for any negotiation to work and have a stable outcome both sides have to give up something and both sides have to gain something. Read the Art of the Deal. or Kissinger or Von Clausewitz

    • @jamesedwards6173
      @jamesedwards6173 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      @gendaminoru3195 🤣🤦‍♂ A completely _ridiculous_ comment! 🤡

  • @PaddyLeggBass
    @PaddyLeggBass 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +32

    Such quality content from you as always Anders, thank you so much from 🇬🇧 🫡

  • @helmsman6542
    @helmsman6542 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +36

    Tack Anders, som alltid informativt och intressant!

    • @antoncasa2949
      @antoncasa2949 24 วันที่ผ่านมา

      You mean opinions not facts.

    • @helmsman6542
      @helmsman6542 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      @@antoncasa2949 As close to fact as it gets by proper researsh and assessment. I guess not to ruzzians and their supporters though.

    • @The_User_With_No_Name
      @The_User_With_No_Name 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@helmsman6542 Nice profile picture brother!

  • @spamcan9208
    @spamcan9208 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +68

    I hope you know how crucial this channel is for some of us to get a basic understanding of the war and how it's going. Very informative, concise, and as unbiased an analysis a human can possibly do based on the facts. Finally going to subscribe to your newsletter, something I should have done months ago!

    • @raylopez99
      @raylopez99 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Just subscribed. More objective than some other channels, which I also subscribe to, but they are more partisan and though I am for UKR, I like a bit more objectivity at times.

    • @Disinformation_Hoax
      @Disinformation_Hoax 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Unbiased, yes, if the meaning of the word is reversed. I find it hard to find Ukraine conflict analysts as biased as Anders in reality is. That IS his job, after all. Historical facts, casualties, Nordstream, all laughable hogwash.

    • @AprezaRenaldy
      @AprezaRenaldy 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Bias to the west 😂.

    • @Stockfish1511
      @Stockfish1511 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      😂😂😂

    • @pallebudde4878
      @pallebudde4878 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@AprezaRenaldy Not really biased no . Not many people west, south or east of russia understand why Russia is willing to litterally murder its own citizens by throwing them into a war for a little tiny bit of land that just doesnt make sense ? Sure the fsb and propaganda is blasting with hey they are all nazis and bla bla but who really cares ? its a dumb war totally uncalled for ? Putin keeps talking like hes scared of loosing something but what ? im pretty certain NO ONE has any intention what so ever of even thinking about moving into or against Russian ? Its just not logical?

  • @pp7x79
    @pp7x79 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +44

    Legend. tnx for the updates!

  • @luminyam6145
    @luminyam6145 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    I have found following all the little battles going on that I couldn't see what was going on over all. This video was so helpful. Thank you so much. I really appreciate it.

  • @ashleythom1052
    @ashleythom1052 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +84

    great update Anders

  • @MikePeaceWoodturning
    @MikePeaceWoodturning 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Thanks for helping us understand the big picture that is hard to pickup on in the many videos dealing with micro battles or actions.

  • @joachimd9586
    @joachimd9586 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +102

    Tak for det gode arbejde, Anders - oensker dig en god sommerferie!

  • @LeifAspheim
    @LeifAspheim 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +28

    Takk, for nok en kunnskapsrik oppdatering.

  • @ulrikschackmeyer848
    @ulrikschackmeyer848 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +64

    Inde efter 2 minutter. Personlig rekord.
    In place within 2 minutes. Personal record.
    Solid, large-scale info as always. Way to go, Anders. As we know and love you.

    • @christophstich5066
      @christophstich5066 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      New PB five minutes. The comment is just here to help with the algorithm

    • @ulrikschackmeyer848
      @ulrikschackmeyer848 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      ​@@christophstich5066We all do what we can. Thank you mate. Now we even have a new thread for the algo. Yaeiii.

    • @mariaf.6601
      @mariaf.6601 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Another one here 😊 Hello
      Also let the algorithm know !

    • @luffebassen
      @luffebassen 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Former US grand strategist Zbignew Brzezinski said: “It is IMPERATIVE that no Eurasian challenger emerges capable of dominating Eurasia and thus of also challenging America”. Because the US has just 4% of the world’s population, and it’s isolated from the Eurasia continent which has 70% of the world’s population, or 87% with Africa included. Defensively, it’s an advantage to the US, but economically, it’s a handicap. That’s why economically, Eurasia is a competitor to the US and the Euro is a threat to the dollar.
      How does the US with an isolated and just 4% of world’s population maintain its position as the world’s biggest economy? The dollar must stay as the world’s reserve currency. This allows the size of the US economy to be highly scaled up, instead of being sized according to the fundamentals.
      To be the world’s reserve currency, the dollar must be circulated in the world. The US created a huge consumption-based economy and shifted manufacturing outside, so that dollars flow out of the US to product suppliers like China or Japan. To make products, China and Japan need energy. The US created the Petrol-dollar scheme, so that dollar is circulated to Saudi. With the US stock and financial market much more lucrative than other countries, the dollars from Saudi are attracted back to the US. Money printed in the US to exchange for goods from outside eventually ends up with the Wall Streets, where the rich gets richer. And that completes the cycle of circulation of the dollars.
      The American Dream attracted top talents around the world to strengthen the US’ science and technology sectors, and a technological gap is maintained between the US and other major economy like China, so that the US benefits from highly lucrative high-tech product/patent exports, while low profit manufacturing sector is outsourced to China and Vietnam. This is why world leader in 5G, Huawei, are banned in 2019.
      If China or Japan bring back all the dollars and exchange to their local currencies, it inflates the local currencies, making their exports expensive. So, China and Japan use some of the dollars to buy US debts (treasury bonds). That’s why the US, a rich country, is in-debt to China which has just 1/5th of the US’ GDP per capita.
      And by holding US treasury bills, China and Japan have to support the US dollar, for if the US dollar collapses, their hard earn money would become worthless. After Obama’s “Pivot to Asia” in 2011, which aimed to contain China, China introduced the Belt and Road Initiatives (BRI) in 2013 and diverted some of the dollars into it to reduce the risk of putting all eggs in one basket, and hoping that after these countries are developed, China would have a wider trade market.
      With a huge population, if Asia and Africa develop rapidly, the share of the US’ economy shrinks, then the Euro could replace it as the world’s reserve currency. When that happens, the US would no longer be able to print money out of nothing without a hyper inflation like Venezuela. Then the size of the US economy has to fall back to the fundamentals, which today is quite a lot smaller than the inflated economy. That’s why no country in Eurasia is allowed to catch up with the US’ economy. When Japan was catching up fast on the US in the 1980s, they were knocked down to a three decade stagnancy by appreciating the Japanese Yen. And in the last 30 years, the US created conflicts, wars and color revolutions in the Middle East, Central Asia and Africa to destabilise the Eurasia-Africa supercontinent.
      When the US prints a lot of money, other countries’ foreign reserves in dollars shrink in value. Furthermore, to prevent exports to the US becoming expensive, these countries have to print money too, which devalues the savings of the people, and causing inflations in these countries. It’s estimated that our savings devalue by 6-9% per year after the abolishment of the gold-backed Bretton Woods system, after which the US prints money based on just the creditability of the dollar.
      North America is relatively easy to defend, yet the US has a military budget more than the total of the next 9 countries in the top 10, to protect the dollar with its 800 military bases worldwide.
      For the record, the US had no mercy on threats to the dollar:
      * In 2000 Saddam Hussein said he would start selling oil in Euros not Dollars.
      >> Saddam was hanged by the US.
      * In 2009 Gaddafi made Libya export oil in Gold Dinars, not in dollar or Euro.
      >> Gaddafi was killed by US-backed NTC.
      * Syria had an independent Central Bank NOT under Federal Reserve controlled Bank of International Settlements.
      >> Obama attempted to overthrow Bashar al-Assad.
      * Iran has been trading oil in currencies other than US dollars since 2011.
      >> Iran was being sanctioned by the US.
      * After being sanctioned in 2014, Putin started to trade in non-dollar. In 2019, Putin (1) completely ditched dollars in oil trades, (2) sold almost all the US treasury bonds, (3) is now the forerunner in de-dollarization.
      >> The US tried to topple Putin by supporting Alexei Navalny. And now the Ukraine war to weaken Russia.
      * China (1) introduced the BRI in 2013 which helps many countries to develop and speed up the integration of Eurasia, (2) used non-dollar in oil trades with Iran and Russia, (3) introduced the CIPS, an alternative to the West’s SWIFT system which has been weaponized by America, (4) China’s economy and high technology are catching up fast.
      >> China has become the US’ #1 target.
      If a country supports the dollar, it’s being looted; if a country doesn’t support the dollar, the government is changed by the US. This is financial slavery.
      The Fed has printed 80% of all US dollars in existence since Jan 2020. There was $4.02 trillion dollars in circulation at the beginning of 2020. The number reached $20.08 trillion by Oct 2021. This amounted to an astronomical 30 trillions debt. Coupled with a global rising urge to diversify into non-dollar reserves caused by the US’ sanctions to 39 countries, the dollar is in a creditability crisis. This is the major development which shapes geopolitics in the world today.
      The US cannot have direct wars with Russia and China because they are nuclear armed. Proxy wars put the battlefields outside of the US, and the US would looked like an outsider. Remember in the 1980s, the US supported the Afghan Mujaheddin in a proxy war against the USSR. Russia and China have clearly defined their redlines. US would use its collaborators Zelensky and Tsai to push across the redlines to trigger the wars, and it would sell weapons to its allies in NATO and AUKUS, and get them to support the wars.
      After the dissolution of the USSR in 1991, US President Bill Clinton had two choices: (a) to integrate Russia into Europe and abolish NATO, OR, (b) to slowly alienate Russia to keep Russia and Europe divided. Clinton chose the latter, because if there’s no more Russia “threat”, there would be no more NATO to control Europe. As the first NATO Secretary General, Lionel Ismay described the military role of NATO: “To keep America IN, to keep Russia OUT, to keep Germany (Europe) DOWN”. NATO also allows the US to place missiles in Europe, so if a war break out in Europe, missiles would be flying between Moscow the East and Lisbon in the West, while the US remains safe across the Atlantic.
      And politically, the EU is an American creation, as much as a European one. It’s much easier for Washington to control ruling elites at Brussels than having to control all politicians in Europe. The EU is used an ally or a sacrificial depending on the geopolitical needs of Washington.
      The proxy war in Ukraine: 1.Divided Europe from Russia and divided Eurasia. 2.Killed Nord Stream II gas pipeline and German firm Energie Baden-Wuerttemberg has signed up for gas from America Venture Global LNG for 20 years. The US gained control over energy supply to Europe. 3.Created continuity for the Military Industrial Complex after pulling out of Afghanistan. 4.Most importantly, the war strengthened the dollar. Dollar against Euro is now the highest since NATO's bombing of Yugoslavia in Mar 1999 (happened two months after the official launch of Euro as the currency of the EU, which threatened the dollar). A strong dollar together with the Fed’s interest rise in 2022 cause capitals from all over the world to flow into the US’ economy, while collapsing other economies, like Sri Lanka.
      Else where, two months after ignoring a warning from Washington against his visit to Moscow, highly popular Imran Khan was ousted from the PM post of Pakistan on 9 Apr 2022. A month after ignoring Biden’s demand to increase oil production, secretary-general of OPEC, Mohammad Barkindo died unexpectedly on July 6 2022.
      The US isn’t relinquishing its privilege to loot. Remember after WW II, Europe and Asia were devastated, but the US emerged as the world leader and the dollar became the world’s reserve currency.

    • @luffebassen
      @luffebassen 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Lidt extra hjælp til algoen, så folk ka vågne op til virkeligheden!

  • @paulbrowne6087
    @paulbrowne6087 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +101

    Great analysis as always 🇮🇪🇺🇦

    • @a.brekkan4965
      @a.brekkan4965 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      He didn't mention the FABs which are the true game changers in this war

    • @AprezaRenaldy
      @AprezaRenaldy 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      ​@@a.brekkan4965 In contrast to the ATACAM there are less than 25 Missile.Russia releases 100 FPB bombs a day . The power of sovel

  • @hegulikekuli
    @hegulikekuli 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Mange tak!

  • @SilverGoblin
    @SilverGoblin 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +78

    Tak Anders for endnu en præcis update fra fronten i Ukraine

    • @DrChe2025
      @DrChe2025 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      What does one need to consume coming to this conclusion? Or is it enough just to be dansk?

    • @Rasmusorum
      @Rasmusorum 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

      @@DrChe2025 he's a military analyst and a captain, and what he's saying makes logically sense.

    • @DrChe2025
      @DrChe2025 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@Rasmusorum In your boble. I hope you wake up before it is too late. I would not consider Denmark a safe place when it happens. All too straight between mainland Russia and UK. Living in Denmark is like Russian Roulette.

    • @Ikkeligeglad
      @Ikkeligeglad 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      @@DrChe2025 I think we will be just as safe as Germany

    • @DonCarnage42
      @DonCarnage42 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      ​@@DrChe2025You seem to have forgotten to take your medicine. Common knowledge that the path from Kaliningrad to Britain is littered with nuke capable forces of all kinds. Did you think that everyone stopped prepping while we were dismantling former soviet assets left and right? If it was a joke then good on you😂

  • @RodolfLeclerc
    @RodolfLeclerc 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +51

    To save time I thumbs up your video before I look at them, and I do look at them from start to finish. I already know that they're gonna be informative and smart. Keep on the good work.

    • @mariaf.6601
      @mariaf.6601 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I heard that for TH-cam algorithm a 'thumb up' after some time (3 minutes ?) into the video has bigger effect.

  • @srenkampmortensen5554
    @srenkampmortensen5554 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Tak for endnu en fin analyse Anders😊

  • @M1903a4
    @M1903a4 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +27

    It's always great to listen to Anders. He radiates the feeling that there is a grown-up in the room sharing expert knowledge.

  • @chuckley99
    @chuckley99 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

    Thanks Anders.

  • @coomberaider
    @coomberaider 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Always informative and enlightening. Thank you Anders.

  • @lovealien43
    @lovealien43 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +79

    Thanks a lot for this video Anders!

  • @kenithandry5093
    @kenithandry5093 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Thanks for the update.

  • @DarkestAlice
    @DarkestAlice 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +110

    Thank you, Anders Puck Nielsen, for your analysis. Very much appreciated.
    🇺🇦 Перемоги та миру всім українцям! 🇺🇦

    • @samadrid6321
      @samadrid6321 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Amazing, this idiot says it's hard to say which side is winning. Has the Ukrainian army been bled dry and crushed in these grinding battles? Yes, thus Russia is winning. It's NOT about territory for Russia.

    • @expertizer
      @expertizer 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Сало Уронили! 🇺🇦

    • @eman7282
      @eman7282 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      what about Russian speakers and ethnic Russians?

  • @modumodd
    @modumodd 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

    You ar the one of the few I'm listen to.

    • @kalimai6703
      @kalimai6703 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @macknake Russian 🤍💙🤍 analyst of TH-cam is a very good analyst

  • @erwinvangorkum
    @erwinvangorkum 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Very informative, thank you so much! I just subscribed to your newsletter to support your work

    • @anderspuck
      @anderspuck  25 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Thanks. Hope you will find the newsletter informative as well.

  • @christianhansen677
    @christianhansen677 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Du laver fantastiske videoer med meget objektive synspunkter som jeg virkeligt sætter pris på. fortsæt endelig med det!

  • @PeanutsDadForever
    @PeanutsDadForever 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +55

    Thank you for another excellent video!

  • @archiebunkerr9723
    @archiebunkerr9723 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I like your no drama narrative. It's mor easy to consume the reality.

  • @sinenomine9093
    @sinenomine9093 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thanks so much, Anders, nice concise summary.

  • @FatFrankie42
    @FatFrankie42 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +37

    *_comment offering for the algorithm gods_*
    Thanks Anders!!!

  • @barfootSmitty
    @barfootSmitty 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    It's such a sad and truthful analysis that both sides are ok with their strategic situation at present.

  • @mattmartin8366
    @mattmartin8366 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Definitely a good vid on the state of the war.

  • @Antropoids
    @Antropoids 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    THX for the update )

  • @yvonnetomenga5726
    @yvonnetomenga5726 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great update. Thanks for giving us the big picture.

  • @mikeklein4949
    @mikeklein4949 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Thank you for this reasonable set of observations supporting your analysis. Always a source for understanding. Thank you Anders.

  • @TysoniusRex
    @TysoniusRex 24 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    Given the current stance of the two sides (Ukraine on defense, Russia still on offense), it would make more sense for the Ukrainians to continue the attrition of Russian forces on the frontline in particular while using their long range weapons to strike logistical/strategic targets in Russia. Regaining territory seems to be a high-risk, low reward option at this point, especially given last summer’s experience.

  • @surpriseitsus9622
    @surpriseitsus9622 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you Anders 🤗

  • @sergelecluse0001
    @sergelecluse0001 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thanks for the update. Great job. 👍

  • @militaryandhistory
    @militaryandhistory 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    Thank you.

  • @alanshackelford6450
    @alanshackelford6450 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Thanks!

  • @robertdonnelly434
    @robertdonnelly434 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Being so far away from the region, it is often hard for this Canuck to fathom the many intricacies of the "big picture'... SO. Thanks again, for providing a well-understandable bigger view of this highly complex, constantly evolving situation. Cheers from here...👍

  • @Deckzwabber
    @Deckzwabber 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for updating us.

  • @judithcampbell1705
    @judithcampbell1705 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +25

    Thank you 💛 Anders for the update. Have a wonderful day today.

  • @jamesdrummond7684
    @jamesdrummond7684 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    excellent analysis as always, Anders. thank you.

  • @KaptnKork
    @KaptnKork 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +21

    I've been looking forward to this. Good job, thanks

  • @timschaming613
    @timschaming613 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    great overview thanks Anders

  • @toddburgess5056
    @toddburgess5056 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    Another great analysis, Anders. It will certainly be interesting to see what difference F-16's will make on the battlefield, seeing how it's been widely talked about for 2+ years now.

    • @slippingsnake
      @slippingsnake 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      Might take a while before F-16 arrive and maybe only 20, so they are not going to win the war in 6 weeks :(
      But Sweden donated 2 Saab 340 (AWACS-style) for more Air-Surveilence and these will especialy enhance the capabilities of F16s

    • @mikekoning
      @mikekoning 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They wont ever come close enough to Russia to do anything usefull at all.

    • @MarcosElMalo2
      @MarcosElMalo2 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@slippingsnakeThey are supposedly arriving this summer. Granted we don’t know the specific day, but sometime between now and the middle of September, they will be in Ukraine. Russia will have to commit its air force-its main conventional strategic reserve vis-a-vis the West (not to mention the long term threats from the East).
      I don’t think we’ve seen the Russian Air Force throw all its weight on Ukraine, mostly because it has to maintain a credible deterrence against the West. Ukraine has been able to attrit those forces the Russians have committed so far.
      If the Russian air force doesn’t commit, and the F-16s prove to be decisive, we should expect Russia to escalate in other ways, possibly using tactical nukes or chemical weapons on the battlefield.

    • @slippingsnake
      @slippingsnake 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@MarcosElMalo2 Reports indicate that Pilots are the limiting factor, group of 20 for the time being while there are more then 60 F-16 on the way.
      It doesn't help to shortcut the training, especialy because there is a difference in NATO Doctrin and how the Pilots use their SUs and MIGs at the Moment.
      So the Process of Mission Planning and execution has to be reworked and trained (on Simulators and in real life in other countries).

    • @dzonikg
      @dzonikg 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Same as Leopard in summer offensive

  • @randyhergenrether6914
    @randyhergenrether6914 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Anders, Thank You. You always provide a great prespective of Ukraine' s struggle and a clear insight of a possible path forward for Ukraine.

    • @eman7282
      @eman7282 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      the path forward was peace.
      2 times signed, 1 negotiated...
      How many more lives need to be lost before we reach another negotiated settlement??

    • @user-fj6ru3bv8h
      @user-fj6ru3bv8h 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      ​@@eman7282да им плевать на человеческие жертвы, ради этого майдан и затевался, все ради войны.

    • @dangerdan2592
      @dangerdan2592 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@eman7282If Russia wants peace then they can leave Ukraine any time.

    • @eman7282
      @eman7282 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@dangerdan2592 Russia isn’t banning the UKR language, the religion, and legislating against negotiations…
      Funny how you are for Ukraine but not the large amount of ethnic Russians who live there

  • @anno-fw7xn
    @anno-fw7xn 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    thanks for you update!

  • @marypylyp1636
    @marypylyp1636 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you for the analysis, Anders!

  • @chriscoomans4434
    @chriscoomans4434 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +34

    Much appreciated!!

  • @aarhus46
    @aarhus46 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Hej Anders. Tak fordi du, i denne opdatering, satte taletempoet lidt ned. Nu er det perfekt 🙂 ... i øvrigt en fin artikel i Altinget om din podcast.

  • @richardsimms251
    @richardsimms251 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Great video. Thank you for all your work.
    RS. Canada

  • @timdownunder99
    @timdownunder99 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks Anders for your latest update.

  • @janlindtner305
    @janlindtner305 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Sobert og afstemt. Godt gået Anders💙👍🤟

  • @andreask.2675
    @andreask.2675 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Thanks for the analysis. What I am very curious about is this:
    If the Ukrainians get all the ressources they need, how long would it take to retake substantial amounts of territory? Considering the Russians probably have mined most of the territory which will probably one of the bigger problems for Ukraine, it seems to me as a civilian almost impossible to make progress.

  • @Daniel-fv1ff
    @Daniel-fv1ff 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Very nice video, keen for more updates like this!

  • @PeterCieply
    @PeterCieply 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Cool commentary and diagnostic of the Battlefield 😊

  • @marijanmadunic3046
    @marijanmadunic3046 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Best!

  • @LarsMyghAndersen
    @LarsMyghAndersen 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Som altid tak for en god analyse 😀

  • @thomasjgallagher924
    @thomasjgallagher924 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Very good idea to do this kind of summary.

  • @funki4896
    @funki4896 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Good eh-ah-nd informative video

  • @therealdebater
    @therealdebater 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    Excellent, as always. Thank you, Anders.

  • @kalimai6703
    @kalimai6703 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    🤩merci Anders pour cette excellente analyse 👌
    From France 🇫🇷

  • @begun65vdal5
    @begun65vdal5 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you for your and for this analysis in particular! Regards from Berlin!

  • @oledochansen
    @oledochansen 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    Tak!

  • @anglaiseurophoning8998
    @anglaiseurophoning8998 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you Anders to help us keep hope for Ukraine

  • @TraderJoe888
    @TraderJoe888 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for telling us the good, bad and ugly of the current situation. Much appreciated.

  • @zvexevz
    @zvexevz 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    For the most part this is a well done summary of the front, but I must object to one point you made. I'm not sure where you got the idea that Ukraine didn't have to shift forces from Donbas to stop the Russian push into Kharkiv. Multiple Ukrainian sources have described how their manpower issues were further complicated by the need to shift some of their reserves to the north. Given Ukraine's continued lack of reserves, and the longstanding need for more comprehensive rotation of tired units, it's self evident that a new front will place greater stress on those forces defending in Chasiv Yar, Krasnohorivka, Ocheretyne etc. Yuri Butysov, well known Ukrainian military correspondent with close ties to the AFU, has reported that the 92nd, 57th and 42nd Mechanized/Motorized Brigades are taking part in active hostilities in the new direction. Additionally, Stryker AFVs of the 82nd ODSHB have been spotted in Vovchansk, indicating one of Ukraine's best equipped assault units have been transferred to push back the Russian advances there. The 13th Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard also has elements in the fight in that area. And finally, as you correctly pointed out, Marines from the Kherson region have also been moved to this newly activated front. It serves no purpose sugarcoating the extent of Ukrainian difficulties in terms of manning the front. So either more research or more honesty is needed in these reports.

  • @alandoherty5237
    @alandoherty5237 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Great video thank you for the information Glory to Ukraine Slava Ukraine pryvit

  • @JoeyDND
    @JoeyDND 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I was searching TH-cam for a factual based video and not one focussing on propaganda or going viral.
    I’m glad I discovered you Anders, good work!

  • @JoseJavierCCP
    @JoseJavierCCP 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thanks for the explanation Anders . .

  • @nigelhaywood9753
    @nigelhaywood9753 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +21

    They've been saying that the F16's are going to be arriving next month for the last year and a half. I'll believe it when I see it.

    • @PeterSedesse
      @PeterSedesse 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Nobody ever said that. The earliest I ever heard was like May 2024.

  • @lisbjerg123
    @lisbjerg123 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Tak Anders. 👍

  • @veridian79
    @veridian79 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for your overview of the war so far. it puts the war into perspective. Maybe you could make these more regular.

  • @seangibbons6520
    @seangibbons6520 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    Another great video keep up the great work 👍

  • @vornamenachname5171
    @vornamenachname5171 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    First of all: thank you very much for presenting your views, pls never stop!!!🙏🏽
    Secend, a question: how is your point of view regarding the case, if trump wins the upcoming 11/2024 us-election? Do you think european nations can strongly enough strengthen the ukrainian efforts to prevail against the aggressor?

  • @vonries
    @vonries 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Thanks

  • @jeremyallard7015
    @jeremyallard7015 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks Anders as always very well announced and accurate. Please keep up the good work.

  • @Palle1nr
    @Palle1nr 25 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    So, if Russia on average fire 5-10 times the number of artillery shells as Ukraine (kind of confirmed by both sides). 65-85% of losses are due to artillery (kind of confirmed from both sides) and you add the higher number of FABs and precision guided missiles fired by Russia and I have even heard from Ukraine sources that Russia dominates in drones, how on earth can anybody come up with a number that Russia has lost more men than Ukraine. I know that Russia have been on the offensive longer, but not by much (I also know it does not appear so, as a lot of Ukrainian offensives, if they do not yield results, cease to be mentioned or called offensives). Please help me understand!!

    • @0topon
      @0topon 25 วันที่ผ่านมา

      What ive read is that Ukraine employs more drones the Russia. Russia also uses soldiers on small scale missions that one could describe as suicides waves. There they send a few soldiers forward and repeat this until they gather ground. Where did you get the estimate for 65% to 85% of artillery deaths?

    • @bram7703
      @bram7703 7 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@0toponMost casualties are reported as a result of shrapnel or TBIs which is created by explosions, arty and FABs being the main culprits as most drone strikes dont kill soldiers on both sides and I wouldn't say what your saying is 100% factual unless you're talking about from the beginning of the war. Most attacks now are organized and if it goes horribly that isn't a suicide mission it's just a plan gone terribly wrong due to intel or luck.

  • @freedomfighter22222
    @freedomfighter22222 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +186

    Yep, that offensive went the same way anyone with any insight would expect, 30-50k men allegedly preparing for a major offensive is lacking a digit to be believable as a threat.
    Though to be fair, I don't believe Russia intended it as an offensive to begin with, just a quick land grab of lightly defended border regions for a short-term propaganda effort.
    Russia might be dumb enough to do it again, but it wont go any better for them anywhere else along the border, the only thing they will achieve is more support for Ukraine from the West.
    It is crazy that so many people see Russia using half a year to take cities like Bakhmut or Chasiv Yar and think the war is going to end anytime soon, the war will continue for 2-3 more years until western supplies become so vastly more numerous to what Russia can supply that the Ukrainian military overwhelms the Russian combat capabilities.
    I also don't understand why people think that Russia opening another front in Kharkiv takes away more Ukrainian resources than Russian resources, Russia is attacking into terrain that vastly benefit Ukraine, that is perfect for the Ukrainians as that is exactly what you want in a long war, for the other side to waste resources until your bigger economic support gets up to speed.

    • @DaniEles-rc7ij
      @DaniEles-rc7ij 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Biden is toast... There will not be more money from the USA... but you right, the war is at least 4 years from ending.

    • @RobertoEarnywho
      @RobertoEarnywho 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

      @rphb , you field assumptions only.

    • @seanbinkley7363
      @seanbinkley7363 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      There's an assumption too by a lot of people that Russia can just infinitely throw men, material, and money to make incremental gains until they take over all of Ukraine. Sure, there's a high threshold for what is "too much" for Russia's regime and it's people but Russia isn't in the same place it was in WWII demographically or industrially. These folks seem to be operating off of the logic that Russia can just keep using Red Army style tactics from the 30s and 40s forever. Yet I think if the battles the Russian military has won so far since the end of 2022 show anything it's that there will come a time when they literally exhaust all the manpower and or resources they can invest into this war and that Russian society is going to increasingly feel the "pinch" of these investments. Assuming of course, that Ukraine stays in the fight (which despite the setbacks in territory it doesn't seem like the AFU is in any mood to quit.)

    • @rphb5870
      @rphb5870 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@RobertoEarnywho no it is backed by data, and lets not forget that the west have already given all that it is willing to give and almost all that it is able to give. NATO is tapped out and people are tired of financing that war. They are tired of it in France, they are tired of it in Germany they are tired of it in England and they are most certainly tired of it in America.
      There are detractors of course, there is always going to be people who love war, but these are mostly the people who don't pay the price for war, and is too callous to care about its victims.

    • @DavidOfWhitehills
      @DavidOfWhitehills 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

      The Kremlin told you all that?
      Roos is so fooked.
      TH-cam.

  • @yolo6741
    @yolo6741 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for the video and the great overview.

  • @Farkeman
    @Farkeman 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It can be hard to remain education while avoiding doom scrolling but your summaries always hit the spot!

  • @Woodneye-mc5jt
    @Woodneye-mc5jt 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +21

    Always a pleasure to hear sober insights among the propagandists from both sides. Slava Ukraine.

  • @ConradAinger
    @ConradAinger 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    It may be that the Russian incursions in the Kharkov area were indeed an offensive that has now been halted. Alternatively, the move was intended to attract Ukrainian reserves, stretching their army and facilitating Russian advances elsewhere.

    • @maryginger4877
      @maryginger4877 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      Russia only used 10K troops, so its obvious they had no designs on Kharkov

    • @ConradAinger
      @ConradAinger 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      @@maryginger4877
      Yes. He somehow neglected to mention that!😆

  • @Jemacaza
    @Jemacaza 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very useful. Thank you.

  • @pgluvp4e
    @pgluvp4e 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Excellent coverage very interesting perspective and different thank you very much

  • @solstin5202
    @solstin5202 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Endnu en interessant video
    Another interesting video

  • @VoiceofSarawak
    @VoiceofSarawak 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +13

    Anders
    I do like your updates and the extremely high Russian troll count in the comments tells me your assessments are very accurate

    • @geofflepper3207
      @geofflepper3207 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Every post by a Russian troll is more evidence that Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine is not going according to plan and has turned into a disaster for Russia and for its military.
      Countries that launch successful invasions have no need for trolls to spread propaganda because the success of their invasion is obvious from events on the ground.
      And as you say the more Russian trolls who respond to a video with a thoughtful critical analysis of the war the more likely that the analysis is accurate.

    • @ivangohome
      @ivangohome 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      oh yeah. there are 3 types... rednecks who just want a certain color out of the country, gen-z pro dictatorship who are always angry and sometimes antisemitic and true Kremlin trolls with with fully formed names but join dates between Jan-July 2024

    • @hmmm2564
      @hmmm2564 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      ​@@geofflepper3207 the USA was trolling everyone about Iraq and Afghanistan until everything fell apart

  • @susanacton5007
    @susanacton5007 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks Anders - always enjoy your objective reports

  • @miskaknapek
    @miskaknapek 26 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Thank you for another well analysed and well presented analysis of the situation.
    I enjoy the overviews and the ability to tie together related developments, and pointing to what actually matters (the most).

  • @yamaneko-ex8fy
    @yamaneko-ex8fy 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

    Thank you a lot for keeping us informed. Highly appreciated!
    Slava Ukraini!

  • @emmokaemingk9448
    @emmokaemingk9448 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +30

    Thank you Anders. There is a question I have which you did not discuss: what is happening in Crimea? Ukraine is destroying all air defense systems. Will they attack the Kerch bridge? Will they try to storm a beach like in Normandy and create a bridge head? The Ruzzian navy does not excist anymore !

    • @MohanKaffi-vk3nr
      @MohanKaffi-vk3nr 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

      Fact 1, altough Ukr succeeded in destroying Russ air defence, but Russ air defence still can be replaceable that is why Kerch Bridge still intact. Fact 2, seaborn attack by Ukr is impossible, Ukr does not have enough man power also Ukr does not have navy since long time ago.

    • @zachemny
      @zachemny 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@MohanKaffi-vk3nr >> Ukr does not have navy
      But what about maritime drones?

    • @skymaster4121
      @skymaster4121 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

      @@MohanKaffi-vk3nrfact3: replaceable but at which price? Hundreds of millions for every system and they have by now destroyed dozens. They get destroyed faster than Russia can produce them, thats why they have to move them from other places. Not sustainable….at all

    • @Princip666
      @Princip666 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@skymaster4121 "they have by now destroyed dozens" - Sources needed, evidence missing. We don't do make-believe stuff here.

    • @alowry2002
      @alowry2002 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@MohanKaffi-vk3nrin addition 🇺🇦doesn’t have air superiority. One can’t do an amphibious invasion without it.

  • @JohnnyBoy-tw9mh
    @JohnnyBoy-tw9mh 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Excellent as always.

  • @user-hh8er3wi5b
    @user-hh8er3wi5b 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very good report. Everything is clear and in line with some other sources of similar information. Thanks a lot 🤝👍

  • @ChristianW1975
    @ChristianW1975 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    i was just thinking, I need a war-update video, thank you Anders 🙂

  • @MrDavePed
    @MrDavePed 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    F-16's started flying 50 years ago. Amazing they still can make a difference.

    • @tombombadil8709
      @tombombadil8709 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

      They can't, and won't.

    • @maryginger4877
      @maryginger4877 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      They can't

    • @geofflepper3207
      @geofflepper3207 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@tombombadil8709
      You don't even deserve one ruble for such a tiny unimaginative bit of Russian propaganda.
      If you don't improve your performance online you'll soon find yourself sent off to the front to spend your time in a rundown Russian trench.

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      ​@@tombombadil8709 12 F-16's can't, 120+ which are in the pipeline as well as 7 patriot batteries will definitely make a difference

    • @user-zy3nv1jy1m
      @user-zy3nv1jy1m 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@pogo1140 ''Make a difference'' is not ejecting all Russians from Ukraine

  • @TorstenBecker
    @TorstenBecker 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank You very much.