Israel, China, India-USA, Russia-Ukraine - Geopolitics Overview by Amb. Pankaj Saran | ACP 74
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Pankaj Saran is an esteemed Indian diplomat who served as the Ambassador of India to Russia from January 2016 to November 2018. Before his tenure in Russia, he was the High Commissioner of India to Bangladesh. A career diplomat from the Indian Foreign Service (IFS) since 1982, Saran has held various significant posts both in India and abroad, showcasing his expertise in international relations and diplomacy. He has also worked in the Prime Minister's Office (PMO) in India, dealing with foreign affairs and national security issues. His diplomatic career reflects a profound commitment to advancing India's foreign policy and maintaining robust bilateral relationships.
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In this podcast, Ambassador Pankaj Saran shares his extensive experience and insights from a distinguished 40-year career in diplomacy and national security. Starting his journey in Moscow and culminating as India's ambassador to Russia, Saran discusses the pivotal global changes over the decades and India's evolving role on the international stage. The conversation delves into his assignments in various global capitals such as Washington, Geneva, and Egypt, highlighting the intricate skills required to navigate and influence international policies while promoting India's interests abroad.
Ambassador Saran also touches on significant historical events that shaped the world, including the Cold War, the rise of terrorism, and recent challenges like the COVID-19 pandemic. The dialogue further explores the complexities of India's relationships with major powers, notably the evolving dynamics with the United States and Russia, emphasizing the strategic decisions that guide India's foreign policy today. This episode offers a comprehensive look at the challenges and achievements of diplomatic service, providing valuable perspectives on international relations and security issues that are crucial for anyone interested in global politics and diplomacy.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction
01:14 - Exploring Amb. Pankaj Saran's Career
07:42 - Evolution of India-US Relationship
14:58 - India's Strategic Position: US and Russia
23:43 - Geopolitical Relations: Russia, USA, India
27:48 - Dynamics of Russia-China Relationships
30:00 - India's Necessity to Maintain Russian Ties
34:34 - India's Potential as a Global Power
36:44 - Russia's Position in Ukraine Conflict
41:08 - Geopolitical Dynamics in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
43:15 - Crocus Terrorist Attacks and Tajikistan Security
47:32 - Potential War from Middle East Tensions
54:07 - Geopolitical Tensions with Iran
56:22 - China's Coercive Tactics Against India
1:01:21 - Geopolitical Interplay: India, China, Russia, West
1:03:32 - Pakistan's Ongoing Threat to India
1:08:16 - Geopolitical Dynamics: Pakistan, China, India, USA, Russia
1:10:28 - India's Strategic Global Importance
1:17:07 - India's Vision for Independent Global Influence
1:18:40 - End
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About:
The Abhijit Chavda channel is an expansive library of content that offers insights into geopolitics, contemporary world affairs and history from an Indian perspective.
Abhijit Chavda's unique research-backed worldview has made him one of the strongest voices in the Indian Digital Space, and he has represented India at international forums, including the G20 summit.
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Salute to DIPLOMATS understanding on GEOPOLITICS... Country needs his EXPERIENCE...
For history pls call surya roy sir and praveen mohan they are amazing and talk about dharmic revival.
Besides the veducation founder can also be great guest at your amazing podcast who is working to re establish gurukul school.Also Sahana singh who is based in usa to talk about ancient indian education.Venkatesh rangan sir is a great historian too who has published three books and worked upon ancient indian conquests and our great civilization.Raghava krishna ,the founder of brhat is doing great work.Also rajeev malhotra of USA who wrote the book Snakes of Ganga
Also ,Capt praveen chaturvedi who made sahib movie is great person who advocates for our santana cause and tells how it has been systematically destroyed.Shaleen wadhwani is a great art educator,curator and talks greatly on how British looted of our riches and how it can be repatriated Also vedveer arya who talks about correct chronology of Indian history.Abhijit jog who is an author also challenges the leftists ideology snd fake history still taught in india
This is one of the best podcast that I have heard keeping india as key country . Keep it up Mr. Chowda.
It's Mr.Chavda😁
Thank you for speaking in English. It's so difficult to find sources that are not biased and is in English. India is in an advantageous position right now. Claim it!
Excellent discussion between two fine gentlemen. Straightforward questions and in-depth reply from the lived experiences. Nothing speculation nothing on assumption. Fascinating!!!
India needs to get much more Militarily stronger to defend itself from her enemies. Only hard Power is respected. Soft Power is ok but In the Past India was taken over because of only soft power. Strong Power is needed for India.
Bharat has both soft & hard power always even in the past bt we should knw that times r not always the same there r some inevitables in the world which can't be avoided doesn't matter how much ever money, strength & technology we might have.......
Better to improve the lives of 1.4b citizens first then talk about hard power.
@@kopsymukoti-zy7og Without hard power securing our borders there's no use of any kind improvements within the country......
@@kopsymukoti-zy7og Under the given circumstances you are very shortsighted and not understanding. I guess that you will side with the enemies of India for the destruction of India, like in the past.
@@kopsymukoti-zy7og priority should be security .anyone can attack you and destroy your riches at any moment. So growth is only guaranteed when security is taken seriously. Economy and security can't be taken individually. Security needs economy and economy grows only with security
Absolutely Brilliant podcast Abhijit ji. I do feel Pankaj ji, Sibal ji and Jaishankar ji are in the same category of Gurus of Diplomacy, Knowledge, experience and Geo Politics 😊🙏🏽🇮🇳
Yes
@Abhijit well done, what a session from Amb. Pankaj Ji.
Very pragmatic, well researched, balanced, up-to-date & sharp observer - Amb.Pankaj Saran... Thanks AbhiChav for bringing him in...Was fascinated with his insights on ever challenging & complex geo-politics in his talk at USIP
Catch 22 situation for India - sitting on the barb wire fence. USA and CHINA are G2 stalwarts. One willing to EXPEND EUROPE and the other willing to EXPEND RUSSIA. Just a matter of time. Amazing geopolitics! The common denominator between a DEMOCRACY and an AUTOCRACY is unfettered CAPITALISM. Welcome to the multipolar world.
😂 G2 my foot USA will never sit down and share world if they could then USSR would be alive and expend Russia ( what weed do you smoke ) ,the same Russia that didn't bow down to the USA will not take dictation from china of all things
Very Well Said Sir!!
The autocracy is the US, the Arse-nil of Hypocrisy. What they say and what they do or are, are completely different!
All were neutral whenever india had war or border skirmishes !! India should remain neutral and manage somewhat calm in region and grow economically just like world did. Not our war not our problem. We are our own ally and we will be alone in our wars so we need to grow and be sufficient to protect atleast our land and people. That's my take !!!
One of the best Foreign Policy & Geo-Politics discussion of all time! Excellent views from Mr. Saran
Always interesting to listen to Mr Saran a person with deep insight, experience and true patriot. Thank you.
A long as we can control The Greater Indian Ocean.
We will rule the world. 😊😊
Well can you though? How many ships do you have? Have many missiles? How many subs?
@@chriscain7333 we have 1000 times more missile than China has ships, and subs.
That's all that is needed
Very good discussion.
Both Mr Abhijit and Mr Sharan are brilliant .
Mr Sharan own Vlog Show too is excellent .
Sir kindly please add time stamps .....
And yesss, Thanks for such podcasts 😁
Great insight
Again and again, Indian Foreign Services is top class. To balance superpowers is a superpower in itself.
So much knowledge has been released in this interview.
A great discussion, superb analysis on geopolitical scenario. I lean on these topics in preference to reporting with video footages not necessarily in connection with the actual facts and sometimes with matching music. Those videos are cheap and of no value to me.
Thanks to both Abhijit jee and the guest speaker; both of you did a great job! This is Satindra Chakrabarti from Canada
On the spot questions and clarity in every answer.
Enjoyed the conversation
Lol the laugh at 1:02:00 was personal, awesome podcast, great quality.
Loved the video and the insights of the guest are very mature and fresh .
Hi Abhijit. When the ambassador explained about why there is propaganda against India’s democracy one thing that I haven’t heard from anyone is that no country wants to deal with a country that has a strong leader. A lot of people would now say I am team bjp 😂but it’s more about geopolitics than personal affiliations. If you look at PM Modi, he has the same level of power like Mr Putin in Russia and Mr Xi in China. Btw I am not comparing. In India we have free and democratic elections. This power comes not because he is the PM but because BJP holds majority seats meaning that there is no need for BJP to wag their tail for other parties that would support them to power. Now when you have that kinda a power, it’s difficult for other countries to play games. They can’t leverage the internal politics of India to help their cause. Maybe that’s why we see so much propaganda. I am not sure if I was able to correctly phrase the question. I hope you understand what I mean.
27:06
rightly said 'a fascinating conversation".
The Indian Tiger's Fangs start high in the Himalays all the way down, stretching deep into the Indian Ocean..
A common Indian must realise this strength...
Jai Bharat 🙏
Another erudite, eloquent and articulate guest with a wealth of experience. Fantastic and stimulating conversation. It is heartening that India has had such wonderful people at the helm of strategic affairs who have calibrated our foreign policy in a way that reinforces our national narrative, upholds our sovereignty and represented our collective aspirations in the best way possible for the world to see.
🎉..more IFS please especially who retired lately
Very interesting... Thanks
Highly intelligent guest. Can tell he is a diplomat. Was careful to not go against any bloc openly. Much more intelligent conversation than a lot of the more jingoist guests. He is an intelligent realist. Don't agree with everything he said eg that Russia has not deployed its major arms yet, but overall very fair and commendable. Thank you!
Well, we need hawks too. Cant be too diplomatic always.
Excellent discussion ❤
Many thanks for Bringing on Ambassador Saran and Good Line of Questions, Absolutly Riveting!!
Amazing talk show ❤
❤❤ Finally
Very interesting and delightful conversation, putting a lot of things in a right perspective.
Brilliant podcast
Good, productive, fruitful, informative conversation. My best wishes to Team Abhijit Chavda. Keep it up
Respect to his outstanding English and expressions. Thanks to Indian Diplomats!
Another wonderful interview Abhijit !! Definitely added to my understanding of geopolitics. Keep it going 👍
Interesting discussion Sir, just watched one more of your discussions in some US think tank
Jai hind
Loved the twitter warriors comment and cooler heads will need to prevail. Totally agree those decision makers need to zoom out a bit.
Maybe the right answer is the China-India-Russia Axis? NATO can't understand uniqueness of India but Russia and China are so similar to India in many many respects!
Russia and india are strategical allies and share mutual respect for each other. What does china have in common with india .....other than as a counter to USA monopoly in unipolar world?
@@xouman3759 China and India share a rich history of cultural and economic ties, with many similarities and connections between the two nations. Here are some key points:
Religious ties: Both China and India have a strong connection to Buddhism, with Buddhism originating in India and later spreading to China. Gautam Buddha’s journeys and spiritual practices have had a significant impact on both cultures.
Ancient civilizations: Both countries have a long history of ancient civilizations, with China’s Han Dynasty and India’s Mauryan Empire being two of the most notable examples. These civilizations have left behind a rich cultural and architectural heritage.
Economic cooperation: Despite being competitors in some areas, China and India are also cooperating economically, with both countries seeking to strengthen trade ties and invest in each other’s markets.
Border disputes: While there have been tensions and disputes along their shared border, China and India have generally maintained peaceful relations for thousands of years, with a shared goal of promoting economic cooperation and stability.
Cultural exchange: There has been a significant exchange of cultural ideas, art, and literature between China and India throughout history, with many Chinese and Indian artists, writers, and philosophers influencing each other’s work.
@@xouman3759 On the other hand in case of a conflict between India and China, India won't be able to rely on oil deliveries from Russia, while Russia will still need to finance itself, i.e. will sell it to China. Alternatively it might be that Russia will force China to let oil flow, but I doubt it. At leasr in foreseeable future Russia is to weak and China to strong and it is tendency.
Thought provoking insight to world issues impacting Bharat, thank you.
Personally my opinion regarding this or other podcast of yours is it will influence more people if they were in hindi
❤
Pls add time stamps to your videos sir
For history pls call surya roy sir and praveen mohan they are amazing and talk about dharmic revival.
Besides the veducation founder can also be great guest at your amazing podcast who is working to re establish gurukul school.Also Sahana singh who is based in usa to talk about ancient indian education.Venkatesh rangan sir is a great historian too who has published three books and worked upon ancient indian conquests and our great civilization.Raghava krishna ,the founder of brhat is doing great work.Also rajeev malhotra of USA who wrote the book Snakes of Ganga
Also ,Capt praveen chaturvedi who made sahib movie is great person who advocates for our santana cause and tells how it has been systematically destroyed.Shaleen wadhwani is a great art educator,curator and talks greatly on how British looted of our riches and how it can be repatriated Also vedveer arya who talks about correct chronology of Indian history
Indian medias are fast becoming just like U$A, a lot of talking about the greatness of India and how everybody else is wrong or threatening and India demands respect from others because it is the next super power.
❤❤❤
Salute 🫡 Abhijeet Sir
🎉🎉❤❤
imho, i didnt learn much from this podcast. He just said what we all know already and what abhijit chavda told before. You need to bring engineers and scientists and interview them and see how we can become atmanirbhar sir. Just my suggestion. Geopolitics will be there forever but we have to raise to standards of the world, to do that we have to grow materially and for that we need to know where all we lack in our atmanirbhar india mission.
I don’t think we can ever get any meaningful benefits from U.S..
And even if it comes, it will come with lot of baggage..
U.S does not have a habit of understanding of the concept of “ sovereign nation “
But the bigger problem is “ the elephant 🐘 “ and “ the bear 🐻 “ can’t create their own world..
a strong India would need the west..
a strong Russia would also need the west ..
a strong China would also need the west ..
The question is how all of these would come together is difficult to anticipate..
For history pls call surya roy sir and praveen mohan they are amazing and talk about dharmic revival.
Besides the veducation founder can also be great guest at your amazing podcast who is working to re establish gurukul school.Also Sahana singh who is based in usa to talk about ancient indian education.Venkatesh rangan sir is a great historian too who has published three books and worked upon ancient indian conquests and our great civilization.Raghava krishna ,the founder of brhat is doing great work.Also rajeev malhotra of USA who wrote the book Snakes of Ganga
Also ,Capt praveen chaturvedi who made sahib movie is great person who advocates for our santana cause and tells how it has been systematically destroyed.Shaleen wadhwani is a great art educator,curator and talks greatly on how British looted of our riches and how it can be repatriated Also vedveer arya who talks about correct chronology of Indian history.Abhijit jog who is an author also challenges the leftists ideology snd fake history still taught in india
#askabhijit Is there any significant advantage of Thrust Vectoring Engines? Should India use Thrust Vectoring Technology for AMCA project? Some people argue Thrust Vectoring Technology is not much useful in dogfights as lots of energy is used. ( I dont have any opinion on that) , If that is so, Why does many Russian Fighterjets such as flanker series use Thrust Vectoring Engines? What are its benefits?
#askabhijit Does India have any counter of PL18 air to air missile especially in terms of its range? PL18's range is expected to be around 400km
I had written a detailed note on Russia how it helped India when Abhijeet had mentioned abt Russia harming India whatever I had mentioned in my note today exambassador spoke the same thing
just going by the intro - it's a hyperbole that tanks and planes don't matter. There's attrition but eventually infantry is going to move forward with tanks and air support
Infact, Russians are using their planes and helis to drop heavy bombs on Ukrainian positions.
Theyre pounding Ukrainian defences using air assets to soften them up because ukraines air defence is pretty much non existent, and then using tanks and ifvs to push infantry forward.
So yeah, youre right.
👋👋👋✨
He didn’t say “sweet generous nation”, he said Sui generes
The Indians actually used the line drawn by the British who colonized them
सभी को राम राम 🙏
I see.
Please add timestamps
As hard as it may be to not take the US accusations of an 'India backsliding into illiberalism' personally, try not to. This type of phrasing from the US is simply our go-to accusation now for anyone who resists the narrowly set and incoherent prescriptions. It's leveled at citizens domestically, at troublesome citizens and leaders of the EU who want to act in their own interest, as well as any other nation who doesn't sit firmly in pocket. Unfortunately, this claim, I think, will inevitably become an empty and meaningless accusation via overuse, perhaps a case that is most scary of all. Anyway, great content as always.
I think our govt. Stopped caring about it long back. Stage of our news channels and papers will co.e next...then people and i think after 5 yrs. This will be considered same to Global times is considered as chinese propaganda.
So if Russia has attained its objective when will it end operations and what preparation to hold on to the gains.?
TIMESTAMPS??
Pankaj saran is missing out on an important point. The problem is not about their criticism. The problem is that the criticism is propaganda driven and not an objective one. That means, there is malice in their criticism
@42:00
@Abhijit, " they are not flattening the place"
Which news channels do you watch?
India us relationship depends on China factor. US need India’s population to be a gunfolder against China.
Am I d 3rd person to watch it
Remind me... What was the first question that Abhijit asked ?
😅😅
"hmm" "OK" "I see" "yes"
It would be a much easier listen if you didn't compulsorily acknowledge your guest every 2 seconds. Just a suggestion.
"Would Mr. Saran acknowlwdge the financial perspective of the Ukrainian War - with the Vangaurds, the BlackRocks, the Sorosis , the Investment Caucasian Families already invested ?"
#AskAbhijit Sir, we all know that China is going through a "Demographic Disaster". However, what are your thoughts on the argument that Robots and AI will replace the workforce and parts of the army. We have seen that AI is already part of warfare with its usage in cost effective drones, so in 20 years can AI replace a chunk of soldiers as well because war is changing too and in 20 years robots and AI will progress by leaps and bounds.
It does make India a "less desirable partner." It is not in the US's direct national interest to support Ukraine in a war against Russia. The US is supporting Ukraine because it is in Europe's interest, and democratic hegemony in Europe (and in the world) is in the US's interest. It demonstrates that India will only care for itself, and it will not consider second and third order interests.
What kind of democracy did US wanted in Iraq to initiate a war there.
Why USA supporting dictator Sisi in Egypt but condemning Myanmar Junta.
Why USA supporting regime change in Pakistan, fraud, rigging election but opposing Maduro in Venezuela.
USA uses democracy, human rights to promote it's Geo political interest.
How can you have border disputes with Russia when you do not have common borders? Was that a slip?
Please make video in hindhi
China only exports 300 billion to USA now, which is almost the same amount as Russia. China is more decoupled from America today than in last 30 years. China is about the dominate the global auto industry, and this will hurt Germany unless Germany is allowed to keep selling in China. So this puts pressure in EU to break its American relationship, which is good for Russia.
There's error in caption, when he says India is sui generis nation, it translates that as sweet generous nation.
1st
India has to be better than a US cannon fodder.
China should leave tibet.
Time lap
So he says a lots was happening before PM Modi came. And history of India did not start in 2014
It is Persian Gulf and not Gulf.
Then given your logic and comparison of Russia-Ukraine to India - Pakistan would it be ok for India to attack Pakistan and take territory as it sees fit? And, then should the West allow such blatant disregard for Rules based world we try to live in? Can India get away with it by calling it laughably a ' limited military action" ? And, if China decided to increase its occupation in Eastern Ladakh even more by sending massive troops towards Delhi, would it be again considered not a War but a limited action? Of course we know that India is playing a strategic high wire game to ensure its desire to economically rise and use its demographic dividend to be successful. It needs raw materials, oil, military hardware, and market for its exports of human capital as well as services. Why demonize the West and particularly USA and become an apologist for oppressive dictatorship to achieve that? India is playing the geopolitical game of GO as are other major powers. Tomorrow India will source it s military hardware from N. Korea and oil from Iran and minerals from Russia. But should not expect to get a free pass from the West for doing business with these rogue nations. And the big gorilla in the room is China who is well entrenched with the above mentioned sister socialist countries or Theocracy as is Iran. In a clash with China, which India perceives as its biggest and inevitable adversary, will Russia or Iran or N.Korea support India? India's only option will be to become another China vassal. China will not let a multipolar world emerge in its backyard: Asia.
Will Russia help India in a conflict with China?
Why should India and China go to war unless the US manages to make India its new Ukraine.
Without China, Russia would be torn apart by NATO, and without India there would be no influence on Russia
🔥🔥🔥
Brics would have gone much further without India. India should be gracious and leave.
Nothing is tough if you speak truth to power. It's tough if you sit on a barb wire fence unwilling to take an independent stand. What use is NON-ALLIANCE? Take for instance the ongoing GENOCIDE in GAZA - all kudos to SOUTH AFRICA for leading the case to the ICJ. Both SOUTH AFRICA and India understand the pain of being under OCCUPATION, yet India's silence on this GENOCIDE is deafening. It relegates India to a weak nation status INTERNATIONALLY. At least CHINA has spoken the truth - that people who are OCCUPIED have every reason for self-determination - "by all available means, including arms struggle." India being the LARGEST WEAPONS IMPORTER from ISRAEL doesn't absolve it of speaking truth to power. Gandhi would have certainly called it because he understood the message of SATSANGA.
Start blabbering on Gaza after you raise your voice for the minority persecution in West Bengal or Pakistan for that matter.
@@prathammittal1786 correct! India is a disciple of the only APARTHEID REGIME. It is also the LARGEST WEAPONS IMPORTER from ISRAEL in the world.
my friend you take some hard stuff South Africa is leading case against whom also icj is a toothless tiger and you are fool if you think this Gandhi 's India this is also Netaji's Bharat and dont act like you know what is meaning of satsang ( how in hell can there be something like that between nations you idiot) and you need to open dictionary and read what meaning of genocide is
?
00:17 "sui generis" nation and not "sweet generous" nation. Mood kharab ho gaya
I think he pronounced "sui" correctly but fumbled on the "generis". But he used it correctly...
@@namansinghnegi8931 There is no correct or incorrect in pronunciation. Remember that we are using a foreign language anyway. What matters is what was intended to be communicated, and it's clear that he meant "sui generis"
he means to say India wants business