@@StanislavBabunts Because cheating in Bullet is much harder to do than other Chess time formats. Hikaru has thousands of filmed bullet games to show he's at the absolute top level without question and WITHOUT cheating. Kramnik makes no sense saying Hikaru is a cheater. It's like saying Magnus is. Laughable.
Imagine being so good that a former world champion thinks you're cheating. Hikaru should be thanking Kramnik for bringing up all of his amazing performances.
Kramnik has accused many high level players of cheating. The fact of the matter is that he is unwilling to admit that he has gotten worse in his age, which is something that chess players have historically done. Their cognitive ability drops off. Magnus even said before hand when speaking on him, that Kramnik believes that he is just as good as current top level players in spite of clear evidence that he is not. If anything, it's to be expected that he thinks Hikaru is cheating. He can't do what Hikaru does, and to him that's clear evidence of cheating because Kramnik is the best thing since sliced bread in Kramniks own mind.
@@MistaOppritunity😂😂😂😂 why Caruana repeated everything what Kramnik said? Why he sucks online while much stronger OTB??😂😂😂😂 Kramnik skill dropped, but he is still miles ahead of bortnyk and jospem, who obviously cheating 😂😂😂. And hikaru: never was even a candidate in classic and two times silver in blitz in last ten years, for comparison Magnus was five times first and one time second 😂😂😂 and stupid online fans consider him on par with Magnus, because in online he really plays at Magnus strength 😂😂😂 Everyone who playing online much stronger than OTB is cheater.
If Kramik stopped to realize how much money and content he was giving Hikaru, and how much he is just destroying his own reputation, he would resign and give a public apology, alas if he had that level of foresight, he wouldn't have started this joke in the first place.
lmao no it's not you moron, because at any given period of time there will always be one champ independently from how unlikely it is for ANY individual to become one.
A while back I caught some podcast with Kramnik as a guest. He was so completely statistically illiterate in his paranoid search for cheaters that I couldn't even stomach the entire thing.
intelligent people who are hyper specialized are dangerous sometimes because they dont understand their expertise only extends to one field, and are actually at an elementary level in others.
@@chockey4288"intelligent people?" , that's skill bro intelligence is broader, he is clearly dumb to not even consider the possibility that he might be wrong.
I actually don't care if Kramnik was one of the world's best chess players, this kind of behavior is just sad and the fact that he doubles and triples down instead of admitting he's wrong means he isn't deserving of respect.
@@dmitriiturchenkov3075 So was Fischer, what's your point? You can be brilliant at a thing and also be batshit crazy; the two are not mutually exclusive my friend.
Anyone even slightly familiar with mathematical statistics will tell you that you can't just pull out 55 wins between two losses and say that here it is - one hundred percent. There is an important rule of thumb: probabilities only occur when iterations tend to iterate to infinity. So just individual segments taken out of context is data fraud. The correct thing to do would be to look at not 55 games, but, say, 100, and at a random, rather than purposely selected segment, and see the result.
Hikaru saying "first things first" on a regular basis is an example of how his mind follows patterns, the exceptional pattern following ability that helps make him a chess genius.
I just posted a comment to Levitov Chess channel in Eng to the latest Mr Kramnik “math analysis”. As a dual-language speaker I could see how Kr and Levitov misinterpret some of Hikaru’s statements and even accuse him of “insulting” Mr Kr-k due to language barrier
I have watched videos from Daniel Naroditsky where he was able to draw against cheaters , and he did that streaming on his Speedrun videos. So drawing against a cheater who used a chess engine in that game is possible because at some point they can get very low on time that won't be able to follow a computer line and therefore blunders can appear
There is a big difference between bad players only following the computer and good players only boosting their performance. With this tactic you only beat the first kind. With engine help Dania would beat Hikaru and Hikaru would not be able to flag Daniel often in 3 0 .
In this drama, Hikaru acts like an adult, while Kramnik like a kid. Education is important, Kramnik is not your level of education, Hikaru, it's useless to argue with stupids
"If they say you're cheating, and you are cheating, you should be ashamed. If they say you're cheating, but you're not cheating, you should be proud of yourself "
Kramnik is obviously an old man who cant wrap his head around the current chess modernization and level of players. And i think you explain the different variabels that has an effect on the outcome of online games perfectly in this video, so well done Hikaru. Keep up the great work you are doing🔥
I wonder what Vishy is thinking right now if he is aware of what Kramnik is doing. They are from the same era kind of, and both turned out of quite opposite reputation over the years
Chess Elo performance rating for an event is calculated in the following way: a) For each win, add your opponent's rating plus 400, b) For each loss, add your opponent's rating minus 400, c) And divide this sum by the number of played games.
These guys have nothing else except chess. When they fall from grace their life becomes meaningless. Carlsen is trying to avoid this by doing things he is passionate about.
If hikaru is really cheating and hiding it so well than hikaru would not play chess because with this level of lying and manipulation he would be running for president in 2024 and be the favorite to win
I've said it elsewhere, but when I hear about Kramnik being so aggressively accusatory like this, I can't help but remember the cheating scandal where Topalov accused Kramnik of cheating during the world championships. It was extra funny because both players at one point missed mate in 2 in a classical game, but Topalov's team wouldn't let it go and it felt so slimy from them. Now Kramnik has decided to change roles in silly cheating accusations.
In an interview to Levitus chess (today) he literally asked a question whether everybody thinks Hikaru gonna beat him (Kramnik) with score 44,5 out of 45 games OFFLINE, saying that his rating is also 2980 - close to the average rating of those guys in a streak. So he literally confuses online with offline and himself with those guys with 2950.
Considering kramnik is retired and was never as good as present day top chess players, it would not surprise me if Hikaru can beat him close to such a score lol, especially in Blitz format.
I believe I have this figured out, just opinion but a speculate: apparently Hanns got together with Kramnik and got along swimmingly. As likely as not, Kramnik might be trying to equalize the suspicion against those involved in the Hanns scandal. I'd guess Hanns is quite amused and if I'm right, they'd be having fun with all "accusing the accuser"
Odds of Hikaru winning, showing it's not improbable: For the five incidents/events that Kramnik mentions about Nakamura, here are the probabilities for success by Hikaru are: 386 points (91.2%) for 45.5/46 - 7.85% (and for a perfect score it's 1.44%) 424 points (93.1%) for 34.5/35 - P(X ≥ 34): 0.29431683 (29.4%) and for a perfect score (35/35) it's 8.19% 599 points (98.2%) for 55/55 -- P(X ≥ 55): 0.36824073 (36.82% probable for getting a perfect score) 387 points (91.2%) for 46/48 -- P(X ≥ 46): 0.19386136 (19.386%) 544 points (97.2%) for 47.5/48 -- P(X > 47): 0.25584723 (25.58%) and for a perfect score of 48/48 it's 0.60961130 (60.96%)
The five incidents appear in this video at @11:30 The above statistics you can verify yourself using Hikaru's 3336 Elo for blitz online (November 13, 2023) and an online calculator for binomial distribution probabilities (such as the danielsoper site) as well as expected win rates (for example 386 Elo point difference means 91.2% win rate)
cmon how is this drama not over yet lol, it's either Kramnik not realizing how silly his claims are or I'm starting to wonder if it's a publicity stunt arranged by Kramnik and Hikaru atp, either way, go Hikaru , get the bag
If you listen to Kramnik's latest interview on Levitov Chess, he is doing just the opposite - he is becoming more and more convinced that he is right and one of the reasons is he believes that some of the people leaving their comments on his posts are trolls sent (and maybe paid as well) by Hikaru. I mean how delusional you must be. :)
Kramnik is in serious danger of being left behind in the modern world of chess (if he hasnt already). I understand he has earned his status as one of the best to ever do it, but he's already becoming a meme to the new generation and will be remember as such.
Kramnik needs to be investigated for conspiring with at least one other Russian chess player who shall remain nameless in order to oust Hikaru from the candidates - at the time it was last played it was said Hikaru didn''t deserve to be in it and yet he nearly won. They haven't forgotten. I'll be starting a petition for this, look for it soon. Such obvious attempts to subvert natural results cannot be tolerated. Investigate Kramnik! 😄
Kramnik is self-destructing These accusations that are SOLELY based on math, and BAD math at that which is easily torn to shreds with proper analysis……. have already SEVERELY and perhaps permanently damaged Kramnik’s reputation and legacy
OK guys, I figured it out. Hans Niemann paid part of his settlement money (the $100,000,000) to Kramnik for him to go after Hikaru so that people forget about the whole Hans drama :)
New video by Kramnik shows us really legendary statistics by Hikaru, performance up to 3600 in some longrange wining lines really makes you the best. The question is why you are not so good in offline?)
The table with Hikaru's recent results is a perfect example of Kramnik's ability with statistics. If Kramnik is trying to make a reasonable, defensible point about Hikaru's play he needs to show all the data, not cherry pick long streaks. If he wants to have a table of streaks, he also needs to show losing streaks. When Hikaru gets cooked by that Turkish 12 year old his rating looks terrible. When he goes 4 - 3 against a 2400, what's his rating over that stretch? Kramnik doesn't say, and this is why Kramnik can't be trusted: he's specifically showing only the data that support his hypothesis. In statistics we call that "cherry picking", or "introducing deliberate bias", or more colloquially "lying your ass off". More importantly, what is the probability of a 3300 ELO player playing like a 3600 ELO player for a few hours? I have no idea, but I'm guessing it's reasonably high. Everybody's play varies from match to match, which is why ELO only works in the long term. It doesn't make any sense to calculate someone's ELO over a short period of time because the whole point of ELO is to be an estimate of skill derived from many match results. It's a long-term, serially derived measure, taking into account all the data so "calculating" someone's ELO over a short period of time or a few matches literally doesn't work; that's not how that model is intended to be used so the results you get can't be trusted.
Some fundamental questions of life: - Why is there something rather than nothing? - How would we be able to tell if we live in a simulation? - Is there a God? - Is Hikaru a Data Scientist?
Acussations to the probably best blitz player of all time in history, are simple ridiculous and out of place. Today world number four in standard chess, I hope you soon become close to number 1. Congratulations Hiraku!
I don't know, I have a feeling that they are trying to destabilize Naka long before the Candidates Tournament. In my opinion, this is very dangerous for his performance! Naka, I hope you keep a cool head and don't let this affect your game.
This is easy to settle. How many mouse slips has Naka had in his 45,000 games? If it’s much less than average, then Kramnik might have a leg to stand on. But so far, Kramnik is looking like an idiot.
The good news about all this nonsense is that it's great CONTENT. Hikaru is v getting 3x views per video more than his usual videos. So @Kramnik keep up your BS. Hikaru keeps making these "Cheating" videos and keeps making money 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
I posted a MATLAB explaining this on Kramniks post, multiply every game probability together, then multiply it by 4000 (across 4000 games this year) divide by the problem set (46 games) and you’ve got a percentage, it comes out to 5.62 percent total, if you multiply by 55000 games in his career, it jumps to 85%, on the flip side him losing every game came out to something like 6.3x10^-39 power. So yeah I think Hikaru’s got a chance to go 45-46
If an 3300 player winning over 2950 rated player probability is 89.5%, which is likely as per elo difference statistics, in a 1000 game series, a 45 times consecutive win happening has a 58% chance. This means it is more likely to happen in a 1000 game series than not. Kramnik has no idea about statistics.
Hikaru was SOO TALL when Niemann was on the cheat-hook. Now when Hikaru is the one blamed for cheating he is lower than a maggot. This is TOO FUN! You can't make this shit up. Reality is always 100x better than fiction.
Complete checkmate. Everytime Kramnik doubles down, more content for you to monetize, and it just makes him look worse and worse. He doesn't seem smart enough to understand it. At this point your happy for him to keep trying to die on this hill.🤣
Kramnik really jumped on the band wagon from Hans accusations and thought it wouldn’t blow up in his face.”If I start accusing Hikaru then more people will” such a poor attitude
You either die a hero, or live long enough to become the villain
@@VPERED_V_PROSHLOE Harvey Dent
@@VPERED_V_PROSHLOE kracknik
wins the internet
@@MrILikeBreadstickscan we trust him?
@jonathanechevers6265 He's the world's greatest detective! Also he doesn't have any time for riddles.
I’m more likely to believe Hikaru paid Kramnik to make this up for content than believe Hikaru cheated.
Unironically, chess world needed some more drama.
Why?
@@StanislavBabunts Because cheating in Bullet is much harder to do than other Chess time formats. Hikaru has thousands of filmed bullet games to show he's at the absolute top level without question and WITHOUT cheating. Kramnik makes no sense saying Hikaru is a cheater. It's like saying Magnus is. Laughable.
Haha I thought the same thing.
I said the same thing lol
Imagine being so good that a former world champion thinks you're cheating. Hikaru should be thanking Kramnik for bringing up all of his amazing performances.
Hikaru and Hans Niemann can both now cross this off their bucket lists.
Kramnik has accused many high level players of cheating. The fact of the matter is that he is unwilling to admit that he has gotten worse in his age, which is something that chess players have historically done. Their cognitive ability drops off. Magnus even said before hand when speaking on him, that Kramnik believes that he is just as good as current top level players in spite of clear evidence that he is not. If anything, it's to be expected that he thinks Hikaru is cheating. He can't do what Hikaru does, and to him that's clear evidence of cheating because Kramnik is the best thing since sliced bread in Kramniks own mind.
@@MistaOppritunity😂😂😂😂 why Caruana repeated everything what Kramnik said? Why he sucks online while much stronger OTB??😂😂😂😂
Kramnik skill dropped, but he is still miles ahead of bortnyk and jospem, who obviously cheating 😂😂😂.
And hikaru: never was even a candidate in classic and two times silver in blitz in last ten years, for comparison Magnus was five times first and one time second 😂😂😂 and stupid online fans consider him on par with Magnus, because in online he really plays at Magnus strength 😂😂😂
Everyone who playing online much stronger than OTB is cheater.
@@uduehdjztyfjrdjciv2160You sound like a angry alt account of kramnick lol
@@uduehdjztyfjrdjciv2160😂😂😂 😂😂😂😂 😂😂😂 😂😂😂😂
Kramik is that friend that refuses to accept he's wrong
The person no one is friends with
You know nothing about chess, please be quiet
Kramnik is absolutely right
@@alexrhea9131
😂
Kramnik is absolutely in the right, this hikaru guy is a cheater 😡
Im glad Hikaru takes a break from his heavy cheating schedule to make these videos.
We're glad that you'll never take a break from trolling though. Keep on glazing your boy Vladdy
@@Jeremo-FD 'Tis but a joke
Underrated comment!!!
@@Jeremo-FDdefinitely a joke but I can understand you thinking “bot insulting Hikaru?”
@@Jeremo-FD That joke went right over your head 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Kramnik giving us more Hikaru content 😂
Kramnik never fails to put Hikaru in his videos 😂
such a nice guy 8-D
And both of them some additional $$$. I bet they have a call every evening to discuss the drama plot for the next day.
Milk it!!! Why waste a good controversy~ haha
also levi
Kramnik speaks for itself at this point
He made his bead and now he must lie in it
It would actually be hilarious if Hikaru continuously counted with his "First things First", then "Second things Second", and so on.. LOL
random nonsense will be random nonsense my dude, the funniest thing is he’s helping you get that bag by supplying you with tons of content 😂
This kramnik content are most viewed recent vides
If Kramik stopped to realize how much money and content he was giving Hikaru, and how much he is just destroying his own reputation, he would resign and give a public apology, alas if he had that level of foresight, he wouldn't have started this joke in the first place.
Anh people believe and supports his claims
@@patogordo1385There will always be an amount of people that believe anything. The vast majority of people don’t believe him though
Крамнику, в отличие от Хикару, нечего терять: он уже закончил профессиональную карьеру. А вот то что Хикару не жульничает- требует доказательств.
@@amirovartur He doesn't need to prove his innocence because nobody has provided any evidence of him cheating yet. Only empty accusations.
Hope he never stops, he's boosting chess more than the hans scandal
Kramnik was instantly smacked down by math and now is stuck looking dumb
The Algebraic Statistical Gambit Lives
No not really
Isn´t it a statistical anomaly for any chess player becoming world champion. I mean, what are the odds?
lmao no it's not you moron, because at any given period of time there will always be one champ independently from how unlikely it is for ANY individual to become one.
Odds are one, unless you mean specific player.
Yeah, if one had so little understanding of statistics, as Kramnik has, any world champion would be automatically a likely cheater, lol. Good point.
@@bleekcer I guess, you didn't see the previous comment. I am afraid your understanding of statistics is far worse than Kramnik's.
Okay, but why does Hikaru have 5 anomalies per month and Magnus has none in his entire career)?
A while back I caught some podcast with Kramnik as a guest. He was so completely statistically illiterate in his paranoid search for cheaters that I couldn't even stomach the entire thing.
intelligent people who are hyper specialized are dangerous sometimes because they dont understand their expertise only extends to one field, and are actually at an elementary level in others.
@@chockey4288"intelligent people?" , that's skill bro intelligence is broader, he is clearly dumb to not even consider the possibility that he might be wrong.
Do you have at least a PhD in statistics or mathematics?
@@axe-vw6ek you don't need a PhD to know someone else is illiterate.
@@axe-vw6ekAre you implying that a PhD is needed to understand statistics?
Another reason Hikaru is the GOAT of online chess... he knows when to farm and when to quit.
Honestly, it's just a relief that persistent play at an extremely high ELO is no longer considered evidence of cheating.
I actually don't care if Kramnik was one of the world's best chess players, this kind of behavior is just sad and the fact that he doubles and triples down instead of admitting he's wrong means he isn't deserving of respect.
He is the Champ of the world. You probably mean that you deserve more respect than world champion?
Admit he is wrong based on what? Because hiraku said no? because math doesn't add up? you are going to have to give more details
And what about magnus accusations of hans on over the board tmt without proof, do you think same about magnus
@@dmitriiturchenkov3075former*
@@dmitriiturchenkov3075 So was Fischer, what's your point? You can be brilliant at a thing and also be batshit crazy; the two are not mutually exclusive my friend.
Somebody should sponsor a big money match between the two. It would get an audience like any major chess final imo
Great idea, I'll throw in a tenner
Kramnik would have to get time-odds. Like 3 min. To 1.5 . No way Kramnik would play in such a setting. And without both know he would get destroyed.
This is probably the beginning of Kramnik's Fischer arc
Anyone even slightly familiar with mathematical statistics will tell you that you can't just pull out 55 wins between two losses and say that here it is - one hundred percent. There is an important rule of thumb: probabilities only occur when iterations tend to iterate to infinity. So just individual segments taken out of context is data fraud. The correct thing to do would be to look at not 55 games, but, say, 100, and at a random, rather than purposely selected segment, and see the result.
Kramnik : Hello Naka
Naka: Hello
Kramnik : lets make another cheating drama for content
Naka: ok, show is ON
"You giff me half eh?"
I’m a simple man… I see hikaru cheated, I click, I vehemently defend him as if he was my own father
Kramnik looked at Karjakin's fall from grace and said 'yeah i can do better'
😂
What happened with karjakin?
@@shreyaskrishna6038he was cancelled (and rightfully so) because he supported ruzzian invasion in Ukraine
There really is no reason you should ever have to explain yourself to anyone.
Agree 👍 100%
Hikaru saying "first things first" on a regular basis is an example of how his mind follows patterns, the exceptional pattern following ability that helps make him a chess genius.
Not so sure about that Johnny boy xD
Watching Hikaru repeatedly own Kramnik has become my chief source of entertainment
I just posted a comment to Levitov Chess channel in Eng to the latest Mr Kramnik “math analysis”. As a dual-language speaker I could see how Kr and Levitov misinterpret some of Hikaru’s statements and even accuse him of “insulting” Mr Kr-k due to language barrier
I have watched videos from Daniel Naroditsky where he was able to draw against cheaters , and he did that streaming on his Speedrun videos. So drawing against a cheater who used a chess engine in that game is possible because at some point they can get very low on time that won't be able to follow a computer line and therefore blunders can appear
There is a big difference between bad players only following the computer and good players only boosting their performance. With this tactic you only beat the first kind. With engine help Dania would beat Hikaru and Hikaru would not be able to flag Daniel often in 3 0 .
In this drama, Hikaru acts like an adult, while Kramnik like a kid. Education is important, Kramnik is not your level of education, Hikaru, it's useless to argue with stupids
I'm not a data scientist, but Hikaru seems like a totally normal bro, with a normal life and a normal job, except he beats us all at chess.
Time for some chessboxing between Hikaru and Kramnic
Kramnik found out his wife subbed hikaru and snapped.
Kramnik is the flat earther of the chess world
Said 1500 elo chess god
@@Hecklerr atleast the guy's not insane.
Kramnik apparently asked Danny to search Hikaru’s house. It seems that he’s clean, but we haven’t seen the ceiling yet.
Biggest meme would be Hikaru signing Kramnik petition live on stream, I'd start screaming
Kramnik: ?
Hikaru: !
Kramnik: ??
Hikaru: !!
Please sue him. He will have to take back everything he has said or pay you a lot of money. Only good outcomes.
"If they say you're cheating, and you are cheating, you should be ashamed. If they say you're cheating, but you're not cheating, you should be proud of yourself "
Just keep saying "First things first". That's just you being yourself and it's their problem whether they like it or not.
As much as I like Kramnik, this time, Hikaru is absolutly right and makes fare points each video on the topic!
Kramnik is obviously an old man who cant wrap his head around the current chess modernization and level of players. And i think you explain the different variabels that has an effect on the outcome of online games perfectly in this video, so well done Hikaru. Keep up the great work you are doing🔥
I wonder what Vishy is thinking right now if he is aware of what Kramnik is doing. They are from the same era kind of, and both turned out of quite opposite reputation over the years
One kept it classy. It's that simple.
@@lightyagami1752 only hope all of India's new gen of players can carry on the tradition. It would be a shame if we had a kramnik among our own.
Chess Elo performance rating for an event is calculated in the following way:
a) For each win, add your opponent's rating plus 400,
b) For each loss, add your opponent's rating minus 400,
c) And divide this sum by the number of played games.
Kramnik is starting to make Bobby Fischer look sane.
These guys have nothing else except chess. When they fall from grace their life becomes meaningless. Carlsen is trying to avoid this by doing things he is passionate about.
Kramnik is just jealous he only knows how to cheat in classical, can't take toilet breaks in blitz 😆
Hikaru is farming kramnik for content
If hikaru is really cheating and hiding it so well than hikaru would not play chess because with this level of lying and manipulation he would be running for president in 2024 and be the favorite to win
I've said it elsewhere, but when I hear about Kramnik being so aggressively accusatory like this, I can't help but remember the cheating scandal where Topalov accused Kramnik of cheating during the world championships. It was extra funny because both players at one point missed mate in 2 in a classical game, but Topalov's team wouldn't let it go and it felt so slimy from them. Now Kramnik has decided to change roles in silly cheating accusations.
If you're not a cheater, you have nothing to be afraid of. Kramnik is fighting cheaters and that's right
The Don Quixote of chess. 🤓
I love how everything is content for you. You are a king, Sir!
Sad to see, but fun to watch. I am a fan of this drama for the pure entertainment value.
In an interview to Levitus chess (today) he literally asked a question whether everybody thinks Hikaru gonna beat him (Kramnik) with score 44,5 out of 45 games OFFLINE, saying that his rating is also 2980 - close to the average rating of those guys in a streak. So he literally confuses online with offline and himself with those guys with 2950.
He must think he is a FM then lol
Next time Kramnik will say Hikaru is an online cheater, because his rating is much higher online, just wait for it, lol.
@@bleekcer Someone should bait Kramnik into saying this, for more content.
lmao
Considering kramnik is retired and was never as good as present day top chess players, it would not surprise me if Hikaru can beat him close to such a score lol, especially in Blitz format.
I believe I have this figured out, just opinion but a speculate:
apparently Hanns got together with Kramnik and got along swimmingly.
As likely as not, Kramnik might be trying to equalize the suspicion against those involved in the Hanns scandal.
I'd guess Hanns is quite amused and if I'm right, they'd be having fun with all "accusing the accuser"
Odds of Hikaru winning, showing it's not improbable:
For the five incidents/events that Kramnik mentions about Nakamura, here are the probabilities for success by Hikaru are:
386 points (91.2%) for 45.5/46 - 7.85% (and for a perfect score it's 1.44%)
424 points (93.1%) for 34.5/35 - P(X ≥ 34): 0.29431683 (29.4%) and for a perfect score (35/35) it's 8.19%
599 points (98.2%) for 55/55 -- P(X ≥ 55): 0.36824073 (36.82% probable for getting a perfect score)
387 points (91.2%) for 46/48 -- P(X ≥ 46): 0.19386136 (19.386%)
544 points (97.2%) for 47.5/48 -- P(X > 47): 0.25584723 (25.58%) and for a perfect score of 48/48 it's 0.60961130 (60.96%)
An error on the last line?
The five incidents appear in this video at @11:30 The above statistics you can verify yourself using Hikaru's 3336 Elo for blitz online (November 13, 2023) and an online calculator for binomial distribution probabilities (such as the danielsoper site) as well as expected win rates (for example 386 Elo point difference means 91.2% win rate)
@@artursverza Yes, good catch, I corrected it in a followup post.
"Stop saying first thing's first."
How about, "Second thing minus one."
Kramnik is an old man who just discovered trolling. Stop feeding him!
cmon how is this drama not over yet lol, it's either Kramnik not realizing how silly his claims are or I'm starting to wonder if it's a publicity stunt arranged by Kramnik and Hikaru atp,
either way, go Hikaru , get the bag
If you listen to Kramnik's latest interview on Levitov Chess, he is doing just the opposite - he is becoming more and more convinced that he is right and one of the reasons is he believes that some of the people leaving their comments on his posts are trolls sent (and maybe paid as well) by Hikaru. I mean how delusional you must be. :)
Paid, @@artursverza
"First things first" bro we are 18 mins into the video.
Kramnik is in serious danger of being left behind in the modern world of chess (if he hasnt already). I understand he has earned his status as one of the best to ever do it, but he's already becoming a meme to the new generation and will be remember as such.
Infinite performace is like the most satisfying thing ever
Kramnik needs to be investigated for conspiring with at least one other Russian chess player who shall remain nameless in order to oust Hikaru from the candidates - at the time it was last played it was said Hikaru didn''t deserve to be in it and yet he nearly won.
They haven't forgotten. I'll be starting a petition for this, look for it soon. Such obvious attempts to subvert natural results cannot be tolerated. Investigate Kramnik! 😄
Very good observation!
I'm baffled by kramnik's claim. According to him, Magnus must be the biggest cheater in history.
Interesting
If Hikaru is cheating then he is as good at hiding it than he supposedly is at chess and therefore still a genius
Kramnik is self-destructing
These accusations that are SOLELY based on math, and BAD math at that which is easily torn to shreds with proper analysis……. have already SEVERELY and perhaps permanently damaged Kramnik’s reputation and legacy
A 72 page investigation report that shows that Nakamura never cheated is unnecessary, but would be hilarious 🤣
Kramnik's doing the good ol' Hornet's nest stirring for that sweet STING
Hikaru versus Kramnik in 1 0 bullet - the "Dose of Reality" match we want, and Kramnik needs.
-"stop saying first things first"
-"apologies"
lmao
OK guys, I figured it out. Hans Niemann paid part of his settlement money (the $100,000,000) to Kramnik for him to go after Hikaru so that people forget about the whole Hans drama :)
And Hikaru also added some on top of that to get more content:)
I hope for Kramniks sake he never tries to play poker, if he saw someone get a royal flush he would try to burn them at the stake
Sad to see a great mind lose itself to dementia
and getting flagged a million times lol
"First things first.." 😭😭😂😂😂
*interrupts himself* "stop saying first things first? Ok, apologies"
How we all wish it went when we drop crits in chat
The trouble is that we will never know who/how many people actually cheat
New video by Kramnik shows us really legendary statistics by Hikaru, performance up to 3600 in some longrange wining lines really makes you the best. The question is why you are not so good in offline?)
The table with Hikaru's recent results is a perfect example of Kramnik's ability with statistics. If Kramnik is trying to make a reasonable, defensible point about Hikaru's play he needs to show all the data, not cherry pick long streaks. If he wants to have a table of streaks, he also needs to show losing streaks. When Hikaru gets cooked by that Turkish 12 year old his rating looks terrible. When he goes 4 - 3 against a 2400, what's his rating over that stretch? Kramnik doesn't say, and this is why Kramnik can't be trusted: he's specifically showing only the data that support his hypothesis. In statistics we call that "cherry picking", or "introducing deliberate bias", or more colloquially "lying your ass off".
More importantly, what is the probability of a 3300 ELO player playing like a 3600 ELO player for a few hours? I have no idea, but I'm guessing it's reasonably high. Everybody's play varies from match to match, which is why ELO only works in the long term. It doesn't make any sense to calculate someone's ELO over a short period of time because the whole point of ELO is to be an estimate of skill derived from many match results. It's a long-term, serially derived measure, taking into account all the data so "calculating" someone's ELO over a short period of time or a few matches literally doesn't work; that's not how that model is intended to be used so the results you get can't be trusted.
Some fundamental questions of life:
- Why is there something rather than nothing?
- How would we be able to tell if we live in a simulation?
- Is there a God?
- Is Hikaru a Data Scientist?
Acussations to the probably best blitz player of all time in history, are simple ridiculous and out of place. Today world number four in standard chess, I hope you soon become close to number 1. Congratulations Hiraku!
I don't know, I have a feeling that they are trying to destabilize Naka long before the Candidates Tournament. In my opinion, this is very dangerous for his performance! Naka, I hope you keep a cool head and don't let this affect your game.
Hikaru, you can keep saying "first things first", as long as you follow up with "i'm the realest".
I find it interesting that Kramnik is so interested in catching cheaters 🤔
Needs to go back to the bathroom to check for them again
He can't understand why he gets flagged a million times and his blitz rating is under 3000.
Aha now I see
This is easy to settle. How many mouse slips has Naka had in his 45,000 games? If it’s much less than average, then Kramnik might have a leg to stand on. But so far, Kramnik is looking like an idiot.
more credit to Hikaru; he's making bank off of this. He's taking the high road. A wise choice.
I spoke to an annonymous data scientist. The odds of Hikaru making all these Kramnik videos is....interesting.
STOP ASKING ME TO PUBLISH THE DATA!
Poor Kramnik was bullied by Topalov and now he bullies back. Classic
The good news about all this nonsense is that it's great CONTENT. Hikaru is v getting 3x views per video more than his usual videos. So @Kramnik keep up your BS. Hikaru keeps making these "Cheating" videos and keeps making money 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
I posted a MATLAB explaining this on Kramniks post, multiply every game probability together, then multiply it by 4000 (across 4000 games this year) divide by the problem set (46 games) and you’ve got a percentage, it comes out to 5.62 percent total, if you multiply by 55000 games in his career, it jumps to 85%, on the flip side him losing every game came out to something like 6.3x10^-39 power. So yeah I think Hikaru’s got a chance to go 45-46
obvious hikaru is cheating, he is literally stockfish
joke right?
obvious
@@System.Error. lmao
Yeah the infinity thing just means the rating you would habe to have, such that given the result the rating would stay constant
I feel like hikaru deep down enjoy this drama and he doesnt want it to stop.
You need to sell a t-shirt that just says, "First things first." lol
If an 3300 player winning over 2950 rated player probability is 89.5%, which is likely as per elo difference statistics, in a 1000 game series, a 45 times consecutive win happening has a 58% chance. This means it is more likely to happen in a 1000 game series than not. Kramnik has no idea about statistics.
Hikaru was SOO TALL when Niemann was on the cheat-hook. Now when Hikaru is the one blamed for cheating he is lower than a maggot. This is TOO FUN! You can't make this shit up. Reality is always 100x better than fiction.
Hikaru is loving it though...
“Farming is fun”
Complete checkmate. Everytime Kramnik doubles down, more content for you to monetize, and it just makes him look worse and worse. He doesn't seem smart enough to understand it. At this point your happy for him to keep trying to die on this hill.🤣
i thought naka was a data scientist. i'm glad he cleared that up
There has been a lot of back and forth on this. But frankly, there’s no debate that the first thing does in fact come first
Well… there IS the rumored chess board on the ceiling… until we get a definitive picture of that no one can be sure 😁
'Ehhhhhhh' lol I enjoyed the 'wrong move buzzer'
Kramnik really jumped on the band wagon from Hans accusations and thought it wouldn’t blow up in his face.”If I start accusing Hikaru then more people will” such a poor attitude
"first things first" "very specifically" "very clearly" the classic Hikaruisms