It's actually the bookies favourite currently, so really it's the favourite. Still a very close race with the creator though, especially since the creator swept the VFX Society awards.
Thanks for another interesting commentary, Brian. It is very generous and classy of you to collaborate with Cody. Kind of reminds me of the old Siskel-Ebert critiques. Keep up the great work!
Great picks guys!! My Predictions are: Editing - Oppenheimer Sound - Oppenheimer (would be totally fine with Zone too) Visual Effects - Godzilla Minus One
I feel like Godzilla will probably get visual effects, mainly because that would just be such a cool win to see. Congratulations to Oppenheimer for winning everything else
Gotg 3 should win but oscars are dumb sometimes. But godzilla minus one is low budget abd great visuals so probably godzilla wins. Mission imp. And napoleon have good vfx but no. WHAT DO YOU THINK, WILL DEADPOOL AND WOLVERINE GOT NOMINATED FOR: VISUALS, COATUMES?
My Current GoldDerby predictions (as of 3.3): *Best Editing:* 5. Kevin Tent (The Holdovers) 4. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things) 2. Laurent Sénéchal (Anatomy of a Fall) 1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer) *Best Sound:* 5. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning 4. The Creator 3. Maestro 2. The Zone of Interest 1. Oppenheimer I had a SuperBet on this category but I removed it after recognizing the groundswell for The Zone of Interest. Oppenheimer's still got this tho. *Best Visual Effects:* 5. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning 4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 3. Napoleon 2. Godzilla Minus One 1. The Creator
Godzilla Minus One is winning visual effects. However, I don't like to subscribe to the narrative that Napoleon couldn't win because the special effects aren't "obvious" and that most people don't even know that visual effects were involved to make the movie. HELLO? That is the ultimate sign of masterful seamless visual effects. If I were voting, I would vote for something that is so seamless, so perfect, that when I watched the movie I thought it was all in camera, as opposed to "oh look Marvel just put another CGI racoon and talking tree on screen and obviously it isn't real but hey it's fun". Reminds me of when 2001 A Space Odyssey did not get nominated for best makeup because voters who watched the movie thought the apes in the first sequence were real, then Planet Of The Apes goes on to win for best makeup. Duh?
Thinking Napoleon has a shot at a VFX Oscar told me how many people predicting the Oscars had no idea what they were talking about and were just reading some random statistical data without thinking.
The Best Visual Effects category is exciting this year. I think it’s The Creator vs Godzilla: Minus One. I think the Academy will pick Godzilla, it’s a very liked film. Best Sound is also exciting and I think it may be a “spread the wealth” pick. Although the sound in Oppenheimer is astounding, sound in The Zone of Interest is one of its most integral ingredients to make it the haunting piece of cinema it is. I’m going with Zone. Editing goes to Oppenheimer, unless we see a cool Anatomy of a Fall surprise. Also, Cody is spot on describing Poor Things as lagging towards the final act, I never felt this way watching Killers of the Flower Moon.
Editing Will win: Oppenheimer Should win: Anatomy of a Fall Sound Will win: Oppenheimer Should win: The Zone of Interest VFX Will and should win: Godzilla Minus One
@@laurajones1773 I'd be all for a surprise win if Anatomy of a Fall gets Best Film Editing over Oppenheimer (though it probably won't). If that was the case, I think Past Lives would've easily gotten Best Original Screenplay. This seems like one of those years where all ten Best Picture nominees could and should win something.
It’s a solid film, but it would be better if it was like 50 minutes or an hour shorter. Martin Scorsese in recent years is obsessed about making extremely long movies since The Wolf of Wall Street.
Mica Levi's score for Under The Skin is one of my all-time favorite horror movie scores, it would be amazing to see her win an Oscar for her work in a Glazer project. I haven't seen Zone of Interest yet but I'm happy to see them win whatever.
@@laurajones1773 But I heard the VFX in Godzilla Minus One do a great job at being flashy and weighty in a way that also supports the story and world flawlessly (and doing so with a limited budget). The Academy usually gives Best VFX awards to stuff like that. The Creator, despite how good it looks, is in service of a story folks are mixed on that I feel has been forgotten about months after it was released.
So, Creator will win. It dominated VES awards. By the way, godzilla was nominated for character nomination and it lost to guardians fir animation of rocket
I think NAPOLEON wins despite the reviews. The reason is that this category typically favors either Best Picture nominees or films that have the "Oscar-y" feel to them. It is especially important to have multiple nominations (lone nominees usually never win unless it is an undeniable frontrunner like 2016 JUNGLE BOOK). Even the surprise winner EX MACHINA had a PGA nomination and was an Original Screenplay Oscar nominee, and this is a win we should have seen coming in retrospect. NAPOLEON is the most nominated film among the VFX nominees (3 nominations) and also had the Oscar buzz as well. I remember someone pointing out that Production Design nomination also helps here, and NAPOLEON is incidentally the only one that has that as well.
I know I am in the minority on this one ...... Oppenheimer has one of the worst sound mixes all year. Hear me out. I saw it on the largest Imax screen in the country, meaning it had the sound he wanted us to experience, and there were times when you could not hear half of the dialogue. I know that is a thing, and he did the same with Tenet, but It was distracting. I am not an Oppenheimer fan yes, but Sound is the one award I cannot abide by lol.
If "Godzilla Minus One" wins Best Visual Effects, you will hear me screaming with joy all the way from Las Vegas, NV! 😁
Godzilla Minus One is the underdog for Visual Effects. Win or lose, it won the hearts of Godzilla fans and movie fans in general.
It's actually the bookies favourite currently, so really it's the favourite. Still a very close race with the creator though, especially since the creator swept the VFX Society awards.
Godzilla -One or The Creator winning would be awesome. Both films are equally deserving. 🏆🏆
Thanks for another interesting commentary, Brian. It is very generous and classy of you to collaborate with Cody. Kind of reminds me of the old Siskel-Ebert critiques. Keep up the great work!
Editing - Oppenheimer
Sound - Oppenheimer
VFX - Godzilla Minus One
Great picks guys!!
My Predictions are:
Editing - Oppenheimer
Sound - Oppenheimer (would be totally fine with Zone too)
Visual Effects - Godzilla Minus One
I feel like Godzilla will probably get visual effects, mainly because that would just be such a cool win to see.
Congratulations to Oppenheimer for winning everything else
Definitely The Zone of Interest for sound :) I hope my comment ages well😅 Thank you for your Oscars series! I enjoyed everything :)
I really hope The Creator wins Visual Effects. The behind the scenes work and on screen visuals combined should give it a win, it would have my vote
It’s the frontrunner because it won the most VES Awards.
I really hope Godzilla minus one wins. It should really be nominated for best picture too, it was a true and organic positive word of mouth success.
But the guilds like the Creator more, right? I just can’t tell if I’m voting for hype or craft
Gotg 3 should win but oscars are dumb sometimes.
But godzilla minus one is low budget abd great visuals so probably godzilla wins.
Mission imp. And napoleon have good vfx but no.
WHAT DO YOU THINK, WILL DEADPOOL AND WOLVERINE GOT NOMINATED FOR:
VISUALS, COATUMES?
My Current GoldDerby predictions (as of 3.3):
*Best Editing:*
5. Kevin Tent (The Holdovers)
4. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon)
3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things)
2. Laurent Sénéchal (Anatomy of a Fall)
1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer)
*Best Sound:*
5. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning
4. The Creator
3. Maestro
2. The Zone of Interest
1. Oppenheimer
I had a SuperBet on this category but I removed it after recognizing the groundswell for The Zone of Interest. Oppenheimer's still got this tho.
*Best Visual Effects:*
5. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning
4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3
3. Napoleon
2. Godzilla Minus One
1. The Creator
Godzilla Minus One is winning visual effects. However, I don't like to subscribe to the narrative that Napoleon couldn't win because the special effects aren't "obvious" and that most people don't even know that visual effects were involved to make the movie. HELLO? That is the ultimate sign of masterful seamless visual effects. If I were voting, I would vote for something that is so seamless, so perfect, that when I watched the movie I thought it was all in camera, as opposed to "oh look Marvel just put another CGI racoon and talking tree on screen and obviously it isn't real but hey it's fun".
Reminds me of when 2001 A Space Odyssey did not get nominated for best makeup because voters who watched the movie thought the apes in the first sequence were real, then Planet Of The Apes goes on to win for best makeup. Duh?
Thinking Napoleon has a shot at a VFX Oscar told me how many people predicting the Oscars had no idea what they were talking about and were just reading some random statistical data without thinking.
Godzilla will win 🦖
The Best Visual Effects category is exciting this year. I think it’s The Creator vs Godzilla: Minus One. I think the Academy will pick Godzilla, it’s a very liked film.
Best Sound is also exciting and I think it may be a “spread the wealth” pick. Although the sound in Oppenheimer is astounding, sound in The Zone of Interest is one of its most integral ingredients to make it the haunting piece of cinema it is. I’m going with Zone.
Editing goes to Oppenheimer, unless we see a cool Anatomy of a Fall surprise.
Also, Cody is spot on describing Poor Things as lagging towards the final act, I never felt this way watching Killers of the Flower Moon.
GODZILLA!! 😲🤔😲✊😊😆👊🍁😒🍁
Godzilla -1 should be nominated for sound. I love the movie but OMG the sound was soo loud in the theater
Editing
Will win: Oppenheimer
Should win: Anatomy of a Fall
Sound
Will win: Oppenheimer
Should win: The Zone of Interest
VFX
Will and should win: Godzilla Minus One
Anatomy of a Fall should be the editing frontrunner.
@@laurajones1773 I'd be all for a surprise win if Anatomy of a Fall gets Best Film Editing over Oppenheimer (though it probably won't).
If that was the case, I think Past Lives would've easily gotten Best Original Screenplay. This seems like one of those years where all ten Best Picture nominees could and should win something.
Curious question. Does it not matter that The Creator won awards at the VES?
Product is very important for a movie.
OPPENHEIMER, ZONE OF INTEREST and CREATOR
Was an editor I pick Oppenheimer.
Have you seen the other films
The oppressive running time of Killers ruined the movie. Thelma should have stood up to Marty and edited the running time down.
It’s a solid film, but it would be better if it was like 50 minutes or an hour shorter. Martin Scorsese in recent years is obsessed about making extremely long movies since The Wolf of Wall Street.
Barbie went over every one head except women.
Ghost Poetical was a a great movie. It was never nominated.
Mica Levi's score for Under The Skin is one of my all-time favorite horror movie scores, it would be amazing to see her win an Oscar for her work in a Glazer project. I haven't seen Zone of Interest yet but I'm happy to see them win whatever.
I think The Creator will win the Oscar for Best Visual Effects considering it won the most awards at the Visual Effects Society Awards.
I could see either that or Godzilla Minus One winning (even with the former getting multiple wins at the Visual Effects Society Awards).
Godzilla Minus One didn’t get much precursor support. It’s even lucky to even be nominated.
@@laurajones1773 But I heard the VFX in Godzilla Minus One do a great job at being flashy and weighty in a way that also supports the story and world flawlessly (and doing so with a limited budget). The Academy usually gives Best VFX awards to stuff like that.
The Creator, despite how good it looks, is in service of a story folks are mixed on that I feel has been forgotten about months after it was released.
So, Creator will win. It dominated VES awards. By the way, godzilla was nominated for character nomination and it lost to guardians fir animation of rocket
I think NAPOLEON wins despite the reviews. The reason is that this category typically favors either Best Picture nominees or films that have the "Oscar-y" feel to them. It is especially important to have multiple nominations (lone nominees usually never win unless it is an undeniable frontrunner like 2016 JUNGLE BOOK). Even the surprise winner EX MACHINA had a PGA nomination and was an Original Screenplay Oscar nominee, and this is a win we should have seen coming in retrospect.
NAPOLEON is the most nominated film among the VFX nominees (3 nominations) and also had the Oscar buzz as well. I remember someone pointing out that Production Design nomination also helps here, and NAPOLEON is incidentally the only one that has that as well.
Oscar voters are old and offline. The Creator will win
I know I am in the minority on this one ...... Oppenheimer has one of the worst sound mixes all year. Hear me out. I saw it on the largest Imax screen in the country, meaning it had the sound he wanted us to experience, and there were times when you could not hear half of the dialogue. I know that is a thing, and he did the same with Tenet, but It was distracting. I am not an Oppenheimer fan yes, but Sound is the one award I cannot abide by lol.
It was dreadful.. I had to plug my ears at times. Just too loud.