Key Signals to Watch in a Volatile Real Estate Market
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ต.ค. 2022
- Guide to Market Data: bit.ly/altos-ebook
Demo Altos: altosresearch.com/contact
Altos Research is the premier resource for real-time real estate data. We provide weekly market statistics, analysis and reporting for 99% of the zip codes in the U.S., helping real estate professionals, investors, financial institutions, and their clients make better-informed decisions.
Featuring Mike Simonsen, CEO of Altos Research
A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets.
Please like this video and subscribe to our channel if you want to see more videos like this.
You can also follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights:
/ altosresearch
/ mikesimonsen
See you next week!
#realestate #realestatemarket #housingmarket
23:08 Great video! But Mike, but how in the world is the decline in price normal? Look at each of the prices in the previous years. There was a smooth flat line in each of those points in the year of previous year. But this year there is a crazy drop!
Fantastic insights
Great info! Appreciate your insight as always!
now that it is over 8%, all the models are going to need some major revisions
Really appreciate it ❤
Great info. Thanks.
At over 7% rates, how low will transactions go? Cut in half?
If we knew what was going to happen we wouldn't call it a market. The entire purpose of markets is to adjust to current conditions. Trying to predict the future..I don't waste my time with that. I do create plans for different alternatives and try to position myself to be able to execute those plans if it becomes needed.
With so many 30 year fixed mortgages locked in, I think finding sellers who won't move or sell. With high interest rates, buyers will be scarce too. If Real Estate is a 17% of GDP, this could put a crimp on the economy until rates do come back down.
What happens when travel is way down in a recession? Well we sure haven't seen that slow down so far.
This channel is one of the few out there i always rush to check for daily updates.. Well i will also say this here, this days it takes so much research to make it in the financial market mostly when it comes to bitcoin trading and other financial markets. Trading alone has been nothing but failure till i came in contact with pro trader Finely whose signals and guidance is more than just perfect..... 👌👌I've been able to achieved profits of about 7.3 btc trading under his guidance within space of 6 weeks session.
First to contact him ✅✅
Its been so amazing and profitable trading with Finely’s daily signals and guides for over 7 months now 👏👏👏
sincerely speaking, i will continue to trade and stick toFINELY 's daily signals and guides as long as it works well for me ✅✅✅
Crash factors:
Interest rates will continue to increase into 2023/24
No more deep discounts as the MBS market will dry up
The low rate pre-approvals will age out fast.
Renewals of those 2% and lower mortgages will clean out many mom and pop and some bigger investors with forced sales
Inflation will continue to compress disposable income
A recession pretty much inevitable
International equity markets and NA markets will see large correction
Bond yields climb as flight to safety grows.
Short selling in all housing related equities is high and rising
CMBS market is dead with no securitization deals getting done for multi family.
Govt debt is high making more borrowing for housing relief political suicide
Bankruptcy rising
Investment in new rental stock will decline due to strict loan underwriting, OPEX and CAPEX increases and rent affordability falling.
NAR and CREA analysis is as credible as Trump legal advice. Totally biased. Any commission based source of investor analysis is 100% biased.
House prices should react very badly to all economic factors especially interests rates that could be higher than 8% for 5 year closed by 2023.
Heard enough?