A Once in a Lifetime Financial Event Is Here
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 พ.ย. 2023
- SHARESIGHT - Track Your Portfolio (4 Months FREE)
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/sharesight
Howard Marks' sea-change is a complete transformation, a radical change of direction and in the economic world, we’re going through one right now.
In fact, according to some of the most respected people in finance and economics the game of investing has completely changed from what most of us have experienced our entire lives.
So what is the sea change and how should you be investing differently than what’s worked in the last 40 years.
★ SUPPORT MY TH-cam CHANNEL (ONLY $4.99/m)★
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/community
===========
STOCK ANALYSIS SPREADSHEET
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/spreadsheet
-------
STOCK ANALYSIS CHECKLIST
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/checklist
-------
SHARESIGHT - Track Your Portfolio (4 Months FREE)
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/sharesight
-------
SEEKING ALPHA - News & Analysis (50% OFF)
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/seekinga...
-------
TIKR - Financial Data (save 25%)
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/tikr
-------
YOUNG INVESTORS PODCAST
▶︎ Apple Music bit.ly/YIPitunes
▶︎ Spotify bit.ly/YIPspotify
▶︎ TH-cam bit.ly/YIPYouT
-------
★PRIVATE INVESTOR COMMUNITY★
▶︎ www.hamishhodder.com/community
-------
MY TH-cam GEAR
▶︎kit.co/hamishwhodder
-------
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER
▶︎ / hamish_hodder
BUSINESS ENQUIRES
▶︎ hamish@hamishhodder.com
-------
Disclaimer:
The information in this video is general information only and should not be taken as constituting professional advice from Hamish Hodder.
Hamish Hodder is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances.
Hamish Hodder is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by use of this video.
With the economy still pretty hot and inflation sticky, U.S. stocks ended Friday’s session in the red with all three major averages notching weekly losses as inflation and global crises intensifies.The Dow Jones Industrial average dropped 1.24%,The S&P 500 shed 1.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.62%. Shares are extending a downtrend. I have over $320k in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is down by 15%. Wondering if there are any short term opportunities I can invest in.
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her a message. I hope she gets back to me soon
Transfer of wealth usually occur during market crash, so the more stocks drop, the more I buy, in the meanwhile I'm just focused on making better investments and earning more as recession fear increases, apparently there are strategies to 3x gains in this present market cos I read of someone that pulled a profit of $350k within 6months, and it would really help if you could make a video covering these strategies.
Many people underestimate the importance of advisors until their emotions lead them astray. I recall a few summers back, amidst a lengthy divorce, when I required substantial support to keep my business afloat. Seeking licensed advisors, I found someone with top qualifications. Despite inflation, she aided in growing my reserves from $275k to $850k.
I could really use the expertise of this advisors my portfolio has been down bad. Who’s the person guiding you?
Lisa Ann Moberly, you can read up on her, she's quite known and her works speaks for itself.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call.
80% equities 20% cash. I plan to take advantage of the s&p 500 as leading indicators predict above 10% rise by this year, my only issue is how to properly allocate a large stock/bond portfolio for substantial gains at minimum risk.
Keeping some gold is usually a wise decision. You would be better off keeping away from equities for a bit or, even better, seeking advice from an expert given the current market conditions and everything that is at risk with the current economy.
Very true! I've been able to scale from $350K to $550K this red season because my FA figured out Defensive strategies to protect my portfoIio and profit from this roller coaster market.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
@@yeslahykcim Evelyn Alicia Schoenholtz is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@@yeslahykcim Evelyn Alicia Schoenholtz is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Being in my early 50's, these ''once in a lifetime'' events are starting to get old.
Haha since they ditched the gold standard it’s been a non-stop rollercoaster
@@lewis809gold standard was a more dogshit rollercoaster that killed everyone every 4-5 years…
@@sunnohh The exchange rates had been stable....
@@the_expidition427 and mfers were still dying coz of the market shitting itself.
I am 29 and i think i am on my 5th?
In the middle of 2024, I think we'll start to see more market diversification. I'm hoping to invest about $300,000 from a recent home sale into the financial markets, but I'm still not sure how rates will effect the market just yet, which worries me a lot. Like how long will the bull rally last before the reset?.
You see in the stock market, bigger risk begets bigger results that can work in the bulls' favor. I think investors who are wary of the changing market trends should seek out bear/bull mrkt directions from certified strategists.
Lots of individuals undervalue the function of advisors until they are burned by their own emotions. I remember a couple of summers ago, following my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to assist my business stay alive, so I looked for licenced advisors and found someone with the highest qualifications. Despite inflation, she has helped me increase my reserve from $275k to $850k.
thats really massive!How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Viviana Marisa Coelho’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call.
I’m a millennial and I’ve lived through two “once in a lifetime” events
same.. i think we will see more of those in our lifetime. All the best
I came here to say this. Seems like "once in a lifetime" financial events are happening every ten years or so.
just another way of saying “this time its different”
Same with every other generation... It's all happened before. Maybe not completely the same but a version of it.
I'm not even 30 and already saw three global changes, the dotcom bubble and it's crash(but I was way too young tho, but it was interesting to read about it), the real state crash and now experiencing the third one, indeed it happens every 10 years or so.
In my opinion, a housing market crash is imminent due to the high number of individuals who purchased homes above the asking price despite the low interest rates. These buyers find themselves in precarious situations as housing prices decline, leaving them without any equity. If they become unable to afford their homes, foreclosure becomes a likely outcome. Even attempting to sell would not yield any profits. This scenario is expected to impact a significant number of people, particularly in light of the anticipated surge in layoffs and the rapid increase in the cost of living..
A recession as bad as it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you're careful and it can also create volatility giving great short-time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advice but get buying, cash isn't king at all at this time..
Many ppl are choosing AMZN as their "Stock of the yr" I agree it has a chance to be. But my question is what stocks can be the next APPL in terms of growth for the next decade? I have $250k ready money to invest for long term gains, and my goal is to retire comfortably rich.
Financial professionals like Dustin Dwain King often bring a wealth of knowledge and experience to the table, helping clients develop and implement sound financial strategies tailored to their specific needs and goals. It's crucial for individuals to recognize the importance of seeking expert advice, particularly when it comes to managing investments and mitigating risks.
You need 2x-3x more inventory to have any kind of housing market crash. That inventory isn't going to happen. There won't be any crash. At the absolute worst prices may go down about 10% but that's it until more inventory is on the market.
This is what Blackrock and Vanguard are waiting for, sadly.
I'm thinking to put some cash in stocks, I was at Salt Shack and i overheard some friends saying its ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? I’ve been sitting on over $545K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here, is it a good time to buy into stocks or do I wait for another opportunity?
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
I just sold a property in Portland and I'm thinking to put the cash in stocks, I know everyone is saying its ripe enough, but Is this a good time to buy stocks? How long until a full recovery? How are other people in the same market raking in over $450k gains with months, I'm really just confused at this point.
Yes, a good number of folks are raking in huge 6 figure gains in this downtrend, but such strategies are mostly successfully executed by folks with in depth market knowledge
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@@LynellLee how can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
@@WilliamRosser487 Rebecca Charlotte Craig is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
I just looked her up on the internet and found her webpage with her credentials. I wrote her a outlining my financial objectives and planned a call with her.
I genuinely mean it when I express my stress and concern regarding the market crash and high inflation, particularly in relation to my retirement. I have been experiencing losses for quite some time, and while some may argue that crises can present opportunities, I am feeling overwhelmed. However, I understand that investing is a long-term endeavor, and it is crucial to maintain focus on the bigger picture and the long run.
Considering that I am only three years away from retirement, it becomes challenging for me to solely concentrate on the long-term perspective. Despite having invested in reputable companies and having a significant amount of funds allocated, my profits have been stagnant. This situation raises the question: Does the current recession and unstable market offer any calculated risk opportunities for generating profits?
In a downturned market, numerous strategies exist that can potentially yield lucrative profits. However, executing such sophisticated trades requires the expertise of seasoned market professionals.
this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Finding financial advisors like Margaret Johnson Arndt who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
I just looked her up on the internet and found her webpage with her credentials. I wrote her a outlining my financial objectives and planned a call with her
The S&P 500 moved 8.9% higher last Month, achieving one of its best monthly performances in history.. which is an indicator for profits to continue to improve. I just want my money to keep outgrowing the inflation rate. I'm still looking for companies to make additions to my $500K portfolio, to boost performance. Here for ideas...
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
Marina Carolina Nice is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market....
Stocks are pretty unstable, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks|couple months, so I think there are alot of wealth transfer if you know where to look.
John Desmond Heppolette is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
For individual investors, it is important to exercise caution in investment decisions and fully understand the balance between risk and reward..
I've been struggling with finances for months after my divorce, and I just discovered his exceptional resume when I Googled his name. I consider it a blessing that I discovered this comment area
This recommendation came at right time, very much appreciate it. curiously inputted his full name on my browser and found his site top search, no bs.. over 20 years of experience is certainly striking!
Markets look like 2015-16. Probably going back to all time highs, but will probably go sideways until fed signals rate cut, Recently sold 25% of my $285k portfolio comprising of plummeting stocks that were recommended by certain financial TH-camrs, quite devastating!
not their fault, the stock market seems to be more of a casino for gamblers now than a place for investors. even if you were averaging down on ailing companies, its your duty to properly research, buying the dip does not guarantee a rebound
this is huge! mind if I look up the advisr that guides you please? only invest in my 401k through my employer for now, but enthused about diversifying my investments for a prosperous financial future
I curiously typed in her entire name to search online, I saw that her site was highly ranked and really professional. Thank you for sharing this; it has stoked my desire to achieve my goals again.
Look at all you BOTS lol@@velayuthman
Time>timing
We are currently in the jaws of the worst bear markets I have seen, the average stock has been cut in half, and the only way to make money this year has been to either short or to trade long in very short time frames. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my dipping $117k stock portfolio, what’s the best way to take advantage of this bear market?
As an ordinary investor, it is extremely difficult to outperform the market. It is simply preferable to invest with the assistance of an expert who understands the market dynamics better.
Many people dismiss the value of advisors until they are burned by their own emotions. I needed a good boost to keep afloat, so I hired a professional market strategist to assist revitalize my $700k portfolio and increase performance and returns by 40% in just over four years.
@@WilliamHarwoodx Could you please leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I desperately need one.
I'm being guided by "Laura Marie Ray," who is well-known in the financial sector for her competence and ability. She has a deep understanding of portfolio diversification and is considered as a specialist in this sector.
@@WilliamHarwoodx I contacted her because I needed all the help I could get, having just looked her up on Google and being very impressed with her credentials. I recently set up a caII.
With all of the current events, what is the best approach to profit from the present market? I'm still debating diversifying my $400k stock portfolio to obtain some profits while minimizing risk.
The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit, but in order to execute such effective transactions, you must be a skilled practitioner.
Investing your money is a good move, especially if you have a dependable plan that can steer you towards profitable days ahead. A mentor will be the best. The returns are guaranteed .
How do I find this financial counselor ?
Alicia will hold you in skilled hands and your assets will grow, along with your reproductive organ. Skill such as this is very confidence inducing and extremely gratifying.@@benitabussell5053
fed?@@benitabussell5053
With world markets tumbling, inflation soaring, the Fed imposing large interest-rate hikes, the treasury yields rising rapidly, markets manipulations, and many other factors makes me wonder if people still make profits from all these investing BS.
Not Bs with the right information and steps, one can make over a million from the market in a day go ask Grant and other top investors.... Believe me or not as noob investor myself, I have made over 45K from the market in a few months.
Hi Mike, do you use spreadsheet, Can I see?
@ kentucky...The concept of using spreadsheets has always seemed incredibly time-consuming and superfluous to me. My investing accounts mirrors that of a sec regulated pro, Adam Brossard Wright I prefer it because it's a very transparent and automated method, I don't have to be active during trading-periods. There are comissions though.
Hi Mike, Thanks for the pointer. I will try out maybe for a month or two. I hope I am convinced.
From today I have made 3.301% on my trading account. I'm almost 65 Y.O. and am using this extra money to help pay for odds and ends that I want as a retiree. Anyone can do it with the correct knowledge, skills, and patience. Best of luck to you going forward.
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Michelle Stewart
Building a good investment portfolio is more complex so I would recommend you seek Michelle Stewart support. This way you can get strategies designed to address your unique long/short-term goals and financial dreams.
Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
What impresses me most about Michelle Stewart is how well she explains basic concept of winning before actually letting you use her trade signals. This goes a long way to ensure winning trades.
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much
The advice in the video is valuable for the typical American. I started investing when I was 30 back in 1998. Today, I'm 55 and have a decent $3.2M nest egg, thanks to the careful supervision of my CFP. After learning all of this, my only regret is not starting earlier when I was 25. It may not seem like much but those extra 5 years are the most important.
And It's not even that hard. This strategies are just rigorous for the regular-Joe but are most successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge
@tommyers I agree. Based on personal experience working with an investment advlsor, I currently have $985k in a well-diversified portfollo that has experienced exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in st0cks, but you also need to be knowledgeable, persistent, and have strong hands to back it up.
@albatkobe She goes by 'HEATHER LEE LARIONI' . There are other good FAs online too, if you look around. But for me, Heather's honest approach gives me complete ownership and control of my positions, and her rates are incredibly affordable given my ROI.
Scamwankers 💦
@@fredm1 stop with these spam bot conversations for promo
I traded well on my Demo account but when I invested in to my main account i lost all my funds. Please i need an expert to assist me with my trading. It's frustrating how people loss funds in this trading, I really feel so bad.
I will advise you to seek the help of a professional because it’s really hard to create a strong professional portfolio. This will help you to achieve your goals and long term financial objectives
That's true,. Its really needful for beginners not to settle for videos alone or they will see themselves losing all their money just like me when I newly started trading with this videos here on TH-cam.
Many won't accept this truth but allow them, they'll understand when they become bankrupt as a result of unavoidable losses trading from mere TH-cam videos.
The first step to a successful investment is figuring out your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but is very advisable you make use of a professional.
Living with fear really stops us from taking risks,definitely if you don’t go all out you’ll never get out of any financial situation.
Now, fed funds futures markets are confidently indicating expectations of a Fed pause through this year, before a potential interest rates cut in March. The issue is how to properly allocate a $1m stock/bond ratio for steady gains, yet indicators are playing a trick on us.
for many years, bonds and other fixed-income assets have produced yields needed to provide solid income for financial needs, the importance of mitigating risks could be why investors are turning towards advisors for guidance
True, a lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I needed a good strategy to plan for uncertain times ever since the covid-19 pandemic crash, thus I engaged the services of a true market strategist. That has helped rejuvenate my $700k portfolio, boosting its performance over 140% as of today.
that's remarkable! i'm quite intrigued and would appreciate if you share additional details about your experience, or preferably the professional assisting you please
Thank you for this, I must say, Nicole appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call
The biggest thing I learnt from this video is the secret to becoming so successful is just making better financial decisions and investments. But then given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? Cant just watch my $980k savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Experts are more qualified to offer such specific counsel because the possible benefit increases with risk. So you should consider working with someone reliable.
@josephbush Interesting, I have been contemplating pursuing that approach myself. I could really use the expertise of this advisors, who's the person guiding you?
I looked up her full name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her; hopefully, she gets back to me soon.
Heather Lee Larioni stole every penny I gave her and killed my dog!! Do not trust here doge coin scams!!!
Stay safe and utilize interests rates to PAY YOU compounding your money. The 20 yr t bill is down to half what it was 3 yrs ago thanks to the rise in short term rates. Now that rates have stabilized, the long term yield will start creeping up because it has to in order to compete with str's. If you put $1M into robin hood tomorrow, you will earn $50k annually off their 5% rate alone. I don't know if it gets much safer or better than that.
Love the message. Wealth is a state of mind. When I focus on gratitude and enjoying today, money finds it way to me much easier and more enjoyable. Everytime I play the game of adding another 0 to my net worth, it always starts with the inner work.
There are lots of mixed opinions about stocks and there projection in the next coming years, I aim for short term solid gains from market correction and I'd definitely jump on the boat if I knew a thing or two about day-trading, but then again what do I really know? I'm just looking for the right moves to grow and hedge my stagnant reserve of $370k from inflation.
it's all hype! best to ignore the trend at the moment whether bullish or bearish, and stick to a proper trading plan preferably with expertise assistance.
Very true. Despite having no prior investing knowledge, I started investing before the pandemic and pulled in a profit of approximately $950k that same year. In reality, all I was doing was getting professional advice.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Pamela Kay Regel is my Advis0r. She has since provided entry and exit points on the securities I concentrate on. If you want to check her out, you may do so online. I usually trade in accordance with her strategy.
I am fortunate I made productive decisions about my finances that changed my life forever. I'm a single parent living in Bn Italy, bought my second house in April and hoping to retire next year at 50 if things keep going smoothly for me.
You're really doing well for yourself, I'm 46 and my life is in a mess. Any tips would really go a long way in shaping my life.
Better growth in finance is assured by varying my finance with the aid of my finance pro. and has changed my life ever since.
sear ch the name , lf you care
Rebecca Martin Watson.
i’m amazed to partake on this, it has rekindled the fire to my finance goal
With bonds overpriced, gold overpriced, real estate overpriced, the only place I found wise to put money is the trade market because from my experience it’s paid off more than any other investment I’ve gotten into.
Everything seems overpriced right now. One can’t tell what would turn out to be a smart investment. What do you think is the best approach for someone who is just starting out investing?
Herman Jonas, an astute financial analyst is the brain behind my success. I've gotten into a plethora of assets with $33k spread across stocks (options and futures) for the short term and Roth IRA, index funds, and ETFs, for the long term. Now I sit back, and just reinvest at intervals while I enjoy my retirement.
Do not forget that when it comes to the stock market, prices can be erratic, rising and declining quickly, often in relation to companies' policies, which individual investors do not influence.
@Ughatton How can I reach him, please? I'm buoyed by the good recommendations I’ve come across elsewhere. I need help with investing. I'm ready to pay for his services.
I appreciate the feedback. I reached out to him via the mail you provided and we talked at length. I found him to be verified. I’m glad that I signed up and I've begun my journey with him. Thanks again.
This video is your best one yet, Hamish! Can tell that a lot of effort has gone into this. Keep up the great work.
He never identifies the once in a lifetime event. Bollocks.
Investing half of my income in the stock
market at the start of every month has always been my approach. My second approach is to hold off on selling for at least five years, but as of late, my portfolio has seen a significant fall with losses of approximately $90k. what can i do?
To obtain financial freedom one needs to be a busses owner, an investor or both, generating passive income, particularly on a monthly basis.
Anyways not actually, what I know about trading almost borders on zilch lol. I make huge profits on my investment since I started trading
Sarah O'Neill her trading strategies are top notch coupled with the little commission she charges on her trade.
really are you giving her your money or your coin?
My coin stays right in my trading account, my account just mirrors her trades in real-time.that's the idea behind copy trading.
I investigated this sea change in uni as a little project with a colleague of mine in a data analysis module. We came to similar conclusions although looking more at the connection of the s&p500, vix, federal funds rate and unemployment in the us. To see how these factors influence each other if they influence eacht other. Very very interesting to see how this change goes largely unnoticed by so many people.
It's unnoticed because normies don't understand it and the policy makers want to make sure they never do. It's good for their bottom line.
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless" -Thomas Jefferson
Even worse, given the effectiveness of birth control, people will just delay or stop having children because they can't afford them. Then there won't even be homeless people to employ, but by that point the corporations will have robots to do all the work for them!
I mean. The end-goal of today is to have everyone be renting instead of possessing so yeah
That was always the goal of the tribe. They believe each of Gods chosen special boys will have 2,800 slaves.
Very nice comprehensive break down, thank you look forward to more :)
I appreciate how inclusive your content is for all investors. No matter the age. the financial situation, or the financial knowledge. everyone can find a piece of information that will help them or provide food for thought. Good job
My income stream is in a mess
Wow, amazing to see others who trade with Expert Corina Michelle,
I'm currenty on My 4th trade with her and my portfolio has grown tremendously.
@@stanleymaxon stop with these spam bot conversations for promo
One factor in the period from the 80's that is not often mentioned is the rise self funded retirement accounts ie 401K in US or Superannuation in Australia. There is a constant demand for equities coming from the contributions by both employees and employers to these funds.
12:11 Most important bit from this video IMO; psychology of investors sometimes affects the securities pricing more than the Earnings esp in the social media age we're in, i.e. gamestop
I've been through at least 3 once-in-a-lifetime financial events. Cheers to number 4! ;)
The printing of money from covid is why the market climbed so high all of that money from retail investors drove it up and the large investors sold their shares and claimed it all. That was the once in a lifetime opportunity.
Yep
@@adamhulu6171 The US Economy was shit in 1980, now it appears to be worse.
Much better video than I expected; thank you for making it. Kudos.
I think we experienced similar events back in 2020. Personally, I think investors will start to seek more market diversification. Wondering if I confidently invest about in the market this year. I'm still not sure how rates will affect the market just yet, which worries me a lot.
I think investors who are wary of changing market trends should seek out bear market directions from certified strategists/planners. Safer that way.
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 90% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, though this could take till Q3 2024.
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
I'm hesitant to make recommendations like this online so I can't drop her contact here, but you could look her up yourself and contact her if you wish. Her name is Sharon Louise Count.
RÖLLI
We finally found the guy who can predict the financial future, but makes a public video rather than using that information to make all the money there is. What a nice guy!
Beat comment of the century 👌🏼
no one can predict the fiancial future correctly every time.
Did you miss the part at 11:32?
Obviously you do not know who he is. Maybe do your homeworkfirst before posting something this ignorant.
Explain?
One thing people should know is that a crash and bullish market provides equal high-yield potential, it's all about information and strategy application, I've seen folks make huge 7 figure profit in crashing market and pull it off much easily in bull market. Personally I’ve made over $310k this year. There are lots of opportunities in the market, unfortunately people are not utilizing them.
What opportunities are there in the market and how do I profit from it?
@@Leighwilliams112 There are quite a number of undervalued stocks and Defi assets available in the market, get in on them. You can also short the market, there’s a lot that can be done to maximize profit.
@@BrettGregory299 I'm very interested in investing and I have good sum of which I'm willing to put in with the right information. Tried investing in stocks myself a few times but I’ve never been in luck picking stocks.
@@CoryLafund Having an broker is essential for making high yields investment, portfolio growth and diversification as well as Capital preservation which is just as important as the stocks you buy.
The mistake most newbies make is rushing into trading without adequate knowledge or guide
This is such a great video always educated, entertained and inspired, very informative. Thank you.
Nice video.The idea of picking investments that don't require us to know what the future holds is a good point.
The most dangerous words in investing are ¨Is different this time¨. Guys Value is value, keep buying good companies at a discount and you will do well regardless how the market is looking now.
It depends on how much time you have.
Khalas - Finish - well said
@@glumberty1 If i don't have time to do what is right with my money, researching for good companies and establishing what's a good price to pay for them, then i won't risk my money i will just invest in a Index ETF and that will do.
Name some good companies that are discounted and good value rn. Don't think so.
@@b7306 A wise person will ask how to evaluate a company, will not ask to give them the companies, its called ¨Due Diligence¨ ;)
P.S: If someone ask me that exact question i usually recommend them to buy VOO and do DCA since it's clear you don't know how to search and value good companies.
If you look at stocks from 2020 to today, everything has almost doubled or tripled in three years. That’s not normal and neither are valuations.
@@njerseydavid The advantage that Covid allowed the US Government almost creates the appearance of that Plague being something planned, to create a delay in the debt payoff the US Treasury appears to now owe?
They would not do that.........Right?
@@njerseydavid Collapse is imminent. As soon as credit is tapped out which is soon we will have a full blown liquidity crisis. Any spending that is taking place in the economy is credit driven. Consumers and corporations are almost tapped and banks of all sizes, all of them are in big trouble. We are headed for a major smackdown.
Great video, Hamish. Reslly polished and effective. Thanks.
Great work on creating stories for your videos. I can see you improving
Key lesson here, which wasn't really spelt out, if you are a stock picker - CHOOSE LOW DEBT companies, CHOOSE PRICE SETTERS, NOT PRICE TAKERS, BUY BELOW REAL VALUE (on a low PE when "once in a lifetime" EVENT occurs and sellers are fearful) and companies that have a moat (which makes them a price setter in the first place) and then interest rate increases won't effect your stock much, and nor will a decrease in the overall average PE ratio of the market/index, because said company's earnings should continue to increase, albeit perhaps a little slower than the past. ALA Buffet and coke, or See's Candy etc. Sometimes you just want a youtuber to spell it out for you...we'll I'm not one, but I hope I have helped.
oohhh this makes sense nice! but then no stocks are going up atm lol..... :(
You are missing the fundamentals of human nature. It doesn't matter what a security looks like on paper when the crowd starts selling the security is going down with everything else. There is nothing rational or reasonable about human nature, especially during a crisis.
No. just keep calm and index funds and bonds
What’s a moat?
an area of water (deep ditch) surrounding a building for protection. Back in medieval days, many castles had a most surrounding for extra protection in case of an invasion. With a moat in place, there’s usually a bridge in a single spot (that can be lowered) in order to cross the moat and get to the castle. It basically makes attacking a castle much more difficult because you can’t storm every wall.
In OPs use of “moat,” I’m pretty sure he’s describing it as the company having a safety net in case things go wrong (there’s a “moat” surrounding the business/stock). That makes investing into said company/stock less risky.
Extremely important to this topic - Since 1980 Household debt has near doubled, government debt has tripled. Higher interest equals higher service costs, less money in circulation. In short, rates will be going back down until debt is reduced, it's unavoidable.
I’ve been looking at this stuff vaguely in similar ways without understanding what this stuff is. As I look into it, that idea that I’m doing well to understand the risks and uncertainty has just made me make more stupid decisions cuz my brain is focused on the emotions so much that I can’t even see the bigger picture anymore cuz my focus is on my emotions and my thoughts get very limited to thinking about how I feel.
Thank you so much for your words of wisdom 🌹
Excellent vid thanks Hamish, your guest had spot on advice. Sea change in financial terms is on point that will catch many investors out over the next couple of years.
It's great that you found the insights to be on point and relevant to the current market conditions.
"Do you have any good medicines?" wow what a great analogy!
the the interviewer's $100,000 dollar question was dumb. another dumb question they often ask is:"what stock/sector do you suggest to buy in the current market?", and "where do you think the market will go this year?"
Does anyone ever read the side effects of medicine?
Side Effects......
Having been concerned about finances throughout my entire adulthood, it's captivating to observe this video and realize that one can achieve alot if goals are set right. Experiencing the freedom of not being preoccupied with the financial concerns that consumed me for numerous years is truly liberating. I suppose this is the result of putting in diligent effort for the future.
Remarkable observations! Handling and staying abreast of things can be quite daunting for newcomers like myself. Are you a seasoned investor, or do you employ a methodical approach to staying well-informed?
This is such a great video, very informative. Thank you.
2 things:
1) I feel the idea that you can't beat the big boys in a research capacity is fundamentally floored. take for instance Japan where 50% of listed businesses don't have regular analyst coverage. You are never going to out information wall street on S&P 500 stocks, but that doesn't mean there are no gaps in the research space.
2) why do you think it is unlikely that interest rates will fall back to historic lows? even moderate interest rate hikes like in the UK have had the intended impact on the economy and inflation is falling again. I think that the world has moved on from this viewpoint already... you can see huge gaps in the rate of return between long duration and short duration bonds at the moment.
really interesting video though as always.
You've missed the point on the advantages small investors have over investment companies. Small investors can invest in small cap companies with relatively small amounts of money whereas investment companies have to invest in larger companies due to the sheer amount the need to invest to obtain a return for their clients. This is a huge advantage, so you may have less information, but you have a much higher choice of stocks to choose from.
Also we don't need to be sophisticated to prove our value. So if we just put all or most of our money in the SP500 then we'll likely beat them
That’s true for a subset of institutional investors. Not all share the same constrains you described. Also there’s usually a good reason for small firms being small. Picking the next Amazon is hard and if you are lucky enough to find it, holding onto it to perpetuity is another monumental psychological challenge entirely 😊.
Having lots of information doesn't really even matter. Big institutions with tons of resources haven't been able to beat basic index fund investing consistently over any substantial period of time, ever. Set and forget.
Yes. The big guys won't touch stuff under ~$200M market cap b/c there's not enough liquidity for them to get in and out of positions. On the flip side, hedge funds can and do play options on small cap ETF, so it's not free and clear but less than large cap.
Noone invests in micro caps because of sole reason - RISK
Your a good kid for putting the ad at the end, I watched it because you were honourable enough to do thay
Thank you!
Most Americans like me find it hard to be convinced to work with advisors. Some persons have no financial market knowledge. Now my questions are, is trusting an individual to handle your finances being responsible or ignorant? is this advisable to oversee a $430k portfolio allocation?
Well we don't always agree we are insolvent, like the thumbnail says, we need fools in the system. i can't tell for how long advisors have been known to aid asset allocation. By spreading across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks.
this is huge! mind if I look up the advisr that guides you please? only invest in my 401k through my employer for now, but enthused about diversifying my investments for a prosperous financial future
very much appreciated, your response suggests a person of benevolence.. just inputted her full name on my browser, and came across her site, top-notch qualifications! she seems well-qualified
I'm fairly certain it has little to do with corporate earnings anymore. People just want to park their money in places where it "always goes up" over time. A substantial increase in the stock market over the past 40 years has been due to the switch from pensions to 401ks. While I'm sure high interest rates will slow the growth to some degree, stocks are still going to increase until the boomers start pulling out their 401ks.
Us old farts saw this shit coming in the 1980's.
Good Luck Kids....
lol no it isn't. It has had to do with the massive amount of money printing since the collapse of Long Term Capita; and continued during the pacific currency crisis, Japans deflation, the dotcom collapse 2008 financial crisis etc. All that money went somewhere - the markets. Now we will pay the piper. Look at a long term chart and you will see that the gains of the last 25 years are not natural.
Boomers are already starting their required distributions from IRAs. Also, as they pass away, heirs liquidate the old portfolios.
@@olyguy2000 Some of us blew the IRA stash a long time ago.
The number of beat up old Campers appearing on side streets indicates the success story of the US Empire.
The Money is gone, it was spent in 1967, you kids are left with the illusion of currency.
Good luck with that....
@@olyguy2000 The comment was regarding appreciation in the markets. Not sure why you are making this point. Btw, boomers have been taking distributions for quite some time now and portfolios have always been liquidated.
When it comes to money, there is information for the classes and information for the masses.
That is a good thought! Lets see what happens. I will keep an eye on my strategies.
I am glad you mentioned current market cap and possible future market cap of ARP400X . Don’t freak out people, it’s just a freaking bet.
Spam and he didnt
I only invest ARP800X, 400 is bullshit
Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market
Stocks are pretty unstable, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks|couple months, so I think there are alot of wealth transfer if you know where to look.
Hamish, your discussion about the financial sea-change is thought-provoking. In these transformative times, I’m interested in the prospects of new market entrants like Fuse Minerals. Their lithium-based IPO could be a significant event in the resources sector. Could you share your analysis on such IPOs in a future video?
Thanks for the vid. Very informative ❤
Great work Hamish, thank you!
7pe in 1980 was the consequence of a very long bear market. The average pe was before as well around 15 …. And in the 60ties similar high as today
Today we have full FIAT all over the world. We are in uncharted territory. They are pushing a war because the monetary system is collapsing. Wash rinse repeat. Just like ww1 and ww2.
I really needed to hear the last part of your video. Do what works for you, and stop trying to copy somebody online. This fundamental can be applied in any avenue in life, not just in the investment world.
Your Analysis n Review is Sooo Accurate n this gentleman hit the Nail on the head !! There are NO gurus or someone calling Performance exactly!! Each individual investor has unique desires n financial situations n are unique in their Risk Adversity !! You must Do a sound n Realistic view of YOUR situation n Goals and proceed cautiously n intelligently from that Base point !! 😎 Great video
What this says to me is that our economy is so dependent on debt that we’ve driven ourselves into a hole. Can businesses not operate without debt? If I can as an individual household, why can’t companies?
Most households can’t so why should most companies?
Why are companies ALLOWED to ?
You could almost think of it as a subcultural issue. If "everyone else" is driving 60 in a 55, you might try it, too. Do you regularly test your drinking water for contaminants? Not doing so might be a risk you've chosen to live with.
Point is, sounds like debt is a risk and practice you're not acclimated to. But many business leaders are basically expected to be.
You probably don't worry that every kitchen knife in your neighborhood might be used for violence, but you might want to avoid the shady areas in town where weird stuff tends to go down.
Likewise, you might recognize that people around you are going to take risks that look unnecessary to you (like debt loads) but can also attempt to create separation between you and it (like avoiding financial companies that seem to be going too far with these risks)
00:03 The decline of interest rates by 20 percentage points in 40 years was the most important event in the financial world.
02:14 Declining interest rates have significantly impacted the prices of assets like stocks.
04:23 Declining interest rates have contributed to increasing corporate profits and investor returns over the last 40 years.
06:24 Inflation and rising interest rates have not negatively impacted businesses or the economy yet.
08:22 Refinancing debt in a higher interest rate environment may not be possible
10:13 Investing actively can provide more choices and higher yields than just relying on the stock market.
12:12 Psychological factors greatly impact stock prices and investing.
14:11 Investments should be appropriate for the individual's needs and preferences.
bless you
Thank you
thank you chatgpt?
👍
The regular finance TH-camr, nothing what we did not heard or read the last 6xMonths. These TH-camrs burning bunch of money for making theire Videos viral, and they not even come up with new ideas, they chew all on the same bone.
love your videos. really well done.
Thank you
Interest rates follow very long term cycles of 2 to 3 decades up, then two to three decades down. If interest rates following upward trend over the next two to three decades, it seems like that's going to definitely keep a lid on stock market performance.
The Free Money has expired.
Ok. So 'This time its different'. Ohh yaahh..
Awesome video! The end take away about investing was a big help!
Good stuff, very well researched video. 👍
The missing part is why you think the rates aren't going back to 0. US needs to refinance their debt too and they control the rates. Fed does what they're told to when the push comes to shove.
NO this is wrong. The Fed only controls the short term rate. The bond market controls the long term. The risk of US Government default is going up. We just saw a weak 30 year treasury auction. Which means that the interest rate is going to have to go up to get folks to take on the risk (buy Government treasuries). When the FED pivots almost everyone thinks this is bullish and it is BUT ONLY VERY BREIFLY. They cut when the economy is in the dumpster. They are always late because they use lagging indicators. They have already over tightened but are afraid of inflation coming back and they should be ... QE, bail outs, Modern monitary theory... all of those are nonsense and they have gotten is into trouble. Way more trouble than most people understand. DO NOT THINK A PIVOT IS BULLISH ... IT IS NOT. It is your last chance to get out of your longs and if you are smart "short" the market. Don't believe me... look at a chart of the I don't know the S&P and see what it has done after a pivot. It has happened everytime. Everytime ... almost never happens in the stock market.
It is very unlikely because you have a negative rate of return with inflation and no one will buy your debt/bonds. If you would like me to give you an example with numbers just send a note
@@ardentenquirer8573still they need the money for international commerce. Triffin dilemma explains it week
Yes gov debt is now a forcing function that will drive monetary policy so that FFR will go down once something breaks (unemployment or credit locks up). And it will be politically suicide to rIse rates again when that raises the debt payments and refunds vote winning programs. That's not partisan. Left and right are all in on minimising austerity. So rates will go down again.
@@ardentenquirer8573No one will buy the bonds? Lololol, the entire US banking industry will buy them and laugh all the way to their mansions in the Hamptons because people keep money in their checking and savings accounts still paying predominantly less than 1% and they just turn around and keep those same deposits in short term bonds now paying over 5% with the federal government or in the RRP with the Fed. And dont bother arguing they will buy something else because they are forced to buy USGOV bonds by fact it is tier 1 assets and gets them the best regulatory treatment and even better for them to make more money, this is where the whole yield to maturity problem came from.
If you wanna be successful, you must take responsibility for your emotions, not place the blame on others. In addition to making you feel more guilty about your faults, pointing the finger at others will only serve to increase your sense of personal accountability. There's always a risk in every investment, yet people still invest and succeed. You must look outward if you wanna be successful in life...
Great video
Thanks
Hes so happy about the Recession coming in, like hes super excited to be witnessing it.
I am happy too. Lots of bargain hunting.
^ this
A recession is how u reset everything. U don’t want a recession and then a car will cost double what it already is. Food. Lmao 4 times what it is now. N right now cars,food and everything in between is already overpriced by 20% compared to 2020. Let’s have a depression 🥰🥰
Im excited too
I'm excited about it. Buy stocks and property at extreme discounts. Position yourself now to be able to purchase as much as you can. In 5 to 10 years, if not sooner, you will be very happy.
I am regretting not investing in stocks ever since but still grateful i kept money in the money market. With about $200k maturing soon, i plan investing in the stock market. What stocks should I look into as a newbie to safely grow my money?
Thats when you hire someone to manage your money. You need a (CFP) straight up! personally, I would invest in ETF's and also love investing in individual stocks.
I don't comfortably throw recommendations around on the internet, but I've been working with 'Lisa Angelique Abel'. God, she's brilliant! I'm sure there are others who are good.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks.
that was thought provoking thank u
Thank you FED!
You forgot to mention why interest rates move in the first place. Interest rates move with supply/demand of bonds.
Bonds will be the start of the next crash and hopefully interest rates go much higher. Otherwise we’ll experience inflation worse than the 70s.
In 1970 we discussed how damn stupid people could get if the concept of Fiat Dollars was enabled.
We assumed that people were not that Damn Dumb.
Humans would never fall for a phony ponzi style currency like that.
Look at us now?
I prob missed all the ""once in a lifetime event""
Great video - good explained and good quality, thumbs up!
Excellent video. Thank you.
Speaking as a professional asset manager, this video is fantastic! One of the best I've seen in months! The narrative explained here is spot on. Interest rates hit rock bottom the past decade (Z.I.R.P.). This does not mean calamity awaits, but it does mean that future returns will be significantly lower than in recent decades. For the most part the years of 20-30% S&P returns are over. Forward returns will most likely be in the mid-single digits per year, and we may even have some occasional negative return years. This is not a reason to fear the market, but expectations should be lower. The stock market will most likely be higher twenty years from now, but the incline will be at a much slower pace.
I agree, although AI is a legit game-changer, and a few companies will reap impressive benefits, while many others will see at least some benefit. (On the other hand, millions of displaced workers won't see any.)
Why dont you think "calamity" awaits? Ive never seen any convincing arguments that the stock market is not in a severe bubble. The most knowledgable people all seem to agree that the economy is beyond repair.
I saw the original vid with Howard, i think the thesis is amazing
This is one of the channels that gave me the courage to start my TH-cam channel 10 months ago about self development. Now I have 1,866 subs and > 2k hours of watch time. I know it’s not comparable with others but I’m still proud I started because I’ve been learning so many lessons that I could haven’t learned without getting started in the 1st place.
Incredible video, you got my sub man, i loved it! It is indeed the best investing advice at the end.
I agree that many people are considering NVDA as the "Stock of the year." However, I'm curious about which stocks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth over the next decade. I've allocated $200k for investment, looking for companies to make additions to boost performance
I think the next big thing will be A.I. For enduring growth akin to META, it's vital to avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term fluctuations. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@@Kaustavpatell Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
My go to person is a 'MARY TERESE SINGH '. So easy and compassionate Lady. You should take a look at her work.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks
great upload !
*🌹Every family has that one person who breaks the family financial struggles I hope you become that one and successfull in life*
I think there needs to be a distinction between interest rates vs real interest rates.
The real mind fuck lies in determining which one the market chooses to operate on.
Just look at the elite and follow what they do. That will give you an idea. It isn't hard it just takes a lot of work.
Investors are extremely alarmed by the impending recession and the Fed's rhetoric of raising interest rates. My $600,000 stock portfolio has lost 25% of it’s value. Whats the best way to hedge my portfolio to make profit in this recession.
Everyone is uneasy due to the continuous wars in the Middle East. To get assistance with your portfolio, you ought to speak with an FA.
Great videos!
We live in an era where everything is a Bubble. Its not a good time to be when you know its only a matter of time it all implodes, or the Poor keep getting Poorer.
Always educated, entertained and inspired ! Thanks Hamish
can you list the 10% zombie companies?
he needs a research team
ford,gm,stellantis,vw bmw ,mercedes,nissan,mazda,hyundai,etc@@Allen_Leigh_Canada
LCID is one of them.
Well, Amazon was one for like the first 20 years.